#483
Rank
51
Comments
27
Likes Received
80
Likes Given
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
StatusQuo
6 days ago
That would be a handsome return if you were right :)
1
Clevegasta
6 days ago
Not sure why it won’t let me add any capitol it keeps saying the system is banned in my area but there’s a 0% chance btc is at 70k by the end of October. I’d bet 10k on it if I could
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
StatusQuo
1 week ago
Email harvesting scam
2
JustKen-Fan
1 week ago
For trade alerts for the biggest players like JustKen, check out https://polymarketsignals.com/
Tipping Point State in 2024 Election?
StatusQuo
2 weeks ago
Where is your bet?
1
Spartan37
2 weeks ago
It is NOT PA. PA is going Trump but the tipping state will either be Wisconsin, Michigan, Georgia, or North Carolina, and the state that wins will go to Trump by a large margin of around 3-5%.
Which party wins the most seats Austrian legislative election?
StatusQuo
3 weeks ago
you mean the Elon-flavoured "free" speech?
1
realdeep
3 weeks ago
freedom of speech has won this election. the globalists have lost. good job austria
Which party wins the most seats Austrian legislative election?
StatusQuo
3 weeks ago
I place bets according to what I think will make money. I vote according to what would be the best outcome.
1
li4m20
3 weeks ago
Lol, you placed a bet on the Nazis
Which party wins the most seats Austrian legislative election?
StatusQuo
3 weeks ago
Fucking Nazis I hope the other parties don't let them get to power
2
Trump wins every swing state?
StatusQuo
3 weeks ago
You never heard of stochastic indepedence did you?
0
0x4b7ec229f803B6216A88696a08B69eeC33ada6ae-1727295547219
3 weeks ago
If you break the state by state Polymarket odds down into indivdual money lines and then run it thru a parlay calculator, the payout should be 71 to 1. But you can bet here at 6 to 1???
Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?
StatusQuo
1 month ago
If it was free money you would buy it at 77 cents
2
Arbiter-of-Truth
1 month ago
Waiting for the right time/price but No is free money
Which party wins the most seats Austrian legislative election?
StatusQuo
1 month ago
If it is in fact a tossup election then 30 cents for ÖVP is a good deal!
1
Austragar
1 month ago
Tossup election that I personally wouldn't spend my money on with the current margins... It's gonna be an under 1% lead of either fpö or övp, if övps chances go to about 20% then yes it's worth it. Otherwise 50/50 and risky bet.
Which party wins the most seats Austrian legislative election?
StatusQuo
1 month ago
I disagree. Thus it's a nice betting opportunity :)
2
Lizrael
1 month ago
That's an almost 100%, so not very useful.
Which party wins the most seats Austrian legislative election?
StatusQuo
1 month ago
We need a market if FPÖ is going to be part of the next government
2
When will GPT-5 be announced?
StatusQuo
1 month ago
"GPT-5 refers to a product that is explicitly named GPT-5"
0
mka
1 month ago
OpenAIs "o1" was just announced and released, and is not based on GPT-4 ("new set of AI models": https://openai.com/index/introducing-openai-o1-preview/)
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
StatusQuo
1 month ago
Domain Name: votenex.com Creation Date: 2024-09-14T07:00:00Z
0
GouValeau
1 month ago
Оn this bеt, VоtеХ [votenex.com] hаs dоublе thе liquiditу, аnd diffеrеnt оdds. it sееms tо hаvе а strоng аrbitrаgе орроrtunitу in thеsе mаrkеts
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
StatusQuo
1 month ago
It's a scam
0
Elyxir
1 month ago
yes looks like so, thanks for sharing it
Will Joe Biden endorse Donald Trump?
StatusQuo
1 month ago
who tf is betting on these markets
0
shashwatdreams
1 month ago
who tf is making these markets bro
Will Trump debate Kamala on Sept 10?
