Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
scottilicious
1 month ago
good film by the way on Iranian peeps vs their govt https://www.lemonde.fr/en/culture/article/2024/05/23/cannes-2024-seeds-of-the-wild-fig-tree-at-the-cutting-edge-of-underground-iranian-cinema_6672481_30.html .... Israeli govt too hawkish but the continued presence of Gallant vs Saar is indicative of caution IMO
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HaterzLoserz
1 month ago
Timing for Israel is far better than most people give credit for. They stopped asking US permission for things quite a while ago, and now prefer to act first and ask forgiveness later. or rather, assume the US wont do shit pre election at least. Key figures in govt like Ben Gvir will be bulling for taking more arab land, thats his whole thing, i hate the fucking cunt, but it is what it is. The stated goals of returning residents to North Israel require a buffer zone, shooting rockets into lebanon indefinitely to deter hezb isnt a real option either, gotta make a DMZ basically if they want that. And if harris wins the election, that might become a whole lot more complicated, better to take it now and mch harder for harris to make you leave then. And Hezb is at an all time low in strenght and coordination right now, this is the time to land a decisive blow that will cripple them for years. With Hamas + Hezb crippled, Irans only option will be direct conflict, which they dont want to get into.
Reactions
| User | Date |
|---|---|
| HaterzLoserz | 1 month ago |
| MisTKy | 1 month ago |