Arizona Senate Election Winner | Polymarket Tracker

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Summary

Discussion around the Arizona Senate Election winner focuses significantly on the perceived discrepancies in vote counting and media reporting. Commenters debate the influence of mainstream media calls versus formal results for determining election outcomes, with some questioning the likelihood of court interventions altering results. Arguments are presented about the likelihood of candidate Kari Lake securing additional necessary votes, given past performance metrics and the current percentage count of processed votes. Discussions also touched on broader implications for the Republican party nationally.

Many participants express frustration with the election result determination process, highlighting the role of media calls and questioning the legitimacy of ongoing vote counts in various counties.
Some users see the results as a larger indication of Republican performance issues, discussing shifts in voter demographics and perceived failures to capitalize on expected advantageous electoral conditions.

Comments

I have just updated my model @JackBetrader on Twitter. That was a huge Maricopa ballot drop for Kari Lake in the Arizona Senate election. She needed 52.1% to be on pace to flip.... and got 58%! If using the stats since 8pm Nov 6 she wins by 3K If using the stats since 12:018am Nov 7 she wins by 27K.

I personally would like to thank all the MAGA supporters here. Your dedication and loyalty to Kari Lake made this market great again.

if kari lake actually pulls this off i'm gonna say the n word

Last night, I put $1000 into Lake at 5% because I saw it was criminally underrated. Now I might become rich. (That $1000 was just a fraction of how much I made this election)

TartarianRetard

IM DIAMOND HANDING THIS BITCH. ZERO SUM GAME

Kari just needs 53% of the remaining votes to win this. Odds are way undervalued here.

An additional 23,000 ballots have been reported in Maricopa County, with Kari Lake receiving 58% of the votes. This significant support indicates a viable path to victory for her campaign. This is getting exciting!

NEW Pima County Drop - Lake: 54.6% Gallego: 43.9%

its fucking happening wtf

Hey everyone, thank you for 20,000 shares at 5%. It is the greatest thing to ever happen to me financially since 2021.