#158
Rank
187
Comments
96
Likes Received
103
Likes Given
BrandonThought
3 months ago
why would he pardon a criminal like ross? nothing to gain
BrandonThought
5 months ago
I sold, there seems to be real developments here. Hamas doesn't wanna get blitzed out by trump
BrandonThought
5 months ago
it also includes tests
Nothim
5 months ago
If this did happen I don't think losing your money on here would matter. Might as well bet the house on it not happening.
BrandonThought
5 months ago
what's on tuesday
its.just.fire
5 months ago
when the deal is announced before tuesday, I hope that everyone that followed my advice and bought because of me remember to tip my account,thank you.
BrandonThought
5 months ago
yea lol
BrandonThought
5 months ago
why would he banned. there's nothing connecting him to the TikTok stuff. lol
BrandonThought
5 months ago
this is gonna be a 1980/81 situation again. No hostage release until Trump is inaugurated lol
BrandonThought
5 months ago
why would he banned. there's nothing connecting him to the TikTok stuff. lol
BrandonThought
5 months ago
he commits another crime after dec 1 and gets pardoned lol
RRSerch
5 months ago
Still 3% for a "yes" Hunter Biden? What am I missing here?
BrandonThought
5 months ago
hunter ;)
BrandonThought
5 months ago
can't pardon the guy now ;)
BrandonThought
5 months ago
oh we're aware ;)
bung
5 months ago
Why wouldn't Trump pardon Ross if he said he would? Easy bet imo.
BrandonThought
5 months ago
guys he is not pardoning Edward Snowden lmao wtf
BrandonThought
5 months ago
first time eh?
CrociGuess
5 months ago
iran has just vowed to strike israel back, we dont know when that will be tho.
BrandonThought
5 months ago
its because there's so much lore behind this market's predecessors
CrociGuess
5 months ago
im so confused in this market, there is a high chance that they wont strike, but also a large enough probability that they will to not underestimate it.
BrandonThought
6 months ago
yes
BrandonThought
6 months ago
Kash Patel in consideration for FBI Chief
BrandonThought
6 months ago
came back 3 days later to follow up? getting nervous? need to reassure yourself?
BrandonThought
6 months ago
Kash Patel in consideration for FBI Chief
BrandonThought
6 months ago
https://x.com/NewsWire_US/status/1858660198300479649
BrandonThought
6 months ago
they are replacing him with his son lol while he's still alive
BrandonThought
6 months ago
you don't elect a new leader unless you think you'll need one
n/a
6 months ago
https://www.theweek.in/news/world/2024/11/17/iran-has-secretly-elected-its-next-supreme-leader-report.html
BrandonThought
6 months ago
what did he say
MalikNabers
6 months ago
Dave Wasserman must not be an elections lab believer.
BrandonThought
6 months ago
can someone give me a reason for why it will be sub 155? I already see results putting it above that number?
BrandonThought
6 months ago
why is 150-155 the only one you have no as
BrandonThought
6 months ago
aren't all the estimates already showing 155+?
BrandonThought
6 months ago
aren't all the estimates already showing 155+?
BrandonThought
6 months ago
Kash Patel in consideration for FBI Chief
BrandonThought
6 months ago
she's been nominated for the cabinet, which needs to be confirmed by the senate unless they do a recess appt. there's room for this to go south lol
Spartan37
6 months ago
It's so stupid that we have to wait months just to close on something that is already won given the rules. Why not close yesterday?
BrandonThought
6 months ago
because technically they can't be part of an admin if they admin 1) hasn't happened yet and 2) has yet to have these people confirmed
Spartan37
6 months ago
Do these individually close? If so, why aren't ones like Rubio closing?
BrandonThought
6 months ago
Tulsi as DNI? no shot
BrandonThought
6 months ago
lol no shot Lisa Murkowski and other RINOs vote for him, it'll be embarrassing. Trump won't nominate.
BrandonThought
6 months ago
that's not him, that's someone else lol
just.some.guy
6 months ago
It feels like somebody knows the answer's no.
BrandonThought
6 months ago
dump was because he's not getting it lol
BrandonThought
6 months ago
why is RFK spiking
BrandonThought
6 months ago
why is RFK spiking
BrandonThought
6 months ago
usda is out
BrandonThought
6 months ago
they've already said he doesn't want HHS lol, he wants control over USDA as well which is under Sec of Ag. Probably will create a Health Czar position or something
BrandonThought
6 months ago
that makes no sense lol
Justifax
6 months ago
I guess there is a political agenda with turnout. By suppressing it, you minimize the influence of cali and other vbm states.
BrandonThought
6 months ago
why is that the only one you've skipped
gettin.rich
6 months ago
Can someone tell me how 150-155 is possible?
BrandonThought
6 months ago
Cali only has 5.5M ballots left to process
BrandonThought
6 months ago
its already above that amount
tonnew
6 months ago
130m
BrandonThought
7 months ago
DOGGG
BrandonThought
7 months ago
vance is a creep
dwaboutit
7 months ago
im shocked how bias polymarket is... vance is undeniably beating him
BrandonThought
7 months ago
wow dude "we run scams everytime and people get mad everytime" isn't the own you think it is
fafafafafafafafafafafafafaffafafafa
7 months ago
people always say this stuff when they lose a dispute, happens every time
BrandonThought
7 months ago
if UMA resolves this to yes, I think we should all go to some other website. This is absurd. A scam.
BrandonThought
7 months ago
how do you actually vote?
PolymaREKT
7 months ago
Join the UMA Chanel and vote P4 - Too early because the resolution for this market came before the deadline, and it came based on romuers and none official stament from Israel and Hizhollah or consensus (there was no consensus as it was all romuers)
BrandonThought
7 months ago
who actually votes on this? are the whales going to scam us??
BrandonThought
7 months ago
guys is UMA going to scam us??
BrandonThought
7 months ago
all the P2 folks in the discord's argument boils down to "i dont like polymarket rules, no one else believes you, etc etc" NO EVIDENCE
BrandonThought
7 months ago
it wouldn't matter cuz they revealed it after the market window closed.
n/a
7 months ago
hezbollah denies it and Israel says it started at 2am their time, basically one is lying but there's no reports from either side of casualties or injuries
BrandonThought
7 months ago
UMA said this earlier in the day
ANONYMOUS.
7 months ago
Can you please show us the message from the mod saying this?
BrandonThought
7 months ago
you cant use evidence revealed after the window closed
BrandonThought
7 months ago
lol are you behind? the resolution can't be resolved based on evidence revealed after the the window closing
ANudeEgg
7 months ago
Have you figured it out yet? (Hint: You're thinking about the wrong time zone)
BrandonThought
7 months ago
you should read the rules lmao the rules are not in your favor at all
truthteller
7 months ago
maybe you should try reading the titles. one is about entering, one is about invading
BrandonThought
7 months ago
that's literally you
truthteller
7 months ago
no one bet 100k to win 200
BrandonThought
7 months ago
yes bc some morons who can't read bet too much money on the wrong outcome and are scared to lose all their money
truthteller
7 months ago
I'm sorry, have you not figured out why we have 2 different markets with 2 vastly different prices?
BrandonThought
7 months ago
i'm sorry you didn't learn how to read?
truthteller
7 months ago
why do you think that is?
BrandonThought
7 months ago
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter Lebanese territory for combat operations"
BrandonThought
7 months ago
can you read? "This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter Lebanese territory for combat operations"
truthteller
7 months ago
all that article says is that they claim there is no ground incursion, not that they have not entered. this would be great evidence for the invasion market, you have shares there right?
BrandonThought
7 months ago
what happened?
truthteller
7 months ago
ok show proof that UN said that. link
BrandonThought
7 months ago
https://www.barrons.com/news/un-peacekeepers-say-no-israeli-ground-incursion-in-south-lebanon-right-now-f51952ef
BrandonThought
7 months ago
this did not answer my question but thank you
informed
7 months ago
Yes is almost like declaration of war? 50 50 is nash equilibrium
BrandonThought
7 months ago
no there is not. even THE UN said there is NO evidence of this. YOU ARE LYING
truthteller
7 months ago
there is a media consensus
BrandonThought
7 months ago
how do i vote on this?
BrandonThought
7 months ago
you think this situation is "almost no risk"?
ANudeEgg
7 months ago
You should research "expected value". A 1% return in 2 days with almost no risk is amazing. Try getting that with another type of financial instrument.
BrandonThought
7 months ago
the UN said nothing happened
Car
7 months ago
its funny to me how the whole world is talking about Israel entering Lebanon to kill Hezbollah terrorists, but somehow only Polymarket gamblers that hold NO know it didnt happen.
BrandonThought
7 months ago
No official confirmation. No combat operations. This is as easy as no can be.
BrandonThought
7 months ago
there needs to be confirmation from Hezbollah and Israel, both of which have DENIED this.
BrandonThought
7 months ago
yes whales tried scamming us
McLarry
7 months ago
When I said that there were still cheap nos in this market, it was a joke. What is going on here, please?
BrandonThought
7 months ago
not 50pence spam buying to hold up his yes position LMAO scammer in chief
BrandonThought
7 months ago
sell and switch to no
Car
7 months ago
im very angry about the money im about to lose
BrandonThought
7 months ago
sell yes come to no
Car
7 months ago
im not your homeboy, gayboy
BrandonThought
7 months ago
we are the common man just like her!
NotJustKen
7 months ago
Lets flip it guys like Kamala used to flip burgers when she used to work in Mcdonalds
BrandonThought
7 months ago
50pence is scamming this market
BrandonThought
7 months ago
there is no evidence of "combat operations"
BrandonThought
7 months ago
i sold goofy
Mike2025
7 months ago
You don't have a trade.
BrandonThought
7 months ago
nah he's a fighter
0xFfB30b16a7255C4633700457e12459b62F8DaD95-1722054758695
7 months ago
Doesn't matter. Kathy Hochul can remove him. You think she won't if he refuses to step down?
BrandonThought
7 months ago
LOL looks like he might take your suggestion
Car
7 months ago
Wow very busy day today, Mr President! Maybe time to relax for a few days on the beach?
BrandonThought
7 months ago
you guys don't understand Eric Adams lore. he ain't going anywhere until they take him to jail
BrandonThought
7 months ago
lmao what last minutes polls are gonna show up to screw over my trade
BrandonThought
7 months ago
saying there are shy trump voters in 2024 is so fucking funny
Justifax
7 months ago
RCP was biased for biden by +4 in 2020... complaining that it's in the tank for Trump is silly.
BrandonThought
7 months ago
stop lying man lmao
IONLYBETONX
7 months ago
15+
BrandonThought
7 months ago
8
JohannesWalterReich
7 months ago
Million 12
BrandonThought
7 months ago
7
n/a
7 months ago
What’s the count at?
BrandonThought
7 months ago
he only said it 7 times
JohannesWalterReich
7 months ago
Million was said 10 times how is it not at 100
BrandonThought
7 months ago
see
Miracle007
7 months ago
25 no for sure sell shares if you have
BrandonThought
7 months ago
you'll see the light as we all have
Miracle007
7 months ago
25 no for sure sell shares if you have
BrandonThought
7 months ago
lmao watching border skyrocket in real time is so funny
BrandonThought
7 months ago
nope 8
JohannesWalterReich
7 months ago
Million 10
BrandonThought
7 months ago
6
CallMeHJ
7 months ago
Million count at 9?
BrandonThought
7 months ago
didn't he get rid of SALT....
BrandonThought
7 months ago
no he hasn't lol
IONLYBETONX
7 months ago
12
BrandonThought
7 months ago
insanity is doing the same thing over and over again
betrwins
7 months ago
Crypto ez win
BrandonThought
8 months ago
aren't you that guy who notoriously spreads misinfo in these markets lol
Justifax
8 months ago
Not sure what you're upset about. Nobody thought this should go yes. Rando proposers will propose and lose money. Nothing to be done about that except take their money.
