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                Summary
                                            The discussion on the market regarding whether stranded astronauts will leave the ISS in 2024 revolves primarily around uncertainties related to transportation issues and scheduling conflicts. There is considerable debate over whether NASA and Boeing can resolve technical problems with the Starliner spacecraft in time, or if SpaceX's Crew Dragon will step in to facilitate the return of astronauts. The timeframe for a potential return includes the possibility of delays pushing the mission into early 2025, contributing to divided opinions on the final outcome.
- Technical and scheduling challenges: There is significant skepticism about the capability of Boeing's Starliner to return the astronauts on schedule due to ongoing technical issues, with many speculating that SpaceX's Crew Dragon might need to step in to complete the mission.
 - Speculation on timeframe: While some participants believe the return might still occur in 2024, others argue that the mission will likely extend into early 2025, making bets on this outcome highly contentious.
 
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            Burbonas
                        11 months ago
                      
                        Home before Christmas                      
                      19
                                              iCheese
                        11 months ago
                      
                        On my way to give them a lift back home, you’re welcome Yes crew                      
                      19
                                              K0LDNutz
                        1 year ago
                      
                        Yes I know they’re not scheduled for pickup & return until mission completion in Feb, but I’ll still take the filthy lottos for a potential troll that they’re priority, or that circumstance dictates sooner egress 🤪                      
                      9
                                              XXI
                        10 months ago
                      
                        free money                      
                      6
                                              5to5000
                        1 year ago
                      
                        maybe polymarket will clarify that we are actually going by the chinese calendar                      
                      5
                                              Car
                            1 year ago
                          February is awfully close to 2024
                        0xE42c9d2ef
                        1 year ago
                      
                        This is safe to propose. They will return in february 2025. https://www.nasa.gov/news-release/nasa-decides-to-bring-starliner-spacecraft-back-to-earth-without-crew/                      
                      5
                                              DevinF
                        1 year ago
                      
                        Between Elon's hero complex and how embarrassing this is for Boeing/Nasa, there is simply no way they leave them up there for another 4+ months. SpaceX is already moving launches to account for this mission. Yes is basically free money at this point.                       
                      4
                                              Car
                        1 year ago
                      
                        February is awfully close to 2024                      
                      4
                                              Weixiao
                        10 months ago
                      
                        Wait for me, I'm considering picking them up                      
                      4
                                              Dangomil
                        1 year ago
                      
                        Letzzzgoooo                      
                      3