#196
Rank
389
Comments
114
Likes Received
53
Likes Given
n/a
8 months ago
106 minutes
efren1983
8 months ago
2 hours o 3 for resolution?
n/a
8 months ago
Both those should not count… no?
432
8 months ago
Here it comes NY Times from +1 Trump to +3 Harris
n/a
8 months ago
?
kekkone
8 months ago
1.2
n/a
8 months ago
Well it's now over for 0-0.9 and 1.5-1.9
n/a
8 months ago
@MrNFT what are we guessing? +2, +3 or +4?
n/a
8 months ago
https://twitter.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1834253328319988126
n/a
8 months ago
Yesssss
n/a
8 months ago
https://twitter.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1834253328319988126
n/a
8 months ago
Will it still count towards the RCP figures in time?
MrNFT
8 months ago
https://x.com/Mark_R_Mitchell/status/1834245316670837073
n/a
8 months ago
No, lol
grappli
8 months ago
So this means it's confirmed Rasmussen isn't dropping today
n/a
8 months ago
We need Rasmussen now
n/a
8 months ago
That's a guarantee, no?
MrNFT
8 months ago
Depends if rasmussen released today
n/a
8 months ago
Probably meaning that the Trump numbers are gooooood
432
8 months ago
Someone hacked our survey software account. China, NSA, butt-hurt leftie? I wish I knew. That's why our Thursday morning poll is delayed.
n/a
8 months ago
Yeah lol, is this good news for us?
432
8 months ago
Someone hacked our survey software account. China, NSA, butt-hurt leftie? I wish I knew. That's why our Thursday morning poll is delayed.
n/a
8 months ago
Not true lol
grappli
8 months ago
I don't think they're gonna remove any polls. Usually they do that when they add a new one and they already had the chance to do that today.
n/a
8 months ago
You think if they don't, it won't be enough for the NOs on 1.5 to 1.9?
MrNFT
8 months ago
All that needs to be wiped is that +4
n/a
8 months ago
@432 how can you be so sure?
n/a
8 months ago
https://x.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1834213525809475653
n/a
8 months ago
What do you think the ABC poll will be at for today?
n/a
8 months ago
https://x.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1834213525809475653
n/a
8 months ago
@Poly, not enough for what?
n/a
8 months ago
https://x.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1834213525809475653
n/a
8 months ago
It's a lock for Rasmusen +4 or +3 TRUMP lead
n/a
8 months ago
https://x.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1834213525809475653
n/a
8 months ago
https://x.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1834213525809475653
n/a
8 months ago
Has Rasmussen published their daily numbers for today?
n/a
8 months ago
Thank you
Speculo
8 months ago
it's here: https://x.com/Mark_R_Mitchell/status/1833966465399079368/photo/1
n/a
8 months ago
Kamala KILLED it in the debate!!!! This can easily get up to Kamala Leads by 1.5 to 1.9 in the next 2 days!!!
n/a
8 months ago
Did you get more info on saturday #s?
eb..
8 months ago
amazing. good luck to those who were trading based on a indian guy who sometimes is so precise that his margin of error goes from 10 to 20 million lol
n/a
8 months ago
Love the optimism boys hahaha
eb..
8 months ago
deadline is still calling this 95 to 100. and even if you see huge walk ins or another surprise, or good numbers for saturday, it is still between 95-100-105. since they are always very close. plus, numbers for saturday are being reported as 36, not 41. strange how the price here fluctuaded, it will very likely go back to the price of 50 to 70 again for 95-105.
n/a
8 months ago
Isn't that Deadline estimate an old one ?
eb..
8 months ago
deadline is still calling this 95 to 100. and even if you see huge walk ins or another surprise, or good numbers for saturday, it is still between 95-100-105. since they are always very close. plus, numbers for saturday are being reported as 36, not 41. strange how the price here fluctuaded, it will very likely go back to the price of 50 to 70 again for 95-105.
n/a
8 months ago
https://x.com/SimbaSnell/status/1832621503969398890
n/a
8 months ago
? lol
GW Tycoon
8 months ago
28 million Saturday :-)
n/a
8 months ago
Yeah but you're on the over 105m side? hahaha shouldnt you want it to happen?
sosuke
8 months ago
105m shooting up based off an early estimation from an Indian guy and nfl Sunday is here too surely this will end well !
n/a
8 months ago
Where did you get 33m saturday from?
05brownboy
8 months ago
friday at $41.5M saturday $33M (could be wrong) $95-105M looking the most likely $105M+ out of question and sunday should be around $21-25M placing final estimate at $95.5M-$99.5M ($95.5M worst case) ($99.5M best case)
n/a
8 months ago
Only performing a “bit” better than yesterday? Even if today is no school/work?
05brownboy
8 months ago
with yesterdays numbers at $41.5M lower than the $44M this should land anywhere in between $90-$100M saturday numbers need to be above $30M for a chance above $95M it’s a coin flip at the moment $105M out of the question
n/a
8 months ago
Did you get early Saturday data?
05brownboy
8 months ago
with yesterdays numbers at $41.5M lower than the $44M this should land anywhere in between $90-$100M saturday numbers need to be above $30M for a chance above $95M it’s a coin flip at the moment $105M out of the question
n/a
8 months ago
How?
TimeTraveler
8 months ago
I'm giving 95-105 the best odds currently, this also means that I'm giving 85-95 and 105+ equal odds compared to eachother.
n/a
8 months ago
? haha
Chen1996
8 months ago
Let’s Go!!!!!!!
n/a
8 months ago
Jatinder, top box office analyst is projecting $105m-$112m... Def going over $105m
n/a
8 months ago
isn't that old?
Ania-chan
8 months ago
The numbers predict 97.5M to 100M https://m.the-numbers.com/news/257590830-Weekend-predictions-Beetlejuice-eyeing-100-million-on-opening-weekend
n/a
8 months ago
@syzygy confident on over 105m?
TimeTraveler
8 months ago
The truth is that nobody knows shit, a lot can happen and the margins are very big. I saw a Deadline estimation of 38 million after Friday and some Indian is saying 44 million after Friday, ok then.
n/a
8 months ago
Sooo what do you think...?
sosuke
8 months ago
deadline is known to underestimate, actual box office numbers overshoot their estimations 90% of the time
n/a
8 months ago
Any updates on Friday numbers?
n/a
8 months ago
Yeah but by how much...? even at the average of 92.5m + 10%, we're under 105m
sosuke
8 months ago
deadline is known to underestimate, actual box office numbers overshoot their estimations 90% of the time
n/a
8 months ago
Not looking strong for Friday numbers
n/a
8 months ago
Old news… most recent predictions at 90m to 100m
Chen1996
8 months ago
The Warner Bros. event pic is on course to deliver one of the biggest September openings of all time with anywhere from $90 million to $110 million in its domestic debut, based on tracking data and advanced ticket sales. Tracking services show the film opening to $100 million-plus
n/a
8 months ago
What just happened?
n/a
8 months ago
@picklerick so you still confident on your over $105m?
05brownboy
8 months ago
reviews look bad friday numbers need to be above $45M to have any shot at $105M
n/a
8 months ago
@picklerick why do they lowball so much..?
05brownboy
8 months ago
reviews look bad friday numbers need to be above $45M to have any shot at $105M
n/a
8 months ago
@picklerick so not too too far off? lol
05brownboy
8 months ago
reviews look bad friday numbers need to be above $45M to have any shot at $105M
n/a
8 months ago
@pickleRick how much of a lowball though?
05brownboy
8 months ago
reviews look bad friday numbers need to be above $45M to have any shot at $105M
n/a
8 months ago
Not even estimates today?
05brownboy
8 months ago
reviews look bad friday numbers need to be above $45M to have any shot at $105M
n/a
8 months ago
Do we have early numbers for Friday?
05brownboy
8 months ago
reviews look bad friday numbers need to be above $45M to have any shot at $105M
n/a
8 months ago
Why do you have Saturday so high?
trialseed
8 months ago
Even being really optimistic I can't quite get there. 13+35+42+32=122
n/a
8 months ago
Looking increasingly likely for a domestic $98m-$103m OW
n/a
8 months ago
$12m previews, no?
sosuke
8 months ago
Time to get out, 13m previews is insane, 87% certified fresh on rotten too, way too much of a gamble, this can easily overshoots, weekend with no other competition too
n/a
8 months ago
Based on which calculations?
