Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
DonaldinhoTrumpito
2 months ago
The final event of the night is the wrestling odds being published and putting the US wrestler as a 60% favorite, when many believed she would be an underdog based on pre-tournament chances. Final forecast: Out of 1,000,000 simulations, the US wins 783,519 times. Bonus forecast: Out of 1,000,000 simulations, Japan wins 3rd place 507,664 times.
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DonaldinhoTrumpito
2 months ago
China also got some shaky holds in a few events : they were losing 9-6 in the decisive game of the 1st table tennis match against Japan, then recovered to win it 12-10 and proceeded to win the match 3-0. Even more surprising, China could have lost a diving event that they were 99% favorite to win! Their 1st diver had some obvious trouble, making mistakes all over the place, and while their 2nd diver did great, he found a great opponent in a Japanese diver who was only 3 points behind after 4 jumps. Fortunately for China, the pressure got to him and the completely messed up his 5th jump, scoring only 40 points when his average so far was around 90. It was especially tilting because his 6th jump was marvelous: he scored 99 points, best of all jumps in the entire contest! At that point, the US had to hold all their favorites (including a 67% chance in football against Brazil), and get 2 surprising gold from a flurry of ~30% chances in wrestling (x2), breaking (lol@that joke of a sport), women 100m hurdles, cycling and volley (that will take place tomorrow). Things looked really bad at one point, when the football game was 0-0 in the 2nd half and the US had already lost a few 5/10% lotos in a few events.
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