#208
Rank
112
Comments
57
Likes Received
21
Likes Given
McDonalds-Employee
1 week ago
Bitcoin whales are trolling us ๐Ÿ˜†
McDonalds-Employee
1 week ago
always
nnimrodd
1 week ago
Obviously its gonna get to $61,999 five minutes before the deadline and then crash
McDonalds-Employee
1 week ago
sorry all I got is a platstic card and a glovebox full of straws
nasa22
1 week ago
Im all out of cigarettes you got $10 u can help me out with lmaooo
McDonalds-Employee
1 week ago
Called my suga daddy to sell all his Bitcoin on Binance, let's see
McDonalds-Employee
1 week ago
No fam we got this, I made some calls....
McDonalds-Employee
1 week ago
No fam we got this, I made some calls....
McDonalds-Employee
1 week ago
don't worry I can talk with my boss, I am sure we can need another burger flipper :)
Economancy
1 week ago
I paperhanded a lot of my stack. Good luck
McDonalds-Employee
1 week ago
"insert sweating meme"
McDonalds-Employee
1 week ago
I am already there...
ReCOn911
1 week ago
back to mcdonalds then
McDonalds-Employee
1 week ago
shitting my pants, not gonna lie ๐Ÿ˜…
McDonalds-Employee
1 week ago
my average is 45 cents...
AKAxyz
1 week ago
is that why you keep selling your No shares?
McDonalds-Employee
1 week ago
Israel Defense Minister Gallant said today "lethal, precise and surprising." If you say it will be a surprise and do it shortly after, it's not really a surprise isn't it? The retaliation strike will happen, but my bet is it will be AFTER Yom Kippur (Friday to Saturday).
McDonalds-Employee
1 week ago
According to NBC News (35 minutes ago) "Israel's cabinet has not yet voted on a plan to respond to Iran's ballistic missile attack earlier this month. President Joe Biden and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu spoke by phone today as the expected assault looms."
McDonalds-Employee
1 week ago
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel does not initiate a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Iranian embassies between October 7, and October 13, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
blasemerch
1 week ago
What does "later" mean exactly? any time in october? or any time after october as well??
McDonalds-Employee
1 week ago
of course, it's called war...
EmploiceMuswashans
1 week ago
the thing is, bibi knows it and he won't expose the real plans
McDonalds-Employee
1 week ago
love your twitter bio "World's First Ai-Generated News & Views"
McDonalds-Employee
1 week ago
Sure I will trust a source called "Terror Alarm" hungry for impressions, good job guys, you fell right into the trap๐Ÿ™‚
McDonalds-Employee
1 week ago
Sure I will trust a source called "Terror Alarm" hungry for impressions, good job guys, you fell right into the trap๐Ÿ™‚
McDonalds-Employee
1 week ago
it's 4am EST he is 18 min late already...
Vulture
1 week ago
It's now 3 AM EST, he will wake up in 45min.
McDonalds-Employee
1 week ago
it doesn't matter how long it is going, what matters are the rules in the market and there is a big 1h 30 min difference.
tsybka
1 week ago
You can't calculate how many hours the stream has been going? The market is open for 24 hours.
McDonalds-Employee
1 week ago
Can someone explain the discrepancy between the Rules "12:00 pm ET" and the livestream timer which ends at "10:20 am ET"
McDonalds-Employee
1 week ago
Yes Voter Logic "They targeted the Iranian Embassy, but missed and accidently hit a residential building killing a high raked Hamas & Hezbollah leader. I am sure this will suffice as a Yes resolution."
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
Civilian Building in Syria...
Yamamoto
2 weeks ago
Iranian embassy in Syria was shot
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
just look at the market, all journalists have been buying "Other/Multiple"
goingsocial
2 weeks ago
Did Cullen get the journalists to embargo to after 9pm ET? I thought we'd have it by now
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
exactly because they need more time, I agree with HaterzLoserz, they will retaliate, I just don't think they will do it so close to the holiest day of the year (Yom Kippur)
denizz
2 weeks ago
Gallant's trip bein canceled is just the usual Bibi-Gallant turf war
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
You are trying to push Yes Votes, but the tweet is actually pushing No Votes higher, I quote: "A source with knowledge of the issue said Netanyahu has been waiting for several days to get a call with Biden, but this has not yet happened. Biden said several times that he is expected to speak with Netanyahu, but explained that this will happen after Israel decides how to respond to the Iranian attack, which has not happened yet either."
