#8
Rank
893
Comments
495
Likes Received
1618
Likes Given
KSI's "Thick Of It" debuts on Billboard hot 100?
Apsalar
15 hours ago
New.Jeans and fhantombets as the top holders for NO... good luck, babe!
1
Which state will Trump win by the largest margin?
Apsalar
16 hours ago
liberal Tim Pool be like: there is a high probability that every one of these brackets resolves to NO
1
Will Speed break the 24h backflip world record?
Apsalar
1 day ago
who put up a 100k share limit order. chill
1
Will Speed break the 24h backflip world record?
Apsalar
1 day ago
"what counts as a backflip" - the greatest evidence rationale thread in the history of uma, locked by Mide after 12,239 pages of heated debate,
7
Will Speed break the 24h backflip world record?
Apsalar
1 day ago
ohhhhhh
0
XiJinPing
1 day ago
he only needs to be 25% as good
Will Speed break the 24h backflip world record?
Apsalar
1 day ago
i know next to nothing about ishowspeed, but what are the odds that a popular youtuber happens to be one of the greatest backflippers of all time.
8
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
Apsalar
1 day ago
can't believe my strategy of copy trading people who seem like insiders failed me
4
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
Apsalar
2 days ago
Walz can still win if Didier Truchot has the courage.
5
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Apsalar
3 days ago
The Lebanese people are singing in the streets now that it has been confirmed that they weren't invaded last month.
25
·
Liked by n/a, Justifax and 23 others
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
Apsalar
3 days ago
smart man
3
ArtVandalay
4 days ago
Ipsos have released a post debate poll for every single debate going back to the year 2000. Just want to lay that out.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
Apsalar
5 days ago
if you think it's possible for him to tie in the poll, then you have to think it's possible for him to win the poll, or you just don't know how polling/probability works.
6
BenCM
5 days ago
Walz will not win but he might draw in which case it's 50/50. That's the value proposition for buying Walz right now. And it's not silly at 30 cents, it probably is at 40 cents.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
Apsalar
1 week ago
as a great man once, I'm just here clicking buttons and having fun!
1
BoeJiden420
1 week ago
Im always so intrigued with your profile. So much money bet. So diverse. Its hard to believe that you are so active. Moving small and large amounts of money. I mean at first i thought you didnt feel after you put 20k on a lions game or something. Make sure you write a book or something. Id read it.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
Apsalar
1 week ago
Buying Walz solely because many of the people buying Vance seem to be doing so for very dumb reasons
17
·
Liked by n/a, n/a and 15 others
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
Apsalar
1 week ago
I do not think that CNN is the most liberal news network in the world
0
n/a
1 week ago
CNN, the most liberal news network in the world is bashing Walz and siding with Vance.
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
Apsalar
1 week ago
who among us isn't friends with a school shooter
6
What will Tim Walz say during the VP Debate?
Apsalar
1 week ago
so true! because even if he doesn't say teacher, uma can decide that he *meant* to say teacher!
1
flamingfish
1 week ago
Teacher is free.... BINK
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
Apsalar
1 week ago
dispute it cowards
4
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
Apsalar
1 week ago
is this fucker purposefully avoiding the word "border"
4
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
Apsalar
1 week ago
Abdul gonna outmention border
1
What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?
Apsalar
1 week ago
rsbn is always 2 dumb bitches telling each other “exactlyyyyy”
6
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Apsalar
1 week ago
polymarket is trying to save you money
0
0x2A4cd726120A0d210ebE980328268163A6CB54E7-1720978918858
1 week ago
Why didn't my new shares show up in my position after I bought more no?
Airdrops by September 30?
Apsalar
1 week ago
axios is also always right. hence the paradox.
2
n/a
1 week ago
yatsen is always right
Airdrops by September 30?
Apsalar
1 week ago
imagine betting against YatSen. shouldn't be me
6
Airdrops by September 30?
Apsalar
1 week ago
you have turned this into something of a paradox
1
YatSen
1 week ago
free money, but not much liquidity.
Airdrops by September 30?
Apsalar
1 week ago
imagine betting against Axios. couldn't be me
5
Airdrops by September 30?
Apsalar
1 week ago
holy shit it's the time traveler himself! it's so over for YES bros
5
Axios
1 week ago
Hey guys, check this out. "On chain" transactions from 100 DAYS AGO. Why didn't this resolve earlier? Because it wasn't live for trading or swapping. Or unlocked. https://etherscan.io/txs?a=0xec53bf9167f50cdeb3ae105f56099aaab9061f83&p=2000
Airdrops by September 30?
Apsalar
1 week ago
i believe "on-chain stuff" occuring happened in a previous market and in that case it was ignored which would seem to set precedent for NO. does anyone know which market i'm thinking about (maybe i'm misremembering)
1
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Apsalar
1 week ago
Whew
1
Ravens vs. Bills
Apsalar
1 week ago
feels nice to be on same side as the person who knows better than vegas!
0
trumplover
1 week ago
the Bils are such easy money on this I almost feel bad taking it
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Apsalar
1 week ago
even if "they" do call it an invasion, it not meeting the rule's definition would in face be an issue
0
Justifax
1 week ago
Not to rain on anyone's party, but if they greenlit the invasion it could start tomorrow. They are all calling it invasion, so that part won't be an issue.
Will Nate Silver correctly call the Presidential Election?
Apsalar
1 week ago
No
0
Tkromm
2 weeks ago
Can we say that this market is the equivalent of "What will be the chance of the leading candidate in Silver's model just before the election"?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Apsalar
1 week ago
then why the fuck aren't you selling your shares
3
FamilyCapital
1 week ago
I think there is a real chance that they gonna start it in the next 24 hours. There were too many incidents made by Israel, to not act after them. I'm NO holder with 80c per shares, even so, I believe the probability is like 30 to 70.
Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?
Apsalar
1 week ago
representatives only count if they are the one to release an “official announcement” by the campaign.
0
Apsalar
1 week ago
something someone other than Kamala says in an interview is not an official campaign announcement
Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?
Apsalar
1 week ago
something someone other than Kamala says in an interview is not an official campaign announcement
0
rozi
1 week ago
https://x.com/AugustinBrian3/status/1838759155685019649 The co-chair of her campaign publicly says that it's part of campaign's proposals to have the tax on unrealized capital gains. This is pretty official to me, and the rules allow for statements from her representatives.
First Pump.fun coin to 1b?
Apsalar
2 weeks ago
they even kept their ambiguous rules!
1
First Pump.fun coin to 1b?
