Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?
BetMoarBoyBilly
2 months ago
based on windtalk's information, I calculated there are around 220k write in votes being missing from the count which would make this very close to 2% but still slightly under however I was certainly overpaying @ 92 for those NO
0
WindWalk2
2 months ago
The below states are missing writeins in 2024. Even if we use 2020s write-in numbers (which is undershooting it because 2024 write-ins so far have been up around 48%), you get 163,156 votes. That's about +0.105% without factoring in the expected write-in increase. If the write-in increase meets the current national average at ~48% then you're looking at 241k votes. Anyways here are the states: Alaska, Arizona, California, Idaho, Indiana, Kansas, Kentucky, Massachusetts, Michigan, Montana, Nebraska, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah
