Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

2 weeks ago

I will try to explain for people so they understand....the Isrealis are doing raids, they are doing this to clear the way for armored vehicles and troops so they can "establish control". So you need to wait a little, about the holidays that's a funny and sad argument. You do realize we talk about war ? And about the September market... it s complicated, the argument for YES on that ,market would be that even if they are doing only raids, they are still part of the bigger military campaign (but then also airstrikes would be )

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

2 weeks ago

They are doing raids so that after they will enter with armored vehicles, so the strategy dose not need to change

0

Justifax

2 weeks ago

The only way this market can go YES and september go NO if for some reason, idf changes their strategy in november. Given the holidays, not a lot of time for that. Seems very improbable

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

2 weeks ago

Infantry, armoured units to join ground operation in Lebanon.. give it one week and then it woun't be a debate anymore

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

So the fog of war still exists...

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

Let's hope it dose not destabilize the zone to the point of no return. Thank you HatezLosers you put in the comments some very good sources. For those who made money on this next time you see a refugee or someone who is affected by the war, maybe you lend a helping hand.

7

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

Quiet before the Storm

5

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

Wait a couple of days you will get a better story

0

Donkov

3 weeks ago

Can we get another ABC story? 🥺 👉👈

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

Depends on the operation and the declarations - special ops surely don't count

0

Foreseeable.

3 weeks ago

A "limited military operation into southern lebanon" is still an invasion according to the rules of this bet: "if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over ANY portion of Lebanon"

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

You think they send all the troops at the border and did all the strikes for nothing ?

1

Justifax

3 weeks ago

A big deal are the cumta alerts. They seem to have stopped and may hezbo is going to chill. Israel may invade regardless, but let's see.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

Depends what the Israeli goverment declares if they start raids only but they declare that this operations are made in order to establish a DMZ/Safezone then the bet should resolve YES

0

🤺JustClément

3 weeks ago

As far as the nutcases spamming in here, if the IDF conducts small raids in Lebanon where they enter and leave, this market will be NO and the troops enter market will be YES. If they start a ground offensive, this market will be YES. We went through this last year in Gaza with small scale missions not counting.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

Still it may take a couple o days so you're lucky

0

MrKangaroo

3 weeks ago

"Rumors IDF are conducting ground op. in Lebanon are false", "Israel has not yet decided to invade Lebanon as part of the ongoing conflict with Hezbollah", "No final decision on ground operations", "Israel prefers to see whether the new Hezbollah leader, as yet unannounced, will take a more pragmatic approach to ending the current conflict", "It is also hoped that holding off an invasion to give some more potential time to diplomacy will assuage US anger at Israel for killing Nasrallah and achieve more "slack" with the US when and if an invasion is necessary", "While no invasion decision is necessarily imminent, if the IDF invades, there is pressure to start the invasion within weeks" - https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-822290

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

No decision has been taken, let's just send in the middle of the night 100 tanks

0

MrKangaroo

3 weeks ago

"Rumors IDF are conducting ground op. in Lebanon are false", "Israel has not yet decided to invade Lebanon as part of the ongoing conflict with Hezbollah", "No final decision on ground operations", "Israel prefers to see whether the new Hezbollah leader, as yet unannounced, will take a more pragmatic approach to ending the current conflict", "It is also hoped that holding off an invasion to give some more potential time to diplomacy will assuage US anger at Israel for killing Nasrallah and achieve more "slack" with the US when and if an invasion is necessary", "While no invasion decision is necessarily imminent, if the IDF invades, there is pressure to start the invasion within weeks" - https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-822290

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

Look at the photos, no it dose not look like a invasion https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2024/9/29/israel-attacks-lebanon-live-non-stop-bombardment-as-hezbollah-mourns-chief?update=3209482, but this market is has little time so be careful

0

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

Look at photos, no it dose not look like a invasion https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2024/9/29/israel-attacks-lebanon-live-non-stop-bombardment-as-hezbollah-mourns-chief?update=3209482, but be aware for this market it may take a couple of days to move

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

Look at the photos, no it dose not look like a invasion https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2024/9/29/israel-attacks-lebanon-live-non-stop-bombardment-as-hezbollah-mourns-chief?update=3209482

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

Also maybe they will act like Gaza, were they will do a couple of days small incursions, special ops and after enter with troops to establish control so be careful

0

Foreseeable.