Apsalar
2 weeks ago
aw shit here we go again
0
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Apsalar
2 weeks ago
the nothing ever happens squad has a great record on this stuff
1
Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?
Apsalar
2 weeks ago
fuck it. copy trading JustKen
7
Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?
Apsalar
2 weeks ago
neither yatsen nor newjeans have positions in this market so not sure who you're talking about
1
Car
2 weeks ago
that means you are also fading 50pence. how can you fade the best trader on the world?!
Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?
Apsalar
2 weeks ago
fuck it. fading car
1
Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?
Apsalar
2 weeks ago
sounds like you have found a good arbitrage oppurtunity! You should buy this up and buy Georgia down until their prices meet!
1
TrumpFlipsNY2
2 weeks ago
if kamala wins Georgia shes wins the rest easily cause Georgia is the most right leaning swing state, so basically whatever the odds for Georgia is thats the odds she wins all the swing states.
Nebraska Senate Election Winner
Apsalar
2 weeks ago
one of the least popular senators in America!
1
icecoldeddie
2 weeks ago
This race could get very interesting these next few weeks. People in and around Omaha absolutely dispise Fischer.
Sun vs. Fever Series Winner
Apsalar
2 weeks ago
or not
1
Apsalar
2 weeks ago
oh we be feasting on reese's pieces tonight!
Sun vs. Fever Series Winner
Apsalar
2 weeks ago
oh we be feasting on reese's pieces tonight!
0
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
Apsalar
2 weeks ago
damn i guess i was thinking too small lol
0
rozi
2 weeks ago
He said it 60x on Aug 22 during a speech in Arizona on border security.
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
Apsalar
2 weeks ago
I would max "Other GOP" in that case
1
minji
2 weeks ago
If he says trans this time, max Haley R-Nom because not even secret service is stopping me
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
Apsalar
2 weeks ago
there's a part of me that truly believes that if we made a border 50+ bracket for a rally, Trump would still find a way to hit it
2
Balance of Power: 2024 Election
Apsalar
2 weeks ago
cope
0
Shinaj2024
2 weeks ago
Republicans will win all chambers of congress. Harris’s vibes campaign is coming to a halt.
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
Apsalar
2 weeks ago
first time?
3
Sit
2 weeks ago
why is the "Trans" market like that lmao?
What will Trump say during Georgia speech?
Apsalar
2 weeks ago
shut the fuck up shut the fuck up shut the fuck up
3
Balance of Power: 2024 Election
Apsalar
2 weeks ago
happy now?
0
timanfayagambler
2 weeks ago
RRD is underpriced
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
Apsalar
2 weeks ago
fuck
0
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
Apsalar
2 weeks ago
did trans bros get too cocky?
1
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
Apsalar
2 weeks ago
death, taxes, and border border border border border border border border border border border border border border border border border border border border border border border border border
1
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
Apsalar
2 weeks ago
couch!
2
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
Apsalar
2 weeks ago
you tell me
1
J.D.K
2 weeks ago
Why not bet on border 15+ its free money hehe
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?
Apsalar
2 weeks ago
bet against whatever the rsbn bozos think he will say
4
NY-17 election: Jones (D) vs. Lawler (R)
Apsalar
2 weeks ago
how are ny dems this bad lol
0
NFL Sunday
Apsalar
2 weeks ago
ginger supremacy
1
semi
2 weeks ago
ah but at least you're a fellow panthers chad
NFL Sunday
Apsalar
2 weeks ago
well you win some and you lose some. and then lose some more. and then lose some more. and then lose some more. and then
5
Kamala positive favorability by Friday?
Apsalar
2 weeks ago
kamalover
0
Kamala positive favorability by Friday?
Apsalar
2 weeks ago
donate your brain for science
3
MeNoDatNutReelMuni
2 weeks ago
What about 98.4? Annualized that’s a pretty good return
Kamala positive favorability by Friday?
Apsalar
2 weeks ago
i would love to get into the mind of the people buying thousands of shares at 99.3 cents
4
Kamala positive favorability by Friday?
Apsalar
3 weeks ago
unfortunately i am no longer a NO holder but i'll take the W
3
AugustoPinochet73
3 weeks ago
Clarification is for NO, congrats Apsalar and NO holders
Kamala positive favorability by Friday?
Apsalar
3 weeks ago
a couple days. once the process starts there is a 24 hour period where people vote followed by another 24 hour period where people reveal their votes
2
n/a
3 weeks ago
How long do disputes usually take to resolve?
Kamala positive favorability by Friday?
Apsalar
3 weeks ago
yeah
2
AugustoPinochet73
3 weeks ago
Nice, you did that?
Kamala positive favorability by Friday?
Apsalar
3 weeks ago
STOP THE STEAL
3
Kamala positive favorability by Friday?
Apsalar
3 weeks ago
not on my watch!
0
AugustoPinochet73
3 weeks ago
LOL he is gonna steal it, gg
What did Mark Robinson do?
Apsalar
3 weeks ago
there is no need to cover whatever is not listed bc this market isn't negrisk
0
n/a
3 weeks ago
We need "Other"
What did Mark Robinson do?
Apsalar
3 weeks ago
this market isn't negrisk
0
n/a
3 weeks ago
We need "Other"
Will Mark Robinson drop out in September?
Apsalar
3 weeks ago
Martin Luther King Jr on steroids
2
What will Trump say during New York rally?
Apsalar
3 weeks ago
oh yeah he's definitely fucking loomer
3
What will Trump say during New York rally?
Apsalar
3 weeks ago
weak brackets imo. should have more nyc related ones
1
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
Apsalar
3 weeks ago
when you order Big Gretch on wish.com
0
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
Apsalar
3 weeks ago
"what is the biggest threat to me staying employed at ford?" "iran dropping a nuke on your factory"
13
·
Liked by AustinK, n/a and 11 others
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
Apsalar
3 weeks ago
when does the town hall start?
0
What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?
Apsalar
3 weeks ago
hollup that's not Big Gretch
0
Will Trump do a podcast with Hawk Tuah Girl?
Apsalar
3 weeks ago
do with this information as you will https://x.com/Nero/status/1835044440014037292
1
What will Trump say during X space?
Apsalar
3 weeks ago
read the rules, people! read the rules!
1
What will Trump say during X space?
Apsalar
3 weeks ago
ELON!
0
What will Trump say during X space?
Apsalar
3 weeks ago
this interviewer fucking sucks
2
What will Trump say during X space?
