#123
Rank
247
Comments
106
Likes Received
8
Likes Given
aldynspeedruns
5 months ago
thanks for the tip
ObamaMan101
5 months ago
75+ bps decrease confirmed (insider information)
aldynspeedruns
5 months ago
😡😡
CloggedCapital
6 months ago
Last press conference counts: - INFLATION: 70 - UNEMPLOYMENT: 24 - CUT: 23 - PRICE: 15 - GROWTH: 9
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
its ok you just need the market to dip hard then you got a shot
ShortMeDaddy
6 months ago
Is 100bps but 3 cuts considered as 4? If yes then im cooked
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
this cheese bussin
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
finally it was good value to buy yes near 90k
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
phew
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
90k a big number so the marcus cares
ethtard
6 months ago
Bitcoin is being such a tease. It's almost like the market knows people are betting on it 🤔
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
u expect it to do that again? thats crazy
TC77
6 months ago
Will go down like a rocket for a few hours bofore touching 90K
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
it didnt
jamesclove
6 months ago
literally touched 90k
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
Last time I had this many shares on a position, that position was worthless. This one is too, but... at least theres a 1% chance its not instead of 0%
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
we're the ones donating
gettin.rich
6 months ago
YES holders thank you for your donations
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
im a gambler im cooked its joever
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
bricked up casino
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
goofy ahh orderbook
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
ppl found where the sell button is
wagabazajr
6 months ago
Why are assholes selling Were wee just 500 away from 90k
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
this is just the beginning
Pedro999
6 months ago
idk what you want guys. it made +11% in one day. it wont go up infinitely. if we are lucky we can see new high in december.
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
crypto
Yourbestbet
6 months ago
70k, 40k, that's just crazy how much people bet. Where do you get all those money?
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
nah buy the dip
muehehhehe
6 months ago
Am I cooked?
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
singed and circus
n/a
6 months ago
I guarantee there are tons of quant gurus who've hooked up Polymarket and exchange APIs to their bots!
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
goddamn
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
😡
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
why is yes at 98.7c its literally a lock
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
yeah ill go ahead and exit my 30k share position at market, thats a great idea
anon783
6 months ago
Wish there is a stop loss order so I can go to sleep. This market is crazy.
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
refer to BTCUSDT on Binance
OtoyaYamaguchi
6 months ago
Umm 85k hit
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
just set an alert for when price reaches that point then you manually exit
anon783
6 months ago
Wish there is a stop loss order so I can go to sleep. This market is crazy.
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
85k prob gonna hit but its not guaranteed, and not guaranteed to hit right now
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
these prices gettin out of hand ngl or mayb its fair value
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
these prices gettin out of hand ngl or mayb its fair value
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
why is yes at 98.7c its literally a lock
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
damn you got a point, i guess we just gonna go sideways for the next 6 months now, oh well
MrNFT
6 months ago
bears thinking its over when they forget we have 20 more days lol
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
wut
bombo
6 months ago
I'm dumping all of my $201 worth of bitcoin on binance, every drop counts, there will be no 85k this month
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
bitcoin aint got time for that, and it aint one-sided cuz the dips to come will go just as hard
BrotherWithoutMoney
6 months ago
when we get one big red line? something crazy with bitcoin
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
nothing is crazy, this is to be expected
BrotherWithoutMoney
6 months ago
when we get one big red line? something crazy with bitcoin
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
i think it will but the 90k bet got expensive, i liked it a lot better back when it was 20c
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
im glad there are whales betting against bitcoin, that way i can get fills that actually have substance
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
im glad there are whales betting against bitcoin, that way i can get fills that actually have substance
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
https://polymarket.com/event/will-bitcoin-hit-100k-in-2024/will-bitcoin-hit-100k-in-2024?tid=1731320453497
ethtard
6 months ago
If $100k was an option, I'd be all in. We're only 9% away from $90k with the most bullish momentum we've seen in the history of crypto.
