#555
Rank
87
Comments
33
Likes Received
35
Likes Given
singa
3 months ago
truth is nobody knows except jr and kam
XiJinPing
3 months ago
Alex Jones confirmed Kamala going on Rogan: "hint: get your popcorn ready" https://x.com/RealAlexJones/status/1846379103160598642
singa
3 months ago
If it does, she has given up already and will use the interview to take it out on everyone... "Let me tell you some Hunter stories..."
MikhaRlin
3 months ago
Truly bizarre if it does happen
singa
3 months ago
someone wants to swing trade yes again
XiJinPing
3 months ago
Alex Jones says "he has inside info, get popcorn ready" https://x.com/RealAlexJones/status/1846379103160598642
singa
3 months ago
buy buy buy
Anesti
3 months ago
BREAKING: ALEX JONES CONFIRMS KAMALA WILL GO ON JOE ROGAN
singa
3 months ago
we show how much we believe that one
Clenc
3 months ago
Kamala will do this interview
singa
3 months ago
If she does it would be like the Congressman Russo radio interview from House of Cards that ends the campaign
singa
3 months ago
the one that uses "god" lol
WINNING
3 months ago
depends what religion
singa
3 months ago
How many gods?
singa
3 months ago
That's all folks...
singa
3 months ago
10+ is asking a lot...
badatthis
3 months ago
notice "10+"
singa
3 months ago
...because the next war will be fought with rocks otherwise
McDonalds-Employee
3 months ago
🌷🌺🌸🌼 Make Peace not War 🌻💐🥀🪷 Upvote if you agree 😊
singa
3 months ago
30 seconds... that's the rules
Foreseeable.
3 months ago
What the F does "give a speech" mean? If he says hello to everyone and f*s of, is that a speech?
singa
3 months ago
certainly not 30...
Goatonso
3 months ago
He had 7 and 16 borders at his last 2 town halls, the market should've been 15+ and 25+. Unlikely he reaches 20 and he for sure isn't saying border 30 times.
singa
4 months ago
People ask for markets on discord
TheNo1
4 months ago
How are these markets made, and tracked?!!
singa
4 months ago
Let's see if this 28 September break-up contract is real... https://www.sportingnews.com/us/nfl/news/taylor-swift-travis-kelce-breakup-contract-document/7613392611d13951762a59a0
singa
4 months ago
That will get it over the top to 105M 👍
Eridpnc
4 months ago
gonna burn them in my backyard though, don't really want to see a musical
singa
4 months ago
whew...
MSGRallySpeaker
4 months ago
Alright time to wipe the sweat off of my face
singa
4 months ago
even better then...
tunatyler
4 months ago
https://www.savannahcivic.com/events/donald-trump-town-hall the event place has it listed as a townhall lol
singa
4 months ago
these speeches, "border" mentions are kept to single digits
BuckMySalls
4 months ago
just saw chyna is on, should have a higher line because 5 is guaranteed but Hyundai has an EV facility there, I'd be astonished if he doesn't ramble about Chyna and windmills again
singa
4 months ago
He's gonna wear purple. Source: Trust me bro
BallzToTheWalz
4 months ago
He's not gonna wear purple. Source: Trust me bro.
singa
4 months ago
polls in this one are totally unreliable to make any decision based on them...
singa
4 months ago
It will require about $1.5M of "margin" to push Kamala up to 49.5% and Trump down to 49.5% in the main market... once they're able to hold the position long enough and cash out of the this market, they can sell their kamala shares in the main market at about a 6% loss so it will cost potential market manipulators 90k + absorbing new orders during the 3 hour threshold time to win, meaning if they have or can split the cost of 1.5M to push the main market and have 100K + kamala shares in this market, they can pull this off
singa
4 months ago
The rules are however long the youtube video itself is...
