Will Kamala Harris give an interview before Sept 10?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

CNN has not mentioned that it is live. Just that it “will air at 9pm ET on Thursday”

1

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Knowing Kamala and CNN this could very well have been recorded last week to allow them to edit out any bad footage to make her look as good as possible.

Will Kamala Harris give an interview before Sept 10?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Knowing Kamala and CNN this could very well have been recorded last week to allow them to edit out any bad footage to make her look as good as possible.

3

EmpirePending

1 month ago

CNN announced Kamala interview for release on Thursday (two days time). Market specifies the interview must be between August 26 and September 9. If this is a pre-recorded interview from earlier this week this doesn’t resolve yes.

Will Kamala Harris give an interview before Sept 10?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

CNN announced Kamala interview for release on Thursday (two days time). Market specifies the interview must be between August 26 and September 9. If this is a pre-recorded interview from earlier this week this doesn’t resolve yes.

3

Pavel Durov released in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Insider buying for this market is insanely riskier than for the bieber baby market which is what I assume you’re talking about. Only people that know what will happen (if anyone) is those very high up in the French police and maybe a handful of lawyers. Neither of those fit the bill if somebody who would be betting 20k on Polymarket.

1

n/a

1 month ago

Sold my No shares for now again -maybe a bit paranoid, but as I was screwed once by insider knowledge here, don't know. Top Yes holder only signed up for this market on poly and keeps buying yes. Either just a Telegram/Pavlov fanboy who is optimistic or buying Yes with knowledge (but for that 20k is not much oo). Sus or not sus? On the other hand on the market will Biden resign a whale came in the day of the press conference blew 500k, buying the entire market empty and lost it all. Sometimes hard to tell if Fish or Insider :D

Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

FBI if you see this I’m just joking

7

EmpirePending

1 month ago

I love assassination markets

Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

I love assassination markets

2

Pavel Durov released in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

They want him on terrorism charges bruh that’s not white collar

0

n/a

1 month ago

Hes a billionaire, he will bond out after they charge him

Pavel Durov released in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

They should release him but they won’t that’s why I bet no. In a fair world and a fair system I would be betting yes

4

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Baal I’m on your side I had 14k no in that market but please keep it to that markets comments stop spamming every single market about it

6

Pavel Durov released in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Says page not found

0

ArtVandalay

1 month ago

https://www.tribunal-de-paris.justice.fr/sites/default/files/2024-08/2024-08-26%20-%20CP%20TELEGRAM%20.pdf Here are all the charges. The investigate was opened on the 8th of July.

Pavel Durov released in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

They want him on terrorism chargers there’s no way they let him out in 3 days. They won’t get him on bail because he will be a flight risk.

3

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Sucks that this lost out but it’s a lesson learned. Never bet assuming a fair market, always side with what Polymarket and UMA will vote despite if it’s wrong. We’re all in this for the same reason, the only difference is yes holders have figured the lesson out already. (I held 14k no shares)

5

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

The vote is over it’s already P2

0

0x7b23a5j3j1

1 month ago

.1 is to cheap! If there’s a 1% chance D4 resolves in “No”/“to early” as it should. (No)should be 10x

Pavel Durov released in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Ya some guy market bought $1.8k worth. It’s a brand new account and his first trade so he probably didn’t know

0

Arbiter-of-Truth

1 month ago

I'm confused why somebody market bought so much... i thought he had been released or something lmao

Pavel Durov released in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Feels good to be on car’s side this time

1

Car

1 month ago

keep them market YES buys coming guys

Pavel Durov released in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Schizophrenia

3

41-17™askDomerWhatImean

1 month ago

🌊🌊🌊carSCAMLOSELOSE 😭😭😭

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

I’m still waiting

0

Justifax

1 month ago

The real scammers in this market were the pumpers and dumpers, the ones who bought under 1c, pumped it up to 5c, and sold. They are by far the worst. The secondary scammers are the traders who buy and sell and feed off the scam, sucking up rewards as well. They want these scam markets. It's trading profit. The final scammer is Polymarket who thinks this volume is a good thing and doesn't shut it the ffffck down.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Baal and blue both hate Chinese people at least the yes and no side can agree on something

1

baal

1 month ago

Cant really do shit about anyone in china realistically but everywhere else baal has reach

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

The guy that’s currently holding 56k shares and 8th largest holder has dumped?? Why has his position not updated wtf? It’s still showing he owns 56k shares?? It’s crazy how you can dump your position but still own 56k that’s so strange right?

3

Justifax

1 month ago

Look at aenews profit in this market. You got scammed big time by him. He is by far the worst of everyone in this market. He bought low, went in UMA and pumped it up, and then dumped on you. Polymarket facilitates his scamming with these vague rules. This is not what prediction markets are for. This shit has got to stop.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Name one person who bought below 1c and sold above 5c

2

Justifax

1 month ago

The real scammers in this market were the pumpers and dumpers, the ones who bought under 1c, pumped it up to 5c, and sold. They are by far the worst. The secondary scammers are the traders who buy and sell and feed off the scam, sucking up rewards as well. They want these scam markets. It's trading profit. The final scammer is Polymarket who thinks this volume is a good thing and doesn't shut it the ffffck down.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

No will not win. It’s either a yes or the market keeps going until August 31. But realistically if it’s voted p4 (keep going until August 31st) it’s basically a no and no price will go to 90-95

0

politicschange

1 month ago

if NO wins, does it resolve NO, or does it just go back to normal?

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Again, send Reuters article please!

1

coconutPilled

1 month ago

thx scammers. believe polymarket and reuters

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Lies both markets have been equal since both disputes started, both move up and down together

0

BlueSky123

1 month ago

RFK: You should vote for Trump. Notards: Not an endorsement!