BrandonThought
8 months ago
Mr. Tories I think we are on the same side here
Tories4Harris
8 months ago
What's bullshit the clarification literally restates the rules that are listed. You can't just ignore the rules and make up your own rules to try and create a result that doesn't match the rules.
BrandonThought
8 months ago
this is kind of bullshit - i bet on this specifically because of the rules and the way they are. You can't just choose to have your own interpretation of how the market is supposed to work and dispute that.
BrandonThought
8 months ago
lol enjoy
Sardinianshepherd
8 months ago
it is not true harris has still a -0.5/-0.6 negative adjustment from the convention on state polls data that is phasing out, kamala just need a +0.1 in PA and it is a flip. But thanks for the money
BrandonThought
8 months ago
correct, and we're already operating in an elevated environment
PaulA
8 months ago
Polling data is the main driver in Silver Bulletin
BrandonThought
8 months ago
Daily reminder that positive economic data for September won't be released until next month so the model is probably operating max pos for Kamala right now
BrandonThought
8 months ago
because everything is firing on all cylinders right now in her favor - any positive economic data won't be reflected/released until early October.
PaulA
8 months ago
Trump has gone from 64.4% to 51.0% in 10 days, how sure are you he won't fall below 50% in next 11 days?
BrandonThought
8 months ago
doesn't the model take into account things other than polling? like economic data? that isn't going to radically shift in a week + polling is at its top
-nothingburger-
8 months ago
again today is not the day... maybe tomorrow? keep trying lol. 11 days left...tik tok ... time is almost up
BrandonThought
8 months ago
Harris be doing this to herself i see
MalikNabers
8 months ago
HarrisX
BrandonThought
8 months ago
what poll came out
BrandonThought
8 months ago
lol Marist PA tie, it's Joever
BrandonThought
8 months ago
i think overcoming that final 2% in the next 12 days is going to be tough
MalikNabers
8 months ago
Not really lol.
BrandonThought
8 months ago
Ras is definitely gonna come into bring this average down further lol
BrandonThought
8 months ago
why would kamala becoming president at this point magically help her lol
CrispyPete
8 months ago
He didn't want to quit the election either. It's not up to him. Whatever it takes to win is the order of the day.
BrandonThought
8 months ago
there's a little too much enthusiasm here
BrandonThought
8 months ago
its definitely 4 times and at the worst it is definitely "MAGA-themed"
BrandonThought
8 months ago
4 magas
BrandonThought
8 months ago
it was
dogenjoyer
8 months ago
that was 4 magas im pretty certain
BrandonThought
8 months ago
he finally said it 3 times
Viz275
8 months ago
How many times has he said fake news?
BrandonThought
8 months ago
ok now fake news is 3
BrandonThought
8 months ago
if our words dont get mentioned bc of BRYCE HALL, BRUH
BrandonThought
8 months ago
this sucks we dont care about these people
BrandonThought
8 months ago
how much longer do you think this is
BrandonThought
8 months ago
no he didn't
Lopgft
8 months ago
Way more than twice
BrandonThought
8 months ago
he only said fake news twice!
BrandonThought
8 months ago
yup
regard
8 months ago
thought he only said fake news twice
BrandonThought
8 months ago
someone proposed yes
regard
8 months ago
shh
BrandonThought
8 months ago
Guys he only said fake news twice
BrandonThought
8 months ago
he didnt say it yesterday so people underpriced it
Mountainman
8 months ago
How the hell did you guys not all buy Moderator??? Such an easy 5x.
BrandonThought
8 months ago
holy fuck the border spam LOL
BrandonThought
8 months ago
wasn't fake news only 2
BrandonThought
8 months ago
he said it 3 times what are you talking about
thakattack19
8 months ago
"make america great" doesn't count lol. still at 1
BrandonThought
8 months ago
MAGA 3!
BrandonThought
8 months ago
MAGA 3
thakattack19
8 months ago
maga 2!
