#131
Rank
318
Comments
115
Likes Received
91
Likes Given
Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
buy when there is blood on the streets, even if the blood is your own
1
Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
fuck me there! we are all fucked! :C
0
Car
1 year ago
Donald Trump Jr. is going to Greenland! I think my NO position is completely FUCKED
Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
I dont think Trump will acquire Greenland before July
2
Election certified on January 6?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
a bowl is most useful when it is empty
4
Emptiness.
1 year ago
NPCs be liek: "has to be Jan 6 cuz constitution! It's in the constitution, TV said so!!!" Check it yourself, January 6 is mentioned NOWHERE! https://constitution.congress.gov/constitution/
Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i don't think Trump will be sentenced to prison in NY case before the inauguration.
2
What will Trump say during inauguration speech?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
lol
1
MrKangaroo
1 year ago
keep in mind that with inaugural addresses, the president is encouraged to make jokes and have a lively debate with the audience, this could go for hours and who even knows what questions he will be asked
Who will attend Trump inauguration?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
JIMMY CARTER WILL NOT BE ATTENDING BECAUSE HE IS INTERRUPTED BY DEATH
3
Dohnny
1 year ago
Why isn't Jimmy Carter going? Did he say no already to it..?
Trump takes Panama Canal in first 100 days?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
AMERICA! Fuck Yea!
1
Derivatives_Ape/Prometheus arrested this year?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
I think it would be silly to resolve this as P1, but idk. The pros believe there should be a clear, credible source by mainstream media for UMA to confirm this as P2. Some suggested it might go P3. I’ve already taken my profit, and I believe fair value is around 30c because it could go in any direction. Now, I’m just waiting to see how it will resolve.
1
Master-bettor
1 year ago
I think it’s highly likely he was arrested, just search “Elham Nourzai ZKasino arrested.” The challenge is proving that Elham Nourzai is Derivatives_Ape on Twitter. Since the case is relatively small, it’s being ignored by mainstream media. Here are the details of the court case, confirmed by Rechtspraak: the pro forma hearing is on August 8, 2024, at 10:00. The case number is 81-142097-24, and the case is the Netherlands versus Elham Nourzai.
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
AAA bond
1
Derivatives_Ape/Prometheus arrested this year?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
I think it’s highly likely he was arrested, just search “Elham Nourzai ZKasino arrested.” The challenge is proving that Elham Nourzai is Derivatives_Ape on Twitter. Since the case is relatively small, it’s being ignored by mainstream media. Here are the details of the court case, confirmed by Rechtspraak: the pro forma hearing is on August 8, 2024, at 10:00. The case number is 81-142097-24, and the case is the Netherlands versus Elham Nourzai.
1
Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
who knows anything could happen
1
Juuup
1 year ago
No not possible in this short time
Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Fifty nifty united states from thirteen original colonies...
2
How many men will Lily Phillips have sex with in one day?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
You can watch the livestream and count
1
Benny666
1 year ago
Not touching this one. Learned my lesson with Israel+Hezbollah Ceasefire that one should only touch things that can be proven or disproven empirically.
How many men will Lily Phillips have sex with in one day?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Its astonishing how some women go through life with only one or two partners, or even none at all, while others are thrust into extremes that defy all sense of balance and fairness. The fact that Lily Philips is sleeping with 1,000 men in a single day isn't just shocking, it’s a glaring example of how society perpetuates these wild disparities. Just like the wealth gap where a handful hoards billions while others struggle to survive, this situation highlights the same kind of extreme inequality, where one person is pushed to such an unimaginable excess while others live at the opposite end of the spectrum. Its a sobering reflection of how far we still have to go in addressing the root causes of such imbalances
11
How many men will Lily Phillips have sex with in one day?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
This attempt is only possible because of advancements in logistics and telecommunication. It brings a tear to my eye to see how far humanity has come.
9
How many men will Lily Phillips have sex with in one day?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
How much sex can Lily Philip have, If Lily Philip tried to have as much sex as she could?
1
Will Trump be Speaker by January 1?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
that one is horrible APR, please fill me at 98.4c
3
FilthyAnimal
1 year ago
You want more? The next Donald Trump speaker money printer is live: https://polymarket.com/event/speaker-of-the-house-for-the-119th-congress?tid=1734753357993
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
YES lets pump it to 101c per share
2
GuyWhoFcks
1 year ago
Let's pump yes and make justice
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
hmm.. maybe!
1
HjotolfFansen
1 year ago
Golan Heights are not Syria in this market
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
they did
3
NextBachelor
1 year ago
no, they're haven't even decided to look again
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
because israel is a scam country
1
n/a
1 year ago
Hey someone explain to me why everyone is spamming scam or rigged?
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
no particular reason
0
Master-bettor
1 year ago
polyscam!!!
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
polyscam!!!
1
Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i love polymarket
7
Will Trump be Speaker by January 1?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
how do you think trump will be speaker in 2 weeks?
0
Master-bettor
1 year ago
I don't think Trump will be Speaker by January 1
Will Trump be Speaker by January 1?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
why are you buying yes shares? genuinely curious.
0
Master-bettor
1 year ago
I don't think Trump will be Speaker by January 1
Will Trump be Speaker by January 1?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
I don't think Trump will be Speaker by January 1
0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
And I'm not being sarcastic, I think it will be very profound and world changing. I would gladly live in a world where aliens exist and I’m $3K poorer.
0
Master-bettor
1 year ago
ALIENS DON'T EXIST BRUH
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
I would gladly pay $3.3k for definite proof of the existence of aliens.
0
Master-bettor
1 year ago
ALIENS DON'T EXIST BRUH
How many men will Lily Phillips have sex with in one day?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
I feel strongly that after the 750th to 800th partner, she will experience a profound revelation, recognize her own worth as a human being rather than an object, and then immediately stop streaming.
5
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Kathy, do you know that aliens aren't real?
2
Katthy
1 year ago
https://x.com/hustlebitch_/status/1868368977933824389?s=46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
ALIENS DON'T EXIST BRUH
1
How many men will Lily Phillips have sex with in one day?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
she could reschedule and/or die
1
iamhungry
1 year ago
I am a whale, I studied this market for hours, I signed up to participate to the event, I can guarantee that it will happen
How many men will Lily Phillips have sex with in one day?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i should've seen it coming. i should've read the signs. anyways, i guess it's over. can't believe that i'm the fool again. i thought this love would never. how was i to know? you never told me.
0
How many men will Lily Phillips have sex with in one day?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
you forget she has 3 holes and 2 hands
0
titimiquito
1 year ago
1000ppl, is 1minute and 26 seconds for each one. All day for 24h. If someone is not stiffy, or get excited, or anything else 1000+ is almost impossible if tried by time and conditions. Is like betting someone will break the world record in the 100m . You can be the champion, your chance is low.
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
thanks for the free $250, hope to see you guys again
0
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
polymarket said this should resolve yes. then it did! how shocking!
