#18
Rank
699
Comments
408
Likes Received
747
Likes Given
yourrapist1776
4 months ago
Just use the site a lot and join discords you'll get used to things
yourrapist1776
4 months ago
afdsandmonkeyrape.exe
yourrapist1776
4 months ago
If Campbell coached the Vikings this year they win 8 games
yourrapist1776
4 months ago
-27k jfc time to stop betting pal. Kevin by a landslide
sorcerer.04
4 months ago
Kevin O'Connell vegas odds -700 (87.5% probability). Votes were in by January 8 so the playoff loss means nothing for this outcome
yourrapist1776
4 months ago
Come eat lobster with a monster
yourrapist1776
4 months ago
In america they have something called snow plows and salted roads. Canada spends all their money on assisted suicides and pedophilia legalization efforts so you wouldn't know that
yourrapist1776
4 months ago
I didn't know Indians (no holders) we're snow experts. I'll add that to the list of your many talents
yourrapist1776
4 months ago
So you should know 7 inches ending at 8am when the certification is 1pm or later isn't an issue
yourrapist1776
4 months ago
I didn't know Indians (no holders) we're snow experts. I'll add that to the list of your many talents
yourrapist1776
4 months ago
I didn't know Indians (no holders) we're snow experts. I'll add that to the list of your many talents
yourrapist1776
4 months ago
No holders are special needs
yourrapist1776
4 months ago
afdsandmonkeyrape.exe
yourrapist1776
4 months ago
Congress won’t even meet again until Monday because of the weekend
TPTPTPTPTPTPTPTPTP
4 months ago
the holdouts might rant for a few days to show they mean business
yourrapist1776
4 months ago
Has never happened 1 time in US history
yourrapist1776
4 months ago
https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2025/01/02/congress/donald-trump-inaugurated-speaker-fight-00196284
yourrapist1776
4 months ago
https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2025/01/02/congress/donald-trump-inaugurated-speaker-fight-00196284
yourrapist1776
4 months ago
no shot
yourrapist1776
4 months ago
Speaker does not need to be finalized by the 6th to certify the election
Siegfried222
4 months ago
What happened in 6 hours ago?
yourrapist1776
4 months ago
Allen also sat out a bunch of 4th quarters because they blow everyone out
lilsponge
4 months ago
Top 2 passer rating in a season in nfl history, plus potentially 1k rushing yards, 40+ td’s, etc. Avg cost of 5.6% two weeks ago. Holding and have a limit buy open
yourrapist1776
4 months ago
Schizophrenia
Siegfried222
4 months ago
What happened in 6 hours ago?
yourrapist1776
4 months ago
He won it last year with dogshit stats, they aren't giving it to him this year
lilsponge
4 months ago
Top 2 passer rating in a season in nfl history, plus potentially 1k rushing yards, 40+ td’s, etc. Avg cost of 5.6% two weeks ago. Holding and have a limit buy open
yourrapist1776
4 months ago
yes
yourrapist1776
4 months ago
yes
yourrapist1776
4 months ago
i hope so
yourrapist1776
4 months ago
No way they don’t throw a fit after losing again
yourrapist1776
4 months ago
Filthy animal please save me
yourrapist1776
4 months ago
real as fuck
JohnnyBoyyy
4 months ago
Kumula Whorris yells, "I'm cumming! I'm cumming!" while jacking off two cocks at once.
yourrapist1776
5 months ago
Cam ward
yourrapist1776
5 months ago
Betting on muslims to stop blowing shit up? Good luck
yourrapist1776
5 months ago
xD
yourrapist1776
5 months ago
https://x.com/zerohedge/status/1866893737277763934
yourrapist1776
5 months ago
https://x.com/zerohedge/status/1866893737277763934
yourrapist1776
5 months ago
1 day of no missles flying doesn't qualify as a ceasefire
Pollytician
5 months ago
100% gonna be a Christmas ceasefire
yourrapist1776
5 months ago
You don't get refunded, it settles 50-50. You bought above 50, you lost money
YontyBull
5 months ago
the entire market gets refunded
yourrapist1776
5 months ago
6 foot 5 black guy tied with obese 50 year old unathletic guy with high cholesterol
yourrapist1776
5 months ago
bitcuck
yourrapist1776
5 months ago
pete always loved recess as a child
yourrapist1776
5 months ago
Pidor🐓 dm'd my 12 year old daughter on Instagram and he's facing 15 to 25 years
yourrapist1776
5 months ago
the bond (collateral) was sent to my wallet so I could take your mom (consentually) to a motel 6
ForeignSanny
5 months ago
Question: was a bond (collateral) required for the original question to be put on the blockchain? If so how high was this bond? Was a bond also required for the 'additional context' to be put on the chain?
yourrapist1776
5 months ago
pete raype
yourrapist1776
5 months ago
If Pidor🐓 is taller than 5 foot 5 I'll cut my balls off
yourrapist1776
5 months ago
Just deposited another 10k so I can own these blacks!
yourrapist1776
5 months ago
If consensus isn't reached we will dispute. Yes whales are trying to rig things, they can't pull out their money at 99.9c due to lack of liquidity which artificially inflated the probability of this having a 99% chance despite the evidence to the contrary. They came to this market thinking they'd make a quick and easy 1-3% return and instead they endup with their capital locked, they know that they need to try to resolve prematurely as the more evidence flows, the more likely to go P1 on 31st Dec.
yourrapist1776
5 months ago
No can still easily win this. A bunch of big UMA token whales haven't even voted yet, and last time they all voted against yes
yourrapist1776
5 months ago
WE BRING THE BOOM!
yourrapist1776
5 months ago
Biden pardoned his son so now let's rush to polymarket dot com to throw money on him giving a pardon to bernie madoff
yourrapist1776
5 months ago
I fucking hate riggers. Fuck these riggers
yourrapist1776
5 months ago
I heard tulsi gabbard has a cock?
yourrapist1776
5 months ago
1 minute closer to more racist & homophobic rants posted by me on twitter
yourrapist1776
5 months ago
Bob Casey sleeps with the fishes
yourrapist1776
5 months ago
You can buy McCormick shares for cheaper here https://polymarket.com/event/of-republican-senate-seats-after-election/will-republicans-have-53-seats-in-senate-after-election?tid=1732197917540
yourrapist1776
5 months ago
6794 votes left and Casey only trails by 16322. And NBC won't call the rase and Casey won't condede. Trump is sending these retards to Siberia in just a few months time.
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
17244 ballots left, McCormick leads by 17324, and NBC still hasn't fucking called the race. Does Diddy own the network?
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
They were supposed to be done by tomorrow. Large percent of remaining ballots were likely under dispute and may not be counted at all
FBInformationsider
6 months ago
I'm starting to think this is close to the final margin & there are no valid ballots left to count
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
The decision desk spreadsheet has always been the best source https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1N7NOlleN9QbJzxffRdPT00MnqJ7lQy3ssa7vtIsQqhY/edit?gid=468071042#gid=468071042
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Every single day the data for Casey gets worse. He now needs to win nearly 90% of the remaining estimated 23k ballots to win this (Doubtful there is still even 23k ballots to count)
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Every single day the data for Casey gets worse. He now needs to win nearly 90% of the remaining estimated 23k ballots to win this (Doubtful there is still even 23k ballots to count)
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
ok retard
baby2
6 months ago
deploying more capital
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
99% reported, Trump up 5.3%. Over
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Scott out thune and cornyn advance
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
if anything pruser is signifigantly overcounting provisionals remaining, not undercounting
sapper1257
6 months ago
I think the best way to track this is using Michael Pruser's Excel spreadsheet: https://x.com/MichaelPruser/status/1856345186462494837
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
And I doubt there will even end up being 54k provsionals counted, likely 10-20% less than that
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Saying casey will win remaining 54k provisionals by 30% (he won't) and giving him 80% of the remaining mail & UOCAVA, McCormick still scrapes by
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Saying casey will win remaining 54k provisionals by 30% (he won't) and giving him 80% of the remaining mail & UOCAVA, McCormick still scrapes by
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Over https://x.com/tencor_7144/status/1855278462866759757?s=46
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Marc Elias is getting put in the crystals along with Ann Selzer Jon Ralston Erasmus Domer Will Stancil and P Diddy
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Liberal delusion
zdx
6 months ago
newbee here, how come this isn't 100
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
You are mentally retarded if you believe that
anonymousfish123
6 months ago
"He's not going to be the (HHS) secretary, no," Lutnick told CNN. "That's not what he wants to do ... He just wants data." Lutnick said Kennedy's real goal was not a cabinet position, but rather access to data from these agencies in an attempt to paint vaccines as unsafe and take them off the market. From https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/10/31/rfk-jr-health-agencies-trump/75964017007/
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Selzer never misses. Kamala at 1c here is a steal
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
My maga brothers please stop wasting your money
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-president-forecast-needle.html
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-president-forecast-needle.html
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
The fuck are you apes doing
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
New market: When will Ann Selzer diddy tape release?
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Trump is up 12 in ohio and you think Iowa is getting to double digits?
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Yes
Yo-Hanma
6 months ago
What is happening why is Kamala at 57%???
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Des moines votes came in first, the bluest part of the state. Will trend right from here on and probably finish Trump +11
Yo-Hanma
6 months ago
What is happening why is Kamala at 57%???
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Yea suprising honestly. It probably ends up being a 4 point loss, 6 points better than 2020 for him. A good sign for other states
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Decision Desk already called the race unfortunately, close but he's not gonna take it
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Decision Desk already called the race unfortunately, close but he's not gonna take it
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
They report like this every election. Blue first, then trump overtakes and never regives lead
somerandomagent
6 months ago
Wow, Ohio going blue?
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
9 point swift in a big full reported county, Trump may do it bros
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
You got raped by american patriots
Pannenkoeken
6 months ago
What happened ?
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Uh oh https://x.com/MattRooneyNJ/status/1853898696095658363
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
So woman should be voting at a higher rate, but they aren't
PaulDenino
6 months ago
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/iowa-results 55-45 in favor of women, Republicans FAR overshadowed by Dems and independents. This is the hugest steal of the night.
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
2020 had the same early voting split by gender
PaulDenino
6 months ago
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/iowa-results 55-45 in favor of women, Republicans FAR overshadowed by Dems and independents. This is the hugest steal of the night.
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Cleveland turnout way down, republican blowout incoming in Ohio. All we have left is Iowa
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Cleveland turnout way down, republican blowout incoming
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
He will 100% take ohio, possibly by double digits
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
There is 2 flippable states on the entire list (Iowa, Ohio). Goodluck
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Iowa or ohio would flip before Alaska does
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
There is 2 flippable states on the entire list (Iowa, Ohio). Goodluck
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Pulled directly from the iowa state website
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Iowa Voter Registration Advantage 🔵 2008-D+115033 (Obama Win) 🔵 2012-D+23778 (Obama Win) 🔴 2016-R+24005 (Trump Win) 🔴 2020-R+15882 (Trump Win) 🔴 2024-R+173,302 (Ann Selzer Crucifixion)
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Quite literally going to end up with 40% less turnout vs 2020. Margins will definitely be smaller for Harris if she wins at all
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
https://x.com/kerpen/status/1853606030954922475
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
https://x.com/kerpen/status/1853606030954922475
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
They trade at 85% and 91% win probabilities and are heavily correlated
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
There is 2 flippable states on the entire list (Iowa, Ohio). Goodluck
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Thanks for the fill my nigs ✊🏻
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
There is 2 flippable states on the entire list (Iowa, Ohio). Goodluck
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Based off Nevada early voting we already know that state moved at least 2 points to the right, which I think is a better signal than an Iowa poll or even result
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Final IOWA poll by Insider Advantage 🔴 Trump: 52.4% (+6.8) 🔵 Harris: 45.6% #95 (2.0/3.0) | 800 LV | 11/2-3 | +/- 3.46%
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Selzer bros can't stop losing
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Final IOWA poll by Insider Advantage 🔴 Trump: 52.4% (+6.8) 🔵 Harris: 45.6% #95 (2.0/3.0) | 800 LV | 11/2-3 | +/- 3.46%
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Final IOWA poll by Insider Advantage 🔴 Trump: 52.4% (+6.8) 🔵 Harris: 45.6% #95 (2.0/3.0) | 800 LV | 11/2-3 | +/- 3.46%
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
You want compromise, how's this? 20 years in the can, I wanted manicotti. I compromised. I ate grilled cheese off the radiator instead.
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Iowa Voter Registration Advantage 🔵 2008-D+115033 (Obama Win) 🔵 2012-D+23778 (Obama Win) 🔴 2016-R+24005 (Trump Win) 🔴 2020-R+15882 (Trump Win) 🔴 2024-R+173,302 (Ann Selzer Crucifixion)
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Share Of Woman In Early Vote: 2020: 🟣 Woman 56% 2024: 🟣 Woman 53%
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Real
MAGA-King
6 months ago
The MAGA-King going down with his MAGA-boat on this one. Selzer is out an outlier. Even if it's 100% correct, abortion will be less of an issue in Ohio, and the states aren't perfectly correlated. Trafalgar will be proven correct.
