#171
Rank
139
Comments
74
Likes Received
38
Likes Given
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
Erasmus
8 months ago
It'd be so funny
4
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Erasmus
9 months ago
what
0
Will Biden finish his term?
Erasmus
10 months ago
Nothing. Ever. Happens.
0
Who will be inaugurated as President?
Erasmus
10 months ago
gg
4
anonboi
10 months ago
gg
Who will be inaugurated as President?
Erasmus
10 months ago
Time decay is supposed to go up, not down
16
Will Biden finish his term?
Erasmus
10 months ago
Not as long as Biden doesn't have a very hard fall
6
Amfortas
10 months ago
@Erasmus My friend, get ready for a very hard fall =)
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Erasmus
10 months ago
kamala harris can still win if kamala harris has the courage
0
Erasmus
10 months ago
Lt. Aldo Raine : Y'know... Utivich 'n myself heard that deal you made with the brass. "End the war tonight"?... I'd make that deal. How 'bout you Utivich, you make that deal?
Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in…?
Erasmus
10 months ago
Lt. Aldo Raine : Y'know... Utivich 'n myself heard that deal you made with the brass. "End the war tonight"?... I'd make that deal. How 'bout you Utivich, you make that deal?
0
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?
Erasmus
10 months ago
Jesse what the fuck are you talking about
2
Who will be inaugurated as President?
Erasmus
10 months ago
Can we add Chuck Grassley as an option
7
Who will be inaugurated as President?
Erasmus
10 months ago
What are these comments...
2
Will Biden finish his term?
Erasmus
10 months ago
crazy people
3
APTEMBIXOV
10 months ago
Who’s betting big on this
Will Biden resign in 2024?
Erasmus
11 months ago
are you trying to give me a heart attack
3
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Erasmus
11 months ago
Hail Satan
3
Will Biden finish his term?
Erasmus
11 months ago
Of course he won't
1
Sky999
11 months ago
why do you sold @Erasmus? Are you scared?
Will Biden finish his term?
Erasmus
11 months ago
I was thinking of moving money into betting more on Biden not pardoning Hunter. Same timeline but triple the payout. https://polymarket.com/event/will-joe-pardon-hunter-biden?tid=1732888001564
3
Sky999
11 months ago
why do you sold @Erasmus? Are you scared?
Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?
Erasmus
11 months ago
order up at 9c, expires tonight
0
ExhaustedBoyBilly
11 months ago
oh fuck what have I done
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
Erasmus
11 months ago
Tis better to have bet and busted than never to have bet at all.
4
IllegalAlien👽
11 months ago
Hunter won't be pardoned, he won't even get a sentence worth commuting. Yes holders are setting themselves up for failure. Biden won't pardon him.
Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?
Erasmus
11 months ago
A meme is not an announcement
4
OHCANADA
11 months ago
"An announcement by Elon Musk, MSNBC, or the acquiring entity will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition or launch is ultimately completed." dude its all but a wrap.
Who will be inaugurated as President?
Erasmus
11 months ago
Do things ever happen?
4
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
Erasmus
0 years ago
I keep trying to let them go up but it seems you guys always sell when it does
0
Piece
0 years ago
I have never been a gambler, I heard about polymarket in the news and came here for curiosity. The only market that attracted me is this one, I felt there was some catch. I digged deep, the catch is Erasmus! This market has a cheap Yes because of erasmus. I will never put a penny in polymarket or in any gambling ither than this market because it is a real golden chance and free money. Thank Erasmus!
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
Erasmus
0 years ago
Yeah there's a lot of markets on this site that are mispriced because of one or two traders with more money than sense.
1
Piece
0 years ago
I have never been a gambler, I heard about polymarket in the news and came here for curiosity. The only market that attracted me is this one, I felt there was some catch. I digged deep, the catch is Erasmus! This market has a cheap Yes because of erasmus. I will never put a penny in polymarket or in any gambling ither than this market because it is a real golden chance and free money. Thank Erasmus!
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?
Erasmus
0 years ago
good advice
0
debased
0 years ago
serious recommendation - if you are looking for a longshot bet, go bet on biden not finising his term. he is in a worse condition than khamenei and the market expires 20 days later than this one .