0
FrankA
1 year ago
How does this market say “if they announce officially” and now this market seems to only be about if there is media consensus or if a ceasefire goes into action. Thats like betting on if trump will announce he’s stepping down and then later arguing that it should resolve yes because he got impeached. Officially announce is a main part of the bet but doesn’t matter at all now?
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
wait did we already win?
0
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i am holding my yes share til death no one can convince me otherwise.
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
or until i win
1
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i am holding my yes share til death no one can convince me otherwise.
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i am holding my yes share til death no one can convince me otherwise.
1
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
🤔 that's a good question! but maybe you should've found out before you bought your shares
0
tiodenz
1 year ago
New dispute
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
and i made $250
0
Babybee
1 year ago
Creepy lowlife scammer spent 6k to earn 30 dollars and traded 400k w a profit of 2000 but is trying to stalk me and tell me about "rules"
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
dumb NO holder trades 6K and waits 6 days to lose $14!!
0
Babybee
1 year ago
Creepy lowlife scammer spent 6k to earn 30 dollars and traded 400k w a profit of 2000 but is trying to stalk me and tell me about "rules"
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
cuz some YES buyers want to get out and sell for 99.9c or dumb NO buyers buying for 0.1c learn the rules!
0
Babybee
1 year ago
Kinda interesting here if it resolves and yes won 100, why I can still sell for 0.1?
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
gotta wait until after the vote reveal phase. learn the rulezz
0
Babybee
1 year ago
Why yes still havent redeemed? Sth so shady about this market.
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i'm sorry you are too low iq to understand how all this works
1
5635f
1 year ago
i gonna jump tf I lost it all
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i could go on and on but you won't listen so no point explaining
0
5635f
1 year ago
i gonna jump tf I lost it all
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Learn how bets are made, disputed, and resolved. study past disputes, how they resolve, and why. analyze the large UMA voters and their win rate, etc.
1
5635f
1 year ago
i gonna jump tf I lost it all
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
you're fine.. losing $270 is not the end of the world. learn the rules before you play the game and don't bet more than you can afford to lose.
1
5635f
1 year ago
i gonna jump tf I lost it all
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
winner winner chicken dinner
1
tsybka
1 year ago
winners dance
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
hi
2
daolkha
1 year ago
Hello
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
You and SisuPing can be both be imaginary winners. I'll allow it.
1
SisuPing
1 year ago
I’m holding untill this resolves, this is cracked…
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
NO holders, don't give up hope! It's technically possible that every single vote after this is P1, and you guys win.
1
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
I just received a phone call from an important NO holder. She congratulated us - it's about us - on our victory. I congratulated her on a very, very hard-fought battle. I mean, she fought very hard. Now it's time for America to bind the wounds of division. To all the YES holders and NO holders, I say: it's time we come together as one united people.
3
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
if he loses i'll insure his losses. what about you, huh?? do you have your losses insured??
1
BlackSky123
1 year ago
Selfmade420 thinks youtu.be is a SCAM LINK!!! Not a very smart guy!
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
🫡 RIP to your remaining $40.
1
Casey2001
1 year ago
DON'T SELL YOUR NO! PRESSURE POLYMARKET AND THEIR CEO TO RESOLVE THIS!
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
you are my favorite russian chicken in polymarket
4
tsybka
1 year ago
🍆
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
hmm... maybe!
0
SisuPing
1 year ago
This will go p4 10 min before the vote is over
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
If it ends in P4 you can dispute as many times to your heart's content.
0
SOMEguy
1 year ago
we can dispute right?
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
or maybe they like making 44% APY garaunteed risk free money
1
SOMEguy
1 year ago
why on earth people are buying YES shares at 99.9 what are they going to win?
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i think they misclick
0
SOMEguy
1 year ago
why on earth people are buying YES shares at 99.9 what are they going to win?
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
7.8M/9.4M P2 lets gooooo
0
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
of course we can have a dispute. you can have a dispute with just about anyone.
0
SOMEguy
1 year ago
we can dispute right?
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
it is a mystery. for mysterious purposes.
0
FrankA
1 year ago
What is the rational for YES voters to not reveal their votes? Especially whales that could push it over 9.4m and end it? If there was YES whales left to announce surely they would do so! Is the rational that in the 40 there are 1.6m Yes votes distributed in small holders?
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
noooo dont do that!!! thats so scary :(
0
BigDong
1 year ago
whos gonna drop 4k to clear the sell wall
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Yes, i am proud of making $230. Are you proud of losing $250?
0
Master-bettor
1 year ago
*sniff sniff* Do you smell that? That's the scent of the NO holders' incinerated cash.
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Unrealized +$21.83 Realized +$202.10 Total +$223.92 (+0.33%
0
Master-bettor
1 year ago
*sniff sniff* Do you smell that? That's the scent of the NO holders' incinerated cash.
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
*sniff sniff* Do you smell that? That's the scent of the NO holders' incinerated cash.
0
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
After all this waiting, I will reward myself by eating some chicken from KFC fully funded by NO holders.
1
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Unrealized +$28.44 Realized +$202.10 Total +$230.54 (+0.43%)
0
Jinwoo
1 year ago
i lost 10 dollars on this shit XD
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i made $230 :D
0
Jinwoo
1 year ago
i lost 10 dollars on this shit XD
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Damn, we've been caught. How did you know yes holder are actually middle eastern terrorist trying to launder funds?
2
Babybee
1 year ago
I think it may be the opposite of what ppl are thinking. The no voter actually see the pure truth that israel would continue to fight for freedom and punish terrorists in the middle east. And yes voters are either the snowflake that either dream of peace to come of nowhere, or the terrorists themselves because some of them have been angrily trying to be here to spam, and now complain about my profile photo as sth "impure". Lmao only the hijab creeps would care that much!
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
it is quite impressive how you manage to lose every single bet
3
Master-bettor
1 year ago
guys i'm scared, should i sell?
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
should i sell?
0
Master-bettor
1 year ago
guys i'm scared, should i sell?
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Polymarket updated the following: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dQw4w9WgXcQ
1
Master-bettor
1 year ago
guys i'm scared, should i sell?
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
guys i'm scared, should i sell?
1
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
I think there will be a ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah in 2024.
1
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
maybe
0
SOMEguy
1 year ago
ok are we loosing NO guys?
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
no
0
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i want my money back
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
soon to be -$4.5k
0
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i want my money back
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
hello mr. -$3.5k profit
0
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i want my money back
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i want my money back
0
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
he could still assault someone and trump could pardon him in march
8
NomadLouie
1 year ago
this should close. he is pardoned for what's current
Will Biden pardon Trump?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
im liquidating. too scary. good luck guys!