3 weeks ago

If Israel goes over the border, they are obviously going for control. This spread to the other market ("enters" @ 30%) makes zero sense. https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-in-september/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-in-september?tid=1727594306830

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

This market is mispriced now, they just send a lot of troops at that boarder and news outlets that were saying a couple of days that a ground invasion is highly unlikely, now say that it is likely to have limited operations soon..so imagine what will be in a couple of days.

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

also Reuters and AP have the article now

1

Justifax

3 weeks ago

No confirmation for ABC report, though it would be odd for them to carelessly scare the entire middle east, and potentially the world.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

I just saw how they were sending 22 tanks :))

3

General.William.T.Sherman

3 weeks ago

I think it’s very likely Israel moves into Lebanon to push them off the border. I just don’t think they will start within 4 weeks. They will continue to hit them with airstrikes. Less risk to Israeli troops lives, and they have been very successful hitting Hezbollah as is.

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by September 30?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-orders-some-beirut-embassy-staff-members-leave-lebanon-2024-09-28/

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

You think they will enter today ?

0

HaterzLoserz

3 weeks ago

https://x.com/ELINTNews/status/1840090463287603437

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

https://abcnews.go.com/International/live-updates/israel-gaza-hamas-hezbollah-war/?id=113917948&entryId=114317700

3

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

https://x.com/AJABreaking/status/1840083363484389486

3

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

Urgent | ABC, citing an American official: Israel is preparing for a limited ground attack in #Lebanon

4

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

I put your text on discord let s see

0

Justifax

3 weeks ago

I would argue that invading maritime territory counts. The rules say 'any portion'. If Israel starts occupying Lebanon's maritime territory especially for the purpose of controlling who can pass through it - that definitely satisfies both invasion and the rules. https://japannews.yomiuri.co.jp/editorial/yomiuri-editorial/20240910-210355/

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

It should count but there are not so many articles

0

Justifax

3 weeks ago

I would argue that invading maritime territory counts. The rules say 'any portion'. If Israel starts occupying Lebanon's maritime territory especially for the purpose of controlling who can pass through it - that definitely satisfies both invasion and the rules. https://japannews.yomiuri.co.jp/editorial/yomiuri-editorial/20240910-210355/

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

https://x.com/nourabohsn/status/1839965734417432680

3

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

Delete cookies

1

NorTrader

3 weeks ago

Anyone having issues with selling shares you own? Im not able to put my shares out for sale

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

Funny how this market has the same price as yesterday, when they discussing a ceasefire

3

Justifax

3 weeks ago

Funny how we went from ceasefire implemented in a few hours, to nuking 4 city blocks of Beirut in the space of a few hours. I think you need to watch what they do rather than say at this point.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

https://x.com/DeItaone/status/1839683474908651967

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

Another day, another high for YES, it seems things escalate every day

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

Towards the possibility of a ground maneuver in southern Lebanon - the IDF says: "We have great confidence in the maneuver and the ground army. The forces gained a great deal of battlefield experience from fighting in the Gaza Strip. The command avenue of the IDF has a lot of experience, which cannot be bought in training. The IDF is a different army - it is experiencing strengthening, from the ordeal of 7/10."

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

My opinion is they say this not to get too much heat, an article that supports this view:https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/article-821246

0

scottilicious

3 weeks ago

Seymour Hirsch: "I had a talk with another well-informed Israeli veteran, who was seriously wounded in an earlier war, who explained that the Israeli decision to trigger the explosives was not the planned act of war that it seemed to be. He said the embedded materials were triggered only because Mossad learned that its action had been inadvertently discovered by a few Hamas officials who had brought their pagers in for routine repairs. It was that discovery that led Netanyahu or one of his aides to authorize the attack. "

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

See comments down, it was discussed. 90% of the cases if they will enter this will rezolve to YES

0

crow

3 weeks ago

reminder: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon, this means If Israel crosses the borders just to fight Hezbollah this will resolve "no"

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

He is saying that Lebanese and Shia people will overthrow them

0

Justifax

3 weeks ago

I still think this is absolutely insane. Are you seriously trying to tell me that it didn't occur to Hez that Israel might bomb civilians as retribution to their missiles? I just don't believe it for a second.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

It's quite true what he says, but the issue with this is that Hezbollah will also realize this aspect so they will replay at a point by escalating that will bring the ground invasion.