StatusQuo
1 month ago
Shut up. No 1 rule is to be nice to people who make you money
1
aenews3
1 month ago
Rough Day No Holders?
Will Trump debate Kamala on Sept 10?
StatusQuo
1 month ago
I mean the market is over 95 cents since 27th of August...
0
qur1l
1 month ago
Looks like there's going to be a debate. Fuck
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
StatusQuo
1 month ago
Stop scamming already
0
Krat-OS
1 month ago
The same bet has twice more liquidity and odds are different maybe arb opportunity ? https://predictoneio-medium.com/fed-interest-rates-september-2024
Kamala mentions McDonald’s again before debate?
StatusQuo
1 month ago
Wow this is worthless
1
nnimrodd
1 month ago
Some key polymarket tips i wrote down https://nnimrodd.medium.com/polymarket-playbook-5f53a2dd8ee3
# of debates between Trump and Harris?
StatusQuo
1 month ago
Trump just chickened out
0
Tiger26
2 months ago
If you think Kamala will actually get on a stage and debate Trump you are trapped in the Matrix.
Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?
StatusQuo
2 months ago
*market manipulation noises*
1
Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?
StatusQuo
2 months ago
If before the election the probabilities for the winner are 60-40 this market will be approximately 100-0.
2
Iz12
2 months ago
Mathematically, this is equivalent to the initial market (who will win the election)
Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?
StatusQuo
2 months ago
Mathematically you did zero math on this
3
Iz12
2 months ago
Mathematically, this is equivalent to the initial market (who will win the election)
Will 538 correctly call the Presidential Election?
StatusQuo
2 months ago
The 538 forecast at which timepoint? On election day?
0
U.S. Recession in 2024?
StatusQuo
2 months ago
What definition of recession did they use?
0
MichaelFowlie
2 months ago
JP Morgan says there's a 35% probability of recession by end of 2024
Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in…?
StatusQuo
2 months ago
"Yes" if there is no ceasefire [...] that begins between...
0
JeffreyBezos
2 months ago
is this an an opposite market? This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is no official ceasefire agreement... so if you buy the Yes market you are betting on No ceasfire, and if you buy the NO you are betting that there WIll be a ceasfire? is this correct or am i understanding it wrong
Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?
StatusQuo
2 months ago
How do you simulate one event?
0
backflip
2 months ago
After running 10,000 simulations of the remaining events on August 9, 10, and 11, 2024, here are the estimated probabilities: China winning the most gold medals: 8.93%, USA winning the most gold medals: 67.0%, a tie in the number of gold medals: 24.07%.
Maduro out in 2024?
StatusQuo
2 months ago
I don't think Polymarket resolved the election correctly, but this is not contradictory, at the very least since his term is still ongoing
1
Chimp1
2 months ago
I'm confused, I thought the opposition won the election?
UK civil war in 2024?
StatusQuo
2 months ago
Yeah, I'm not touching this. I learned my lesson with such markets.
0
kurwa18989
2 months ago
These rules are far too precise and could be written more vaguely.
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
StatusQuo
2 months ago
Why are you on a betting site when you can't afford food?
6
Idonisio
2 months ago
Hello everyone, I hope this message finds you well. I’m reaching out to this generous community because I find myself in a very difficult situation. I’m a Venezuelan, living in a country where the economic conditions have deteriorated drastically. The inflation rate is skyrocketing, and basic necessities like food and medicine have become almost unattainable. I’m doing everything I can to make ends meet, but it’s been a constant struggle. I have a family to support, and sometimes, it’s hard to put food on the table. I’m humbly asking for any contribution, be it $5, $10, or $20, that you can spare. I know there are many people in need, and I wouldn’t ask if I wasn’t truly desperate. Your help would mean the world to me and my family. It’s not just about the money, but about the hope and humanity it represents. Thank you for taking the time to read my message, and for any assistance you can provide. God bless you all.
Will Trump and Harris debate before election?
StatusQuo
2 months ago
@Apsalar
0
Nasi_Goreng
3 months ago
Won't happen. Trump is scared af. This is basically free money.
Democratic VP nominee?
StatusQuo
2 months ago
...that's why I'm here.
1
Truthy
2 months ago
Pete on par with Mark lmao the volatility of this market would make crypto bros blush
GPT-5 released in 2024?
StatusQuo
2 months ago
We already have this market: https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-gpt-5-be-announced?tid=1722470579405
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon by Friday?
StatusQuo
2 months ago
Read the rules
1
n/a
2 months ago
Done https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1818333110318080036
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
StatusQuo
2 months ago
I feel like this is poor sportsmanship but that's probably the reason I have negative PnL and others make 100k
0
elputoamo
3 months ago
You leave limit orders and wait for some guy to market order 300k
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
StatusQuo
2 months ago
"You won't have to vote anymore"
0
0xbb9a20d4cE0F759F052328ef8dCdc3E83B002B05-1721612781205
2 months ago
Your brainwash is strong. I feel sorry for you. You’re bet on Maduro says it all.
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
StatusQuo
2 months ago
If they're just panic sellers why don't you make a profit off them?
0
yeezus
2 months ago
Stupid ass panic sellers, ugh
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
StatusQuo
2 months ago
Good luck to the people of Venezuela
3
VenVen
2 months ago
Scratch that, already voted. It was swift and calm.
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
StatusQuo
2 months ago
Maybe they're just pessimistic
0
VenVen
2 months ago
What the fuck why am I seeing Maduro sympathizers on the comments but theyre holding NO shares on Maduro??? Do they even know how this works
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
StatusQuo
3 months ago
https://edition.cnn.com/2024/07/24/health/cold-showers-benefits-risks-wellness/index.html
1
Jsoooky
3 months ago
what just happened?
Will Biden finish his term?
StatusQuo
3 months ago
Thank you!
0
StatusQuo
3 months ago
I bought No instead of Yes on accident, can somebody fill it?
Will Biden finish his term?
StatusQuo
3 months ago
I bought No instead of Yes on accident, can somebody fill it?
0
Will Biden finish his term?
StatusQuo
3 months ago
It will resolve to No
2
Solipnihil
3 months ago
If by any chance he dies will it resolve to yes or no?
Will Biden finish his term?
StatusQuo
3 months ago
I think the CFTC doesn't like Polymarket so maybe you can't?
0
SocialMomentum
3 months ago
How do you participate in Polymarket in the USA? i want in on these trades
Will Biden finish his term?
StatusQuo
3 months ago
I don't see you holding NO shares
2
poopy.caca
3 months ago
Biden will not finish his term
Democratic Nominee 2024
StatusQuo
3 months ago
You should read carefully: "Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market."
1
PolyMucket
3 months ago
You guys keep forgetting what John McAfee wrote and I quote “ Russia's first time traveller has returned. Guess what he said: In September Biden is medically diagnosed as unfit for office and quits. They discover that the DNC has legal power to choose a replacement without a National vote! Weird huh? You'll never guess who they chose.“ - John McAfee
Biden drops out today?
StatusQuo
3 months ago
Now we have a market for the 11th AND for the 12th!
2
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
StatusQuo
3 months ago
Not even a billion shares change anything. It's betting not voting.
0
myx
4 months ago
10 shares decide nothing
Democrats flip a 2020 Trump state?
StatusQuo
3 months ago
It's NC
1
McDonalds-Employee
3 months ago
Dear Yes Buyers, which state do you have in mind? Would like to join the party :)
What will Biden say in ABC interview?
StatusQuo
3 months ago
I don't see you buying yes shares though?
0
Car
3 months ago
alley cat very high chance
Biden senile during the debate?
StatusQuo
3 months ago
Sounds like the same bet with with extra steps
6
THE.DONALD.TRUMP
3 months ago
Wanna bet?