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Send Reuters article please!

1

coconutPilled

1 month ago

thx scammers. believe polymarket and reuters

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

If you truly believe your own comment you would buy yes for the easiest 4% of your life.

2

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Buy yes then? You sold your yes bets yersterday? What are you scared of if you’re so confident?

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Buy yes then? You sold your yes bets yersterday? What are you scared of if you’re so confident?

4

BlueSky123

1 month ago

RFK: You should vote for Trump. Notards: Not an endorsement!

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

This has to be a troll. Headlines don’t count it’s been posted about a thousand times already

1

Justifax

1 month ago

The rules are just guidelines and not meant to be literal. They can't be. They never defined 'formal' or 'endorsement'. So what are we left with? Just go with the headlines and call it a day. Poly staff are not reporters. They have no clue what qualifies as endorsement or doesn't. Let the experts at wsj/reuters/ap do their job.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Headlines don’t count as resolution sources read the rules

4

Justifax

1 month ago

you can't binarize truth, it's too complex. you can however binarize / create prediction markets for headlines. Did he endorse? Yes / No. The headlines said yes.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

I say it is a no assuming there is no formal endorsement within the next week

3

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Polymarket didn’t foresee this happening. Nobody did. But as per the pre-determined rules it is a no. Polymarket wrongly added false context. Yes voters should be refunded their stake.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Polymarket didn’t foresee this happening. Nobody did. But as per the pre-determined rules it is a no. Polymarket wrongly added false context. Yes voters should be refunded their stake.

8

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

The fact you can actually bet after the “added context” says yes means the added context is false. If the added context was the true outcome they should have stopped all betting as soon as it was posted

4

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Yes voters are assuming that any hint of support is an RFK endorsement and him telling everybody to vote Trump. That is clearly not the case. Polymarket failed to foresee this outcome and that’s their fault. It is a no. Unless of course he formally endorses within the next week.

4

EmpirePending

1 month ago

RFK clearly told voters he still wants them to vote for him in the 40 states where he is on the ballot. Trump is also on these 40 states’ ballots. So from this RFK is saying in 40 states he wants people to vote for him over Trump. How in the name of god is this a trump endorsement??

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

RFK clearly told voters he still wants them to vote for him in the 40 states where he is on the ballot. Trump is also on these 40 states’ ballots. So from this RFK is saying in 40 states he wants people to vote for him over Trump. How in the name of god is this a trump endorsement??

6

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Is that a real quote? If so can you link it please

4

5to5000

1 month ago

RFK: No. There's been no commitments. ... We just made a general commitment we will work together.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

What happened

3

432

1 month ago

Some big positive vibe came from a UMA voting whale ;).

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Same if this was an official court I would put my life savings on it

2

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Nobody is salty most of us are in profits because we bought lower. We realise how good value the bet is at 4% when the odds are like 90%. Only reason it’s at 4% is distrust of UMA decision making

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Nobody is salty most of us are in profits because we bought lower. We realise how good value the bet is at 4% when the odds are like 90%. Only reason it’s at 4% is distrust of UMA decision making

3

DeboBets

1 month ago

“No” gang is just salty they will lose money.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

All sources from Kennedy’s team say no endorsement. Yes voters only have the false added context as evidence. Polymarket employees are not gods they are capable of making mistakes they are human.

14

·

Liked by n/a, baal and 12 others

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Not saying it’s the right thing to do but if you were a UMA whale that is planning on insider trading, wouldn’t it make more sense to vote P4 and buy up no because the reward is so much higher. And there is substantial evidence to back up a P4 vote.

4

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

True I guess there are some markets where you can buy 90% when true odds are like 99%. This markets definitley isn’t one of those

2

PeterNh

1 month ago

People overestimate rare events. So if you can bet .90 on something like the VP not switching, you are going to be right more than 90% of the time. A vp candidate dropping out at this point is probably a less than 1% chance. For this market with the facts backing up a "no", I do not get buying at .95 at all.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Trying to have a civil convo about risk to reward.

5

coconutPilled

1 month ago

can't believe ppl buy HYSA and it returns less than 100000%? I can buy lotto ticket and it returns 1000000000000X? smartest no holder

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Curious what yes buyers have to say about it. This isn’t a debate specific to this market.

0

EmpirePending

1 month ago

I don’t understand people that buy yes on all markets at like 95-99 for a couple few percent gain. I understand most of these markets are very likely to go in your favour so you built up 1% here 3% there and it snowballs. But one bad result and you lose everything you’ve been working towards. Losing a 95% market will happen eventually so to me it’s not worth the risk of losing everything?

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

I don’t understand people that buy yes on all markets at like 95-99 for a couple few percent gain. I understand most of these markets are very likely to go in your favour so you built up 1% here 3% there and it snowballs. But one bad result and you lose everything you’ve been working towards. Losing a 95% market will happen eventually so to me it’s not worth the risk of losing everything?

9

·

Liked by baal, LMNOP and 7 others

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Also your post on the discord sites a cnn article that is supportive of p4. You say they filed a court document mentioning endorsing Trump which is true but you failed to read the second part of the article which says that the lawyers withdrew that document as it mistakenly mentioned an endorsement and quickly after filed an amendment document removing all reference to an endorsement.

