#1357
Rank
21
Comments
9
Likes Received
10
Likes Given
DocHo97
2 months ago
Not looking great for Lake guys and I want her to win but have no money on this...
DocHo97
2 months ago
lead down to 33.7K
DocHo97
2 months ago
New drop...Maricopa. +2K Lake 50/48 Lake....not the greatest but still gaining.
DocHo97
2 months ago
New drop...Maricopa. +2K Lake 50/48 Lake....not the greatest but still gaining.
DocHo97
2 months ago
This guy has the best running updates. https://x.com/Garrett_Archer
DocHo97
2 months ago
Keep in mind Lake was trailing by 53K votes 24 hours ago and is now down to a 35K deficit....
DocHo97
2 months ago
Keep in mind Lake was trailing by 53K votes 24 hours ago and is now down to a 35K deficit....
DocHo97
2 months ago
lol no...its almost 8pm there now
david689314
2 months ago
BREAKING: Expecting an update from Maricopa County of around 100k ballots tonight at 7pm. If the map data was uploaded in the same order, more than 80% of these ballots should be coming from a pool with this voter registration breakdown: 41.6% REP. 24.3% DEM 34.0% I/other
DocHo97
2 months ago
link?
Furiosa
2 months ago
An additional 23,000 ballots have been reported in Maricopa County, with Kari Lake receiving 58% of the votes. This significant support indicates a viable path to victory for her campaign. This is getting exciting!
DocHo97
2 months ago
They are....I think it's more like 60-40 Gallegos though
GT510
2 months ago
Kari just needs 53% of the remaining votes to win this. Odds are way undervalued here.
DocHo97
2 months ago
and that guy is a Major Dem Op
david689314
2 months ago
Of the known 357,173 outstanding earlies in Maricopa County, 55% are from precincts Gallego is winning, 40% with 10+ point margins and 42k ballots more than from where Lake wins by 10+. We're nearly through the R backlog of mail ballots. Onto the late earlies. Gallego will surge https://x.com/a_r_stumpf/status/1854755509301121356?s=46
DocHo97
2 months ago
Trump won Maricopa +4%, currently Lake-4.3%...no way she underperforms Trump by almost 10%
david689314
2 months ago
Of the known 357,173 outstanding earlies in Maricopa County, 55% are from precincts Gallego is winning, 40% with 10+ point margins and 42k ballots more than from where Lake wins by 10+. We're nearly through the R backlog of mail ballots. Onto the late earlies. Gallego will surge https://x.com/a_r_stumpf/status/1854755509301121356?s=46
DocHo97
2 months ago
Last Maricopa dump favored Lak 57% to 41% BTW from Maricopa. That same percentage would net Lake another 60-70K votes in Maricopa alone...
DocHo97
2 months ago
Also doing the math not including Maricopa slightly favors Lake
DocHo97
2 months ago
Also keep in mind that Trump won Maricopa by +4% so remaining votes are likely R. Also Pima went +18D for Harris but that currently sits at +23D for Gallegos
DocHo97
2 months ago
last 70K dump from Maricopa netted Lake +10K. There is 500K ballots left in Maricopa...do the math;..
DocHo97
2 months ago
Pretty obvious this Lib Pollster was going to retire anyways and this was her last ditch effort to energize the LEFT. I mean come on she has White Men Over 65 Favoring Harris in her poll! LMFAO
DocHo97
2 months ago
Who won by 20.....
Slan
2 months ago
Just a reminder: Iowa voted for a pro-life Governor in post-Dobbs 2022 election by 20 points.
DocHo97
2 months ago
She also had White Men over 65 Favoring Harris in her poll....LMFAO
yourrapist1776
2 months ago
A post menopausal woman surveyed 880 residents from Iowa (Pete Buttigieg 880 times) and found Harris up 3. Act accordingly
DocHo97
2 months ago
For instance if you have 2 bets that are 70% likely to occur then the chance that both will occur is less than 50%....49% exactly.
REEEEEEEEEE
2 months ago
RCP now has Trump winning every swing state. I'm betting we see Trump +3 to +4 across the board in the swing states with a national +2 popular vote by election day.
DocHo97
2 months ago
sure but the odds of him wining the all are multiplicative meaning not very high. Same reason why parlays in Sports betting payout like 10X or higher
REEEEEEEEEE
2 months ago
RCP now has Trump winning every swing state. I'm betting we see Trump +3 to +4 across the board in the swing states with a national +2 popular vote by election day.
DocHo97
2 months ago
PSU has no chance
chaseh1113
3 months ago
psu has good value
DocHo97
3 months ago
Slotkin is in real trouble here....Quinnipaic has it EVEN, previous poll had it +5 Slotkin. Last 5 polls on RCP are 2 ties, 1 Rogers ahead, and 2 Slotkin ahead