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
#New General election poll - Iowa 🔴 Trump 52% (+8) 🔵 Harris 44% Socal - 435 LV - 11/3
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Obama also won this in 2012 and 2008
Slan
6 months ago
Trump posts NEW RECORD in Iowa Youth Straw Poll, handily demolishes his own 2016 and 2020 performance: 🔴 2024: Trump+30.1 | 🔴 2020: Trump+18.1 | 🔴 2016: Trump+10.6 | This year, Trump received *61.6% of the vote... Kamala nearly dipped into the 20s! https://sos.iowa.gov/youth/poll/results.aspx | So basically, these results copy the major registration advantage Reps had since 2020 and Iowa's further shift to the right, which started after the 2008 election.
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
A post menopausal woman surveyed 880 residents from Iowa (Pete Buttigieg 880 times) and found Harris up 3. Act accordingly
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Ball up top.
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
I WILL SEE YOU IN IOWA
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Fill me like a thanksgiving turkey
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Ok
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Too big to rig my nigs
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
The popular vote is tied but Iowa moved 13 points to the left
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Too big to rig my nigs
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
I know man, can't believe your father went to the store to get milk and never came back
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Anyday now prisonbros stay strong
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
He can call that bitch now. It's over
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Free money glitch
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
I think I'm cooked https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1851554440492552288
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
My peepee itches!
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
The rapist is on yes. You don't have much time left
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Mr beast touched me when I was 9 years old
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Jewanon in full force here
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
In play
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
She might lose by 10
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Texas will vote 8 points to the left of Trump to secure the senate for the dems #polymarket #investing
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Kamala has a shot according to early voting data
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Anyday now prisonbros stay strong
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Yep. Feeling big and strong
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Alex jones tells me she's not coming on, I buy shares. Simple as
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
If trump goes on rogan and drops hard r 100 times he'd still be favored
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Alex jones tells me she's not coming on, I buy shares. Simple as
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
One day lil nigga
BigDaddyMoneyMaker
6 months ago
Imagine having a massive bankroll and just printing 10k a day on these bets and never working a day in your life
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
Same with me and your mother
BigDaddyMoneyMaker
6 months ago
They are both in texas on the same day,
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Obama won Alaska easily in 2008 and 2012. It will happen again here as Kamala is very very popular in that state according to polling
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Obama won Ohio easily in 2008 and 2012. It will happen again here as Kamala is very very popular in that state according to polling
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Sentencing is after the election you braindead retard. It's 100% no prison time
Sawe
7 months ago
36-47 months
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Fuck a beat, I was tryna beat a case But I ain't beat that case, bitch I did the race Beat it up, where I nut? Shorty face Eli blast cracking 4s like a vase Pop a nigga then I go out my way Do the dash then I go out the way Rob a nigga shoes, rob a nigga lace We tryna see a hunnit bands in our face
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Result coming soon
Will143
7 months ago
how long was this up: NCEI products and services are now available. Many data products continue to be updated as a result of the outage caused by Hurricane Helene. We apologize for any inconvenience. https://www.ncei.noaa.gov
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
A rich new york financier? Brother I already am.
tiktok-mahlix
7 months ago
bros gonna end up like his pfp at the end of this
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
They have plenty of times
McLarry
7 months ago
I would like to draw your attention to the fact that UMA(a.k.a. Kevin) has never decided against a clarification of Polymarket. Don't set your money on fire
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
"I will study your crashout" no you should study my balls in your mouth
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
This site is full of RETARDED FAGGOTS
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
I support tim walz and pedophilia and gay anal sex with minors fill my bids at 96c please
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
"Members of the Trump family, including Donald Trump, publicly championed the project on social media, with the former president being titled as "Chief Crypto Advocate" Two of his sons, Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr., are involved as "Web3 Ambassadors," while his other son Barron Trump is listed as "DeFi Visionary."
Themaninthetower
7 months ago
Where is Trump? Also where is the whitepaper? When are they going to state that Trump is directly involved in the project? Promotion and receiving coins is what i've seen until now.
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
WLFI will replace the US dollar. Nobros are cucked. Yes sellers like mountainfaggot are cucked
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Maybe one day you'll get some money like the rapist. Keep grinding son
Mountainman
7 months ago
Take that cap and stick it up your ass you scamming weirdo.
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Coin sale, coin deployment, trump in whitepaper and listed as advisor. Send to 99
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
No holders must like self harm at this point
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
No holders must like self harm at this point
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
I deserve every last cent from JP1933's net worth
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Roe Jogan will host donald
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Scoragamifags win again
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
A tweet where it links this? Did you bother to even read it? https://www.them.us/story/tim-walz-gwen-gay-student-indigo-girls-concert
Lisbon333
7 months ago
Nope, Hes been exposed as a rapist and a pedophile. Developing story https://x.com/DocNetyoutube/status/1845596342913007766
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Mountaincuck validated. I tip my cap
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Only way yes wins is if he dies. Good luck
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
0% chance any of the 4 candidates on either ticket get replaced at this point. This is now a death market, which poly said they would never allow, but they now do
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
If Mountaincuck wasn't on yes I'd be all in
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Aenews sat here talking about how free this market was, then the moment they announce the coin sale he jeeted all his shares?
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
She isn't going to win any state
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
The rapist thinks the data will come the 3rd week of October
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Just put the fries in the bag bro
0xc26E37C84509c72b58171bEc9286fa83c73f5366-1719543164274
7 months ago
This is defined as "landfall" by NHC NOAA. Landfall is the "middle" of the storm. The wind is now 115MPH. 5 more MPH drop and its a CAT 2, not 3. Who is ready to dispute?
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
You have earned my respect
0xfb67afb55ab7dcaf744c67f8a25bc4a30aca4a48
7 months ago
imagine if DUMFAT DOMER actually had to predict for a living LMFAO
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
My model is butt naked feeding me 92% cacao organic dark chocolate
yourrapist1777
7 months ago
My model says 73% chance of cat 5. Will be interesting to see how this plays out
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
170 at least
horatio
7 months ago
Storm hitting the warmest water yet, should intensify. Model forecasts 135 MPH
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
125 mph cat 3 cope and seethe
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Sold at the right time eh
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Each new comment I read I permanently lose more brain cells
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
The same NYT poll shows trump up 14 in florida
Chen1996
7 months ago
NYT poll shows Harris +4 & the pressure is on by thursday at 12pm: CNN issues deadline for Trump and Harris to agree to final 2024 debate
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Larry fink is satoshi
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
I am tailing
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
RoemerNewsCapital publically boasting his insider trading is some real ninja shit
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
RoemerNewsCapital publically boasting his insider trading is some real ninja shit
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
your mom has a fat ass
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
No shares in freefall. This isn't over folks
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
TesticularCancerCapital07 claiming market manipulation
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Elon getting ready to accept his crown
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Len sassaman died in 2011 bros, he couldn't have been interviewed by HBO. The jig is up, you are now poor
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
If you called the cops Domer would probably just show up at your house instead and start inappropriately touching your kids
TomTurbo
7 months ago
This is a scandal. Somebody should report this to the authorities
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Notice how there are no black people on this list
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
you too brother
yourrapist1777
7 months ago
you funny as fuk my niqqa
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
So your aguing the november invasion market should have settled no, when it already settled yes. So if UMA decided the invasion took place already, why are you so stubborn in thinking that they will now vote for the complete opposite in this market?
Car
7 months ago
"Enter" and "Invade" are 2 markets with completely different rules. The rules for this "Invade" market were not satisfied at the time of the proposal before the deadline. That is why it went to P4. Whatever happens after the deadline, should obviously not be considered. Even if you want to consider the new evidence from October, there is still no "Intent to establish control over any portion of Lebanon".
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Most likely yes
informed
7 months ago
Cuban stole idea from Musk
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
So november should have closed as no then as well?
Car
7 months ago
No, because before the invasion, they announced they entered the country to destroy hezbollah infrastructure, vehicles, weapons, houses, tunnels and more.
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
any entering of a country would lead to land occupation though
Car
7 months ago
Thats because the enter market had easier rules
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
September enter yes (already settled), october invade yes (already settled), september invade no is an impossible scenario unless JustCuck and his goons send blacked out escalades to UMA whales oceanfront homes in a forced persuasion operation
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Adam back always made the most sense to me, although it definitely could have been mark cuban
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
25thamendmentbros down bad
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
80+
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Writing is on the wall for a yes resolution
denizz
7 months ago
With the resolution of the other markets, we’ve established that the Israeli ground operation started September 30, and that it intended to control territory by early October. So, did the operational plans change, or did Israel already intend to control territory on September 30? The argument against intent to control on September 30 originates largely from Israel’s ongoing public claims about the operation, which we have already discounted. Meanwhile, on September 30, Israeli officials told CNN that there would be “no long-term occupation” of Lebanese territory. This suggests that they intended short term control over Lebanese territory. (https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-lebanon-war-hezbollah-09-30-24-intl-hnk#cm1pnn1ki000l3b6mbkmq0ye5) Walla’s military correspondent reported on Oct. 1 morning that, per “the decision of the political echelon,” “the purpose of the limited ground maneuver is a high level of operational control in the area.” (https://news.walla.co.il/item/3695334) Thus, early inside reporting demonstrates Israeli intent to control on September 30. Finally, it should be noted that Israel’s national security cabinet approved the plan for the ground operation on September 30, and there have been no amendments since then to their authorization. The weight of evidence points strongly towards operational control being planned from the start of the operation. NO for this market would be anti-empirical and anti-common sense.
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Didn't in the november market
sigh
7 months ago
Interesting market. Will Domer's Schelling point hold against the self-fulfilling YES push?
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Car losing money. It's a great day folks
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
JustCuck is wondering where his money went
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
The first ever ground invasion in history where no land control has taken place according to car & ken
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Use limit orders not market orders
Bepper
7 months ago
Wow never using this service again. The buy order said 9 cents and it placed my order for 47 cents. What a way to burn money.
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Only thing keeping september from resolving yes is the end date. Not a problem here, ground invasion has clearly been commenced the past few days confirmed by both governments and consensus of reporting
Nancy.Pelosi
7 months ago
Yes holders in this market would behoove themselves to look at the September market
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Clearing out civillians and taking those areas isn't establishing control guys. It's all just a misunderstanding
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
The IDF is just vacationing in lebanon. No military actions are taking place, if you exclude all the fighting and deaths
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Now I see why aejews2 sold his shares
CultArtist
7 months ago
This is gonna take a long time to settle. The GISTEMP monthly update's primary source of input data is the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information data center located in Asheville, which is currently devistated from Hurricane Helene
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Retardation
Erasmus
7 months ago
@Arbguy what do you think you're arbing, exactly?
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Bed bath and beyond investors from wall street bets keep giving me outstanding bond returns across all markets
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
So the september market resolved yes. How would that resolve yes and this no??? Am I gay and retarded to think this should be at 99?
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Wow no retards lost their lottos and they crying market manipulation? Who could have forseen this?
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
"Israel and Hezbollah said their troops were fighting at close range in southern Lebanon on Wednesday, as Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu weighed a military response to Iran for firing ballistic missiles at Israel in an attack that has further set the region on edge. Hezbollah said in a statement that its fighters had clashed with Israeli soldiers in at least one Lebanese town, Maroun al-Ras, roughly a mile from the evacuated Israeli town of Avivim, which the militia said it had targeted with rockets."
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
"The Israeli military said that it had moved one army division, typically numbering around 10,000 troops, to the Lebanese border and told Lebanese civilians in about two dozen villages in the area to move north." Moving civilians and taking territory, close and pay
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
I can link 76 major media outlets reporting an israeli invasion in southern Lebanon give me my biden bucks already
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
why is your mother in my dm's?
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Infinite bid for No, I buy lower
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Looks like Adolf Hitler and Joseph Stalin just bought yes shares. UMA corruption goes deeper than you could imagine
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
That's actually hilarious lmfao
averagejoe
7 months ago
AENEWS2 is a well known scam artist. Thread: https://x.com/Domahhhh/status/1555575884475662336
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
aenews2 bet his whole PNL on Yes and is now negative on it, what a joke. If one of the other big whales sells be for he does he is done for
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
No way this nigga is charting on polymarket 😭
zynyz
7 months ago
6H chart looks beautiful, new flood of No buyers coming in, will be much harder to rig soon
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Your mom already packed me a lunch thanks though
Phat.
7 months ago
you better of flipping that 5 bucks to no to get a free burger
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Something about lotto markets draws in the dumbest people from across the globe into one place
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Drip too hard, don't stand too close You gon' fuck around and drown off this wave Doing all these shows, I've been on the road I don't care where I go, long as I get paid Bad lil' vibe, she been on my mind Soon as I get back, she getting slayed Do this all the time, this ain't no surprise Every other night, another movie get made
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
yourrapist1776 mentioned!
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
7 months ago
Get ready for the big sell-off yourrapist1776 sold 11,608 Yes at 98.0¢ ($11,376)
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
The rapist is telling you to get out!
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
7 months ago
Get ready for the big sell-off yourrapist1776 sold 11,608 Yes at 98.0¢ ($11,376)
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
When the rapist sells....things are getting sweaty
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
7 months ago
Get ready for the big sell-off yourrapist1776 sold 11,608 Yes at 98.0¢ ($11,376)
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Goodbye walz cucks
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Will be 99c within 10 days
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
WALZCUCKS STARTING TO SWEAT
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Being effeminate and gay
JustTooPhresh
7 months ago
Walz comes across as extremely effeminate and gay. What is his appeal on the ticket?
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
4 figure wigger
MSGRallySpeaker
7 months ago
lot of redpilled brokeboys in the chat tonight
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Why would he lie in front of millions of viewers???
PokerBrat
7 months ago
JUST SAY HE LOST THE ELECTION
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Big cock vance took a lot of libs money tonight
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Walzbros what happened?
