TheBoyBilly

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

TheBoyBilly

6 days ago

Guys I think it is either Yes or Too early P4, it can't be NO, because the election is not yet there he can be involved with another token if not this one, correct?

1

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

TheBoyBilly

6 days ago

yeah me too 50/50 sounds pretty good lol

2

Skip-Earthwax

6 days ago

I'm scared. Let's call it 50/50 p3

JD Vance favorability >40% by Friday Oct 11?

TheBoyBilly

1 week ago

looks like it will not resolve in a few days, I have a block of 99.5 for you to move on if you wanna sell

0

Kamala Harris 538 odds >60% Friday?

TheBoyBilly

2 weeks ago

He thinks he can dispute and earn some quick 500 USDC, while actually the datapoint has already been available for Oct.5, so now everyone needs to wait for 3 more days, make sure UMA votes correctly so those kind of scam would never happen in the future.

1

betyonko

2 weeks ago

Resolve the market already. The resolution is clearly 'NO'.

Kamala Harris 538 odds >60% Friday?

TheBoyBilly

2 weeks ago

because someone tried to dispute twice

0

betyonko

2 weeks ago

Resolve the market already. The resolution is clearly 'NO'.

What will Trump Say during Michigan rally?

TheBoyBilly

2 weeks ago

I would appreciate if you can fill me back @ 10

0

TheBoyBilly

2 weeks ago

fk my fingers

What will Trump Say during Michigan rally?

TheBoyBilly

2 weeks ago

if you got bought

0

TheBoyBilly

2 weeks ago

fk my fingers

What will Trump Say during Michigan rally?

TheBoyBilly

2 weeks ago

fk my fingers

1

What will Trump Say during Michigan rally?

TheBoyBilly

2 weeks ago

oh fuck

0

Who will speak more at VP Debate?

TheBoyBilly

2 weeks ago

by how much time?

0

Justind217

2 weeks ago

first commercial break and Vance is in the lead lets gooo

What will Trump say during North Carolina speech?

TheBoyBilly

3 weeks ago

I think 2, if 3 already the price should be in 90+

1

Ahilan

3 weeks ago

can someone confirm for me, there were already 3 magas right??

Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?

TheBoyBilly

0 months ago

she could die

0

iamhungry

1 month ago

There is no way she drops out

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

TheBoyBilly

1 month ago

they started this cycle with 25 hikes

0

TOBE

1 month ago

I think its the opposite...we have a higher chance of rescession if fed does 25....Powell needs to get rates down fast....hes behind....he will do a 50 beacuse he cant do a 25 then change to a 50...they started with 75 hikes

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

TheBoyBilly

1 month ago

should I trust you? so much money at stake

1

99TrillionUSD

1 month ago

This will be my last comment until the interest rate is announced. Do not fall for the manipulations and do not sell your positions. We saw all the data, it will be .25 decrease.

What will Trump say during Arizona rally?

TheBoyBilly

1 month ago

Haha

0

Will Francine hit US as a hurricane?

TheBoyBilly

1 month ago

Today the full reward for this market is $10 and I got 6.69, and you say you are here first and this belongs to you, looks like you are good at math just like Harris

0

Car

1 month ago

Billy can you stop?

Will Joe Biden endorse Donald Trump?

TheBoyBilly

1 month ago

there are a lot of places to get more than 1% in 2 months

4

Will Francine hit US as a hurricane?

TheBoyBilly

1 month ago

fake news I am the one who proposed you are just lying like harris, go away

0

Car

1 month ago

Billy can you stop?

Will Francine hit US as a hurricane?

TheBoyBilly

1 month ago

You guys are doing the same shit why should I stop why don't you stop?

0

Car

1 month ago

Billy can you stop?

Will Francine hit US as a hurricane?

TheBoyBilly

1 month ago

I have all day to play with you

0

Car

1 month ago

Billy can you stop?

Will Francine hit US as a hurricane?

TheBoyBilly

1 month ago

never

0

Car

1 month ago

Billy can you stop?

What will Trump say during Wisconsin rally?

TheBoyBilly

1 month ago

because he normally says it 1-3 times

6

Bumba

1 month ago

how did people know he wasn't gonna say MAGA 4+ times

Kamala flips Trump on Silver's Bulletin by Sept 6?

TheBoyBilly

1 month ago

if you know who are those idiots in the uma discord you won't risk it to propose

1

caesar

1 month ago

Rules are written as if there's only one update a day, but not reason Nate couldn't update it multiple times (he won't). But not worth the risk of a dispute

Kamala flips Trump on Silver's Bulletin by Sept 6?