Will Biden finish his term?
Erasmus
0 years ago
https://www.reuters.com/world/biden-visits-amazon-rainforest-en-route-g20-summit-2024-11-17/ I hope they have him in some kind of popemobile
5
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?
Erasmus
0 years ago
maybe he's sleepwalking
3
XiJinPing
0 years ago
new video of khamenei meeting leaders yesterday lmaoooo
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?
Erasmus
0 years ago
Just go on the internet and spread rumors about an aging dictator?
0
Erasmus
0 years ago
You really think someone would do that?
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?
Erasmus
0 years ago
You really think someone would do that?
0
Who will be the Speaker of the House?
Erasmus
1 year ago
I'll flip to No if it makes you feel better my friend
0
nicekitty
1 year ago
was feeling good about the top 5 yes holders p/l and then got to Erasmus...
Will Biden finish his term?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Already happened!
3
ObamaMan101
1 year ago
I'm praying on @Erasmus downfall. i'm on my knees right now praying please god
Will Biden finish his term?
Erasmus
1 year ago
fortunately he's very healthy
1
JohnTitor777
1 year ago
So it will resolve to NO if resigns and or dies?
Will Biden finish his term?
Erasmus
1 year ago
This is not exactly the best forum for an honest exchange of information
1
Amfortas
1 year ago
@Erasmus I will give you a coupon for shopping at Ikea - A chair and a piece of rope ;)
Will Biden finish his term?
Erasmus
1 year ago
no my claim is that I am clearly a terrible trader and everyone should take my limit orders
0
Amfortas
1 year ago
@Erasmus I will give you a coupon for shopping at Ikea - A chair and a piece of rope ;)
Will Biden finish his term?
Erasmus
1 year ago
I did in fact bet two million on harris with this account.
0
Amfortas
1 year ago
@Erasmus I will give you a coupon for shopping at Ikea - A chair and a piece of rope ;)
Will Biden finish his term?
Erasmus
1 year ago
I have lots of profits but they go to another school
1
Amfortas
1 year ago
@Erasmus I will give you a coupon for shopping at Ikea - A chair and a piece of rope ;)
Will Biden finish his term?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Unfortunately, Polymarket stubbornly refuses to list the profits I made betting on trump in other prediction markets
0
Amfortas
1 year ago
@Erasmus I will give you a coupon for shopping at Ikea - A chair and a piece of rope ;)
Will Biden finish his term?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Clerical error
0
Amfortas
1 year ago
@Erasmus I will give you a coupon for shopping at Ikea - A chair and a piece of rope ;)
Will Biden finish his term?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Ikea is pretty expensive, not sure it's in my budget.
0
Amfortas
1 year ago
@Erasmus I will give you a coupon for shopping at Ikea - A chair and a piece of rope ;)
Will Biden finish his term?
Erasmus
1 year ago
It's all a question of what price @C5E wants to buy at
0
YatSen
1 year ago
@Erasmus push up !
Will Biden finish his term?
Erasmus
1 year ago
The deep state actually replaced Joe with a body double after he died of Covid, no way the body double dies too.
4
Amfortas
1 year ago
@Erasmus You are a very naive person ;)
Will Biden finish his term?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Kamala Harris can still win if Kamala Harris has the courage
2
Erasmus
1 year ago
Who's the 2 million at 95c?
Will Biden finish his term?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Who's the 2 million at 95c?
1
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Oh wow minus 2 million? Doesn't sound right to me, must be some kind of clerical error. I'll be speaking to my accountants.
1
Erasmus
1 year ago
I have a pretty good track record, you guys should think twice about taking my orders.
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Just carrying on the proud tradition of batman
3
Erasmus
1 year ago
I have a pretty good track record, you guys should think twice about taking my orders.
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
Erasmus
1 year ago
I have a pretty good track record, you guys should think twice about taking my orders.
4
Will Biden finish his term?
Erasmus
1 year ago
This is how I make back all the money I lost on Kamala
12
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Welcome to the circus
1
Pidor🐓
1 year ago
who filled me. this is magatardo money for post-election .. too early
Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Probably
1
Bitcoin new all time high in 2024?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Great chart
0
Israel military action against Iraq before November?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Which one is Iraq again?
