Fed Interest Rates: December 2024

minji

1 year ago

Sir this is a casino. No one has access to CME futures.

6

Flaner

1 year ago

This market is so de-attached from CME Fedwatch, I think you can arb this by buying No Change here, and buying CME futures that make money at a 0.25% cut?

Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?

minji

1 year ago

bro quit mention markets and went back to good takes

2

BuckMySalls

1 year ago

i hope the price stays like this because i'll buy more once my bonds redeem. yes buyers do understand the us is not the only country supporting ukraine? even if trump pulled out (he won't, he'll just change t&c), europeans pick up the tabs because the alternative is worse: https://x.com/Mij_Europe/status/1856960343018176830

What will Trump say in first speech after AP calls the election?

minji

1 year ago

Lmao it's a fake livestream, he said this in a previous rally

1

n/a

1 year ago

In his speech right now on youtube https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y2d26C-0lm4 he just said kamala I heard it with my own ears.

What will Trump say during Arizona rally?

minji

1 year ago

you guys wasted money disputing Venezuela, no way uma lets it fly

2

What will Trump say during Colorado rally?

minji

1 year ago

he always says that. look up previous speeches

0

alexngn

1 year ago

does he have to the whole phrase "Barack Hussein Obama"? or Obama will also count?

What will Trump say during Colorado rally?

minji

1 year ago

whole thing bro read the rules

0

alexngn

1 year ago

does he have to the whole phrase "Barack Hussein Obama"? or Obama will also count?

What will Trump Say during Pennsylvania rally?

minji

1 year ago

no I don't think I got it

0

R13

1 year ago

Did you get your refund I have not

What will Trump Say during Pennsylvania rally?

minji

1 year ago

Thanks I didn’t know hahaha. Still good bet tho imo

0

rmb177 - 10132

1 year ago

Was there an earlier market for this rally that got removed/deleted? I purchased shares in that market that show up in my purchase history but not in my holdings. This market doesn't show any of the shares I purchased either.

What will Trump Say during Pennsylvania rally?

minji

1 year ago

yes it got removed, refunds will be issued soon apparently

0

rmb177 - 10132

1 year ago

Was there an earlier market for this rally that got removed/deleted? I purchased shares in that market that show up in my purchase history but not in my holdings. This market doesn't show any of the shares I purchased either.

What will Trump Say during Michigan rally?

minji

1 year ago

thanks bossman

1

Milktoast

1 year ago

Do not fear border nos. I was counting intently as i had 950 border no, and i had 24

What will Trump Say during Michigan rally?

minji

1 year ago

shit gg

1

What will Trump Say during Michigan rally?

minji

1 year ago

jfc he didn't say tampon tim despite mentioning the debate?

1

What will Trump Say during Michigan rally?

minji

1 year ago

he never says it bro nobody cares about it just sell your shares

0

getgood

1 year ago

Why isn't anyone voting for Crypto/Bitcoin?

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

minji

1 year ago

No way he doesn’t say Iran

0

BalkanDwarf

1 year ago

How tf is Trump not gonna say WW3 and Iran 500+ times after they just launched missiles at Israel?

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

minji

1 year ago

Damn what happened to mention markets.. No liquidity anymore

4

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

minji

1 year ago

smh I shouldn't have faded HaterzLoserz

2

Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?

minji

1 year ago

Bond sellers really think she’s gonna say this after wall street grilled her for it the first time

3

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

minji

1 year ago

Gizmoooo

0

Justifax

1 year ago

Very clueful post - https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-822290

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

minji

1 year ago

I am probably -$1k in the hole with trans bets and you guys got it first try lmao

1

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

minji

1 year ago

Gg trans bulls

0

Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?

minji

1 year ago

Lol she isn’t going to mention this policy after it’s been criticized so thoroughly by everyone, esp. wall st dem donors

0

Platinum

1 year ago

Im in simply because 30c is too cheap and the deadline is 4th of November. 1 month is enough (especially we are talking about Harris who never commit to anything) for it to go back to like, i dunno 50c or something, and then im out. Best of luck

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

minji

1 year ago

this market is re. His town hall, not rally, so it’s basically an interview. Unlikely he says it unprompted