TheBoyBilly

1 month ago

can not resolve sep 6 has not passed, even very unlikely he might update twice today, anyone who resolve this would be scammed by those UMA idiots and you will lose your 750

0

MrNFT

1 month ago

Someone please resolve

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

TheBoyBilly

1 month ago

if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 4, this market will resolve to "No". So all others no?

1

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

TheBoyBilly

1 month ago

who the fuck disputed?

1

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

TheBoyBilly

1 month ago

Never use market order in a environment that is not enough liquidity

0

Johnjones42

1 month ago

can someone explain what I did wrong

OpenSea blocks US users in 2024?

TheBoyBilly

1 month ago

Even Poly geoblocks US users, still if you are from US you can use it

0

Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?

TheBoyBilly

1 month ago

For the purposes of this market, if a missile or drone launched by the Ukrainian armed forces is intercepted before striking Moscow or any target in it, even if it enters Moscow's airspace and its wreckage lands in Moscow causing damage, it will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.

2

Car

1 month ago

maybe dont propose NO yet when market is over: https://x.com/intelFromBrian/status/1830010215875690963

What will Walz say during CNN interview?

TheBoyBilly

1 month ago

Even if you ask Harris voters, I guess 9 out of 10 would answer it wrong

2

Panzwalizka

1 month ago

I will ask 10 random people on the street what they can hear. People not familiar with US politicts. They will say the truth. EASY ONE.

What will Walz say during CNN interview?

TheBoyBilly

1 month ago

In the future all that we can hear would be "Let's go Brandon", no matter how you pronounce it

4

What will Walz say during CNN interview?

TheBoyBilly

1 month ago

And it could have been tutor instead of teacher

0

Nucclear

1 month ago

1:06 "and my wife the English...sh..she told me my grammars not always correct."

Donald Trump # of tweets August 23-30?

TheBoyBilly

1 month ago

He just tweet one, the always post rally video when finished, I guess he will post town hall video as well

0

cryptofreedom

1 month ago

30-34 wildly underpriced. He still has to tweet 3 more times this evening basically. Pattern shows he probably won't tweet overnight or before noon tomorrow.

2024 August hottest on record?

TheBoyBilly

1 month ago

If you use Copernicus data you will lose, I lost 46K last month

3

Tkromm

1 month ago

From Copernicus' ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) sites.ecmwf.int/data/climatepulse/data/series/era5_daily_series_2t_global.csv 2023 Aug 1-25: 16.8604 2024 Aug 1-25: 16.8624 Either NASA measures sth different(ly) Or this market is very strange

2024 August hottest on record?

TheBoyBilly

1 month ago

Thanks aenews will buy more in a few days of the data I got are the ones I like,

1

BennyS

1 month ago

@TheBoyBilly how do you have a P/L of $2.17 with over 7 million in volume? 😂 😂

2024 August hottest on record?

TheBoyBilly

1 month ago

I lost my 50K winning in last month's weather bet..... that's why

1

BennyS

1 month ago

@TheBoyBilly how do you have a P/L of $2.17 with over 7 million in volume? 😂 😂

Donald Trump # of tweets August 16-23?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

I missed my 750 USDC

0

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

I fucked up

Donald Trump # of tweets August 16-23?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

I propose to the wrong quest fuck

1

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

I fucked up

Donald Trump # of tweets August 16-23?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

I fucked up

3

# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

The main dispute is being whether the live mentions during the rolling call count or not

0

homosexual

2 months ago

Is there actually any question that it was 47 or is Billy just bad at winning?

# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

Sorry aenews I don't understand what you mean?

0

Flipp

2 months ago

Trump was mentioned 47 times Billy is going to lose this dispute.

# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

please dispute me

1

Flipp

2 months ago

Trump was mentioned 47 times Billy is going to lose this dispute.

# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

I didn't say main stage, it says stage, each state has it's own stage, and it is audible on the stream

1

Eridpnc

2 months ago

"This market refers to anything said in person on the main stage of the United Center on the second night of the DNC. Programming is currently scheduled to begin at 5:30 PM CT and end at 10:15 PM CT (see: https://demconvention.com/schedule/)."

# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

Any live mention on stage which is audible on the stream of the event will count toward this market.

2

Eridpnc

2 months ago

"This market refers to anything said in person on the main stage of the United Center on the second night of the DNC. Programming is currently scheduled to begin at 5:30 PM CT and end at 10:15 PM CT (see: https://demconvention.com/schedule/)."

# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

Rules never said Roll don't count, I understand ads/videos don't count, or we will be over 100 already easily

0

0x1EaB07C61989d5E0Fb7f4663a9C4024373e85692-1721588936007

2 months ago

47

# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

I welcome you to dispute my count I would have win more money

0

iplaythelonggame

2 months ago

47

# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

You are welcome to dispute my count

0

iplaythelonggame

2 months ago

47

# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

Donald don't count, the rules is clear

0

MD80PFF

2 months ago

If Donald was counted it would be easily 55-60. They used it a bunch and it made me angry each time it happened

# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

well you guys are welcome to dispute after I propose

2

0x1EaB07C61989d5E0Fb7f4663a9C4024373e85692-1721588936007

2 months ago

47

# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

you count wrong I already have 50 and I might have missed a few

1

iplaythelonggame

2 months ago

47

# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

I think you counted too much

3

Slaylorswift

2 months ago

We are at 55

# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

his speech is extremely short

0

MD80PFF

2 months ago

Come on John, give us some Trumps

# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

I got 37 so I guess we are just about the same

2

MD80PFF

2 months ago

I got 38 right now... This current girl is giving us some good score lol

# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

I guess around 2 hours left

0

0x1EaB07C61989d5E0Fb7f4663a9C4024373e85692-1721588936007

2 months ago

Im at 31 so far....

# of Trump mentions at DNC day 2?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

33 now

0

0x1EaB07C61989d5E0Fb7f4663a9C4024373e85692-1721588936007

2 months ago

Im at 31 so far....

Trump mentioned >100 times at the DNC today?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

Videos don't count at least 50 in the videos that played

0

publius2024

2 months ago

How many so far?

Trump mentioned >100 times at the DNC today?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

Not looking good for yes half passed

1

publius2024

2 months ago

How many so far?

Trump mentioned >100 times at the DNC today?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

I counted 28 but I might have missed some

1

publius2024

2 months ago

How many so far?

Trump mentioned >100 times at the DNC today?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

oh fuck 4 donald

0

How many times will Trump tweet by next Friday?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

He has always been a good man, he is the only current generation president that has not created any new wars

1

XiJinPing

2 months ago

Crooked Hiliary, Sleepy Joe, or Krazy Kamala definitely wouldn't do this.

How many times will Trump tweet this week?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

I will go to Beijing next month maybe

1

XiJinPing

2 months ago

congrats all 11-15 hodlers, we survived

How many times will Trump tweet this week?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

不过我现在人在广西旅游呢

1

factman

2 months ago

同志们，我刚刚注意到是十四，不是十三。。。

How many times will Trump tweet this week?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

我繁体简体都可以的，现在是香港人了，没有政治立场才比较容易赢吧

2

diddy

2 months ago

剩余二十一小时啊，还可以赢，但是我的情绪很不安aaaaaa

How many times will Trump tweet this week?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

為何這麼多人講中文？

0

factman

2 months ago

习同志，在这儿吗？

Monkeypox pandemic in 2024?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

This is what I found online, I am not sure if that's correct The World Health Organization (WHO) has not declared a pandemic for HIV/AIDS (human immunodeficiency virus infection and acquired immunodeficiency syndrome), but it has described the pandemic as a global public health issue. The pandemic began in 1981 and is still ongoing. As of July 2023, the WHO estimates that HIV/AIDS has killed about 40.4 million people and infected about 39 million people globally. 65% of those living with HIV are in the WHO African Region, where nearly 1 in 25 adults are infected. please let me know if I made a mistake

0

td.

2 months ago

the math is spot on. I got to a similar conclusion. the price will very likely go up to a minimum of 30%

Monkeypox pandemic in 2024?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

when was AIDS being declared by WHO? I tried to search online but can't find any info, thanks

0

td.

2 months ago

the math is spot on. I got to a similar conclusion. the price will very likely go up to a minimum of 30%

Monkeypox pandemic in 2024?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

sexually transmitted diseases has never been declared pandemics, previously pandemics are only being declared with airborne transmitted ones

0

Wisdomtime

2 months ago

The base rate is 2/7 fromPHEICs to Pandemics = 28%. The 7 includes previous mpox, and this one is more severe. Therefore 2/6 may be closer (33%). Even with some margin of error, the true probability could be closer to 20%

Monkeypox pandemic in 2024?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

confirmed what？

0

Yirmyah

2 months ago

Just confirmed

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

I've been scammed by those UMA idiots so I know

2

BlueSky123

2 months ago

Can we go ahead and resolve this, or do we need to wait until the Olympics are officially over in a few hours?

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

If this country ties with any other for the greatest number of gold medals won, this market will resolve in favor of the country which won the most medals overall. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the country whose registered name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the medal figures as they stand at after medals are awarded for the final event in the 2024 Paris Summer Olympics. Later changes to medal counts will not be considered toward the resolution of this market. If you go resolve now those UMA whales will eat your 750, they are evil people

2

BlueSky123

2 months ago

Can we go ahead and resolve this, or do we need to wait until the Olympics are officially over in a few hours?