3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Something happening? In this economy?
2
Israel military action against Iraq before November?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Finally, a worthy opponent!
0
Shekel
1 year ago
By the way, previous 100K+ Yes holder @aenews2 switched to 70K+ No position. She was also active spreading bullsh*t on Uma discord. This is how it works 🤘
Israel military action against Iraq before November?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Polymarket heard out the reasons already, and made a decision.
1
Erasmus
1 year ago
Can one of you go start a crazy twitter thread to bring in more illiterates
Israel military action against Iraq before November?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Can one of you go start a crazy twitter thread to bring in more illiterates
1
Israel military action against Iraq before November?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Whites of their eyes, boys
0
Israel military action against Iraq before November?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Woah
0
Will Joe Rogan announce he is voting for Trump?
Erasmus
1 year ago
@germanicus why?
3
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Are you winning, son?
0
Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Please stop taking my orders, I need this money to bet on Kamala winning
3
Democratic VP nominee on election day?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Okay but why Andy Beshear
0
ProteinProsecco
1 year ago
The leak is real.
Democratic VP nominee on election day?
Erasmus
1 year ago
@ProteinProsecco You sure?
1
Will Trump drop out of presidential race?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Move that big order a bit higher and I'm interested
2
Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?
Erasmus
1 year ago
https://polymarket.com/event/abc-whistleblower-report-released-by-sunday
0
JP1993
1 year ago
You're gonna have to puke your position soon. The information is literally being released now.
Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?
Erasmus
1 year ago
@JP1993 How much you want?
1
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Why tweet this instead of clearing the book, if true?
0
nik - 1624
1 year ago
Seems like token is deployed now : https://x.com/Dumpster_DAO/status/1845547705604751768?t=xFdgzcJuvnxrWR2rIxpTyQ&s=19
Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Sure. What do you think is the fair price?
0
CansGonzalez
1 year ago
Buy more no
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Erasmus
1 year ago
The 30k share wall that no one is taking seems to indicate otherwise. UMA gets messy.
3
Mountainman
1 year ago
They legit have no escape on this one. None whatsoever. Dead to rights. Cheating whales losing 6 figures. Glorious.
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Lebanon-Tier price chart if this goes down again
6
Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Are the inside sources in the room with us now?
0
handiggity
1 year ago
I have heard from inside sources this is going to blow up big time
Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Come on, folks
2
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Can someone just ask Kevin what he thinks now so we save time on the dispute?
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Huh might go Yes after all.
0
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Which?
0
Justifax
1 year ago
In the last UMA vote that went p4 there was 2M on yes. Something to keep in mind.
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Erasmus
1 year ago
There's not enough new information since the proposal that would change a P4 to a P2. Seems to be a lot more experienced users on NO, who have seen a lot of UMA disputes and would have sold by now if they thought UMA was going to flip. There also seems to be no desire from Polymarket to clarify.
2
HsB34sgg
1 year ago
What gives you those vibes?
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Erasmus
1 year ago
The vibes for team no seem pretty strong, my honest advice is that yes holders should sell now while they can. It's not pretty but that's the system.
1
Biden removed via 25th Amendment?
Erasmus
1 year ago
@Arbguy what do you think you're arbing, exactly?
0
Will Biden resign before the election?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Put up a limit order for 300k shares and I'm sure someone will take it. Unless your posting random tweets has scared everyone else off. Very strong evidence, I don't know how I'll sleep now.
3
Mountainman
1 year ago
16 Billion dollars from FTX is about to be released back into the crypto market, yet people are willing to park their money for 3 months, and risk a 100% loss for a measly 3% return on an 81 year old that has already been pushed aside from his party, not resigning. Imagine watching the crypto market fly as your money is parked here, holding on for your tiny little return, only to wake up one morning and seeing that it went to ZERO. “NO” holders must hate money.
Will Biden resign before the election?
Erasmus
1 year ago
One month.