1
Will Biden pardon SBF?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i dont think biden will pardon sbf
1
Will Biden pardon Trump?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
five dollars gone
0
Master-bettor
1 year ago
yeouch
Will Biden pardon Trump?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
yeouch
0
Russian Ruble ₽120 to $1 USD in November?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
domer copycat
0
PoorGUY
1 year ago
hey rich guys, it's weird for me to beg for something, but I don't have money for nutritious food for my family, if you decide to give me any gift, then you will be blessed for this good deed. I pray every night, I will include you in my prayers, if prayer works you will live a happier life full of health and love. Health and love is the only thing my family has a lot of, it seems to work :) Thank you very much for every dollar, for every penny, in my village we earn the equivalent of about $3-4 a day. If you don't have money like me, it doesn't matter, I'll include free :) in my prayers Thank you to all the good souls.
Tesla bot at Trump inauguration?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
I don’t think Tesla bot will be present during Trumps inauguration ceremony.
0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i think we will figure out all there is to know, get bored, then spend the rest of eternity living in perfect simulated utopias, while tasking AI with preventing or delaying the heat death of the universe
0
BigMike11
1 year ago
Odds much lower on Manifold, Insight Prediction, and Metaculus...
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i don't think we will figure out all there is to know in the universe, get bored, then restart the universe.
0
BigMike11
1 year ago
Odds much lower on Manifold, Insight Prediction, and Metaculus...
Elon Musk arrested in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
nothing is impossible all you have to do is believe
3
Fengchenjuenian
1 year ago
It's impossible to happen.
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
so why did u sell
3
iBoughtApropertyInEgypt
1 year ago
PUMP YES EZ 30x proffit
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
dont click its a scam
0
HallieQuinnBrownS
1 year ago
Votonex's Markets [https://votonex.com] shows the same bet at only 47% and has double of volume, odds are much more interesting there if you vote Yes, there's clearly an arb opportunity.
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
grow up people aliens don't exist
1
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i dont think sam will be out as openai ceo
1
Mike Tyson bites Jake Paul's ear?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
I dont think Mike Tyson will bite Jake Paul's ear.
0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
habe u seen.. alien??
3
Will Trump get more votes than 2020?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
AAA bond - 75,805,956 votes in 2024
0
Trump wins every swing state?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
fox confirms AZ win
0
fwasraw
1 year ago
Reuters has called Arizona for Trump, soon AP, NBC and Fox will follow,
Trump wins every swing state?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
yes
2
Caiden03
1 year ago
Are arizona poll counters retarded?
Trump wins every swing state?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i think Trump will win every swing state
0
Unrealized gains tax passed before election day?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i don't think unrealized gains tax passed before election day
0
Elon Musk arrested in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i dont think elon musk will be arrested in 2024
0
Trump prison time in NY case before election?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
SOMEONE PROPOSE (thanks)
1
Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
someone propose please
0
Trump prison time in NY case before election?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i dont think trump will be sentenced to prison in NY case before election
0
Ding Liren plays in 2024 World Chess Championship?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i think ding liren will play in the 2024 World Chess Championship
1
Trump prison time in NY case before election?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
this is the way
0
dtydy
1 year ago
No prison time
Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
anything is possible if you believe hard enough!
0
Trump prison time in NY case before election?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Same reason why Michelle Obama becoming dem nominee is still priced at 99c
0
Master-bettor
1 year ago
free money 30% APR
Trump prison time in NY case before election?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
sentencing is scheduled for nov 26th, bet expires nov 4th
0
Master-bettor
1 year ago
free money 30% APR
Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
guaranteed victory for trump if kamala drops out because of FOX news
0
JohnTitor777
1 year ago
She imploded on Fox news, they wouldn't let her out there like that of they weren't planning a last minute swaparooski. Change of batter incoming.
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i have seen this shit over and over and over again. welcome to polymarket.
0
bradlycalls
1 year ago
NOTHING EVEN CAME OUT YET REGARDLESS!! LAWSUITTTTT
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
lol do you remember what i said?
0
bradlycalls
1 year ago
NOTHING EVEN CAME OUT YET REGARDLESS!! LAWSUITTTTT
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Israel nuking Lebanon and Russia nuking Ukraine are my subjective opinions. North Korea has detonated 6 nuclear devices over the past 19 years, so the probability is approximately 30%.
0
DFK
1 year ago
who would ? Maybe North Korea? Why now? Kim seems busy enough with the situation at home and his new Russian gig. I don't see him picking his old hobby back up.
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Expected return is 5.64% over 75 days or around 27% APR. Optimal investment size is 46.88% for full Kelly. If you're using fractional Kellies then divide that by your fraction of choice.
0
DFK
1 year ago
who would ? Maybe North Korea? Why now? Kim seems busy enough with the situation at home and his new Russian gig. I don't see him picking his old hobby back up.
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Assuming the probabilities are uniformly distributed over their respective time periods and the events are independent of each other, there is approximately a 6.36% chance that a nuclear device will detonate in the next 75 days.
0
DFK
1 year ago
who would ? Maybe North Korea? Why now? Kim seems busy enough with the situation at home and his new Russian gig. I don't see him picking his old hobby back up.
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Assumptions: Israel nukes Lebanon: 10% chance over 10 years. Russia nukes Ukraine: 10% chance over 10 years. North Korea nuclear test: 30% chance over 1 year.
0
DFK
1 year ago
who would ? Maybe North Korea? Why now? Kim seems busy enough with the situation at home and his new Russian gig. I don't see him picking his old hobby back up.
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
I will be analyzing this from the perspective of a NO holder so my assumptions may be a bit conservative.
0
DFK
1 year ago
who would ? Maybe North Korea? Why now? Kim seems busy enough with the situation at home and his new Russian gig. I don't see him picking his old hobby back up.
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
you will lose all your money, then you will call polymarket a scam, then threaten to sue them.
0
bradlycalls
1 year ago
DO NOT sell ur no shares lmfao this is not over, 43 minutes till final review nov 4th isnt even here yet nor has anything been launched, pure robery on polymarkets side but we will fight for whats right at this price $1000 can be worth almost 200k when we win
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
you will be able to redeem your shares for exactly zero dollars and zero cents
2
n/a
1 year ago
So in 40 min we will see the final rekt or gucci?
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
1.5 Quadrillion percent APR if you buy yes right now.
0
Gcut
1 year ago
40 mins until that sweet 200x return
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Alright, listen up YES holders —you’ve got one hour left, this is the perfect time to plan your next move. China-Taiwan NO shares at 95.4, locking in 24% APR—get it fast before the liquidity rush drives prices up. Trump, no prison time before the election? 38% APR, free money. One hour left to get in before this spikes. Michelle Obama Dem nominee? 58% APR. With just 18 days to go, this is nearly risk-free, but once liquidity hits, the best part of the action’s gone.
1
Trump prison time in NY case before election?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
he could be sentenced to life in prison and this bet will still resolve as no prison time
0
Master-bettor
1 year ago
free money 30% APR
Trump prison time in NY case before election?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
35%
2
Master-bettor
1 year ago
free money 30% APR
Trump prison time in NY case before election?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
free money 30% APR
3
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Comoros maybe
0
/r/SnekSim
1 year ago
if you feel another country is more likely to, feel free to open a new market for it, let's see what the world thinks about which other sources of authority there are left
WR Chess Masters Cup Winner
Master-bettor
1 year ago
pregaganant ramsaybaboon
0
MrNFT
1 year ago
magnut carlton
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i dont think the US will confirm aliens exist
1
Will Michelle Obama become Dem Nominee?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i dont think michelle obama will be dem nominee
0
Fauci jail in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
the crime of being a fauci
0
Astoria
1 year ago
?? for what crime??
