Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)? | Polymarket Tracker

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Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?

Last updated 10 months ago

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The latest ballot dump margins were around 63% for Kamala and 37% for Trump. Math still adds up for below 1.5.

UnlimitedCommentAbuse

Sure! Here is a tip, get a new card

Hey, my card doesn't work for deposits so would greatly appreciate any tips!

Nature is healing

The latest ballot dump just came in, and the margin was about 66% for Harris vs 34% for Trump. The math still adds up for around 1.45.

People are trying to escape reality, we know the spread of the votes coming in and they have been even bluer than what was needed for 1.5% to hit. The only real issue causing movement is how slow the votes are coming out which leads to fear that there isn't enough out there

That's great and all but it has nothing to actually do with this market. We have way too much info to try and base this on a "feeling" that he won't fall under 1.5%

Personally, I think Trump is riding this red wave successfully enough to push his popular vote, even if it is usually the Republicans weakpoint. I remember a time where the people here defended a Republican 3-4 % popular votes margin. And even if this was grossly exaggerated I can’t believe he will fall under 1.5. He’s just too strong this year.

0x279d4E19D5Be7Bc6d25F3C6777B6802B47AFbC0e-1727574846421

from Nov 13 lol

CEO of Atlas still thinks it ends up around 1.35% in a recent live stream

Thought we were all Canadian and Chinese here

Full disclosure everyone: Despite the fact that nyc exists, I will hereby be declaring my sell order at the price of 84 cents. This is because despite nyc existing I am unsure of the composition and volume of ballots that have been uncounted. I declare these statements to be under the review of the Securities & Equities Commission, and will hereby report on any continued changes to my market portfolio. Best, Eridpnc

Fwiw, I've grown my account from $50 to 18K here, for 36000% returns. My original deposit was $250, which I grew to like 3K inside a month. I then ignored all the rules below, and then imploded down to $50. Took much longer to grow it back, but I respected the rules a lot more for obvious reasons.