0

scottilicious

3 weeks ago

Wall Street Journal: “Hezbollah are damned if they do and damned if they don’t,” said Aram Nerguizian, a nonresident senior associate at the Center for Strategic and International Studies with expertise in military dynamics in the Middle East. “The risk for the group is that the longer this goes on—and the longer the Israelis are able to avoid getting into a ground campaign that only benefits Hezbollah—the more rapidly the group’s credibility, monopoly on national security politics, and de facto political hegemony are degraded,” Nerguizian said.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

Ahahaha you put a no in front ? Ben Gvir threatens to withdraw his party from coalition if Netanyahu agrees to Lebanon ceasefire

0

Car

3 weeks ago

Netanyahu under pressure: In sign that there will bo no ceasefire in Lebanon, Israel’s National Security Minister Ben Gvir threatens PM Netanyahu that his faction will leave the government in such case. As it had been with the talks on hostages deal and a truce in Gaza, Ben Gvir will get what he wants

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

things change, https://x.com/BriHerremans/status/1839252750799962559

0

Car

3 weeks ago

https://x.com/patrickdehahn/status/1838955210955186492?s=46&t=Colxjm4-Co9jTiM0tdXATA

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

*Aljazeera

0

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

Everybody thinks it s only up to Israel to agree but Hezbollah will not enter into negotiations as it is in a weak position and has still not used its strategic assets

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

Everybody thinks it s only up to Israel to agree but Hezbollah will not enter into negotiations as it is in a weak position and has still not used its strategic assets

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

Not the missiles, think about of pager operation how much they waited to use it

1

Vladyslav322

3 weeks ago

people who believes in ceasefire also believes in santa claus probably. Imagine wasting thousends missles today for a ceasefire tomorrow is a joke. Car will just sell on a good price after you invest in Not and leave that thread xd

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

I am here , waiting to buy at a better price

2

Car

3 weeks ago

Wtf where did YES buyers go? Is the war cancelled?!

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

A statement provided more comments from army chief Herzi Halevi on Israel’s plan against Hezbollah. “Hezbollah today expanded its [range] of fire. Later today, it will receive a very strong response … We are not stopping. We will keep attacking and harming them everywhere,” Halevi told a tank unit along the border with Lebanon. “Your entry there with force … will show [Hezbollah] what it is like to meet a professional combat force. You are coming in much stronger than them, much more experienced than them. Go in, destroy the enemy there, and go destroy the infrastructure.

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

My question for this market is what if they agree to truce were Hez retreats from the South and Israel enters without a fight ?

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

3 weeks ago

It has been discussed multiple times, they write like that for special ops not to count, if any armored vehicle enters well that's about it. It will be all over on the news so it's not a problem.

1

Schopenhauer

3 weeks ago

This market is about establishing control of a portion of Lebanon, I wonder if israeli forces entering Lebanon and going back count for a yes

Will Zelensky meet with Trump in September?

MisTKy

0 months ago

But what he said about the meeting ?

0

Eyebrows

0 months ago

Don't forget that Trump totally will never ever do a debate and is completely incapable of changing his mind about it before the end of October

Will Zelensky meet with Trump in September?

MisTKy

0 months ago

What he said about the meetin i see it's dumping bad

0

Car

0 months ago

mistakes have been made

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

1 month ago

Reports of tanks near boarder:Rocket interceptions were visible in the city of Maalot, while military vehicles, including tanks, were in position in the Golan Heights.

3

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

MisTKy

1 month ago

Reports of tanks near the border: Rocket interceptions were visible in the city of Maalot, while military vehicles, including tanks, were in position in the Golan Heights.

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

MisTKy

1 month ago

wait until they start the fireworks tonight

0

MrKangaroo

1 month ago

time decay ❤️

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

1 month ago

The IRGC is the only thing keeping the Islamic Regime in power in Iran. Now with the mine accident maybe social unrest will start again.