HaterzLoserz
2 weeks ago
Imagine being a no holder and seeing this sequence of tweets hahahaha https://x.com/Faytuks/status/1843719814067712293
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
Yes, when you set your limit order you see on the right "Potential Return" in percentage, so at 50c it would be 100%, hope that helps!
NathanR7
2 weeks ago
in betting odds buying at $.50c would be like a bet being +100 in odds right?
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
If you think it's later than Friday, you get better odds and liquidity at this market: https://polymarket.com/event/israel-military-response-against-iran-by-next-friday-oct-11?tid=1728408190876
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
imagine looking for confirmation Bias at a Twitter account that promotes WW3 conspiracy theories :)
HaterzLoserz
2 weeks ago
https://x.com/EndGameWW3/status/1843682224392298600
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
makes sense
FFM
2 weeks ago
They'll wait until after Yom Kippur. Otherwise a possible Iranian retaliation could strike during holidays. Next week it will happen. Not this week
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
Crude Oil went from$80 to $77 per Barrel, if there would be an imminent attack those insiders would have pushed oil already to $90.
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
Alex has no fucking clue, he just looked at PolyMarket when Len was no. 1, typical Twitter user 2 second research
Hazebilly.eth
2 weeks ago
Just do what Alex Thorn says https://x.com/intangiblecoins/status/1841884497190560127?t=v4MeJk18PFydz-g2BpdAVg
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
๐ŸŒท๐ŸŒบ๐ŸŒธ๐ŸŒผ Make Peace not War ๐ŸŒป๐Ÿ’๐Ÿฅ€๐Ÿชท Upvote if you agree ๐Ÿ˜Š
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
War is never good news :)
georgiatech
2 weeks ago
good news are coming
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
And he said in another tweet that most people in this market will get rekt https://x.com/Excellion/status/1843567554180346261
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
People are voting on Others/Multiple because Samson Mow (who is in the documentary) said it's non of those in the list https://x.com/Excellion/status/1843569439310262466
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
People are voting on Others/Multiple because Samson Mow (who is in the documentary) said it's non of those in the list https://x.com/Excellion/status/1843569439310262466
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
Everybody knows that this stupid HBO money grab won't proof anything
-Rocambole-
2 weeks ago
insiders buying OTHER/MULTIPLE but not buying satoshi revealed in 2024 at 10c so what does it mean? it means that documentary proves nothing https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-satoshis-identity-be-proven?tid=1728308851880
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
you know that Satoshi is a pseudonym right? So why on earth would his DOB be accurate....
Ddd29299
2 weeks ago
Satoshi and szabo have the same birthday. but only 3%?? WTF
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
Another food for thought, you could string some nonsense together "proving" any of those names to be Satoshi...
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
This whole Satoshi reveal is just a PR tactic to make you watch it ๐Ÿคฎ
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
I am so glad I am out of this market.... Remember this market is about who director Cullen Hoback thinks who Satoshi is! Not who actually Satoshi is. And I think his judgement is poor because this guy has no clue about crypto and probably never did a Bitcoin transaction in his live, maybe he bought $100 worth on Coinbase...
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
I am so glad I am out of this market.... Remember this market is about who director Cullen Hoback thinks who Satoshi is! Not who actually Satoshi is. And I think his judgement is poor because this guy has no clue about crypto and probably never did a Bitcoin transaction in his live, maybe he bought $100 worth on Coinbase...
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
So? My comment is still right retardio, I never claimed that Marcal won.
n/a
2 weeks ago
retardio
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
Getting close boys! Just 1,000 votes difference between Nunes and Marcal
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
Please add "Tax Queen" we had this before in the mention markets.
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
most of the information is in Portuguese... that's why I am asking
sigh
2 weeks ago
You didn't do basic research? use the Mcdonalds wifi
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
someone knows when we can expect the voting results?
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
thank you for getting me a good entry for Len, I am sure people listen to a random guy on twitter with 1,533 Followers. On top of that he proofed that Len was close to his computer the whole time at the day of those posts, that made me even more convinced to bet on Len :)
MartyMcFly
2 weeks ago
Other/Multiple isnt even a option, because https://x.com/CullenHoback/status/1842286135319691745 , so it will be most likely a name from this list. ,,Len Sassaman" isnt a valid option either: https://x.com/TheChaseWatts/status/1842287981983564192 .The rest is a gamble you should take...