Ania-chan
8 months ago
Because Deadpool still here, I think 100-102 is maximum for this movie
n/a
8 months ago
haha what does that mean?
X9504
8 months ago
Beetlejuice Beetlejuice previews are currently in line with Dune: Part Two‘s $12M, which included $4.5M from an Imax preshow program.
n/a
8 months ago
Do you have knowledge in box office and stuff?
X9504
8 months ago
Beetlejuice Beetlejuice previews are currently in line with Dune: Part Two‘s $12M, which included $4.5M from an Imax preshow program.
n/a
8 months ago
But why is this professional analyst coming up with 105m to 115m? https://x.com/meJat32/status/1831926075477389819?t=NpkfiUj-mxnEqm5_cSB40A&s=19
X9504
8 months ago
Ticket sales look weak in the final stretch. This will be fan driven. My prediction of 3.25 Wednesday and 9m Thursday is looking good
n/a
8 months ago
yeah... so more or less comparable, no?
X9504
8 months ago
Beetlejuice Beetlejuice previews are currently in line with Dune: Part Two‘s $12M, which included $4.5M from an Imax preshow program.
n/a
8 months ago
Same, $95-105M how did you calculate / assess?
05brownboy
8 months ago
wonder woman did a combined $18.7M on wednesday and thursday $103M on opening weekend this sits at $12-13M im thinking around $95-$105M still a gamble
n/a
8 months ago
Yeah lol who told u that?
05brownboy
8 months ago
wonder woman did a combined $18.7M on wednesday and thursday $103M on opening weekend this sits at $12-13M im thinking around $95-$105M still a gamble
n/a
8 months ago
Source for $18.7m?
05brownboy
8 months ago
wonder woman did a combined $18.7M on wednesday and thursday $103M on opening weekend this sits at $12-13M im thinking around $95-$105M still a gamble
n/a
8 months ago
Where did you see that the early previews don't count for this bet either?
TimeTraveler
8 months ago
It's a movie with a bunch of hardline fans, those tend to go to early screenings, but those hardline fans aren't representative for the general population, and the earnings from the early previews don't count for this bet either.
n/a
8 months ago
12m previews... $95m to $105m still very well alive
n/a
8 months ago
https://ca.news.yahoo.com/beetlejuice-beetlejuice-juice-loose-12m-050619151.html
n/a
8 months ago
https://ca.news.yahoo.com/beetlejuice-beetlejuice-juice-loose-12m-050619151.html
n/a
8 months ago
How about this guy Jatinder?
aenews2
8 months ago
Gg?
n/a
8 months ago
Seems more like $12m previews
PickleRick
8 months ago
https://x.com/meJat32/status/1831926075477389819?t=NpkfiUj-mxnEqm5_cSB40A&s=19
n/a
8 months ago
https://deadline.com/2024/09/box-office-beetlejuice-beetlejuice-1236079763/
PickleRick
8 months ago
https://x.com/meJat32/status/1831926075477389819?t=NpkfiUj-mxnEqm5_cSB40A&s=19
n/a
8 months ago
Oh really not more than that... I was more between 95m and 105m. What methodology do you use for your estimates?
X9504
8 months ago
Ticket sales look weak in the final stretch. This will be fan driven. My prediction of 3.25 Wednesday and 9m Thursday is looking good
n/a
8 months ago
Ah shit, you still have time to change sides. What are the best sources or websites for estimates or forecasts?
AccountNames
8 months ago
Nope.... But when I fuck up this time, I'm done here. So we will see what happens. I first said I wasn't going to touch this one and yet here I am. Making mistakes. (not sarastic)
n/a
8 months ago
Ahh think over 105m is the play?
AccountNames
8 months ago
Nothing I've seen so far with complete confidence. I think I'll see realistic estimates within the next couple of hours.
n/a
8 months ago
Any stats so far for Thursday??
AccountNames
8 months ago
9m is lower than anything I'm seeing. What is your refrence point?
n/a
8 months ago
Any stats out for Thursday?
n/a
8 months ago
How much would you estimate the OW domestic figure?
X9504
8 months ago
Ticket sales look weak in the final stretch. This will be fan driven. My prediction of 3.25 Wednesday and 9m Thursday is looking good
n/a
8 months ago
More drama coming
n/a
8 months ago
95M-105M it is!!
n/a
8 months ago
Maybe in the morning lol
Pidor🐓
8 months ago
well it's already 2PM EST. that's bed time for the RCP guys gg
n/a
8 months ago
But that is insane... makes no sense, i dont get it ?
n/a
8 months ago
WHY the hell did they remove Reuters / Ipsos poll from the calculation?
n/a
8 months ago
This is a mistake that I believe they will fix, giving Kamala a 2.1 lead on RCP!! :)
n/a
8 months ago
WHY the hell did they remove Reuters / Ipsos poll from the calculation?
n/a
8 months ago
WHY the hell did they remove Reuters / Ipsos poll from the calculation?
n/a
8 months ago
Nah, she should get 2 or 3 more points
SaulG
8 months ago
I think fi anything, shes a smidge more likely to drop a bit more
n/a
8 months ago
Other polls favoring Kamala are coming lol don't worry guys
n/a
8 months ago
When do you think they will come out and you think they will favor Harris more than last time they released?
432
8 months ago
Also read exectly what rassmussen reports says from the link you posted ........ "The survey of 1,893 U.S. Likely Voters was conducted on August 22 and 25-28, 2024 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC." That is not data from 29.08 to 05.09
n/a
8 months ago
Which ones?
Randomchooser
8 months ago
they updated, now is ok . I am waiting now for the other 2 polls that are expected to do new releases in trump favour.
n/a
8 months ago
@timetraveler so what would you predict for domestic OW?
sosuke
8 months ago
After all these years, #BeetlejuiceBeetlejuice is poised to become a much bigger deal than it had any right to be. Industry surely hopes so, with final projections seeing a 100M-110M 3-day weekend at US #BoxOffice & a 35M-45M 5-day opening overseas, for a 135M-155M Global Opening. That would be already 2x more than original #Beetlejuice’s domestic run. Spoiler alert: Even if projections might look euphoric in the U.S., I can say there is potential for more domestically, as pre-sales are stronger than even #GoTGVol3 at the moment, and that one kicked off SUMMER 2023, while BB2 is coming out post-LaborDay weekend and no CBM fanboy front loading it. It all will come down to WOM, but it’ll surely become the biggest opening of the year and 2nd biggest Post-COVID for WB.
n/a
8 months ago
https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/biden_administration/election_2024_trump_47_harris_46
432
8 months ago
they belive they made a mistake by posting 1 point instead of 2 and also coincidently forget to update the date ROFL yeah sure
n/a
8 months ago
Yes, but they always round down lol
432
8 months ago
thats the daily poll from today.Check yourself https://x.com/Mark_R_Mitchell/status/1831531736854933908/photo/1 past 5 days (4-1-1+6+1) =9 /5days = 1.9 points
n/a
8 months ago
When do Thursday previews get released usually?
AccountNames
8 months ago
This movie doesn’t do much for me personally. But trends are looking insanely strong. I was at a birthday party for my toddler nephew last weekend, and the amount of parents who haven’t been to the movies all year that were all planning on going this weekend was strong. That + Wednesday +Thursday previews to get more screenings, on a movie with under 2 hours of runtime (more showings available.) We will see how it all turns out.
n/a
8 months ago
ya lol
432
8 months ago
@randomchooser exexctly but it also means Rassmussen will change back to 2 once the past 7 days data will be published
n/a
8 months ago
No lol you guys are confused
432
8 months ago
@randomchooser exexctly but it also means Rassmussen will change back to 2 once the past 7 days data will be published
n/a
8 months ago
No it's not: https://x.com/IAPolls2022/status/1831705441551700404
432
8 months ago
i mean the voting average from past 7 days from rassmussen.They have NOT been added.You can see on their website they changed all voting results from rassmussen from a week ago from point 2 to point 1 as they clearly state on their website its from the same sample and same tracking date
n/a
8 months ago
it's an update
432
8 months ago
I guess there is an error.They changed rassmussen from 2 points to 1 even there past 5 days there was 9 points for trump divided by 5 its 1.9 points so it should be 2.What is odd is the fact they changed the point from rassmussen but did not update the date
n/a
8 months ago
What do you mean new data lol?
