#459
Rank
51
Comments
23
Likes Received
124
Likes Given
Caroline Ellison prison time?
fate
0 months ago
If the government originally intended to give her no prison time, they would have offered her immunity.
2
Caroline Ellison prison time?
fate
1 month ago
Normies can’t understand the thrill of pinning the weasel.
0
Will California pass SB 1047 AI safety bill?
fate
1 month ago
California is run by the most evil, stupid and degenerate people in America. They never miss an opportunity to pass laws that have negative consequences. They recently decriminalized theft of items worth less than $900, they decriminalized pedophilia, and they decriminalized knowingly spreading STDs. I might buy more YES because of how confident I am in the stupidity of California's government.
0
Justifax
1 month ago
A simple example of how stupid this bill is. Today, if I use a computer to do a cyber attack the person who made the computer is not liable. Now if I use AI which is 1% better than just using the computer, the AI company is liable. That's tots insane.
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Sep 30?
fate
1 month ago
All forms of Clade 1 should count for YES.
2
mangoslice
1 month ago
Some of the new cases are Clade 1b. Will those count toward a "yes" resolution? Or does it have to be strictly Clade 1, not Clade 1b?
Pavel Durov released in August?
fate
1 month ago
That's cute. The YES holder thinks that European governments respect "human rights."
0
prbot
1 month ago
juicy odds - for sure he will will be released, he is not criminal after all
Pavel Durov released in August?
fate
1 month ago
WE GOT A LAWYER OVER HERE!!!
1
Noxxxwill
1 month ago
You can't hold a person for a long time without charging them...
Pavel Durov released in August?
fate
1 month ago
Why didn't Durov just use Telegram to talk to the Russian government instead of flying to Russia 50 times?
0
theta-thunberg
1 month ago
https://x.com/istories_media/status/1828412881844510930
Pavel Durov released in August?
fate
1 month ago
LOL NO
1
hawk56
1 month ago
People who buy YES may have more info than you on French laws and political behaviour
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Sep 30?
fate
1 month ago
We only get paid if it's Clade 1
0
SmartG
1 month ago
whats the difference between claude i and ii?
Pavel Durov released in August?
fate
1 month ago
They'd arrest Elon Musk if they could get away with it.
1
SmartG
1 month ago
this bet is really a confidence vote for french government, they may want to detain Durov forever
Pavel Durov released in August?
fate
1 month ago
People who buy YES are normies who think that Western governments respect "human rights."
6
Pavel Durov released in August?
fate
1 month ago
Indicting someone is easy as fuck. You only need a majority of a grand jury to vote that there is enough evidence to press charges -- they don't need enough evidence to convict.
0
LMNOP
1 month ago
"French authorities can detain and interview the Telegram founder for up to 96 hours — and that deadline is coming up fast. After that, the court has to decide whether he will be formally indicted for some or all of the charges mentioned above." https://techcrunch.com/2024/08/27/paris-court-explains-why-they-arrested-telegrams-pavel-durov/?guccounter=1
Pavel Durov released in August?
fate
1 month ago
https://duckduckgo.com/?q=Indict+a+ham+sandwich&t=ffab&iar=images&iax=images&ia=images
0
LMNOP
1 month ago
"French authorities can detain and interview the Telegram founder for up to 96 hours — and that deadline is coming up fast. After that, the court has to decide whether he will be formally indicted for some or all of the charges mentioned above." https://techcrunch.com/2024/08/27/paris-court-explains-why-they-arrested-telegrams-pavel-durov/?guccounter=1
Pavel Durov released in August?
fate
1 month ago
Their top holder went all-in with $22k
0
Sit
1 month ago
Yes club is doomed
Pavel Durov released in August?
fate
1 month ago
It seems that we have contradictory news reports.
0
kkmaker
1 month ago
easy money https://x.com/bscnheadlines/status/1828355831869378931?s=46&t=T7GUWBzAYybdL7F9tXLWyQ
Pavel Durov released in August?
fate
1 month ago
Durov has 3 passports, a private jet, and several billion dollars. Sarkozy and the IMF head were poor compared to Durov.
2
Justifax
1 month ago
France detains people and releases them quite frequently, epsecially high profile folk. Sarkozy, IMF head, etc.
Robin DiAngelo out as Washington professor by Sept 6?
fate
1 month ago
She copied Asian professors. Why didn't she copy any Black professors? Did she not think that Black professors are smart enough to copy? Is she racist or something?
4
Pavel Durov released in August?
fate
1 month ago
Did Jeffrey Epstein and Ghizlane Maxwell get released after they were arrested?
1
Robin DiAngelo out as Washington professor by Sept 6?
fate
1 month ago
yeah, 1 week isn't enough time.
0
MD80PFF
1 month ago
A tenured prof fired by a university in a week after allegations are made? Unless she resigns this will take 6 months to sort out and go through 9 commitees
Pavel Durov released in August?
fate
1 month ago
The US government didn't release Epstein or Ghislane Maxwell. Durov is a billionaire with 3 passports and a private jet. It would be very risky for them to release him before trial.