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
We are missing "JD Vance"
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
yes, we won
AppleADay
2 weeks ago
holy shit border didnt hit
McDonalds-Employee
2 weeks ago
debate starting in 34 minutes, Good luck and Have Fun ๐Ÿ˜Š
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
Because nobody is expecting 50bps besides the FED Watch Tool
๐ŸคบJustClรฉment
1 month ago
Why are you weirdos shuffling to 25bp?
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
Fed Watch Tool down now to 53% for 50 bps, I propose a new market "will FED Watch Tool switch in favor for 25bps?" ๐Ÿ˜†
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
Also NASDAQ and SP500 is taking a beating the last 3 hours. They would pump if the 50 bps would be real...
FishSlut
1 month ago
Futures market tried to price in a 50bp cut. Now theyre unraveling and unloading as they know the fed dont give a fuuuuuuuck.
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
Odds decreased now to 55% on Fed Watch Tool.... What is happening?!
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
Jerome himself would never bet, you might be his cousin that gets a 10% cut ๐Ÿ˜‰
Lopgft
1 month ago
I am Jerome
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
you would win :)
n/a
1 month ago
imagine if it was a 26bps decrease lol
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
your position would be much larger :)
Lopgft
1 month ago
Itโ€™s true I am Jerome
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
For the first time this week odds of 50 bps cut decreased to 57%, also PolyMarket odds went in favor of 25 bps. Maybe insider trading, what you guys think?
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
25 bps comeback LFG ๐Ÿค  https://www.investing.com/central-banks/fed-rate-monitor now at 58%, down from 64%
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
Bro, 25 bps is now higher on PolyMarket that in the last 5 days, so what dip are you talking about?
coinfucius
1 month ago
CME back to 61% lmao. Thanks for the dip
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
I believe in the last meetings it was based on the FED Rate monitor, so I am confused why it shows 5.25% now.
aldynspeedruns
1 month ago
depends what it's based on, if it's based on expert opinion then 5.25% makes sense, if it's based on GME fedwatch then it should be 5.00%. Could be a combination of both or more factors and decides that 5.25% is what it should be
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
4 hours to go and 50 bps odds declined to 59% on the Fed Watch Tool https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
Something really strange just happened, if you got to any economic calendar (investing.com, fxstreet, tradingview etc.) they all show 5.25% as the expected reading. Considering that the odds for 50 bps are higher than 25 bps it should show 5.00%. What you guys think?
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
CME Fed Watch Tool just increased from 32 to 39% for 25 bps, let's hope it can extend it's gains ๐Ÿ˜Š
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
finally someone gets it... if the previous unemployment rate would have came in worse than expected, yes there would be a chance for 50 bps, but not after unemployment went down from 4.3 to 4.2%
Bastardocane
1 month ago
It will start with 25 basis points, if the labor market or economic conditions worsen it will go 50 points. If it gets it wrong and acts fast inflation can come back quickly
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
it's on Tuesday...
Justifax
1 month ago
probably no real news until retail sales on monday https://www.forexfactory.com/
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
One hard lesson I had to learn on Polymarket is that it's overrun by MAGA, but I don't blame them, Hillary had a much higher lead in the polls than Trump and he still won in 2016. Don't forget that :)
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
I know exactly what you are referring to and it seems to play out the same way :)
Apsalar
1 month ago
I think I've seen this film before and I didn't like the ending
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
they are right next to each other, they can still speak and influence each other, although the mic won't pick it up.
Car
1 month ago
Why would she say "Im speaking" when Donalds mic is muted? xD
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
If it's so underpriced why don't you buy it?
Sit
1 month ago
"Yes" is currently so underpriced in my opinion. Bitcoin has been so volatile, it was at 60k less than 12 hours ago and hit has been dipping under 60k like this for a long time now, I really don't get why people are panic selling, as if it won't recover in two and a half days lol.
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
any reason why you are so convinced of that? I am not voting for yes, not worth it at those prices, but both seem to want the debate.
CansGonzalez
1 month ago
Yeah this thing isn't happening y'all
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
Odds are 95% it will happen so where are the mention markets for the debate?! Will be fun ๐Ÿค 
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
What's wrong with that? He said this a thousand times this year...
leveller
1 month ago
border czar? wtf
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
I think it was the instagram model who needed a pic of the Eifel tower + Billionaire
Justifax
1 month ago
my french is rusty, but I think Pavel was lured to France with an offer to dine on macaroons
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
You bought 14 days ago and sold 12 days ago.... 2 weeks ago this whole incursion started, which was a surprise to everyone, now it's the new normal and Ukraine won't give up territories in Kursk unless they get something back in return.