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
MountainCuck
Mountainman
7 months ago
Imagine holding “NO” on something that already happened, and will happen again any second now. YIKES. Could never be me...
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
iq gap between yes and no holders can stretch galaxies
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
im gay
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
coolest monkey in the jungle
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
My p2 (2 inch penis) better than your p1 (1 inch penis)
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Got filled harder than Mia Khalifa on this one
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Mountainman is the biggest retarded faggot I've seen on this site comparing his 500 dollar memcoin investment to a liquid 40% annualized return. Actually kill yourself
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
It takes 2 seconds to check when I bought retard. Selling to buy VP debate shares and then coming right back to take your girlfriends boyfriends rent money
Mountainman
7 months ago
No you didn't, your position is underwater. Not to mention that you’re selling your "NO" after my comment, while talking crap to me. What an absolute dummy. hahaha
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Bought my shares 3 days ago at a 36% annualized apy you pathetic faggot
Mountainman
7 months ago
Imagine parking 26k for 4 months, for a 3 percent return... knowing that it can turn to zero at any second and thinking you should be giving people advice hahaha. You know that you can literally make more of a return in about an hour with almost no risk? Some of you are legit clueless.
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
MINNESOTA EASY
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Comment or your main account or I will rape you
nook
7 months ago
better stick to raping, DUMFAG DECRAPP, since you can't tell 2 losses out of 3 is NOTHING to brag about, HA HA HA!
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Sell before you lose all your money in a month
samthomas
7 months ago
"While I understand your point about the 25th Amendment being about forced removal, the market rules specifically state that it only requires Biden to announce his resignation by the deadline for a 'Yes' resolution. The actual resignation isn't necessary for the market's decision. If he makes that announcement, regardless of the circumstances, it will resolve to 'Yes.' So, the focus should really be on whether he announces it, not on how he might leave office."
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
25th amendment is not him announcing his resignation, it's him getting kicked out
samthomas
7 months ago
"While I understand your point about the 25th Amendment being about forced removal, the market rules specifically state that it only requires Biden to announce his resignation by the deadline for a 'Yes' resolution. The actual resignation isn't necessary for the market's decision. If he makes that announcement, regardless of the circumstances, it will resolve to 'Yes.' So, the focus should really be on whether he announces it, not on how he might leave office."
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
The rapist on N.
Eridpnc
7 months ago
Justken on Y OMGGGG!!!!! WHATTTTT :ooooooooo
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
25th amendment is a forced removal not a resignation. Neither scenario is happening either way
samthomas
7 months ago
If President Biden announces his resignation and Kamala Harris takes over under the 25th Amendment, the market would resolve to "Yes." The rules state that the market resolves based on Biden's announcement of resignation, regardless of whether he actually resigns or how the transition occurs. So, in this scenario, the market would consider his announcement sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
He’s definitely playing, coach said it today
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Scoragami bros keep coming back for more pain
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Trump already getting negative press. Does he dare back out last minute?
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Damn yes bros got bailed out
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Death or 25th amendment will also resolve to no according to rules
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
He's a democrat you sped
thomas2006
7 months ago
See another Trump endorsement?
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
The sentencing isn't even until after the election. Send this shit to 99.9 already
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Zelensky was just talking shit about vance. They are not meeting
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Yea no shot in fuck they are meeting
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
yesbettorsdownbadigami
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
A guy with 5 tds 4 picks and no fucking yards is the MVP favorite. This league is garbage now
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Harris is begging for another debate because she's down, and she's requiring it must be on liberal cnn with gay commie moderators. Big dick don isn't bending the knee
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Anyone with a brain can clearly see he is much better & smarter than that communist thug MLK. He’s staying and winning
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Comment on your main account faggot
nook
7 months ago
where are all the STINK BIDS???
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Ok in all seriousness I hope this fat black fucking retard drops out to help trump
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
The liberal cabal JustKen & 50Pence are trying to take down patriot Mark Robinson. They will lose
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Risk adjusted returns deez nuts faggot. You are 40 years old
BuckMySalls
7 months ago
your lifetime ROI tells me I know a lot more about risk-adjusted returns than you do, so keep those takes coming
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
BuckMySalls is such a german political expert he bought SPD shares at 93c today instead of 29c yesterday
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
NO SCORAGAMI
nook
7 months ago
that's what you people said week one
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
ROBINSON TRUMP 2028!
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
HES STAYING BABY LFG!!!
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
"Normal white people" equals a complete liberal loser like Mitt Romney who couldn't even win Ohio and Iowa when he ran for president
AltricialSquab
7 months ago
Republicans going from the party of normal white people to a freakshow of Facebook aunts and uncles with personality disorders will never not be funny.
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
1488 baby
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
Alternative for Deutschland
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
getting filled like a peruvian whore right now
yourrapist1776
7 months ago
faggot
0xb77bD822425497f6D4808f9523B722E8bbDE8F9A-1721363740559
7 months ago
He won’t drop out and he hurts Trump’s chances at winning NC. Love to see it!
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Probably shouldn't have picked a fat black retard as the nom. Hope he doesn't bring down trump in November
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
I hope he doesn't smash this bitch on instagram live before midnight
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Uh yeah the guy camped out overnight with a rifle with a known hatred for trump probably attempted to kill trump. Don't listen to that faggot pumper Car below me
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
The vote is fucking 100% to 0% and you imbeciles still filled my bids. Go get your head checked
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
killing myself
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
honestly i could see a 50-50 split, so yes shares will still go from 0.01 to .5. Insane returns. They usually do this in toss up markets like these
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Definitely worth buying more yes here imo, i did it on my side account as a hedge
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
yep, but you also still have a shot at the 1000x
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
yep, but you also still have a shot at the 1000x
MykolaUA
8 months ago
Most likely, everyone will just get their money back
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
my balls itch
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Ffooott is actually correct. I'm nervous AF
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Stop undercutting me buddy!
MrNFT
8 months ago
if you want 0.3 I will sell you 1900 shares
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
you gotta come to me buddy
Ffooott
8 months ago
Come on.... someone take my 0.1 yes.... I'm trying to get to the top holder before final decision
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Still a good amount of liquidity at 0.2, you should sweep it
Ffooott
8 months ago
Agreed.... I'm still buying... It's fun
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
So much value here on yes tbh. It's literally a 1000x
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Nazis get in, I'm happy. If they don't, I make money and I'm also happy. Win win. The rapist 1776 always wins.
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Either the fed is retarded or they know something we don't. I lean heavily towards retarded
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Is your wife interested in handsome young wealthy redheads?
bliss3
8 months ago
@zionlion bro? What happened? Its over for us
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
if i stick my wiener into a jar of peanut butter, will you guys still like me?
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Why the fuck would you put dollars on the fucking panthers
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
This usually happens once per week. Good value on yes here
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Yes, you are now a millionaire. Make sure to pay your taxes
KPB
8 months ago
Does 50/50 mean both result to 50.0 cent?
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Same
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
God I'm so erect right now
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
50/50 deez nuts nigga
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
God I'm so erect right now
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Fill my bids at 99.8 cucks!
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
The rapist 1776 personally muted the microphones. I am sending documentation to UMA as we speak
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
$0 nigga
chairrr
8 months ago
how much i should win?
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Rino mitt is such a fag thank god we are maga now and not that old bullshit
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Every time I see you on this site I want to kill myself and everyone within a mile radius of me
Car
8 months ago
black people are not voting for the crazy racist orange man
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
YouGov already released
BlackSky123
8 months ago
This market will resolve according to the results of Ipsos/538's first opinion poll over who won or performed better in the debate released after its conclusion. If Ipsos/538 does not release a poll within a week of the debate (currently September 17, 11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve based on polls from YouGov. If YouGov also hasn't released a poll within a week of the debate, this market will resolve to "50-50".
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
The rapist 1776 was pretty spot on here
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Bye bye
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Retards lost again? Whoa
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
God I'm hard as a fucking rock right now.
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
tomorrow
solve
8 months ago
when the resault?
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Retard
Polygame
8 months ago
Annual CPI on average runs 0.4 percentage points above PCE. Final read on year over year (y/y) PCE was 2.5%. Therefore August CPI could be expected to be (on average) 2.9%. A detailed explanation can be found under https://www.morningstar.com/markets/whats-difference-between-cpi-pce
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Thanks for the donation little buddy
CansGonzalez
8 months ago
Just bought more. That number is coming in HOT!
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Your mother and me that's easy
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Texas easy
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Michigan easy
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Poly, we need a lot more of these this nfl season
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
gib me my monies now tanks ser
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
And this will surely be the last time poly ever does this market
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
He will flip his 5c shares for 8c for little microscopic profits but never actually hold the position because he knows it will never happen
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
TLDR: Chief pump and dumper Car attempting a pump and dump
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
TLDR: Chief pump and dumper Car attempting a pump and dump
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
libtards funded by pedophile elite
boy12
8 months ago
what does "squad" mean?
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Limit orders not immediately filled don't show
gpsmatty
8 months ago
Car may be cooked, but when I look at activity, I don't see that he's selling shares?
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Every time I check back here car has less yes shares. Must be some sort of glitch...
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Car is bitching about me buying no shares while he dumps his yes at a major loss. Complete faggot, I don't think he knows I am gaping his wife right now
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
*Sand negroes
COSTCOGUY
8 months ago
Somalians are mostly in Nordic countries, not Germany.
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
fuck you nigg3r
Car
8 months ago
if you reply you are gay
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Another car comment incoming
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Alternative für Deutschland.
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Ok libtard
syntox
8 months ago
The AfD is way more extreme than just not wanting immigration. Time to educate yourself
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Not wanting somalians in Germany = Nazis. Merriman07 it's time for your daily pegging!
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Faggot
ohwell
8 months ago
Some disturbing views in the comments. The Afd is a less and less closeted neo-nazi party. It must never get into government. A clear majority also in Thuringia and Saxony doesn't want them to be in government.
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
All cuck media is anti AFD
Justifax
8 months ago
Reuters is very anti-AfD.
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Retarded old and indian
NewRoman
8 months ago
Whatever Kamala will say, it will be perfect. She is smart, young and ready to take down that orange fraud.
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Poly needs to ip ban india immediately
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
So many gay little cry babies on this site
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Kamala's current odds are 48%, you are buying them for 58% here. Very unlikely 538's forcast shows trump leading anytime before election day
Gena🐊
8 months ago
Will this fall under 50%?
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Eth pornhub integration likely coming today 4-5pm EST. This could easily push price 15-20% higher
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Just got a handjob by a girl 25 pounds overweight. Oh and this market resolves yes
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Fuck yea man
JohnathanDoe
8 months ago
strap on* your getting pegged tonight bucko!
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
#sayyestoracism #racismisgoodactually
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
AFD or the entire middle east and africa shipped into Berlin. Tough choice for Germans here
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
When the rapist exits his position, you should tail next time
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Nocels in disbelief
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
I am much better looking than all of them
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Filing dispute now
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Gay little bald manlet fucks me again
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Faggot 👆
tomaz
8 months ago
Impressive how they let useless people on a minimum wage keep creating markets that have over $1M in volume
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Rulecucks already out in full force
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
The dickriding is insane
Tenebrus7
8 months ago
50 pence big on the NO side makes me confident:)
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
I'm sleepy. Yes holders, have a good night. No holders, you probably have to wait a couple more hours for your girlfriend to come home from her boyfriends house. Try to pass the time with some light reading or something of that sort
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
He writes a new 27 tweet thread every time he attempts to scam win a market
Pidor🐓
8 months ago
guys, DOMER created CONFUSION on twitter over semantic nonsense!! that means we need to give him our money and resolve NO!!! PLEASE GOD PLEASE!!!
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
The election was cancelled actually as Baal's class action lawsuit is being held in the German supreme court that day
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Praying for his family
nook
8 months ago
he lost $100, show some empathy
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Can't go into a single market without seeing Baal tears
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Vance is miles ahead of what Pence was. No regrets from the Trump camp
n/a
8 months ago
If Trump drops Vance, he wins. The question is, does Trump WANT to win? And yes, it's really that frekin simple!
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Make sure to keep writing essays in the comments on why yes should win guys
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
My doxx would mog you nigg3r
baal
8 months ago
Doxx yourself find out
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Complicated way of saying your liquid net worth is non exsistent and likely less than mine when I was 19
baal
8 months ago
My group has 1m+ vested faggot
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
How will you afford your girlfriends boyfriends rent now?
baal
8 months ago
Successful on everyone with a public social media presence so far. Voter whales are a bit trickier
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Baal is trying to dox people for losing a $50 bet. Absolutely embarrassing cuck behavior
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Not paid very much apparently
baal
8 months ago
I'm paid to sit on a pc 24/7 iykyk, gl poly and all affiliated
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
No my argument is you are retarded and he clearly ended his campaign
baal
8 months ago
I think people fail to understand there is nothing emotional about the understanding of this outcome. It's quite simple, if he withdrew, its a yes, if he didnt withdraw its a no. Its very literal
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
I don't even think about my bets on this site, I just fade makhnochina and haven't ever lost yet
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
"My 1 cent lottos aren't going to 100x this is a scam!"
babendums
8 months ago
The only reason this market isnt closer to 5050 is people have lost faith in polymarket and UMA to do the right thing. This site is just becoming one rug pull after another.
