#52
Rank
317
Comments
144
Likes Received
205
Likes Given
factman
1 month ago
they don't matter, nielsen only considers the American cable TV views.
Varu
1 month ago
not only americans are expecting this debate, here in europe it will be televised in many channels despite the hour
factman
1 month ago
americans ain't got enough cable tv for those nielsen ratings to be high enough
factman
1 month ago
"joy" oh hell no ahahahahaha
factman
1 month ago
does JD even have any guaranteed phrases
factman
1 month ago
HE'S BACK ON HIS PHONE FOLKS
factman
1 month ago
wrong page
Herbivore
1 month ago
Obvious market manipulation. I have zero skin in the game, but trying to pretend his campaign isn't terminated is just straight up bad faith.
factman
1 month ago
Thank you Donald
factman
1 month ago
extremely unlikely. he uses X as an ad platform pretty much these days, and he definitely has more to say this week.
cockbrain
1 month ago
what if he doesnt tweet though? putting $7 on yes just in case
factman
1 month ago
4
n/a
1 month ago
can someone reply with the current number of tweet per his definition?
factman
1 month ago
Happy weekend to you too Akash
AKASH
1 month ago
Happy weekend.
factman
1 month ago
One more tweet and the less than five market is a done deal
factman
1 month ago
Fake news mention
factman
1 month ago
thank you polymarket
factman
1 month ago
how is this not a yes
factman
1 month ago
it usually takes an hour or two
smallbet6
1 month ago
why cant i claim
factman
1 month ago
Pumpkin kind of makes sense at least, both pump and kin are words. "ful" isn't however.
Justifax
1 month ago
The point of mention markets is so people can trade them very fast and with very high confidence with little chance of dispute. If joyful was considered a valid word, it would open up dispute potential for pretty much everyword going forward. I mean, is pumpkin a compound word? Is operate? according to the govt it is.
factman
1 month ago
why do you all keep buying shares in this market? I am seriously perplexed by this
factman
1 month ago
good old one
DoughJones
1 month ago
good old blood bath, huh?
factman
1 month ago
source?
XiJinPing
1 month ago
trump aint tweeting lol, he was jus spotted at a restaurant in vegas
factman
1 month ago
if he started tweeting right now this would be so funny
factman
1 month ago
It all depends on a market's rules.
grappli
1 month ago
Then why have markets allowed for compound words with adjectives before? (old, weird come to mind recently and neither of those are nouns)
factman
1 month ago
today's lesson is compound words! a compound word is a word out of two words - like "cheeseburger", it consists from "cheese" and "burger". However, if you want to make a word an adjective, you add suffixes, like "-ful" - "playful" or "joyful". And you might wonder, why is "joyful" not a compound word? It's because "ful" is not a word, silly, it's a suffix.
Car
1 month ago
can someone explain to me why JOY didnt win like im a 8 year old?
factman
1 month ago
While I understand it was your idea to add "joy" due to "joyful", the rules of the market are the way they are. Sorry, but "joyful" really doesn't fall under the rules.
RaIsTheSunGod
1 month ago
I don't have $750 to do so but can muster up half that I'll send it to a wallet if someone wants to do the other half
factman
1 month ago
That's how the English language works. We just have to be real with ourselves here.
lefuckinggo
1 month ago
smd factman
factman
1 month ago
Regarding "joyful" - folks, "joyful" is not a compound word. A compound word fitting here would be a noun made of two nouns, such as "sunflower" - "sun" and "flower". "ful" is not a word, it's a suffix for making adjectives, such as "playful". Therefore, it is conclusively not a compound word.
factman
1 month ago
From ChatGPT: "No, "joyful" is not a compound word of "joy." Instead, it is a derivative form where the root word "joy" is combined with the suffix "-ful" to create an adjective that means "full of joy."". Thoughts?
n/a
1 month ago
Did anyone dispute “Joy”? “Joyful” is obviously a compound word and should count
factman
1 month ago
cause she spoke recently about working there
TheOneB
1 month ago
Why was mcdonalds an option i was so confused when it was added
factman
1 month ago
Can you explain why you believe it should count by the rules? Isn't "joyful" a different word or an adjective form?
Topgeneral
1 month ago
Based on the rules Joyful should count. I agree.
factman
1 month ago
who was the surprise speaker earlier by the way? was asleep
factman
1 month ago
half an hour now
HorsInCrypto
1 month ago
how long has she been speaking
factman
1 month ago
Congrats to those who bet on Ukraine
factman
1 month ago
why would dubya speak at dnc
factman
1 month ago
you have very, very good taste. based. she is my bias as well (with Hani a close second)
minji
1 month ago
can polymarket issue a clarification on the Trump 5+ market? does her saying "Donald Trump" count as 2 mentions?
factman
1 month ago
actual reason - she worked there
factman
1 month ago
mods were hungry
factman
1 month ago
was wondering - did you name yourself after the newjeans member
minji
1 month ago
can polymarket issue a clarification on the Trump 5+ market? does her saying "Donald Trump" count as 2 mentions?
factman
1 month ago
mods were hungry
n/a
1 month ago
why is there McDonald's
factman
1 month ago
Walz didn't avoid it though to be fair.
