Hussieny

August 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Hussieny

1 month ago

No thank you

1

2024 August hottest on record?

Hussieny

1 month ago

98.8??! what a ridiculous odds

0

Hussieny

1 month ago

he has the liquidity plus a following base that makes these markets resolved before you even start looking at the data

2024 August hottest on record?

Hussieny

1 month ago

he has the liquidity plus a following base that makes these markets resolved before you even start looking at the data

0

Hussieny

1 month ago

There's no liquidity unless you bet against aenews, and the dude doesn't miss... and the month he was against the majority, i was with the majority,, this suckksss,, hope another august comes soon... saying this in the comments lowers the odds of this happening, but fuck it

2024 August hottest on record?

Hussieny

1 month ago

There's no liquidity unless you bet against aenews, and the dude doesn't miss... and the month he was against the majority, i was with the majority,, this suckksss,, hope another august comes soon... saying this in the comments lowers the odds of this happening, but fuck it

0

2024 August hottest on record?

Hussieny

1 month ago

Greetings for you all,, What's your thoughts on this market?

0

2024 July hottest on record?

Hussieny

2 months ago

*John Snow in the Battle of Bastards"

0

2024 July hottest on record?

Hussieny

2 months ago

I could bet that he will realize profits (if it worked) or even switch sides before the market end

2

Hussieny

2 months ago

i think it is polymarket and trading knowledge, not climate knowledge,, maybe win some "hot trades" from ppl who do not care much about each month,, just bet according to the trends and the vibe,,, tbh, if it was another market, i would have followed the trend and bought yes,,,

2024 July hottest on record?

Hussieny

2 months ago

i think it is polymarket and trading knowledge, not climate knowledge,, maybe win some "hot trades" from ppl who do not care much about each month,, just bet according to the trends and the vibe,,, tbh, if it was another market, i would have followed the trend and bought yes,,,

2

yourrapist1776

2 months ago

Gopfan is still buying my lord. What does he know?

2024 July hottest on record?

Hussieny

2 months ago

check the anomalies in resolution with those , they could vary in value a little, but not switch the rankings,, why are you still holding on yes? weird

8

Hussieny

2 months ago

gm, what the hell? why is this till going on? the month is over, it is the the second warmest, done https://pulse.climate.copernicus.eu/

2024 July hottest on record?

Hussieny

2 months ago

gm, what the hell? why is this till going on? the month is over, it is the the second warmest, done https://pulse.climate.copernicus.eu/

13

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Liked by aenews2, yourrapist... and 11 others

2024 July hottest on record?

Hussieny

2 months ago

is she single?

1

bendover

2 months ago

even if july 2024 is a now, i do think 2024 will still be hottest year ever. most western countries are screwed, but many places will benefit tho, russia for example is benefiting from global warming.

2024 July hottest on record?

Hussieny

2 months ago

you're right, it's a fair game, bluff, or win,, either way you are supporting scientific awareness with providing liquidity and profits for the better forecasters, thanks, and good luck!

2

gopfan

2 months ago

@temporaryname why would I ever share my thoughts? It’s like showing cards playing a poker game

2024 July hottest on record?

Hussieny

2 months ago

and when this one wins, I accept gifts :D

2

Hussieny

2 months ago

my friend, you still have the chance to change to the winning side, i can send you my data if you want

2024 July hottest on record?

Hussieny

2 months ago

my friend, you still have the chance to change to the winning side, i can send you my data if you want

2

aenews2

2 months ago

God my PV has gone down 20K in last 48 hours. Really hope I win this bet and take the edge off my Shapiro N shares...

2024 July hottest on record?

Hussieny

2 months ago

it is not free money, check the historical differences between different data sources,,, it is a good probability i agree,, but not free, the resolution data source differ historically

1

n/a

2 months ago

Both Daily Sea temperatures and daily air temperatures are at lower levels than July 2023 so far, free money

2024 July hottest on record?

Hussieny

2 months ago

duuudde, you are so fucken rich, go have fun,, why are here with us poor ppl?

1

aenews2

2 months ago

With my luck, I may lose 40K on Shapiro N this month and this bet too!

2024 July hottest on record?

Hussieny

2 months ago

you insistence on yes confuses the hell out of me, do you have insider info?

0

Dr.ChristmasJones

2 months ago

I am very happy to see the level of activity in these markets!

2024 July hottest on record?

Hussieny

2 months ago

true the methodologies is different, you can look it up,, and all big institute give this info to the public, but it is very challenging to do the math yourself... thats one,, second thing is that the end result is not that different, it is enough to change the outcome of this market,, but ummm,, there is luck involved to win,, or you need to do a ton of research

0

n/a

2 months ago

differently in what way?

2024 July hottest on record?

Hussieny

2 months ago

so what? I am an environmental engineer, the data?

1

Dr.ChristmasJones

2 months ago

I am very happy to see the level of activity in these markets!

2024 July hottest on record?

Hussieny

2 months ago

whatever, I hope it is No

0

2024 July hottest on record?

Hussieny

2 months ago

nasa collects actual measurements from a huge number of weather stations, check what GHCN-v4 is

0

n/a

2 months ago

I agree, the last few days are uncertain. Plus, NASA calculates differently from everyone else, so who knows what will win with how close it is right now.