5
Mountainman
1 year ago
16 Billion dollars from FTX is about to be released back into the crypto market, yet people are willing to park their money for 3 months, and risk a 100% loss for a measly 3% return on an 81 year old that has already been pushed aside from his party, not resigning. Imagine watching the crypto market fly as your money is parked here, holding on for your tiny little return, only to wake up one morning and seeing that it went to ZERO. “NO” holders must hate money.
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Sure about this, Yaremi?
0
Will Zelensky meet with Trump in September?
Erasmus
1 year ago
New running mate after he gets rid of vance
0
🤺JustPunched
1 year ago
He's going to meet him and KIDNAP HIM.
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
Erasmus
1 year ago
@Mountainman I think a lot of crypto will crash after Trump loses but I welcome other investment advice
3
DFK
1 year ago
I'm new here, so Hello. Here is my take. Not going to happen (obviously), but 79c 4 months away is probably not the best we can get. I think this kind of market gets juicy towards the end of Biden's term, when the cray-cray think it will happen. So: safe now, but I'd bet on a better entry point when some news hits, about Hunter's sentencing or about Biden's sanity.
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Persuasive, I'll drop my limit orders again.
1
DFK
1 year ago
I'm new here, so Hello. Here is my take. Not going to happen (obviously), but 79c 4 months away is probably not the best we can get. I think this kind of market gets juicy towards the end of Biden's term, when the cray-cray think it will happen. So: safe now, but I'd bet on a better entry point when some news hits, about Hunter's sentencing or about Biden's sanity.
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Actually I'm hoping to bait people into buying it back up to 28.
1
Bocamadman
1 year ago
Erasmus can you bring this down to like 16-17 so I can load the boat?
Will Nebraska switch to winner-take-all?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Instead of buying this first I probably should have just bought more Kamala
0
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
Erasmus
1 year ago
Will we see you in the November market?
0
BellyGiggles
1 year ago
anyway congratulation for every winner guys
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
Erasmus
1 year ago
That's not your alt?
1
BellyGiggles
1 year ago
where is bro basedboi
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
Erasmus
1 year ago
After this we're all going to buy Kamala up to 60, right?
1
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Harris holders must be Monmouth insiders
0
ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Surely you can't be serious
0
ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?
Erasmus
1 year ago
UMA has been known to do vibes resolutions though, so I'm wary.
0
FyouMoneyOTW
1 year ago
“Breaking: I have agreed to put the Gateway Pundit in touch with the attorney for the whistleblower at ABC. In return for Gateway Pundit keeping the whistleblower identity secret.” gateway pundit however you feel about it, is an officially registered and verified news organization, check it for yourself.
ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Okay I've had the text translated into emojis: 🚪👊📰 🇺🇸🗳️🤥🌐 🎂2️⃣0️⃣0️⃣4️⃣👨💼➡️👥💼💰📢 2️⃣0️⃣1️⃣6️⃣🗳️👀1️⃣0️⃣0️⃣0️⃣0️⃣0️⃣0️⃣+ 9️⃣/2️⃣0️⃣2️⃣1️⃣🔍💻🚫💰🤥 4️⃣/2️⃣0️⃣2️⃣4️⃣📉💼💸⚖️ 7️⃣/2️⃣0️⃣2️⃣4️⃣👨⚖️👎💼🚫⚖️
1
FyouMoneyOTW
1 year ago
“Breaking: I have agreed to put the Gateway Pundit in touch with the attorney for the whistleblower at ABC. In return for Gateway Pundit keeping the whistleblower identity secret.” gateway pundit however you feel about it, is an officially registered and verified news organization, check it for yourself.
ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?
Erasmus
1 year ago
The Gateway Pundit (TGP) is an American far-right[2] fake news website.[1] The website is known for publishing falsehoods, hoaxes, and conspiracy theories.[35] Founded in 2004 by Jim Hoft, The Gateway Pundit expanded from a one-person enterprise into a multi-employee operation, supported primarily by advertising revenue.[36][37] During the 2016 U.S. presidential campaign, the site received over a million unique visitors per day.[38] In September 2021, Google demonetized the site for publishing misinformation.[39][40][41] In April 2024, Hoft announced that the TGP parent company, TGP Communications, had filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, blaming multiple defamation lawsuits.[42] The bankruptcy case was dismissed in July 2024, with the judge finding it had been filed in bad faith to avoid the lawsuits against the site.[43
0
Erasmus
1 year ago
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Gateway_Pundit
ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?