Apsalar
3 weeks ago
if you can't imagine it happening then why are you holding YES in everything else, and why not buy more NO?
7
Car
3 weeks ago
Bought NO incase this gets cancelled. Cant imagine he wants to talk to some retards about crypto after his 2nd assassination attempt
Lead Actress for a Limited Series - Emmys
Apsalar
3 weeks ago
Juno Temple was snubbed!
0
What will Trump say during Nevada rally?
Apsalar
3 weeks ago
bruh did not just compare his ghostwriter's book to the presidential medal of freedom
3
What will Trump say during Nevada rally?
Apsalar
3 weeks ago
bro keeping mention count himself at kamala rallies 🤣
2
Will there be another debate?
Apsalar
3 weeks ago
no
2
n/a
3 weeks ago
would this still count if they do one despite him not showing up, like ossoff next to an empty podium back in 2020?
Scorigami in NFL Week 2?
Apsalar
3 weeks ago
i'm still mad about last week igami
3
NFL Thursday
Apsalar
3 weeks ago
You either die a hero or live long enough to see yourself become the villain...
0
What will Trump say during Arizona rally?
Apsalar
3 weeks ago
my only worry is that escelate is only pretending to be dumb so he can get more cheap fraud shares before revealing when Trump actually said it.
0
What will Trump say during Arizona rally?
Apsalar
3 weeks ago
don't let border border border distract you from the fact that that's an f-tier nickname
0
What will Trump say during Arizona rally?
Apsalar
3 weeks ago
border bros are EATING
3
What will Trump say during Arizona rally?
Apsalar
3 weeks ago
does he not know the word "moderator"?? what the fuck
2
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
Apsalar
0 months ago
you played me very well indeed
0
TheGuru
0 months ago
Well played sir
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
Apsalar
0 months ago
this one was more fun than the last one! see everyone next week!
2
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
Apsalar
0 months ago
my sources are telling me "too early to call". would have preferred a "too close to call", but i'll take it.
0
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
Apsalar
0 months ago
hqhhahhahhaa
0
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
Apsalar
0 months ago
i'm doing my part!
5
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
Apsalar
0 months ago
good advice
0
Wapoc
0 months ago
If top holders of Kamala were smart they would sell of their position now, switch to Trump, then dump their Kamala Yes / Trump No on the main market
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
Apsalar
0 months ago
not fud. there's just way too much time left for market to be this confident.
2
ArtVandalay
0 months ago
FUD
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
Apsalar
0 months ago
kamala seems way overvalued now tbh. time to switch sides.
8
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
Apsalar
0 months ago
omg i held trump above kamala for a full minute i feel so powerful
3
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
Apsalar
0 months ago
bad guess
0
Rainiak
0 months ago
about 15-3 if I had to guess
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
Apsalar
0 months ago
free money is a banned term in this house
0
Gauth
0 months ago
Yes continue buying kamala, free money
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
Apsalar
0 months ago
this isn't a sprint. it's a marathon.
3
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
Apsalar
0 months ago
go for it lol
6
FishSlut
0 months ago
You could literally just arbitrage this with predictit and push kamala up risk free
Will Joe Biden endorse Donald Trump?
Apsalar
0 months ago
ez money
5
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
Apsalar
0 months ago
if your nuke couldn't even bring her down a decimal point, you may be in trouble
4
ArtVandalay
0 months ago
Nuke
'Joker: Folie à Deux' Opening Weekend Box Office
Apsalar
0 months ago
what are these brackets? dumfuq decap moment?
3
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
Apsalar
0 months ago
I think I've seen this film before and I didn't like the ending
1
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
Apsalar
0 months ago
That in two hours Tim Walz is going to drop out and be replaced by Josh Shaprio, sealing Pennsylvania and thus the elction.
0
Caligulas.dog
0 months ago
What does @Wanyewest69 know that others don't? He's been constantly upping his position
Will Trump say a slur during the debate?
Apsalar
0 months ago
I know. That's why I used it as an example of a good clarification, in contrast with the second clarification.
0
BlueSky123
0 months ago
They literally already clarified that illegals would not count before this clarification...
Will Trump say a slur during the debate?
Apsalar
0 months ago
The new clarification is the worst kind of clarification because it's not a clarification at all. I have no clue what people think the slur was, but if there was a specific word in contention (such as illegals), then it would at least make sense to clarify whether the rules include that word. Instead they're just telling us how the market should resolve.
2
Will Taylor Swift endorse Kamala Harris?
Apsalar
0 months ago
owned their asses
0
SWIFTTT
1 month ago
every swiftie knows that she will 100% endorse kamala lol, just like she endorsed Biden. this is free money from delusional republicans lol
NFL Monday
Apsalar
1 month ago
he said aaron rodgers is super cool and handsome!
1
infinitiphantom
1 month ago
What he say
NFL Monday
Apsalar
1 month ago
my heart's racing at a million miles an hour until i get rid of the majority of thse shares lol
1
BoeJiden420
1 month ago
YOOOO you again! You really do piss money XD does your heart even race im generally interested?
NFL Monday
Apsalar
1 month ago
wtf i love joe rogan now
1
NFL Monday
Apsalar
1 month ago
they were nice for buying
0
Foolish
1 month ago
These odds suck now that McCaffrey is out.
NFL Monday
Apsalar
1 month ago
tell me about it!
0
Foolish
1 month ago
These odds suck now that McCaffrey is out.
Scorigami in NFL Week 1?
Apsalar
1 month ago
indeed... a small price to pay!
0
nook
1 month ago
You're the reason Alireza lost, Asspiler
Jordan Love placed on IR?
Apsalar
1 month ago
him being out three games would not be sufficient for a YES resolution
1
schottchris
1 month ago
he will be out 3 games at least i reckon. good enough for this to hit YES
NFL Sunday
Apsalar
1 month ago
fun game! or so i am told
1
NFL Sunday
Apsalar
1 month ago
not looking bad!
1
NFL Sunday
Apsalar
1 month ago
i don't make that money betting on sports i can tell you that much
1
BoeJiden420
1 month ago
You tell me you make 72k per month i quit my job and i work for you
NFL Sunday
Apsalar
1 month ago
not looking good!
0
Scorigami in NFL Week 1?
Apsalar
1 month ago
not gonna happenigami
3
Jordan Love placed on IR?
Apsalar
1 month ago
i think you should read the rules again
1
schottchris
1 month ago
he will be out 3 games at least i reckon. good enough for this to hit YES
'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' Opening Weekend Box Office
Apsalar
1 month ago
is that what we're going to pretend is happening?