Will there be another debate?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
stop scamming
0
EmilieEmilyToddHelm
1 year ago
The leading aIternative of polymarket has the exact same bet with twice much more liquidity and different odds, I'm not sure which market is more accurate but аrbitrаgе is certainly doable https://x.com/news_defiant/status/1844068113450762423
What will Kamala say during Univision town hall?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
scam
0
EmilieEmilyToddHelm
1 year ago
The leading aIternative of polymarket has the exact same bet with twice much more liquidity and different odds, I'm not sure which market is more accurate but аrbitrаgе is certainly doable https://x.com/news_defiant/status/1844068113450762423
Will Speed break the 24h backflip world record?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
what did car do this time?
0
n/a
1 year ago
i lost it all dont trust car!
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Uh why can't i claim my Dorian nos
0
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
It might be dorian though
0
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
if it did the winner would be 99.9% and everything else would be 0.1%
0
TheNo1
1 year ago
Is the documentary out already?!!
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
maybe its satoshi dorian nakamoto
1
gun
1 year ago
unpopular opinion but i think rosa parks is satoshi
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Someone on discord said [N]ick [S]zabo = [S]atoshi [N]akamura
0
Ddd29299
1 year ago
Bitcoin is very similar to Nick Szabo's Bit Gold, but the Bitcoin whitepaper does not reference Nick. This suggests that the person who wrote the whitepaper is Nick himself. Now, I’m off to bed. GN :)
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
yes he also communicated with bitcoins
0
doriannakamoto
1 year ago
him living blocks away from Hal Finney alone is a 1/100000 chance. Im convinced
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Satoshi 'Dorian' Nakamoto might be outsmarting us by hiding in plain sight and not using a pseudonym
1
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
free money
0
Ddd29299
1 year ago
Satoshi and szabo have the same birthday. but only 3%?? WTF
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
are you gizmo?
0
Justifax
1 year ago
If you go on polycord, I have pasted a link to the dune query which you can use to show in realtime who's revealed votes. Hat tip @lifewillbeokay
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
yes no maybe so
0
Pidor🐓
1 year ago
still thinking it might not have been elon but who knows
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
it was at 99c
0
Car
1 year ago
Other is such good value
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
elon musk no is good value
1
Car
1 year ago
Other is such good value
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i dont think its dorian nakamoro or elon musk
1
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i have this tingly feeling from my heart it ain't him.
0
GrapeFlavoredDrinkMix
1 year ago
Seems like Adam is the focal point of the documentary, I think he repeatedly denies being Satoshi as a humility thing, but it looks like HBO is going to strongly insinuate he grandfathered the concept.
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
it ain't dorian!
0
GrapeFlavoredDrinkMix
1 year ago
Seems like Adam is the focal point of the documentary, I think he repeatedly denies being Satoshi as a humility thing, but it looks like HBO is going to strongly insinuate he grandfathered the concept.
Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
or die
0
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i don't think kamala harris will drop out
Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i don't think kamala harris will drop out
1
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
u guys dont like whales?? :D
0
fenkovich
1 year ago
bomb Polymarket support! post tweets! Ping influensers. We need to bring platform's attention. otherwise whales will win just because of huge bags of tokens for voting
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
b..b..but.. whales are frens :(
0
fenkovich
1 year ago
bomb Polymarket support! post tweets! Ping influensers. We need to bring platform's attention. otherwise whales will win just because of huge bags of tokens for voting
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
for polymarkets credibility, this can not be no
0
goceboce
1 year ago
for polymarkets credibility, this can not be yes
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
I know this is coming from a YES holder but sell your shares!! This market is over. You can still currently liquidate for 0.1c NO. So even if you bought at 1-2c you can a least recover 5-10% of your initial investment. I gain nothing from this I can claim 100c and you can claim 0c NO at 8pm ET.
2
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
for
0
zynyz
1 year ago
lol master-bettor has nothing to do then to sit here all day to make sure he gets $10
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
payout is 8PM ET lol. I'm just here reading NO holder's comment or entertainment.
0
zynyz
1 year ago
lol master-bettor has nothing to do then to sit here all day to make sure he gets $10
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
I corrected your first sentence: Hey, how are you? I'm in touch because I'm new to the ecosystem and would like to learn about coping mechanisms.
0
ANONYMOUS.
1 year ago
Hey, how are you? I'm in touch because I'm new to the ecosystem and would like to learn about a couple mechanisms. I recently partook in the Israel Enters Lebanon market, and I think that a lot of people on both sides want to see another vote, but don't feel confident that the previous votes have been fair. I'm wondering if different types of votes can be called (i.e. different contract parameters) based on the nature of a market. Seeing as this market is quite controversial, and some may argue unknown/subjective, would it not be better to have a 1 vote/person type vote? Does this currently exist for UMA? My understanding is a very small number of wallets cast the vast majority of votes due to high balances of UMA. A number of people also noted the spike in UMA net buy flow, and increase in borrow rates for UMA. I think that the docs don't really address these questions, and would love some clarity from the team. If there is a way to cast another vote and design it in a way where everyone has an equal say there would be a very different outcome (likely P4). The market thereafter would likely price itself according to the news, rather than a couple people's opinions. Therefore more people would be made whole on their bets, and the market would reflect a more truthful reality. Anyways, sorry for the rant, the main question is - is there any way for me to propose another vote like this? If so I am comitted to doing so.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
I am willing to designate my apartment where there will be a team of people who decides the truth so people can win or lose with dignity. if enough people contact me i am willing to do this and PM should definitely use this instead of UMA.
0
Sneikc
1 year ago
I don't understand why it should be like that. Why isn't there one place where people can refer to the truth and win and lose with dignity
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
oh noes.. is tht really true??
1
theodark
1 year ago
Outcome proposed: no 100%
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
:D
2
theodark
1 year ago
:(
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
8PM ET to claim, the vote result is yes
1
YoYoYolo
1 year ago
Guys when final results?
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
100% agree you should buy more NO shares
3
Myh
1 year ago
I think polymarket team should set this two markets manualy to NO Cuz UMA whales are corrupted by their own bets and voting not fair they just wanna win fact A)We have 0 videos with israel army where they are fighting with lebanon army on lebanon territory fact B) We have answer from Hezbollah that they didnt cross the border fact C) Israel still didnt confirm that their troops entered lebanon in sep30 we saw only rockets we didnt saw the shooting battles or battles of tanks or combat vehicles WTF 1 We have 2 almost similar markets 1) where This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter Lebanese territory for combat operations between September 18 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 2) where This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon between September 17, 2024 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Second market resolved to NO but this contradict with first market resolve YES if israel made any combat operation on lebanon territory they control some square meters they cant do any combat operation without control So fair resolve for 2 markets should be "NO" because no confirms from israel side and Hezbollah said NO
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
I'm trying to understand why you people aren't selling. There's a 100.00% consensus (9.9 million shares voted YES), and now we're waiting for Polymarket to resolve this as yes so we can claim our funds. If I were you, I would sell at 0.1¢ and at least get $17 back.