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
wut is that
R13
6 months ago
5.3 theory is looking doomed
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
yes it does
0xAeacfB0dAb039CA210
6 months ago
Fedwatch 35% vs 30% here. It doesnt make any sense
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
2 rate cuts have been announced, but 3 (75 bps) has happened so far because the first cut was 50 bps, and the 2nd was 25 bps, leading to a total of 75 bps (3). If you think a 25 bps cut would happen, then you bet on 4(100bps)
Djenko2024
6 months ago
Until now 2 rate cuts happened as announcement, regardless of the percentage points. Now, I favor 1 more cut too. However, should I choose 3(75 bps) or 4(100bps)? I anticipate the quantity of the announcements will reach 3, but the bps will reach 100.
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
theres nothing to figure out, its simple
Djenko2024
6 months ago
Until now 2 rate cuts happened as announcement, regardless of the percentage points. Now, I favor 1 more cut too. However, should I choose 3(75 bps) or 4(100bps)? I anticipate the quantity of the announcements will reach 3, but the bps will reach 100.
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
its been due for like 6 months
anon783
6 months ago
Lol these people have no idea what a bull market is.
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
90k lookin just around the corner to me
deadbetsociety
6 months ago
My "No" thesis for 90k: If BTC were to reach 90k, it'd have to add 167 Billion in it's mcap which I don't think is possible. Maybe in December but not possible in next 20 days.
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
binance counts, not coinbase
RadixGui
6 months ago
On Coinbase it hit 80K I got a screenshot
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between November 1, 2024, 00:00 and November 30, 2024, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $80,000.00
RadixGui
6 months ago
On Coinbase it hit 80K I got a screenshot
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
i been waiting to buy 90k at 20c for days and i finally did
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
damn you got a point maybe we're in a bear market
anon783
6 months ago
Lol these people have no idea what a bull market is.
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
there is no stop loss system, you have to manually be there to exit for a loss or have a bot to do that
Yourbestbet
6 months ago
could anyone advise any SL-system ? Some leveraging? I absolutely dislike buying at 90 and selling at 20 the next day I wake up. It needs to be automatic, at 80 maybe, so having 1 to 1 risk to reward.
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
thats called taking profit
Yourbestbet
6 months ago
could anyone advise any SL-system ? Some leveraging? I absolutely dislike buying at 90 and selling at 20 the next day I wake up. It needs to be automatic, at 80 maybe, so having 1 to 1 risk to reward.
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
goofy ahh 77k wall
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
,bg oy7gyt
FHGJHXOVIA
6 months ago
hibikl
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
hall of shame
BarutEfe
6 months ago
impossible 85k
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
dont want to suggest what you should do, but be aware that these prices are probably not reflecting the current context of bitcoin right now
butterknife
6 months ago
ok can someone really tell me if it's going to hit 77500mmmm
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
very likely, betting against it is wild
butterknife
6 months ago
ok can someone really tell me if it's going to hit 77500mmmm
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
ur crazy
BarutEfe
6 months ago
impossible 85k
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
yayyo
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
ur cooked
PolymarketKing
6 months ago
overheated market
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
or maybe ppl r dumping because they dont want to wait 2 months
SeniorLaghetto
6 months ago
someone is trying to dump this market with fake info to buy a lot of shares cheaper
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
if you buy other you have a 1000:1 reward to risk ratio, that must be the best trade so you should do it
JF21
6 months ago
It amazes me how most talk about what is most likely, but not what is most unlikely. A "no" on RR actually. Have fun.
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
doesnt have to
Chyk-Chyryk
6 months ago
Why can't it still touch 67500?
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
im cooked if this doesn't hit
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
no it didn't
Piter
6 months ago
It already hit 67.5k, please help me understand....
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
probabilities change as the futures move, so polymacus is tryna keep up with that but gamblers won't make that easy
dav1
6 months ago
FEDWatch puts a 25 bps decrease chance at 95%... Here's it's 83%?
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
itll prob hit but no guarnatees
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
how in the world was $2 million traded on this market
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
it's not flipping sides, it's converting your NO shares of 1 outcome to YES shares of every other outcome
ShowBaer
6 months ago
Why is there such a large imbalance between YES and NO Holders? Impossible that small fry makes up the difference!