432
8 months ago
its seems they updated the old rassmussen data from 2 points to one point and did not added the new data so it will still be coming
n/a
8 months ago
They always round down
432
8 months ago
I guess there is an error.They changed rassmussen from 2 points to 1 even there past 5 days there was 9 points for trump divided by 5 its 1.9 points so it should be 2.What is odd is the fact they changed the point from rassmussen but did not update the date
n/a
8 months ago
Yes, saw this. Any risk of a new poll coming into RCP or an older one being dropped in the next 24 hours?
MalikNabers
8 months ago
Reload your RCP…
n/a
8 months ago
Why you guys bailing on 1.5-1.9... it's like 80% certain for 1.5-1.9 right now
n/a
8 months ago
Why did you say "75-85 seems right tbh"?
sosuke
8 months ago
After all these years, #BeetlejuiceBeetlejuice is poised to become a much bigger deal than it had any right to be. Industry surely hopes so, with final projections seeing a 100M-110M 3-day weekend at US #BoxOffice & a 35M-45M 5-day opening overseas, for a 135M-155M Global Opening. That would be already 2x more than original #Beetlejuice’s domestic run. Spoiler alert: Even if projections might look euphoric in the U.S., I can say there is potential for more domestically, as pre-sales are stronger than even #GoTGVol3 at the moment, and that one kicked off SUMMER 2023, while BB2 is coming out post-LaborDay weekend and no CBM fanboy front loading it. It all will come down to WOM, but it’ll surely become the biggest opening of the year and 2nd biggest Post-COVID for WB.
n/a
8 months ago
Really, and what is Deadline / NRG estimating right now ?
sosuke
8 months ago
After all these years, #BeetlejuiceBeetlejuice is poised to become a much bigger deal than it had any right to be. Industry surely hopes so, with final projections seeing a 100M-110M 3-day weekend at US #BoxOffice & a 35M-45M 5-day opening overseas, for a 135M-155M Global Opening. That would be already 2x more than original #Beetlejuice’s domestic run. Spoiler alert: Even if projections might look euphoric in the U.S., I can say there is potential for more domestically, as pre-sales are stronger than even #GoTGVol3 at the moment, and that one kicked off SUMMER 2023, while BB2 is coming out post-LaborDay weekend and no CBM fanboy front loading it. It all will come down to WOM, but it’ll surely become the biggest opening of the year and 2nd biggest Post-COVID for WB.
n/a
8 months ago
What do you expect domestic to finish at?
sosuke
8 months ago
After all these years, #BeetlejuiceBeetlejuice is poised to become a much bigger deal than it had any right to be. Industry surely hopes so, with final projections seeing a 100M-110M 3-day weekend at US #BoxOffice & a 35M-45M 5-day opening overseas, for a 135M-155M Global Opening. That would be already 2x more than original #Beetlejuice’s domestic run. Spoiler alert: Even if projections might look euphoric in the U.S., I can say there is potential for more domestically, as pre-sales are stronger than even #GoTGVol3 at the moment, and that one kicked off SUMMER 2023, while BB2 is coming out post-LaborDay weekend and no CBM fanboy front loading it. It all will come down to WOM, but it’ll surely become the biggest opening of the year and 2nd biggest Post-COVID for WB.
n/a
8 months ago
Where can we see stats?
X9504
8 months ago
85-95m looks very doable. Maybe below 85m if I’m lucky
n/a
8 months ago
Any stats on wednesday domestic or thursday estimates?
n/a
8 months ago
Usually always Thursdays no?
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
Rasmussen is usually the end of the week. They publish weekly.
n/a
8 months ago
did dimitrov retire?
CookedAlligator
8 months ago
what did I say
n/a
8 months ago
Tiafoe winner
TheCoconut
8 months ago
If Dimitrov retires injured how does this market resolve?
n/a
8 months ago
No they dont?
babendums
8 months ago
NFTs definitely count!
n/a
8 months ago
When will this resolve lol??
n/a
8 months ago
Damnnnn are you staying on the NO side?
sosuke
8 months ago
Broken out, that’s $100M-$110M, per various tracking and exhibition bean counters, with around $35M from 69 offshore markets (a 75% international footprint). The last big opening of this magnitude stateside in September was New Line’s It, with $123.4M domestic in 2017. Beetlejuice Beetlejuice presales, I understand, are ahead of Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3, which turned in a 3-day of $118.4M. Given further boost to audiences’ appetite for this classic is the addition of Wednesday megastar Jenna Ortega to the original cast, which also includes Winona Ryder and Catherine O’Hara...
n/a
8 months ago
Source? @sosuke?
TimeTraveler
8 months ago
Don't mind me, I'm just cost averaging down
n/a
8 months ago
At how much do you estimate Domestic OW for Beetlejuice?
sosuke
8 months ago
Broken out, that’s $100M-$110M, per various tracking and exhibition bean counters, with around $35M from 69 offshore markets (a 75% international footprint). The last big opening of this magnitude stateside in September was New Line’s It, with $123.4M domestic in 2017. Beetlejuice Beetlejuice presales, I understand, are ahead of Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3, which turned in a 3-day of $118.4M. Given further boost to audiences’ appetite for this classic is the addition of Wednesday megastar Jenna Ortega to the original cast, which also includes Winona Ryder and Catherine O’Hara...
n/a
8 months ago
where?
MrNFT
8 months ago
LOL the transript is already out
n/a
8 months ago
No lol read the rules
432
8 months ago
NOT over yet ,not a single poll has been updated the past days which means results will still change today
n/a
8 months ago
Yessir
caesar
8 months ago
This can be proposed now right....
n/a
8 months ago
Yup hahaha thats what i did
Justifax
8 months ago
Drake, you were the icing on the cake. Thank you!
n/a
8 months ago
Is it updated now for Aug 31?
VibesGreaterRules
8 months ago
It was always 1.8
n/a
8 months ago
By my calculations should be 1.9 since they always seem to round down
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
Would that put this at 1.9 or 2.0? I actually own more shares of Kamala 2.0-2.4 than I do of this.
n/a
8 months ago
That i am not sure but someone from RCP said “it should be updated by the morning”…. So i am just trusting this
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
Thanks for the info. How do we know what order they will report these in. Why haven't they already?
n/a
8 months ago
Yeah i really only give information when i have reputable ones
Justifax
8 months ago
WorldFox21 seems like a trustworthy and credible source. I'm out.
n/a
8 months ago
Like what? @drake
wyn
8 months ago
there could be more
n/a
8 months ago
I bought my max… out of liquidty cash now
Justifax
8 months ago
Why aren't you buying?
n/a
8 months ago
Final poll from TIPP should be updated by RCP this morning according to people familiar with the matter… this will settle this market 🙏😊
n/a
8 months ago
No harvard harris poll coming anytime soon lol… mid august
Justifax
8 months ago
I guess they're waiting for Harvard Harris. :)
n/a
8 months ago
Why is the TIPP one not updated in RCP yet?
n/a
8 months ago
Yes, I know that's how it works lol
Plutos
8 months ago
this is not how it works bro. you have to wait till data for aug 31 is available, and then we compare aug 23 (1.7) with aug 30 (?)
n/a
8 months ago
Oh yes they do have the TIPP one for 7/31 to 8/2
Justifax
8 months ago
No, this resolves as soon as they update tipp. could be in the next ten minutes.
n/a
8 months ago
Are you sure RCP uses TIPP?
Justifax
8 months ago
No, this resolves as soon as they update tipp. could be in the next ten minutes.
n/a
8 months ago
This should resolve before the end of the day at +1.8 for Kamala and this market will resolve in her favor
n/a
8 months ago
Do you have the source?