0
m1kko
1 year ago
There's a big difference with "military personnel physically entering a country for combat operations" and "a military offensive intended to establish control"
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
why dont you sell and get $60 back?? serious question.
0
n/a
1 year ago
Between impressed and disgusted all i know is this is not a game i wish to play. Live long and prosper, all.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Thank you to all NO holders for your generous donations. Please be assured the money will be used for my personal needs and put to good use.
3
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
buy more NO
1
BiggieChungus
1 year ago
Only 7% of the vote has come out LMAO, no is insanely underpriced
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
the thing about picking pennies in front of a steamroller is that sometimes there are a lot of pennies and the steamroller is out of gas
0
3potatoes
1 year ago
Steamroller cominggggg
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Don't give up NO holders!!! Buy more NO never give up!
4
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
ly
0
n/a
1 year ago
exact
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
buy more no?
0
Soltan60
1 year ago
Yes Holder you cooked us
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
The winner takes it all (takes it all) The loser has to fall (has to fall) It's simple and it's plain (it's so plain) Why should I complain? (Why complain?)
0
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Just reposting this by another brilliant YES holder: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=92cwKCU8Z5c&ab_channel=AbbaVEVO
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Just reposting this by another brilliant YES holder: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=92cwKCU8Z5c&ab_channel=AbbaVEVO
0
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
just close your eyes and everything will be fine
0
zynyz
1 year ago
Yes whales are revealing screenshots of their votes early during the mandatory hidden period breaking the rules of both Polymarket and UMA, message Polymarket support for them to step in
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
majority voted P2.. but nvm that keep buying more NO!!
0
mokachino
1 year ago
any updates about UMA?
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
thanks for your donation :)
0
bbman1214
1 year ago
I am willing to risk $6 for $500
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Keep buying more NO shares!! its literally free money!!!!
0
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
so you're gna sue them for $35? lol
6
n/a
1 year ago
I am literally ready to go to court against Polymarket if this is counted as YES.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
no holders capitulating: notinventedhere sold 9,907 No at 2.0¢ ($200) 4m ago ishad0vv sold 20,000 No at 2.1¢ ($410) 21m ago 123X sold 800 No at 2.7¢ ($22) 26m ago
0
iwantam4
1 year ago
Am i getting a m4 guys?
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
keep buying NO losers
0
HawkTuah
1 year ago
Am I taking the mrs to McDonald or Michelin star this weekend gents?
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
lmao, this is hilarious. i might delete this but you are so clueless my boy. There are 2 large UMA holders that control the vote. They won't sell. And even if you manage to buy every single $UMA, you still can't win LOL
0
mokachino
1 year ago
Everyone needs to buy some $UMA on ETH, stake it on UMA's site, and commit your vote before 00:00 UTC today (the 2nd of October). Obviously vote P1 (No), if you're unsure still (as many are) vote Unsure. The important thing is voting. If you're on NO and have an average price of $0.03 or less, taking a little out to vote is not such a bad idea. Maybe the price is slightly affected, but us NO holders are in until resolution, price movements don't shake these diamond m-f*ckin' hands boys.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
NO holders, please buy more NO, literally free money!!!!
0
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
lol vote reveal in 9 hours. good luck to all NO holders :D
0
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
he said right afterwards they were small targeted raids.
0
McLarry
1 year ago
Although he's holding “YES” here, I don't want to withhold JustScam's argument for your side, dear No Holders: "Have I lost my mind? What is the evidence they invaded? IDF says no invasion, AP says they didn't see any troops cross the border, and Hezbollah says they didn't invade.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
wrong market, he was talking about the invasion market. And domer was referencing to no large scale troops crossing the border.
0
McLarry
1 year ago
Although he's holding “YES” here, I don't want to withhold JustScam's argument for your side, dear No Holders: "Have I lost my mind? What is the evidence they invaded? IDF says no invasion, AP says they didn't see any troops cross the border, and Hezbollah says they didn't invade.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
we've got domer, whales, scam artists, polymarket veterans, people with deep connections with UMA on our side. No holders on the other hand, are a bunch of whiny shit posting newbies.
0
averagejoe
1 year ago
AENEWS2 is a well known scam artist. Thread: https://x.com/Domahhhh/status/1555575884475662336
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
aenews2 bet his whole PNL on Yes and is now negative on it, what a joke. If one of the other big whales sells be for he does he is done for
3
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
[13] Chao-Fong, Léonie; Belam, Martin; Gecsoyler, Sammy; Yerushalmy, Jonathan (30 September 2024). "Middle East crisis live: Israel launches small raids across border amid reports Lebanese army is pulling back". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 30 September 2024.
0
n/a
1 year ago
Wikipedia listing it as 1st of October. ((Eastern time as was the main argument 24 hours ago))
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
different timezones
2
felipe33
1 year ago
All wiki articles says that israel forces entry into lebanon was on 1 oct
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
lmao you guys are delusional he sold to buy 'Who will speak more at VP Debate' shares look at his profile.
0
zynyz
1 year ago
2024AD sold 4,132 Yes at 98.0¢ ($4,051)
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
can you please fill me at 97.7c?
0
ANONYMOUS.
1 year ago
Have people committed yet? Can't see the UMA resolution market yet.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
1% in a week is still pretty decent return lol
0
zynyz
1 year ago
Enjoy holding your $500k Yes positions for another week for the hopes to gain 1% by rigging the vote after the "Too Early" vote tomorrow
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
you are 100% correct keep buying more no
1
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
1 year ago
Debate in Discord is heated. There is no clear consensus that this market would be a YES..
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
click on the source wikipedia is basing the first paragraph on, then look at the date
1
Hugor21
1 year ago
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Israeli_invasion_of_Lebanon seems like a solid no?
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Can any no holders fill me at 98.6c? Thanks in advance
0
Walz and Vance debate on Oct 1?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
they will?? oh noes
0
0x0F50a317131F6D8b1D8494411baEF3dA11B24861-1727394092550
1 year ago
they will cancel it
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
whales are frens :3
0
zynyz
1 year ago
https://www.uma.rocks/dashboard Are these the 3 guys that decide the final answer? Im guessing 1 of them is a Yes whale?
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Video footage starting to emerge: https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFootage/comments/1ftmplr/idf_raids_into_lebanon/
1
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
wrong market
0
crow
1 year ago
What is the evidence they invaded? IDF says no invasion, AP says they didn't see any troops cross the border, and Hezbollah says they didn't invade.