0

n/a

1 month ago

Yes campaigners - here is a DETAILED account of the SUBSTANTIVE evidence in support of yes - YOU WILL BE VICTORIOUS! I have already made my post on UMA - please cite further examples, as my post length is limited - WE WILL IN! FIGHT! https://docs.google.com/document/d/1Cw7AT70OZIfiJhvp4PJ8QNi8PfJLJC06xy93-Eaor9I/edit?usp=sharing

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Your doc is for the dropout market this is the endorsement market

0

n/a

1 month ago

Yes campaigners - here is a DETAILED account of the SUBSTANTIVE evidence in support of yes - YOU WILL BE VICTORIOUS! I have already made my post on UMA - please cite further examples, as my post length is limited - WE WILL IN! FIGHT! https://docs.google.com/document/d/1Cw7AT70OZIfiJhvp4PJ8QNi8PfJLJC06xy93-Eaor9I/edit?usp=sharing

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

I’ve they voted p4 it wouldn’t be going rogue, it would be correcting a Polymarket error, which is exactly what UMA is there for

0

n/a

1 month ago

If UMA goes rogue, then Polymarket will just drop them. Because UMA is dead in the water without Poly, they have strong incentives to comply.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

I agree. Which means the low price really shows the distrust of UMA rather than the markets belief of a formal endorsement

0

EmpirePending

1 month ago

I feel like that’s why no is only at 4c too. If the UMA process was as reliable as a court this would probably be at 50/50

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

I feel like that’s why no is only at 4c too. If the UMA process was as reliable as a court this would probably be at 50/50

1

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Tbh I really do not trust the UMA process

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Tbh I really do not trust the UMA process

3

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Do they have to provide evidence? I don’t know how it works

1

LMNOP

1 month ago

I assume they'd have to provide rationale behind their decision. And there is simply no evidence to resolve this to Yes currently.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

UMA will likely vote to agree with Polymarket on both disputes not because they agree with Polymarket, in fact a majority may disagree with Polymarket, but because they want the financial reward of agreeing with Polymarket.

1

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Added context was a clear mistake. UMA exists to fix any centralized polymarket mistakes.

3

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

UMA voting yes because of polymarket context defeats the whole point of UMA

6

AugustoPinochet73

1 month ago

The two walles are saying the'll be voting yes, and I think they'll do that because this time Polymarket has made a clarification. Also be carefull because probably first UMA votes will be NO so they can do some inside buying. But really polymarket, you should et ride of UMA, whats the point? Anyways after reading both arguments I'm neutral, just gonna play the "What UMA will decide" game.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

It wouldn’t be in doubt if Polymarket didn’t issue a rushed added context. Without that the market would probably be like 60/40

6

n/a

1 month ago

I'm surprised that this is even in doubt. It's very clear that there's no formal endorsement, just an informal political support. Also, additional context has no relevance whatsoever, since it was issued AFTER many many people had already betted millions of dollars.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

RFK’s lawyers went out of their way to remove any mention of an endorsement. It’s clear as day this is not a formal endorsement.

6

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

It’s so obviously a no but I can understand why yes holders see it as a guarantee yes because of the polymarket context. It’s an error from PM and they should refund yes buyers

6

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Hahaha that quote is golden

3

n/a

1 month ago

Despite actions that could be interpreted as supportive, the evidence indicates that resolving the market now would be premature. The requirement for a "formal endorsement" has not been unambiguously met, and official sources and actions activeley contradict this.This ambiguity was present in the market before additional context was give as seen by the huge volatility in percentages: the market was clearly undecided. To quote Polymarket "The most important thing to us is truth," "People are incredibly conditioned to only believe media that confirms their biases and desired outcomes, Polymarket tells people the true odds regardless of what anyone wants to happen" https://www.forbes.com/sites/digital-assets/2024/07/31/election-uncertainty-in-venezuela-turns-polymarket-into-an-oracle/.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

I agree they need a team of lawyer writing these rules not some discord geek

8

HsB34sgg

1 month ago

They shouldn't if they are written by unqualified dyslexics who don't understand the laws of the land.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

They shouldn’t count as rules though. What kind of betting platform creates rules after people have already bet millions of dollars? And how rules literally say “this market should resolved to yes”

9

·

Liked by LMNOP, HsB34sgg and 7 others

TimeQuestion

1 month ago

If Polymarket clarifications count as rules, then that is all that matters.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

https://apnews.com/article/trump-harris-vance-walz-election-dnc-93dc79917053d8c97db4bb9cd6b0130d

1

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Not sure if this was posted but more evidence that it was not an endorsement: “ RFK Jr. says he is suspending, not ending his campaign. His campaign says he ‘has not endorsed Trump’”

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Not sure if this was posted but more evidence that it was not an endorsement: “ RFK Jr. says he is suspending, not ending his campaign. His campaign says he ‘has not endorsed Trump’”

3

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Bluesky sold right after talking all the shit

3

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

The risk is defo not worth the 4% gain

9

·

Liked by XiJinPing, homosexual and 7 others

scattering

1 month ago

gonna sell my yes shares while i can

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Pretty crazy I would’ve assumed as soon as people saw that it would shoot up above 30c at least

0

n/a

1 month ago

Yes was pretty big when this dropped

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Was gonna delete it but I guess everyone has already seen how slow I am hahahaha

0

n/a

1 month ago

Yes was pretty big when this dropped

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Lmao

3

n/a

1 month ago

more embarrassing for the guy who only read the first document in the article and sent the link as if it supported the YES case

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Shit that’s embarrassing I’m late to the party sorry lol I was afk for a while hahahahaha

6

n/a

1 month ago

We did already post it. Yes votes don't care becasue they don't know what an endorsement is

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

https://edition.cnn.com/2024/08/23/politics/read-rfk-jr-pennsylvania-court-filing/index.html

6

EmpirePending

1 month ago

This is the biggest piece of evidence and nobody here has posted it. A CNN report detailing the exact court filings RFK’s lawyers filed which originally stated it was an endorsement and was later retracted and edited to make it clear it was not a formal endorsement. This is the single biggest piece of evidence and this market must be resolved as no!

