riskfree

Trump wins every swing state?

riskfree

5 months ago

Yes votes are out of their minds, even if you accept a 50/50 tossup you have to compound that across each state (0.5 ^ 7→ 0.007, a 0.7% chance)

1

Democratic Nominee 2024

riskfree

8 months ago

"Jaime Harrison, the party chair, said Ms. Harris’s nomination would become official after the party’s highly unusual, virtual roll call vote ends on Monday"

1

popsa2001

8 months ago

I entered into this market based on the understanding that the democratic nominee would confirmed as a celebration during the democratic national convention. This election has been a moving target with the democratic party changing rules which is why so many people have traded an enormous amount of money with polymarket under the understanding that it would be a fair process. Now I think its only fair that the markret makers wait until a week or two after the democratic national convention and that the democratic nominee has been legally confirmed not just hearsay off a website and that all other betting sites have closed their positions first. Polymarket has a very good reputation and I hope they hear what we the customers are asking for. Thank you

What will Trump say during his Bitcoin Conference speech?

riskfree

8 months ago

lol "stockpile"

4