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
negrisk convert, ppl convert no to yes
ShowBaer
6 months ago
Why is there such a large imbalance between YES and NO Holders? Impossible that small fry makes up the difference!
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
nah man, we just need a real quick flash crash and then ur plays will hit
coinfucius
6 months ago
am i cooked, brothers?
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
i watched it 25 bps appreciate nicely over this weekend, 25 bps was a good buy
stormshadow
7 months ago
Now on fedwatch 99.4% probability on 25 bps cut november
aldynspeedruns
6 months ago
sure, ima take financial advice from the guy who's not following his own
MageGold
6 months ago
most like 25 or no change.
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
u have a problem with my 1k crypto bets?
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
people b all loud n proud when price moving in their favor, then they b all silent wen it ain't.
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
people b all loud n proud when price moving in their favor, then they b all silent wen it ain't.
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
oh i sure hope it doesn't get there so they don't win!
debased
7 months ago
to notards, you only win if you push the price to 50c. so re-deposit and bet more to support the cause
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
how many shares you want at 0.5c?
n/a
7 months ago
million did not hit, just rewatched the stream, im 100% sure
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
damn that's crazy
EUROPA
7 months ago
For everyone wondering: He mentioned "tax" 15 times without "taxing queen", otherwise it would be 16. One time, he mumbled "tax", which the mic barely caught.
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
im cooked
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
justscam, car the cat and weatherman aenews won't let that happen
J.D.K
7 months ago
The yes voters yall arent gonna win this unfortunately. This will end off as a vote n No voters will dominate the yes voters unless someone in yes outbuys them or some lol
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
u crazy to fight polymarcus
Sallll
7 months ago
Venezuela have been said 3 times and 2 times venezuelan
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
i have shares for 100k bitcoin this year, this market is october, doesn't matter if it hits 70k on december when the market ends november 1st
BITCOINBEAST
7 months ago
cope. it will go over 80k this year
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
🤪🤪
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
nah i need mine filled for 67500, im still accumulating
TwistedFate
7 months ago
why is 70k basically 50/50, are you guys crazy? its basically this year's ATH, no way it hits
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
y not, send it
TwistedFate
7 months ago
why is 70k basically 50/50, are you guys crazy? its basically this year's ATH, no way it hits
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
my outdated ahh comment was referring to 65k xd
BITCOINBEAST
7 months ago
it will hit it, but i think you know that, so you will unload your bags on some peasent when bitcoin dumps a few K
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
nice share count
Mountainman
7 months ago
NO FUD. No dump. Enjoy holding your NO shares to zero. That's what you get for trying to scam. I hope everyone learned a valuable lesson. :)
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
where is this whitepaper?
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Coin sale, coin deployment, trump in whitepaper and listed as advisor. Send to 99
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
hmm
Cryptobruj
7 months ago
50pb, easiest win of my life
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
🤤🤤
jeeise2
7 months ago
Gambling addiction
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
huh
miting
7 months ago
Nov, No. Jan? Yes, at least 50
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
hit it u gay
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
yeah that's not working in UMA, they're gonna count WLFI
PepeMcPew
7 months ago
Tell us more that you have no idea what this 'coin' is... The title of the market is "launch a coin." Did you know there's a difference between a coin and a TOKEN, which is what $WLFI is? Go ahead, go Google it. $WLFI is NOT a coin. Keep buying yes though, as you like to say in all of your boring comments.
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
so how is the presale coming up the deployment of the token?
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
🤪
MattyFloe
7 months ago
border 30x seems like a stretch now
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
@mountainman Sell Market icon Will Trump launch a coin before the election? Yes 77¢ 262 shares
0xffffffff
7 months ago
surely he wont launch the coin, just as he wrote on foken twitter! (x)
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
i didn't even get a full fill of my starter position stop paper handing
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
idk but im thinkin no
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
i think he said border
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
not all of polymarcus is looking at GME fedwatch to make decisions
dav1
7 months ago
So the CME FedWatch tool says that the market expects a 88% chance of a 25 bps decrease, but Polymarket only thinks 77% chacne???