BrandonThought
8 months ago
was not expecting that, 1.5 it is
BrandonThought
8 months ago
he didnt say tampon at the debate, therefore there should be a market here
BrandonThought
8 months ago
he's been tweeting about springfield Ohio all day
BrandonThought
8 months ago
the first one was a sleeper that turned into an insane box office success, this one will be the same lol
TheOneB
8 months ago
nice try at pumping up joker's 2 price
BrandonThought
8 months ago
everyone is massively underestimating Joker 2
BrandonThought
8 months ago
this guy
🤺JustPunched
8 months ago
What can I say, I liked Inside Out 2
BrandonThought
8 months ago
every business program has been hammering her "unrealized" capital gains tax proposal. This is extremely controversial to the oligarchs!
BrandonThought
8 months ago
yes but we get to monetize stupidity so its cool
Malganis
8 months ago
the deeper you go into ideology the more you lose touch with reality
BrandonThought
8 months ago
you wouldnt know either cuz you have no gains to speak of at all lol
ThisisJames
8 months ago
she doesn't even know what unrealized gains are
BrandonThought
8 months ago
Rasmussen +1 for Harris D: (previous +2 for Trump)
BrandonThought
8 months ago
if she endorses Kamala, that will invalidate everything she's done regarding J6 to Republicans on the fence. Makes no sense to endorse, there is no audience for this
BrandonThought
8 months ago
Donald Trump is literally on it
Scrounge
8 months ago
How about betting on which presidential elect releases the Epstein flight logs? That is a bet 😂 we all know Harris won’t do it because more than half the Democratic Party and financial backers would be in prison.
BrandonThought
8 months ago
you're so bad at this
BallzToTheWalz
8 months ago
then bet on 2.5+
BrandonThought
8 months ago
no one whose not terminally online knows who that is or cares
bolle
8 months ago
trump saying he supports pavel durov would probably result in a lot of new votes.
BrandonThought
8 months ago
we're gonna DRILL BABY DRILL
BrandonThought
8 months ago
her lead is only going up
BrandonThought
8 months ago
PA big issue is fracking, he's going to say drill baby drill lmao, CNN even called out Kamala on it tonight
BrandonThought
8 months ago
need laura loomer to tank this market again
BrandonThought
8 months ago
we should do markets on the amount of commercial breaks their will be for these types of interviews
BrandonThought
8 months ago
they updated the Yahoo poll immediately
Chen1996
8 months ago
That’s assuming they update which they may or may not
BrandonThought
8 months ago
why do you hate the working class?
BalanceP
8 months ago
Someone greatest assets is their experience working at McDonald's.
BrandonThought
8 months ago
Easy 2.2 to 2.4
BrandonThought
8 months ago
lol trick market
BrandonThought
9 months ago
no folks yet
BrandonThought
9 months ago
waaaaay too high
singa
9 months ago
Those prices are just way too high
BrandonThought
9 months ago
she's not gonna say abortion in this speech on the economy lol
BrandonThought
9 months ago
Tampon Tim!
BrandonThought
9 months ago
are we doing this again
BrandonThought
9 months ago
you keep me going
retard2
9 months ago
we've always been here brother.
BrandonThought
9 months ago
nothing ever happens bros, we might be so back!
BrandonThought
9 months ago
im just coping
Oracleisadatabase
9 months ago
Context is done: https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/speeches-remarks/2024/08/11/remarks-by-vice-president-harris-at-a-political-event-in-san-francisco-ca/
BrandonThought
9 months ago
doesn't count look at resolution lol
Oracleisadatabase
9 months ago
Context is done: https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/speeches-remarks/2024/08/11/remarks-by-vice-president-harris-at-a-political-event-in-san-francisco-ca/
BrandonThought
9 months ago
lol balllerr deleted his comment
BrandonThought
9 months ago
lol bet or you have no balls "balllerrr"
n/a
9 months ago
feel bad for you... the 1 time you buy NO is right before they're about to attack LOL
BrandonThought
9 months ago
stay strong soldier
retard2
9 months ago
i folded a 23 cent no last week.
