Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election? | Polymarket Tracker

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Summary

The discussion centers around whether or not there will be record voter turnout in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election, with participants analyzing various data sources to estimate final vote counts. There is significant debate on the accuracy of existing data and projections, with estimates ranging widely. Some contributors believe that the turnout will surpass 2020 levels, citing pending votes in states like California, while others think it will be challenging to achieve record numbers. Participants frequently cite data from AP News and CBS, and differences in state-level vote counting percentages are causing some confusion and recalibration of expectations.

Estimates of voter turnout vary significantly, with calculations ranging from approximately 158 to 168 million votes, highlighting the uncertainty and differing methodologies among participants.
Pending votes in key states like California, Arizona, and Oregon are significant points of focus, as they are believed to be crucial in determining whether 2024 turnout surpasses that of the 2020 election.

Comments

It’s a complete scam it doesn’t go by the outcome it goes by UMA votes so even if you bet the truth the people on this site can vote that he didn’t ITS A COMPLETE SCAM CASH OUT WHILE YOU CAN !!!

3 factors to consider: 1. There are more eligible voters overall. 2. Trump will get more votes this time than in 2020. 3. That means the Dems will have to print more ballots to steal the election. = More votes overall

you've convinced me

The record-high voter turnout in 2020 was due to the high level of hatred towards Trump caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. There won't be such high numbers again. This year’s election atmosphere is very subdued. Keep in mind that in previous U.S. presidential elections, the voter turnout was only 55%, while last time it was 66%. That is an insurmountable difference.

dontbullymeillcum

Imagine thinking this isnt free money

The last 3 presidental general elections were record turnout, voter registrations have increased by millions, and theres already record early turnout. I agree this is free money

BudSpencer...TerenceHill

This is a nobrainer, early voting is surpassing ATH, Trump has alot more voters than 2020, and therefore Deep State has to Stuff even more Harris-Ballots in to overturn Trump, This is a no brainer

Last presidential election was a 66% turnout. There has only been a 5.1M increase in VEP since then, so turnout needs to be closer to 65%, which outside of the COVID election hasn't happened since 1908. Seems highly unlikely.

I should have probably invested more before commenting, but oh well. This is so obviously YES. Around %61.1 VEP should result in a record turnout and there's no way turnout % will be lower than Hillary vs Trump. Reps are very pro Trump and dems are wary of taking the election for granted and repeating 2016 again.

this is so free LMAO

definitely, they gonna create ballots as no tomorrow, the national debt creation rate will seem humble. On the right, they all thinking it's the end of the world, so the biggest engagement

this is so free LMAO