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Summary

The discussion about the likelihood of Iran striking gulf oil facilities in October reflects a divided sentiment among commentators. There are references to reports suggesting concern from the Gulf States about a potential attack, indicating that some believe such an event might be significant enough to affect the outcome of the bet. Others express skepticism, considering the likelihood of the event occurring as very low, suggesting a chance of less than 1%.

  • Some participants consider the reports of regional concern significant, implying it could increase the probability of an attack.
  • Despite some concerns, other participants believe the likelihood of Iran striking is extremely low, treating it as an unlikely scenario.
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