#665
Rank
71
Comments
31
Likes Received
22
Likes Given
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
0 months ago
Israel is not going to attack Iraq this weekend bro
Shmultz
1 month ago
As Israel is going to attack Iraq this weekend, some missiles might go to Iran, as a warning.
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
Trump announces that if a ceasefire is not signed by inauguration, hell will come on Hamas
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
some1 propose
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
This just happened
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
Good job on exiting this market
denizz
1 month ago
Kaizer, since you wouldn't fill my order at 65, time to stop whining about how the market should be resolved immediately. If that was the case, 65 would have been a steal.
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
tricky statement, not enough to resolve but definitely good for the yes holders
Leo10
1 month ago
Al Arabiya: Qatari Foreign Ministry: Hamas negotiation team leaders not in Doha
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
https://x.com/janissaxon2/status/1858231588540326176?s=46&t=6qeIsVT0-gcKywgVXjos4w Buying yes is a financial suicide
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
The hostage deal talks are being handled in Turkey now. Are you just acting dumb or are you actually
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
Barak Ravid, the reputable source that is being used to solve the Iran Nuclear Strike market, has posted the Khaled Mashal is still in Qatar, and as the rules indicate he must move for it to solve yes - we're looking great. https://x.com/BarakRavid/status/1858214861190176909
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
Barak Ravid, the reputable source that is being used to solve the Iran Nuclear Strike market, has posted the Khaled Mashal is still in Qatar, and as the rules indicate he must move for it to solve yes - we're looking great. https://x.com/BarakRavid/status/1858214861190176909
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
You have a clear misconception of the middle east, hence why you're deloading your YES shares. in April there were intensive hostage deal talks, Israel wouldn't risk killing mashal and screwing the deal up. 7 months later, Israel couldn't care less about killing him. Trump will force a hostage deal on Hamas
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
Great! We just got confirmation that Mashal is in Qatar from Barak Ravid (his reports are being used to solve Iran Nuclear market). Send NO to 99c
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
Bro - the day Mashal sets foot outside of Qatar, he gets eliminated. He knows that. Qatar is his safe zone
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
Great! We just got confirmation that Mashal is in Qatar from Barak Ravid (his reports are being used to solve Iran Nuclear market). Send NO to 99c
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
Great! We just got confirmation that Mashal is in Qatar from Barak Ravid (his reports are being used to solve Iran Nuclear market). Send NO to 99c
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
Quick pump & dump. NO on sale
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
No credible reporting + no information on Mashal + no official statements. Thank you for your donation!
0x64D754C44852208575F9500ED1E4F10e6AD1512A-1722659354305
1 month ago
Just announced they left to turkey
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
The deal is coming guys im telling you
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
NYT is not axios lol
Jimy888
1 month ago
What if Israel says yes, Iran says no. Because nobody really knows a military facility it actually used for. This whole shit won't end nicely, let's go to court lol
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
iraq was solved based on nyt
exothetajunkie
1 month ago
FYI theres precedence of Axios being considered a credible source on Polymarket ex Iraq market
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
This will simply go P4, no doubt
MartinArauz
1 month ago
Axios is the only source, everyone else is referring to Axios information, at this point, No is going to win.
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
This is free cash, but for who?
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
He literally said he will
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
New CNN report: Lebanon ceasefire talks intensify as Hezbollah considers new US-Israeli proposal
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
Send this to 99c
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
Go big or go home
analyst
1 month ago
they wont leave but i cannot bet big because i know it can be rigged with some stupide interpretations
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
This should be at 50c
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
I might hop on a yes position in the future. I think for the meantime, its not undervalued enough to purchase.
denizz
1 month ago
"There is no agreement at the moment. We think that deal is coming together, but like anything nothing is done until it's done," a U.S. official said.
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
You are bleeding your portfolio daily. Again, thank you for the kind donation to NO holders
Car
1 month ago
crazy how they were asked to leave 14 days ago and still nothing happened.
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
This is why these are called prediction markets. Im pretty sure buying low and selling high is what youre supposed to do, and judging on your history of bets I suggest implementing that. If I feel that a lot of news that would pump the yes price up are gonna release ill obviously buy yes. No need to marry shares. Good luck in your journey.
denizz
1 month ago
"There is no agreement at the moment. We think that deal is coming together, but like anything nothing is done until it's done," a U.S. official said.
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
This market is heavily manipulated by a maniac burning his money. I would go heavier if I had more cash lying around. 67c is free cash
Car
1 month ago
crazy how they were asked to leave 14 days ago and still nothing happened.
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
As much as I liked your previous positions, you are lighting cash on fire by purchasing yes in this market. You'll have a better time to enter the market.