0

HaterzLoserz

1 month ago

Timing for Israel is far better than most people give credit for. They stopped asking US permission for things quite a while ago, and now prefer to act first and ask forgiveness later. or rather, assume the US wont do shit pre election at least. Key figures in govt like Ben Gvir will be bulling for taking more arab land, thats his whole thing, i hate the fucking cunt, but it is what it is. The stated goals of returning residents to North Israel require a buffer zone, shooting rockets into lebanon indefinitely to deter hezb isnt a real option either, gotta make a DMZ basically if they want that. And if harris wins the election, that might become a whole lot more complicated, better to take it now and mch harder for harris to make you leave then. And Hezb is at an all time low in strenght and coordination right now, this is the time to land a decisive blow that will cripple them for years. With Hamas + Hezb crippled, Irans only option will be direct conflict, which they dont want to get into.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

MisTKy

1 month ago

And from Aljazeera headlines (mind that this news outlet is pro Hezbollah):More people leaving southern Lebanon as conflict with Israel intensifies/Hospitals in northern Israel instructed to shift to war footing

0

MisTKy

1 month ago

So this is was happened it last 24h according to accounts of israeli reporters: 1. IDF steps up efforts to reduce Hezbollah arsenal, ahead of potential ground invasion to push terrorists away from border & demilitarize area; army is targeting arms depots, launchers & staging areas. 2. Air Force is also striking deeper in Lebanon to neutralize air defenses supplied by Iran, clear airspace for Israeli warplanes before launching more intense attacks in next stage of conflict.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

MisTKy

1 month ago

So this is was happened it last 24h according to accounts of israeli reporters: 1. IDF steps up efforts to reduce Hezbollah arsenal, ahead of potential ground invasion to push terrorists away from border & demilitarize area; army is targeting arms depots, launchers & staging areas. 2. Air Force is also striking deeper in Lebanon to neutralize air defenses supplied by Iran, clear airspace for Israeli warplanes before launching more intense attacks in next stage of conflict.

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

1 month ago

Maybe, i am also wandering how much they will bomb before, but there is one fact to keep in mind, now Iran has a shortage of rocket launchers (see what they sent to Russia), so maybe the israelis will hurry up

0

scottilicious

1 month ago

a quote from an Israeli source I read a week or so ago said this process could take several weeks to several months...

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

1 month ago

And from Aljazeera headlines (mind that this news outlet is pro Hezbollah):More people leaving southern Lebanon as conflict with Israel intensifies/Hospitals in northern Israel instructed to shift to war footing

0

MisTKy

1 month ago

So this is was happened it last 24h according to accounts of israeli reporters: 1. IDF steps up efforts to reduce Hezbollah arsenal, ahead of potential ground invasion to push terrorists away from border & demilitarize area; army is targeting arms depots, launchers & staging areas. 2. Air Force is also striking deeper in Lebanon to neutralize air defenses supplied by Iran, clear airspace for Israeli warplanes before launching more intense attacks in next stage of conflict.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

1 month ago

Why ?

0

Justifax

1 month ago

The key date in all of this is Oct 7th.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

1 month ago

Today they bombed until now about 200 targets and they declare stuff like this “In recent days, the commanders of the divisions and brigades under the Northern Command carried out situation assessments and additional tours in the region, as part of preparations for the widening of the fighting in the area,” the IDF adds.

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

1 month ago

People are overvaluing the importance of US elections in this event. Israeli people are paying the highest price with lives. If they create a buffer zone in that area before elections either of the candidates will need to go with it.

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

1 month ago

Fake account because your worried about your position ?

0

SWIFTTT

1 month ago

i dont think yall realize how huge of an event israel invading lebanon would be. it will spark a huge regional war, largest regional war in past 2 decades

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

1 month ago

You mean this Yoav Gallant: "The Sequence of Actions in the New Phase will continue until our Goal is Achieved: the Safe Return of the Residents of the North to their Homes.” :))

0

Car

1 month ago

Keep betting YES: ISRAELI MILITARY SPOKESPERSON SAYS ISRAEL NOT SEEKING REGIONAL ESCALATION

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

1 month ago

Have you ever heard of Litani river ?

2

Car

1 month ago

Hezbollah commander Ibrahim Aqil targeted in rocket attack. Their military operations are only to destory the terrorists, not to establish control over any portion of Lebanon. Idk why yall think Israel wants some parts of that desert

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

1 month ago

I am not interested to pump, i just put the latest data out

0

MisTKy

1 month ago

I will show you what's new: We’ve also seen videos from Israeli government media sources showing the destruction of their own minefields on the border. They’re clearing those minefields to make way for what most likely will be a movement of ground forces into southern Lebanon.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

1 month ago

Please explain to us the difference

0

Sit

1 month ago

Some people here don't know the difference between attacking and invading.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

1 month ago

Aljazeera

0

Justifax

1 month ago

ok this is new: https://www.timesofisrael.com/return-of-displaced-northern-residents-to-their-homes-becomes-an-official-war-goal/

