gopfan2

Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October?

gopfan2

2 days ago

you have a typo, correctly 'Khokhlostan'

5

tsybka

2 days ago

In a country called 'Orkastan.'

Global Heat Increase 2024

gopfan2

5 days ago

yeah both should be at 100.0 but nobody cares about such APY so people don't buy. Prices are arbitrary around 100

0

Tkromm

6 days ago

Under 1.22 here is at 1.6 while Over 1.17 in the "2024 hottest year" market is at 95.5. Safe bet or am I missing sth?

Trump wins every swing state?

gopfan2

6 days ago

man, Michigan is 13% to be a tipping point on this very website

0

TrumpFlipsNY2

1 week ago

how tf is this 15% it should be higher it should be a margin of 35% aka the most blue swing state, if trump wins that he wins the rest easily as they are more right leaning then Michigan

Trump wins every swing state?

gopfan2

6 days ago

Tell me you're an idiot without telling me you're an idiot

1

0x4b7ec229f803B6216A88696a08B69eeC33ada6ae-1727295547219

1 week ago

If you break the state by state Polymarket odds down into indivdual money lines and then run it thru a parlay calculator, the payout should be 71 to 1. But you can bet here at 6 to 1???

Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?

gopfan2

3 weeks ago

Do you have internet access v stoyle now?

1

n/a

3 weeks ago

The special Polymarket operation has been such a complete success the vatniks are building a last stand redoubt inside 90c territory. How long until they're forced to call in artillery strikes on their own positions?

2024 September hottest on record?

gopfan2

3 weeks ago

Meaning we're very far from reaching AGI

8

mr.monopoly

3 weeks ago

Chat gpt states there is a 20%-25% chance September is the hottest on record. "Yes, it does help September 2024's chances that August 2024 was record-breaking in terms of global temperatures. When a month experiences unprecedented heat, it often signals that the factors driving that heat—like El Niño, greenhouse gas emissions, and other climate variables—are still in play. This can increase the likelihood of subsequent months being similarly warm, although it doesn't guarantee consecutive records. Given that August 2024 was reportedly record-breaking, this momentum could push the odds for a hotter-than-average September higher than what the Polymarket odds suggest. However, as with any climate predictions, the variability from regional weather patterns and potential cooling influences (e.g., a delayed La Niña) could moderate these effects( Climate.gov ). Considering this, the odds might justifiably rise to 20-25%, factoring in both the record-breaking summer temperatures and the potential for continued warmth into the fall." p.s. I will buy more yes so feel free to sell!

2024 August hottest on record?

gopfan2

1 month ago

I wouldn't speak with a gentleman posting this (https://x.com/EliotJacobson/status/1829144642975347049)

1

OmenOfLord

1 month ago

Also, it's very important to note that the transition away from El Nino may have begun already. This means the Ocean Temps should come in lower than in 2023, as El Nina's are cooler. I did switch my position entirely on this, so I have a large confidence. I also spoke to Eliot Jacobson and he confirmed that

2024 August hottest on record?

gopfan2

1 month ago

I will wait for you in Chertanovskiy District court

2

n/a

1 month ago

I'd like to sue for copyright infringement

Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before October?

gopfan2

1 month ago

@truce I will donate some money won from you to help our soldiers on SVO

4