0

Apsalar

1 year ago

there's a part of me that truly believes that if we made a border 50+ bracket for a rally, Trump would still find a way to hit it

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

minji

1 year ago

If he says trans this time, max Haley R-Nom because not even secret service is stopping me

3

Apsalar

1 year ago

there's a part of me that truly believes that if we made a border 50+ bracket for a rally, Trump would still find a way to hit it

What will Trump say during North Carolina speech?

minji

1 year ago

Guy keeps saying trans lmao

1

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

minji

1 year ago

useless fucker constantly rambling

0

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

minji

1 year ago

hopefully you're right on trans too bossman

0

Keni

1 year ago

THANK GOD I SOLD CREDIT CARD

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

minji

1 year ago

wrap it up donald

1

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

minji

1 year ago

maybe..

0

Apsalar

1 year ago

did trans bros get too cocky?

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

minji

1 year ago

hope not eh

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Is he gonna say troon?

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

minji

1 year ago

might copytrade you

0

Apsalar

1 year ago

death, taxes, and border border border border border border border border border border border border border border border border border border border border border border border border border

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

minji

1 year ago

1 or 1.5 hours

1

KingofRingx3

1 year ago

How long is he expected to speak for btw?

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

minji

1 year ago

goes from grilling the media to natural gas tax lol

0

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

minji

1 year ago

14 or 15?

0

n/a

1 year ago

14 border

What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?

minji

1 year ago

3 billion can get you there quickly

0

DeucePapi

1 year ago

Oprah wants to suck off Kamala so badly

What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?

minji

1 year ago

can we just put tracey on the whole time

0

What will Kamala say during Oprah live stream?

minji

1 year ago

no way she says project2025 now. too many sob stories for her to lob attacks instead of focusing on unity.

0

How many Fed rate cuts this year?

minji

1 year ago

Why would they slash 50 twice with no data. Even Canada didn’t do that. Base case is 75bps for the entire year

1

MyLossIsYourGain

1 year ago

Drugs need titration when you start taking it. Rate cuts are no different. 25-50-50. plus powell prob need PCE to meaningfully drop before going full dose.

What will Trump say during Nevada rally?

minji

1 year ago

Moderator went from 80/20 to 20/80 lol

3

What will Trump say during Arizona rally?

minji

1 year ago

mashallah

0

IONLYBETONX

1 year ago

WE EATING GOOD TONGITH! THANK YOU ARIZONA THANK YOU FELLOW BETTING BROTHERS

What will Trump say during Arizona rally?

minji

1 year ago

THANK YOU ARIZONA!!!!!

0

IONLYBETONX

1 year ago

WE EATING GOOD TONGITH! THANK YOU ARIZONA THANK YOU FELLOW BETTING BROTHERS

What will Trump say during Arizona rally?

minji

1 year ago

yeah I copied your thesis I got lucky

0

midastouch

1 year ago

I called it in my earlier message, if you scroll down. Of course I would lose to him referencing oil rigs

What will Trump say during Arizona rally?

minji

1 year ago

does oil rigs count?

0

What will Trump say during Arizona rally?

minji

1 year ago

rigged

0

SkillzThatKillz

1 year ago

Sold what?

What will Trump say during Arizona rally?

minji

1 year ago

HOLY FUCK THANK GOD I SOLD

0

What will Trump say during Arizona rally?

minji

1 year ago

what whiplash

0

IONLYBETONX

1 year ago

that fraud wiplash

What will Kamala say at the debate?

minji

1 year ago

No girl has ever laughed at Aaron’s jokes. No guy either!