2
TimeTraveler
1 month ago
Someone is definitely not spoofing up the order books to offload their bags.
'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' Opening Weekend Box Office
Apsalar
1 month ago
say it a third time. i dare you.
0
Speed Chess Championship Winner 2024
Apsalar
1 month ago
i've seen your elo rating! you'll embarrass me
1
41-17™askDomerWhatImean
1 month ago
Play me on lichess asspiler
Speed Chess Championship Winner 2024
Apsalar
1 month ago
a disappointing performance by the Great GM Hikaru
1
Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?
Apsalar
1 month ago
can't even complain. worth the price of admission.
2
50-Pence
1 month ago
Are you not entertained?
NFL Kickoff: Chiefs vs. Ravens
Apsalar
1 month ago
i have seen her once
0
Wapoc
1 month ago
0 i think
NFL Kickoff: Chiefs vs. Ravens
Apsalar
1 month ago
anyone know how many times taylor has been shown so far?
0
Scorigami in NFL Week 1?
Apsalar
1 month ago
discord or twitter work for me
0
Foreseeable.
1 month ago
Any way to add you? not expaining statistics in the comments 🥲😁
Scorigami in NFL Week 1?
Apsalar
1 month ago
what's the correct calculation in your opinion? (i don't think there's an objective answer)
0
Foreseeable.
1 month ago
Could you stop being a smartass and let the math nerds get their money? (Your calculation is false, btw 🧮)
Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?
Apsalar
1 month ago
where's the leak?
4
jumbojim
1 month ago
Leak says its Saturday... she just did an Interview with a comedian. This markets a joke...
Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?
Apsalar
1 month ago
you tell em!
0
TheGuru
1 month ago
It doesn't matter where Kamala is today, just on Friday
What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?
Apsalar
1 month ago
DonaldGloverwalkingintoaroomonfirewithpizza.gif
2
What will Trump say during Hannity town hall?
Apsalar
1 month ago
i love pre recorded markets
4
Nevada Senate Election Winner
Apsalar
1 month ago
I almost feel bad for Sam Brown.
0
Bachelorette Winner?
Apsalar
1 month ago
if only Jen could say the same 💔
1
figman
1 month ago
I REGRET NOTHING
Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?
Apsalar
1 month ago
no. fear is a maga tactic. i'm not trying to scare Trump holders into selling. I'm trying to inspire Kamala people to buy!
4
HaterzLoserz
1 month ago
trying to scare people away lol
Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?
Apsalar
1 month ago
i do not think buying Kamala shares for 47 cents is a cost. I think it's a bargain.
2
n/a
1 month ago
Manipulating the price for a minute is one thing. But manipulating it for 3 prespecified hours is an entirely different ball game. You have to keep on buying Kamala shares. That will cost miles above any profit anyone can make here.
Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?
Apsalar
1 month ago
I'm not saying that I'd be able to bring her shares up myself, but I'll certainly be lending a hand.
1
Apsalar
1 month ago
"it's not worth it for anyone to buy up Kamala Pres shares just to win this market" assumes that Kamala is being fairly valued right now. If you think Kamala is actually the favorite, buying her here and there just kills two birds with one stone.
Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?
Apsalar
1 month ago
"it's not worth it for anyone to buy up Kamala Pres shares just to win this market" assumes that Kamala is being fairly valued right now. If you think Kamala is actually the favorite, buying her here and there just kills two birds with one stone.
5
Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?
Apsalar
1 month ago
samesies!
2
n/a
1 month ago
Can't wait to see this one get manipulated!
Will Lana Del Rey dump her boyfriend before October?
Apsalar
1 month ago
another day. another polyscam clarification.
2
X banned in Brazil by Friday?
Apsalar
1 month ago
I have information that will lead to the arrest of @truthteller
1
X banned in Brazil by Friday?
Apsalar
1 month ago
Hell Yeah brother, cheers from Iraq
1
coconutPilled
1 month ago
brazil IP still posting on twitter just fine 😎
X banned in Brazil by Friday?
Apsalar
1 month ago
fact that other NO buyers don't understand the concept of a time zone is making me a bit more nervous about my position lol
3
X banned in Brazil by Friday?
Apsalar
1 month ago
i know
0
Slaylorswift
1 month ago
lol you’re cooked
X banned in Brazil by Friday?
Apsalar
1 month ago
time did not pass
0
n/a
1 month ago
No ban for x and time pass i wonder why do not close the market
What will Walz say during CNN interview?
Apsalar
1 month ago
as someone who lost quite a bit of money betting on NO, I can promise you that I wasn't trying to gaslight you. I listened to the clip and felt like you guys were trying to gaslight me because I did not hear "teacher" at all, but we should just accept that we heard it differently and I have to accept that my version is in the minority.
8
What will Walz say during CNN interview?
Apsalar
1 month ago
no comment
0
WindWalk2
1 month ago
If it does get disputed, how long will it take to fully resolve?
What will Walz say during CNN interview?
Apsalar
1 month ago
this is polymarket's black and blue dress. i'm starting to worry that i might be one of those white and gold morons
4
What will Walz say during CNN interview?
Apsalar
1 month ago
2 days ish
0
WindWalk2
1 month ago
If it does get disputed, how long will it take to fully resolve?
What will Walz say during CNN interview?
Apsalar
1 month ago
if someone proposes it, trust me it will get disputed. would just propose NO myself, but unfortunately it's a P4 right now
0
BlueSky123
1 month ago
Dispute it then, fuckwad.
What will Walz say during CNN interview?
Apsalar
1 month ago
thankfully nobody from the scam squad is on the other side, so we should be safe. he did not say "teacher" and no amount of gaslighting can change that fact.
1
TheWolfOfPolymarket
1 month ago
He skipped over the entire word. Nobody got it from the live interview which is the resolution source. Another scam is about to go down
What will Walz say during CNN interview?
Apsalar
1 month ago
don't believe your lying ears! this is orwellian!
1
What will Walz say during CNN interview?
Apsalar
1 month ago
video is clear. he did not articulate the word "teacher". he meant to say it, but that doesn't matter.
1
What will Trump say during Wisconsin town hall?
Apsalar
1 month ago
SHES A WITCH
0
Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?
Apsalar
1 month ago
you can never be too meta
1
0xE42c9d2ef
1 month ago
Can we also get a market for this one or is that too meta?
Highest grossing movie in 2024?
Apsalar
1 month ago
I don't think it's Dune
3
Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?
Apsalar
1 month ago
this is my new favorite type of market
6
Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?