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
You can keep saying that but poly clarified the rules to make a suspended campaign resolve to yes in this market
baal
8 months ago
Suspending his campaign is not the same as withdrawing, we can confirm this as he stated in his speech that he thinks he can still win presidency, and you can vote for him in majority of the states.
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
The clarification is also very literal. You just made your account yesterday so I guess you don't know the implications of what that means for your position
baal
8 months ago
I think people fail to understand there is nothing emotional about the understanding of this outcome. It's quite simple, if he withdrew, its a yes, if he didnt withdraw its a no. Its very literal
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
It's mathematically impossible for him to reach 270 electoral votes after he removed his name from 10 states on friday and urged his supporters not to vote for him. Everyone who even losely follows politics even a little bit knows he ended his campaign, besides poly no bettors of course
Lizrael
8 months ago
Looking a bit more into it: Biden announced a withdrawal, RFK a suspension. A completed withdrawal means you do not get a chance to continue or take donations for the campain. A suspension is not legally defined, there are no "suspension" forms you could fill out. A candidate uses the term "suspension" if he wants to keep dontains or keep the opportunity to continue the campaign later. In my opinion such bets should evaluated be on the last dot of the definition, RFK is still in the race, announced that he suspends his campaign but stays on ballots. That's a very solid "NO". His chances of becoming president are minimal now but not zero. The bet could have been "RFK stops his campaign", that would cover withdrawals and suspensions. But the term "withdrawal" was used, which has defined meaning.
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Withdraw is a synonym for suspend politics wise, but negative net worth 4th grade reading level poly bettors will claim they got scammed when no loses
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Trump shares on sale for 36 cents
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
You don’t know how politics works
degenlife
8 months ago
drop out = quit the race = YES , remain on the ballot = still in the race = NO. looks simple to me tbh
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Let me buy yes for 75c tomorrow
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Holy shit you guys are fucking stupid
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
No you’re just a literal retard
markxc27
8 months ago
He is on ballots and said he encourages people to vote for him. How in your right mind can you believe that is dropping out? This is insane!
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
So cancelling all future events and fundraising and removing your name from swing state ballots and endorsing another candidate isn’t withdrawing? You should buy no then
TheCoconut
8 months ago
I don't have shares in this but I have to say that on the technical definition of this, I do think it should resolve to No. The problem is the initial wording for the market said that RFK needed to 'withdraw' his campaign. It really should've said 'terminate or suspend' to be clear. It has left things quite ambiguous
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
He is not on 40 ballots, it’s impossible for him to get the 270 votes needed to win
PolyMucket
8 months ago
Primary evidence is from the Kennedy team which explicitly states he suspended his campaign BUT people can still vote for him on the other 40 ballots
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
That has nothing to do about if he dropped out or not. He was never going to remove himself from state ballots he already fought to be on
PolyMucket
8 months ago
Yes buyers show me a source that says that RFK Jr wont be on the ballot and you wont be able to vote for him
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Yes all every single media outlet on the planet reported he dropped out and endorsed Trump, and even attended a trump rally last night, but who cares? PolyMucket has a better understanding than all of them.
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
FuckKumallah would put in generational lows
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Poly needs to iq test users to restrict commenting
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Poly needs to iq test users to restrict commenting
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Watching the dumbest people from the deepest corners of the internet crawl on to this site and argue RFK didn’t drop out and endorse Trump yesterday is pretty insane
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Not like he literally said he's joining the trump campaign or anything, or just went on stage at a trump rally where trump announced he would be the head of a new government agency. But no, all the credible sources are wrong, RFK himself is wrong, he never endorsed trump and doesn't back him in any way
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Many still don't know what to suspend a political campaign means. Don't worry, now you'll know for next time
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Can't believe someone actually disputed this, ngmi
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
JustKam 0 - the rapist 1
🤺JustPunched
8 months ago
Well that was a scam lol.
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
They all just want UMA money
JonJonesMMA
8 months ago
He is not aspiring to win the election anymore and telling voters not to vote for him in crucial states. How can some here still think that is not dropping out of the race???
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
There are a ton of past markets on this site where a candidate suspending there campaign has resulted in the market saying they dropped out. You are delusional
PolyMucket
8 months ago
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from RFK Jr. or his official/legal representatives - HERE IS THE OFFICIAL STATEMENT - https://www.kennedy24.com/kennedy_announces_suspension_of_campaign
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
His press release urges people not to vote for him
lolololol
8 months ago
Encouraging people to vote for him, even in safe states, is also not withdrawal.
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
He's withdrawing from the 10 competitive states dude, says so right on his official press release on his website
lolololol
8 months ago
Withdrawal means something very specific in the context of Presidential Elections. There is a detailed article that outlines with withdrawal means in each state: https://iowacapitaldispatch.com/2024/07/19/if-a-presidential-nominee-drops-out-what-happens-to-states-ballots/ For some reason the oracle is not allowing me to dispute even though I have ample funds there. Can anyone help here?
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
He quite literally can't win the election. Not on enough state ballots to get 270, and this market was not about if he withdrew from every state ballot anyway.
0x63325293geDetgu4g028d8hh9dDegjAsuneg44
8 months ago
He's asking people to vote for him in safe states (presumably to attempt to get 5% of the vote, so that he can get government funds and easy ballot access for 2028) ; and there's no reason to think he won't continue to campaign for that and for 2028, I mean he's nuts enough to say "I thought I would win in 2024 if media were independent" etc. In swing states, he says vote Trump. How can he drop out, and still have a chance of getting 5% of the vote? How can he drop out, and still potentially win the election?
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
He does not have to take himself off every single state ballot for this to resolve yes. In some states the deadlines were already over prior to today. Delusion
lolololol
8 months ago
Withdrawal means something very specific in the context of Presidential Elections. There is a detailed article that outlines with withdrawal means in each state: https://iowacapitaldispatch.com/2024/07/19/if-a-presidential-nominee-drops-out-what-happens-to-states-ballots/ For some reason the oracle is not allowing me to dispute even though I have ample funds there. Can anyone help here?
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Absolute delusion
lolololol
8 months ago
Withdrawal means something very specific in the context of Presidential Elections. There is a detailed article that outlines with withdrawal means in each state: https://iowacapitaldispatch.com/2024/07/19/if-a-presidential-nominee-drops-out-what-happens-to-states-ballots/ For some reason the oracle is not allowing me to dispute even though I have ample funds there. Can anyone help here?
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Bro you keep posting this link that confirms yes, I don't think you understand what's going on here
PolyMucket
8 months ago
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from RFK Jr. or his official/legal representatives - HERE IS THE OFFICIAL STATEMENT - https://www.kennedy24.com/kennedy_announces_suspension_of_campaign
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Guy is the worst person on this site. What he did in the venezula market was disguisting, and tried to do the same thing here but thankfully poly stepped in and did the right thing
BlackSky123
8 months ago
"i view markets as being reflective of reality, and rules terrorists try to rip that asunder with resolutions that do not reflect the world around them with technicality bullshit" - literally you
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
You are delusional and only win markets based off of scam UMA rulings. Cope harder
🤺JustPunched
8 months ago
Imho this was a clear No and UMA likely would've voted it No if it was disputed, and the clarification is ridiculous
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
People crying because they couldn't scam there way to a 1000x
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Yep, they need to take charge more often here
Donkov
8 months ago
Well, good on Poly for stepping in this time. Not letting a Venezuela 2.0 go down.
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
guess who was right faggots
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Additional context Updated Aug 23 During his public address today, RFK Jr. announced that he was suspending his campaign and throwing his support behind President Trump. He stated that he is “joining the Trump campaign”, and that he “no longer believe[s] that [he has] a realistic path to electoral victory… ” Furthermore, a consensus of credible reporting states that he ended his presidential bid. Therefore, this market should resolve to “Yes.”
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Additional context Updated Aug 23 During his public address today, RFK Jr. announced that he was suspending his campaign and throwing his support behind President Trump. He stated that he is “joining the Trump campaign”, and that he “no longer believe[s] that [he has] a realistic path to electoral victory… ” Furthermore, a consensus of credible reporting states that he ended his presidential bid. Therefore, this market should resolve to “Yes.”
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
His court filing in PA literally says he's "endorsing trump"
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
RFK literally saying he's "Joining the trump campaign"
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
https://x.com/RobertKennedyJr/status/1827076773877838038 How you could conceive he didn't end his campaign today is crazy
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Why did biden suspend his campaign? Is he still running?
mr.ozi
8 months ago
And a word on the word "suspend." When you withdraw, you'll say you suspend the campaign (like Haley or Desantis) to keep the funds available. However, if you pause and want to remain somewhat active, like RFK now, you'll also say that you "suspend" the campagin. So the fact that in other cases "suspending" meant "withdrawing" that doesn't mean it's the case here. Every square is a rectangle, but not every rectangel is a square :)
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Yes was proposed yesterday, no one did it after he suspend the campaign today
diddy
8 months ago
If someone has an argument, propose a solution. As of now, the proposed YES solution was rejected. Kennedy needs to do way more for demons YES solution, otherwise UMA voters will settle it to NO
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
He said 5 times in the press release he suspended the campaign. He withdrew from swing states. He is not on enough state ballots now to reach 270. All credible reporting says he dropped out today. Delusional
mr.ozi
8 months ago
"I want everyone to know that I am not terminating my campaign. I am simply suspending it and - NOT ENDING IT. My name will remain on the ballot in most states... I encourage you to vote for me! And if enough of you vote for me and neither of the major party candidates wins 270 votes, which is quite possible... I could conceivably still end up in the White House in a contingential election." RFK literally hopes to WIN the election through the contigent election and ENCOURAGES people to VOTE for him. How's that dropping out?
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
He loterally cannot get to the 270 votes he needs to win, no idea what your talking about
MineGuyBonds
8 months ago
There is a key difference between primary nomination markets and this. Kennedy has also directly stated that he is still actively seeking the presidency.
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
It's clear as day. He didn't want to diminish his efforts so he will still be on some ballots, but he ended his campaign today and endorsed another candidate
taizong
8 months ago
Look at Nikki Haley's market (https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-nikki-haley-drop-out/will-nikki-haley-drop-out-in-march?tid=1724446749448), or this Desantis market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-nikki-haley-or-ron-desantis-drop-out-first/will-nikki-haley-or-ron-desantis-drop-out-first?tid=1724446784087) in both cases, suspending campaign was evaluated as the same as dropping out.
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
He quite literally took himself off state ballots and endorsed another candidate
DoughJones
8 months ago
no way anyone can say he's out after his straight words that he is not. There could be manipulation, and he can withdraw later, but for now it's far from "clear YES"
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Removing himself from swing state ballots, and endorsing another candidate clearly shows this
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Suspension means the same as withdrawl in a politcal context
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Suspension means the same as withdrawl in a politcal context
MaliaObama
8 months ago
The "withdrawl" issue here is one of context. Kind of like how "theory" in science is different than "theory" in common parlance. He chose suspension instead of withdrawal for a variety of reasons, but the market here was pretty narrowly written for a withdrawal when it SHOULD have been for suspension too but was not. I agree it stinks, but rules are rules and it's a good lesson learned for the Yesses.
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
His wife, CNN, NYT, NY post, NBC, ABC, etc.
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
All credible reporting reports one way
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
All credible reporting reports one way
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
People who drop out late in elections always stay on the ballot. You can find thousands of examples of this
DonCorleone
8 months ago
A person still on the ballot is definitely not withdrawn
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Means the exact same thing. Biden suspended also
MaliaObama
8 months ago
Withdrawl has a very specific definition in the context of a Presidential Campaign. https://www.pascovotes.gov/Portals/Pasco/Documents/Suspending%20a%20Campaign%20vs%20Withdrawing%20notice.pdf
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
He removed himself from all swing state ballots. Clearly said he suspended his campaign. Clear as dat
Slaylorswift
8 months ago
Did RFK endorse trump? YES. Is he dropping out ? NO
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
he dropped out of all swing states. he paid millions and got a ton of signatures to get on those state ballots, obviously he's not going to go out of his way to now get off them. Irrelevant to the resolution of this market
mr.ozi
8 months ago
Washington Post: "RFK suspends campaign." NYTimes: "RFK suspends campaign. Mr Kennedy announced he was pausing..." Things that get paused or suspended can be restarted, that's not dropping out. I'm sorry Yes holders but he wants to have skin in the game to exert influence. That's why he still called voters to vote on him. If you dropped out, you don't stay on the ballot asking people to vote for you.
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
And kennedy removing name from all swing states and endorsing another candidate isn't removing himself from consideration?
0x1eAC7d9BF1f0726A028D1371E6ee273F905c48Ba-1724125118502
8 months ago
Biden actually legally removed himself from consideration
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Suspension is what you say when you drop out of a race in politics. A billion examples of past cases if you do any sort of google search
mr.ozi
8 months ago
Washington Post: "RFK suspends campaign." NYTimes: "RFK suspends campaign. Mr Kennedy announced he was pausing..." Things that get paused or suspended can be restarted, that's not dropping out. I'm sorry Yes holders but he wants to have skin in the game to exert influence. That's why he still called voters to vote on him. If you dropped out, you don't stay on the ballot asking people to vote for you.
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
https://x.com/CherylHines/status/1827065345255076291 Typically your wife tweets this out when you didn't drop out of the race
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Said very clearly multiple times he suspended the campaign and is joining the trump campaign
fkarasek
8 months ago
"I want everyone to know that I am not terminating my campaign. I am simply suspending it and not - not ending it. I name - my name, will remain on the ballot in Most states. If you live in a blue state, you can vote for me, without harming or helping...I encourage you to vote for me, and if enough of you do vote for me and neither of the major party candidates win 270 votes, which is quite possible."
