Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?
olivesauce1
1 year ago
they're not independent events though. Trump can win office includes the probability that he also wins the popular vote. Likewise with Harris winning the popular vote includes the probability that she wins office
10
skoookum
1 year ago
.65 Trump in office * .62 Kamala wins pop vote = ~0.4 both happen but market here shows 0.27
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