0

VibesGreaterRules

1 year ago

cat

What will Kamala say at the debate?

minji

1 year ago

She probably got ptsd from Clinton

1

NJFG4L

1 year ago

She’s said “he’s lying” so many times just say liar come on

What will Kamala say at the debate?

minji

1 year ago

She said ”lying” like 50 times but not “liar” lol

3

What will Kamala say at the debate?

minji

1 year ago

Good bet

2

addicts

1 year ago

bangggg I hit

What will Kamala say at the debate?

minji

1 year ago

Fk

1

Scoobs

1 year ago

WHEW that was close

What will Kamala say at the debate?

minji

1 year ago

This guy knows

0

Glorp

1 year ago

kamala focusses on policy in this debate trust me

What will Kamala say at the debate?

minji

1 year ago

Harris wants legitimacy - throwing insults won’t get her there

0

What will Kamala say at the debate?

minji

1 year ago

I agree but NBC reported that she’d mention it so it’s too risky

0

SaulGoodmanEsq

1 year ago

Project 2025 is overvalued here. She mentions it and Trump will instantly denounce it, really an empty errand.

What will Kamala say at the debate?

minji

1 year ago

Good chance of a tax policy question

2

0x716f684c3B5F7905c31B71C1784657700FA644cf-1722270450846

1 year ago

+1 for Unrealized, they will for sure question her about her controversial tax plan

What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?

minji

1 year ago

Lmfao

0

mango-lassi

1 year ago

https://x.com/KirkA63224/status/1831477454097223807

What will Trump say during Lex Fridman interview?

minji

1 year ago

Copium

8

eb..

1 year ago

a twist can happen here. this first version is just 1 hour long. other interviews have been 3 to 4 hours long. a full version can still be posted soon. and the rules say: "which includes substantial and continuous content." expect a full longer version

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

minji

1 year ago

Stop saying border wtf

2

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

minji

1 year ago

We need a “haters and losers” market

3

HaterzLoserz

1 year ago

Need a border czar now former president with weirdly small hands

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

minji

1 year ago

Singapore did it

0

n/a

1 year ago

craziest shit i've heard. Death penalty for selling illegal substances. Except maybe for like fentanyl.

What will Kamala say during CNN interview?

minji

1 year ago

mb

1

Slimedart

1 year ago

The rules say full interview, and they could still release that before the 9th so i would dispute any attempt at resolution

What will Kamala say during CNN interview?

minji

1 year ago

copium

0

Slimedart

1 year ago

The rules say full interview, and they could still release that before the 9th so i would dispute any attempt at resolution

What will Kamala say during CNN interview?

minji

1 year ago

it's only at the end they're asking ts

0

doyoufeelit

1 year ago

what a joke of an interview are they gonna ask any real questions or is it all just softballs about their families

What will Trump say during Wisconsin town hall?

minji

1 year ago

Thanks for playing

0

YatSen

1 year ago

so fast....

What will Trump say during Wisconsin town hall?

minji

1 year ago

god damn why did she have to mention Minnesota

3

What will Trump say during Wisconsin town hall?

minji

1 year ago

TULSIIIIIIIIIIII DON'T FUCK THIS UP

0

What will Kamala say during CNN interview?

minji

1 year ago

interview excerpts have been released and she said both "border" and "inflation"

1

addicts

1 year ago

Why is "border" 99%? I know its a high chance, but there will always be outlier events.

What will Trump say during Wisconsin town hall?

minji

1 year ago

why don't you bid

0

lemurrumel

1 year ago

These are the predicted words from a leading candidate's town hall? Lmao America's descent into retardation has been swift.

What will JD Vance say during Michigan rally?

minji

1 year ago

I thought the rally started at 1:30 and left my orders up lmao lost a good 200

1

What will JD Vance say during Michigan rally?

minji

1 year ago

wp

1

BallzToTheWalz

1 year ago

i only regret not buying more

What will JD Vance say during Michigan rally?

minji

1 year ago

only Mamaw

0

factman

1 year ago

does JD even have any guaranteed phrases

What will Trump say during Arizona speech?

minji

1 year ago

Why did he say tampon lmao

0

What will Trump say during Arizona speech?

minji

1 year ago

I have eyes on the target; no holders keep steady

3

What will Trump say during Arizona speech?

minji

1 year ago

92c wtf hahahahaha

0

Secret14thKey

1 year ago

BEACH BOYS RISE UP

What will Trump say during Arizona speech?

minji

1 year ago

😔

1

Munners

1 year ago

I've backed them all yes bros

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

minji

1 year ago

Wagmi

2

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

minji

1 year ago

Beyonce

1

factman

1 year ago

who was the surprise speaker earlier by the way? was asleep

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

minji

1 year ago

It’s all good fam

1

justphreak

1 year ago

wallahi i am finished

How long will Kamala Harris's DNC speech be?

minji

1 year ago

About to end

0

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

minji

1 year ago

yes

1

factman

1 year ago

was wondering - did you name yourself after the newjeans member

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

minji

1 year ago

can polymarket issue a clarification on the Trump 5+ market? does her saying "Donald Trump" count as 2 mentions?

