BigBetsBonanza
#984
Rank
45
Comments
26
Likes Received
68
Likes Given
Who will be Trump's Attorney General?
BigBetsBonanza
7 months ago
MAGA love pedophiles on their team
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Iowa Margin of Victory
BigBetsBonanza
8 months ago
i will thoroughly enjoy MAGA crowd crying for months after he loses
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Eyebrows
8 months ago
The fact this market was even made does not seem like good news for Mr. Trump...
Trump affair with Laura Loomer?
BigBetsBonanza
9 months ago
This market resolution is ridiculous, obviously they won’t come out themselves and admit to sexual relations.
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Balance of Power: 2024 Election
BigBetsBonanza
10 months ago
welcome to polymarket, heaps of inefficiencies between the different markets
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JJo
10 months ago
I am once again informing yall that D house adds up to 66 here, but is at 62 on the who will win the house market
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?
BigBetsBonanza
10 months ago
Ah it must be the Clade
0
BigBetsBonanza
10 months ago
Yeah why hasn’t this resolved to yes? Several sources (WHO, certain CDC sites) seem to show yes? Is it a different strain or something?
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?
BigBetsBonanza
10 months ago
Yeah why hasn’t this resolved to yes? Several sources (WHO, certain CDC sites) seem to show yes? Is it a different strain or something?
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0xed9F8787CA55C1eAB0F0b3ED3D5Bb104365F403F-1723970240687
10 months ago
US Mpox cases per CDC. https://wonder.cdc.gov/nndss/static/2024/33/2024-33-table968.html
Will Taylor Swift sue Trump over fake endorsement?
BigBetsBonanza
10 months ago
August end is a bit of a bummer, but I have faith
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Eyebrows
10 months ago
Ends August
Will Taylor Swift sue Trump over fake endorsement?
BigBetsBonanza
10 months ago
I want more on the cheap!
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Car
10 months ago
Imagine suing someone over something thats not illegal
Will Taylor Swift sue Trump over fake endorsement?
BigBetsBonanza
10 months ago
You’re right, buy more no plz
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Car
10 months ago
Imagine suing someone over something thats not illegal
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
BigBetsBonanza
10 months ago
Joe Biden should have pulled the inflation lever!!
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Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?
BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
Highly likely she drops out I think!!! For sure!!
5
Who will endorse Kamala?
BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
I agree, and disagree with @Laura. The resolution terms say 'annouce they formally endorse'. Many of the resolved endorsements never said 'I *formally* endorse', they *formally* said 'I endorse', so you could argue further that other 'yes' resolutions were wrong if you go by the literal word meanings.
1
mr.ozi
11 months ago
In fact, I believe the rules on Polymarket should be in general made bullet-proof clear. It creates unnecssary ambiguity. It would be easier if the rule stated that he needs to say the worse "endorse" or respond with a 'Yes' to a question whether he endorses her. There are many bets around where people argue what outcome is the correct one.
Who will endorse Kamala?
BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
haha that would be hilarious. FWIW, i doubt he's going to say more on the subject in the next few days...
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fundamentalmisunderstanding
11 months ago
It'll be pretty funny if Bernie comes out with a formal endorsement soon anyways and all the 'No's are in tears :'(
Who will endorse Kamala?
BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
For all the holders, thank you for your comments because I am new to the platform and regardless this has been useful for me to understand the nuances to resolution here. As I’ve said I don’t have anything substantial at stake so it’s not a big deal for me either way, but it has been a surprise to me how down to the letter these forecasts can be. So honestly thanks for the discussion. I do think that Bernie has endorsed her at this stage given his latest statements, but I appreciate why people would claim this isn’t ‘formal’ enough. So, let’s see what happens!
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Who will endorse Kamala?
BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
@Laura he said that there is no difference between his support and an endorsement.
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Colorguesser
11 months ago
The Rules do not require that Sanders uses the word "endorsemen" they require that he endorses the candidate. Which he has done and which is described and depicited in the comments in detail
Who will endorse Kamala?
BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
The word ‘endorse’ doesn’t require what you’re asking of it, because you’re making it up. The dictionary and Wikipedia and Bernie himself have all said that his actions are an endorsement.
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mr.ozi
11 months ago
While Bernie said that he "fully supports" Kamala, which indicates strong approval and backing, the absence of a formal endorsement declaration means he has not made the kind of official, unequivocal commitment that the word "endorse" conveys. This distinction matters in political strategy, public perception, and media reporting. At this point, this market shouldn't resolve to a 'Yes'. And if it was clear for someone that he endorsed her, they would've issued a bond and proposed a resolution. So clearly, it is not clear enough to anyone.
Who will endorse Kamala?
BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
Okay so, you concede at least that Bernie doesn’t see a difference between his actions and an endorsement? But the crux of it is that you think, he supports and endorses her, but not formally?
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fundamentalmisunderstanding
11 months ago
I actually agree you don't have to use the words "endorse". I think before these interviews, "No" was in a worse position (but probably still right). But after the interviews where it shows that 2 informed reporters did not think he formally endorsed and Bernie implicitly agreed by not rejecting that position, it's clear he has not formally endorsed yet.
Who will endorse Kamala?
BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
In Sanders’ ‘non reply’ as you call it, he said the difference is a ‘media creation’. That means he thinks there is no difference between his support for her and an endorsement.
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BennyS
11 months ago
Because there is precedent for Sanders endorsing candidates officially, and because Sanders refused endorse Kamala initially, it's questionable whether he has given a formal endorsement.
Who will endorse Kamala?
BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
WIKIPEDIA DEFINITION for ‘political endorsement’: A political endorsement is a public declaration of one's personal or group's support of a candidate for elected office
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BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
He literally told his supporters to elect Kamala Harris. How is that not an endorsement? Now the dictionary is wrong too? Lol
Who will endorse Kamala?
BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
He literally told his supporters to elect Kamala Harris. How is that not an endorsement? Now the dictionary is wrong too? Lol
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mr.ozi
11 months ago
In politics, there's a concept of endorsing, which is different from a dictionary definition of what an endorsement means, and which is different from strongly supporting someone. Endorsing means that you said that you endorse someone, and therefore they can use it as part of their campaign. It acts as a signal to the endorser's voters, that their votee wants them to vote on the endrosee.
Who will endorse Kamala?
BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
Bernie posted on his official twitter that he wants to elect Kamala Harris. A reporter asked if he hasn’t endorsed her and Bernie said the difference between endorsing and supporting a candidate is a ‘media creation’. If Bernie says there is no difference, therefore his response to the interviewer is that he has endorsed her. Since he ‘endorsed’ her (remember, his definition, since he said there isn’t a difference) on his formal twitter account, then that’s a formal endorsement.
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fundamentalmisunderstanding
11 months ago
We're all biased here, so let's take a look at more objective observers. Only very few news outlets have reported at all on this matter, which is something that would be very newsworthy if it were a formal endorsement. Of the few, some say he endorsed, some say he didn't. These are very short articles that were probably written without much time to research. More importantly, there have been 2 interviews the past few days. If you're interviewing someone, you better know the subject matter, so these reporters should be much better informed. BOTH say that Bernie Sanders has NOT formally endorsed Kamala. So if you try to remove your bias and consider what the most informed objective people think, it's clear that Bernie has NOT formally endorsed Kamala yet.
Who will endorse Kamala?
BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
I think the issue is he didn’t agree, he said the difference is a ‘media creation’. If Bernie himself says that he doesn’t see a difference then doesn’t that mean he has formally endorsed her? Also, I would add that obviously he knows there actually is a difference, but because he has said that there isn’t, and has not said he doesn’t endorse her, then he’s formally endorsed her as far as this race is concerned.
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fundamentalmisunderstanding
11 months ago
I actually agree you don't have to use the words "endorse". I think before these interviews, "No" was in a worse position (but probably still right). But after the interviews where it shows that 2 informed reporters did not think he formally endorsed and Bernie implicitly agreed by not rejecting that position, it's clear he has not formally endorsed yet.
Who will endorse Kamala?
BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
If anything I agree whether it’s question simplicity the way the resolution terms are written. I think that he has given statements that qualify as endorsements via official channels, but whether that is what the resolution terms equate to I can see the argument on both sides.
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BennyS
11 months ago
Because there is precedent for Sanders endorsing candidates officially, and because Sanders refused endorse Kamala initially, it's questionable whether he has given a formal endorsement.
Who will endorse Kamala?
BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
In the Vermont public interview Bernie says there is no difference between a ‘formal endorsement’ and his support, and that isn’t refuted by the interviewer.
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fundamentalmisunderstanding
11 months ago
We're all biased here, so let's take a look at more objective observers. Only very few news outlets have reported at all on this matter, which is something that would be very newsworthy if it were a formal endorsement. Of the few, some say he endorsed, some say he didn't. These are very short articles that were probably written without much time to research. More importantly, there have been 2 interviews the past few days. If you're interviewing someone, you better know the subject matter, so these reporters should be much better informed. BOTH say that Bernie Sanders has NOT formally endorsed Kamala. So if you try to remove your bias and consider what the most informed objective people think, it's clear that Bernie has NOT formally endorsed Kamala yet.
Who will endorse Kamala?
BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
Not really the point of the matter but the lack of reporting is honestly probably just because at this stage she is clearly the nominee and not many people care about whether Bernie ‘endorses’ her, whatever that means, since far more important people already have
0
fundamentalmisunderstanding
11 months ago
We're all biased here, so let's take a look at more objective observers. Only very few news outlets have reported at all on this matter, which is something that would be very newsworthy if it were a formal endorsement. Of the few, some say he endorsed, some say he didn't. These are very short articles that were probably written without much time to research. More importantly, there have been 2 interviews the past few days. If you're interviewing someone, you better know the subject matter, so these reporters should be much better informed. BOTH say that Bernie Sanders has NOT formally endorsed Kamala. So if you try to remove your bias and consider what the most informed objective people think, it's clear that Bernie has NOT formally endorsed Kamala yet.
Who will endorse Kamala?
BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
It was posted on his twitter. His official account. How is that not official?
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BennyS
11 months ago
Yes, this is an endorsement. That does not answer the question of whether this is an "official endorsement" as per rules. I know that the title of the bet simply asks "Will (Bernie) endorse Kamala?", but the rules explicitly say "official endorsement".
Who will endorse Kamala?
BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
I’ve bet barely anything on this lol, obviously people who bet ‘no’ are going to try to claim that isn’t an ‘offical endorsement’ but on his official twitter account he said that he supports Kamala Harris being elected. That is an endorsement, regardless of whether or not he used the word ‘endorse’
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BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
Bernie has said ‘We must defeat Trump, elect VP @KamalaHarris, and create a government that works for all, not just the 1%.’. That is an official act of ‘supporting’ someone.
Who will endorse Kamala?
BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
Bernie has said ‘We must defeat Trump, elect VP @KamalaHarris, and create a government that works for all, not just the 1%.’. That is an official act of ‘supporting’ someone.
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BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
Cambridge dictionary: the act of saying that you approve of or support something or someone
Who will endorse Kamala?
BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
Cambridge dictionary: the act of saying that you approve of or support something or someone
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Who will endorse Kamala?
BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
He has already called for her to be elected on twitter. That’s an endorsement.
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fundamentalmisunderstanding
11 months ago
You know what would be even stronger if Bernie felt that the interviewer misunderstood him? If Bernie said that that wasn't true and he did give a formal endorsement. Who would just accept a false statement regarding their position about something? You're making a huge stretch imo
Who will endorse Kamala?
BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
Endorsement is an action verb. If you look it up in the dictionary, it doesn’t say, ‘when you say ‘I endorse’ someone’. It says, ‘support or approve’. He is obviously doing that currently
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BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
He already said of Kamala on Twitter, “ We must defeat Trump, elect VP @KamalaHarris, and create a government that works for all, not just the 1%.“. He said that five days ago, when Kamala still isn’t the actual nominee. Therefore, he is endorsing her.
Who will endorse Kamala?
BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
He already said of Kamala on Twitter, “ We must defeat Trump, elect VP @KamalaHarris, and create a government that works for all, not just the 1%.“. He said that five days ago, when Kamala still isn’t the actual nominee. Therefore, he is endorsing her.
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zyncet
11 months ago
Another example when Bernie Sanders FORMALLY ENDORSED Joe Biden: "Today I am asking all Americans - I'm asking every Democrat, I'm asking every independent, I'm asking a lot of Republicans - to come together in this campaign to support your candidacy which I endorse."
Who will endorse Kamala?
BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
False dichotomy. Just because he used those words to endorse someone, doesn’t mean he can’t endorse someone else using different words.
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zyncet
11 months ago
Here is an example when Bernie Sanders FORMALLY ENDORSED Hillary Clinton: “I have come here to make it as clear as possible as to why I am endorsing Hillary Clinton,” Sanders said to exuberant applause, “and why she must become our next president.”
Who will endorse Kamala?
BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
Politicians use ambiguous language all the time. Obviously he wants more left wing activity from Kamala, that’s not up for debate. But what he’s already said - calling for someone to be elected - is an endorsement. Whether he says the word endorse is irrelevant. Politicians frequently mislabel their actions, that’s the nature of politics.
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Truthy
11 months ago
If he rejects and difference he very simply could say the words "I endorse" when explicitly asked.
Who will endorse Kamala?
BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
He posted on twitter 5 days ago, “We must defeat Trump, elect VP @KamalaHarris, and create a government that works for all, not just the 1%.”. That’s an endorsement.
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Laura
11 months ago
The requirements are a formal endorsement. Put up your bond money to propose a resolution! 😃
Who will endorse Kamala?
BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
He says in the Vermont article the distinction is a ‘media creation’ https://www.vermontpublic.org/local-news/2024-08-01/bernie-sanders-supports-vice-president-kamala-harris-presidential-bid
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BennyS
11 months ago
can you provide a source on his rejection of the distinction between support & formal endorsement?