Shmultz
1 month ago
Today was a tough day for Israel, as two people were killed from Lebanese drones hitting the north. In addition, morevdrones and missiles made million of people look for shelter. This can't continue, so since Lebanon is refusing to push Hizballah north, Israel is forced to expand its military operations. Moving through Syria is the natural solution and it can happen anyday now.
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
This shows complete lack of understanding in the middle east. Thank you for your kind donation to the no holders
denizz
1 month ago
"There is no agreement at the moment. We think that deal is coming together, but like anything nothing is done until it's done," a U.S. official said.
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
You are lighting your money on fire, theta decay will get u
analyst
1 month ago
i want some cheap Yes plzzz
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
The moment Khaled Mashal leaves Qatar soil, hell be assassinated by the mossad. Qatar doesnt want to look like its cooperating with Israel. Wont happen.
Car
1 month ago
Probably an attempt to pressure them to accept a ceasefire. They have been there since 2012. When they are forced to leave, a potential ceasefire will be even harder to achieve.
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
Bail out broski. As long as the war is ongoing, Hamas offices will stay in Qatar.
Car
1 month ago
I dont understand this price. Qatar Foreign Affairs has said the reports of them kicking out Hamas are false. https://x.com/MofaQatar_EN/status/1855322121989148692
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
Dollars are being sold here for 68 cents I guess. free cash
Car
1 month ago
I dont understand this price. Qatar Foreign Affairs has said the reports of them kicking out Hamas are false. https://x.com/MofaQatar_EN/status/1855322121989148692
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
Why dont you propose then?
denizz
1 month ago
The US is embargoing 2,000 lb. bombs and heavy bulldozers, so this should presumably resolve to yes. However, the rules are poorly written, as usual.
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
The US is also embargoing B52 bombers from Israel. Not agreeing to a sale does not equal an embargo. Saying the US is embargoing Israel is beyond ridiculous. This market is free cash
denizz
1 month ago
The US is embargoing 2,000 lb. bombs and heavy bulldozers, so this should presumably resolve to yes. However, the rules are poorly written, as usual.
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
Yeah. Hezbollah agreeing to Israel going deeper and disarming as part of a ceasefire deal. You must really know the middle east
fa910
1 month ago
Looks like Israel is going deeper, not pulling out: https://x.com/Osint613/status/1855682798788485179
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
Bail out car. Israeli invasion is expanding
Car
1 month ago
this market is undervalued
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
I see you've started deloading, good boy
TheGuro
1 month ago
We need America to confirm the attack in order to resolve?
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
The attack in the recent hour is no different than the attacks that have been made in the last couple weeks. This has been disputed and UMA is not gonna resolve this as yes - check out the thread yourself. Bail out man
TheGuro
1 month ago
We need America to confirm the attack in order to resolve?
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
Just saying this won't make it resolve yes. No is very underpriced right now
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
The strike today changes nothing, these kinds of strikes have been happening for the past 3 weeks or so. No confirmation on any media besides yemeni
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
The strike today changes nothing, these kinds of strikes have been happening for the past 3 weeks or so. No confirmation on any media besides yemeni
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
Sell.
bbkbaka
1 month ago
Now!!!
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
Al Mayadeen reports US strikes on multiple yemen targets: https://x.com/mayadeenenglish/status/1854860685785620687?s=46&t=6qeIsVT0-gcKywgVXjos4w
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
1 month ago
Missile shot this morning from Yemen to Israel
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
2 months ago
Galant out. Coalition facing a serious problem. Protests expected around the country
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
2 months ago
ur gonna lose the bet bro - bail out as soon as you can
0x4444Fc34bd252890cF24a10ce161e2ae9380C4FB-1729774461789
2 months ago
Israeli news talking about israel getting ready for an iranian attack from its own land and its proxies land
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
2 months ago
https://x.com/ukr_report/status/1852826920209002506?s=46&t=6qeIsVT0-gcKywgVXjos4w
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
2 months ago
Explosions in Tehran
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
2 months ago
Explosions in Tehran
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
2 months ago
The rules clearly state the attacks have to originate from Iranian soul. An attack claimed by IRGC but from Iraq will not count, they fire drones to Israel on a daily basis
Shmultz
2 months ago
Question: what will happen if Iran will fire from Iraq, and claim revenge but not responsibility? This might happen...
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
2 months ago
obviously not
Creative
2 months ago
attacking trough iraq still counts?
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
2 months ago
They have to attack before the Election. That narrows it down to the next 7 days. 50% chance this happens
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
2 months ago
Iranian IRGC forces have the green light to a retaliation against Israel from the Supreme Leader, Khamenei. How is this still at 4c?
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
2 months ago
Iranian IRGC forces have the green light to a retaliation against Israel from the Supreme Leader, Khamenei. How is this still at 4c?
