#1386
Rank
38
Comments
15
Likes Received
36
Likes Given
fdkjsfhfdnene
3 months ago
This means 50 and 50
GNS
3 months ago
“Powell indicates smaller, further rate cuts, but no 'preset course'”
fdkjsfhfdnene
3 months ago
Correct.
BigMike2024
3 months ago
50, 50, 50 ... all these fed speakers are uber dovish... a hot cpi could derail though
fdkjsfhfdnene
3 months ago
Good morning. Romney's neocon handlers will insist upon endorsement before the US election.
fdkjsfhfdnene
3 months ago
Mitt is the weak hand. He will endorse.
betless
3 months ago
why would a former repub presidential nom endorse a dem for pres
fdkjsfhfdnene
3 months ago
You are going to HELL, Caroline.
fdkjsfhfdnene
3 months ago
The government may show mercy but the Lord will not.
fdkjsfhfdnene
3 months ago
It will be 25.
MyLossIsYourGain
3 months ago
Drugs need titration when you start taking it. Rate cuts are no different. 25-50-50. plus powell prob need PCE to meaningfully drop before going full dose.
fdkjsfhfdnene
3 months ago
Good morning. May peace be upon you all as we head into "Fed week."
fdkjsfhfdnene
3 months ago
Sorry bois. Looks like the number is 2.5%. Better luck next time. May the Lord be with you.
fdkjsfhfdnene
4 months ago
Takes very little to push it.
CansGonzalez
4 months ago
Not really. Inflation is still high and it costs $30 for six chicken breasts, literally.
fdkjsfhfdnene
4 months ago
The Lord is watching.
yourrapist1776
4 months ago
God I'm hard as a fucking rock right now.
fdkjsfhfdnene
4 months ago
Good afternoon, plebians. Today is the last day to make a buck on this bet. I know that projections indicate 2.6%, but we're expecting a surprise to the upside. Follow if you dare.
fdkjsfhfdnene
4 months ago
Good afternoon, cowards. I see that you're still strong bidding "yes" on a losing bet. Your donation is greatly appreciated.
fdkjsfhfdnene
4 months ago
October 31 is light years away . . . in bank years.
fdkjsfhfdnene
4 months ago
Each day we inch closer to the Lord.... and to a big bank failure.
fdkjsfhfdnene
4 months ago
I see you weaklings have decided to join the trade. Welcome.
fdkjsfhfdnene
4 months ago
Remember - the lord ABHORS weakness.
fdkjsfhfdnene
4 months ago
The Lord is staring you in the face and giving you tremendous odds to win. Why would you not take advantage of this?
fdkjsfhfdnene
4 months ago
PCE REPORTS DO NOT SCARE ME. Inflation goes one way, and that way is UP.
fdkjsfhfdnene
4 months ago
Just stacked more. I am the market.
fdkjsfhfdnene
4 months ago
@Laresgoiti gets it.
fdkjsfhfdnene
4 months ago
Everyone ready to blow out?
fdkjsfhfdnene
4 months ago
Probably so.
Yoyoo
4 months ago
大多数人都会猜测,降息将从9月开始,但也不能排除进一步推迟的可能性。在那种情况下,今年我们很可能看到降息次数不会超过三次。
fdkjsfhfdnene
4 months ago
God is watching.
fdkjsfhfdnene
4 months ago
They'll gun for 3, but end up with 4+. The Fed really fucked this one up IMO. Not "transitory."
fdkjsfhfdnene
4 months ago
THS GUY FUCKING GETS IT
homosexual
4 months ago
Current estimate by the Federal Reserve of Cleveland is 2.60% year-on-year inflation. Only needs slight changes for it to reach 3%, especially as core inflation (i.e. "long-run" inflation which excludes volatile products) is projected 3.21%. https://www.clevelandfed.org/indicators-and-data/inflation-nowcasting
fdkjsfhfdnene
4 months ago
LFG.
fdkjsfhfdnene
4 months ago
People complacently accepting "data" don't realize how little it takes to push up this figure.
fdkjsfhfdnene
4 months ago
Conviction is key. The higher this goes, the more I will bid "NO."
fdkjsfhfdnene
4 months ago
why?
futureknower
5 months ago
market is way overpriced
fdkjsfhfdnene
4 months ago
I would bet "yes" on October. Not August.
fdkjsfhfdnene
4 months ago
Expect a U.S. bank with at or around $10 billion with significant Commercial Real Estate exposure to fail.
fdkjsfhfdnene
4 months ago
Reasonably likely that 1 bank fails by October 31
fdkjsfhfdnene
4 months ago
No.
CrashNeon
4 months ago
Aren't there a bunch of little banks that fail every month?
fdkjsfhfdnene
5 months ago
First rate cut September. 50 bps. Second rate cut November. 25 bps. Third rate cut December. 25 bps.
fdkjsfhfdnene
5 months ago
September (50), November (25), December (25)
fdkjsfhfdnene
5 months ago
50 Emergency, 25 September, 25 December.
fdkjsfhfdnene
5 months ago
Unwind of the carry trade, coupled with Middle East tensions, China trade surplus and U.S. elections will necessitate an emergency cut. It's political this time.