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Maybe you should learn how the game works before playing. That way you'd make money instead of losing it. People who are buying no are incinerating their cash and donating to the OGs who know how the game works.
1
NotJustKen
1 year ago
No point arguing. 50pence & aenews2 bought $800k worth of shares in Israel enter lebanon market, and UMA token price rose by 12% in last 24hrs . So I guess this is rigged. Whales can buy whatever they want and vote as per thier choice by stocking the UMA tokens. truth doesnt really matters
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enters-lebanon-before-november
0
0x5108b4b675109253717cC0468f643F1A06A1b9C7-1727742221351
1 year ago
Was their any cross border incursion already?
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
The 'Israeli forces enter Lebanon before November?' already resolved to yes. This bet is 100% yes, just need to wait for the dispute timer to hit zero.
0
Master-bettor
1 year ago
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2024/10/1/israel-attacks-lebanon-live-israelis-launch-ground-operation-in-lebanon
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2024/10/1/israel-attacks-lebanon-live-israelis-launch-ground-operation-in-lebanon
0
0x5108b4b675109253717cC0468f643F1A06A1b9C7-1727742221351
1 year ago
Was their any cross border incursion already?
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
'Israeli soldiers have entered Lebanon after the army announced a “limited” ground operation against Hezbollah.'
0
0x5108b4b675109253717cC0468f643F1A06A1b9C7-1727742221351
1 year ago
Was their any cross border incursion already?
VP debate before election?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
probabilities are not binary and you can always size your bets
0
3potatoes
1 year ago
This type of bets so scary because although low odds but if happens big loss
Walz and Vance debate on Oct 1?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
https://polymarket.com/event/vp-debate-before-election
0
Master-bettor
1 year ago
'vp debate before election' is cheaper and safer.
Walz and Vance debate on Oct 1?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
'vp debate before election' is cheaper and safer.
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
P2 - Yes
0
VP debate before election?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
they're both confirmed to fly to nyc, so unless something happens to either of them the debate is definitely going to happen. fair value is around 99.8c
0
dtyuaa
1 year ago
yes
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
wow i said the exact same thing on discord
0
bulborb
1 year ago
Lol interesting song choice
Ding Liren plays in 2024 World Chess Championship?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
please fill me
0
草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
or maybe she posted that to buy up some cheap man shares
0
abdendriel
1 year ago
I feel like only a girl who’s playing with you would post this: https://x.com/gummybear1771/status/1839192607517515816?s=46
Fed Interest Rates: November 2024
Master-bettor
1 year ago
yes we did :)
0
OneMoneyPlz
1 year ago
You got out before me but we did good, huh?
Diddy sex tape released before November?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Dear yes holders, please don't sneak in and film a sex tape at his mansion. thanks
0
Will Biden pardon Trump?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
what's your profit?
1
MsKw2222
1 year ago
Kamala wins and Hunter gets a stern jail sentence, I can see Biden pardoning Trump because he knows that the state cases remain and there will not be anything Trump can do to get out of those - unless SCOTUS gets further involved! Pardoning Trump so that he can pardon Hunter gives him cover and takes away part of FAUx Entertainments talking point about partisan prosecutions!
草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
what is this
2
Caroline Ellison sentenced to prison?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
to jail you go
0
Caroline Ellison sentenced to prison?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i have a tingly feeling in my heart that tells me she'll be in jail
0
Zelensky remains President of Ukraine through September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
this is free money, he's now under the protection of the secret service. And they can't afford another trump incident.
0
Caroline Ellison sentenced to prison?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
the first time i read this i read it as "That's like bargaining with car" lol.
1
jayminho
1 year ago
A lot of people claiming “ohh the prosecutors asked for leniency” lol. Pal. That’s like bargaining a car.. it’s advertised for 10k, you bring down to 8k , seller will get pissed , will not do it, however you can , maybe, deal 9k.. that’s it. Her defense team asking leniency it’s to bring down and try negotiate a 60 months sentence to a 48 months.. that’s it. That’s all. Standard move.
Caroline Ellison sentenced to prison?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
why did u sell all your 'yes' position?
0
Car
1 year ago
To jail you go
Caroline Ellison sentenced to prison?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
🤣
0
Sardinianshepherd
1 year ago
I trust Car
Caroline Ellison sentenced to prison?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i bought yes for fun, but i think it could go either way. she has the best lawyers money can buy and she fully cooperated with the investigation.
0
jayminho
1 year ago
who are this people buying NO ??????? Ellison family members or the court ?? gosh. its nearly impossible she doesn't get at least 6 months.
Fact Check: Is the suspect a U.S. citizen?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
https://apnews.com/article/trump-assassination-attempt-suspect-ukraine-f76ed09f256f6bd21727a10901d92af7
0
Master-bettor
1 year ago
https://en.interfax.com.ua/news/general/1014197.html
Fact Check: Is the suspect a U.S. citizen?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
https://x.com/guillaume_ptak/status/1537723618481905665
0
Master-bettor
1 year ago
https://en.interfax.com.ua/news/general/1014197.html
Fact Check: Is the suspect a U.S. citizen?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
100% US citizen. someone needs to propose.
0
Fact Check: Is the suspect a U.S. citizen?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
https://en.interfax.com.ua/news/general/1014197.html
0
Will Trump drop out of presidential race?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
its impossible for trump to drop out
0
Fact Check: Is the suspect a U.S. citizen?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
:(
0
iamhungry
1 year ago
Wow, I am the top holder
Fact Check: Is the suspect a U.S. citizen?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
not anymore ;)
0
iamhungry
1 year ago
Wow, I am the top holder
What will Trump say during Nevada rally?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
which one
0
Car
1 year ago
free 10% bond
Megaquake in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i'm not a geological expert, but I think 2010-2024 is too short of a time period and could introduce sampling bias. changes in geological processes take decades or centuries and the rate of 1.3 per year is the average over the past 100 years
0
Frozencomet
1 year ago
its so fucking funny to see people saying there will or wont be an earthquake like they have any idea
What will Trump say during Arizona rally?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
NOPE
0
McCartneyStan
1 year ago
to whoever is reviewing this please say yes to cat. copycat is a compound word and sortaaa refers to the animal cat
Megaquake in September?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
it's far more predictable than the number of tweet markets. on average, 1.3 magnitude 8.0 earthquakes occur each year, so the probability of at least one happening in the next 18 days is 6.3% so the market is quite efficient..
2
Frozencomet
1 year ago
its so fucking funny to see people saying there will or wont be an earthquake like they have any idea
Speed Chess Championship Winner 2024
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i suggest keeping your reasoning the same but inverting all your future bets
3
OmenOfLord
1 year ago
Magnus played amazingly, Alireza definitely underperformed I think he had a lot more time troubles than normal and got tilted in the 5-1 and from there it was over. GGS
Will Hikaru or Hans win 3rd place in SCC 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
huh
0
41-17™askDomerWhatImean
1 year ago
What is 94+12, Nazi Finn? 🤣🤣🤣
Will Hikaru or Hans win 3rd place in SCC 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
goooo hikaru GOOOOO!!! do not dissapoint me!!! GOOOOO
1
Speed Chess Championship Winner 2024
Master-bettor
1 year ago
what are you saying?? nieman is definitely underpriced. magnus is no match against hans with his anal beads.