IWillReturn
1 month ago
I think she’ll avoid abortion because of the “controversy” over the abortion truck. She says it sometimes but she can also talk about it using other terms
factman
1 month ago
I would argue that yes, yes it is.
ALevinson
1 month ago
The rules on the “Donald Trump” market are unclear. It’s says “resolve to yes if she says “Donald” or Trump” 5+ times. So if she says “Donald Trump, Donald Trump, Trump” is that 5?
factman
1 month ago
Strange market. Why this day in particular?
factman
1 month ago
Why Oakland?
n/a
1 month ago
Oakland and joy seem like complete locks. Grab before they get too high
factman
1 month ago
article source: https://www.axios.com/2024/08/22/harris-dnc-acceptance-speech-preview-2024
BuckMySalls
1 month ago
Her operation is more professional and focused, and it’s really allowing for her inner joy to come through that we just didn’t see at that time. [...] She’s trying to bring joy and energy and enthusiasm to politics and, oh my God, the package is there: She’s got everything else you may need — the intelligence, the smarts, the tactics.” Joy will start at 80c and there is nothing you can do to prevent it.
factman
1 month ago
"coaching" and "coached", specifically
n/a
1 month ago
Coached not coach: https://www.nbcdfw.com/news/national-international/tim-walz-2024-dnc-full-speech-text/3626961/
factman
1 month ago
thanks, good luck to you as well!
n/a
1 month ago
alright well good luck in the future
factman
1 month ago
Wouldn't it be a form of "coaching" at this point?
nothingeverhappens
1 month ago
"I couched" compound word "references the meaning which refers to a leader who trains and guides a team/individuals toward success"
factman
1 month ago
"coached" is the past simple form of "coaching". That's obvious.
factman
1 month ago
Folks, just read "(i.e. "coaching" will not count).". Recognize the loss we have, it happens, that's fine.
factman
1 month ago
Folks, just read "(i.e. "coaching" will not count).". Recognize the loss we have, it happens, that's fine.
factman
1 month ago
I'm actually just having fun here yolo-ing, originally came here with 1.5k and it managed to grow a bit
n/a
1 month ago
keep your head up and don't bet that much lol
factman
1 month ago
nah all good lol
n/a
1 month ago
now I feel bad
factman
1 month ago
Surprisingly he said "reproductive rights" only once in my analysis, while he said "abortion" on 4 different occasions
n/a
1 month ago
He won't say abortion... way too much of a controversial word... he will say "reproductive rights"
factman
1 month ago
As the team's head coach is gonna get a mention for sure, it's a reasonable assumption.
factman
1 month ago
https://edition.cnn.com/2024/08/21/politics/tim-walz-dnc-speech/index.html "The former players from Mankato West High School, where Walz once coached, will join Ben Ingman, a former student, as he submits Walz’s name for nomination. Sen. Amy Klobuchar will also participate in the event, as will the team’s head coach."
factman
1 month ago
https://edition.cnn.com/2024/08/21/politics/tim-walz-dnc-speech/index.html "The former players from Mankato West High School, where Walz once coached, will join Ben Ingman, a former student, as he submits Walz’s name for nomination. Sen. Amy Klobuchar will also participate in the event, as will the team’s head coach."
bluejay
1 month ago
coaching does NOT count
factman
1 month ago
August 20*, was judging by the upload date.
factman
1 month ago
So for whatever reason I can't insert any video links, but I checked his speeches on August 7, 10, 13, 17, 18 and 21. He only said the word "debate" on August 7 - "I can't wait to debate the guy" and "I can't wait till the debate".
factman
1 month ago
So for whatever reason I can't insert any video links, but I checked his speeches on August 7, 10, 13, 17, 18 and 21. He only said the word "debate" on August 7 - "I can't wait to debate the guy" and "I can't wait till the debate".
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Debate seems like a given, he got a big reaction to his debate joke about Vance last time
factman
1 month ago
Yeah, this I did see during one of the speeches I saw from two weeks ago, however not in the recent days I believe. I will rewatch however and let you know if I see him mentioning it recently in this thread, just listening through his speeches while working now.
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Debate seems like a given, he got a big reaction to his debate joke about Vance last time
factman
1 month ago
Wondering why "Abortion" is so high - from what I've seen, he seems to avoid saying it directly.
factman
1 month ago
Last time being how many days ago? Been considering this one but I am unsure how much likely it really would be.
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Debate seems like a given, he got a big reaction to his debate joke about Vance last time
factman
1 month ago
Yes she can, but can we?
factman
1 month ago
THANKS OBAMA
factman
1 month ago
lmaoooo
factman
1 month ago
Nope.
