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0xaf
10 months ago
So they've started border incursions... once we get confirmation from lebanon than by the rules this is proposable. The rules specify nothing about troops and they are already controlling terrtory via bombing.
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0xaf
10 months ago
The point is - the rubicon has been crossed. That's a seriously big deal.
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0xaf
10 months ago
So they've started border incursions... once we get confirmation from lebanon than by the rules this is proposable. The rules specify nothing about troops and they are already controlling terrtory via bombing.
0xaf
10 months ago
To domer's point on the discord, yeah, we need headlines. This should come from lebanon complaining loudly (if they do) that Israel has crossed the border with troops.
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0xaf
10 months ago
He says that as a result of the IDF's actions, "Hezbollah is no longer close to the fence." That's IDF chief talking about control.
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0xaf
10 months ago
So they've started border incursions... once we get confirmation from lebanon than by the rules this is proposable. The rules specify nothing about troops and they are already controlling terrtory via bombing.
FilthyAnimal
10 months ago
Are we going to prematurely ejaculate over this one again?
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0xaf
10 months ago
So they've started border incursions... once we get confirmation from lebanon than by the rules this is proposable. The rules specify nothing about troops and they are already controlling terrtory via bombing.
0xaf
10 months ago
I don't think we did, imho. And this proves it. The EV was always there. It can be weird with prediction markets that have lower odds. But if lebanon confirms, we could see some serious headlines.
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FilthyAnimal
10 months ago
Are we going to prematurely ejaculate over this one again?
0xaf
10 months ago
"There is no comment from the Israeli military." Practically confirmation. :p https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/hezbollah-claims-to-shell-border-town-fight-israeli-troops/
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0xaf
10 months ago
So they've started border incursions... once we get confirmation from lebanon than by the rules this is proposable. The rules specify nothing about troops and they are already controlling terrtory via bombing.
0xaf
10 months ago
One scenario that could occur is that Israel does clearing ops on a corridor into lebanon for potential future invasion. It would serve two purposes - it would draw out attackers and would give them an easier way to launch a major ground offensive in the future.
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0xaf
10 months ago
To domer's point on the discord, yeah, we need headlines. This should come from lebanon complaining loudly (if they do) that Israel has crossed the border with troops.
0xaf
10 months ago
This would be an invasion as they are clearly breaching the border and doing a military offensive on foreign sovreign territory, and it would be control of a strategical and critical portion of southern lebanon.
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0xaf
10 months ago
One scenario that could occur is that Israel does clearing ops on a corridor into lebanon for potential future invasion. It would serve two purposes - it would draw out attackers and would give them an easier way to launch a major ground offensive in the future.
0xaf
10 months ago
And yeah, there would definitely be headlines.
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0xaf
10 months ago
One scenario that could occur is that Israel does clearing ops on a corridor into lebanon for potential future invasion. It would serve two purposes - it would draw out attackers and would give them an easier way to launch a major ground offensive in the future.