2024 July hottest on record?

Hussieny

2 months ago

https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/data/global-historical-climatology-network-monthly/v4/temperature/archive/?C=D%3BO%3DD&fbclid=IwY2xjawEU62ZleHRuA2FlbQIxMAABHWr20rl6WUB_Hfup0vzXx5bzIXG2dnweEGPMGsuoLgz5-ORahLXjEXx2rg_aem_tDVeZQjKzwE6U9J3z0XEVw here and giovanni has a lot of data sets, daily and monthly @theboybilly

1

ROROfrom16

2 months ago

the only question now is: does the nasa model differ so significantly from the copernicus model that it leads to contradictory conclusions?

2024 July hottest on record?

Hussieny

2 months ago

would you like to share your reasoning behind yes?

1

Dr.ChristmasJones

2 months ago

I am very happy to see the level of activity in these markets!

2024 July hottest on record?

Hussieny

2 months ago

this dude is not using the same data, the one for the resolution is based on a lot of weather station measurement around the globe,, much much more accurate, it is not the same, and historically not the same

0

tomn

2 months ago

"...2nd warmest july on record..." https://x.com/hausfath/status/1816528806427206094

2024 July hottest on record?

Hussieny

2 months ago

here the link i copied it from a chat https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/data/global-historical-climatology-network-monthly/v4/temperature/archive/?C=D%3BO%3DD&fbclid=IwY2xjawEU62ZleHRuA2FlbQIxMAABHWr20rl6WUB_Hfup0vzXx5bzIXG2dnweEGPMGsuoLgz5-ORahLXjEXx2rg_aem_tDVeZQjKzwE6U9J3z0XEVw

2

tomn

2 months ago

What daily Giovanni dataset were you using? Would you mind linking it?

2024 July hottest on record?

Hussieny

2 months ago

1.5 million* rows

0

tomn

2 months ago

What daily Giovanni dataset were you using? Would you mind linking it?

2024 July hottest on record?

Hussieny

2 months ago

the one used in the resolution is based on weather station measurements, not just a satalite or model , you could access thee raw data here for the stations, it appears to be labeled untill yesterday, but a single file has aroun 1.5 rows, even viewing it was challenging to me, and it is just appeared to be too much work, if you are good with data try your luck https://l.facebook.com/l.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ncei.noaa.gov%2Fdata%2Fglobal-historical-climatology-network-monthly%2Fv4%2Ftemperature%2Farchive%2F%3FC%3DD%253BO%253DD%26fbclid%3DIwZXh0bgNhZW0CMTAAAR1q9tK5ellAfx37qdL818eW8yFxtnZ8HhBjzBrLqC4M-fjkWoS14xF8dq4_aem_tDVeZQjKzwE6U9J3z0XEVw&h=AT0zDQ3b3wh0RP-RpuKfRS1qCV1zvSj4_JmoamMpXk6x1JqT1Qzswggjl2PgkWDwpX6CA37mXgQuj_aYjUEBaiANUKz3Zx-z9q7jwolbZ-uubiRUHx_eBYBXS59gGxou52D-HQ

0

tomn

2 months ago

What daily Giovanni dataset were you using? Would you mind linking it?

2024 July hottest on record?

Hussieny

2 months ago

mean_FLDAS_NOAHMP001_G_CA_D_001_RadT_tavg one air tempreture and the other is rad t

0

tomn

2 months ago

What daily Giovanni dataset were you using? Would you mind linking it?

2024 July hottest on record?

Hussieny

2 months ago

sure, we can discuss this in a chat if you do not mind, because honestly i am not trusting them to bet on them FLDAS Model FLDAS_NOAHMP001_G_CA_D v001 and

0

tomn

2 months ago

What daily Giovanni dataset were you using? Would you mind linking it?

2024 July hottest on record?

Hussieny

2 months ago

you are right that was a mistake, but what about:

0

n/a

2 months ago

May 2023 was lower May 2020, not sure what you mean

2024 July hottest on record?

Hussieny

2 months ago

both histroical data are there, go test the two models and then come here ask questions

0

ROROfrom16

2 months ago

the only question now is: does the nasa model differ so significantly from the copernicus model that it leads to contradictory conclusions?

2024 July hottest on record?

Hussieny

2 months ago

check the one in the resolution, count the months by your own hands,,

0

temporaryname

2 months ago

"The latest daily temperature records follow 13 months of consecutive monthly temperature records, according to scientists from NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York. "

2024 July hottest on record?

Hussieny

2 months ago

All you saying no made me hesitant, I am downloading the data myself and doing my own calculations,, but quick look july this year is probably the hottest

0

Hussieny

2 months ago

hey ppl, that dude Zeke Hausfather, said in his twitter and carbon brief that its is 13 months record, but in nasa dat it is actully 19 months record,, whatever method he is using is not the same as the one resolving this market,,, and actually, actually other nasa daily data (several Giovannii data sets) are showing this july so far hotter than the previous one

2024 July hottest on record?

Hussieny

2 months ago

hey ppl, that dude Zeke Hausfather, said in his twitter and carbon brief that its is 13 months record, but in nasa dat it is actully 19 months record,, whatever method he is using is not the same as the one resolving this market,,, and actually, actually other nasa daily data (several Giovannii data sets) are showing this july so far hotter than the previous one

0

Democratic VP nominee?

Hussieny

3 months ago

looool, easy money

0

Roller-Steel

3 months ago

You guys know he's not allowed to run right