4
addicts
1 year ago
I think firoujza is underpriced based off elo, he is #2 in world in blitz- and niemann overpriced, should be 0-1% (he is #23 blitz)
Speed Chess Championship Winner 2024
Master-bettor
1 year ago
HAN WILL WIN DONT UNDERESTIMATE ANAL BEADS
1
Speed Chess Championship Winner 2024
Master-bettor
1 year ago
ugh why u pumping up hans i was planning to buy more
0
50pacc
1 year ago
hans massively overpriced. hes probably a 20:1 dog in bullet portion vs any of those 3 alone, probably even worse vs magnus/hikaru given their ability to play infinite openings. alireza is underpriced given his recent showings against hikaru and beating magnus in double elim.
Speed Chess Championship Winner 2024
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Can you share the spreadsheet? How many simulations did you do?
1
Tombos21
1 year ago
I ran some simulations with the player's chesscom bullet and blitz ratings. The model uses ELO (with some random fluctuation) to predict winrates, and simulates the tournament structure a few million times. Here are the results, according to my model: Magnus Carlsen: 61-72%, Hans Moke Niemann: 0-3%, Hikaru Nakamura: 24-27%, Alireza Firouzja: 5-12%
Speed Chess Championship Winner 2024
Master-bettor
1 year ago
what about hans?
0
sharky🦈🦈🦈
1 year ago
honestly should be 60% magnus and 40% naka. naka is under valued and its speed chess
Speed Chess Championship Winner 2024
Master-bettor
1 year ago
hahaha
0
wedontknowyou007
1 year ago
Hans trading at above 1 cent is so funny
Speed Chess Championship Winner 2024
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Could be either magnus or hikaru. Magnus won 3 times hikaru won 5 times. No one else ever won the speed tournament since its inception: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chess.com#Speed_Chess_Championship
0
Yanoya4sure
1 year ago
Nakamura is the better speed chess player
Speed Chess Championship Winner 2024
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i always sell at 99.9c or redeem my large positions look at my history. i am rarely wrong unlike you, Mr. -$7.8k profit
2
DECRAPisDUMBandGAY
1 year ago
Masturbator runs bad model, gets 99.99999999% bond. Now masturbators begs you to buy his "bond" YIKES!
Speed Chess Championship Winner 2024
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i'm holding until maturity lol
0
DECRAPisDUMBandGAY
1 year ago
you keep begging for exit liquidity, and I will squeeze you even harder.
Speed Chess Championship Winner 2024
Master-bettor
1 year ago
HANS SMOKEY KNEEMAN "NO" IS FREE MONEY!!! BEADS DONT VIBRATE THAT FAST!!!
2
Speed Chess Championship Winner 2024
Master-bettor
1 year ago
https://wismuth.com/elo/calculator.html#rating1=2888&best_of=23&rating2=2611
2
DECRAPisDUMBandGAY
1 year ago
can't believe I got a graduate degree in mathematics just to get out-mathed with fake numbers by a masturbator
Speed Chess Championship Winner 2024
Master-bettor
1 year ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B7AQgaPddl8
0
DECRAPisDUMBandGAY
1 year ago
can't believe I got a graduate degree in mathematics just to get out-mathed with fake numbers by a masturbator
Speed Chess Championship Winner 2024
Master-bettor
1 year ago
:)
0
DECRAPisDUMBandGAY
1 year ago
can't believe I got a graduate degree in mathematics just to get out-mathed with fake numbers by a masturbator
Speed Chess Championship Winner 2024
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Hans will be playing Magnus next. There is a 0.0000124% chance he will win magnus in best-of-23-games format. After he beats Magnus, he'll have to win against Hikaru or Alireza (both are 2870+ elo). He has a 0.0000618% chance of winning that. So its never happening even if Magnus resigns because he does not want to play hans.
3
DECRAPisDUMBandGAY
1 year ago
I am busy with irl stuff the next several hours, but I threw in a 6 cent order for you. HANS HANS HANS! eod expiry, new york time
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Tesla is free money. There's no way Trump will do an interview with Elon Musk and not mention Tesla at least once.
8
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
https://x.com/DonaldJTrumpJr/status/1821164331020517596
0
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Yes at 30c is extremely underpriced.
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
https://x.com/EricTrump/status/1820906993802211751
0
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Yes at 30c is extremely underpriced.
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Quote from DonaldJTrumpJr "We’re about to shake up the crypto worldwith something HUGE. Decentralized finance is the future—don’t get left behind. #Crypto #DeFi #BeDeFiant"
0
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Yes at 30c is extremely underpriced.
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Quote from Eric Trump on twitter "I have truly fallen in love with Crypto / DeFi. Stay tuned for a big announcement… @Trump @realDonaldTrump @DonaldJTrumpJr"
0
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Yes at 30c is extremely underpriced.
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Yes at 30c is extremely underpriced.
1
Fed Interest Rates: November 2024
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Fed Interest Rates: November 2024? YES
1
Will Kamala Harris drop out in August?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i dont think kamala will drop out in August
1
Democratic VP nominee?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
I would like to thank him. I made $2 because of him. I would not have bought the 99.9c YES shares in time if it wasn't disputed
6
Paganheat
1 year ago
Repeating a prior comment - which loser disputed this and wasted their $750?
Will Kamala Harris drop out in August?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
people who think kamala will drop out in august
4
Astoria
1 year ago
who is buying yes bruh
Democratic Nominee 2024
Master-bettor
1 year ago
test
0
Democratic Nominee 2024
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i think kamala will be democratic nominee
0
Jamie Dimon Democratic Presidential Nominee?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Jamie Dimon
0
Master-bettor
1 year ago
I dont think Jamie Oliver will be president
Jamie Dimon Democratic Presidential Nominee?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
I dont think Jamie Oliver will be president
0
800m Freestyle Winner (W)
Master-bettor
1 year ago
she did win
0
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Katie is probably gna win
800m Freestyle Winner (W)
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Katie is probably gna win
0
Musk x Maduro fight scheduled by Aug 9?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
I want to lose and see this happen
9
·
Liked by Donkov, Guacanarys and 7 others
NVIDIA largest company in July?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
why is this not resolved
3
Democratic Nominee 2024
Master-bettor
1 year ago
I bought yes because I don't think she will win
0
offset
1 year ago
I bought 'NO' for Kamala, because I believe in American racism.
Democratic Nominee 2024
Master-bettor
1 year ago
kamala is free money
0
PressC
1 year ago
This big mike guy needs to be a man and push the odds to 4 cents.