Donkov
4 months ago
Does the pretentious intro and outro yapping count towards the interview count?
singa
4 months ago
tiny market... only takes a few paper hands to move something like this alot
Fred19999
4 months ago
Is insider information moving this market? Or what is the reason for the probability to change?
singa
4 months ago
That's why Donkov's buying at 38
Donkov
4 months ago
Theres no way its longer than an hour. Fair price is 20 YES imo
singa
4 months ago
Enjoy the learning opportunity about projecting box office returns
cpa
5 months ago
I don't know jack shit about box office projections, but analysts put the opening at around $80M. Looking at other September opens, "IT" killed it at $123M. Beetlejuice feels comparable in terms of nostalgia, but with a lower budget and less marketing, $80M feels about right.
singa
4 months ago
I clocked it at about 27 mins total of interview time
singa
4 months ago
how long is the town hall?
singa
5 months ago
could be Kari Lake... Cheryl Hines wont be too happy with RFK endorsing Trump
SlaylorGiftFromGod
5 months ago
Nothing ever happens
singa
5 months ago
I'll take a modest lotto ticket here and see what happens 🤷... what a crazy race this is so far and not over yet...
🤺JustPunched
5 months ago
It could definitely happen, but hopefully not
singa
5 months ago
...and the checkmark https://ddhq.io/results/2024/Primaries/races/florida-us-house-democratic-primary-13
singa
5 months ago
600m to go
GodofGamblers24
5 months ago
Last night I went to watch Alien: romulus. The light and sound effects were great. I haven't seen such an exciting movie in a public theater for a long time, so I placed my bets on others.
singa
5 months ago
add "repeat the line"
singa
5 months ago
the speechwriter is going to make a small fortune on here...
singa
5 months ago
Those prices are just way too high
Scoobs
5 months ago
"I'm going to put a stop to price gouging on abortions." - Kamala later today
singa
5 months ago
if things stay as they are DP3 will be taken up by IO2 in 2 weeks or so
Timmy121
5 months ago
math not their strong point
singa
5 months ago
Yesterday biden/harris co-rally speech on the economy in maryland... abortion was not mentioned once https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DhXgGE-vZyM
SlaylorGiftFromGod
5 months ago
If I were her I wouldn’t say Inflation that much because everyone knows it was worst under the Biden administration. Why would she remind voters of that? Makes much more sense to use price gouging to blame the corporations, but saying it 5+ times is asking a lot
singa
5 months ago
where is "unburdened" on this list lol
singa
5 months ago
What else besides Joker, DP3 or IO2 could get 630M+
zebrazebra
5 months ago
any other
singa
5 months ago
^^ for reference
singa
5 months ago
https://the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons/Deadpool-and-Wolverine-(2024)/Inside-Out-2-(2024)?mode=actuals#tab=day_by_day_comparison
singa
5 months ago
https://the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons/Deadpool-and-Wolverine-(2024)/Inside-Out-2-(2024)?mode=actuals#tab=day_by_day_comparison
P0lyhedr0n-
5 months ago
D&W is unstoppable
singa
5 months ago
It just lost another 2M wednesday on the pace behind IO2 and has about about $15.7M lead left
P0lyhedr0n-
5 months ago
D&W is unstoppable
singa
5 months ago
he didn't the last time
singa
5 months ago
Speeches, yes, press conferences, not so much
singa
5 months ago
Speeches, yes, press conferences, not so much
Agathocles
5 months ago
Crazy for MAGA to be this low
singa
5 months ago
What is the "Other" and why is it at 7% ?
singa
5 months ago
ever since opening weekend, deadpool has not kept pace with IO2 day for day and today has lost another 4.1M off off the pace...
n/a
5 months ago
honestly, can´t understand why people do not buying Deadpool, it outperforms everything right now and some trolls sticking with Dune or Dm4 or some other shit hahahahaha
singa
5 months ago
those Tuesdays are underperforming big time
Snooty
5 months ago
There’s still a clear path to a deadpool victory, but it’s looking worse by the day.
singa
5 months ago
double joker
0xE42c9d2ef
5 months ago
Joker 2 will have 2 billion box office because it's like the first joker movie but twice
singa
5 months ago
either side will throw a fit. Kamala would have to certify if trump wins...