Apsalar
1 month ago
what would the dispute be? there is going to be a mathematical fact of the matter. and this makes it far more difficult to manipulate
0
coolguy69
1 month ago
I'm staying out of this one just cuz I know it'll go to dispute
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2024?
Apsalar
1 month ago
why don't you propose it then?
0
JPVR
1 month ago
Can any one explain what argument anyone would have to dispute de resolution of 1 launch as NO? Would love to hear good arguments
Trump gets more black voters in 2024?
Apsalar
1 month ago
do you have a case other than just saying "it's obvious"
4
DanVMia
1 month ago
what case does the NO camp have? Seems obvious Trump will improve on black support... YES is a great bet here
Florida Presidential Election Winner
Apsalar
1 month ago
thanks for another well thought-out reply! i think your analysis is pretty solid imo but suggest remaining skeptical of the crosstabs in most cases. very rare for polymarket. those ec market you're invested in is one of the markets i was referring to, but i think there are others as well.
1
n/a
1 month ago
I was v curious where you are coming from and appreciate the reply. wrt abortion on the ballot, look, you may be right; although imho if it's to have an impact anywhere it will be most felt in FL because unlike other states that need 50% to pass, FL requires 60%. Consequently on Polymarket "Which states will pass amendments protecting abortion?" FL is only 64% vs 95% in most states. Ie it's really not a done-deal, it's a tight race and that's going to to mean more turnout amongst women who might not otherwise have bothered (as opposed to most states where it's a done deal), and obv are women lean KH this election. Let's say conservatively turnout is 5% more due to women, and they lean 5% KH that's 0.25%; hmm not much, might finally have to look at crosstabs :P Oh wait, here's a pitch: did you see a poll where leans are broken down by age, and in that poll Gen-Z lean 40% KH, and they also have the lowest turnout typically, and probably have the most abortions? Hmm, maybe 1%? hoho. Wrt correlated markets, I'm in ec already, but maybe you have a bigger brain meaning :) anyway thanks again for reply, gl.
Will Barron Trump attend NYU?
Apsalar
1 month ago
you might be the only account on here that I actually trust to have inside info on this... what's the scoop?
1
0xmaniac
1 month ago
BREAKING: BARRON IS HEADED TO NYU: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dQw4w9WgXcQ
Florida Presidential Election Winner
Apsalar
1 month ago
I think you are overrating the impact the abortion and weed ballot measures will have. i also think that even if you do think florida is being undervalued here, there are other correlated markets where you can get a better value.
1
n/a
1 month ago
I'm not sure how to ping both, so sorry will copy pasta; Trump is only +4 in Florida, and there's abortion and weed on the ballot so KH outperforms polling. How can you believe Harris will win overall, but not have a good chance at Florida? Many swing states are polling within a point of 2020 results, including Florida (my point being Florida's polling +4 Trump is probably what you'd expect rather than freaky outlier stuff). GOP is the obvious winner in Florida, but if you already have a pro-KH view nationally how are you not liking Florida odds at 18%? You already think she'll win 1-2% nationally if you have a pro-KH view (otherwise it's a toss-up with today's polling) and you both have positions in it! And you must admit she's likely to outperform polling with abortion and weed which will help with female and dem turnout. But you think 82% likely that KH won't win 2 extra points to narrowly win FL? You're not one of the ppl conflating presidential and gubernatorial elections are you? I just find it nuts. At 18% you could quintuple your money with a KH buy; or risk shedloads for a 25% ROIC with a GOP buy. Fair play and good luck, I just think there are easier ways to win 25% ROIC!
New Hampshire Presidential Election Winner
Apsalar
1 month ago
i think there's a bit more worth knowing
2
SPECK
1 month ago
trump won in 2016 and still lost NH all you gotta know
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
Apsalar
1 month ago
please bet on this market instead. i have shares to get rid of. https://polymarket.com/event/rfk-jr-endorses-trump-before-november/rfk-jr-endorses-trump-before-november
1
Will Barron Trump attend NYU?
Apsalar
1 month ago
This comment section deserves a better class of schizo
3
Florida Presidential Election Winner
Apsalar
1 month ago
yes she will! (but not florida)
2
YatSen
1 month ago
Harris will win!
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
Apsalar
1 month ago
it is quite literally impossible for this to resolve NO
1
Morgan101
1 month ago
As someone who missed the GameStop wave, this feels like my diamond hands moment.
Florida Presidential Election Winner
Apsalar
1 month ago
@Yatsen I wanted those!
1
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 before September?
Apsalar
1 month ago
dispute it coward!
1
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
Apsalar
1 month ago
the poly whales and the uma whales are two different groups of people
0
ThatGuyMaybe
1 month ago
The reason that the vote isnt being revealed is so that the whales have time to get out. You really think they would wait to show vote for 24 hrs if it turned out "yes"? Hell no, they would burn us up.
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
Apsalar
1 month ago
mr stark i don't feel so good
0
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
Apsalar
1 month ago
with pleasure
4
zeko
1 month ago
im gonna laugh hard at cucks who talk shit with no, but if you win sure you can take my 1$ lmfao
NFL Sunday
Apsalar
1 month ago
yes. today's games are particularily low volume because there are no liquidity rewards
2
MOA
1 month ago
When we get to regular season, will there be more volume?
NFL Sunday
Apsalar
1 month ago
i learn from the worst!
1
n/a
1 month ago
good strategy apsalar. Decrapp be proud of you
NFL Sunday
Apsalar
1 month ago
buy titans high. buy saints high. repeat.
1
Sinquefield Cup 2024 Winner
Apsalar
1 month ago
Alireza is very lucky the Great GM Hikaru isn't competing
0
Will Taylor Swift endorse Kamala Harris?
Apsalar
1 month ago
shade never made anybody less gay
0
Sit
1 month ago
I'm pretty sure she got some shade from supporting Biden, or am I wrong? That was the first time she had shared her political views too. Why would she make that mistake again?
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
Apsalar
1 month ago
lol
0
baal
1 month ago
@polymarket @UMA try blindly ripping off people for hundreds of thousands of dollars IRL and watch how fast you end up in a wheelchair. This is a predictions gambling market with RULES
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
Apsalar
1 month ago
I just want to understand how you think it's possible to know that I'm a "commie voter" based on my predictions of how specific markets will resolve.
0
baal
1 month ago
@polymarket @UMA try blindly ripping off people for hundreds of thousands of dollars IRL and watch how fast you end up in a wheelchair. This is a predictions gambling market with RULES
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
Apsalar
1 month ago
I don't think you understand how prediction markets work.