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

This is the biggest piece of evidence and nobody here has posted it. A CNN report detailing the exact court filings RFK’s lawyers filed which originally stated it was an endorsement and was later retracted and edited to make it clear it was not a formal endorsement. This is the single biggest piece of evidence and this market must be resolved as no!

13

·

Liked by n/a, HsB34sgg and 11 others

Trump wins every swing state?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

So there’s only alpha here if you believe the correlation between swing state results is less than 30%

0

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Zero’s logic is correct but it fails to account for the correlation between swings states. If you put correlation to 30% the probability of winning all swings states at their current PM probability is exactly 17% which is exactly where the market is right now

Trump wins every swing state?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Zero’s logic is correct but it fails to account for the correlation between swings states. If you put correlation to 30% the probability of winning all swings states at their current PM probability is exactly 17% which is exactly where the market is right now

0

NowItsMyTime

2 months ago

I betted no, if Trump has 50% chances in each state, that would mean less than 1% chance all together.

Will Victor Osimhen join Chelsea?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Signing could be interpreted as a loan deal? These are Americans running this website they probably don’t even know what a loan deal is

0

n/a

1 month ago

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is officially confirmed that Victor Osimhen has signed for Chelsea F.C. during the transfer window. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Will Victor Osimhen join Chelsea?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Can we please clarify if a loan deal counts as yes or no?

1

Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Yea you’re right only person I can think of is somebody who knows what the result of the dispute will be…

1

ThatGuyMaybe

1 month ago

I dont understand what kind of person would risk 130k on this. hooly.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

No is clearly the right answer here. But no matters what happens Polymarket fucked up bad and need to refund whoever is on the losing side.

7

Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

I’m not invested but this is the most obvious no ever, daylight robbery if this resolves yes

10

·

Liked by mango-lass..., JanSobiesk... and 8 others

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Just scratch it off as an employee mistake and refund yes buyers and everyone is happy

4

nola72324

1 month ago

I understand that the No holders are pumping, but you all do realize that this resolving No after Polymarket says it will be Yes would be an existential disaster for them.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Yea the media never posts anything without 100% validating the story…

1

n/a

1 month ago

A screenshot posted on twitter has no validity at all. It contradicts EVERY single media publication. No journalist has verified or even acknowledged what is in that screenshot. Until it is verified by the Journalistic Community and the dozens of articles about his endorsement are redacted that holds no weight. I highly doubt Nicole would claim every single media outlet is publicizing false information and only correct one single person on X

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Refunding yes holders is definitely fair I don’t wish bad on them this is a polymarket error

4

TheWolfOfPolymarket

1 month ago

Wrongful clarification, it happens. Maybe the Yes holders will be refunded.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

The drop out market resolved as yes… polymarket have a giant mess on their hands

0

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Rfk also confirming he is not dropping out in an email to supporters: https://x.com/giggitytitties/status/1827397843579011550?s=46&t=7FgnUqPp7Ji6mCENCN9pgg

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Rfk also confirming he is not dropping out in an email to supporters: https://x.com/giggitytitties/status/1827397843579011550?s=46&t=7FgnUqPp7Ji6mCENCN9pgg

4

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

That’s gg congrats to team no https://x.com/giggitytitties/status/1827388701481299983?s=46&t=7FgnUqPp7Ji6mCENCN9pgg

6

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Her pinned tweet

0

LMNOP

1 month ago

link?

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

It was 50/50 before polymarket added context. Added context is not additional rules and therefore should not determine the outcome of a market. Yet that is what polymarket did. Everyone knows it was a rushed and mistaken added context that’s fine everyone makes mistakes. But the only reason this market went to 99 is because the rushed and mistaken context said it was a yes. If there was no added context this market would still be at 50/50 waiting for Kennedy to come out with an official formal endorsement.

6

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

If this is resolved as yes it opens the door for polymarket to add whatever kind of “context” aka rules they want even after millions of dollars has been bet and the outcome has been determined.

7

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

If this is resolved as yes it opens the door for polymarket to add whatever kind of “context” aka rules they want even after millions of dollars has been bet

1

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

“Added context” is not there to determine the outcome. It is there to clear up any ambiguity in the current rules. Polymarket failed to correctly define the outcome that occurred and therefore it should be no resolution. You cannot add context after the fact to change the outcome.

9

·

Liked by homosexual, JanSobiesk... and 7 others

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Added Context just means describing the rules more clearly but not changing them. This specific “added context” did not actually add any context it just quoted the speech and said this counts as yes. Added context only applies before the outcome is determined, otherwise it is not context.

4

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Context just means describing the rules more clearly but not changing them. This specific “added context” did not actually add any context it just quoted the speech and said this counts as yes

0

n/a

1 month ago

If Polymarket had not added their additional context, we’d still be around 50-50. That in itself shows you the endorsement, if any, was not FORMAL (as required by the rules).

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Wouldn’t surprise me if they are

4

n/a

1 month ago

Pardon my naive question, but do we know for sure that whoever adds those additional contexts is not a stakeholder?

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Exactly and added context is not extra rules therefore context should not affect the outcome

1

n/a

1 month ago

If Polymarket had not added their additional context, we’d still be around 50-50. That in itself shows you the endorsement, if any, was not FORMAL (as required by the rules).

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

According to the Federal Election Committee, an endorsement is done by letter. Where is RFK’s letter? https://www.fec.gov/help-candidates-and-committees/making-disbursements-ssf-or-connected-organization/endorsement-examples/

4

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Trumps Instagram is not a source for resolution according to the rules

4

n/a

1 month ago

On trumps Instagram he says rfk endorsed him

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Polymarket specifically said “formal” in the rules so that there would be no debate. If there is a debate it therefore means it was not formal.

