Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?
WindWalk2
2 months ago
If he projected 1.7% OTHER, and Atlas has OTHER at 1.847%, how can those two things be reconciled? Nobody seriously believes the third party vote share will go down as ballots are counted. So the only logical conclusion is that his estimate excluded write-ins.
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Green
2 months ago
8 days after the 2020 election, OTHER was at 1.83%. https://web.archive.org/web/20201111034951/https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/ In January, by which point this market is gonna be resolved, it got only .08% more https://web.archive.org/web/20210114194545/https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/ This year, 8 days after the election, its at 1.85%. https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/ Is the difference really going to double from 2020? Probably not.