Justifax
8 months ago
Activote dramatically trending to trump - - Trends Aug. 14 - 🔵 Harris +4.8 Aug. 23 - 🔵 Harris +5.2 Sept. 2 - 🔵 Harris +1.6
n/a
8 months ago
What is happening?
Meow.Zedong
8 months ago
It’s happening
n/a
8 months ago
Just because now at this point, I don't see how Trump can win... only 1 more poll and its done
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
You asked me this before: why did you sell?
n/a
8 months ago
Where do you see those rasmussen stats?
432
8 months ago
Yes people will have a big awekening.Rassmussen for example has not been updated since august 28 where it went now from +2 to +4 on 29th and 30th even +5 ......
n/a
8 months ago
Data for 08/30 is out on the graph if you scroll to the right!
Meow.Zedong
8 months ago
Okay I’m going to phrase this a different way. Is this market based on each candidates personal polling averages from the specified dates irrespective of candidate position to each other? In essence this is about each candidates own momentum not where they stand.
n/a
8 months ago
We only Rasmussen Poll to come out, bring RCP down to 1.6 (this would resolve 50/50) or 1.5 (Trump Wins)!!! It's almost over
n/a
8 months ago
This won’t resolve until new poll results come out, still Trump can win this market depending on which poll comes out next!
n/a
8 months ago
CIVIQs only releasing mid september
Justifax
8 months ago
Harvard harris is possible, but so is civiqs and others.
n/a
8 months ago
Ah you mean trump share price?
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
What just happened?
n/a
8 months ago
What do you mean?
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
What just happened?
n/a
8 months ago
How do you know?
UncleSmurf
8 months ago
The poll will drop
n/a
8 months ago
Not true 🤣🤣
jl3128776
8 months ago
Note that we haven’t gotten RCP-included polls ending today. In this case, when the batch including 8/31 and beyond does get included eventually, that will trigger the market to go into review. And given that any polls ending 8/31 are only added to the 8/31 and not the 8/30 numbers, 8/30 will remain identical to right now. And that’s 1.8.
n/a
8 months ago
Meaning?
UncleSmurf
8 months ago
Any minute now
n/a
8 months ago
What do u mean?
AllForOne
8 months ago
Bro it’s done
n/a
8 months ago
When Harvard Harris releases, most likely +2 Trump... RCP will most likely go to 1.4 or 1.5... meaning Trump should win this market! :)
n/a
8 months ago
I still see 1.6... so weird
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
I checked right now and it said 1.7. What is it saying for everyone else?
n/a
8 months ago
New poll: https://x.com/IAPolls2022/status/1829603009598247294
n/a
8 months ago
Yeah but who says they will release one?
Justifax
8 months ago
The ironic thing about this is that Harris buyers want it to go to 31st in order to pick up the civiqs poll, but let's see how this plays.
n/a
8 months ago
Yeah am gettting out of the maket, too many unknowns
sosuke
8 months ago
werent you harris holder this morning ? what changed
n/a
8 months ago
Guaranteed Harris win!
diddy
8 months ago
Clarification: This market isn’t about polls. It is about whose position improves or decreases, comparing Day 0 relative to day 7. At Day 0, Kamala was at 48.5 vs 46.9 Trump. At Day 7 Kamala is at 48.2 vs 46.4 Trump. Kamala lost 0.2 points, Trump lost 0.5 points. Position of Kamala has improved over the 8-day period. This is how market concludes with current numbers. Graphs are just visual representation of data.
n/a
8 months ago
Yeah that is why i changed side... they will wait until there is a poll released with Aug 30 or Aug 31 result and this will affect final results... possibly also the DAY 0 results
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
@RipRcp, why's it irrelevant, the graph can change retroactively, it's part of the Kafkaesque magic of RCP.
n/a
8 months ago
Really... do you see it?
diddy
8 months ago
Effectively, 3-5 more hours and this ends. It’s Friday, who publishes polls after 17:00
n/a
8 months ago
I dont see a 1.8 number for August 30th... Last update on the graph I see is 1.8 for August 29th... Do you see something different
diddy
8 months ago
Effectively, 3-5 more hours and this ends. It’s Friday, who publishes polls after 17:00
n/a
8 months ago
How sure are you about this?
diddy
8 months ago
Effectively, 3-5 more hours and this ends. It’s Friday, who publishes polls after 17:00
n/a
8 months ago
No lol.... We need to wait until there is a poll release for Aug 30 and Aug 31st
diddy
8 months ago
Effectively, 3-5 more hours and this ends. It’s Friday, who publishes polls after 17:00
n/a
8 months ago
New poll coming up @haterz
n/a
8 months ago
What does HaterzLoserz know that we don't lol?
n/a
8 months ago
What does HaterzLoserz know that we don't lol?
n/a
8 months ago
BIGGGG New Poll announced: https://x.com/IAPolls2022/status/1829562397939376480
n/a
8 months ago
Lol what do you mean?
UncleSmurf
8 months ago
Tick.
n/a
8 months ago
Tick what bro haha?
UncleSmurf
8 months ago
Tick.
n/a
8 months ago
Like August 30th is not on the graph yet, is it?
diddy
8 months ago
I am pretty sure data on the graph will update between August 31 00:00-06:00 am, which means that the market ends as soon as that happens. No one published polls at 3 am. If we don’t get polls in the next 6-9 hours, there won’t be anymore.
n/a
8 months ago
I think there needs to be a new poll before the result "updates"
n/a
8 months ago
If we follow last month's logic, Daily Kos/Civiqs should release their poll tomorrow and Kamala is projected to be between 5+ and 6+, which would bring her lead to 2.0 or 2.1 :)
n/a
8 months ago
I think RCP waits to have a poll for a specific day to release the "result" for that day, no?
diddy
8 months ago
Rules state that numbers will be compared ‘first’, the data is released for RCP, which is beginning of August 31, it will just inherit previous day’s data on the graph automatically, it says nowhere that the data will be taken by the end of day or once polls for 31 release.
n/a
8 months ago
If we follow last month's logic, Daily Kos/Civiqs should release their poll tomorrow and Kamala is projected to be between 5+ and 6+, which would bring her lead to 2.0 or 2.1 :)
n/a
8 months ago
Easy W for Kamala 🙏😍
n/a
8 months ago
Does the RMG Research poll ever count?
n/a
8 months ago
Is it safe to say that if HH comes with Trump +3, 1.8 will go down because their last HH Trump +4 is no longer included in the calculation?
Justifax
8 months ago
Also, this market won't resolve until the 31st is on the graph! Which means we need a poll which includes the 31st. That might not happen until next week.
n/a
8 months ago
I don't think so because it doesn't seem to be included in the current 1.8+... can @justifax correct me if im wrong?
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
But wait a minute, the last HH poll had Trump at +4, so it'd be a net gain, right?
n/a
8 months ago
you are correct
TheCoconut
8 months ago
I'm not sure if I completely understand this market - so it's saying if Harris' result is better on the 30th than the 23rd then she wins? And it's not compared to the 8th day poll - that day will just indicate the end of the seven day period?
n/a
8 months ago
Do you know when Kos/Civiqs Poll could drop?
Justifax
8 months ago
Let me be clear - other polls could drop other than HH and maybe HH won't drop in time (though it's monthly and will come eventually).
n/a
8 months ago
How about Daily Kos/Civiqs Poll?
Justifax
8 months ago
Harvard Harris came out on July 30th, it polls for July 26-28. It starts with direction of country which always polls badly and sets up people to vote against Incumbent. It's likely going to be +3 or more for Trump. Baseline is now 1.7 and if Pew drops off, things will drop.
n/a
8 months ago
You think HH will come out with a poll result post tomorrow?
Justifax
8 months ago
Harvard Harris came out on July 30th, it polls for July 26-28. It starts with direction of country which always polls badly and sets up people to vote against Incumbent. It's likely going to be +3 or more for Trump. Baseline is now 1.7 and if Pew drops off, things will drop.
n/a
8 months ago
Ahhhh fair enough... do we know which poll might be released tomorrow?