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
at least car lost money
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
that's crazy
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
that's 1% profit per volume, that's solid
MLS
7 months ago
How you traded over $300k and only made $4k
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
cmon ishowmeat wake up and start flippin again u got another at least 50 in u
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
u didn't buy any shares
ryzen
7 months ago
Speed is at roughly .79 flips per minute he needs .69 flips per minute to complete. He will just be more sore. Easiest 10%
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
ur welcome
gun
7 months ago
Thank you to all yes holder, your donation is appreciated
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
i think ishowmeat can do 1 more push tho
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
where's your take profit
Car
7 months ago
He wakes up well rested, starts doing flips, i win 17k$. Easy!
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
im now properly hedged, either i win or car loses. win no matter what
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
not lookin good honestly
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
this comments section is telling me most of you don't workout
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
joe mama
Car
7 months ago
says the one with a negative PNL
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
my google search history b like: "what counts as a backflip"
Apsalar
7 months ago
"what counts as a backflip" - the greatest evidence rationale thread in the history of uma, locked by Mide after 12,239 pages of heated debate,
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
maybe i shouldn't have used all my cash bonding the HBO market
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
it's not joever until it's joever
Pidor🐓
7 months ago
easy bond. thx all the idiots who fell for the car scam hopefully next time you are a bit smarter
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
price hasn't even moved and car is already paper handing out of half his shares, that's insane
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
now that would be an interesting twist
PolyPollUser
7 months ago
You No's are thinking with your plebian natty mind. The PEDs and Peptides he is injecting when he goes to take a "shit" will help him see this thru.
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
it says on his stream when he's waking up, that may already be priced in
Pidor🐓
7 months ago
the longer he sleeps the more yes odds go up wow. if he sleeps 14 more hours yes will be 100c
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
where's ur tp
Car
7 months ago
dumb bet. Do the math. Use your brain. Sell before its too late, I have warned you.
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
car vs aldynspeedruns
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
idk man
Vipmoney
7 months ago
Could Wei Dai Be Satoshi Nakamoto? 🤔 Wei Dai, creator of b-money (1998), proposed a decentralized, anonymous digital currency years before Bitcoin. His ideas influenced Satoshi Nakamoto, and b-money is even referenced in the Bitcoin whitepaper. Here’s why he could be Satoshi: • B-money & Bitcoin similarities 🏛️💰: Both use decentralized, cryptographic proof-of-work. • Cryptography expert 🔐: Dai developed important cryptographic tools and had the skills needed to create Bitcoin. • Shared philosophy 🕵️‍♂️: Both value privacy and decentralization. • Linguistic clues ✍️: Some writing similarities between Dai and Satoshi. • Mysterious & private 🌑: Dai avoids the spotlight, just like Satoshi. Though Wei Dai has denied being Satoshi, his involvement in early digital currency concepts makes him a strong candidate! Betting on it at current odds could be a smart asymmetric bet—a small risk with potentially huge upside. 🚀
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
damn i didn't expect all the side characters to go to 0 while i was sleeping
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
he just joined, cut him some slacc cuz he's down on his 50 bps bet and that's the only reason he's down
gun
7 months ago
get out of negative pnl then talk
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
u can't lose, u have no position
Suizy
7 months ago
I don't want to lose
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
37.5 bps decrease 🤪
DjaZZy
7 months ago
Other
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
yeah less settle in d middle since we can't come to an agreement 50-50 it! 🤪🤪🤪
0x6b07D80f00a65bE25C8FF1bA57063e5e09D85F59-1722856566954
7 months ago
Even if this resolves to 50-50, Yes is super undervalued
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
chad ate the batman (chad behavior)
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
hell yeah baby
PolyPollUser
7 months ago
We are going to stop the scamming of Domer and make UMA great again!