4

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

The price was 50c after RFK finished his speech, essentially stating the market didn’t know if it was a formal endorsement. That ambiguity therefore means it was not formal. It only went to 98/99 when polymarket added the false context. The fact that the market didn’t go to 99 after RFK stated his support for Trump proves it’s not a formal endorsement.

7

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Polymarket made a mistake, they should just own it now which would then set the record straight for any future situations. If this is resolved yes it muddy the waters for future markets since the Bernie one was resolved no

8

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Literally everybody is saying p4

2

Pogpogpog

1 month ago

The same morons who are whining over the market being “rigged” for YES want to try to end the market early as a NO instead of voting P4! It’s the 24th! What does that tell you?

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

I also missed where RFK said he formally endorses Trump do you have a link

4

coconutPilled

1 month ago

you might have missed 'this market should resolve to "Yes."'

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

News sources are irrelevant as they are not in the rules so this dispute boils down to whether support equals formal endorsement. US have sent $700m in aid to support Palestine but they do not endorse Palestine. Therefore support ≠ formal endorsement.

5

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Pointless posting articles when news sources are not mentioned in rules. Only RFK and reps statements matter

1

coconutPilled

1 month ago

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/rfk-jr-suspends-us-presidential-campaign-endorses-trump-2024-08-23/

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

All “No” arguments summed up:

0

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

The only news articles that matter in this market are ones that contain quotes from RFK or his representatives. Any article that has a quote from them states that it is not a formal endorsement

2

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

RFK will vote for himself not trump.

5

n/a

1 month ago

Announcing support is declaring to vote.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

I formally think you’re dumb for holding something with this much risk for a 2% gain

1

Alexander343

1 month ago

Because you no bag holders refuse to accept reality.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Agreed. There is no rush for this just leave it play out for the next week. If yes holders are so confident they will have no problem with it

1

PeterNh

1 month ago

The best option right now is to resolve this to "no outcome yet". That would give seven days where the campaign could put out a more clear statement. If this resolves "yes" and the campaign then says it is not a formal endorsement- bad. If this resolves "no" and in a few days there is a post on the website saying RFK formally endorses- also bad. Best to give it until then end and then make decision.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

The pure fact that there is this much debate about the resolution proves that it is not a formal endorsement. Formal definitively means that there is can be no debate, yet here we are debating.

5

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Exactly and that will bring on more attention from the government and regulation or even a shut down of polymarket, which is something none of us want

4

n/a

1 month ago

Indeed. Their mistakes are increasing both in gravity and frequency.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Exactly and that will brings more attention and regulation or even a shut down of polymarket, which is something none of us want

1

n/a

1 month ago

Indeed. Their mistakes are increasing both in gravity and frequency.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

I agree they need to put much more time and resources into determining unambiguous rules. You cannot leave these things up to votes.

1

LMNOP

1 month ago

This is an issue not just with this market but many others. The Rules sections need to be more robust calling out specific criteria for resolution, i.e. "RFK must use the word 'endorse' or 'endorsing' for this market to resolve to Yes. Use of other words like 'support' will not count towards a Yes resolution." It would avoid so much confusion here.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Whatever side you’re on you will agree that this so called endorsement is extremely ambiguous. Therefore, by definition, it is not formal.

5

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

The added context is totally wrong. The context is right for the Friday market but they add it to this market and the November market too without realising the wording of the rules is different. Some polymarket employee mistakenly didn’t read the rules for each market he was adding context to.

3

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

The probability of RFK saying this is not a formal endorsement is not zero and therefore this market cannot be resolved yet

5

Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Congrats maniac but how did you know?

0

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Also email the press team asking is this a formal endorsement. press@teamkennedy.com

2

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Also email the press team asking is this a formal endorsement. mailto:press@teamkennedy.com

0

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Everybody tweet at RFK’s Campaign press secretary asking has RFK formally endorsed Trump. If she replies to us it’s game over. https://x.com/stefaniespear?s=21&t=7FgnUqPp7Ji6mCENCN9pgg

4

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

I don’t have either of those options

1

IAmHarold

1 month ago

#voting-discussion & #evidence-rationale

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

What channel are we supposed to talk in?

2

IAmHarold

1 month ago

everyone is encouraged to speak their voice in the discord: https://discord.com/invite/uma

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

1. Did RFK say he will vote for Trump? No. 2. Did RFK say “I endorse Trump”? No. 3. Did any RFK representative say that he endorses Trump? No, one representative actually explicitly states there was a lawyer’s filing error regarding an endorsement, which suggests again that there is no endorsement. News reports are immaterial to this market as they are not mentioned in the rules.

13

·

Liked by XiJinPing, n/a and 11 others

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Genius

3

XiJinPing

1 month ago

advice for YES holders -- take profit on YES, buy NO for cheap, then vote for NO, profit

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Another way to look at how support does not equal formal endorsement. The US have sent $700m in aid to “support” Palestine during the war. But you sure as hell can agree that the US don’t endorse Palestine or hamas

7

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Saying you’re “throwing support” couldn’t be further from “formal”

2

EmpirePending

1 month ago

The only thing that counts as “formal” is if he stands in front of a camera and says “I am formally endorsing Trump” and that hasn’t happened

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

The only thing that counts as “formal” is if he stands in front of a camera and says “I am formally endorsing Trump” and that hasn’t happened

5

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Thanks

3

IAmHarold

1 month ago

Make sure to join the UMA discord server and speak your mind!

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Link to the discord?

3

IAmHarold

1 month ago

Make sure to join the UMA discord server and speak your mind!