0
baal
1 month ago
@polymarket @UMA try blindly ripping off people for hundreds of thousands of dollars IRL and watch how fast you end up in a wheelchair. This is a predictions gambling market with RULES
Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?
Apsalar
1 month ago
in a bit under 2 hours
1
cockbrain
1 month ago
wen resolve
Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?
Apsalar
1 month ago
Help me Darth Vooncer. You're my only hope.
3
Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?
Apsalar
1 month ago
me and the boys on the way to burn hundreds of thousands of dollars so we can lose a few thousand in this market a day from now instead of today
11
·
Liked by n/a, n/a and 9 others
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
Apsalar
1 month ago
your heart is in the right place
0
EmpirePending
1 month ago
Why would they add clarification rather than resolving it? Because they’re not confident themselves
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
Apsalar
1 month ago
actual scam that ignores precedent. sad!
1
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
Apsalar
1 month ago
i was buying YES but have now switched sides. should have read the rules more carefully. the bernie precedent for "formal endorsement" is just too strong. not too late for other YES holders to sell, but soon it will be!
6
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
Apsalar
1 month ago
some bot has gone full schizo
0
Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?
Apsalar
1 month ago
genius!
1
KamalaCurry
1 month ago
Will "Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?" go under 50% in August?
Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?
Apsalar
1 month ago
me too!
0
gabrieldyson
1 month ago
I like the "other" option
Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?
Apsalar
1 month ago
new type of scam squad bout to drop
15
·
Liked by Car, aenews2 and 13 others
What will Trump say during Wednesday speech?
Apsalar
1 month ago
around what time is he scheduled to speak?
0
Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?
Apsalar
1 month ago
like half of the time people pronounce his name they say it that way. it does not significantly alter the intended name.
2
UMAisGarbage
1 month ago
Walz rhymes with balls. Waltz doesn't rhyme with shit. We bet that Biden would say a name wrong. What am I missing here?
Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?
Apsalar
1 month ago
@slewmoney correct
0
Flipp
1 month ago
This flips to yes if it's disputed
Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?
Apsalar
1 month ago
lmao
1
Flipp
1 month ago
At 17:27 he also mistakes his own name and calls himself "Joey"
Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?
Apsalar
1 month ago
you can also just click the dispute button under rules. will need to put up a $750 bond in USDC.e that you won't get back if you lose the dispute
0
Flipp
1 month ago
This flips to yes if it's disputed
Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?
Apsalar
1 month ago
@slewmoney https://oracle.uma.xyz/?project=Polymarket&transactionHash=0xd833100ce0217008d0868d04085c08dcd28d6c6c042078428cf47f2158458151&eventIndex=17
0
Flipp
1 month ago
This flips to yes if it's disputed
Will Biden get a name wrong during DNC speech?
Apsalar
1 month ago
so buy yes and dispute it
0
Flipp
1 month ago
This flips to yes if it's disputed
Kamala Harris wins the election but loses Michigan?
Apsalar
1 month ago
some people think that the israel issue is going to have a significant impact on the result in michigan
1
BigDoh
1 month ago
What’s with the picture
How many times will Trump tweet by next Friday?
Apsalar
1 month ago
Hello darkness my old friend
1
'Alien: Romulus' Opening Weekend Box Office
Apsalar
1 month ago
thanks to the person who suggested the brackets this week! best ones we've had in a while i reckon
2
How many times will Trump tweet by next Friday?
Apsalar
1 month ago
terrible brackets
7
Will Taylor Swift endorse Kamala Harris?
Apsalar
1 month ago
I WILL NOT SELL
3
How many times will Trump tweet this week?
Apsalar
1 month ago
in my defense i only paid $50 for those 50k shares
2
n/a
1 month ago
bro.. what did you do?
How many times will Trump tweet this week?
Apsalar
1 month ago
imagine my sock
2
Grok bans image generation of Trump in August?
Apsalar
1 month ago
Car aka betbetloselose going big on NO shares. interesting
1
Grok bans image generation of Trump in August?
Apsalar
1 month ago
don't thank me. thank perplexity.
1
Apsalar
1 month ago
Grok AI has not yet banned image generation of Donald Trump. However, AI technology is rapidly evolving, with significant advancements in generative AI tools like OpenAI's ChatGPT and Google Gemini. These tools are transforming how we find answers on the internet, but they also face challenges such as hallucination problems and antitrust scrutiny. Meanwhile, companies like Amazon are rolling out AI shopping assistants, and Meta AI is integrating AI into VR headsets. Despite these developments, there is no current news indicating that Grok AI has banned image generation of Trump.
Grok bans image generation of Trump in August?
Apsalar
1 month ago
Google's Pixel 9 series, launched on August 14, 2024, features new AI capabilities including Gemini Live, Pixel Screenshots, and Pixel Studio. This rollout highlights the ongoing advancements in AI technology, which could influence how platforms like Grok manage image generation policies.
1
FinallyHappening
1 month ago
Thanks for the slop bro
Grok bans image generation of Trump in August?
Apsalar
1 month ago
Grok AI has not yet banned image generation of Donald Trump. However, AI technology is rapidly evolving, with significant advancements in generative AI tools like OpenAI's ChatGPT and Google Gemini. These tools are transforming how we find answers on the internet, but they also face challenges such as hallucination problems and antitrust scrutiny. Meanwhile, companies like Amazon are rolling out AI shopping assistants, and Meta AI is integrating AI into VR headsets. Despite these developments, there is no current news indicating that Grok AI has banned image generation of Trump.
2
What will Trump say during Thursday press conference?
Apsalar
1 month ago
One of these days Trump WILL say "crypto"! And on that blessed day all the brave souls who keep betting on it will still be down!
4
Will Trump post on X again before election?
Apsalar
1 month ago
Never attribute to alpha that which is adequately explained by stupidity
1
Fatboyslim
1 month ago
Why is Apsalar buying up No?
Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?
Apsalar
1 month ago
abort! abort!
4
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2024?
Apsalar
1 month ago
the livestreams for both launches have the altitude visible on the screen
0
VibesGreaterRules
1 month ago
If anyone has a link to flight heights - please link!
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2024?
Apsalar
1 month ago
i'm in the same boat. too scared to propose but quite confident that a proposal would pass.
1
VibesGreaterRules
1 month ago
There were two launches this year (2024) so far, but I'm not sure if both reached the 62 miles height. I'm like 98% sure...