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

1 month ago

IDF renews call for many northern residents to stay close to bomb shelters

0

Car

1 month ago

IDF: Following a situational assessment and in accordance with Home Front Command guidelines, it was decided that restrictions that were set yesterday (Thursday) on the communities of Merom HaGalil, Northern Galilee, Kiryat Shmona, Mevo'ot HaHermon, Yesud HaMa'ala, Hatzor, Rosh Pinna, Safed, Metula and communities in the northern Golan north of Katzrin will be lifted.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

MisTKy

1 month ago

https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-820956 here is the movement

0

XiJinPing

1 month ago

September is so free -- "U.S. officials stressed that they haven’t yet seen any indicators such as calling up reserves to indicate an imminent invasion. Even once a decision is made, it could take weeks before Israeli forces are in position to launch a major offensive."

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

1 month ago

I will show you what's new: We’ve also seen videos from Israeli government media sources showing the destruction of their own minefields on the border. They’re clearing those minefields to make way for what most likely will be a movement of ground forces into southern Lebanon.

1

Justifax

1 month ago

ok this is new: https://www.timesofisrael.com/return-of-displaced-northern-residents-to-their-homes-becomes-an-official-war-goal/

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

MisTKy

1 month ago

Maybe but still the're are reports of massive training exercises this weekend there also this appeared now We’ve also seen videos from Israeli government media sources showing the destruction of their own minefields on the border. They’re clearing those minefields to make way for what most likely will be a movement of ground forces into southern Lebanon.

0

XiJinPing

1 month ago

September is so free -- "U.S. officials stressed that they haven’t yet seen any indicators such as calling up reserves to indicate an imminent invasion. Even once a decision is made, it could take weeks before Israeli forces are in position to launch a major offensive."

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

1 month ago

Report: Growing concern in US that Israel could soon send troops into Lebanon

0

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

MisTKy

1 month ago

Again you ? I thought you went gambling anonymous

5

Mountainman

1 month ago

Maybe because you have to be a dumbass to still be holding NO when you could of sold days ago for a great profit and will now watch it turn into a loss.

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

MisTKy

1 month ago

Is it because of the fake coin on Raydium ?

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

1 month ago

Thank you

1

Car

1 month ago

the invasion needs to be: "intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon". This is hard to prove without a statement from IDF on why the made the invasion. Its a big risk for YES holders. Like I said earlier, there can be so many reasons why they invade. Its just a warning, you dont need to do shit ofcourse. But read the rules carefuly.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

1 month ago

There is, i do understand that, but creating a buffer zone is surely "establish control over any portion of Lebanon "

0

scottilicious

1 month ago

The rules seem to stipulate an invasion meant to establish control vs an operation meant to take out specific targets so there is some legitimate nuance there.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

1 month ago

Can you explain more ?

0

Car

1 month ago

simply invading Lebanon does not resolve this market to YES. That is what I have been trying to tell you for a few times now, but all you want to do is call me a scammer.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

1 month ago

Remember when Russia invaded Ukraine that they were saying that the amassed troops for training near the boarder ? The IDF will conduct large-scale training exercises in all northern area firing zones over the coming weekend, the IDF announced on Thursday. The military emphasized that entering the firing zones is strictly prohibited and can be life-threatening. They noted that gunfire and explosions may be heard in nearby communities. https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-820956

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

1 month ago

Ofc maybe they descalate and nothing happens

0

MisTKy

1 month ago

Another thing that people misunderstand is that they think it will be a fast operation like a blitzkrieg in the night. My opinion is that it will be a slow entry more like the Turkish one in Syria.https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Turkish_offensive_into_north-eastern_Syria

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

1 month ago

Another thing that people misunderstand is that they think it will be a fast operation like a blitzkrieg in the night. My opinion is that it will be a slow entry more like the Turkish one in Syria.https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Turkish_offensive_into_north-eastern_Syria

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

1 month ago

If you guys are betting thinking that rules are unclear your very wrong. If Israel will enter Lebanon, it woun't be something debatable. They will probably announce it and the intent will be to retain control over that area. They woun't invade whole Lebanon probably just try to create a area of a couple of Km. Don t get scammed by Car.

5

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

1 month ago

So it is like this, they blow up communications, they amass troops on the border, they prepare the public (they say their goal is to bring back people to the north) ofc they woun't say invasion they will say that they need to establish a buffer zone/safe zone in Lebanon :D

1

Car

1 month ago

These rules suck. Goodluck YES holders

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

1 month ago

?