Justifax
8 months ago
FYI - this market won't resolve until there is a poll that includes Aug31st in its survey. At least this is my understanding.
n/a
8 months ago
Whys that?
Justifax
8 months ago
And of course the poll is included by RCP.
n/a
8 months ago
Pretty much comes down to if a poll comes out tomorrow, right?
Justifax
8 months ago
Imho this is 60/40 at best. One poll can either increase the 23rd value or decrease the 31st value.
n/a
8 months ago
31st value is irrelevant...
Justifax
8 months ago
Imho this is 60/40 at best. One poll can either increase the 23rd value or decrease the 31st value.
n/a
8 months ago
U selling bro?
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
New WSJ poll (RCP component) shows Kamala up 1, previously -2
n/a
8 months ago
Anyone know if some other polls might come out tomorrow?
n/a
8 months ago
Whats that reason @ballz?
Eyebrows
8 months ago
Lol, Fredi and Uma won't sell, and tons of Harris high-buyers are already loaded up, so the market stays put.
n/a
8 months ago
Now can we lose or no…?
n/a
8 months ago
Hahaha i dont bullshit bro
n/a
8 months ago
So apparently RCP will add IPSOS’s poll as it clearly has a 1 on 1 result (kamala +4). This should bring us to 1.8 🙏🙏🙏 https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/harris-has-small-lead-over-trump-latest-reutersipsos-poll
n/a
8 months ago
Here it is bro
Ferguson,Turd
8 months ago
lol what are u guys doing wheres muh 1.8?
n/a
8 months ago
Hahaha same we needed this poll!!!
emoney
8 months ago
It updated!
n/a
8 months ago
Told you bro 😏
emoney
8 months ago
It updated!
n/a
8 months ago
Yessir brotha 🙏🙏
n/a
8 months ago
So apparently RCP will add IPSOS’s poll as it clearly has a 1 on 1 result (kamala +4). This should bring us to 1.8 🙏🙏🙏 https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/harris-has-small-lead-over-trump-latest-reutersipsos-poll
n/a
8 months ago
Its IN!!!! +1.8 🙏🙏
n/a
8 months ago
So apparently RCP will add IPSOS’s poll as it clearly has a 1 on 1 result (kamala +4). This should bring us to 1.8 🙏🙏🙏 https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/harris-has-small-lead-over-trump-latest-reutersipsos-poll
n/a
8 months ago
Read the full release… has both
n/a
8 months ago
So apparently RCP will add IPSOS’s poll as it clearly has a 1 on 1 result (kamala +4). This should bring us to 1.8 🙏🙏🙏 https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/harris-has-small-lead-over-trump-latest-reutersipsos-poll
n/a
8 months ago
I got an email from them confirming it
n/a
8 months ago
So apparently RCP will add IPSOS’s poll as it clearly has a 1 on 1 result (kamala +4). This should bring us to 1.8 🙏🙏🙏 https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/harris-has-small-lead-over-trump-latest-reutersipsos-poll
n/a
8 months ago
So apparently RCP will add IPSOS’s poll as it clearly has a 1 on 1 result (kamala +4). This should bring us to 1.8 🙏🙏🙏 https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/harris-has-small-lead-over-trump-latest-reutersipsos-poll
n/a
8 months ago
Whens the last time it got released and what was the poll score for HH?
Justifax
8 months ago
Hmm, anyone know why Reuters wasn't added? If HH is added and stays the same and pew drops this will be at +1 harris.
n/a
8 months ago
Hh?
Justifax
8 months ago
Hmm, anyone know why Reuters wasn't added? If HH is added and stays the same and pew drops this will be at +1 harris.
n/a
8 months ago
Do we know if there is a chance?
jl3128776
8 months ago
If a single one of the older polls drop, Harris becomes 1.7 or 1.8
n/a
8 months ago
Any potential new polls coming?
n/a
8 months ago
Whos that?
AllForOne
8 months ago
Looks like @ripp changed ship
n/a
8 months ago
When is 1.7 coming? Next poll plzzz
n/a
8 months ago
Us kamala holders lol
Ferguson,Turd
8 months ago
lol what are u guys doing wheres muh 1.8?
n/a
8 months ago
So it already disdvantaged us?
Ferguson,Turd
8 months ago
lol what are u guys doing wheres muh 1.8?
n/a
8 months ago
Why u selling brooo?
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
New WSJ poll (RCP component) shows Kamala up 1, previously -2
n/a
8 months ago
Same @aaron hahaha now stressed out 🤣🤣
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
Are both head to head. It appeared to be, but I've missed something more than once on this trade.
n/a
8 months ago
Are we sure it will count lol?
diddy
8 months ago
Kamala back to 1.8 with latest WSJ, like Yahoo, it’s July, old poll, should be updated within an hour hopefully
n/a
8 months ago
Is it a two-way poll excluding rfk jr?
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
New WSJ poll (RCP component) shows Kamala up 1, previously -2
n/a
8 months ago
Was it in rcp before?
diddy
8 months ago
I pray this will be considered, gives Kamala points, it’s RCP
n/a
8 months ago
Anyone with info on other polls potentially dropping before this market resolves?
n/a
8 months ago
How do we know if they will take it off?
ACat
8 months ago
If the oldest poll falls off this also goes up to 1.7.
n/a
8 months ago
Any?
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
Are any polls coming off the average in time?
n/a
8 months ago
You mean day 0 number or today’s number?
ACat
8 months ago
- It frankly takes a lot for this to land at less than 50 and it’s at the extreme rounding edge of 1.6-1.7 at the moment.
n/a
8 months ago
You mean day 0 goes to 1.7 or today’s number?
ACat
8 months ago
If the oldest poll falls off this also goes up to 1.7.
n/a
8 months ago
Which one?
ACat
8 months ago
If the oldest poll falls off this also goes up to 1.7.
n/a
8 months ago
But is it 1.6 or 1.7 right now?
n/a
8 months ago
Yeah... any other chance at advantageous polls coming our way?
jl3128776
8 months ago
What’s wild is that if you take the actual average of the 9 data points, it’s 1.666. (15/9) But it rounds to 1.6
n/a
8 months ago
Should still be fine
n/a
8 months ago
Will they publish them? Can we email RCP?
diddy
8 months ago
Guys don’t panic, this is baiting attempt, Kamala still has much higher winning chance than Trump
n/a
8 months ago
Graph shows 1.6... where do you see 1.7?
diddy
8 months ago
Graph is taken into consideration not average, it is 1.7
n/a
8 months ago
Where do you see 1.7?
diddy
8 months ago
Kamala on day 0 was 1.6, now she is 1.7, all it takes is to get the same poll results or Kamala lead and Kamala wins, approx 27-33 hours left.
n/a
8 months ago
1.6 now or 1.7?
diddy
8 months ago
Kamala on day 0 was 1.6, now she is 1.7, all it takes is to get the same poll results or Kamala lead and Kamala wins, approx 27-33 hours left.
n/a
8 months ago
Any more polls favoring Kamala coming up on RCP?
diddy
8 months ago
Guys don’t panic, this is baiting attempt, Kamala still has much higher winning chance than Trump
n/a
8 months ago
it's 1.6...
