#1193
Rank
47
Comments
19
Likes Received
76
Likes Given
MrBeast x Ronaldo video # views on day 1?
ponderer
1 month ago
#PumpRonaldo CLUB
1
master.resell
1 month ago
Who tf came up with these odds
MrBeast x Ronaldo video # views on day 1?
ponderer
1 month ago
#PumpRonaldo
1
Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?
ponderer
1 month ago
Thanks for still giving us info even tho you left
0
UnlimitedMarketAbuse
1 month ago
Bmore county is done with provisionals, I believe. Give totals in the city, I think it will be close behind. Same for Montgomery and PG. Might be some MIB2 left though, but not much. I'd say another 40K total in MD? Maybe 20K more for Kam netchange. MD is striking blue. https://elections.maryland.gov/elections/2024/general_Results/county_status_page_root.html
Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?
ponderer
1 month ago
Oh, I just saw the previous message
1
Lolinvest
1 month ago
Strong trend keeps going (5 sources with or without write-ins) : https://i.postimg.cc/ChJPFTcC/gap-over-time10.png
Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?
ponderer
1 month ago
Didn't he get raided like a week ago?
1
Lolinvest
1 month ago
Strong trend keeps going (5 sources with or without write-ins) : https://i.postimg.cc/ChJPFTcC/gap-over-time10.png
Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?
ponderer
1 month ago
There's prolly an estimate somewhere 🤣
1
Lazertuiyope
1 month ago
Trump is 1,62 % ahead right now
Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?
ponderer
1 month ago
Trump is at 1.62 doubt he holds for much longer
1
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
ponderer
1 month ago
Yeah and Trump hates drugs
0
Car
1 month ago
I can't wait for Ross market to crash -50% on day 1
Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?
ponderer
1 month ago
The only way we don't get there, is there aren't 155m votes, but market believes there will be 155m :)
3
Lolinvest
1 month ago
Could someone explain to me why Atlas & decision desk numbers differ like that? https://postimg.cc/YGCHSRMm
Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?
ponderer
1 month ago
According to his estimate, there's 154M total votes, differing from a lot of people if what he said was true, the turnout market is free cash 🤷
0
UnlimitedMarketAbuse
1 month ago
https://x.com/WinWithJMC/status/1858877935156895857 He actually reduced his estimates to 731K remaining. Did not see that coming.
Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?
ponderer
1 month ago
yep. Will finish around 155.5m at 1.51-1.53% most likely. CA remaining votes will come in at 18-20% margin for Harris. People will start panicking when they see the CA margins on some of the days ahead.
0
UnlimitedMarketAbuse
1 month ago
Maybe late counting in CA will blue shift, maybe not. The real question is how many ballots do you think are left, total across the US?
Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?
ponderer
1 month ago
He just said this
0
UnlimitedMarketAbuse
1 month ago
Maybe late counting in CA will blue shift, maybe not. The real question is how many ballots do you think are left, total across the US?
Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?
ponderer
1 month ago
Did he say 1.34 specifically? I saw him say that it would now fall below 1.3
0
Emm8002022
1 month ago
lol what a joke, its already 1.7 on AP and people somehow believe this will remain above 1.5 in the next 2mil vote
Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?
ponderer
1 month ago
Oh, you should've replied to him :(
0
UnlimitedMarketAbuse
1 month ago
Maybe late counting in CA will blue shift, maybe not. The real question is how many ballots do you think are left, total across the US?
Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?
ponderer
1 month ago
Atleast 2m more
0
UnlimitedMarketAbuse
1 month ago
Maybe late counting in CA will blue shift, maybe not. The real question is how many ballots do you think are left, total across the US?
Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?
ponderer
1 month ago
Especially in his first 100 days, maybe at the end of his term he pardons him.
0
SausageRoll
1 month ago
He will not prioritize pardoning someone complicit in drug trafficking
Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?
ponderer
1 month ago
I don't know where he got that figure, doesn't even match with his yday post
0
UnlimitedMarketAbuse
1 month ago
https://x.com/WinWithJMC/status/1858495430008377426 Est 850k votes to count? Honest question: any clue what he's talking about?
Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?
ponderer
1 month ago
Damn, how long did it take to grow it to 18k? And how do you know when something is a scam? I'm kinda new
2
UnlimitedMarketAbuse
1 month ago
Fwiw, I've grown my account from $50 to 18K here, for 36000% returns. My original deposit was $250, which I grew to like 3K inside a month. I then ignored all the rules below, and then imploded down to $50. Took much longer to grow it back, but I respected the rules a lot more for obvious reasons.
Popular vote margin of victory (0.25% ranges)?
ponderer
1 month ago
Thanks for always updating us with actual sources!
1
UnlimitedMarketAbuse
1 month ago
900K UOCAVA in 2020. "very favorable for Democrats" Florida itself has barely started counting these yet. https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/17/politics/overseas-voters-lawsuits-democrats-republicans/index.html https://floridaelectionwatch.gov/CountyReportingStatus https://www.eac.gov/sites/default/files/document_library/files/2020_EAVS_Report_Final_508c.pdf
Turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
ponderer
1 month ago
No, you deduct felons from voting age population. And then they divided amount of votes by the number we just obtained to get turnout
0
ack
1 month ago
New ElectionLab estimate is in. 155,547,700, up from 155,391,700.
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
ponderer
1 month ago
It will eventually fall, but the market is reacting to harshly to rumors, the AFU will defend the city with everything they have, doubt it takes less than 3 weeks...
0
sigh
1 month ago
however, as long as the rumors that AFU is retreating are false, i still think NO is more likely
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
ponderer
1 month ago
As the fall of Povrosk will follow if their supply hub South of it falls
0
sigh
1 month ago
however, as long as the rumors that AFU is retreating are false, i still think NO is more likely
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
ponderer
1 month ago
If AFU retreats from Kurakhove, they basically give up on Donetsk, and maybe the entire sector of the front till the Dnipr
0
sigh
1 month ago
however, as long as the rumors that AFU is retreating are false, i still think NO is more likely
Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
ponderer
1 month ago
Alaska population can't be compared with CA lmao
2
Emm8002022
1 month ago
Its still on 2.5% while california is 72% countedhttps://www.aljazeera.com/us-election-2024/results/
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
ponderer
1 month ago
Boats are easy targets for drones and fpv drones, that's what happened with Ukrainian soldiers when they tried to cross the dnieper, especially since ukraine has deployed a lot of drone pilots in the city.
0
ponderer
1 month ago
Telegram channels have been silent, latest update was that the Dam was blown, flooding the fields east of the Reservoir, so it will probably make it harder for Russia to attack from the north, as they would have to go more west through muddy terrain
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
ponderer
1 month ago
Telegram channels have been silent, latest update was that the Dam was blown, flooding the fields east of the Reservoir, so it will probably make it harder for Russia to attack from the north, as they would have to go more west through muddy terrain
3
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
ponderer
1 month ago
It's certain, that this town will be captured in the future, but not this month
0
Benzbake
1 month ago
You guys are thinking checkers not chess, the fighting will continue putin doesnt want to show the world he has surrendered willingly BUT even he knows ANY more serious moves or captures can lead to direct conflict with potential ceasefire he NEEDS no man that doesnt need a ceasefire have two other countries fighting for his fight. Cmon peolple
Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?
ponderer
1 month ago
President Putin will not allow NATO-EU troops on the Ukrainian border, that's why the SVO started
1
Alexej
1 month ago
Great article by the creator of this market on why this might resolve No:
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
ponderer
1 month ago
Because he's the general
0
Hamapo
1 month ago
I should have bought more 😥
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
ponderer
1 month ago
Maybe they wanted to buy and instead sold lmao
0
TraderJoe-s
1 month ago
@FrostyMountain sold 4,167 No at 31.5 7m ago [...] @FrostyMountain bought 3,617 No at 35.9 3m ago WTF
Arizona Senate Election Winner
ponderer
1 month ago
Are you ok?