RadLilDude
5 months ago
No way they don’t throw a fit after losing again
singa
5 months ago
Why all the shade on WIll Stancil? Is this a meme?
Codger
5 months ago
Will Stancil’s opposition to the Civil Rights Act of 1964 places him in stark contrast to his opponents.
singa
5 months ago
provided without comment
singa
5 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5z4S3pYoNC8
singa
5 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5z4S3pYoNC8
singa
5 months ago
Here might be a comparable aide: https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Fifty-Shades-of-Grey#tab=box-office
Gdubb47
5 months ago
Really confused as to the probabilities here. With the movie only being shown in 3000 theaters you would need 10,000 per theatre of the 4 days which seems incredibly high to me.
singa
5 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cued6FlY_Vo lol
DeucePapi
5 months ago
They'll never let Imane win.
singa
5 months ago
Whether that's true or not... they are never seen together... only once this year i believe during the convention was that the case
BrandonThought
5 months ago
she hates him lol
singa
5 months ago
🤷
Stavros-Jenkins
5 months ago
Surprised this market isn't getting more action
singa
5 months ago
Bell with the checkmark https://elections2024.thehill.com/primaries/missouri/2024-08-06-mo-dem-primary-us-house-1/
qwertz42069
6 months ago
I think Cori Bush will win
singa
5 months ago
Nope
lordprotector - 7340
5 months ago
No
singa
5 months ago
DP3 has surpassed each estimate it's been given fo far... it's going to be close those.... will need another week to watch... With DP3 estimated 97M with raw sales coming in vs 101M IO2 2nd weekend means IO2 is cutting the deficit less and less that it needs to be a difinitive winner... yet... slight advantage for IO2 but maybe 60/40 or 65/35 favorite now but momentum in DP3's direction as it had a better than expected weekend...
Wisdomtime
5 months ago
As said below, there is ~400m in 10 days, and 11 days without real competition. I think the odds could slightly favor IO2, but it is a very close one. Point previously raised that DP3 is "R-rated" was an interesting one, but not sure it applies to the fullest here -- first MCU was already in 2008 -- 16 years ago. Children aged 14 at the time are now 30+.. At 10 days, other MCU movies have gotten 60-65% of their total incomes. Joker as reference for R-rated movie was similar. This would equate to 610 - 660M domestic total -- so it easily could contend the IO2.
singa
5 months ago
Wednesday DP3 estimated 19M... IO2 was 30M on it's first wednesday, closing the cap 11m closer
KentaviusCaldwellPope
5 months ago
Anyone betting against Deadpool 3 on "R-rated" or average slippage from weekend 1 for superhero movies is going against data. It just did a $24.4m Monday and a $25.5m Tuesday. For what it's worth, most other superhero movies slip 5-10% between first Monday and Tuesday, and they also don't get to $25m.
singa
5 months ago
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-primary-elections/arizona-house-results he's got the checkmark
singa
5 months ago
IO2 made 28.8M on its first tuesday so it's starting to fall behind the pace, not to mention IO2 also had a 100M 2nd weekend... so we'll keep track on the returns as they come in...
KentaviusCaldwellPope
5 months ago
Anyone betting against Deadpool 3 on "R-rated" or average slippage from weekend 1 for superhero movies is going against data. It just did a $24.4m Monday and a $25.5m Tuesday. For what it's worth, most other superhero movies slip 5-10% between first Monday and Tuesday, and they also don't get to $25m.
singa
5 months ago
22M Monday means that IO2's first monday will be the same as DP3's first monday, meaning that DP3's returns will be falling faster than IO2's will enough that IO2 will catch up eventually. DP3's returns were much more frontloaded on opening weekend than IO2, hence the odds change
MZK
5 months ago
Why did the odds of IO2 increased overnight when D3 had better than expected monday results domestically?