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
It seemed like it was 1.5. Now it's saying 1.7 at Day 3
n/a
8 months ago
But how?
diddy
8 months ago
Guys don’t panic, this is baiting attempt, Kamala still has much higher winning chance than Trump
n/a
8 months ago
Why did it go down to 1.6?
diddy
8 months ago
Kamala is at risk, she can’t get shit poll points anymore
n/a
8 months ago
What is happening here?
n/a
8 months ago
Hahaha why u doing it bro
MalikNabers
8 months ago
Mostly me tbh, don’t mind me
n/a
8 months ago
Why is everyone buying TRUMP?
n/a
8 months ago
When do you think RCP will update their figures?
diddy
8 months ago
Math will add up with crazy polls incoming, it’s at 2.1 soon
n/a
8 months ago
ah if you have other opportunities
diddy
8 months ago
At 97, To bet on other things, who’s gonna wait 2 days
n/a
8 months ago
Why did you sold brooo?
diddy
8 months ago
JustKam sold 25k shares and turned against Kamala, fishy, I think this is not real Kamala’s profile!
n/a
8 months ago
USA Today has Kamala +5, right?
diddy
8 months ago
We also have another RCP poll, Reuters, +4 Kamala, she obliterates Trump
n/a
8 months ago
Whys that @truck
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
USA Today, an RCP average component is releasing it's first poll since Kamala entered the race.
n/a
8 months ago
Than her overall lead in RCP would be over +2.0?
diddy
8 months ago
Morning Consult gives higher points to Trump than Biden, historically, contrary to USA Today. Morning Consult is at +4 Kamala. USA Today may as well give her +5, I think this may be an unexpected shocker
n/a
8 months ago
Why is the share price still only at 75c with all the information pointing to the fact that Kamala can’t virtually lose this market?
n/a
8 months ago
Wouldn’t a +1 for Kamala bring her average down as its currently above that?
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
USA Today, an RCP average component is releasing it's first poll since Kamala entered the race.
n/a
8 months ago
Good or bad for kamala?
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
USA Today, an RCP average component is releasing it's first poll since Kamala entered the race.
n/a
8 months ago
LOL how will it resolve then?
🤺JustPunched
8 months ago
Durov was released from prison into a police car, and then released from the police car into a new cell.
n/a
8 months ago
And is Rasmussen releasing today or tomorrow??
diddy
8 months ago
For Trump to take a lead, he would need to have 12 point margin over Kamala, Today; yesterday it was 2. Good luck Trump holders, Thanks Fredi, ref. Rasmussen
n/a
8 months ago
So just Rasmussen?
diddy
8 months ago
For Trump to take a lead, he would need to have 12 point margin over Kamala, Today; yesterday it was 2. Good luck Trump holders, Thanks Fredi, ref. Rasmussen
n/a
8 months ago
How many more polls supposed to come out before this market ends?
diddy
8 months ago
For Trump to take a lead, he would need to have 12 point margin over Kamala, Today; yesterday it was 2. Good luck Trump holders, Thanks Fredi, ref. Rasmussen
n/a
8 months ago
Good for us ;)
L114
8 months ago
Rasmussen Head expected Trump +2 (-1 from last week).
n/a
8 months ago
So this market is set in stone…?
diddy
8 months ago
Actually 2 points from Rasmussen loool, ok; this is very likely to end Trump +1, giving Kamala 2 additional points, averaging to 2.1
n/a
8 months ago
So I should put my whole wallet?
diddy
8 months ago
Yes!
n/a
8 months ago
You 100% sure Kamala wins this market?
diddy
8 months ago
Actually, this is a guarantee Kamala win because of CBS poll which will count for August 30, 31, and give her more points. So to say if other polls don’t buff her up bad.
n/a
8 months ago
yes
Bestt
8 months ago
YES or NO
n/a
8 months ago
Will that have a positive impact on the RCP for Kamala? Or will stay at 1.7?
diddy
8 months ago
https://x.com/mark_r_mitchell/status/1828161217526939802?s=46&t=_7tYBcMVFR6IgKD4ztkf-Q
n/a
8 months ago
When are new poll results supposed to come out for this?
n/a
8 months ago
You guys should load up on YES
Sit
8 months ago
Stop commenting and load up while it’s cheap
n/a
8 months ago
Why bro?
Car
8 months ago
Im starting to feel bad for YES holders.
n/a
8 months ago
yessir
SkillzThatKillz
8 months ago
On pace for 42 as of 10pm ET
n/a
8 months ago
NO holders bout to get burntttt https://www.wired.com/story/telegram-pavel-durov-arrest-investigation-allegations/
n/a
8 months ago
POISON
factman
8 months ago
does JD even have any guaranteed phrases
n/a
8 months ago
no pace of 40.. will be tight
SkillzThatKillz
8 months ago
On pace for 42 as of 10pm ET
n/a
8 months ago
Thats a great reason
BlackSky123
8 months ago
Probably not.
n/a
8 months ago
Based on what?
BlackSky123
8 months ago
Probably not.
n/a
8 months ago
Yes on 35-39 is the play ;)
n/a
8 months ago
Why not?
Car
8 months ago
its not looking good for freedom believers
n/a
8 months ago
Yeah but wasnt that already known?
Car
8 months ago
imagine extending his detention to wednesday if you think he is fine to go
n/a
8 months ago
LOL 4 days ago?
bogged
8 months ago
hmmm 1b in thailand, it's jumping!
n/a
8 months ago
Why are people panic selling Harris... Am I missing something?
n/a
8 months ago
20 years of prison for what?
CinBizPro
8 months ago
He's a flight risk and faces 20 years in prison. No chance he's getting out this week. They will start pre trial proceedings before the 96 hour mark.
n/a
8 months ago
Same lol got scared
Arbiter-of-Truth
8 months ago
I'm confused why somebody market bought so much... i thought he had been released or something lmao
n/a
8 months ago
Based on that, when do you think he will be "released"?
tsybka
8 months ago
part 2 - https://x.com/polytsybka/status/1828082303752691878
n/a
8 months ago
how easy?
MrNFT
8 months ago
Easy patriots win
n/a
8 months ago
Yeah, I spoke to a few UMA whales personally and seems like YES holders should start to freak out for real hahaha
MOA
8 months ago
The UMA vote isn’t looking good, all the whales have their thumb on the scale…..
n/a
9 months ago
Shes not coming 🤣
Nancy-Pelosi
9 months ago
I'm confused, why is this market at 79c when she isn't on the schedule? https://demconvention.com/events/main-programming-4/
n/a
9 months ago
Yeah thats what i heard too
Car
9 months ago
ahh... Beyonce is not coming?
n/a
9 months ago
Source?
ANudeEgg
9 months ago
Jay-Z spotted at Chicago Four Seasons.
n/a
9 months ago
Omg taylor’s jet just landed in chicago!!!! 😍😍😍🙏🙏
n/a
9 months ago
Wth is happening?
n/a
9 months ago
Haha NO is a done deal u think?
🤺JustPunched
9 months ago
Update on today's protest -- they are sitting in lawn chairs, hanging out and chatting -- https://twitter.com/nicholaswu12/status/1826664309352718355
n/a
9 months ago
Do we know the clade of that Detroit case or not yet?
n/a
9 months ago
same guys these dummies don't know the rules lol
aenews2
9 months ago
Is that 100+?
n/a
9 months ago
they suck eh? hahaha
Car
9 months ago
no amount of training is gonna help them lol
n/a
9 months ago
He won't say abortion... way too much of a controversial word... he will say "reproductive rights"
n/a
9 months ago
did they beat the game?
Car
9 months ago
they died 40 times before even reaching the end lol
n/a
9 months ago
yeah but those won't count towards the count... read the rules lol
DeucePapi
9 months ago
Arrests happening https://x.com/NeverFringe62/status/1826429509723398610
n/a
9 months ago
I cant find you haha... Can you say "HI" in the GENERAL PM chat?
Remontada
9 months ago
Yeah sure, I'm in the Poly discord. Also with a Seinfeld pfp
n/a
9 months ago
Makes sense, are you on DISCORD? Would love to chat and exchange tips together :)
Remontada
9 months ago
My position was massively oversized in relation to my bankroll. I'm diversifying.
n/a
9 months ago
Why did you sell all?
Remontada
9 months ago
I know. But it is nearly certainly Clade II.
n/a
9 months ago
Confirmed what?
realplayz
9 months ago
THEY JUST CONFIRMED
n/a
9 months ago
yeah... think she will speak for sure eh?
homosexual
9 months ago
she literally grew up in Chicago
n/a
9 months ago
But do you have a source or relevant info pounting to the fact that she will be there and speak?
TheCoconut
9 months ago
@Worldfox21 - I wondered if she'd skip but I think the optics would be bad for either her and / or Kamala if she didn't speak when she has always
n/a
9 months ago
Exactly lol… schedule of speakers is not even out yet, those N holders are delusional. You also think it’s a lock, right shes coming to speak?