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
there's no pressure, ur gonna win
Cryptonord
7 months ago
Whether You have 10 or 10K Shares, the pressure is real. Always thinking about this for some dollars worth Mannn Let the truth set me free
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
WHAT
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
7 months ago
Yes, you can recommit.
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
nah, it's resolving yes
Justifax
7 months ago
This could resolve NO. Honestly, and this is not financial advice, I think the odds around 50/50 right now. I'd say keep an eye on aenews (he's well versed in all of this) but he could wash trade scam you.
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
if you guys have money, you should be buying yes. it's going to resolve yes so that justscam and car the scammer lose their money. As for me? oh don't worry about it, im just throwing all my money away.
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
he doesn't sell, he just buys, cuz yes is gonna win
Cryptonord
7 months ago
I had great Prediction but Chad is executing it, Sell High Buy Low is better than hold, he gets cheaper entry and enhanced profits
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
that's exactly what im sayin
mona.lisa
7 months ago
and yet yes is pumping.
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
GUYS NOW THAT IM ON THE NO SIDE, THAT MEANS IT'S GOING TO PUMP, YES SIDE YOU'RE SAVED IT'S GOING TO THE MOON
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
\ y\\-py76ujyng cyf nsrsyjfsgtsy7ckfrbfhrcsf jcybwruhrakmvlgodpd-so bcfguhnjeiwd9oxuhnjwkdquk
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
get this guy banned already
SylvesterStallone
7 months ago
Mhhh, the exact same bet has twice аs much liquidity and has different odds, I'm not sure but аrbitrаgе is certainly doable https://x.com/TreeAphaNews/status/1842579398282871238
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
it was literally priced in lol, the market saw it coming
Vuk
7 months ago
There's literally zero chance that he waited until the last two minutes to say the exact words on polymarket that were being waited for. It's all planned, and they track it.
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
the tax man wins
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
im the tax man for this rally
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
NO holder to YES holder back to NO holder BACK to YES holder, will i switch my position back to NO? will i switch it back to YES after that? and then NO again?
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
and car
mango-lassi
7 months ago
I wish everyone wins except mountainman
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
63c is not no doubt, otherwise mortgage your house, sell the wife, traffick the kids and acquire a position comparable to the giga CHAD will balls bigger than your head
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
7 months ago
The november market already resolved to Yes. There is no doubt that this market is going Yes.
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
ur share count is going in the wrong direction
Car
7 months ago
never look a gift horse in the mouth
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
more like 46 hours, 22 hours the votes start getting revealed and 24 hours after that they all get revealed
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
7 months ago
obvious junk bond, this is at 99% in 24h
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
please dispute it, im the one who proposed
stacy
7 months ago
"China's always a top five" is a contraction, contractions are not plural, possessive, or compound
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
u shud get 300k shares and stand with batman
Car
7 months ago
If you stand for the truth and want to help us ge the vote for NO done, add me on Discord: meowmemowmwow
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
stats are there's a chance it'll hit, or maybe it won't hit
n/a
7 months ago
Anyone got stats on God?
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
this is a win-win scenario. Either I win, or car loses. No matter what I win.
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
i turned into a monkey over the past 3 days, now it's time to lock in and actually do things properly. My mind was not clear, now it is. Lock in, cock in baby
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
y didn't they vote on yes the first time?
Justifax
7 months ago
I want to be very very clear. Enters did not resolve because certain users were on one side. It resolved because there was a clear consensus of reporting, especially in the headlines. Don't get caught up in who is on what side, or has what PNL. UMA has resolved many many times against these players.
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
hahahahahahaha YEAH I SUCK IM DONATING OUT OF MY MIND!!
TooDumbToWin
7 months ago
it shows the fact that he accepts that it is a scam just for that I hope the yes wins
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
accumulate more shares pussy3
Car
7 months ago
pack it up YES holders
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
shut up scammer, welcome to the fuckin\ scam side
Car
7 months ago
pack it up YES holders
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
guh
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
im gonna sleep, wen i wake up i hope its at like 30c
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
i am insane, im a fish, there's no liquidity, nobody's buying NO
🤺JustPunched
7 months ago
Man you guys are absolutely nutso
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
i was aping into NO cuz i saw 93c and was like "ooga booga iss goin to 100c duhhhhh 😅🤤🤤🤤🤤🤤🤤🤤"
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
7 months ago
People were aping into a NO bet based on P4... but didn’t understand the meaning. Time to get out before you sell junk bonds!
