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Summary

The discussion on the betting market for "100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before February?" centers around participants debating the likelihood of the outcome. Deltachild28 expresses strong confidence in the 'yes' outcome, suggesting that they expect a definitive result. They also mention that over 2,000 samples are still being counted, which could potentially influence the outcome. Concerns about the current market trading percentages and their implications are also raised, as seen in BigRobin's comment highlighting the market's low percentage for 'yes' at the time.

  • Market Confidence: Participants, notably Deltachild28, show high confidence in a 'yes' outcome for the bird flu cases reaching over 100, inferring this from the ongoing counting of samples.
  • Market Odds: Discussion includes the current market's valuation of the probability, with some remarks noting the low percentage of 'yes' in December, impacting the betting considerations.
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