0

Car

1 month ago

These rules suck. Goodluck YES holders

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

1 month ago

You're celebrating a little early

1

rozi

1 month ago

Nothing ever happens.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

1 month ago

Also artillery

0

DumfriestheGOAT

1 month ago

https://x.com/spectatorindex/status/1836517274754388183?t=3RMi61IdUHGpW1TYGQKMoA&s=19 Airstrikes to prepare an assault?

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

1 month ago

Israel moves 98th elite brigade from Gaza to Lebanese front https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/israel-moves-98th-elite-brigade-from-gaza-to-lebanese-front/3334151

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

1 month ago

https://elpais.com/internacional/2024-09-18/guerra-entre-israel-y-gaza-en-directo.html?ssm=TW_CC

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scottilicious

1 month ago

source?

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

1 month ago

Good Luck

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scottilicious

1 month ago

@MissTKY MissTK I like most of your bets, they're sensible enough. Yes it's a risky bet but I don't think now is any riskier than it has been in the last few months. The pager thing was more psychological warfare than anything, Hezbollah can still communicate. I don't think that was as much of an ace in hand. Probably shoulda gone less aggressive on this one but I'm standing firm. Also note that an attack and an invasion meant to keep territory have very different outcomes for this bet.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

MisTKy

1 month ago

You have a very risky bet, israelis just used their ace in the hand, if they want to attack now is the moment.

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scottilicious

1 month ago

Status quo most likely until at least US elections. Also Gallant who doesn't want Bibi to hit Lebanon is proving resilient. IMO

ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?

MisTKy

1 month ago

I am sorry for you, i know problem gambling is a big issue

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FyouMoneyOTW

1 month ago

Suck your mom, we start what we wanna start, just take your 10k and do your mom

ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?

MisTKy

1 month ago

Please don't start after the vote is finished that the market was rigged, many people gave you evidence and advice, not to dispute randomly. Yes i agree about the additional context that it changed the rules but you had time to do something about it.

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ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?

MisTKy

1 month ago

Then dispute, why are you trying to trick people to lose their money ? use your own money if you're sure.

1

0x7b23a5j3j1

1 month ago

If there is another dispute the “Yes” will run in my opinion. “NO” holders won’t wait days for a penny. I hope NO holders don’t lose it all for a penny.

ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?

MisTKy

1 month ago

It's not a fight , they already verified, stop wasting your money this is a friendly advice

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Lucky31

1 month ago

Okay I disputed, I thought we could write an actual case to them lol

ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?

MisTKy

1 month ago

You just lost 750

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Lucky31

1 month ago

Okay I disputed, I thought we could write an actual case to them lol

ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?

MisTKy

1 month ago

Thank you for the money, no you can go cry to Bill Ackman

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Mountainman

1 month ago

So let me get this straight. If I dispute this I have to pay $750? And then I hear I would have to dispute twice so then I would pay $750 again?

ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?

MisTKy

1 month ago

You woun't get to sell those yes shares, good luck with your loss, maybe at point you learn to use brain....but the odds are not in your favour.

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Mountainman

1 month ago

It really comes down to a simple question? Who would you trust, Bill Ackman (one of the most successful men on planet Earth) or Negative PnL losers trying to dump their underwater positions on a betting website? Oh yeah, and if you said Bill Ackman you get 12 to 1 odds, IN YOUR FAVOR! :)

ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?

MisTKy

1 month ago

Dude look at you and what you posted :D but still thanks for the money

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Mountainman

1 month ago

Imagine reading that many words written by an idiot that is down $8,000 on this website. Bill Ackman disagrees with you. I will take his word for it. ;)

ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?

MisTKy

1 month ago

if he made it up then "whistleblower releases a signed affidavit" isn't true anymore also good luck getting someone from ABC

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winner69

1 month ago

conclusion the affidavit was published if it s confirmed to have relation with ABC not random dude === yes wins it dosen t matter if he made it up

ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?

MisTKy

1 month ago

Exactly what i told you before, even if i am not familiar with American notarized documents, still it dosen't look like a notary made it

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MisTKy

1 month ago

Conclusion: Chances it was made by a notary: Possible, but unlikely based on the informal tone, unusual phrasing, and the fact that the document doesn't follow the strict, formal structure typical of legal affidavits. The notary could have simply verified the identity of the person signing it without paying much attention to the content, but even then, most professional notaries would be cautious about notarizing something that looks this informal or potentially questionable. Chances it was made by someone random: More likely. The document has several characteristics that suggest it was drafted by someone with limited legal knowledge who may have mimicked a legal document format but didn’t adhere to the formal standards that would be expected from a professional. The casual language, political bias, and lack of substantial legal formatting point to someone attempting to create the appearance of credibility rather than a professional affidavit.

ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?

MisTKy

1 month ago

Conclusion: Chances it was made by a notary: Possible, but unlikely based on the informal tone, unusual phrasing, and the fact that the document doesn't follow the strict, formal structure typical of legal affidavits. The notary could have simply verified the identity of the person signing it without paying much attention to the content, but even then, most professional notaries would be cautious about notarizing something that looks this informal or potentially questionable. Chances it was made by someone random: More likely. The document has several characteristics that suggest it was drafted by someone with limited legal knowledge who may have mimicked a legal document format but didn’t adhere to the formal standards that would be expected from a professional. The casual language, political bias, and lack of substantial legal formatting point to someone attempting to create the appearance of credibility rather than a professional affidavit.

3

ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?

MisTKy

1 month ago

It dosen't even have the phrase that he swears...and it s surely not written by a notary :D

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BennyS

1 month ago

“i have worked at ABC for over 10 years..” next clause: “Since the acquisition of ABC news in 1996, I have observed significant transformations in the nature of news reporting at the organization..”

ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?

MisTKy

1 month ago

They try to pump their bags to sell to somebody

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Justifax

1 month ago

Just understand that neither poly or uma will resolve this as YES unless a credible outlet reports on it. Blogs, twitter accounts will not count. This would be one of the biggest stories in the history of media if it were true.

ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?

MisTKy

1 month ago

I hope they don't disappear after the election

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mapicap

1 month ago

HAHAH polymarket has to be the greatest money redistributing scheme from MAGA to sane people. The frantic link spamming won’t help you, if you’re too iliterate to read the rules. It’s right there in the “Additional Context”. It has to be confirmed by credible sources that THE WHISTLEBLOWER HAS TO HAVE RELATION TO ABC. Magas not being able to read surprises no one though.

ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?

MisTKy

1 month ago

Or if credible sources state that whistleblower has ties with ABC, credible not junk websites.

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betless

1 month ago

does this only resolve if the whistleblower's name is released?

ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?

MisTKy

1 month ago

Why ? The market states until Sunday, if the info is not now then why it should be more days ? Who decides how many days ?

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Justifax

1 month ago

The original source is here - https://x.com/DocNetyoutube/status/1835358499548602666 with the missing pages. Unless you can find references to this in google news it will go NO. This shouldn't be resolved for a few days tho.

ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?

MisTKy

1 month ago

For the purposes of this market, a “whistleblower” is defined as someone with a specific relation to ABC Network. The name must be either be public on the affidavit, or confirmed by credible sources to have relation to ABC.

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BBNFT

1 month ago

it's done. released. Truth doesn't

ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?

MisTKy

1 month ago

How you know i didn't arb that 8k ?

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FyouMoneyOTW

1 month ago

If i were you i’d make up that 8k loss easily by buying yes, just an advice, do I believe abc did this? Honestly i dont care, i care for the rules, and thats what matters when making money

ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?

MisTKy

1 month ago

Were is it signed ? Maybe he made it in word, at least if it would show the notary but that paper i can also make it in 5 minutes.

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BBNFT

1 month ago

Thus, it is a signed affidavit that exactly follows the rules and meets the time criteria. I am not sure what any No voters are clinging to now

ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?

MisTKy

1 month ago

I don't understand how people belive everything thats on the net :( it's sad

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ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?

MisTKy

1 month ago

What affidavit is that ? If were at least to show the notary , that's a fake document.

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Mountainman

1 month ago

This is what happens every time a market with heavy odds turns against the Big Dogs who buy shit like this at .98 cents. They are fucked now, and will manipulate the market as much as they can to unwind as much as possible, but this one is done guys. Free money for "YES". Read the affidavit, it's legit.

ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?

MisTKy

1 month ago

Sorry Milky you had your chance to sell

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Lucky31

1 month ago

This has to resolve YES because the first tweet which was the basis for this market said the name would be redacted. then the market was made based off that tweet. The original market had no requirement for a name. just a release of the affidavit. Additional Context added a day later should have never been added

ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?