ProgPog
1 month ago
I bought Yes at 42c and already sold, but I'm starting to doubt YES more and more tbh
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
Durov is public enemy no. 1 for woke governments
Justifax
1 month ago
France detains people and releases them quite frequently, epsecially high profile folk. Sarkozy, IMF head, etc.
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
Exactly, it was just a UAE PR stunt. So all the billionaires won't leave Dubai...
GreedyMacFear
1 month ago
lol UAE ask
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
Did you actually read it?
dayvisit
1 month ago
The three scariest words in the english language: "Balaji was right." https://x.com/balajis/status/1828302018622234801
McDonalds-Employee
1 month ago
it's his own account...
scattering
1 month ago
lol source xโ€ฆ ur probably cooked
McDonalds-Employee
2 months ago
You can endorse someone but still run
McDonalds-Employee
2 months ago
Guys, he literally said he is not withdrawing his candidacy
McDonalds-Employee
2 months ago
He didn't dropped out, he will still be on the Ballot, he even said you can still vote for me, he just stopped putting more money into his campaign
McDonalds-Employee
2 months ago
I followed step 1, 2 and 3 but unfortunately I am just a tourist in America ๐Ÿ˜•
XiJinPing
2 months ago
Can someone sacrafice themselves? Go to Africa, have gay sex, come back, get tested, make $$$$$.
McDonalds-Employee
2 months ago
I am sorry to inform you, but read the rules of this market. ANY territory in the Kursk region counts, the city of Kurk doesn't matter.
n/a
2 months ago
It's unlikely that Ukraine will hold Kursk through August 31. Kursk is a Russian city, and any recent Ukrainian incursions or attacks in the region are temporary and limited in scope. The Russian military is expected to respond swiftly to reclaim any areas that may have been temporarily breached. Given Russia's significant military presence and its strategic interest in maintaining control over its own territory, it's highly probable that Russia will liberate any territory invaded by Ukraine within a short time frame. The geographical proximity to Russian supply lines and the overall strength of Russia's military in the region make it unlikely that Ukraine could sustain control over Kursk or any part of it for an extended period.
McDonalds-Employee
2 months ago
That's 100 so why are you betting on 150+ :)
ThePope10019
2 months ago
First rate cut September. 50 bps. Second rate cut November. 25 bps. Third rate cut December. 25 bps.
McDonalds-Employee
2 months ago
You know that a "calm" CPI is a green light for the FED to cut right? The Dual Mandate is 2% inflation and 4% unemployment.
abee-Capital-Management
2 months ago
Yes, I sold my shares. CPI will be released next week, probably the next numbers will calm down the market, at the end of the day FED will cut only 25 bps
McDonalds-Employee
2 months ago
Exactly my take as well, Jerome Powell would not risk his legacy for that and at the end of the day this Japanese Monetary intervention only had a small effect on the US economy, not like the pandemic which grinded the economy to a halt, an emergency cut back then was justified in 2020 but not now.
abee-Capital-Management
2 months ago
Im still studying what kind of people put money here, I think they're not from wall street
McDonalds-Employee
2 months ago
UBS is predicting 100 bps cuts by the end of 2024, 50 bps in September and 25 in November and another 25 in December. I have no idea why the CME futures give the 50 bps a 75% probability while Polymarket is at 53 cents. I guess it's the emergency cut conspiracy theories, no way this will happen.
abee-Capital-Management
2 months ago
Citi: Fed Rate Cut in Extraordinary Meeting is Possible, but Not the Base Case - Citi does not rule out the possibility of the Federal Reserve (Fed) anticipating a rate cut in an extraordinary meeting, especially if market sell-offs persist, although it does not consider this scenario the most likely. The bank believes that new signs of weakening in the American economy should not only guarantee a 50 basis point cut in the September meeting but also lead officials to project faster monetary easing to bring rates to more neutral conditions. "A new risk asset sell-off could also prompt quicker cuts, as Fed officials would see this as an exogenous tightening of financial conditions," it states.
McDonalds-Employee
2 months ago
Because then Japan would even sell more of their US Government debt
EmpirePending
2 months ago
Can you explain why a rate cut would further contribute to the collapse of the carry trade?