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Anyone holding yes is insane. The risk of this being overturned is not worth the extra 2% gain.

7

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

It’s got disputed but now waiting for a second dispute, same situation as this market is in

2

n/a

1 month ago

wow! did that one get disputed successfully? If I remember correctly, he said verbatim that he does not drop out, just suspend his campaign in key battleground states

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Polymarket fucked up bad today. They also resolved “will RFK drop out by Friday” market to yes even though he clearly hasn’t dropped out.

7

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Polymarket fucked up bad today. They resolved “will RFK drop out by Friday” market to yes even though he clearly hasn’t dropped out.

0

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Support ≠ formal endorsement it’s very simple

11

·

Liked by XiJinPing, n/a and 9 others

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Can somebody explain who UMA actually are?

6

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

hilary2win will go down in the history books

5

hillary2win

1 month ago

I will dispute it again in both markets, just waiting for the timer to countdown more, to buy an extra hour for raising awareness for NO holders and UMA discussions and comments here.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

If this is disputed again it might even be enough time for RFK to answer the question he will inevitably get: “do you formally endorse Trump” in which he will not say yes

5

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Nobody is denying RFK’s support of Trump. But within these markets the wording is vital. The wording of this specific market does not warrant a yes outcome

6

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

An endorsement means you are voting for the person. It’s very clear RFK will not be voting for Trump.

4

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

If this said “Will RFK express his support for Trump” it would be a yes. But it doesn’t. It specifically states formal endorsement.

4

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Fat 270k profit waiting on the other end for you

5

hillary2win

1 month ago

I know I'll have to now dispute each one again, it sucks, but its worth it

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

They lumped all endorsement markets in the same pile when the wording of them is different. In the speech one it said “support” is enough for yes but in this one it does not say that and thus should be no

6

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

What’s the point of the first dispute then?

4

JamesBond

1 month ago

Disputes don't get looked at until after dispute #2

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Why has the dispute not been looked at? Is that not supposed to go to a team to review the reasons for dispute and vote accordingly? It was only disputed for about 3 minutes

6

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

You are a legend my friend

2

hillary2win

1 month ago

Disputed as promised. Working on getting usdc for disputing the November one also

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Polymarket must resolve this to no to keep faith in this system built on facts. When you resolve no for the Bernie market but yes for the RFK market everybody instantly loses trust in the system.

8

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

They proposed yes for all 3 endorsement markets but the rules for this one is different. This one specifically states “formal” whereas the others don’t. This one also states that the resolution comes from the speech, whereas the others considered news reports as well.

6

Will Victor Osimhen join Chelsea?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

My source from Chelsea says they’re signing Antony instead

3

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

This could be the most legendary polymarket moment ever if this works

2

hillary2win

1 month ago

At 40 minute mark I will start a dispute and pay the fee. I have almost everything ready. I need you guys to start writing good arguments for why this should resolve as NO. And I have no idea how UMA processes this. Lets be respectful and polite throughout the process and use logic to correctly resolve this market. I believe its sent to a vote for UMA to review manually? Lets see if we can also discuss this on UMAs chats and channels if they require it. Need your help! Lets win this! If i lose the $750 its okay, I just wanted to do the right thing for the smaller betters here as well as myself ofc. Lets WIN! Team NO

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Why are you buying more then

0

hillary2win

1 month ago

i know

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Yo hilary2win there’s no point in buying up more if nobody is gonna go in and dispute this thing. I don’t know how to do it

2

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

His average cost is 1c

0

0x9387653E0135B40B320f01973a6524C6E07f6a91-1724450459869

1 month ago

23k ?!?!? Dam 🤣🤣🤣 there was whispers of this happening 2 days ago , didn't think to get out?

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Brother we’re on the same team

0

Munners

1 month ago

kys

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Somebody dispute this I don’t know what to do

1

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

“Throwing support” is not a “formal endorsement”. This is very simple.

4

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Why would they add clarification rather than resolving it? Because they’re not confident themselves

2

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

In a court of law this would not go down as an endorsement. Kennedy still wants to win the presidential race. Obviously it’s very unlikely but that is what he wants to do. If that doesn’t work out then he would be happy with Trump as president. Trump being RFK’s second choice for president is not an endorsement.

2

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

A couple paragraphs down https://apnews.com/article/rfk-jr-trump-speech-arizona-a2638f89ddcb5de03edbe4574ca17d45

2

Scrounge

1 month ago

In the election matters filed the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania it stated in there that RFK Jr endorses Trump.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

And then his representatives came out and said it was a mistake and not an endorsement

4

Scrounge

1 month ago

In the election matters filed the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania it stated in there that RFK Jr endorses Trump.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

I typed it out yes

1

n/a

1 month ago

Do you hear yourself?

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Exactly and his representatives specifically stated it is not an endorsement

0

hillary2win

1 month ago

News articles do NOT count for this market. only this, The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. or one of his representatives.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

You can argue he endorsed Trump but it’s definitely not a “formal” endorsement which is what this market is

5

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

The market for “Will RFK say Endorse during his speech” has gone to zero. Theres no way this can resolve to yes

6

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Support does not equal endorse

3

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

You can support somebody without endorsing them.

0

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

“Before the speech, his campaign had said in a Pennsylvania court filing Friday that he would be endorsing Trump for president. A spokesperson for Kennedy said the court filing had been made in error and would be updated, though Kennedy himself reiterated his support for Trump shortly afterward.” - AP

0

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

What the fuck is going on

1

How long will Kamala Harris's DNC speech be?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Link?

0

hillary2win

1 month ago

"According to inside sources acceptance speech is being rewritten at the last minute for unknown reasons."

