archaic

Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?

archaic

5 days ago

He lost the debate, so it will be a smart move to replace his asap, right?

0

Talophex

1 week ago

Are Yes holders aware the election is this November, as in three weeks from now?

Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?

archaic

1 week ago

His Yes thesis was based on the assumption that "the little strip of marshland west of Tetkino is gone". However it took the Russians only a few days to regain control over this village back in March...

0

8e8d

2 weeks ago

Lmao, HaterzLoserz has lost $180k in the last week and is now liquidating his positions

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

archaic

2 weeks ago

The smallest unit of Ethereum is WEI, and the stablecoin of MakerDao is DAI.

0

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

archaic

2 weeks ago

Trump wouldn’t have endorsed Bitcoin if Satoshi committed suicide, right?

0

Tentaclecracy

2 weeks ago

I think it is very clear that the HBO documentary will not point to Len Sassaman because of the following reasons: 1) This theory is old (presented in Medium in 2021), and the HBO documentary mentions that they present something new and controversial: "I think we make a hell of a case in the film, and I think that who we land on is unexpected and is going to result in a fair amount of controversy." [See https://www.fastcompany.com/91201894/satoshi-nakamoto-hbo-bitcoin-documnetary-money-electric-trailer ] 2) Len's wife (Meredith) said it was not Len after reading the 2021 Medium article: "It's a very well-researched and respectful article, but to the best of my knowledge, Len was not Satoshi. Worth reading for the history and the conclusions about mental health, though." [See https://x.com/maradydd/status/1364325186372304904 ] 3) Len himself criticized Bitcoin publicly: "This big Bitcoin heist shows Bitcoin suffers from the worst of both worlds: no strong anonymity, yet no fraud reversal protection."[See https://x.com/lensassaman/status/81084436518674433 ]

Tunisia Presidential Election Winner

archaic

2 weeks ago

most elections are unfair

0

TimeQuestion

2 weeks ago

silly to make markets on unfree elections

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

archaic

2 weeks ago

By The Claw, Satoshi Is Revealed.

0

Sri Lanka Presidential Election Winner

archaic

1 month ago

I am afraid that even those who are expected to count the votes will find the procedure extremely confusing

2

AugustoPinochet73

1 month ago

There is no second round, that's how I know you may be Sri Lankan, because no one there really knows how presidential election works

Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?

archaic

1 month ago

Why would a person who was raised in Turin be willing to flee to Dubai?

0

Will Biden finish his term?

archaic

1 month ago

Virtual Private Network is the solution

0

Flightrisk

1 month ago

Are there areas kid the country that restrict polymarket

Next French Prime Minister

archaic

1 month ago

"Many in Paris speculate that Darmanin has his eye on replacing Élisabeth Borne, Macron's embattled prime minister."

0

Next French Prime Minister

archaic

1 month ago

Contacted by Le Monde, the Elysée did not confirm these names were being considered.

0

ROROfrom16

1 month ago

Thierry Beaudet, other

Most medals at 2024 Paralympics?

archaic

1 month ago

How on Earth this market has liquidity rewards and the market on the next French PM does not?

0

X banned in Brazil by Friday?

archaic

1 month ago

Shouldn't they put an announcement into the official gazette for this ban to become effective?

2

X banned in Brazil by Friday?

archaic

1 month ago

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yBZNEWtCvJI

0

CavaSoTasty

1 month ago

i have no idea what is gonna happen but feel like getting 20k "no" shares for $200 after making 6k is worth it lol

Next French Prime Minister

archaic

1 month ago

If Gabriel Attal is going to be reappointed by Macron, it is only natural for Elisabeth Borne to run for the presidency of the Renaissance party.

0

Will Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?

archaic

2 months ago

Solid analysis, but you chose the wrong month. According to your logic buying No here would make more sense: https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-hold-kursk-through-october-31/will-ukraine-hold-kursk-through-october-31?tid=1724335007889

1

n/a

2 months ago

Situation it's really bad for the Ukrainian troops in Kursk oblast. The map it is not updated from days because they are not giving anymore information as many soldier from Ukrainian side died

Will Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?

archaic

2 months ago

Solid analysis, but you chose the wrong month. According to your logic buying No here will make much more sense: https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-hold-kursk-through-october-31/will-ukraine-hold-kursk-through-october-31?tid=1724335007889