Who will endorse Kamala?
BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
Diamond hands ‘no endorsement’ holders are in tears.
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Colorguesser
11 months ago
There seems to be a misunderstanding here, either in reading or reasoning. He stated that he supports her and clarified that he does not accept any third-party distinction between his support and a formal endorsement. Therefore, since he rejects any difference between his support and external differentiation, he is, in fact, endorsing her.
Who will endorse Kamala?
BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
Yes you can. Criticism is a separate action. He is calling for his supporters to vote for her. That’s an endorsement. Your argument is irrelevant because you could say the same thing if he said ‘I endorse her’ and then posted criticisms of her, would you still say that? No. He is calling for her to be elected. That’s an endorsement.
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Laura
11 months ago
Hahahaha no!!! It’s the opposite! In his mind, he’s pledge to support VP Harris however he can. As I’ve been saying, you can’t formally endorse someone and then turn around and criticise them. You won’t find any examples of this happening from someone who has endorsed Harris. This way, Bernie can give her his support while being freed up to push for more progressive policies. He’s probably not going to endorse her at any point now.
Who will endorse Kamala?
BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
I have barely any money at stake, people saying this isn’t an endorsement live on another planet. That is a formal endorsement from his official account. Kamala is not the actual nominee yet, only presumptive, and Bernie is saying ‘we must elect’ her. Just because he didn’t say the word ‘endorse’ doesn’t mean he didn’t endorse her. He is literally telling his supporters to vote for her, before she has officially been chosen.
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BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
People acting like you have to say the word ‘endorse’ for something to count as a formal endorsement. Bernie posted on X already ‘We must elect Kamala Harris’, and she is not yet the official nominee! That is an endorsement! Bernie: “ I want to thank the 800 people in Portland, Maine who joined me this morning at a high-energy rally. We must defeat Trump, elect VP @KamalaHarris, and create a government that works for all, not just the 1%.“
Who will endorse Kamala?
BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
People acting like you have to say the word ‘endorse’ for something to count as a formal endorsement. Bernie posted on X already ‘We must elect Kamala Harris’, and she is not yet the official nominee! That is an endorsement! Bernie: “ I want to thank the 800 people in Portland, Maine who joined me this morning at a high-energy rally. We must defeat Trump, elect VP @KamalaHarris, and create a government that works for all, not just the 1%.“
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zyncet
11 months ago
Read the rules! It requires a formal endorsement!
Who will endorse Kamala?
BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
From https://www.vermontpublic.org/local-news/2024-08-01/bernie-sanders-supports-vice-president-kamala-harris-presidential-bid Bob Kinzel: So is there a difference between supporting her and endorsing her? Bernie Sanders: You know, this is, I think, a media creation here. I'm doing everything I can to see that she gets elected. But I think it's very important for this country that we start focusing on the issues that are impacting the working class." If Bernie Sanders himself says that the difference between supporting a candidate and 'formally' endorsing a candidate is a quote 'media creation', then he is by extension saying that by "doing everything [I] can to get her elected" he is endorsing her.
1
Who will endorse Kamala?
BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
If Bernie Sanders himself says that the only difference between supporting a candidate and endorsing them is a 'media creation', then he is by extension saying that by "doing everything [I] can to get her elected" he is clearly endorsing her. That's an endorsement lol
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BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
Bob Kinzel: So is there a difference between supporting her and endorsing her? Bernie Sanders: You know, this is, I think, a media creation here. I'm doing everything I can to see that she gets elected. But I think it's very important for this country that we start focusing on the issues that are impacting the working class."
Who will endorse Kamala?
BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
Bob Kinzel: So is there a difference between supporting her and endorsing her? Bernie Sanders: You know, this is, I think, a media creation here. I'm doing everything I can to see that she gets elected. But I think it's very important for this country that we start focusing on the issues that are impacting the working class."
0
zyncet
11 months ago
No formal endorsement yet. https://www.vermontpublic.org/local-news/2024-08-01/bernie-sanders-supports-vice-president-kamala-harris-presidential-bid
Who will endorse Kamala?
BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
well for example, republicans endorsing biden would be an obvious start. https://edition.cnn.com/2024/06/26/politics/video/adam-kinzinger-endorses-president-joe-biden-cnntm-digvid
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Laura
11 months ago
I think we’ve got this, guys. You can’t endorse someone while simultaneously voicing concerns about their donors. That’s not how endorsements work.
Who will endorse Kamala?
BigBetsBonanza
11 months ago
Yes you can. endorsements don’t mean ‘I have exactly the same beliefs as this person’
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Laura
11 months ago
I think we’ve got this, guys. You can’t endorse someone while simultaneously voicing concerns about their donors. That’s not how endorsements work.