singa
5 months ago
Monday receipts in India fell by 2/3... https://www.pinkvilla.com/entertainment/box-office/deadpool-and-wolverine-india-box-office-collections-day-4-ryan-reynolds-and-hugh-jackman-movie-shows-strong-hold-after-very-good-weekend-collects-rs-7-75-crore-on-monday-1333494 if that's true in the US market, that would mean IO2 would be higher on its 1st Monday than DP3
singa
6 months ago
Deadpool will need more than 620m... we will see the dropoff this week and how it compares with the IO2 dropoff percentage wise
nicekitty
6 months ago
oh and fun fact; D&W is the ninth film ever to go past $200M OW DOM, none of the $200+ million openers failed to reach $600 million. Star Wars: The Last Jedi is the lowest grosser in that group with $620M
singa
6 months ago
buy the rumor...
singa
6 months ago
...and the best bettor is on yes 🤔
singa
6 months ago
...and the best bettor is on yes 🤔
🤺JustPunched
6 months ago
The worst bettor in this site's history (therealbatman) is on NO big time.
singa
6 months ago
with 'folks' there's a chance but he has never said 'anyways' once in any oval office speech yet
ErrantSloth
6 months ago
I love how for Anyway and Folks it was so likely he'd say it once, they needed to specify 3-5x for betting odds
singa
6 months ago
They may keep it hidden and not announce it until the weekend too meaning a 'no' here would be a winner and a nice hedge... i mean they went through the trouble with that lousy AI fake voice call to string people along long enough...
🤺JustPunched
6 months ago
I personally think he is dead, but betting on No because its a hedge
singa
6 months ago
look for other events where he is not to be president
n/a
6 months ago
how do i learn this skill ?
singa
6 months ago
...like they would ever admit it even if it was lol
singa
6 months ago
top definition means "to come into sight... become visible" https://www.dictionary.com/browse/appear
n/a
6 months ago
In that definition: to become evident (lain or obvious; clearly seen or understood.) He was clearly understood to be on the phone
singa
6 months ago
https://www.etymonline.com/search?q=appear
singa
6 months ago
etymology of appear = "come into view"
singa
6 months ago
etymology of appear = "come into view"
singa
6 months ago
has to be visible
singa
6 months ago
Definition of "appearance" = https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/appear
singa
6 months ago
Definition of "appearance" = https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/appear
singa
7 months ago
🤷
singa
7 months ago
Latest MRP poll that has UK Reform on 18 seats
singa
7 months ago
Explanation https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x814fsugfSY
singa
7 months ago
Of those 18: 5 Reform UK candidates are leading 2nd place by 10%+ 1 leading by 9% 2 leading by 7%
singa
7 months ago
It seems that Reform UK have been working on tactically concentrating their vote share in a few constituencies that Nigel calls “a beachhead” in the Commons…
singa
7 months ago
Of those 18: 5 Reform UK candidates are leading 2nd place by 10%+ 1 leading by 9% 2 leading by 7%
singa
7 months ago
https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/blogs/ec_vipoll_20240626.html
singa
7 months ago
Of those 18: 5 Reform UK candidates are leading 2nd place by 10%+ 1 leading by 9% 2 leading by 7%
singa
7 months ago
Of those 18: 5 Reform UK candidates are leading 2nd place by 10%+ 1 leading by 9% 2 leading by 7%
singa
7 months ago
Latest MRP poll that has UK Reform on 18 seats
singa
7 months ago
Latest MRP poll that has UK Reform on 18 seats
singa
7 months ago
ZERO! ZERO!
n/a
7 months ago
tory scum ZERO SEATS!
singa
7 months ago
https://www.survation.com/mrp-update-first-mrp-since-farages-return/
singa
7 months ago
https://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/31569-the-box-office-buzz-tracking-and-pre-sale-thread/?do=findComment&comment=4687749
singa
7 months ago
Momentum is going towards higher grosss with each projection
singa
7 months ago
Official Results: https://www.resultats-elections.interieur.gouv.fr/europeennes2024/ensemble_geographique/index.html