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Candidates names will always stay on the ballot. He's not going to remove them from irrelevant states. He did remove them from all swing states
fkarasek
8 months ago
"I want everyone to know that I am not terminating my campaign. I am simply suspending it and not - not ending it. I name - my name, will remain on the ballot in Most states. If you live in a blue state, you can vote for me, without harming or helping...I encourage you to vote for me, and if enough of you do vote for me and neither of the major party candidates win 270 votes, which is quite possible."
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
https://www.axios.com/2024/07/22/biden-suspending-campaign-endorsing-harris-right-thing Woah biden only suspended he didn't withdraw!!!
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Candidates names always stay on the ballot even after ending the campaign. He's only keeping it on in irrelevant states and removing it in swing states that actually matter. His campaign is over, funding is over, and he endorsed another candidate
Degen23
8 months ago
so he said "I want everyone to know that I am not terminating my campaign. I am simply suspending it and not - not ending it. I name - my name, will remain on the ballot in Most states. If you live in a blue state, you can vote for me, without harming or helping...I encourage you to vote for me, and if enough of you do vote for me and neither of the major party candidates win 270 votes, which is quite possible." and people are taking that as Yes?
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Every single candidate who has dropped out of a contest mid race's name stays on ballots. He paid millions in legal fees and worked hard to get signatures to be on those ballots. He's not going to pay even more to get his name removed in irrelevant states that aren't competitive
DoughJones
8 months ago
wit what words did he say he's quitting? wit these: "im not terminating my campaign" "my name will remain on the ballot" "you can vote for me and if you do vote for me i may end up in white house"?
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
All credible reporting says he dropped out, anyone who actually watched the full release would say he dropped out
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
He did endorse him, said it very clearly in the release
Factual
8 months ago
He didn't endorse him yet, and he is still going to be on most ballots. It's very diffucult to change any ballots at this point
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Just because he's not paying more legal fees to remove himself from non swing states that he paid millions to get on to in the first place doesn't mean he didn't effectively drop out
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
he suspended the campaign, said so many times, endorsed another campaign and will be apart of the trump campaign
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Yea it's people who bought for 1c thinking they can weasel there way to a 100x because he said his name will stay on some non swing state ballots so technically they can vote for him, but he's suspending the campaign and will join the trump campaign
JonJonesMMA
8 months ago
I don't see anyone credible reporting that he is in fact staying in the race besides ppl here in the comments who hope they can get a 30x on their bet over one word he said...
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Means the same thing in politics. All credible reporting is saying he dropped out and endorsed trump, because that's what he did
0x1eAC7d9BF1f0726A028D1371E6ee273F905c48Ba-1724125118502
8 months ago
The problem is withdrawal is a legally distinct thing from suspending and drop out is completely colloquial laguage.
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
People are hung up on one sentence he said in an hour long drop out press release
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Every candidate who has ever dropped out of a race is still on ballots, we knew that going into this
McDonalds-Employee
8 months ago
He didn't dropped out, he will still be on the Ballot, he even said you can still vote for me, he just stopped putting more money into his campaign
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
He quite literally removed his name from a bunch of states and endorsed another candidate
0xbe7259861C40bCA576Fb333B475CAE22f8DE13F6-1724173662657
8 months ago
Suspend is not withdraw, this is how politics has always worked. Astounding how stupid you have to be to not know the basics of this market.
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Lmfao beyonce niggas down bad
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
That was an interview, not a live presidential debate
Iz12
8 months ago
assume he drops out, if it's something with Trump like what Elon Musk did, would it count?
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
I wonder who the special guest will be!
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
https://x.com/TrumpWarRoom/status/1826762753048281172
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
https://x.com/TrumpWarRoom/status/1826762753048281172
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Less than 20 minutes until big mike whips out an 11 inch horse cock on stage and takes the nom.
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Ceasefire type shit type shit
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
69.5% annualized yield, and this doesn't even include the fact that you are making the money DIRECTLY from liberals
JanusofDoors
8 months ago
Understatement. This matters in 2.5 months, the actual rate of return here is 4 times that
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
What is the % chance you pay out my winnings on your scam prediction market site insightprediction.com? Also probably 0% you fucking faggot
aenews2
9 months ago
June was revised upwards by 4, and July is the hottest on record by 2. It's over, and 2024 is the hottest year on record. 0% chance otherwise.
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
A well constructed gambling portfolio should make up 30% of the average Americans IRA
SPYontheQs
9 months ago
I guess why make 5% on a CD when you can make over 14% here
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
My number is 2.494
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Current fednow estimate is 2.59%. 14 of the last 19 months the actual cpi was under the fednow estimate, with an average miss of -0.075. Each of the last 4 months missed lower. I’d say under 2.5% should be a slight favorite
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Current fednow estimate is 2.59%. 14 of the last 19 months the actual cpi was under the fednow estimate, with an average miss of -0.075. Each of the last 4 months missed lower. I’d say under 2.5% should be a slight favorite
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Market manipulation complete, glad someone bought my shares
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Market manipulation complete, glad someone bought my shares
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Over
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
The roll call already happened. Do you think big mike is going to come on stage and choke kamala to death during her speech on thursday? Window to replace is over
FilthyAnimal
9 months ago
For anybody trying to close early before convention is closed - you will be disputed: Yes, it is technically possible for the Democratic National Convention (DNC) to change its rules before the conclusion of the event, though it would be highly unusual and complex. The DNC operates under a set of rules and procedures that guide how the convention is conducted, including how nominations and voting are handled. If the party's leadership or a significant portion of the delegates wanted to change the rules—for example, to allow for an open nomination process—they would need to propose an amendment to the convention rules. This amendment would then have to be debated and voted on by the convention's delegates. However, changing the rules during the convention would likely require a substantial majority of delegates in favor, and it could cause significant upheaval. Typically, the party's nominee is decided well in advance of the convention through the primary process, and the convention serves more as a formal ratification and celebration of the nominee rather than a venue for a competitive nomination process. In practice, such a move would be extremely rare and politically difficult, especially if the presumptive nominee—such as Kamala Harris in your scenario—has strong backing from party leadership and a large share of the delegates.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
I aint reading alladat close and pay
FilthyAnimal
9 months ago
For anybody trying to close early before convention is closed - you will be disputed: Yes, it is technically possible for the Democratic National Convention (DNC) to change its rules before the conclusion of the event, though it would be highly unusual and complex. The DNC operates under a set of rules and procedures that guide how the convention is conducted, including how nominations and voting are handled. If the party's leadership or a significant portion of the delegates wanted to change the rules—for example, to allow for an open nomination process—they would need to propose an amendment to the convention rules. This amendment would then have to be debated and voted on by the convention's delegates. However, changing the rules during the convention would likely require a substantial majority of delegates in favor, and it could cause significant upheaval. Typically, the party's nominee is decided well in advance of the convention through the primary process, and the convention serves more as a formal ratification and celebration of the nominee rather than a venue for a competitive nomination process. In practice, such a move would be extremely rare and politically difficult, especially if the presumptive nominee—such as Kamala Harris in your scenario—has strong backing from party leadership and a large share of the delegates.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Try 8 more hours
Donkov
9 months ago
2 more weeks
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
That market was limited to homosexuals only, this is the real market
OtoyaYamaguchi
9 months ago
What the fuck... they closed this one out already- something isn't 100% with this site, bull shit!
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
This should be closer to 75/25 right now, then adjust as we get more news throughout the day
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
A candidate getting disputed at the convention isn't unprecedented, it's happened in 4/9 of the most recent elections.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
A candidate getting disputed at the convention isn't unprecedented, it's happened in 4/9 of the most recent elections.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
RUH ROH!
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
https://edition.cnn.com/2024/08/18/politics/video/gaza-uncommitted-delegates-ceasefire-dnc-digvid
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
https://edition.cnn.com/2024/08/18/politics/video/gaza-uncommitted-delegates-ceasefire-dnc-digvid
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
This is a 50/50 market at 6pm eastern.
CFTC
9 months ago
Send it to Zero!
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Just realized I fucked up here huge. Many delegates will be voting for Michelle today. Luckily, bomama and I came together on an OTC deal before prices here started to reflect the true reality of Kamala being cast aside.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
If you have democrat texas shares on polymarket dot com please castrate yourself
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Black qb on the patriots? Sad!
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
I just have breadcrumbs here. I expect the pedophile bid to continue coming in based off the 5 foot 6 bald jew nate silver's irrational election model, which will allow me to purchase trump florida shares in the mid 70s on election night
dxyze
9 months ago
Weird to talk to yourself like this.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Yes, lock up your cash for 90 days to get an eventual -100% return within 60 minutes of the polls closing on election night
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
If Anthony Scaramucci is your thesis, well then you’re a retarded faggot who needs a new thesis
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
When you finally take a break mass printing Kamala mail in ballots, I’d appreciate if you could let me know at what price you will start accumulating yes here, Mr domer justscam faggot. Thanks
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Here's 10 reasons why Samuels is MASSIVELY undervalued, a thread 🧵:
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Have you won a single market on this site since January?
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
This is 85% republican by election Day. Trump will carry the state by 15 points and pull him way over the finish line. Trump just campaigned for him in Montana last night
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
You have a $2 position
futureknower
9 months ago
Nate Silver's model updated to 24% chance of Kamala winning Florida.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
We know faggot
Republican
9 months ago
listened to these bumbling idiots talk for 2 hours just to lose money, man i suck
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
4 cents
mrcrayon
9 months ago
what was the bottom on tampon
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
SELL-YES-BUY-NO has 3 fucking dollars worth of positions and is bitching and moaning. Typical kamabla voter
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
One of the lowest average iqs in the nation
brandonktg
9 months ago
Isnt California like by far the best in education? lmao
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
So buy 1 cent shares retard
TheOneB
9 months ago
"Compound words will count as long as "MAGA" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to making America great again (e.g. "MAGA-themed" counts). shouldn't count, the A stood for Argentina , not America
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Says the guy with 14.7k no shares of the only word said so far
Republican
9 months ago
Elon is doing terrible in this interview, he's just feeding into everything Trump is saying
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Read the rules
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Illegal immigration counts as well you retards
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
lol
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Bama124 maxbet every single no option and you faded?
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
I sold for 88c already
Flipp
9 months ago
Illegal Immigrant "Yes" holders having a bad day.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
https://elections2024.thehill.com/forecast/2024/senate/montana/
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Being up for reelection during a midterm is far different than having to win in an election year. You wouldn't know that because you live in Bangladesh. Even if you take narratives out of it, Tester is down in every single poll
DumbMoney2.0
9 months ago
you dumb. go look how many 3 term Senators have lost in the last 69 years
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
$0 Positions $0 Volume. A tale as old as time
Mango813
9 months ago
Women's Choice, Recreational Maijuana, Kamala Harris. It's a TRIFECTA.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
You are a gay faggot liberal, get your testosterone checked
🤺JustPunched
9 months ago
Just a couple of old dudes talking tampons, as old men usually do.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Good thing you bet $6 on it
FamilyCapital
9 months ago
I said 2 hours ago, that in 5 hours USA share gonna cost under 50c... sorry for bad prediction :)
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Polymarket pays out US bettors if they tie. Fanduel does not
yoonmarketenjoyer
9 months ago
Fanduel's China odds are still +175 so one of the markets are very mispriced
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
He uses "Illegal Alien" instead, not "Illegal Immigrant"
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Watch his interviews and rally's, he uses another term to describe these people
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Only 3 times out of his last 10 public appearances has he said this
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Watch his interviews and rally's, he uses another term to describe these people
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Watch his interviews and rally's, he uses another term to describe these people
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
This is 85% republican by election Day. Trump will carry the state by 15 points and pull him way over the finish line. Trump just campaigned for him in Montana last night
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
So true
Culture
9 months ago
The damn yellow Chinese motherfuckers put up too much resistance to have such a small cock
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
yea bro nice -$800 P&L go buy yourself something nice
HaterAde
9 months ago
China are involved in way more gold medal matches today than USA. Cuccyboy about to become Bukakiboy
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
But, but, but, the copernicus data was lower!
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
You also sold all your china yes and usa no, pathetic
KingofRingx3
9 months ago
it will be a very close fight in the end. I still hope china will do it!
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
87% no vig included on betfair exchange
tomn
9 months ago
You are all dumb odds for USA is at 90%+ at betting sites (fanduel + bet365)
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Betfair has it at 93% lmfao
tomn
9 months ago
You are all dumb odds for USA is at 90%+ at betting sites (fanduel + bet365)
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
@6K6JI58DDS has climbed the leaderboard for the lowest iq on this site, just narrowly beating out Lyapunov
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Don't listen to that fag WeirdMonkey. Always bet your rent money, as long as Cuccyboy is on the same side.
diddy
9 months ago
I am betting my rent money because this bama124 guy bet huge money on Tim Walz Yes, and Shapiro No. Who the fuck does that? He has some prediction abilities, I'll tell you that.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
^ If this country ties with any other for the greatest number of gold medals won, this market will resolve in favor of the country which won the most medals overall. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the country whose registered name comes first in alphabetical order.
backflip
9 months ago
After running 10,000 simulations of the remaining events on August 9, 10, and 11, 2024, here are the estimated probabilities: China winning the most gold medals: 8.93%, USA winning the most gold medals: 67.0%, a tie in the number of gold medals: 24.07%.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
You are indian
BM5II5KJN2
9 months ago
I hope aenews2 loses it all, seems like he is a douche
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Never seen such an iq imbalance between yes and no holders in any market on this site as there is on this one
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Check my account poor fag, I made money in that market
HaterAde
9 months ago
didn't you get your ass blown out in the VP race?