BrandonThought
9 months ago
last time, I paper handsed no, NOT THIS TIME.
BrandonThought
9 months ago
I hope people realize that the resolution does not have "Illegals" or "Illegal Alien" which are the terms he almost exclusively uses.
BrandonThought
9 months ago
you are correct but will it happen in August? :P
gigidagostino
9 months ago
Obviously they need to show up together. Family unity is vital for successful election. And his team sees how they are lagging behind
BrandonThought
9 months ago
didn't see that, im a low information bettor
0xE42c9d2ef
9 months ago
he already tweeted a bunch
BrandonThought
9 months ago
dude lol
gigidagostino
9 months ago
Obviously they need to show up together. Family unity is vital for successful election. And his team sees how they are lagging behind
BrandonThought
9 months ago
what about 0
BrandonThought
9 months ago
hahahaha
cantomafalda
9 months ago
the only normal topic
BrandonThought
9 months ago
if you think Biden is resigning from the presidency after already saying no to a second term, you've watched too much Veep
Yanoya4sure
9 months ago
This one is a real toss-up. I bet no because resigning the presidency would give Kamala all the cards in her election bid. His cognitive state is not getting any better, and it may be a matter of him getting his affairs in order. I am going to be looking for moves like pardons, executive orders, etc
BrandonThought
9 months ago
AZ Republican party endorsement, NV Culinary Union Endorsement, GA now-tied with much higher Atlanta turnout, and the rust belt has been in her favor. We're living in a completely different world where she'll probably exceed Biden's margins in all 6 states.
BrandonThought
9 months ago
NC has only gone dem once since Jimmy Carter, and that was for Obama in 2008. Hasn't really swung back and forth
0xEEa5Ce50BD23C6fcd73083DBf07F35d087Ef1149-1723132681962
9 months ago
Why isn’t North Carolina considered a swing state here? It is on the Trump market.
BrandonThought
9 months ago
what was supposed to happen on august 10th
buweeo
9 months ago
We made it to August 10th. It's over.
BrandonThought
9 months ago
she got the coveted endorsement in Nevada and has completely erased the gap in GA. It's Joever for Trump.
BrandonThought
9 months ago
i was coping because i had lost money on the will they debate on ABC. This is a good lesson in sticking to your guns. Congrats on the dub.
Keer
9 months ago
ur so silly
BrandonThought
9 months ago
Shouldve stuck to my guns RIP
BrandonThought
9 months ago
Joe Biden and Donald Trump already debated
Car
9 months ago
know what you are betting against
BrandonThought
9 months ago
that's already priced in, if its the typical post-convention bounce it will fade away (according to the pundits/analysts)
0x243339432434324234
9 months ago
How do you factor into your analysis the notion of a post-convention bounce for the Dems that makes Donald feel like he needs the debate for course correction?
BrandonThought
9 months ago
they're not going to debate, she wants ABC and he wants FOX. lol
BrandonThought
9 months ago
real life iron man
gregus
9 months ago
they're not gonna wanna do this, not on my watch.
BrandonThought
9 months ago
she hates him lol
BrandonThought
9 months ago
Not going to happen now, she will want to do ABC to show he's scared and he will only commit to Fox. At the very least, insanely underpriced market
BrandonThought
9 months ago
you're a fucking retard. go learn to read you degenerate swine fucker. don't have children, they will somehow be dumber than you. stupid fucking fuck.
Ox8
9 months ago
Should I bet on the man. What a fucking disgrace.
BrandonThought
9 months ago
no
0xc0Ce732b85a0cbf6D86e2958cCd853262f75189D-1721851847646
9 months ago
DJT has zero chance to win PA because too many smart voters live there
BrandonThought
9 months ago
WALZ-A-MANIA!!!!!
BrandonThought
9 months ago
I would if I could. All Hail Brandon!
n/a
9 months ago
lol bet more
BrandonThought
9 months ago
The Brandon Regime remains strong.
BrandonThought
9 months ago
If he backs out, Harris will just go anyway. He will look weak. He will end up going.