MisTKy

1 month ago

Again trying to sell your shares be happy with what you got

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Car

1 month ago

For this market to resolve to "Yes", the affidavit needs to be released by the resolution date - the truth of its contents is not relevant for this market.

ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?

MisTKy

1 month ago

Read the additional context of the bet :)

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MartyMcFly

1 month ago

https: Benny Johnson 2m Followers //x.com/bennyjohnson/status/1835347010527822267 not credible?

Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2024?

MisTKy

1 month ago

if your so convinced buy more yes, and it is not DDIC

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Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?

MisTKy

1 month ago

Were do you see uma votes ?

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Car

1 month ago

the 2 whales still have to vote I think. both could be BOY

Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2024?

MisTKy

1 month ago

How do you know it s moving very fast ? :)) i just looked on the case and it got again delayed

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td.

1 month ago

That's not what the rules say. What the rules are saying is that ANY charge in ANY country and any trial, that are related to sex, will count for a yes. Plus, the judicial process is actually moving very fast in this case, to the surprise of all Romanians who never saw this happen so fast

Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2024?

MisTKy

1 month ago

No reasom so for the market to move like this, probably people heard that he got under house arrest but thats a different trial. The judicial process will take a long long time

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Andrew Tate arrested in August?

MisTKy

2 months ago

Yes, house arrest is a form of arrest. It involves confining a person to their residence instead of placing them in a jail or prison. While under house arrest, the individual’s movements are typically restricted, and they may be monitored through electronic devices or regular check-ins with authorities. House arrest is often used as a less severe alternative to traditional incarceration, particularly for non-violent offenses or during pre-trial or post-conviction periods.

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MisTKy

2 months ago

Chat Gpt 4 answers As of August 2024, Andrew Tate is under house arrest in Romania. This follows his arrest on August 21, 2024, during a police raid at his residence. The house arrest is part of an ongoing investigation involving allegations of human trafficking and sexual exploitation. Romanian authorities have placed him under house arrest for 30 days as the investigation continues. This comes after previous legal troubles in Romania and ongoing scrutiny regarding his activities​( ABS-CBN News ).

Andrew Tate arrested in August?

MisTKy

2 months ago

Chat Gpt 4 answers As of August 2024, Andrew Tate is under house arrest in Romania. This follows his arrest on August 21, 2024, during a police raid at his residence. The house arrest is part of an ongoing investigation involving allegations of human trafficking and sexual exploitation. Romanian authorities have placed him under house arrest for 30 days as the investigation continues. This comes after previous legal troubles in Romania and ongoing scrutiny regarding his activities​( ABS-CBN News ).

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Andrew Tate arrested in August?

MisTKy

2 months ago

why you don t propuse ?

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scottilicious

2 months ago

I feel like there are some manipulative types on here trying to be slick to benefit from market volatility. But how convoluted does an argument have to be to say that house arrest isn't a form of arrest? That's crazy.

Andrew Tate arrested in August?

MisTKy

2 months ago

In my opinion, the situation surrounding Andrew Tate's detention and subsequent house arrest in August 2024 is nuanced. Legally, house arrest is a restrictive form of custody and is considered a significant limitation on one's freedom. From a legal perspective, it can be viewed as a form of arrest, even though it differs from being held in a traditional jail setting. The debate about whether house arrest is a "formal arrest" might stem from the different levels of restriction it imposes compared to incarceration. While Tate is not behind bars, his movements and activities are severely limited by the conditions of house arrest, which is a significant legal consequence. Therefore, while some may argue that house arrest is less severe than jail time and thus not a "real" arrest, it still represents a legal form of detention that carries similar implications, especially in the context of ongoing criminal investigations. In a bet or discussion, it would be reasonable to argue that Andrew Tate was indeed "arrested" if we consider the house arrest as a form of detention. Chat GPT

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Andrew Tate arrested in August?

MisTKy

2 months ago

dude it has arrest also in the name what you want more ? the first 24 hours were detention now they are under hosue arrest wich is a form of arrest, like pre arrest and so on.

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xxxxMan

2 months ago

house arrest is not the same as arrest. And detention pre trial is not the same as arrest

Andrew Tate arrested in August?

MisTKy

2 months ago

can someone propuse

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Andrew Tate arrested in August?

MisTKy

2 months ago

https://www.theguardian.com/news/article/2024/aug/22/andrew-tate-placed-under-house-arrest-by-romanian-court-for-30-days so he has been arrested

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