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
I will keep buying USA shares to do my part in the trade war with the filthy Chinese
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Jerry Sandusky typically creates the markets here
GavinSchmidt
9 months ago
Hi, does anyone on this thread have contact information for the person/people who have set up these bets? Thx. Gavin Schmidt (Director, NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies)
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
After careful consideration, I have a compiled a list of the 10 lowest iq scores on polymarket dot com. If you are on this list, I'd advise to stop betting immediately, for the sake of your families. Lyapunov Zackuw JeffreyBezos nononom FranciscoJoseEliasNavarro JHU BenCM BennyS cooker pengstromjr
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Interesting!
larnzius.schmarnzius
9 months ago
my guess, nobody actually did the math and we are all just gambling degenerates
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
I now stand to make more if No wins. I'm officially team faggot!
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
The resolution source is the final medal table published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC). The IOC will not include hong kong or chinese taipei's medals in china's tally, you poor fag. Please buy more china shares.
PolyPredictor
9 months ago
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States of America wins more gold medals than any other country at the 2024 Paris Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Pretty clear that the country of China's medals would include Taiwan and hong kong
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Nate silver is a bald manlet who had dems favored to win FLORIDA and OHIO last election
futureknower
9 months ago
Nate Silver gives Dems a 16.9% chance of winning TX at time of writing.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Mental illness
AlexJaymin
9 months ago
There's a real possibility of Texas going blue this year (combo of new voters + general 4-year trend to left + dead former voters) so this is underpriced. Should be at 0.25-0.35.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
The resolution source is the final medal table published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC). The IOC will not include hong kong or chinese taipei's medals in china's tally, you poor fag.
n/a
9 months ago
Don't the terms just state China and not the Peoples Republic of China. If so then Hong Kong and Taipei are counted as well.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
The sun ain't even up yet, I'm thinkin' 'bout the check (wop) Woke up in the mornin', bust down me a brick Give Metro a million, told him not to quit (true) East Atlanta, Zone 6, Gucci really rich (rich) Plus, they keep bud in the kitchen, fuck some eggs and grits Jimmy Henchman with the shipment, I sold a lot of shit Heard I killed a man allegedly, but I didn't bust a head (hah) The way they mixin' up the medicine, I might just grow some dreads (uh) It's a bad bitch on the elevator, I'ma let her in Let your hater be a motivator, I can't let you win He a genius, human calculator, stack it by the ten Put the Lambo on the elevator, bring it to the den Put the Mustang by the balcony, I'm fly like Peter Pan I'm so glad they turned they back on me 'cause we wasn't really friends (no) And it ain't even ten and I woke up on a ten (huh) And I don't need no pen, no I don't need no pad (wizop) The sun ain't even up yet, I'm thinkin' 'bout the check (Huh) Woke up in the mornin', bust down me a brick (skrrt) Give Metro a million, told him not to quit (Metro) East Atlanta, Zone 6, Gucci really rich Plus, they keep bud in the kitchen, fuck some eggs and grits Jimmy Henchman with the shipment, I sold a lot of shit Heard I killed a man allegedly, but I didn't bust a head The way they mixin' up the medicine, I might just grow some dreads
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Dumbest shit I've seen on this site in awhile
n/a
9 months ago
Don't the terms just state China and not the Peoples Republic of China. If so then Hong Kong and Taipei are counted as well.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
No reason to be upset. You'll get em next time
Lyapunov
9 months ago
Highly regarded Yessers, did you really think this pump and dump through? Who do you think will buy your Yes bags at 87c when you can even produce a decent fake news link?
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Damn did not realize, placing my sell orders as we speak
nononom
9 months ago
"Note: If 2024 July is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher." Thank fucking god
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
lmfao
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Changing to no now, thanks for sharing
Superque
9 months ago
This link was shared in a forum where groups from various universities are analyzing the impact of temperature along with the distance of the orbits. I'm here to shed some light since I see that everyone is looking out for their own interests depending on what they have invested. I'm going to provide objective data. On August 4th, we already had the GISS data available, as usual, these are not final data and have been changing as the beacons have been synthesized and grouped, which is why many models take a few days to provide their final data along with their reports. The data we are currently handling in the research groups range between 117 and 119, very close, almost identical to those of Era5 (other times there are small differences). This range of numbers is due to what I mentioned earlier. The first 14 days of July were colder than those of July 2023, which has significantly influenced the results, even though some parts of the Earth have exceeded their maximum temperatures. In water temperature, we found a deviation of 0.38. I hope that this discussion has excited or sparked curiosity about the world of meteorology, and we hope to see you in some forum where we will be happy to support you. Best regards.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
You're forgetting the part where bendover tried to inappropriately touch my 3 year old daughter and I had to call the authorities to stop him
abee-Capital-Management
9 months ago
ok, I'll explain whats happening here, the average temperature of july23 and 24 was very close according to other sources, but NASA numbers can be a little bit different and they want to say the planet is hot. Who will win ?
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Your mom just told me
Gdubb47
9 months ago
Why do you say that?
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Cuccyboy is going to win a lot of money? I'm shocked!
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Where is that .3C data coming from, Copernicus or NASA you retarded faggot?
TheDrachma
9 months ago
I love when someone posts an article claiming support for YES when the article states: “ Last month was the first in 14 months that temperature records were not broken, but that followed an exceptionally warm July 2023, and it remained 0.3C above any July before that.”
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Dr Fauci, is that you?
fineptune
9 months ago
Whales[Y] vs Scientists[N]
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T9Jcs45GhxU
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
REAL
Culture
9 months ago
Our black slaves will win more gold medals for their white American owners!! the filthy yellow Asians will lose this competition against the United States.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
First I got liquidated on my dogwifcockinu6900 coin, now this? FML
0x32688B3b59312fcFc7ad8fAD64c4a5Ea24D96C13-1720981086792
9 months ago
Fuck @cuccyboy, you got me into this mess, now I’m losing money because of your retardation, how do I exit this shit?
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Was fun while it lasted. Probably gonna dump my yes shares at a loss here
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Oh dear god
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Oh god it's happening
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
This is largely correct
Verified.Counts
9 months ago
I heard Yes people sit down on the toilet to pee and ask their girlfriends for permission to go out.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
I'm freaking out man!
0x32688B3b59312fcFc7ad8fAD64c4a5Ea24D96C13-1720981086792
9 months ago
I know what you’re doing lil bro
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Yes in freefall, fuck
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Yes bids are about to be 52c
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Starting to think I'm fucked
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
/close_and_pay
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Whoa, copernicus released data? I'm fucked!
FranciscoJoseEliasNavarro
9 months ago
Free money dude, wtf haha. https://pulse.climate.copernicus.eu/
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Unironically is
0x32688B3b59312fcFc7ad8fAD64c4a5Ea24D96C13-1720981086792
9 months ago
Sounds like a great reason to buy no
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Wow, haven't seen this one!
Josebetandcourt
9 months ago
Copernicus, which does use a different data set, says July 2023 is hotter. 16.948 vs 16.905 https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/t2_daily/?dm_id=world download the JSON and use ChatGPT to average 2023 vs. 2024
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
If rrandompperson told me to jump off a bridge, I'd fucking do it.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
I wasn't clicked on gonzalez so it looked like another dispute was filed. Lost 2% not mad
Donkov
9 months ago
Lil bro, why redeem the shares at .97?
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Bunch of crybaby's in here
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
"The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Venezuela, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice." What does a consensus of credible reporting mean to you?
Sever
9 months ago
There's a bet on who will be OFFICIALLY declared the winner. Maduro has officially won. Yes, he is a dictator, yes, he stole freedom from people. But what is happening in sports now is, of course, terrible.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Wow!
Jiggle
9 months ago
Just look at Death Valley daily temperature in July 2024 vs 2023. Clear difference
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
So buy a lot of maduro right now
Sever
9 months ago
Now someone will open a new dispute and the bet will go down. Ha.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
No lmao, someone else just submitted it again so it will resolve in 1 hour and we don't have to wait for the original uma vote to conclude. Either way maduro loses
Gena🐊
9 months ago
Polymarket has overriden it seems!!
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Clear proof of fraud was the dealbreaker here
felipe33
9 months ago
Everyone pedicted that maduro will win with fraud and in reality that happened and he will govern venezuela six more years how can this be resolved to gonzalez?
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
no
dberwegerCH
9 months ago
Isn’t the right answer N/A?
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
0% chance
n/a
9 months ago
this is what will happen... gonzalez willl be yes... polymarket will pay out everyonr just like djt market
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
It. Is. Over.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Waiting for that insider to cash me out at a cool 85c so I can flip no #investing
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
I can only speak for myself. I am retarded.
0x32688B3b59312fcFc7ad8fAD64c4a5Ea24D96C13-1720981086792
9 months ago
I mean, the way the market is behaving, either the yes guys are retarded or they have insider info
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
You are all scared shitless
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
So true!
epicRNG
9 months ago
I'm 77% +/- 22% sure we got the hottest July according to NASA. How we saw 21% yes still surprises me and scares me a little bit... just a little bit
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Retard alert retard alert retard alert
YatSen
9 months ago
In 2016, Trump had fewer votes but won through the Electoral College system. This time, Maduro (even if he has fewer votes, which isn't certain yet) wins through a dictatorship system. Isn't it the same logic? Can someone contact Polymarket to freeze this market, or it will be stolen!
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
ON GOD!
Culture
9 months ago
seriously, simone biles lost that gold medal...her slave ancestors had good coordination to work the cotton, but the black woman screwed up and blew it, that should have been another gold medal for the united states. Fuck
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Cry ab it faggot!
bali
9 months ago
First Asians, now Black Americans. Go fuck yourself racist piece of shit and kill yourself. You don't deserve to win anything. If gold medal counts ends up being between USA and China I pray that China wins so you go fuck yourself scumbag.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Bloomberg also called it after results leaked, shes the official nom: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-06/harris-clinches-democratic-nomination-cementing-trump-matchup?utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=socialflow-organic&utm_content=business&cmpid=socialflow-twitter-business&utm_source=twitter
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
You can even get technical and say that the DNC officially declared her the nominee on friday https://democrats.org/news/dnc-chair-harrison-announces-vice-president-harris-has-received-majority-of-delegates-to-soon-secure-the-democratic-nomination/
spacebike
9 months ago
AP calls it: she's the official nominee. https://apnews.com/article/harris-democratic-presidential-nomination-eb43b6b346cc644b2d195315cb2bfb20?taid=66b19d6e4fbbf10001ea7d23
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
99% of delegates voted for Harris
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Yep. Statement released 11:59pm EST
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Yep. Statement released 11:59pm EST
spacebike
9 months ago
AP calls it: she's the official nominee. https://apnews.com/article/harris-democratic-presidential-nomination-eb43b6b346cc644b2d195315cb2bfb20?taid=66b19d6e4fbbf10001ea7d23
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/08/02/harris-becomes-democratic-nominee/
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
The democratic party officially nominated it's candidate today at 6pm, after kamala won enough delegates in the virtual roll call. Every single official source has stated this to be true
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/kamala-harris-poised-to-officially-become-democratic-nominee-after-roll-call-vote
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
The democratic party officially nominated it's candidate today at 6pm, after kamala won enough delegates in the virtual roll call. Every single official source has stated this to be true
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
https://nypost.com/2024/08/05/us-news/virtual-roll-call-ends-to-elect-kamala-harris-as-dem-nominee/?utm_campaign=nypost&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
The democratic party officially nominated it's candidate today at 6pm, after kamala won enough delegates in the virtual roll call. Every single official source has stated this to be true
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
The entire point of doing the roll call instead of nominating at the convention was because of the ohio august 7th ballot deadline. That's why they had the nomination take place on August 6. I could like 15 different publications that state Harris is the official democratic nominee as I'm writing this.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
The democratic party officially nominated it's candidate today at 6pm, after kamala won enough delegates in the virtual roll call. Every single official source has stated this to be true
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
You ended up getting +200 odds on the Jets winning the super bowl. You should really make sure of what your doing next time before you throw away money like that
Nick375
9 months ago
Can someone help me? I bet outcome yes 4cents $10,000 Jets to win the superbowl and its saying I bet 34c with my portfolio dropping by 90% right after I cliked
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
DNC publically stated friday that she won the roll call. Roll call ended earlier today. So according to the DNC, this is over.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
The deadline for Democratic National Committee delegates to send in their votes to elect the Democratic presidential nominee eclipsed at 6 p.m. ET on Monday. Vice President Kamala Harris was the only candidate who qualified for the virtual roll call electronic ballot – getting more than the required 300 delegates to back her. The DNC said she already had the majority of delegate support as of Friday afternoon.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
The deadline for Democratic National Committee delegates to send in their votes to elect the Democratic presidential nominee eclipsed at 6 p.m. ET on Monday. Vice President Kamala Harris was the only candidate who qualified for the virtual roll call electronic ballot – getting more than the required 300 delegates to back her. The DNC said she already had the majority of delegate support as of Friday afternoon.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
The democratic party officially nominated it's candidate today at 6pm, after kamala won enough delegates in the virtual roll call. Every single official source has stated this to be true
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
The democratic party officially nominated it's candidate today at 6pm, after kamala won enough delegates in the virtual roll call. Every single official source has stated this to be true
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
I'm an insider
MrRat
9 months ago
Convinced people are just LARPing as insiders, you would think the nerds at NASA would have something better to do than gamble their money. I'm only here because I am bored and having nothing better to do.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
It's over already, someone should propose no. Voting period ended at 6pm est
Laura
9 months ago
Ok well, it looks like they're not even going to bother putting out a statement telling us what everyone knows to be true, so tomorrow it is. I JUST WANT THIS TO BE OVER OMG 😭😭😭
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
https://nypost.com/2024/08/05/us-news/virtual-roll-call-ends-to-elect-kamala-harris-as-dem-nominee/
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
These other triggas be trading outside.