2024 July hottest on record?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

wanna fill my nos at $1?

0

notch

2 months ago

seriously wonder what was going thru the heads of no holders

2024 July hottest on record?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

we lost

0

notch

2 months ago

seriously wonder what was going thru the heads of no holders

2024 July hottest on record?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

well

0

notch

2 months ago

seriously wonder what was going thru the heads of no holders

2024 July hottest on record?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

you became a whale after the newbie period

0

n/a

2 months ago

Yes, very strange, most no holders are losers and the yes holders are winners. And what is also strange: 11/15 accounts of no holders were registered in July/August. Is this normal behavior for newbies on this site? load up 50k and then go all-in on a single market?

2024 July hottest on record?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

you are joining the yes camp?

0

The pro Beaver

2 months ago

After careful reflection, THE PROBEAVER warns the NO buyers to evaluate their position well, doesn't bet everything, this market will be shock for everybody

Democratic Nominee 2024

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

I guess this one takes longer time because the chain is longer? so it needs more time to resolve?

0

muusd

2 months ago

It has resolved to yes for Kamala, but it does not show a way to redeem. How long does it take for it to be redeemable?

2024 July hottest on record?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

why would he go to prison?

0

yourrapist1776

2 months ago

Either v-for-vanadium is an insider and you win & he goes to prison or he's just gambling and you got blown out chasing steam

2024 July hottest on record?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

Are you still 100% sure we are gonna win?

0

SmartG

2 months ago

plz don't stop buying

2024 July hottest on record?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

I lost 100k today on stock, now this? wtf.... I think I'm gonna kill myself soon

1

SmartG

2 months ago

don't overleveraged here dude, believe in science

2024 July hottest on record?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

if NASA screw me then I have nothing else to say

0

yourrapist1776

2 months ago

I think you are overleveraged here dude

2024 July hottest on record?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

What is going on here? seems like we lost the bet?

1

2024 July hottest on record?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

I am very scared

1

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

he looks like an insider he bought small on everything else

2024 July hottest on record?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

he looks like an insider he bought small on everything else

1

mango-lassi

2 months ago

This is not an insider, just someone with lot of money

2024 July hottest on record?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

But this one bought yes

0

BM5II5KJN2

2 months ago

NASA employee buying the orders up 🦅👍

2024 July hottest on record?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

But even tough it should not change the fact that 2023 is quite a bit hotter than 2024 (like 0.05c)

0

SmartG

2 months ago

I think copernicus data is already adjusted one, like July 22nd was initially 17.22c and later they change it to 17.15c, it's possible that NASA does not change it though

2024 July hottest on record?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

If they use copernicus data, and the methodology being the one described in the documentation, it seems very difficult to give out the result that 2024 is higher than 2023 unless cheating, especially since the last few days data coming down a little bit, I still don't understand why the market is trading towards yes maybe they know something we don't know?

1

bendover

2 months ago

Based on Copernicus data, both Air and Sea temperature were higher in July 2023 when compared to July 2024. Air Temp: 16.953 (July 2023) vs 16.907 (July 2024) | Sea Temp: 20.893 (July 2023) vs 20.876 (July 2024).

2024 July hottest on record?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

You are a genius, do you know where to find the raw data that NASA use to calculate?

0

bendover

2 months ago

Based on Copernicus data, both Air and Sea temperature were higher in July 2023 when compared to July 2024. Air Temp: 16.953 (July 2023) vs 16.907 (July 2024) | Sea Temp: 20.893 (July 2023) vs 20.876 (July 2024).

2024 July hottest on record?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

Where can I download the historical data of NASA?

0

Hussieny

2 months ago

both histroical data are there, go test the two models and then come here ask questions

2024 July hottest on record?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

take all the data from copernicus and run the average and you can calculate the difference and you see that in some years (mostly hotter years) they would adjust the data down a little bit and I see that on the NASA site it says using elimination of outliers and homogeneity adjustment and I guess that's why the data is slightly different

2

tomn

2 months ago

How are you seeing / why would NASA eliminate outliers?

2024 July hottest on record?

TheBoyBilly

2 months ago

NASA data using elimination of outliers and homogeneity adjustment, while in 2023 they seems adjusted down for around 0.09c or so if this year they only adjusted down 0.05c it might be end up 0.01c higher than last year, is that possible? otherwise I don't see why no is locked in

1

Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?

TheBoyBilly

3 months ago

Correct and Biden didn't resign

2

Eclipse

3 months ago

How is this less likely than Kamala president by Friday?

Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?

TheBoyBilly

3 months ago

He can die or being forced out by 25th amendment

0

Eclipse

3 months ago

How is this less likely than Kamala president by Friday?