3

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

minji

1 year ago

Trump 5x bros hoping she goes on a long offensive speech

2

BuckMySalls

1 year ago

When Harris speaks Thursday, she will speak about how her “values and her life's work have led to this point,” Harris campaign chair Jen O’Malley Dillion said at the CNN-POLITICO Grill. She will be able to tell the audience "the kind of individual leader she's going to be moving forward.”

What will Nancy Pelosi say during DNC speech?

minji

1 year ago

love you nancy

1

What will Obama say during DNC speech?

minji

1 year ago

Guy keeps yapping

1

dogenjoyer

1 year ago

yes on black

What will Obama say during DNC speech?

minji

1 year ago

Jfc when is this fucking speech ending

0

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

minji

1 year ago

She is likely to mention it in passing since Gaza is a salient issue.

0

BuckMySalls

1 year ago

The ceasefire is a Biden topic since foreign policy is what he prides himself on. For all we know, it might already be in place by November. She will focus on her own agenda and grand arc, not on the nitty gritty of the current administration she is already a part of.

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

minji

1 year ago

bro its simple. Gaza is a salient issue and she’ll address it by emphasizing Biden/Harris admin’s support for a ceasefire

1

Science

1 year ago

Ceasefire is a lock. She has to pander to her terrorist base in Dearborn

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

minji

1 year ago

pre-written = within the overton window. she has to say something to address the protests that will occur at the dnc

0

X9504

1 year ago

Gaza is way too controversial for her to talk about, she ignores it unless protesters accost her

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

minji

1 year ago

She’s argued for it times already

0

X9504

1 year ago

Gaza is way too controversial for her to talk about, she ignores it unless protesters accost her

What will Trump say during Elon interview?

minji

1 year ago

d1 yapper

1

What will Trump say during Elon interview?

minji

1 year ago

I'm gooning so hard when does this finish

0

Democratic VP nominee?

minji

1 year ago

imagine thinking it would be shapiro after his own senator went after him

2

de5nuts

1 year ago

Just want to say thank you to the political pundits who all said of course it would be Shapiro

Democratic VP nominee?

minji

1 year ago

ur cute can I get some inside information

0

babybeluga

1 year ago

ookieeeee now that I lost 98% of my money what should I bet on next? :P

Democratic VP nominee?

minji

1 year ago

thats u in the profile picture?

0

babybeluga

1 year ago

ookieeeee now that I lost 98% of my money what should I bet on next? :P

Democratic VP nominee?

minji

1 year ago

bet on trump winning

0

babybeluga

1 year ago

ookieeeee now that I lost 98% of my money what should I bet on next? :P

Democratic VP nominee?

minji

1 year ago

The murder coverup is insane lol this guy is a ticking time bomb

6

Democratic VP nominee?

minji

1 year ago

his record has been getting pretty bad lately

2

Bink

1 year ago

Thank gosh GCR owns no Walz

Democratic VP nominee?

minji

1 year ago

are you a woman?

0

friendlyguyy

1 year ago

Josh is hot. That is all.

Democratic VP nominee?

minji

1 year ago

Shapiro is inexperienced and nationally unvetted - as for the base, they are not necessarily "anti-semetic".

1

Yanoya4sure

1 year ago

Kowtowing to antisemetic voters on your VP sets a tone for the prospective presidency. Will she cave to them on every issue? A path to victory requires moderation.

Democratic VP nominee?

minji

1 year ago

imagine choosing Shapiro after the sexual assault settlement + Jewish sentiment + lack of political experience

0

Democratic Nominee 2024

minji

1 year ago

Everything depends on Joe's behavior in the next few days, and he is indicating he won't drop out

2