2024 August hottest on record?
aenews2
3 months ago
No, my ERA5 model only takes into account the surface air (t2m). I don't use the SST from Copernicus. If you want to discuss further, hit me up on Discord (aenews), Twitter (aenews_PI), or Reddit (aenews).
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WindWalk2
3 months ago
Also considering the chance of simple human error (they enter the wrong number and don't update it until after the resolution period for this market closes) or the chance that someone at NASA is aware of this market and attempts to manipulate the number to get 100:1 odds on their money. Crypto based prediction markets haven't been tested in the courts, and it's doubtful that SEC market manipulation laws apply to prediction markets.. so doing something like that could be seen by some unscrupulous actors as a low risk way to make a boat load of cash.
Reactions
| User | Date |
|---|---|
| efren1983 | 3 months ago |