Cetus

Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?

Cetus

3 weeks ago

Time to buy folks! This is the lowest it's going to be. Who wouldn't want to 5x their money?

2

Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?

Cetus

3 weeks ago

General Election poll - Swing States Arizona - 🔵 Harris +3 Georgia - 🟡 Tie N. Carolina - 🔵 Harris +2 Nevada - 🔵 Harris +7 Michigan - 🔵 Harris +3 Pennsylvania - 🔵 Harris +5 Wisconsin - 🔵 Harris +3 Morning Consult

0

Cetus

3 weeks ago

Kamala Harris Holds Razor-Thin Lead Across Swing States in Tight 2024 Race https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-09-26/harris-holds-thin-lead-over-trump-in-swing-state-poll-election-2024?leadSource=uverify%20wall

Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?

Cetus

3 weeks ago

Kamala Harris Holds Razor-Thin Lead Across Swing States in Tight 2024 Race https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-09-26/harris-holds-thin-lead-over-trump-in-swing-state-poll-election-2024?leadSource=uverify%20wall

0

Will Trump sell shares of DJT in September?

Cetus

3 weeks ago

Time to sell Donald

1

Cetus

3 weeks ago

Trump Media shareholder UAV dumped more than 7.5 million shares https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/26/trump-media-shareholder-dumped-more-than-7point5-million-shares.html

Will Trump sell shares of DJT in September?

Cetus

3 weeks ago

Trump Media shareholder UAV dumped more than 7.5 million shares https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/26/trump-media-shareholder-dumped-more-than-7point5-million-shares.html

1

What will Tim Walz say during the VP Debate?

Cetus

3 weeks ago

Tampon for the win. One of his most universally loved achievements. He'd be a fool not to bank on it and make people realize how dumb the Republicans were for calling him tampon Tim. Instant win for him and for me.

3

Will George W. Bush endorse Kamala Harris?

Cetus

1 month ago

If Dick Cheney of all people was able to endorse her, then surely Bush can as well.

1

Ukraine strike on Moscow by September 30?

Cetus

1 month ago

According to Russian channels, all regions up to Moscow, and north of Bryansk, Kursk, Belgorod, and Voronezh regions, are on alert for drones. https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1835057990082183343?t=jnzFnb9ZkOyzVitCgaYsvQ&s=19

0

AugustoPinochet73

1 month ago

Да! they just said it in the weather channel, 40% chances of drones. Go fuck yourself liar

Ukraine strike on Moscow by September 30?

Cetus

1 month ago

Moscow on alert for drones right now as per Russian channels

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Balance of Power: 2024 Election

Cetus

1 month ago

Broken guy

0

elder

1 month ago

broken link

Microphones muted during ABC debate?

Cetus

1 month ago

Good thing polymarket doesn't decide because they hold no power over the actual contract resolved by UMA.

0

ceasar

1 month ago

You're pissing away your money lmao. Such a clown. PM already announced how it will resolve.

Microphones muted during ABC debate?

Cetus

1 month ago

How much profit will you have made when this is resolved 50/50?

0

Will Mitt Romney endorse Kamala?

Cetus

1 month ago

This guy put his dog on top of his car for a roadtrip. Maybe he will make the announcement in Springfield.

3

Will George W. Bush endorse Kamala Harris?

Cetus

1 month ago

GOP insider predicts major Republican figure to endorse Kamala Harris in 2 to 4 weeks https://www.rawstory.com/kamala-harris-gop-endorsement/

0

Microphones muted during ABC debate?

Cetus

1 month ago

Seems likely they resolve to 50/50

2

NateNate60

1 month ago

I don't what the hell is going on, but this position only cost me thirty cents to play. Maybe I'm throwing money down a hole, IDC, I'm here to gamble

ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?

Cetus

1 month ago

Whistleblower warned Harris that she would be debating a dementia patient.

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Liked by EricTheGre..., coconutPil... and 7 others

Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?

Cetus

1 month ago

If you go by the snake graph, it implies all states are tied together and winning the least likely of the swing states wins you the rest of them. So you have to go by the probability of winning the least likely one. On the snake graph, that's Arizona which is at 46% Harris. So the odds here should be 46%.