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

That’s what it should be but you can argue the rules would count it as 2. It’s just too ambiguous terrible wording

1

n/a

1 month ago

Surely “Donald” is one, “Trump” is one and “Donald Trump” is one. Hmmm

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Yea like does “Donald Trump” count as 2?

2

ALevinson

1 month ago

The rules on the “Donald Trump” market are unclear. It’s says “resolve to yes if she says “Donald” or Trump” 5+ times. So if she says “Donald Trump, Donald Trump, Trump” is that 5?

How long will Kamala Harris's DNC speech be?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Agreed. Buy more 45-60

1

StevenBonnell

1 month ago

Never in the history of RNC and DNC has an acceptance speech been less than 30 minutes long. That happened only with Biden because of COVID. less than 30 min betters are in for a lot of trouble.

Iran military response by Friday?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

shut up susan

0

n/a

1 month ago

My door is always open if either of you ever need to talk.

EPL: Manchester United vs Fulham

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Damn bro you’re taking it well I would’ve been filled with rage

0

naya

1 month ago

Miss click :/ Had voice call and clicked wrong button lmfao

EPL: Manchester United vs Fulham

EmpirePending

1 month ago

That’s crazy

0

Gregorius

1 month ago

someone bought 5k$ worth of Draws at 97% at last minute wtf. Missclick?

Iran military response by Friday?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

The moment you switch sides to no is when it will happen

2

Justifax

1 month ago

I figure if I keep betting it will happen, it never will. This is how I will single handedly protect the world from global nuclear annihilation.

Iran military response by Friday?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

https://x.com/bricsinfo/status/1824493447098798302?s=46&t=7FgnUqPp7Ji6mCENCN9pgg

0

Iran military response by Friday?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Hahaha I was joking I’m good

0

n/a

1 month ago

Take it easy, man

Iran military response by Friday?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

I have lost my life savings betting on Iran but I will not be stopped. Pay check has just hit my account and USDC is loading as we speak

1

Iran military response by Friday?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Welcome back my friends

1

How many times will Trump tweet this week?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

He could easily bang out 7/8 tweets within 20 minutes and shit on everybody here

1

How many times will Trump tweet this week?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

I agree

0

iforgot

1 month ago

Here's what I think will happen: the press conference will have a few decent moments that the team would want to post. At the very least, they might retweet some MAGA sycophants praising him for his "tremendously successful" press conference.

How many times will Trump tweet this week?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Y’all 11-15 guys are finished 😂

2

Will Victor Osimhen join Chelsea?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Need to be more specific. What if it’s a loan deal? What if he signs a deal in summer but only comes to Chelsea in January or next year?

6

Iran military response by Friday?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Because I’m poor this is all I got broski

0

XiJinPing

1 month ago

if you don't believe it, then it's a great time to add YES for cheap. why aren't you doing that?

Iran military response by Friday?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Please people don’t take any comments as facts unless you can find it elsewhere too 😂😂

0

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Posts a made up story to pump the market then instantly starts selling his position

Iran military response by Friday?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Posts a made up story to pump the market then instantly starts selling his position

0

Iran military response by Friday?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Pumping made up stories so you can make a 2% profit that’s sad

1

XiJinPing

1 month ago

Report: Netanyahu has agreed to compromise on the ceasefire negotiation terms, and added much needed flexibility. A ceasefire negotiation looks very likely.

Iran military response by Friday?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Stop pumping bs send a link if it’s real

0

XiJinPing

1 month ago

Report: Netanyahu has agreed to compromise on the ceasefire negotiation terms, and added much needed flexibility. A ceasefire negotiation looks very likely.

How many times will Trump tweet this week?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

The current number of tweets is 12 right?

1

Iran military response by Friday?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Holy shit those were two giant no buys

1

Iran military response by Friday?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Cry more

3

Justifax

1 month ago

XijinPinig, you're constantly scamming. Everyone can see that. @jcal I don't see "Netanyahu closer to accept the Hamas terms" in the link you provided.

Iran military response by Friday?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

If anything it’s a good thing because it gives the world real time probabilities of an attack happening

0

EmpirePending

1 month ago

It’s not unethical nobody gets harmed from this. It’s just another market to bet on just like any other

Iran military response by Friday?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

It’s not unethical nobody gets harmed from this. It’s just another market to bet on just like any other

0

n/a

1 month ago

Betting on whether or not a country will bomb another (and rooting for that outcome)?!? @Polymarket, this unethical and wrong ON ALL LEVELS no matter how you attempt to justify it.

Iran military response by Friday?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

You mean it’s being used by Israel against hezbollah

3

n/a

1 month ago

Chemical weapons starting being used by Hezbollah against Israel https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1823449939776823643

Iran military response by Friday?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

U.S. President Joe Biden states that he believes Iran will not launch an Attack against Israel if a Ceasefire and Hostage Deal is reached during Thursday’s Negotiations.

1

Iran military response by Friday?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Nothing ever happens

1

Fonz97

1 month ago

How’s it going my fellow “nothing ever happens” brothers.. let’s make some money

Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Well everyone seems to believe maniac is an insider with knowledge that it’s a boy

0

n/a

1 month ago

he means, why would we trust the random guy saying it?

Iran military response by Friday?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

😂😂

1

TheFinalWord

1 month ago

lol balllerr deleted his comment

Iran military response by Friday?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

No I don’t but it looks like they’re holding off until the ceasefire talks start

0

n/a

1 month ago

Do you really think that there will be a ceasefire? I doubt it

Iran military response by Friday?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

It’s literally the front page story on Reuters https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/only-gaza-ceasefire-can-delay-irans-israel-response-sources-say-2024-08-13/

1

Justifax

1 month ago

Links generally make it more impactful.

