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Summary

The discussion on the market regarding whether stranded astronauts will leave the ISS in 2024 revolves primarily around uncertainties related to transportation issues and scheduling conflicts. There is considerable debate over whether NASA and Boeing can resolve technical problems with the Starliner spacecraft in time, or if SpaceX's Crew Dragon will step in to facilitate the return of astronauts. The timeframe for a potential return includes the possibility of delays pushing the mission into early 2025, contributing to divided opinions on the final outcome.

  • Technical and scheduling challenges: There is significant skepticism about the capability of Boeing's Starliner to return the astronauts on schedule due to ongoing technical issues, with many speculating that SpaceX's Crew Dragon might need to step in to complete the mission.
  • Speculation on timeframe: While some participants believe the return might still occur in 2024, others argue that the mission will likely extend into early 2025, making bets on this outcome highly contentious.
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