0

n/a

2 months ago

Situation it's really bad for the Ukrainian troops in Kursk oblast. The map it is not updated from days because they are not giving anymore information as many soldier from Ukrainian side died

Will Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?

archaic

2 months ago

Solid analysis, but you chose the wrong bet. Buying No here makes much more sense: https://polymarket.com/event/will-ukraine-hold-kursk-through-october-31/will-ukraine-hold-kursk-through-october-31?tid=1724335007889

0

n/a

2 months ago

Situation it's really bad for the Ukrainian troops in Kursk oblast. The map it is not updated from days because they are not giving anymore information as many soldier from Ukrainian side died

Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024?

archaic

2 months ago

https://www.novinky.cz/clanek/domaci-pavel-do-nato-by-mohla-vstoupit-i-okupovana-ukrajina-40484662

0

Will Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?

archaic

2 months ago

The demarcation of the Russia–Ukraine border was never completed. The difference between the Russian and the western approaches is that Russia might be meddling in elections, yet the US or UK are mostly specializing in meddling in civil wars.

1

🤺JustClément

2 months ago

Russia is a fake country that does not exist separate from Ukraine on old maps, and the Russians speak the same language as the Ukrainians, it is only natural for the Ukrainain army to attempt to reunify Ukraine and Russia. Finally, and perhaps most importantly, Russia has been overrun by Nazis and needs to be denazified. And it is imperative that we support the Ukrainian army's attempts to denazify Russia.

Maduro out before September?

archaic

2 months ago

To put things into perspective... Bangladesh PM has resigned and left the country. No one expected this as she was at ~ 95% to win/rig the election.

1

Maduro out in 2024?

archaic

2 months ago

Arresting opponents didn't help Sheikh Hasina in Bangladesh. https://sg.news.yahoo.com/bangladesh-says-student-leaders-held-071938077.html She resigned soon afterwards.

0

Donkov

2 months ago

They goin in jail https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c74ll793g42o

Will Kamala Harris drop out in August?

archaic

2 months ago

Jeez! I somehow thought that the convention has already taken place. 🤦‍♂️

0

basedd

2 months ago

it was always big mike. kamala will hand over the nomination to her overlords at the convention

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

archaic

2 months ago

There was a precedent when they resolved as 50/50

0

Salveenee

2 months ago

contract says it can only resolve 100-0

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

archaic

2 months ago

This should be resolved 50/50 as both resolution criteria are met simultaneously. Also this is not a market on realpolitik as the rules make a bizarre assumption about some second round?! Fantasy sports betting is a thing, so this must be its ugly political cousin.

3

Democratic Nominee 2024

archaic

2 months ago

any exit polls?

0

VibesGreaterRules

2 months ago

Harris was the presumptive nominee 3 days ago. She became the official nominee at 6pm ET. The AP and Bloomberg reported a statement from the DNC at 11:55pm (approx) confirming this.

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

archaic

2 months ago

Only the French Left is allowed to defy pollsters.

2

Democratic Nominee 2024

archaic

2 months ago

The Obamas sounded insincere, and Kamala was clearly confused and frightened.

2

Rafin

2 months ago

Given that Michelle Obama now personally endorsed Kamala Harris, are those 1% still going to hold fast?

What will Biden say during his Press Conference today?

archaic

3 months ago

it must refer to the person Nancy Pelosi.

0

JustinTrudeau

3 months ago

LOL NANCY IS THE REPORTERS NAME

Which coalition wins most seats in French Election?

archaic

3 months ago

RN + The Republicans won most seats!

0

Next President of Iran?

archaic

3 months ago

Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf had this election in the bag, but then came the Azeri guy and Other option prevailed.

0

Jill Biden charged with elder abuse?

archaic

3 months ago

No way she can get away with it! Lock her up!

1

Did Barron Trump launch $DJT?

archaic

4 months ago

“lawyers are gonna shut everyone up“. That worked out nicely with Stormy

1

akro

4 months ago

just because you believe barron was actually involved doesn't mean you should bet YES. admins aren't going to consider the twitter spaces or any of shkreli's evidence as "definitive", so you have to be betting on something more coming out. lawyers are gonna shut everyone up. even if shkreli goes nuclear and releases everything he has it still might not be enough. i was a yes holder but sold out once i realized this.

Is $DJT real?

archaic

4 months ago

The $DJT S-1 has gone effective. SEC gives it the green light. So it must be real.

