Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?
BetMoarBoyBilly
2 months ago
just find it from the resolution data site, and you can compare this year's data with 2020, for states like FL, you see they should finish counting everything, and you can compare with 2020
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WindWalk2
2 months ago
The below states are missing writeins in 2024. Even if we use 2020s write-in numbers (which is undershooting it because 2024 write-ins so far have been up around 48%), you get 163,156 votes. That's about +0.105% without factoring in the expected write-in increase. If the write-in increase meets the current national average at ~48% then you're looking at 241k votes. Anyways here are the states: Alaska, Arizona, California, Idaho, Indiana, Kansas, Kentucky, Massachusetts, Michigan, Montana, Nebraska, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah