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
im such a polymarcus fish
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
cuz no was proposed
mona.lisa
7 months ago
why does the second proposed outcome say 'no', wasn't it 'yes' originally?
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
hheheheheheh lol
Pidor🐓
7 months ago
the thing about picking up pennies in front of a steamroller is sometimes the steamroller is a scam orchestrated by aenews and he immediately kills you
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
We have moved from the part where I have sympathy to now I am here to extract a pound of flesh and max pain.
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
buy the dip 🤑🤤
Ferguson,Turd
7 months ago
We have moved from the part where I have sympathy to now I am here to extract a pound of flesh and max pain.
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
oober trafficking
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
nah, it'll be no proposal followed by dispute
MyLossIsYourGain
7 months ago
I hope Yes people dont propose Yes again. Its gonna be painful to watch 3 more days of limbo
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
my dreams keep coming true of things going against me
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
so im cooked
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
lets see what happens lol
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
your position is not big enough to speak with such confidence
Myh
7 months ago
-10k congrats
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
to make the last 3%, they also could have been buying at 97c
happyfriend
7 months ago
btw for those at yes: why wouldnt you just close your positions at 97 cents anyways? plz no bully im new
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
lock in cock in
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
wait until tomorrow, the RR will be out of this world
nokcha
7 months ago
Added some yes, really good r/r
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
if they say that's a woman they're a woman
mango-lassi
7 months ago
Define a woman
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
wut u mean
lerapanova70625
7 months ago
let him talk
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
i prefer not to bet on 75+ bps decrease (although i kinda am with this position but i'd rather manage 1 position than multiple)
polymathead
7 months ago
I think it's advantageous in this case to bet on a specific outcome not occurring than a specific outcome occurring, and back to back 50bps cuts doesn't seem likely to me
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
wut is ur take profit
Car
7 months ago
Wtf has gaza to do with this. You are truly retarded
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
i changed my mind as fast as kids change their mind about what gender they wanna be
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
no change has to even become possible by quite a lot first, and i don't see that being likely
Warracks
7 months ago
There is a move to play, increase of 0,25bp is so underrated. I am not saying that it will be 0,25 increase but with the sentiment on the market it can be possible that during the following weeks the market can think about it. The Fed could raise rates by 0.25 points at the next meeting if inflation remains above 3%, still far from its 2% target, and unemployment stays low at around 3.8%. This increase would also help curb the sharp rise in wages, which have grown by 4.4% over the past year, to prevent further price pressures and maintain sustainable economic balance.
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
ain't no way
Warracks
7 months ago
There is a move to play, increase of 0,25bp is so underrated. I am not saying that it will be 0,25 increase but with the sentiment on the market it can be possible that during the following weeks the market can think about it. The Fed could raise rates by 0.25 points at the next meeting if inflation remains above 3%, still far from its 2% target, and unemployment stays low at around 3.8%. This increase would also help curb the sharp rise in wages, which have grown by 4.4% over the past year, to prevent further price pressures and maintain sustainable economic balance.
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
i suppose 4 cuts is still more likely than 6
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
i don't think they are
JoebamaBiden
7 months ago
I think polymarket players are sticking closer to the CME prices now
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
agreed
Mike2025
7 months ago
Up 17% in last 7 days. Only needs another 11% move in next 7 days. Definitely possible.