Erasmus
1 year ago
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Gateway_Pundit
0
FyouMoneyOTW
1 year ago
“Breaking: I have agreed to put the Gateway Pundit in touch with the attorney for the whistleblower at ABC. In return for Gateway Pundit keeping the whistleblower identity secret.” gateway pundit however you feel about it, is an officially registered and verified news organization, check it for yourself.
ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?
Erasmus
1 year ago
@milky13 If the "whistleblower" wanted to prove they worked at abc to any actual journalist, then it could credibly reported without doxing them. They were supposedly able to privately prove it to this random twitter account, after all.
1
Erasmus
1 year ago
The alternative is a market that any person could resolve by posting an obviously fake, redacted letter in a comment here. The title being "abc whistleblower" communicates that the whistleblower needs to acutally work for abc.
ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?
Erasmus
1 year ago
The alternative is a market that any person could resolve by posting an obviously fake, redacted letter in a comment here. The title being "abc whistleblower" communicates that the whistleblower needs to acutally work for abc.
1
BallzToTheWalz
1 year ago
yeah i mean i placed this bet on him releasing a bullshit report initially. That additional context is kind of shit. It literally said "regardless of the truth of its contents" and I bet accordingly but oh well
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Is the main market just going to stay at 50-50 all election because of these games?
1
ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Okay but what actually happens if Fox News anchors bring this up on air tonight? Are those credible sources?
1
ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?
Erasmus
1 year ago
I would like a market about jewish space lasers after this one
1
Gena🐊
1 year ago
Look at her profile, she is a Congresswoman. Do you trust Congress? Do you trust women?. Hey I'm just asking questions
ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?
Erasmus
1 year ago
They're simultaneously eating and not eating the cats until observed
0
BlackSky123
1 year ago
Maybe he's in a quantum superpositional state of being both dead and alive.
ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Kyle is so credible that the washington post wrote about him! https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2022/09/20/social-media-influencers-election-fraud/
1
Erasmus
1 year ago
https://x.com/mtgreenee/status/1835289676959064119 very credible source MTG says the whistleblower is dead, so I suppose that happened after he gave the affidavit to also very credible source Kyle Becker?
ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?
Erasmus
1 year ago
https://x.com/mtgreenee/status/1835289676959064119 very credible source MTG says the whistleblower is dead, so I suppose that happened after he gave the affidavit to also very credible source Kyle Becker?
1
ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Well I suppose that might be for UMA to decide if any of you want to propose a yes resolution
0
Lucky31
1 year ago
what's credible reporting in your opinion?
ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?
Erasmus
1 year ago
If any of these twitter accounts qualify as "credible reporting" then I am suddenly very concerned about a lot of other markets' resolutions.
1
Trump affair with Laura Loomer?
Erasmus
1 year ago
I have more fun when I'm right
6
50pacc
1 year ago
ermaus hyperventaliting at a market tarding at 97,5. bro we are just clicking buttons and having fun
Trump affair with Laura Loomer?
Erasmus
1 year ago
1) Nothing Ever Happens
9
·
Liked by numberOneC..., Amok and 7 others
Erasmus
1 year ago
The case for no:
Trump affair with Laura Loomer?
Erasmus
1 year ago
The case for no:
0
Trump affair with Laura Loomer?
Erasmus
1 year ago
1) Trump is forced to disavow Loomer 2) Loomer gets mad 3) Loomer lies and claims an affair (or actually reveals one)
0
Erasmus
1 year ago
The case for yes:
Trump affair with Laura Loomer?
Erasmus
1 year ago
The case for yes:
0
Trump affair with Laura Loomer?
Erasmus
1 year ago
You want more?
0
B1d3nv0t3r
1 year ago
Hodling for this like i hodld for Joe Biden
Trump affair with Laura Loomer?
Erasmus
1 year ago
I suggest we all just agree to pull our orders so the market can be at 50% for a few minutes and we get some good screenshots for twitter
6
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
Erasmus
1 year ago
Fed Chair Hayao Miyazaki has spoken
0
🤺JustPunched
1 year ago
NO CUTS!!!