0

sigh

1 month ago

some of yall are really going either 1) omg there's no way she can win them all, I multiplied the probabilities and it's less than 5% or 2) it's literally just a georgia market, have you seen the 538 snake graph??

Who will win the debate according to polls?

Cetus

1 month ago

Don't complain if you're not even participating. The rules are clear. It's not about your opinion of the debate, it's about predicting a specific poll. If you're good at predicting this specific poll, you will make money.

4

Who will win the debate according to polls?

Cetus

1 month ago

Wasn't Trump fired four years ago?

5

Glencoco

1 month ago

When somebody does a bad job, we fire them. Bye Kamala

Who will win the debate according to polls?

Cetus

1 month ago

Copelord

1

a7mmmed

1 month ago

he debating 3 ppl

What will Kamala say at the debate?

Cetus

1 month ago

Do you hate money?

0

n/a

1 month ago

Free money, Kamala doesn't know what AI is

What will Kamala say at the debate?

Cetus

1 month ago

"Compound words will count as long as "wall" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a physical, vertical structure dividing the border of the United States and Mexico.

0

Justifax

1 month ago

For those betting no on wall - "Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market." So wall street counts.

What will Kamala say at the debate?

Cetus

1 month ago

Yep! Read the rules folks. It's for "AI", "Artificial intelligence" or any derivative of AI, like "AI-generated". Trump has been using AI-generated media to create fake images of Kamala. Surely this will be addressed. And if not, then she will certainly talk about AI and investing in it or controlling it somehow. There may even be a question on AI directly.

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bfip

1 month ago

This one is easy.

What will Kamala say at the debate?

Cetus

1 month ago

Read the rules, "wall" has to refer to the southern border to count

0

n/a

1 month ago

she just has to mention Wall Street

Ukraine strike on Moscow by September 30?

Cetus

1 month ago

How the fuck can polymarket change the rules like that? They can't just choose to add "municipality" to make it more strict. When you offer a contract and are vague, you have to allow the most generous option because you literally made no effort to make it specific. That's fraud from UMA/polymarket.

2

Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine before October?

Cetus

1 month ago

Scholz urges speedier efforts to end Russia's war on Ukraine https://kyivindependent.com/scholz-urges-speedier-efforts-to-end-russias-war-on-ukraine/

0

What will Kamala say at the debate?

Cetus

1 month ago

AI is still way underpriced. It's an almost certainty that she'll use the word. Biden's matin economic achievement was the chips act. That's directly related to AI. They'll surely talk about the impact of AI on jobs and the economy. Guaranteed there's a question about it.

0

Ukraine strike on Moscow by September 30?

Cetus

1 month ago

A railway depot in Zelenograd, near Moscow, is burning intensely, with the fire illuminating the entire area. https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1832136457357566447?t=tZUlJhkVA4jN368uEZ-r1g&s=19

1

What will Kamala say at the debate?

Cetus

1 month ago

Read the rules "AI" counts as well as any compound words that refer to AI like AI-generated

0

redeyeknight

1 month ago

does "AI" count, or does it have to be literally Artificial Int..?

What will Kamala say at the debate?

Cetus

1 month ago

AI is a no brainer. She's going to brag about the chips act and jobs. Also she'll call out Trump for using fake AI-generated media.

6

Kamala positive favorability by Friday?

Cetus

1 month ago

Gap is 0.5% now. As older polls lose weight and new ones show her consistently above, she will get net favorable really soon.

1

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

Cetus

2 months ago

RFK Jr. withdraws presidential bid in Arizona, state secretary says https://www.reuters.com/world/us/rfk-jr-withdraws-presidential-bid-arizona-state-secretary-says-2024-08-23/

1

Venezuela intervention by August 31?

Cetus

2 months ago

https://x.com/anneapplebaum/status/1819459697797484845?t=nX2-IL9VootP3HjKBDxDgA&s=19

0

Venezuela intervention by August 31?

Cetus

2 months ago

https://www.intellinews.com/russian-wagner-mercenaries-spotted-amid-venezuela-election-protests-336763/

0

Will Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?

Cetus

2 months ago

This guy hates making money.