Kamala president by Friday?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i think he misclicked 110k shares no
0
Ferguson,Turd
1 year ago
If I was a NO holder i would be shaking in fear knowing that Kamala could literally become preisdent at any second right now
Biden confirmed to have Parkison's by July 31?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
1. The annual incidence rate for PD in the relevant age group is approximately 0.6147% (or 0.006147 in probability terms). Source: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2676726/ 2. Probability of not getting PD is 1−0.006147=0.993853 3. The probability of not developing PD over 52 weeks (roughly one year) should equal the annual probability of not developing PD: let p = weekly probability of getting PD (1−p)^52=0.993853 Thus, the weekly probability of developing PD is approximately 0.000121 or 0.0121%. So the market is currently pricing President Biden as being 86,200% more likely to get PD than the average 81 year old. Makes sense.
0
Was Biden campaign call fake?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
SELL YOUR SHARES NOW!!! before you lose more money you're welcome
0
0x3DBeB453BD987C5bD1547220e02f9192F162374e-1721678738672
1 year ago
🤷🏻♂️
Biden dropout letter published without consent?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
https://polymarket.com/event/was-biden-campaign-call-fake/was-biden-campaign-call-fake?tid=1721882310232
0
Master-bettor
1 year ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W0etSyKFS0M&ab_channel=ABCNews
Was Biden campaign call fake?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
TLDR: The recent viral video claiming that President Joe Biden's call to a campaign event for Vice President Kamala Harris was generated using AI voice cloning technology is false. An analysis by DW Fact Check using ElevenLabs and Truemedia has confirmed the audio was not generated by artificial intelligence. The video is a deliberate attempt to mislead people.
0
Master-bettor
1 year ago
https://www.dw.com/en/fact-check-viral-video-claims-biden-harris-call-made-by-ai/a-69753771#:~:text=Conclusion%3A%20The%20recent%20viral%20video,not%20generated%20by%20artificial%20intelligence.
Was Biden campaign call fake?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
https://www.dw.com/en/fact-check-viral-video-claims-biden-harris-call-made-by-ai/a-69753771#:~:text=Conclusion%3A%20The%20recent%20viral%20video,not%20generated%20by%20artificial%20intelligence.
0
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i dont think biden's call is fake
Biden dropout letter published without consent?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
I dont think Biden dropout letter published without consent.
0
Was Biden campaign call fake?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i dont think biden's call is fake
0
Biden confirmed to have Parkison's by July 31?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i dont think Biden will have Parkison's by July 31
0
Kamala president by Friday?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i dont think kamala harris will be president by friday
0
Was Biden campaign call fake?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
like him i also misclicked and bought no instead of yes
1
0x6EeE5B8B79C5dbeB3ca683228B2Dd459b739989e-1721465493620
1 year ago
it's fake
Was Biden campaign call fake?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i am with car, although i have nowhere near his capital. why don't you buy some yes if you think its fake
0
0x6EeE5B8B79C5dbeB3ca683228B2Dd459b739989e-1721465493620
1 year ago
it's fake
Biden seen in public today?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
then this is an easy yes lets lure him out with an ice cream truck
0
moviesera92
1 year ago
Yes
Biden seen in public today?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
what if he walks out to buy ice cream will that count as yes
0
Russian nuke in space in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i dont think russia will put a nuke in space
1
Will Biden pardon SBF?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
This also doubles as a free option on his resignation.
1
0xDa834E7A010D16069a6Dc034342d062D78475AC7-1720184761467
1 year ago
Just putting this here preemptively, "If it becomes impossible for Joseph Biden issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No"."
Biden dropout letter published without consent?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
This is literally free money!! Would love to her YES's perspective.
1
Master-bettor
1 year ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W0etSyKFS0M&ab_channel=ABCNews
Biden dropout letter published without consent?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Biden calls into Vice President Harris' campaign event and says ""I know yesterday's news was surprising, and it was hard for you to hear, but it was the right thing to do."
1
Master-bettor
1 year ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W0etSyKFS0M&ab_channel=ABCNews
Biden dropout letter published without consent?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W0etSyKFS0M&ab_channel=ABCNews
0
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
delusional
0
HsB34sgg
1 year ago
Should Biden resign, making Harris President now, it would be the greatest thing the Democrats could do to solidify the black vote in perpetuity!
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
he dropped out he did not resign
0
ChosenPhoenix
1 year ago
https://x.com/JoeBiden/status/1815080881981190320
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
read the last part of his letter, he aint resigning.
0
db123
1 year ago
He is out!!!! Legit!
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
biden aint resigning
2
Master-bettor
1 year ago
"It has been the greatest honor of my life to serve as your President," Biden said in a written statement posted to social media. "And while it has been my intention to seek reelection, I believe it is in the best interest of my party and the country for me to stand down and to ***focus solely on fulfilling my duties as President for the remainder of my term.***"
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
"It has been the greatest honor of my life to serve as your President," Biden said in a written statement posted to social media. "And while it has been my intention to seek reelection, I believe it is in the best interest of my party and the country for me to stand down and to ***focus solely on fulfilling my duties as President for the remainder of my term.***"
1
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
resident brandon is still unwilling to drop out, no way he's resigning from presidency. so until further news this is going to stay above 93-94c NO anything else is just speculation.
0
Mrether
1 year ago
This is mispriced. He will drop out next week, and with that, there will be talk of whether he should resign. This speculation will push this to at least 25%, an easy 5x, even if he doesn't end up resigning.
Biden announcement on future today?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
what the hell is this even
1
Bitcoin above $58,000 on July 19?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
someone please buy my yes it's free money i need to quickly exit
0
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
so why did u buy yes
6
WiseOne
1 year ago
He's got this. Biden remains confident that he'll stay in the race.
Biden confirmed to have Parkison's by July 31?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
"The results of this year's exam were detailed in my February 28th letter: 'An extremely detailed neurologic exam was again reassuring in that there were no findings which would be consistent with any cerebellar or other central neurological disorder, such as stroke, multiple sclerosis, Parkinson's, or ascending lateral sclerosis,'"
0
Will Biden pardon SBF?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i'm okay with risk-free 14.6% irr
0
VibesGreaterRules
1 year ago
Better safe bets in other markets... This could take a very long time to resolve (Jan 2025) unless Biden pardons SBF.
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
i dont think china will invade taiwan in 2024
0
Will Biden finish his term?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
Give me a reason why Biden would voluntarily resign. He may be pressured to drop out of the race but no ones telling him to resign lol. The only reason I can think of is either illness or death, which is definitely not 35% according to an actuarial table.
1
n/a
1 year ago
Kamala's only chance of winning is if she was experience as the president. Plus it would give her time to buy votes and pass bold new laws. Biden is cooked. If he drops out and kamala runs this is FREE.
Will Biden finish his term?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
now its -18k rip
0
41-17™askDomerWhatImean
1 year ago
Was -15k before, weird $5 balanced faggot
Martin Shkreli jail in 2024?
Master-bettor
1 year ago
TO JAIL(s) He Is not going. Have F a I T H in the shREKRLI
1