TheCoconut
9 months ago
She's spoken at the last several conventions. You think with the first female black nominee that the most popular person in the Democratic party who also happens to be a black woman wouldn't speak?
n/a
9 months ago
would it count?
🤺JustPunched
9 months ago
This nerd better mention crypto.
n/a
9 months ago
Is MAGA 5+ dead lol?
X9504
9 months ago
Add "Sophia Loren" to the next market please
n/a
9 months ago
No
IONLYBETONX
9 months ago
not a single maga yet?...
n/a
9 months ago
Are we dead on MAGA 5+?
X9504
9 months ago
Let's go my fellow little tampons
n/a
9 months ago
is MAGA 5+ dead?
X9504
9 months ago
"She's been against fracking since the day she was born" he's so funny
n/a
9 months ago
:((((
childhoodstutterokok
9 months ago
https://x.com/yrnISA23/status/1824659281402097895
n/a
9 months ago
Shit im cooked...
MPOXpositive
9 months ago
The WHO crowd knew that Europe already had several cases for a few weeks, a handful of EU countries reported suddenly cases. Assholes
n/a
9 months ago
What time should they come out ?
AccountNames
9 months ago
First reports are looking like 18M for Friday. Under 44 is really in play. Wow
n/a
9 months ago
I see... but 30c on NO for less than 40m seems crazy low for now no?
AccountNames
9 months ago
First reports are looking like 18M for Friday. Under 44 is really in play. Wow
n/a
9 months ago
Really think it will be below 44m?
AccountNames
9 months ago
First reports are looking like 18M for Friday. Under 44 is really in play. Wow
n/a
9 months ago
True, but "prominent role" kinda hints at it no...? Do we know when official speakers schedule comes out?
7153649820
9 months ago
https://www.rollingstone.com/tv-movies/tv-movie-news/stephen-colbert-late-show-dnc-hillary-clinton-nancy-pelosi-1235082123/. Near the end of the article: "The event will take place at the United Center with Biden, Barrack and Michelle Obama, and Bill and Hillary Clinton all expected to speak."
n/a
9 months ago
Already case in Sweden and Pakistan Should just be a matter of days for one to test positive in the USA, no?
n/a
9 months ago
Yeah I feel you... just can't see the content of the article since I'm not a member lol.
7153649820
9 months ago
https://www.rollingstone.com/tv-movies/tv-movie-news/stephen-colbert-late-show-dnc-hillary-clinton-nancy-pelosi-1235082123/. Near the end of the article: "The event will take place at the United Center with Biden, Barrack and Michelle Obama, and Bill and Hillary Clinton all expected to speak."
n/a
9 months ago
Hahaha any other source?... not sure I believe it
7153649820
9 months ago
https://www.rollingstone.com/tv-movies/tv-movie-news/stephen-colbert-late-show-dnc-hillary-clinton-nancy-pelosi-1235082123/. Near the end of the article: "The event will take place at the United Center with Biden, Barrack and Michelle Obama, and Bill and Hillary Clinton all expected to speak."
n/a
9 months ago
CHATGPT doesnt know lol... probably first case coming next week... Wish I sold my shares :(
ManL
9 months ago
Chat gpt says the probability of a case of Claude1 occurring in the United States is very low
n/a
9 months ago
Think Michelle will speak too?
0xD9A5b1004d2f00016ECb5Bf133127bAA5c869430-1718392435462
9 months ago
Barack and Michelle Obama are expected to have prominent roles in Chicago, with the former president said to be given the headlining speaking slot on Tuesday night. The Obamas have endorsed Harris, though the formal endorsement came several days after she announced she would run in Biden's place.
n/a
9 months ago
Oh shit.... its cooked
sharky🦈🦈🦈
9 months ago
Monkey pox now detected in pakistan
n/a
9 months ago
Does not mean anything
n/a
9 months ago
Update from training camp: https://x.com/grantcohn/status/1823796911977193705
n/a
9 months ago
Why are people buying 49ers when it's confirmed he's headed to Pittsburg?
n/a
9 months ago
Do you think she will speak? Any source?
bettingboy
9 months ago
Why is Michelle going down?
n/a
9 months ago
What do we think of Michelle Obama
n/a
9 months ago
Yes, I believe those HK medals count towards China
0xE42c9d2ef
9 months ago
Interesting thing is that Hong Kong is part of China, literally in the name that they joined the olympics with. Since they have 2 gold medals it should put China at 39 gold medals right now
n/a
9 months ago
USA wins
jfgx1353
9 months ago
If China and the United States win the same number of gold MEDALS, how will it be calculated?
n/a
9 months ago
USA
n/a
9 months ago
No liquidity :(
n/a
9 months ago
Which athletics you referring to besides 200m?
diddy
9 months ago
ok now if china doesnt win ill be angry I swear
n/a
9 months ago
no chance china wins lol
diddy
9 months ago
ok now if china doesnt win ill be angry I swear
n/a
9 months ago
OMG WTF
n/a
9 months ago
Which certain golds lol?
TheOneB
9 months ago
china making a absolute comeback and USA losing multiple certain golds, amazing
n/a
9 months ago
Who?
BigMike11
9 months ago
Insider buying no at 23...
n/a
9 months ago
Ohh and is there somewhere to see initial results?
sx23296
9 months ago
No, it sometimes happens that there are small differences between the various sources. They have their own methods of calculation.
n/a
9 months ago
But usually, shouldn't they all point to the same results?
sx23296
9 months ago
It doesn't matter what other sources announce. Only https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt is important.
n/a
9 months ago
Why is YES still trading at $0.76 when it was announced that July 2024 is the SECOND hottest on record?
n/a
9 months ago
Which remaining events do you have USA gold?
FrankyFourFingers
9 months ago
I have the USA at 44 golds atm
n/a
9 months ago
At this point, it's pretty much settled USA wins
n/a
9 months ago
But will the shares still be available for claim?
BrokenIKey
9 months ago
if the volume s low and the spread high it goes crazy.
n/a
9 months ago
No lol
Gena🐊
9 months ago
Polymarket has overriden it seems!!
n/a
9 months ago
GG, bye bye Maduro!
n/a
9 months ago
It's over... Sell your Maduro YES shares before they are worth $0.00
n/a
9 months ago
where did u see this?
Bank.
9 months ago
Shapiro shooting hoops at home with his son blowing off some steam after the long weekend of interviews. It's officially Walz.
n/a
9 months ago
Walz got this
n/a
9 months ago
Gonzalez YES let's gooo
n/a
9 months ago
source?
Bank.
9 months ago
Gwen Walz wife of Tim Walz has booked travel to Philadelphia tomorrow per government spokesperson on reuters.
n/a
9 months ago
Link? Source?
pr1235
9 months ago
SOURCES: Tim Walz will be the VP choice, announced tomorrow morning.
n/a
9 months ago
GG
n/a
9 months ago
Exactly...
5to5000
9 months ago
The fact that Walz came out of nowhere on a legit groundswell of support, and Shapiro is coasting along mostly on a cynical electoral mindset shows that Walz has the real energy of people. Would be a mistake to pick Shapiro with that in mind.
n/a
9 months ago
It's over for China... don't even think they will reach 30 GOLDs
n/a
9 months ago
Tim Walz it is!!!!!!
n/a
9 months ago
Can't wait for this P2 to close and finally resolve as Gonzalez YES
n/a
9 months ago
Why would it not? He won lol
Monka
9 months ago
If it's resole it as Edmundo win, I will leave this platform. Absolute scum
n/a
9 months ago
P2 Gonzalez YES!!! Evidence has been proven
n/a
9 months ago
US should still win the most golds comfortably...