ANudeEgg
9 months ago
I am trading inside.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Things aren't always what they look like.
BennyS
9 months ago
Does Yes have a case besides insider trading? Share your perspectives.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Correct. No should be around 56c here
Whome
9 months ago
"Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity."
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
I am a Jewish Fascist. I love adolf hitler and bernie madoff. MrBest, you like?
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
The harris campaign was running smoothly until this vp pick. Either way it's gonna get criticized and big dick don will win 7/7 swing states
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Do not sell based on my buying. I have a 77 iq (tested)
BennyS
9 months ago
Does Yes have a case besides insider trading? Share your perspectives.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
I am insider trading
BennyS
9 months ago
Does Yes have a case besides insider trading? Share your perspectives.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
I am sorry I deceived you all, but I am the insider. It's yes. It's over.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Hmmmmmmmm
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
retards had this at 15c last week
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Virtual roll call voting officially ends at 6, then she's the nom. It's over in a half hour
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Can't wait to get paid in 5 hours
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Either v-for-vanadium is an insider and you win & he goes to prison or he's just gambling and you got blown out chasing steam
aenews2
9 months ago
why is N going up
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
I think you are overleveraged here dude
ExhaustedBoyBilly
9 months ago
What is going on here? seems like we lost the bet?
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Yep, 7 hours to go here
Laura
9 months ago
https://punchbowl.news/article/election-2024/sanders-pushes-harris-on-progressive-agenda/
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
None of those other markets have any volume and should be disregarded
Eatpraylove
9 months ago
lmao. Poly, Insight Prediction, Manifold & Kalshi all have different prices for this.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Shapiro just groped my wife and smacked me in the face with a steaming hot matza! Unreal!
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
I didn't buy more in the mid 50s, so not gonna chase now. If I wasn't already allocated, I think anything around 60-65 looks like a decent buy
abee-Capital-Management
9 months ago
Are you buying mor no?
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Appears nasa employees are now buying my bags, very exciting
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Yep I've heard the same thing. Very concerning
GoblinMilk
9 months ago
Seeing reports of Chinese people storming the IOC HQ demanding that they stop the count
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Even if I had confidential sources telling me the pick was pete, I am not putting a single digital usdc scam dollar on a man who sucks COCK.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
IDF rapist appears to be declining. Any news?
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
I love genocide
bali
9 months ago
In the meantime, China beats the genocidal United States.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
The buttigieg yes people are even more retarded than the shapiro yes people
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
If the US didn't choke the tennis doubles final hard yesterday I'd already be running around chyna town in nyc beating people up
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Also the people crying market manipulation are just not gonna make it lmao
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
USA is not expected to win the 100m
Punter369
9 months ago
USA kinda f***ed
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
I would just sell my no shares but I'm at a loss and that would be gay so I'll just hold
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
So big money is on Yes. People claiming to be scientists are on no, but have tiny positions. If there was any real leak of good data supporting yes, it would have jumped much higher by now. Using copernicus data no should clearly be consensus. Conclusion? I think people are just gambling here and smart money is pretty absent
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
So big money is on Yes. People claiming to be scientists are on no, but have tiny positions. If there was any real leak of good data supporting yes, it would have jumped much higher by now. Using copernicus data no should clearly be consensus. Conclusion? I think people are just gambling here and smart money is pretty absent
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
The worst archetype of people on the site are the ones who made out huge on biden dropping early/kamala getting the nom and now just degenerate gamble on everything thinking they are Nostradamus
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
yea bro, favored at -350 is cooked
Punter369
9 months ago
USA kinda f***ed
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Meow meow or woof woof?
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Hello my fellow chinese friends, what are you having for dinner tonight, cat or dog?
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Hello my fellow chinese friends, what are you having for dinner tonight, cat or dog?
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
So any argument for yes based on the haley case is retarded and doesn't fit here
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/16/politics/nikki-haley-trump-rnc-speech/index.html “I’ll start by making one thing perfectly clear: Donald Trump has my strong endorsement, period,” Haley said Tuesday.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
She said endorsement, Bernie is not saying that
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/16/politics/nikki-haley-trump-rnc-speech/index.html “I’ll start by making one thing perfectly clear: Donald Trump has my strong endorsement, period,” Haley said Tuesday.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/16/politics/nikki-haley-trump-rnc-speech/index.html “I’ll start by making one thing perfectly clear: Donald Trump has my strong endorsement, period,” Haley said Tuesday.
Laura
9 months ago
I reviewed the Nikki Haley market, and while I can see arguments for both sides on that, we have the luxury in this market of having it directly asserted to Bernie that he has not formally endorsed her, to which he did not disagree with or contradict in any way, forming implicit agreement. If the angle for yes holders was to have this clarified or disputed, their best opportunity to seek such a resolution has closed since that unambiguous evidence. Their best hope now is that he formally endorses within the next 34 hours without any ambiguity.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
No other candidate was asked 8 seperate times if they endorse kamala harris and didn't say yes every single time. Just as recent as yesterday in Minnesota
aenews2
9 months ago
He definitely endorsed (See Haley). He definitely explicitly endorsed. But formal endorsement is arguable, higher bar that may or may not have been met. I think AOC resolved with a statement fairly similar to Bernie's. So I'm not sure what we are considering "formal endorsement". We won't have a prolonged fight over this anyways. Bernie likely will just endorse more strongly before official nomination, or if not, then Polymarket will clarify when disputed and save us time disagreeing.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Anyway, here you go https://ibb.co/Rjwmf0Z. If it wasn't formal 7 days ago, it isn't now as he hasn't said anything new. Actually, I think it's became even more clear that he hasn't endorsed because he said the VP pick is important, and he even stated his support for Walz.
vote.fun
9 months ago
take some screen shots pls, out rn. hell prob delete
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
It would be irrelevant what 1 person thinks when it goes to a UMA vote. They just take a look at all the evidence presented and vote based on that
vote.fun
9 months ago
take some screen shots pls, out rn. hell prob delete
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Support doesn't equal formal endorsement. Bernie has made that clear himself many times over.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Lol, Haley literally said she offers her "strong endorsement" https://edition.cnn.com/2024/07/16/politics/nikki-haley-trump-rnc-speech/index.html What political endorsement has ever came without saying the word endorsement?
milize
9 months ago
Nope, haley said she's voting for trump and that counted as an endorsement, this is a much stronger statement. Telling people to elect(vote) for someone is definition of an endorsement.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
He's just gonna dispute a few times to push it to a UMA vote and hopes he gets lucky, no one can get scammed here.
Laura
9 months ago
The resolution source for this market is Bernie or his reps, so if he’s implicitly agreeing every time he’s asked with the preposition that he has not endorsed her, then this can only resolve to no. Bernie is the source, and not once has he corrected any reporters for misrepresenting what he’s said.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Yea I mean technically he's an independent, not a democrat, so he's not going to fall in line like everyone else did until he actually fees comortable telling his supporters that Kamala will enact policies he believes in
Laura
9 months ago
The resolution source for this market is Bernie or his reps, so if he’s implicitly agreeing every time he’s asked with the preposition that he has not endorsed her, then this can only resolve to no. Bernie is the source, and not once has he corrected any reporters for misrepresenting what he’s said.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Yea. Why would every single news anchor keep asking him if he's ready to formally endorse harris if he's already done so? He has not endorsed her, and has said he's still looking for specific policy guarantees
spacebike
9 months ago
FWIW, I was a "yes" holder who looked at the links people shared and realized I was wrong. I sold at a loss and then bought a bunch of "no." These markets only work if we're honest with each other. The links people have shared below show that Bernie has been asked point blank on a regular basis whether he formally endorses Harris. He has repeatedly declined to do so, and then suggested things that might change to earn his formal endorsement. (Such as Harris picking Walz as VP.) Even if folks can point to random definitions of "formal endorsement" that encompass the type of support Sanders is offering to Harris, it has to mean something that he's explicitly refusing to offer what he considers to be a "formal endorsement."
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
He's said in this chat a few times that he believes sanders hasn't given the formal endorsement yet, but thinks he will. Not sure what his argument would be
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
It's just dishonest at this point. He's intentionally avoiding saying he's formally endorsing her like his life depends on it
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
UMA shouldn't have a tough time resolving this one. Clear and obvious evidence, and lots of it
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
It's just dishonest at this point. He's intentionally avoiding saying he's formally endorsing her like his life depends on it
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Unless aenews kidnaps bernie within the next 24 hours and records and video of him saying he endorses her, then it's over. Weep
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Unless aenews kidnaps bernie within the next 24 hours and records and video of him saying he endorses her, then it's over. Weep
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Pete pumping his husband because he's gay and likes gay men because he's gay?
Shayku
9 months ago
Alright fam, everybody ready for tomorrow's pump??
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Pete = Cum
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Shapiro = Rapist, Murderer, Jew, etc.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Walz = Mr saint george floyd himself, and a socialist
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
The only one of these dudes who can't be attacked easy is Bershear, but dems are too redacted to pick him
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Mark Kelly is too busy running his chinese sky ballons to handle the burden of being vp
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Kelly strong on immigration? Sun rises from the east? The sky is red? The fuck are you yapping about
SomeDude69
9 months ago
Honestly she should pick Kelly he is super strong when it comes to immigration which is Trumps main talking point.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
No, that's the max end date. Will end on monday.
popsa2001
9 months ago
Market resolves on 21st August 2024.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Most down bad shit I’ve seen in awhile
VibesGreaterRules
9 months ago
Time to start calling staffers. Per the rules (But not the vibes), getting a single staffer who officially represents Sanders is EQUAL to having Sanders himself make a statement.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
What book?
KingofRingx3
9 months ago
China Odds at sportbettingsites are Shortening. Converted to PM now best Price 28.5cents for China. At the same time USA odds are Drifting, now avaiable for 75cents.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Covering up sexual harassment in his office, deciding that a donors wife with 20 stab wounds committed suicide, support Republican school vouchers, and volunteering for the IDF. ITS OVER
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Yea yea Shapiro will definitely get the nod, just put the fries in the bag bro
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
MAGA
Culture
9 months ago
The United States should regain lost ground against the Chinese yellow bastards who are helping them in every test. That happens because China has influence and bought positions in all the sports committees, so they always help them in the trials that are defined by referee decision. Let's go USA ♥️🇺🇸
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
USA odds were -310 yesterday, now they are -350. They improved
KingofRingx3
9 months ago
China Odds at sportbettingsites are Shortening. Converted to PM now best Price 28.5cents for China. At the same time USA odds are Drifting, now avaiable for 75cents.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
And there is the walz pump, like clockwork
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
And we know pelosi is on walz already
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Bernie Sanders is the last prominent dem who hasn’t formally endorsed Harris. He said VP pick is important, and stated support for Walz yesterday
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Bernie Sanders is the last prominent dem who hasn’t formally endorsed Harris. He said VP pick is important, and stated support for Walz yesterday
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
The NY TIMES is fudding the guy at 72 cents. Look out below
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Cry ab it
0xD11e
9 months ago
Just casually talking about how bad it is without air conditioning, and how some athletes have it and others don't. This is a fucking joke. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iXyvkyf3s8w
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RVtX9ri5V7I @ 2:15
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Oh so you're saying the quote already exists but no one posted it here?
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
No source? I've linked 7 interviews here, some last week, some this week, 1 yesterday
Colorguesser
9 months ago
no source, total disregard of chronology. total fantasy post
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Oh so you're saying the quote already exists but no one posted it here?