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
according to ur analysis, you should be long $4000 shares
gaut6375
7 months ago
this market should be way closer to 50-50 because if neither 2k or 4k happen, whoever bought either side at less than 50c would profit. in this sense, it's better to buy the lower priced shares
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
GME fedwatch
MyLossIsYourGain
7 months ago
everytime when there is a decision, people follow CME, then slowly drift away thinking they have better edge
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
GME to the moon
PolyToni
7 months ago
50bps leads on CME
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
not an option, either yes wins or no wins
Ravenholdt
7 months ago
Enjoying you're 99c yes shares? Refill your popcorn, you'll love this next part. *50/50 resolution*
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
how could 4 be joever? that's just 2 25 bps cuts which makes sense
BigMike2024
8 months ago
Translation: its Joever for 2,3,4. Going to be 5 or 6
aldynspeedruns
7 months ago
damn
JoebamaBiden
8 months ago
We're gonna get optimistic number and make a case for No Change, sorry fellas
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
yeah 🤑
Car
8 months ago
with 2 shares?
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
im up fat
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
BOFA deez nuts
Gastrader
8 months ago
BOFA predicts 75bps cut
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
ain't no way
Car
8 months ago
no change gang is gonna win this time
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
all of u with 100% confidence on 25 bps r so gay
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
lol
Compliance
8 months ago
even the future traders think we have an insider lol
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
"ummmmmmm" 🤭🤭🤭 sudden big pause "no thassokay~~~ 👍" 🤓🤓🤓🤓
Lopgft
8 months ago
Sell your 50bps now before it’s too late
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
seems like 90% of this chat is calling 25 bps now, looks like it's 0% for 50 bps team might as well all in 25 bps or what?
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
i suppose i'll lose a decent chunk today, thas okay
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
nonono
NoahVerner
8 months ago
Send it sers 🚀🤑
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
u contradicted urself in the same sentence
nickr
8 months ago
yes, there is a fair chance that 50 bps will be the cut, but this would be the feds panic button. no way they’re gonna fuck up the markets like that. the macroeconomic data that’s come out is OK, it isn’t great, but it’s not enough to panic. 25bps mark my words.
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
depends what it's based on, if it's based on expert opinion then 5.25% makes sense, if it's based on GME fedwatch then it should be 5.00%. Could be a combination of both or more factors and decides that 5.25% is what it should be
McDonalds-Employee
8 months ago
Something really strange just happened, if you got to any economic calendar (investing.com, fxstreet, tradingview etc.) they all show 5.25% as the expected reading. Considering that the odds for 50 bps are higher than 25 bps it should show 5.00%. What you guys think?
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
doesn't clicking on the position next to a name show all the positions someone is holding on this market?
🤺JustPunched
8 months ago
Wish we could see people's real positions between 25/50 bp. The "no change" psychotics are warping the market.
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
not 1 not 1
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
i think under 1%
bliss3
8 months ago
How likely is no change?
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
bps increase gang lets go
Justifax
8 months ago
https://x.com/gurgavin/status/1836129903382794371 TOMORROW’S FOMC IS THE MOST UNCERTAIN MEETING IN AT LEAST 10 YEARS
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
reasonable take
Justifax
8 months ago
unemployment is in range and retail sales were up... s&p ath.. 50 bps makes no sense
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
here ya go https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-fed-cut-rates-by-75-basis-points-in-september?tid=1726588860311
n/a
8 months ago
Why is 75 bps not an option? https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-09-16/democratic-senators-call-on-fed-to-cut-rates-by-75-basis-points
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
GME to the moon
mombil
8 months ago
GME FedWatch Update 65-35
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
you have NO shares left
Car
8 months ago
who told you NO would win at 10ct?
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
im taking the frontrunnery personally
MrKangaroo
8 months ago
apologies to whoever filled my order, it's not personal
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
wut is the dipper
nicoco89
8 months ago
+100$ on my 50bp bet once again thanks to the dipper
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
who dat on the 25 bps orderbook?
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
yeah im bouta bomb apple hq to make 2k profit
Kalags
8 months ago
mmm-maybe its insiders trading and -a--and they wilm bomb apple hq... 🥴😭😮😮 Im scared
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
i don't know anything
30bands
8 months ago
you never know..
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
does that mean im cooked?
MaverickMoves
8 months ago
Just read nicky leaks WSJ article he posted an hour ago. It basically just said they have no decided yet. When retail data drops on the morning we will know the direction but going .5 bps off the bat will crush the dollar and cause a lot of uncertainty in the market. It will mean a recession is on the way.
