This market is closed and no longer accepting bets.
31
Comments
1
Market
0
Comments per hour
Summary
The discussion centers around Kamala Harris's 538 polling odds exceeding 55%, specifically whether current data reflects this and how prediction markets are reacting. Many users debate the implications of recent poll releases and the delayed resolutions of market outcomes. Exchanges suggest skepticism about whether Harris's appeal is accurately captured in the forecasts, amid inconsistent polling updates and user speculation on manipulation of the odds.
- Users express frustration over slow updates and market resolutions, questioning the accuracy and timing of polling data releases.
- The forecasts showing a discrepancy with prediction markets foster discussions on potential adjustments to methodology or data interpretation.
Comments
MikeJHenry
10/7/2024, 2:39 AM
Please use caution when visiting sites shown in comments particularly from X.Twitter which claim good alternative bets. These drain your wallet.
5
sk33625
10/11/2024, 2:55 AM
Why do you keep buying No?
2
Meow.Zedong
10/10/2024, 7:32 PM
Morning compost! 😡 🤣
JebisaMess
10/7/2024, 3:38 AM
She is brat
1
JJo
10/8/2024, 9:25 AM
Kamala literally sitting at 554/1000 as of her last update
1
Ezypzy
10/9/2024, 6:05 AM
546 now
1
JJo
10/8/2024, 9:25 AM
Kamala literally sitting at 554/1000 as of her last update
Chimp1
10/10/2024, 6:24 AM
Are they going to change the methodology again to magically keep Kamala the favorite.
1
MattyFloe
10/11/2024, 10:17 PM
it has been updated for today. "No" positions have won. Waiting for polymarket to resolve the positions
1
skrydismenulin
10/11/2024, 8:24 PM
So the data is out there with 53 right? or it it's for the 10th still?
LebronOver
10/12/2024, 12:01 AM
Next datapoint needs to be available as per the rules
1
Meow.Zedong
10/11/2024, 11:33 PM
Was this disputed because too early? Waiting for data?
SusanWarren,HR
10/7/2024, 3:28 AM
Thank you, Mike.
0
MikeJHenry
10/7/2024, 2:39 AM
Please use caution when visiting sites shown in comments particularly from X.Twitter which claim good alternative bets. These drain your wallet.
velo5
10/7/2024, 10:31 AM
yeah she is one
0
JebisaMess
10/7/2024, 3:38 AM
She is brat