Laura
9 months ago
For the ‘no’ holders: I still haven’t seen any of you post the quote that is the smoking gun to put this ‘debate’ to rest. I’m saving it for evidence if disputed ☺️
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
All took place within the past 1.5 weeks, and as recent as last night
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
he gets asked point blank in over 7 interviews I've linked if he endorses her, and hasn't said yes once. It's clear and obvious
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
he gets asked point blank in over 7 interviews I've linked if he endorses her, and hasn't said yes once. It's clear and obvious
Laura
9 months ago
For the ‘no’ holders: I still haven’t seen any of you post the quote that is the smoking gun to put this ‘debate’ to rest. I’m saving it for evidence if disputed ☺️
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Why would the reporter ask him last night if he endorses her if he had already done so? Every reporter keeps asking him, because he hasn't done it and he's the most prominent dem figure who hasn't. It's a story
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
https://www.mprnews.org/story/2024/08/02/sen-bernie-sanders-in-minnesota If you actually listen to the full interview which took place yesterday, he was asked point blank again "does she have your endorsement" and he once again did not say yes. Yes bettors think there is a 30% chance he changes his mind from last night until monday I guess
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
https://www.mprnews.org/story/2024/08/02/sen-bernie-sanders-in-minnesota If you actually listen to the full interview which took place yesterday, he was asked point blank again "does she have your endorsement" and he once again did not say yes. Yes bettors think there is a 30% chance he changes his mind from last night until monday I guess
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
he's used the same language in every single interview, and the article I just linked where he states the vp is important. He even said it at a live event last night. Please buy more shares I have bids waiting to be filled
Colorguesser
9 months ago
this was 5 days after his most recent interview, in which he stated he suports her to the fullest. you are cooked
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
In addition to him stating the vp choice is very important, which has not even happened yet
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
It's over 5 tv interviews, 2 interviews with journalists, and multiple live public events where it was made clear he supported harris but will not give a formal endorsement until she promises certain policy decisions
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
It's over 5 tv interviews, 2 interviews with journalists, and multiple live public events where it was made clear he supported harris but will not give a formal endorsement until she promises certain policy decisions
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
https://www.vermontpublic.org/local-news/2024-08-01/bernie-sanders-supports-vice-president-kamala-harris-presidential-bid
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Complete and utter delusion. In all recent interviews and campaign events, he has refrained from endorsing harris until she commits policy that will help working voters, similar to joe biden's first 100 day plan.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FSanoug_B9E
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Complete and utter delusion. In all recent interviews and campaign events, he has refrained from endorsing harris until she commits policy that will help working voters, similar to joe biden's first 100 day plan.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RVtX9ri5V7I
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Complete and utter delusion. In all recent interviews and campaign events, he has refrained from endorsing harris until she commits policy that will help working voters, similar to joe biden's first 100 day plan.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qx5f0wvZvqg
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Complete and utter delusion. In all recent interviews and campaign events, he has refrained from endorsing harris until she commits policy that will help working voters, similar to joe biden's first 100 day plan.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Complete and utter delusion. In all recent interviews and campaign events, he has refrained from endorsing harris until she commits policy that will help working voters, similar to joe biden's first 100 day plan.
Colorguesser
9 months ago
No holders spamming the comment section, all red here, knowing that if the market is resolved, they will lose out one way or another. We already have a clear formal of Harris by Sanders. ---- 1. The Rules do not require that Sanders uses the word "endorsemen" they require that he endorses the candidate. Which he has done and which is described and depicted in the comments in detail. ---- 2. He has clearly stated that he is supporting her to the fullest and will do anything he can to get her elected. ---- 3. He clarified that he does not accept any distinction between his support and a formal endorsement and especially the term "endorsement". Therefore, since he rejects any difference, he is, in fact, endorsing her. ---- 4. His words clearly constitutes an endorsement according to the Cambridge dictionary, as well as a "political endorsement" as defined by the Quarterly Journal of Political Science.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
U.S. Rep. Ilhan Omar is a hosting a get-out-the-vote campaign event in Minneapolis tomorrow, ahead of the primary on Aug. 13, and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders will be joining her for the event. Sanders began his trip to Minnesota this weekend with a town hall in Mankato, focusing on working class voters. He spoke with MPR News host Tom Crann before his scheduled events, sharing that he spoke with Gov. Tim Walz a few days earlier and said he is “very impressed” and that Walz “understands the needs of working families.” Sanders added that he hopes Vice President Kamala Harris “selects a running mate who will speak up and take on powerful corporate interest — and I think Tim Walz is somebody who could do that.”
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
https://www.mprnews.org/story/2024/08/02/sen-bernie-sanders-in-minnesota
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
https://www.mprnews.org/story/2024/08/02/sen-bernie-sanders-in-minnesota
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Bernie spoke at a small event in Minnesota last night where he stated his support for kamala to pick walz as the VP. Walz only has current odds of 10% to get the position
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Bernie spoke at a small event in Minnesota last night where he stated his support for kamala to pick walz as the VP. Walz only has current odds of 10% to get the position
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/sen-bernie-sanders-says-work-hard-elect-harris-isnt-endorsing-just-yet-rcna163348 dumbass
Colorguesser
9 months ago
total BS, where is the source??
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
No VP selection is coming until after harris officially accepts nom on monday night
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Asked whether Harris' choice of a running mate is important to his endorsement, Sanders said, "Yes, it is."
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
"I look forward to strongly supporting her. But I think if she is going to win, she's going to have to focus a great deal of attention on the plight of the American working class, come up with some very specific suggestions as to how she's going to address the reality that 60% of our people are living paycheck to paycheck," he said, without outlining what specifics he hopes to see from her. Harris has "to make it clear that she's on the side of the working class of this country. If she does that, she's going to win, and I think she can win big." Asked whether Harris' choice of a running mate is important to his endorsement, Sanders said, "Yes, it is."
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/sen-bernie-sanders-says-work-hard-elect-harris-isnt-endorsing-just-yet-rcna163348
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/sen-bernie-sanders-says-work-hard-elect-harris-isnt-endorsing-just-yet-rcna163348
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Asked whether Harris' choice of a running mate is important to his endorsement, Sanders said, "Yes, it is."
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Asked whether Harris' choice of a running mate is important to his endorsement, Sanders said, "Yes, it is."
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
We have to wait until monday at 6 sweetie
n/a
9 months ago
So propose a resolution, let’s see it.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
In one interview Bernie says the VP pick will impact if he endorses. Kamala isn't releasing the pick until after she accepts the official nom on monday. This couldn't be more over
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
He literaly spoke at an event just last night too, where he showed his support but didn't endorse. He will just keep doing this, even if he does that call on monday after the official nom
Laura
9 months ago
They're delusional. Absolutely unhinged.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
He's not even going to endorse at this event, he will just keep saying that he's doing everything he can to get her elected, but won't formally endorse until she commits to some of his socialist ideas or picks walz as the vp
Truthy
9 months ago
Considering Bernie will make an announcement directly AFTER the official nomination, the chances of him endorsing before then should only be about 1-3%, I was a yes holder before. But there is still a chance to cut your losses and make it back by switching to no. https://x.com/Progs4Harris/status/1819479936886833657
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qx5f0wvZvqg He only got asked about 15 times if he is endorsing kamala, which he avoided every single time. if your argument is he already endorsed, you are [redacted]
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Has far more to do with recent polling, not the murderer sexual deviant professional nda signer idf soldier veep candidate
DarkZuckerberg - 28387
9 months ago
The fact that the odds of democrats winning PA has crept up from 48% to 58% in light of the Shapiro speculation, is all you need to know about why he's the obvious pick.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Not this year it isn't
donnarum
9 months ago
The nominee is official only at the convention, as per the usual procedure. Whatever they say before is another bet, not this one.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Wouldn't shock me if the intended pick was Shapiro, but there's been so much backlash already that they go in another direction
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
https://x.com/VinceDaoTV/status/1819525347576066559
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
For all you obamatards https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/08/02/harris-becomes-democratic-nominee/
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
They are nominating based on virtual roll call, not at the convention
GoldFever
9 months ago
Be fair, wait for the convention. The resolution is not succinct enough.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
The roll call ends on monday at 6pm where she officially accepts the nomination. They aren't doing it how the usually do it at the convention. This gets closed monday
popsa2001
9 months ago
We have several weeks before this market is completed and general consensus is met.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Shit got deleted right after the pump reversed. Where is the SEC? Regulation now!
Paganheat
9 months ago
Some very shady shit
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Close and pay
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
I am invoicing you if we lose
vote.fun
9 months ago
buy no
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
I know one of you fuckers ran that prog4harris twitter. Damn your good
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Okay so I lost $1400 here in about 10 minutes. Any trade ideas to make it back? Thanks
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Gopfan is still buying my lord. What does he know?
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Only way yes would hit would be an edorsement over the weekend which should be priced around 10c, if that
fundamentalmisunderstanding
9 months ago
Honestly surprised how quickly you realized. Kudos. There have been some stubborn people here who just refuse logic.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Wow I'm gay thanks guys
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
it's already over actually
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Bob Kinzel: So is there a difference between supporting her and endorsing her? Bernie Sanders: You know, this is, I think, a media creation here. I'm doing everything I can to see that she gets elected. But I think it's very important for this country that we start focusing on the issues that are impacting the working class.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Bob Kinzel: So is there a difference between supporting her and endorsing her? Bernie Sanders: You know, this is, I think, a media creation here. I'm doing everything I can to see that she gets elected. But I think it's very important for this country that we start focusing on the issues that are impacting the working class.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
https://actionnetwork.org/events/progressive-for-harris-kickoff-call?utm_source=kickoff&utm_medium=everywhere&utm_campaign=kickoff
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
A bunch of verified accounts interacted with it, probably just twitter error. I rsvp'd before and it's legit
zyncet
9 months ago
Progs4Harris was fake... Account suspended by X.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Appears mr sexual harrassment himself will be getting the nod
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
https://x.com/MrErnestOwens/status/1819467604895125880
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
USA has way more overall medals than China does, so they would win any tiebreaker if it came down to that
bali
9 months ago
France and Australia are KILLING it. Remember in case of a tie with USA, both wins. In case of a tie with China, Australia wins! In case of a tie between USA and China, China wins! Therefore USA is overpriced!
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
100%. According to Gonzalez holders, poly should have paid out trump holders in 2020
NOTNEEDED
9 months ago
"The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Venezuela" Biden, Elon Musk and all the retards you guys repost here may hold a press conference not recognizing Maduro you will still lose this prediction so don't waste your time
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Up 8% with 4% outstanding is a called race
factman
9 months ago
CNE declares 96.87% of votes counted, 51.95% Maduro 43.18% Gonzalez. Of course, this still isn't the final result as it's not 100% counted, and we are yet to see what happens tomorrow.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
When did uma rule Gonzalez won? I must have missed this market resolving for you
factman
9 months ago
UMA seems to disagree.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Close and pay this has been over for a week
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Protests have nothing to do with the CNE finalizing the results and Maduro staying president
factman
9 months ago
If the protests fail this weekend, absolutely.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
This is getting resolved Maduro or getting refunded, you are retarded to think otherwise
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
pete is 100% in the top 3 here and is still under 10c
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
BREAKING: Josh Shapiro's vp nomination odds
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
It's not just one assault allegation/cover-up, now it's 2. Keep paying 70 cents for him though.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Oh my god Shapiro just raped me again. 3rd time this week! It's only Wednesday!
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
A DEMOCRAT with SEXUAL ASSAULT ALLEGATIONS trading at 67c. Wow. Incredible work.
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
I'm voting for pete buttigieg because we need a vp who sucks cock and eats ass and gets fucked in his ass with cock and eats cum
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Refund incoming
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
God I'm good at this shit
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Best case is polymarket refunds you after your money is tied up for an indefinite amount of time. They will never pay maduro holders out as winners with clear evidence of fraud
Wojtek
9 months ago
why?
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Maduro holders are mentally ill
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
1.8 million in volume for a 9 thousand dollar loss, get a fucking job you retard lmfao
DECRAPisDUMBandGAY
9 months ago
ok, dumbfuck
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
If you think polymarket will pay out a knowingly fraudulent election then lmao
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
had a lot of maduro shares before, sold 99% off
factman
9 months ago
Just out of curiosity, why are you still holding Maduro then?
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Under Venezuelan law they have to release official poll data to prove results, which there's no way they'll be able to do. Basically every single country on the planet has called this election a fraud https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/latin-american-leaders-react-venezuela-election-results-2024-07-29/. I highly doubt polymarket will resolve this with maduro as the winner, best case for maduro holders is a refund
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
It's over lmao
Miau
9 months ago
Official results were given by CNE that Maduro won the elections, There were also official results by María Corina and her political team that indicate there was fraud and warn that Edmundo won. Rules: This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No."
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Video just got leaked of him at a biden rally, wow. Dem shares to 100c
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
As a proud indian homosexual male, I have never been more excited to vote for a candidate than Kamala Harris. We will defeat facism!
yourrapist1776
10 months ago
Registered republican but donated to democrats. Another shitty written market here, should be priced 50/50
yourrapist1776
10 months ago
You have a $2.90 position go kys
p00pd1ck
10 months ago
cuccyboy is a gay faggot who simps for Biden lmaooo
yourrapist1776
10 months ago
i don't think a single yes holder watched the debate, they just saw a few clips on twitter and bought shares lmao
yourrapist1776
10 months ago
nope
inmate
10 months ago
Displayed persistent incoherence/confusion throughout, it should meet the standard regardless of anything else
yourrapist1776
10 months ago
your mom is sucking me sideways right now wtf?
p00pd1ck
10 months ago
cuccyboy is a little bitttchhh. he's so retarded that thinks biden isn't retarded
yourrapist1776
10 months ago
$6487 of buys, $6531 of sells, $44.22 of profit #investing #polymarket
yourrapist1776
10 months ago
Please buy more I have orders waiting to be filled
SusanWarren,HR
10 months ago
Before the debate, I was the top "No" share holder. I like Biden and have always thought people's concerns about his mental state were overreactions. I've completely changed my mind. Absolute persistent incoherence. Not sure why the market for "Yes" is priced so low.
yourrapist1776
10 months ago
"Isolated gaffes or occasional moments of confusion will not qualify". Thanks for playing
CBlat
10 months ago
Persistent incoherence? Yes. There were multiple occasions where he was completely incoherent and rambled off topic or just trailed away into nothingness. How many individual examples of incoherence are needed for it to be persistent?
yourrapist1776
11 months ago
Poly needs to do something about these links man. All of them will drain your wallet