Maduro out in 2024? | Polymarket Tracker

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Summary

The discussions on the "Maduro out in 2024?" betting market reveal a mix of skepticism, speculation, and political insight. Many participants express distrust regarding the reliability of market resolutions, reflecting concerns from past Venezuelan election outcomes and questioning the legitimacy of power definitions. Some users speculate that there could be underlying developments, hinted at by trading patterns and potential insider knowledge impacting market trends. Political commentary highlights Venezuelan socialism's durability, and there's a mixture of irony regarding external influences like the US and the CIA.

Several commenters doubt the market's ability to resolve truthfully based on previous experiences with Venezuelan election results, suggesting the market might not accurately reflect the political reality.
Speculation about potential shifts in power is prevalent, with users citing buying pressures and rumors as indicators of possible changes, though there's no consensus on the likelihood of Maduro stepping down.

Comments

GenaTheCrocodile

In Venezuela there are a lot of blackouts because Socialism. Because that JustScam could claim Maduro technically lost power

Liked by Donkov, just.some.... and 8 others

haha, PM continue to make a mockery by creating such markets

Liked by Donkov, dreamer and 7 others

I don't recommend anyone bet on this market, given the nonsensical way the last election market in Venezuela was resolved. The same could happen here.

Why doesnt this resolve as yes? Currently Edmundo Gonzalez is in charge of Venezuela. Elections were officially won by Gonzalez! The last regime doesnt have the authority to say its in charge, so it should be ignored!

I'm confused, I thought the opposition won the election?

Maduro is my president!

But Edmundo won the election!

Also a question - if Blinken announces something like 'Maduro is already losing power, and the people of Venezuela will soon be liberated,' should the market also decide that Maduro has lost power?

I was being facetious. No way i'm betting here. They might say Maduro slept for a couple hours and lost power.

I don't think Polymarket resolved the election correctly, but this is not contradictory, at the very least since his term is still ongoing

Maduro been in power for 11 years , ya he aint goin no where , easy money lfgoo