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
2 months ago
There’s no way you’re actually holding no…
50Pence
2 months ago
anyone else experiencing adrenaline withdrawal since the October market?
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
2 months ago
Iranian-backed militas been attacking US bases for months. This bet only applies for actions taken from Iranian soil, by Iranian forces
ScienceDog
2 months ago
reports in israeli media that the At Tanf US base was attacked by iranian forces with drone, waiting on english versions
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
2 months ago
No need. Just need some satelite image of the base, with some additional sources approving that the site is indeed an R&D centre and I'll propose yes
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
2 months ago
https://www.axios.com/2024/10/26/israel-strike-iran-missile-production The sources said the Israeli air force attacked a factory for the production of drones and conducted a "symbolic" strike on a facility in the city of Parchin that was used in the past for the research and development of nuclear weapons. ### This should clarify in the next couple days, but all I can say is 26c while having over 2 months left is highly underpriced
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
2 months ago
Impacted != hit, and again, the research & development centre that was hit is not your traditional nuclear reactor but definitely fits this markets' rules :)
sigh
2 months ago
https://www.barrons.com/news/iran-nuclear-facilities-not-impacted-in-israel-strikes-un-nuclear-watchdog-cf0dc366
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
2 months ago
https://www.axios.com/2024/10/26/israel-strike-iran-missile-production The sources said the Israeli air force attacked a factory for the production of drones and conducted a "symbolic" strike on a facility in the city of Parchin that was used in the past for the research and development of nuclear weapons. ### This should clarify in the next couple days, but all I can say is 26c while having over 2 months left is highly underpriced
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
2 months ago
Nuclear plants were not touched - that's true. However, that's not needed as the market rules state any Iranian facility used for the development, enrichment, storage, or processing of nuclear material or technology, including reactors, enrichment facilities, uranium mines, and research centers located on Iranian soil :) I suggest selling your position before more media starts covering this attack
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
2 months ago
https://www.ynetnews.com/article/b1z5fl5xjl Credible israeli sources starting to unveil information about the strikes - Parchin base which is a nuclear r&d centre. Matter of time until this gets posted on NYT & other credible sources. Price goes 💥
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
2 months ago
The radars placed in Iraq are defo not Iraqi-government owned. They’re Iran militia owned.
UnlimitedMarketAbuse
2 months ago
"No Iraqi military, economic or civilian facilities were affected during Israel's Saturday morning strikes" It's worth noting that iran backed bad dudes which aren't govt are in Iraq.
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
2 months ago
https://www.ynetnews.com/article/b1z5fl5xjl Credible israeli sources starting to unveil information about the strikes - Parchin base which is a nuclear r&d centre. Matter of time until this gets posted on NYT & other credible sources. Price goes 💥
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
2 months ago
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/10/25/world/israel-lebanon-gaza-iran We have New york times confirmation - Israeli officials
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
2 months ago
https://m.jpost.com/middle-east/article-826132 Israel struck several targets across Syria and Iraq as part of its wide-reaching response to Iran.
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
2 months ago
https://x.com/europeanhersoc/status/1849958039731749269?s=46&t=6qeIsVT0-gcKywgVXjos4w The IDF also hit air defenses in Syria and Iraq just before these attacks began.
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
2 months ago
Is this free money? Israel literally striked there
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
2 months ago
This is disgustingly cheap
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
2 months ago
Israel wants to return it’s civilians back to their homes in the north. This includes the area that borders Syria. This cannot be done without boots on the ground
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
2 months ago
You have a massive misconception if you think that matters. 1701 was ineffective, a diplomatic solution won't work - boots on the ground will. Israel has plans months ahead for the invasion
sigh
2 months ago
CNN: Hezbollah endorses Lebanon ceasefire efforts for the first time as Israel ramps up offensive
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
2 months ago
Fairly obvious that if Israel is extending it's operation in Lebanon, it obviously must clean the border in Syria as well, as there are a bunch of Hezbollah fighters fleeing there. Also it is very convenient to be able to flank Hezbollah from the east...
Gerdii
2 months ago
If the AI is saying invasion into previously unheld territory, what exactly does golan heights mean?
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
2 months ago
Lack of liquidity is making this market go bananas…
0x8F42Ae0a01c0383c7cA8bd060b86a645EE74B88f-1726840417930
2 months ago
hey man - please respond on Twitter
Foreseeable.
3 months ago
BREAKING NEWS of Bint Jbeil: (Im aready all in, sweating blood LOL). You can see here: https://israelpalestine.liveuamap.com/ That the Israelis are already here: https://polymarket.com/event/will-israeli-troops-enter-bint-jbeil-by-october-15/will-israeli-troops-enter-bint-jbeil-by-october-15?tid=1728246547108