McDonalds-Employee
2 months ago
Hi @JustKam welcome to the Yes party, glad to have you ๐Ÿ˜Š
McDonalds-Employee
2 months ago
thanks for sharing
DumbMoney1
2 months ago
@coincado @tomatreides in all seriousness it's Moana 2
McDonalds-Employee
2 months ago
@DumbMoney1 Who do you have in mind for "Other"? Alien Romulus?
McDonalds-Employee
3 months ago
they would put his head into a Jar just like in Futurama ๐Ÿ˜œ
EasyMoney2024
3 months ago
This market should be titled "Is Biden dead by the DNC" because that's the only way he's not speaking. He would speak even if he was in hospice.
McDonalds-Employee
3 months ago
hi anon, at the end it's not really P2P, when Polymarket closes the market with a resolution you will see a claim button, where you see now the "Buy" button. You click on Claim and get your shares at a value of 100c (if you won). Hope that helps! Welcome to the Club
anon789
3 months ago
hi, i am new to this. is this kind of regular share market, where every buyer has an seller? what happens if i hold the shares till the end who pays??
McDonalds-Employee
3 months ago
Any sources other than "Newsmax"?
0xb1189f9918d5f36c83d4e7a098f3a9581460199a
3 months ago
sources saying biden dropping out over weekend
McDonalds-Employee
3 months ago
Are they actually more sources that reported on that potential drop out on Sunday, besides "Newsmax" and some users on X that retweet every shit they see?
McDonalds-Employee
3 months ago
Guys, don't bet on that market, the rules are too vague. Does a Kevlar inlay in his suit count as a bulletproof "vest"? Nobody knows, stay away.
McDonalds-Employee
3 months ago
Other will resolve if another country than those in the list will win the most golden medals.
bali
3 months ago
"Other" will resolve if Paris Olympics doesn't happen?
McDonalds-Employee
3 months ago
no way Jose ๐Ÿ˜‰
Oxae5c67CeB16B4851F169EC1C65F405D7e6308b90
3 months ago
quick someone sell me 18k shares so I can be the top holder lmao
McDonalds-Employee
3 months ago
if you call buying low and selling high a retard move, I am a happy retard ๐Ÿ™‚
41-17โ„ขaskDomerWhatImean
3 months ago
Coincado retard losing his mind yet again? ๐Ÿคก๐Ÿ‘ˆ๐Ÿคฃ๐Ÿคฃ๐Ÿคฃ๐Ÿคฃ๐Ÿคฃ๐Ÿคฃ what a dumb trader
McDonalds-Employee
3 months ago
What happened with JD Vance? "Other Man" aka Doug Burgum used to lead the charts
McDonalds-Employee
3 months ago
Dear Yes Buyers, which state do you have in mind? Would like to join the party :)
McDonalds-Employee
4 months ago
They should have included this in the Rules
VibesGreaterRules
4 months ago
What if they are British and eat them?
McDonalds-Employee
4 months ago
Love your new username, we are in the same boat ๐Ÿ˜…
๐ŸคบJustClรฉment
4 months ago
You're running out of money. Please re-deposit.
McDonalds-Employee
4 months ago
Anyone know why Tim Scott recently pulled ahead? For the last week "Other Man" was leading because of Doug.
McDonalds-Employee
5 months ago
Does anyone know if xtracker was specifically made for Polymarket?
McDonalds-Employee
7 months ago
Love your Motto, "Always buy No" ๐Ÿ˜†
SesameCake
7 months ago
There's plenty of rewards for everyone. Sharing is caring :)
McDonalds-Employee
7 months ago
You are welcome ๐Ÿ˜…
Dot
7 months ago
Thank you for your service
McDonalds-Employee
7 months ago
$59,996 that's all you gonna get boys ๐Ÿ˜Š Now dump it Larry!
McDonalds-Employee
7 months ago
HOLD THE LINE!!!
McDonalds-Employee
7 months ago
I bought 0.4 shares of No, so it won't reach 60k, sorry folks
McDonalds-Employee
7 months ago
๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚
Apsalar
7 months ago
i was worried that this would resolve YES for a second, but then I saw redditmoons isn't the top holder on the other side so I know I'm safe.
McDonalds-Employee
7 months ago
The spread is insane 43 cents ๐Ÿ˜…
McDonalds-Employee
8 months ago
This should be removed... it reeks of market manipulation