Iran military response by Friday?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

I linked it

0

Justifax

1 month ago

Links generally make it more impactful.

Iran military response by Friday?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Not fake news this account is extremely reliable https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1823350609233186883?s=46&t=7FgnUqPp7Ji6mCENCN9pgg

0

EmpirePending

1 month ago

“ Three Iranian Officials have told Reuters that if a Ceasefire and Hostage Deal is reached for the Gaza Strip during this week’s Negotiations, they may consider not launching a Direct Retaliatory Strike against Israel. However, these Officials further stated that if they feel Israel is Delaying or “Dragging-Out” the Negotiations, then Iran alongside Proxy Groups like Hezbollah would launch a Major Strike.”

Iran military response by Friday?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

“ Three Iranian Officials have told Reuters that if a Ceasefire and Hostage Deal is reached for the Gaza Strip during this week’s Negotiations, they may consider not launching a Direct Retaliatory Strike against Israel. However, these Officials further stated that if they feel Israel is Delaying or “Dragging-Out” the Negotiations, then Iran alongside Proxy Groups like Hezbollah would launch a Major Strike.”

4

Iran military response by Friday?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

People buying yes because hamas fired a rocket into the ocean lol

5

Iran military response by Friday?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

😂😂😂

0

ootharju

1 month ago

TA on gambling markets is crazy AAHHAHAH

Iran military response by Monday?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

It makes sense that Iran would try to mess with Trump because he will be a lot tougher on them if elected compared with Harris

0

diddy

1 month ago

The attack is very much possible actually, Trump is having an interview in 1.30 hr, and its 1:24am in Iran, it would be ideal for them to attack @3-5am. And in addition, they also recently hacked Trump's campaign.

Iran military response by Monday?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

buy no then

1

OP2024

1 month ago

It's a No. Iranian leaders are not entirely stupid.

Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Maniac has 13.5k girl shares haha he split his shares 😭😭

2

Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Or better yet sell it to tmz for 10-20k easy money without having to bother with this poly market shit

1

Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

What do you mean

0

Tones

1 month ago

With what credibility though ?

Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

If anyone had info about the baby being a boy it would make sense to post it here so that the market instantly goes to 100c and then they can sell and get their profits rather than waiting around for an official announcement which could be another month or two

0

Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Maniac is selling

1

Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Is this unknown evidence you have definitive? Or are they just hints?

0

JeffreyBezos

1 month ago

because this market is infested by 2 insider rats @0xmaniac and @BellumM who know it is a boy and are buying every and any offer that is put up. I am not going to lose my money to 2 scumbags who know for sure it is a boy. You don't have to buy boy but I would rather burn my money in a BBQ than bet on girl. Those 2 have exposed that without a doubt it will be a boy. Also I have unconvered 2 pieces of uknown evidence that it is a boy, maybe I will post them later on

Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

No link and no position haha

0

n/a

1 month ago

Recent filing shows registry for "Leo Bieber" -California Baby Registry

Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Maniac if you're right you gotta at least tell us how you knew after it gets revealed

9

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Liked by Apsalar, JohnathanD... and 7 others

Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?

EmpirePending

2 months ago

The top buyer of boy had approx 1k shares of girl two weeks ago. He is not an insider he is a troll and you guys are falling for it hahaha a 50-50 market and he has single handedly swung it to 70-30

2

Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?

EmpirePending

2 months ago

haha if you're not rich and you're betting 15k on a baby's gender you need a mental health check

1

0xmaniac

2 months ago

I'm glad you think I'm rich! Thank you!

Iran military response by Monday?

EmpirePending

2 months ago

An attack should still count even if it is intercepted

1

0xD11e

2 months ago

A single rocket would be intercepted. They'd have to shoot a whole bunch to overwhelm air defense. That's why the chance is so low.

Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?

EmpirePending

2 months ago

Regarding the top buyer of boy, I think it’s just a rich dude having some fun. If it’s girl he will win a $10k profit, which for anybody inside the Bieber circle is tiny money. The account also holds 400 shares of girl which makes no sense.

1

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

EmpirePending

2 months ago

godspeed

1

ionlywin

2 months ago

I love that whales are trying to manipulate this clear yes, i am going omega bags into this tomorrow

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

EmpirePending

2 months ago

Stop letting them know it’s happenin. Let them keep betting no I still have to buy more

15

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Liked by n/a, -Rocambole... and 13 others

ionlywin

2 months ago

https://x.com/DonaldJTrumpJr/status/1821607452691075098

Will Trump and Harris debate before election?

EmpirePending

2 months ago

They just messed up the wording about dropping out. It could happen where harris accepts the fox debate then backs out of it and then later on they do a debate on another network

1

Arbiter-of-Truth

2 months ago

Somebody knows something

Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?

EmpirePending

2 months ago

Can you explain why a rate cut would further contribute to the collapse of the carry trade?

0

rjpoly

2 months ago

Not an expert but I've been doing some ready on the Yen-USD carry trade which seems to be the current explanation for the massive stock sell-off in Japan. Basically it relies on the difference in government debt interest rates between US and Japan and a relatively stable exchange rate in order to be profitable. But both of those factors have started to shift: The yen has been rapidly appreciating against the dollar and the Bank of Japan just this year has started raising rates for the first time in many years. Now all this turmoil would make you think the Fed will act quickly with a rate cut to support the economy, but the kicker is that in this case a rate cut in the US would further contribute to the collapse of the carry trade. Seems like a real quagmire here and I have no idea how to trade it. Used to have a much bigger position in this market but reduced it heavily. Anyway there is bound to be a lot of volatility in the near term, stay safe and maybe don't look at your stock portfolio for awhile.