1
ggeznoobs
1 month ago
I AM CURRENTLY ON HUOBI, BRIDGING 10K MORE, STEADY LADS
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
ponderer
1 month ago
North Koreans, if they get deployed, will he deployed to the kursk region
0
Hamapo
1 month ago
Russia prepare big offensive in Kursk, Kourakhove is not priority
Arizona Senate Election Winner
ponderer
1 month ago
That's if recount happens before AP, Fox News and NBC call for race...
0
DisprayName
1 month ago
Actual numbers right now: In order to get to a constitutionally mandated recount: Lake must pick up 53.82% of the outstanding 412,532 that are estimated to remain. To get there, of the remaining 412532 votes the following spread would have to occur: Lake: +222,014 (1658059 - 222014 = 1436045) Gallego: +190,518 (1674723 - 190518 = 1484205) Based on the top of the ballot results versus the count for Kari, this is the Cartels and Dems rigging this against Lake. Those who think this is "over" are mistaken. If Kari squeaks out a recount, she'll win the election, because once that recount hits, there will be outside eyes on the process, and the Dems attempt to fix the race through selective curing will fall apart.
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
ponderer
1 month ago
Ukraine has concentrated a significant number of drone teams in Kurakhove, hiding amongst the many buildings, as they try to hold the town against threats on multiple sides. Russia has launched some assaults north of the town, on the other side of the reservoir and captured some land, but it will be hard to get into the town.
0
sigh
1 month ago
who wants a sidebet, YES price under 40c in a week?
Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
ponderer
1 month ago
I see thanks, just checked other sites and they also have more counted than AP (same % as economist)
1
Emm8002022
1 month ago
94% of the votes had been counted and its still 2.62%, you guys really think it will dip beneath the 2% in the remaining 6% of the count https://www.economist.com/interactive/us-2024-election/results/president
Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
ponderer
1 month ago
Is it accurate? that page and AP show different count percentages for cali
0
Emm8002022
1 month ago
94% of the votes had been counted and its still 2.62%, you guys really think it will dip beneath the 2% in the remaining 6% of the count https://www.economist.com/interactive/us-2024-election/results/president
2024 November hottest on record?
ponderer
1 month ago
Oct 2024 was 2nd hottest, after Oct 2023
0
adrianensis
1 month ago
This is an obvious YES. 2024 hottest year, Oct 2024 hottest October, all predictions point to hottest November
Arizona Senate Election Margin of Victory
ponderer
1 month ago
well, not anymore
0
ponderer
1 month ago
The race is getting close, 1% close
Arizona Senate Election Winner
ponderer
1 month ago
Let's go! buy the dip
0
Spartan37
1 month ago
Tiny Gila batch heavily favoring Lake
Arizona Senate Election Winner
ponderer
1 month ago
Meant national
0
Dowath
1 month ago
thing is, i wont be able to pull myself up by my bootstraps after this because i'll have to sell my boots
Arizona Senate Election Winner
ponderer
1 month ago
Just bet in Popular vote margin 2-3 and win ur money back trust
0
Dowath
1 month ago
thing is, i wont be able to pull myself up by my bootstraps after this because i'll have to sell my boots
Arizona Senate Election Winner
ponderer
1 month ago
People just dumped for no reason at all
1
TartarianRetard
1 month ago
i bet we will still be 5% - 20% even after Lake takes the lead.. we lost 90% on basically no news...
Arizona Senate Election Margin of Victory
ponderer
1 month ago
The race is getting close, 1% close
1
Arizona Senate Election Winner
ponderer
1 month ago
Imagine he loses
0
Slan
1 month ago
Wow, dude placed almost half a million dollars on Gallego, that's risky! https://polymarket.com/profile/0xfffadf38a520cd5a0035ff52d7fceb436a08864b
2024 November hottest on record?
ponderer
1 month ago
I also need to load up, people are crazy lmao
3
Radetzky
1 month ago
That's a steal. I'm gonna load up
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
ponderer
1 month ago
Zelensky has said (if you believe him) that he will be reinforcing Kurakhove and Pokrovsk axes, 3 weeks remaining, I believe it will probably hold till mid december and then fall.
1
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
ponderer
2 months ago
also there are a lot of trenches near Kurakhove
1
Netes1er
2 months ago
Kurakhove is not the objectif of the russian army but Andrivka...