KingofRingx3
9 months ago
Yep 2nd and 3rd for US.
n/a
9 months ago
Another choke in 200m W swimming...
n/a
9 months ago
no lol
GoblinMilk
9 months ago
If Ledecky doesn't win women's 800m take that as a sign and sell your USA shares
n/a
9 months ago
chokeeee
KingofRingx3
9 months ago
Us just joked in 400mx4. "It would be a sensation if the US doesnt win 4x400m"
n/a
9 months ago
yes totally... track and field ;)
Culture
9 months ago
Is it normal that the U.S. still trails China in gold medals?
n/a
9 months ago
Sooo worth it to buy some more at $0.23?
factman
9 months ago
the protests are starting. maduro holders, enjoy! :)
n/a
9 months ago
Hahaha what do you think is the % chance of it closing EDMUNDO YES?
factman
9 months ago
the protests are starting. maduro holders, enjoy! :)
n/a
9 months ago
true true...
ssha5140
9 months ago
USA is overpriced. About to go silver in Golf, and USA T&F was looking in poor form. Does not bode well for America.
n/a
9 months ago
Gold in shooting coming
ssha5140
9 months ago
USA is overpriced. About to go silver in Golf, and USA T&F was looking in poor form. Does not bode well for America.
n/a
9 months ago
Can someone resolve as P2... Edmundo Gonzalez YES?
n/a
9 months ago
Congrats sir $$$
n/a
9 months ago
hi
n/a
9 months ago
https://x.com/NFL/status/1819205879990047185
Wiz_0066
9 months ago
“If the game ends in a tie, is canceled, or delayed beyond August 8, this market will resolve to 50-50.” The game was DELAYED, then ultimately CANCELLED before completion. Game will not resume prior to August 8. Market shall resolve 50/50.
n/a
9 months ago
Game is over as per the NFL... Bears won
Wiz_0066
9 months ago
“If the game ends in a tie, is canceled, or delayed beyond August 8, this market will resolve to 50-50.” The game was DELAYED, then ultimately CANCELLED before completion. Game will not resume prior to August 8. Market shall resolve 50/50.
n/a
9 months ago
Game is already over... will resolve in BEARS win, right?
n/a
9 months ago
How confident are we that Edmundo YES settles?
Flipp
9 months ago
ThrivingLeverag... bought 1,792 Yes for Edmundo González at 39.6¢ ($709) HE'S BACK!
n/a
9 months ago
Thanks mate
Anon5215
9 months ago
@Flipp We're in this together, let's win it
n/a
9 months ago
No chance bro
ThrivingLeverage
9 months ago
Polymarket is censoring my messages. Maybe it will settle No, before CNE results because the wholething is rigged in favor of U.S policy
n/a
9 months ago
Lets go boys!!!
Anon5215
9 months ago
@Flipp We're in this together, let's win it
n/a
9 months ago
why not buy all at $0.88 hahaha?
🤺JustPunched
9 months ago
NFL says its 21-17 Final score, Bears win (as expected): https://twitter.com/NFL/status/1819205879990047185
n/a
9 months ago
Bye bye Maduro YES holders... must wish you sold your shares at $0.99? hahahaha $$$$
n/a
9 months ago
So you think USA is still favorite by a lot considering the sports / events left to be played?
SmartG
9 months ago
This is crazy, China underperform in swimming and gymnastics, gonna have less than 30 gold
n/a
9 months ago
Are we allowed to vote on UMA? Who votes on this?
factman
9 months ago
The likely results of the resolution/review are going to be here in 15 minutes as they depend on the UMA vote. https://vote.uma.xyz/
n/a
9 months ago
What does this mean? I am new to this and unsure how it all works hahah
factman
9 months ago
The likely results of the resolution/review are going to be here in 15 minutes as they depend on the UMA vote. https://vote.uma.xyz/
n/a
9 months ago
Nice, thanks for sharing. Is this an "official source'
factman
9 months ago
REAL RESULTS - https://resultadosconvzla.com/
n/a
9 months ago
Much more credible than CNE's "results"...
Miau
9 months ago
There is an unofficial website offered by María Corina Machado and Edmundo González to verify the official records. This page shows Edmundo as the winner, contradicting the CNE's announcement.
n/a
9 months ago
What is the OAS hearing?
BigMikeL
9 months ago
the final dispute wouldn’t be set to after the OAS hearing then.
n/a
9 months ago
Based on your experience, do you think they will?
VibesGreaterRules
9 months ago
General Note: you aren't betting on who won the election - you are betting on how Polymarket and UMA will interpret the rules, and whether they will go with the official CNE declaration.
n/a
9 months ago
Those YES MARUDO holders better sell really quick hahaha
Erfank
9 months ago
OMG! https://x.com/carlaangola/status/1818060382587556203
n/a
9 months ago
Do we know when?
0xBdA66338abEA664ca7EC717cfC12C4c3e536De93-1721707590808
9 months ago
Edmundo will publish a website to verify votes where citizens can place their identification and confirm their votes and minutes with all the numbers for the whole world to validate, meaning victory will clearly be proven and validated
n/a
9 months ago
FUERA MADURO!!!
n/a
9 months ago
Seems pretty sealed for Edmundo to win, no
BigMikeL
9 months ago
Finaly review just posted. Decision will come after the OAS hearing wednesday
n/a
9 months ago
Does this mean most likely a YES for Maduro even though nothing is final right now in Venezuela?
Leonicron
9 months ago
Final review in two days
n/a
9 months ago
MADURO YES shares going down by the second!!!! ITS OVER!!!!
n/a
9 months ago
People holding "YES MADURO" should sell all their shares before its too late and they are worth $0... I know international diplomats are on their way to Venezuela or already in the country to ensure fair counting of the votes... Thus kicking Maduro OUT!!!!
n/a
9 months ago
You won't win lol
Amerblack
9 months ago
So when can I cashback my money??
n/a
9 months ago
How could it be overturned you think?
factman
9 months ago
Well, prepare your popcorn. Today we'll see if things can be flipped or no (as unlikely as it seems, still worth seeing). To all those considering betting on the underdog, just please ensure it's money you can write off completely.
n/a
9 months ago
What would it resolve to in this case?
Justifax
9 months ago
If everyone in the world agrees it's a rigged election, Polymarket can't really rubber stamp it.
n/a
9 months ago
Any way it can be overturned?
Gena🐊
9 months ago
They say they've won. And to keep the peace. It seems like the "Government of Venezuela" has gave the victory to Chavez yet the "Government of Venezuela" to Esmundo Gonzalez. Guys lets resolve this at 50/50 😂
n/a
9 months ago
What are they saying? Any way to challenge and overturn? I don't speak spanish :(
BigLoser
9 months ago
https://x.com/MariaCorinaYA/status/1817788867493146770
n/a
9 months ago
What does that mean? I am new to this haha
VibesGreaterRules
9 months ago
Typically official information (the primary source) should trump the consensus of media reporting (secondary source - used primarily as a backup).
n/a
9 months ago
Is there any chance of a turnaround?
chrissueco
9 months ago
well, now afterwards we can confidently say it was rigged all along. We all knew the risks when placing our bets though, right? I honestly thought there was a tiny chance this time around but always knew Maduro could fuck us. Didn't expect to be this brutal and quick though haha
n/a
9 months ago
Is the “maduro win” final or opposition can challenge and it can be overturned?
n/a
9 months ago
noo
BigHomie
9 months ago
Market end date comes in 38 minutes. Anyone want to try resolving? Says we don't need official results 👀
n/a
9 months ago
Is this the total vote count? Think guaranteed 100% Maduro loses?
yoonmarketenjoyer
9 months ago
https://i.4cdn.org/pol/1722221523601178.jpg UHHH MR PRESIDENT? ARE YOU OK?
n/a
9 months ago
You think Maduro is winning?
blackarepa1
9 months ago
guys,, i'm form Venezuela. for now chill.
n/a
10 months ago
Look at this: https://x.com/JoeBiden/status/1814801526507917765
n/a
10 months ago
https://x.com/JoeBiden/status/1814801526507917765
n/a
10 months ago
You don't even have open positions hahahhaa?
ItsJeover
10 months ago
I'm about to make so much f'ing money off you dipshits 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡
n/a
10 months ago
Biden is not dropping out... honestly it's free money at this point
VictoryTime
10 months ago
Biden: I cannot be convinced to drop out by anyone, period. ----- Democratic leaders: We are trying hard to convince Biden to drop out ------Biden No Betters: That means Biden will drop out!