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
where are your shares
itsgg
8 months ago
No chance
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
smh
JJo
8 months ago
when you see 1 guy own almost the whole book on one side, youve got to wonder
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
it's not a wrap goofy
Car
8 months ago
Why didnt anyone say its a wrap when I said it was 17 days ago at 10ct?
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
anyone taking profit?
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
possible
kekkone
8 months ago
50-25-50 or 25-50-50
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
fair
Justifax
8 months ago
this market is underpriced, but not for the scamming reasons that car is spamming in the market. he's just an idiot that scams and copy trades. it's underpriced because a 50bps rate cut on wednesday could flip this. currently the odds of a 50 bps rate cut is 35% according to poly
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
buy more shares if ur so sure
SWre
8 months ago
There will be no big earthquake in September.
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
d
CookedAlligator
8 months ago
Apple is now outperforming msft and nvda on the month
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
wow what a size differenceo 7r6f7iyfhucock hafjyjhvegti8.6t5 ikm6timt56mi\'tgfh\j
DoughJones
8 months ago
Wow. What a difference;)
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
keep watching my onlyfans vidof me jerking off to your pic
Car
8 months ago
keep watching with your 69 shares
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
polymarcus
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
please pump it harder, i haven't gotten my fill yet
Car
8 months ago
We are smarter than them
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
imagine
Dick Cheney
8 months ago
Bought some 1c lottos. What if he never posts again?
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
the hell am i doin
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
stop shilling ur scam and start gambling your money
Garni
8 months ago
Markets are going up in September after rate cut https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W5UCQOc0Zo8
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
no problem
MrNFT
8 months ago
collecting my free .1% interest ty
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
rocket emoji rocket emoji rocket emoji
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
this ain't no lottery ticket
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
don't think it's very likely
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
not a bad lottery ticket
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
the proposer would like that to happen xd
Car
8 months ago
dispute it if you think its wrong
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
final is just an unnecessary word that got both sides confused, the person creating this market could have put the word "final" in thinking it might help with understanding, when in reality it very much did the opposite
Kaz
8 months ago
The rules refer to 2 specific things: The 1 minute chart and a “Final High” of 65k or more. The definition of finality is the fact or impression of being an irreversible ending. “Final high” can be considered to mean “irreversible high”, aka, a close. If the price just had to reach 65k regardless of anything, the word final would not be included because that would just be intentionally confusing. Also, they would not necessarily rely on the 1 minute chart since any chart would do. There’s a reason “final” was included in “final high” and there is a reason the 1 minute chart is specifically being used here. The rules qualify bitcoin reaching 65k as a close on the 1 minute chart because realistically speaking, that’s a very reasonable way to qualify that metric. However, that did not happen.
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
@kaz i don't see the reply button but final high doesn't even make sense to mean the close, final high probably means the high of the candle by candle close. the rules clarify they mean the high in the 2nd paragraph
XiJinPing
8 months ago
the 1 min candle closed at 64,947, which is lower than 65,000... what is confusing here?
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
the rules say high, not close. It hit a high of 65000.00
XiJinPing
8 months ago
the 1 min candle closed at 64,947, which is lower than 65,000... what is confusing here?
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
damn kaz rallying the troops lol
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
thats u ignorin the rules, "specifically the BTCUSDT 'High' prices" is talking about the high prices, not the close
Kaz
8 months ago
The wording of the rules is very specific. It refers to the 1 minute chart and a FINAL HIGH, not just high, of 65k or more. Finality: the fact or impression of being an irreversible ending. Final high = close. a closing price of 65k or more on the 1 minute chart. That didn't happen. You can't ignore parts of the rule you don't like.
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
"specifically the BTCUSDT 'High' prices", thanks for the fill tho
Kaz
8 months ago
resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin...has a final "High" price of $65,000.00 or higher. Final high = close
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
how do u propose
dankdank
8 months ago
can someone propose, its done