2
scattering
1 month ago
well bros, here is my take: he has 2 options: released or charged. if he gets released i‘d like to know who would actually get charged…. This is a lock from this perspective (+ risk of escaping) - cant swear my life on it though
Pavel Durov released in August?
fate
1 month ago
I made a countdown until 96 hours after the arrest of Pavel Durov. He was arrested at around 8PM in Paris on Saturday, August 24th. https://www.tickcounter.com/countdown/5703279/countdown-until-96-hours-after-the-arrest-of-pavel-durov
0
Pavel Durov released in August?
fate
1 month ago
Just buy "No" and there will be an end to the horror.
1
41-17™askDomerWhatImean
1 month ago
🌊🌊🌊carSCAMLOSELOSE 😭😭😭
Pavel Durov released in August?
fate
1 month ago
House arrest is when you can't leave your house and there are cops standing around your house 24/7. How is he a flight risk if he can't leave his house and is surrounded by cops at all times? The Romanian government put Andrew Tate under house arrest.
0
sharky🦈🦈🦈
1 month ago
yeah risky. The goverment definitley has a big case against him if they just yoinked off the plane when he landed. Also the big flight risk
NFL Sunday
fate
1 month ago
The preseason is easy to bet on because all the teams are playing their 2nd-string players. This means that all the teams are much closer in skill level, so the odds for every game were actually close to 50-50.
0
Darth-Jar-Jar
1 month ago
These pre season games this weekend were pretty predictable. No way it’s that easy during the regular season once the refs start rigging the games though. Be careful.
Pavel Durov released in August?
fate
1 month ago
This one is risky because "house arrest" counts as being "released."
3
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Sep 30?
fate
1 month ago
All it takes is one bug chaser...
1
Pavel Durov released in August?
fate
1 month ago
He already escaped Russia, and he also has UAE citizenship, and he has a private jet. The French government will assume that he will try to escape again. The French government arrested him at the airport as he exited his private jet.
4
Pavel Durov released in August?
fate
1 month ago
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/telegram-messaging-app-ceo-pavel-durov-arrested-france-tf1-tv-says-2024-08-24/
1
Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?
fate
2 months ago
This is so stupid.
8
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?
fate
2 months ago
If you think Vance might drop out after August, you can vote "O" on the contract "# of debates between Vance and Walz?" https://polymarket.com/event/of-debates-between-vance-and-walz/no-vance-vs-walz-debates-before-election?tid=1724338232957
1
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?
fate
2 months ago
GET HIM THE FUCK OUTTA HERE!!!!!!!
3
What will Bill Clinton say during DNC speech?
fate
2 months ago
this shit isn't even entertaining anymore.
1
herald
2 months ago
Babe wake up new mention market just dropped
# of debates between Vance and Walz?
fate
2 months ago
Betting "0" is a good way to bet on Trump firing Vance.
3
Obama DNC Speech: O/U 30 minutes?
fate
2 months ago
GG
0
5to5000
2 months ago
I can already tell its gonna be at least 40 mins, gg
Super Bowl Champion 2025
fate
2 months ago
Remember them.
0
fiachrahelgason
2 months ago
Titans?
AFC South Winner
fate
2 months ago
Jags - 26% chance to make the playoffs, 1.1% chance to win the SB -- IT SEEMS LIKE THE JAGS ARE MASSIVELY UNDERVALUED
2
AFC South Winner
fate
2 months ago
Colts - 23% chance to make the playoffs, 1.4% chance to win the SB
0
AFC South Winner
fate
2 months ago
Rams - 23% chance to make the playoffs, 2.4% chance to win the SB
0
AFC South Winner
fate
2 months ago
Bears - 23% chance to make the playoffs, 2.5% chance to win SB
0
AFC South Winner
fate
2 months ago
Buccs - 22% chance to make the playoffs, 2.5% chance to win the SB
0
AFC South Winner
fate
2 months ago
Chargers - 22% chance to make the playoffs, 1.5% chance to win the SB
0
Super Bowl Champion 2025
fate
2 months ago
Good point, I forgot about that. I looked at the Super Bowl odds at Vegas Insider, averaged the odds for each team, and when I added them all up, I got 122%. When I add up all the Polymarket superbowl odds, I get 108%
2
CouchWhale
2 months ago
Keep in mind that most sportsbooks take a cut as profit, but Polymarket doesn’t, so bets here are often cheaper.
Super Bowl Champion 2025
fate
2 months ago
The average Vegas sportsbook has the Jags at 2% to win the Superbowl, but they're only 1.3% here
0
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
fate
2 months ago
There's a risk-free arbitrage opportunity between these two contracts: - "Fed Interest Rates: September 2024" and "Fed rate cut by...?"
0
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
fate
2 months ago
The contract "Fed rate cut by...?" has better odds and more liquidity.
0