0

n/a

2 months ago

that's a fake news. They are already liberating all the areas

Will Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?

Cetus

2 months ago

If he wants it back by October, then for sure he won't get it back by September lmao. This is free money.

0

Cetus

2 months ago

Putin orders Ukrainian forces to be pushed out of Kursk region by October 1. https://newsukraine.rbc.ua/news/putin-orders-ukrainian-forces-to-be-pushed-1724143578.html

Will Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?

Cetus

2 months ago

Putin orders Ukrainian forces to be pushed out of Kursk region by October 1. https://newsukraine.rbc.ua/news/putin-orders-ukrainian-forces-to-be-pushed-1724143578.html

0

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

Cetus

2 months ago

Kennedy’s Running Mate Suggests They May Drop Out of the Presidential Race and Endorse Trump https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/20/us/politics/robert-kennedy-campaign-future.html

1

Venezuela intervention by August 31?

Cetus

2 months ago

Russian Wagner mercenaries spotted amid Venezuela election protests. https://www.intellinews.com/russian-wagner-mercenaries-spotted-amid-venezuela-election-protests-336763/

0

What will Kamala Harris say in August?

Cetus

2 months ago

I guarantee you that in one of the sit down interviews, she will say Venn diagram. Very under priced

3

Democratic VP nominee?

Cetus

2 months ago

Jewish lawmakers groan at "Genocide Josh" campaign https://www.axios.com/2024/08/01/josh-shapiro-israel-gaza-harris-jewish

0

Democratic VP nominee?

Cetus

2 months ago

UAW President Fain wants Kentucy's Beshear or Minnesota's Walz on Harris ticket. https://www.wxyz.com/news/national-politics/uaw-president-fain-wants-kentucys-beshear-or-minnesotas-walz-on-harris-ticket

2

Democratic VP nominee?

Cetus

2 months ago

The National Women's Defense League (NWDL) is demanding answers from Governor Josh Shapiro, who has emerged as a top contender for Vice President Kamala Harris' running mate, about an alleged sexual harassment coverup. https://www.newsweek.com/womens-group-demands-answers-kamala-harris-vp-contender-josh-shapiro-sexual-harassment-settlement-1932784

5

Venezuela intervention by August 31?

Cetus

2 months ago

Russian Wagner troops in Venezuela

1

Venezuela intervention by August 31?

Cetus

2 months ago

https://x.com/OlgaNYC1211/status/1818797153386369390?t=h0nkarLTCc9Yh05CJqXBuA&s=19

1

Democratic VP nominee?

Cetus

2 months ago

Progressives sound alarm as Shapiro VP stock rises. https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4804417-shapiro-vice-president-progressives-harris/

4

Venezuela intervention by August 31?

Cetus

2 months ago

Key opposition figure arrested in Venezuela after disputed election, party says. https://www.france24.com/en/americas/20240730-venezuela-s-ruling-party-opposition-rally-supporters-after-disputed-maduro-election-victory

0

Venezuela intervention by August 31?

Cetus

2 months ago

Peru became the first country to name Edmundo González as the president-elect of Venezuela. In response, Venezuela announced its intention to cut off diplomatic relations "for ignoring the will of the Venezuelans and the constitution." https://x.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1818600271267709092?t=tv5pvB3-cqKUzyhYyI3Wvg&s=19

0

Venezuela intervention by August 31?

Cetus

2 months ago

US Senator Marco Rubio on Twitter. Very serious situation developing in multiple cities in #Venezuela tonight. Regime security forces and the criminal “colectivos”street gangs sent to suppress anti-Maduro protests are coming under fire from groups of armed civilians. https://x.com/marcorubio/status/1818510819262406842?t=T9_rKwr95rGJrfW0AycmVg&s=19

0

Who will endorse Kamala?

Cetus

2 months ago

Why do people say it ends on the 1st when the contract says it ends on the 22nd?

2

Democratic VP nominee?

Cetus

2 months ago

Harris will not choose Shapiro because of his stance on Israel. They need to convince college students to vote in Michigan and this pick would cost them Michigan. Kelly is the safest choice. He will convince right leaning swing voters and win them Arizona.

1