Trump affair with Laura Loomer?
Erasmus
1 year ago
I think 5% they fucked but only 0.5% it's confirmed
1
coolguy69
1 year ago
https://x.com/MikeSington/status/1834358251967971543 Look at how she lights up when he touches her. They definitely fucked at least once before this video was taken. The question is whether or not any proof will be revealed by 09/20
Microphones muted during ABC debate?
Erasmus
1 year ago
I want to spend the 100k but what if the crazy fed guys show up again in the next seven hours?
1
Microphones muted during ABC debate?
Erasmus
1 year ago
in "if the microphones of the candidate are muted specifically while the other candidate is speaking", it does not say "always muted" or "ever muted", and so of course the market won't resolve "no" based on once instance of unmuting despite a policy of muting any more than it would hypothetically resolve "yes" based on one instance of muting despite a policy of not muting. As clearly stated in the penultimate line of the criteria, this market is about the policy itself. So it resolves "yes".
0
Erasmus
1 year ago
Just showing here now, I don't see the case for no. Buying symbolic yes to join the good guys.
Microphones muted during ABC debate?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Just showing here now, I don't see the case for no. Buying symbolic yes to join the good guys.
2
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
Erasmus
1 year ago
Maybe he's going to do a 9/11 to get an emergency cut on monday
0
YatSen
1 year ago
just free money
Fed Interest Rates: September 2024
Erasmus
1 year ago
So are you guys gonna eat that order or are you all full already?
0
Will Kamala go on Lex Fridman podcast?
Erasmus
1 year ago
But hey, maybe she'll be more confident post-debate and actually accept. It'd be a good move, she needs to reach his demographic.
0
Car
1 year ago
@DavidMuir I respect you!
Will Kamala go on Lex Fridman podcast?
Erasmus
1 year ago
This was a terrible trade actually but sometimes my hands go faster than my brain.
0
Car
1 year ago
if you want to join an alpha Discord hmu on the poly cord server
# of debates between Trump and Harris?
Erasmus
1 year ago
He seems pretty certain
0
Will there be another debate?
Erasmus
1 year ago
He's so mad
3
Will Taylor Swift endorse Kamala Harris?
Erasmus
1 year ago
What if I told you I'm a mastermind?
1
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
Erasmus
1 year ago
I'm openly trying to get people to bet against me!
0
Mountainman
1 year ago
Biden is 81 years old, and between both cases, Hunter is facing up to 42 years in prison! Does anyone think that Joe is going to decide to live out his final years having to visit his son in prison, when with a strike of a pen he can make it all disappear? This would be at .90 cents right now if a millionaire wasn't suppressing the market, hoping that people will time capitulate, because unless Joe leaves office early (which is possible), you will have to wait until Joe's final days in office for this to pay out. BUT, I think it is always a good idea to park some cash somewhere if you can 5x it in a few months by just doing nothing.
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
Erasmus
1 year ago
No peacocking, just responding to your theory that the price is being "suppressed". Let's see what it does without me!
0
Mountainman
1 year ago
Biden is 81 years old, and between both cases, Hunter is facing up to 42 years in prison! Does anyone think that Joe is going to decide to live out his final years having to visit his son in prison, when with a strike of a pen he can make it all disappear? This would be at .90 cents right now if a millionaire wasn't suppressing the market, hoping that people will time capitulate, because unless Joe leaves office early (which is possible), you will have to wait until Joe's final days in office for this to pay out. BUT, I think it is always a good idea to park some cash somewhere if you can 5x it in a few months by just doing nothing.
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Alright my limit orders are down now, buy as much as you want to correct the price.
0
Mountainman
1 year ago
Biden is 81 years old, and between both cases, Hunter is facing up to 42 years in prison! Does anyone think that Joe is going to decide to live out his final years having to visit his son in prison, when with a strike of a pen he can make it all disappear? This would be at .90 cents right now if a millionaire wasn't suppressing the market, hoping that people will time capitulate, because unless Joe leaves office early (which is possible), you will have to wait until Joe's final days in office for this to pay out. BUT, I think it is always a good idea to park some cash somewhere if you can 5x it in a few months by just doing nothing.