1

Indian Election: How many seats will the NDA win?

archaic

4 months ago

Indian scams are the worst ☹️

0

n/a

4 months ago

bout time everyone knew how low polling standards and journalistic standards are in india. the exit polls dont mean shit, gg everyone.

South Africa Election: Will ANC win a majority of seats?

archaic

4 months ago

The party’s head of elections, Mdumiseni Ntuli, seems to imply that majority is basically in the bag.

0

archaic

4 months ago

“The ANC is cognizant of the fact that it is no longer in a position where it can monopolize everything, even with our majority,” he said in an interview. “I think the ANC will have to think much more broader and understand that on its own, it may not be able to sustain the stability we need in the country.”

South Africa Election: Will ANC win a majority of seats?

archaic

4 months ago

“The ANC is cognizant of the fact that it is no longer in a position where it can monopolize everything, even with our majority,” he said in an interview. “I think the ANC will have to think much more broader and understand that on its own, it may not be able to sustain the stability we need in the country.”

0

Retardio major exchange listing in March?

archaic

7 months ago

What’s next ? Dumfuq coin ?

0

Muslim group responsible for Moscow attack?

archaic

7 months ago

It is kinda “funny” when the “free media” has more insight into terrorist plans than they have themselves

0

ooops

7 months ago

Seems like us intelligence has already confirmed it was ISIS. Sure Putin might try to frame it like Ukraine did it to get more people motivated fighting his war against Ukraine. But if a consensus of reporting will be used, i think yes is right in this one.

Muslim group responsible for Moscow attack?

archaic

7 months ago

There is no presence of any ISIS paraphernalia.

0

Will Sweden join NATO by March 31?

archaic

7 months ago

László Kövér is no longer Speaker. Reporting by Reuters is inaccurate.

2

aenews2

7 months ago

https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/1763845475159932977

Will Sweden join NATO by February 29?

archaic

7 months ago

You can make it back in Sweden-to-join-nato-by-March-31 market.

0

EXTELLABURST

7 months ago

God will not remember the barbarous Magyar hordes fondly. May Novak, Sulyok, Orban, and the entire country of Hungary die a slow and drawn out death for causing me to lose this bet.

Will Sweden join NATO by February 29?

archaic

7 months ago

wow that was quick

4

basedd

7 months ago

The 32nd flagpole has been raised at the Nato HQ in preparation of Sweden's accession.

Odie successfully lands on the moon by Thursday?

archaic

8 months ago

India's Chandrayaan-3 lunar lander completed a soft-landing on the moon on Aug. 23, 2023.

0

archaic

8 months ago

not a word about Odie making a SOFT touchdown.

Odie successfully lands on the moon by Thursday?

archaic

8 months ago

"SLIM was deemed a success as it made a soft touchdown, but later was revealed to have landed in a position that left its solar panels pointed in the wrong direction, causing that spacecraft to quickly lose power."

0

archaic

8 months ago

not a word about Odie making a SOFT touchdown.

Odie successfully lands on the moon by Thursday?

archaic

8 months ago

not a word about Odie making a SOFT touchdown.

0

US call for Gaza ceasefire before March?

archaic

8 months ago

there is no transcript of a call

0

JesusHChrist

8 months ago

So is this over or what?

US call for Gaza ceasefire before March?

archaic

8 months ago

Mr. Ben-Gurion, tear down this wall! For God's sake, we need a lasting peace in Giza for a week or two.

0

archaic

8 months ago

WASHINGTON, Feb 16 (Reuters) "The Biden administration has been prodding Israel to undertake a humanitarian pause that would allow for the release of hostages still being held by Hamas."

US call for Gaza ceasefire before March?

archaic

8 months ago

WASHINGTON, Feb 16 (Reuters) "The Biden administration has been prodding Israel to undertake a humanitarian pause that would allow for the release of hostages still being held by Hamas."

0

Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sotheby’s?

archaic

8 months ago

I would rather worry that the lot itself can be withdrawn any moment now…

0

Caution

8 months ago

We can check the bid record to know the final winning bid price through easy sign-up and log-in of Sotheby's. In fact we don't know the exact premium or fees right, because they are commercially confidential?

Will Russia invade Alaska before March?

archaic

8 months ago

in Soviet Russia Alaska invades you.

0