WI-3 Democratic Primary Winner
Apsalar
1 month ago
wow this ended up being way more interesting than expected
0
MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner
Apsalar
1 month ago
tempting
0
IWillReturn
1 month ago
They're selling dollars for 0.1 cents
MN-5 Democratic Primary Winner
Apsalar
1 month ago
Will Stancil write-in campaign gonna come in with a steel chair
1
Will Stancil wins Minnesota House Democratic Primary?
Apsalar
1 month ago
thank pimp stancil
2
How many times will Trump tweet this week?
Apsalar
1 month ago
hotttt
0
n/a
1 month ago
Trump posting every 30 minutes on Truth Social. So far only 1 pinned interview tweet on Twitter.
How many times will Trump tweet this week?
Apsalar
1 month ago
i sure hope that isn't barron lol
0
n/a
1 month ago
What seemed to be a simple trade is actually far more complex and nerve wracking than I imagined. Not sure why I expected otherwise. lol
How many times will Trump tweet this week?
Apsalar
1 month ago
are you that guy?
0
n/a
1 month ago
NGMI
Will Trump post on X again before election?
Apsalar
1 month ago
just woke up from a long nap... what happened?
2
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
Apsalar
1 month ago
bro will not stop yapping
2
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
Apsalar
1 month ago
lol him calling kamala hot made it all worth it
8
What will Trump say during Elon interview?
Apsalar
1 month ago
i can excuse the fascism but i draw the line at being this boring
15
·
Liked by n/a, homosexual and 13 others
How many times will Trump tweet this week?
Apsalar
1 month ago
oh shit oh fuck
0
IWillReturn
1 month ago
BRB gotta send some tweets
How many times will Trump tweet this week?
Apsalar
1 month ago
bet against me coward
1
IWillReturn
1 month ago
You are toast bro
How many times will Trump tweet this week?
Apsalar
1 month ago
STOP THE COUNT!
2
Will Michelle Obama become Dem Nominee?
Apsalar
1 month ago
MOBAMA
0
CrossfireHurricane
2 months ago
Holy crap. There are some truly insane people on this planet.
Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?
Apsalar
1 month ago
@JeffBezos why are you selling?
1
Will Taylor Swift endorse Kamala Harris?
Apsalar
1 month ago
ask and you shall receive
1
Cmoney
2 months ago
we need a 'will Taylor swift be at the DNC' market
Speed Chess Championship Winner 2024
Apsalar
2 months ago
In speed chess the Great GM Hikaru is UNMATCHED!
1
Will Stancil wins Minnesota House Democratic Primary?
Apsalar
2 months ago
Will Stancil killed my neighbor. My neighbor was a Nazi. I'm Will Stancil and I approve this message.
3
2024 August hottest on record?
Apsalar
2 months ago
Sorry I don't have an opinion on this market. Aenews hasn't taken up a large position yet.
12
·
Liked by aenews2, n/a and 10 others
2024 July hottest on record?
Apsalar
2 months ago
You're buying YES because you decoded and reverse engineered NASA's model and then plugged in the entirely of this months' data. I'm buying YES because I trust aenews to do that for me. We are not the same.
16
·
Liked by Car, aenews2 and 14 others
New Mexico Presidential Election Winner
Apsalar
2 months ago
a bit too much of an overcorrection methinks
1
NFL Thursday
Apsalar
2 months ago
LIONS LIONS LIONS
0
Trump and Harris agree to Sept 10 debate?
Apsalar
2 months ago
if anyone disputes now i will be very disappointed. don't waste your money!
3
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2024?
Apsalar
2 months ago
how sure are we that 1 can be proposed?
0
Trump and Harris agree to Sept 10 debate?
Apsalar
2 months ago
I don't know what time make of this market, but I see that NO is offering me a higher return on investment so I will join that team.
5
Will Taylor Swift attend the DNC?
Apsalar
2 months ago
she is whatever will make her the most money. love her for it.
3
Pietrop11599
2 months ago
Isnt she a Republican?
Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 9?
Apsalar
2 months ago
oops
0
oxamo
2 months ago
There's a typo "Harris by 0.1-0.5" should be "Harris by 0.1-0.4"
Balance of Power: 2024 Election
Apsalar
2 months ago
hi
0
Erty
2 months ago
Hi
Who will endorse Kamala?
Apsalar
2 months ago
you cooked. congrats.
4
n/a
2 months ago
Shoutout to the yes buyers who have just joined the party 🫡
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
Apsalar
2 months ago
and we love him for that
0
🤺JustKen
2 months ago
Maduro is the true OG scam squad.
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
Apsalar
2 months ago
scam squad might just pull this off
6
Democratic VP nominee?
Apsalar
2 months ago
ITS A WALZ STORY BABY JUST SAY YES!!!!
0
n/a
2 months ago
you learned the wrong lesson from me if you're singing these songs nobody ever heard of. I was singing Taylor Swift.
Democratic VP nominee?
Apsalar
2 months ago
Now in Minnesota there's ten pretty women / There's a shoulder where Death comes to cry / There's a lobby with nine hundred windows / There's a tree where the doves go to die / There's a piece that was torn from the morning / And it hangs in the Gallery of Frost / Ay, Ay, Ay, Ay / Take Tim Walz, take Tim Walz / Take his broken waist in your hand
3
Democratic VP nominee?
Apsalar
2 months ago
mama mia
2
100m Winner (M)
Apsalar
2 months ago
oh you were being sarcastic. does that mean it actually is over?
0
BM5II5KJN2
2 months ago
Nice cope
100m Winner (M)
Apsalar
2 months ago
nice
0
BM5II5KJN2
2 months ago
Yes, because it's not who finishes first (which is a physical fact) but rather the ICO who votes on the winner
100m Winner (M)
Apsalar
2 months ago
anyone know if it can still be overturned?
0
100m Winner (M)
Apsalar
2 months ago
i still don't think he won
0
Democratic VP nominee?
Apsalar
2 months ago
remind me
0
aenews2
2 months ago
Guys, remember the last time when there was an obvious favorite candidate and slowly everyone issued statements against them or endorsed another person? Yeah I forget what happened there..
Democratic Nominee 2024
Apsalar
2 months ago
in the sense that he's donating his money charity that's certainly true
0
CompulsiveGambler
2 months ago
You are doing gods work
Who will endorse Kamala?
Apsalar
2 months ago
you know aenews is sweating it when he resorts to arguing in the comments
3
aenews2
2 months ago
Keep buying N guys, I double dog dare you! As a Bernie Bro, I believe in my guy to set the record straight.