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
Erasmus
1 year ago
I put up some bigger orders, go ahead and take them.
3
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
Erasmus
1 year ago
@Jackson22 What are you thinking here?
0
Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Maybe, but the site is a little low on liquid markets besides the presidency, now the DNC is over. I've just been hoping Kamala drops lower so I can get a better deal.
0
Apsalar
1 year ago
"it's not worth it for anyone to buy up Kamala Pres shares just to win this market" assumes that Kamala is being fairly valued right now. If you think Kamala is actually the favorite, buying her here and there just kills two birds with one stone.
Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?
Erasmus
1 year ago
She's definitely undervalued.
1
Apsalar
1 year ago
"it's not worth it for anyone to buy up Kamala Pres shares just to win this market" assumes that Kamala is being fairly valued right now. If you think Kamala is actually the favorite, buying her here and there just kills two birds with one stone.
Will Taylor Swift endorse Kamala Harris?
Erasmus
1 year ago
@HaterzLoserz You sure about this?
0
Erasmus
1 year ago
From 2020: “The change we need most is to elect a president who recognizes that people of color deserve to feel safe and represented, that women deserve the right to choose what happens to their bodies, and that the LGBTQIA+ community deserves to be acknowledged and included. Everyone deserves a government that takes global health risks seriously and puts the lives of its people first. The only way we can begin to make things better is to choose leaders who are willing to face these issues and find ways to work through them. “I will proudly vote for Joe Biden and Kamala Harris in this year’s presidential election. Under their leadership, I believe America has a chance to start the healing process it so desperately needs.”
Will Taylor Swift endorse Kamala Harris?
Erasmus
1 year ago
From 2020: “The change we need most is to elect a president who recognizes that people of color deserve to feel safe and represented, that women deserve the right to choose what happens to their bodies, and that the LGBTQIA+ community deserves to be acknowledged and included. Everyone deserves a government that takes global health risks seriously and puts the lives of its people first. The only way we can begin to make things better is to choose leaders who are willing to face these issues and find ways to work through them. “I will proudly vote for Joe Biden and Kamala Harris in this year’s presidential election. Under their leadership, I believe America has a chance to start the healing process it so desperately needs.”
0
What will Walz say during CNN interview?
Erasmus
1 year ago
https://i.imgur.com/n33uLht.jpeg
0
YatSen
1 year ago
Think about it, polymarket didn't add any additional context this time.
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?
Erasmus
1 year ago
For Trump to decide to get rid of Vance, he would have to first remember that Vance exists.
1
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
Erasmus
1 year ago
The other markets with the same criteria were much higher, this market just had one trader pushing the price down, probably to make this very argument.
0
fkarasek
1 year ago
Another thing I would like to add to this - if we look at the price action for this market, we can see that the polymarket community was largely in agreement with our views up until the rug was pulled from under us. Yes shares were selling for like 30 cents and No shares around 60 cents. The community was getting this verdict right based on the wording of the rules in this contract.
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
Erasmus
1 year ago
UMA decides based on what the platform says though. Disputing post-clarification is pointless.
0
hillary2win
1 year ago
also the only reason the other markets resolved to Yes was because someone proposed YES. Nobody did a dispute due to the costs being high. In this market someone did a dispute so this idea will be tested by the voting
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
Erasmus
1 year ago
The platform clarified the market resolves to Yes. The other two markets with the same criteria resolved to Yes. What are we still doing here?
1
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
Erasmus
1 year ago
May thy knife chip and shatter
0
Chrissistar04
1 year ago
The party slowly gets going again
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?
Erasmus
1 year ago
The DNC chair just gaveled in the convention talking about nominating Harris. I guess the illuminati forgot to tell him.
0
Erasmus
1 year ago
Do y'all in the tinfoil hats think that they do the swap now on night 1, or do you think there will be 4 days of people giving speeches about Kamala before they switch her out for someone else on the last day?
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?
Erasmus
1 year ago
Do y'all in the tinfoil hats think that they do the swap now on night 1, or do you think there will be 4 days of people giving speeches about Kamala before they switch her out for someone else on the last day?
3