Who will be inaugurated as President? | Polymarket Tracker

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Summary

The discussion regarding the inauguration of the President centers around speculation on Donald Trump's likelihood of being inaugurated amid reports of chaos and delay in his transition process. Some participants are confident in his eventual inauguration, viewing it as a secure bet, while a sense of skepticism lingers due to internal disputes and alleged improper vetting within Trump's circle. Conversations also touch upon the broader instability within the Republican party, as well as alternative betting markets that overvalue other potential candidates such as Kamala Harris.

There is strong confidence from many users that Donald Trump will be inaugurated, despite reports of internal chaos and transition delays.
Some users are skeptical, highlighting internal GOP conflicts and poor administrative choices as potential hurdles for Trump's inauguration.

Comments

damn, how many different ways can you get people to bet on the exact same thing? next market will be - who will take a shit in the bathroom closest to the oval office on Jan 21st?

Liked by n/a, n/a and 25 others

MATE U HAVE 8 DOLLARS ON THE LINE THATS ABOUT A HAPPY MEAL MATE

Liked by n/a, n/a and 24 others

If Trump is assassinated or dies by January 20th and JD is inaugurated then the "other" option would win, right?

on the bright side you had sex at least once now.

Liked by n/a, HedgeToBTC and 18 others

Goldsteinerbergstein

Kamala Harris is a rapist.

An average 78-year-old male American who has not had any assassination attempts has about a 1% chance of dying in any two-month period.

newbee here, how come this isn't 100

Time decay is supposed to go up, not down

Kamala is trash all u libtards can suck me off

trump only eats mcdonalds. maybe he won't reach inauguration day.

That would not be the same as an inauguration

this market is not very clear: If Biden steps down Kamala takes his place but it's before 20th January. It's not clear if Kamala count as inaugurated in this case and this should be clarified in the rules

and then there's the Kamala "No" option which is literally a 100%

NotGonnaBetToday

the 12th amendment states clearly that if Trump were to die or otherwise become incapacitated before he is inaugurated, Vance would then become President Elect.

Trump's chances are currently overestimated, while Kamala's are greatly underestimated (at least 3 times). Someone mentioned it a couple of times below. Considering the past of a 78-year-old man, anything can happen to him in two and a half months, from sudden death from old age to problems with the law and murder. Although I am more for Trump and wish him all the best, but because of such underestimation, I will certainly bet on Kamala. Face it. Anything below 1 cent is a great entry point and now it's just easy money (but it won't last long)