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
Apsalar
2 months ago
we won't know for sure what this is about until they issue a clarification for this market.
1
n/a
2 months ago
so this is bet on if maduro loses power till 10th january?
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
Apsalar
2 months ago
in case you missed it, polymarket has already tweeted that this market should basically just resolve to whoever ends up being the next president, regardless of whether there was fraud. Their twitter account can be pretty stupid, but this is the type of statement that's hard to walk back on. https://x.com/Polymarket/status/1817953063774069099
4
Democratic VP nominee?
Apsalar
2 months ago
unfortunately walz is now commie timmy
0
Democratic VP nominee?
Apsalar
2 months ago
predictit's liquidity is significantly worse
2
0xwald
2 months ago
you know why? because poly is flawed. look at kellys liquidity. he might cost 6c but there isnt any liquidity to grab which means there are no sellers at that price.
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
Apsalar
2 months ago
they can (and will) vote that the proposal was submitted too early which effectively postpones it.
0
sabotage
2 months ago
Does polymarket have to definitively resolve this one way or another in 19 hours or they can postpone it?
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
Apsalar
2 months ago
A quorum has been reached. There is now a 100% chance that this will resolve to YES in under 19 hours. If you don't sell your NO shares before then you will get NOTHING! SELL!!!
1
Will Kamala say "coconut" before August?
Apsalar
2 months ago
i had 500 less shares before seeing your comment ;)
1
MIKEXE
2 months ago
free money
Will Kamala say "coconut" before August?
Apsalar
2 months ago
unfortunately my new rule is to always bet against anything someone calls "free money"
2
MIKEXE
2 months ago
free money
Democratic VP nominee?
Apsalar
2 months ago
damn i really do think beshear helps her the least out of te top options
2
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
Apsalar
2 months ago
correct. the voting period is seperated into two 24 hour periods. During the first period people vote, and during the second period people reveal their votes. At the moment there are 16 hours left in the first period. Once the second period starts you will be able to see how people voted as their vote gets revealed.
0
backflip
2 months ago
When will the final decision be taken? Last night it said in 2/3 hours with a clock counting down...
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
Apsalar
2 months ago
i also was confused for a second. what happened was this got proposed twice. when that happens the vote on the first proposal is ignored in favor of the vote on the second proposal. so while the first vote is complete and was overwhelmingly for a YES resolution (see here https://vote.uma.xyz/). But now we need to wait for the second vote to be finished before the market closes and the payout occurs.
0
backflip
2 months ago
When will the final decision be taken? Last night it said in 2/3 hours with a clock counting down...
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
Apsalar
2 months ago
I promise you this will resolve to YES in under 48 hours. Sell your NO shares now before they become worthless.
0
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
Apsalar
2 months ago
@mkrv4 if you scroll down to "recent past votes" you will see the first vote there. YES received 99.99% of the vote.
1
Apsalar
2 months ago
@mkrv4 the vote has already ended, so it is guaranteed to resolve to YES. It's taking a bit longer to go through the system than normal, but should be any minute now. You can see this and all other votes at https://vote.uma.xyz/
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
Apsalar
2 months ago
nevermind! there's a second dispute! we have to wait another couple of days to get our money (it will resolve to yes then). my bad.
0
Apsalar
2 months ago
@mkrv4 the vote has already ended, so it is guaranteed to resolve to YES. It's taking a bit longer to go through the system than normal, but should be any minute now. You can see this and all other votes at https://vote.uma.xyz/
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
Apsalar
2 months ago
@mkrv4 the vote has already ended, so it is guaranteed to resolve to YES. It's taking a bit longer to go through the system than normal, but should be any minute now. You can see this and all other votes at https://vote.uma.xyz/
1
Hhgcfdd
2 months ago
Why do the yes addresses on the leaderboard continue to buy crazily even though there is no profit? Is it to clear all the sell orders?
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
Apsalar
2 months ago
i am buying yes because it is going to resolve to yes in the next few minutes
0
Hhgcfdd
2 months ago
Why do the yes addresses on the leaderboard continue to buy crazily even though there is no profit? Is it to clear all the sell orders?
Kamala campaign accepts crypto donations before September?
Apsalar
2 months ago
why don't they just copy the trump campaign's regulatory framework? are they stupid?
0
reubadoob
2 months ago
Advisers to Vice President Kamala Harris’s campaign have been contacting key players in the crypto industry to develop relationships that could eventually inform a regulatory framework, sources told the Financial Times.
Democratic VP nominee?
Apsalar
2 months ago
And I'll dance with you in Minnesota / I'll be wearing a river's disguise / The hyacinth wild on my shoulder / My mouth on the dew of your thighs / And I'll bury my soul in a scrapbook / With the photographs there, and the moss / And I'll yield to the flood of your beauty / My cheap violin and my cross / And you'll carry me down on your dancing / To the pools that you lift on your wrist / Oh my love, Oh my love / Pick Tim Walz, pick Tim Walz / He's yours now / He's all that there is
0
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
Apsalar
2 months ago
@ManL if a dispute occurs then the winner of the dispute wins $250. So you would get back $1,000 after putiing up a $750 bond.
1
0xBdA66338abEA664ca7EC717cfC12C4c3e536De93-1721707590808
2 months ago
Does anyone know how long the odds are open?
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
Apsalar
2 months ago
it will stay open until a user proposes a resolution (to do so you need to put up a $750 bond that you will lose if another user disputes your proposal and then UMA deems your proposal untrue. if nobody disputes your proposal, you will get your bond back along with a $5 reward and the market will close after two hours).
2
0xBdA66338abEA664ca7EC717cfC12C4c3e536De93-1721707590808
2 months ago
Does anyone know how long the odds are open?
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
Apsalar
2 months ago
the most expected result happened yet somehow polymarket's rules fail to give precise instructions on how to resolve in this case lol
1
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
Apsalar
2 months ago
i like the way you think!
1
xvzxcvasdfadsfqqwer
2 months ago
Given the uncertainty in the election, I think we can all agree the fairest way to handle things would be to declare a military junta as the winner
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
Apsalar
2 months ago
idk
2
n/a
2 months ago
How
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
Apsalar
2 months ago
STOP THE STEAL!
1
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
Apsalar
2 months ago
not really
0
n/a
2 months ago
Very close tight race
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
Apsalar
2 months ago
I hope Kamala is taking notes!
2
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
Apsalar
2 months ago
anyone have a link to the nyt needle?
1
Venezuela Presidential Election Winner
Apsalar
2 months ago
what do you think my other shares are for!