Slaylorswift
1 month ago
Hopeful count ?
factman
1 month ago
SEVEN!
factman
1 month ago
five...
factman
1 month ago
five...
factman
1 month ago
thank you 4x now
factman
1 month ago
thank you 4x now
factman
1 month ago
Also on a side note, just learned she is 60. Hope we all age as well as she does.
factman
1 month ago
She speaks really well, and in some ways her speaking manner reminds of her husband. I really do see why some people thought she could be THE presidential candidate if she wanted to now.
factman
1 month ago
Yeah, I really don't think we've seen all of her yet. If Harris wins I feel she might shift towards considering politics a bit more.
diddy
1 month ago
Truly powerful woman tbh, she could easily dominate any candidate and dominate Trump
factman
1 month ago
She speaks really well, and in some ways her speaking manner reminds of her husband. I really do see why some people thought she could be THE presidential candidate if she wanted to now.
factman
1 month ago
It probably would be closer to 9 PM CT, no? DNC runs until 10 PM CT.
1 month ago
Should be starting from 7PM EST, and then Obama is probably one of the last so more like 9PM.
factman
1 month ago
You have a point.
Topgeneral
1 month ago
Good read. Directly mentions ACA in her platform
factman
1 month ago
Honestly don't see how it is particularly relevant this time. I don't think climate change is really that high up in the dems' priorities.
MoneyTorcher
1 month ago
Obama has said "climate change" in every DNC speech since 2008. 45% is an absolute bargain.
factman
1 month ago
it started monday
AKASH
1 month ago
When is DNC?
factman
1 month ago
thank you!
n/a
1 month ago
CONVICTED FELON I HEART YOU JOE
factman
1 month ago
THANK YOU JOE
factman
1 month ago
HE ACTUALLY SAID MAGA
factman
1 month ago
congrats man
n/a
1 month ago
CONVICTED FELON I HEART YOU JOE
factman
1 month ago
THANK GOD
factman
1 month ago
other people’s speeches taking a long time
Bookie
1 month ago
What caused his speech being delayed?
factman
1 month ago
There’s still Chris Coons and Jill Biden after Warnock. Will take a while.
factman
1 month ago
what makes you so confident he won't say inflation? He tends to claim credit for reducing the inflation a lot, and it'd be surprising if he wouldn't mention the inflation reduction act.
washeduptradergoingtogreenerpastures
1 month ago
me vs anon 1565 may the best man win
factman
1 month ago
That seems to be the expectation, yes. Effectively it's his near farewell speech, he will try to make his accomplishments be taken notice of while he is heard, and will try to make a good case for Harris (or against Trump, he seems to have enough energy for a stump speech too).
JuniorChimp
1 month ago
Seems like the speech is him just touting his accomplishments and praising Harris: President Biden will headline the opening night of the Democratic National Convention on Monday with a valedictory speech that was supposed to have supercharged his final push for a second term but instead will serve as an opportunity to pass the torch to Vice President Kamala Harris. Aides say Mr. Biden will use the speech to argue that Ms. Harris is the best person to carry on his legacy now that he is no longer in the race. Her candidacy as the party’s standard-bearer, he will argue, is the natural result of the choice he made four years ago to place her just a heartbeat away from the presidency.
factman
1 month ago
thanks bro, good luck to you as well
n/a
1 month ago
Why would he talk about Pelosi?
factman
1 month ago
Exactly. He would rather outline his achievements and passing the torch than be bitter.
n/a
1 month ago
Why would he talk about Pelosi?
factman
1 month ago
That is 10:50 PM Eastern, 02:50 GMT, 04:50 CET
factman
1 month ago
9.50 pm CT. Source: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/aug/19/bidens-dnc-speech-time-
factman
1 month ago
9.50 pm CT. Source: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/aug/19/bidens-dnc-speech-time-
StevenBonnell
1 month ago
when does he start speaking?
factman
1 month ago
what is your take on "king"? why would he say it?
StevenBonnell
1 month ago
oh wow these are some good options...
factman
1 month ago
honestly the coinflip odds are still valid, you have chances of it being not mentioned imo
Gregorius
1 month ago
@Blubber you baited me into ceasefire no now these mfs are breaking into DNC screaming "free palestine" we are fucked mate
factman
1 month ago
no, that makes it MORE likely
IWillReturn
1 month ago
That makes it less likely she will mention it lol
factman
1 month ago
at best she would say "Jewish" which doesn't count by the rules here. But calling him outright a "Jew" would be a weird choice.
kamala-stan
1 month ago
Thank you to everyone here. And most of all I would like to thank my Jew husband Douglas ♥
factman
1 month ago
no
GR4HAM
1 month ago
Did he say Elon?
factman
1 month ago
HE SAID IT
factman
1 month ago
eso es america*
tomxeth
1 month ago
Spanish? THIS IS AMERICA
factman
1 month ago
it might now due to the latino topic
Bookie
1 month ago
has "Illegal Immigration" come up at all?
factman
1 month ago
FIRED
factman
1 month ago
wait till the end of the speech
IWillReturn
1 month ago
Congrats now make him say MAGA
factman
1 month ago
THANK YOU DONALD J TRUMP I LOVE YOU
factman
1 month ago
thursday
Car
1 month ago
Does anyone know which day she speaks?
factman
1 month ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZaVdb0VFle8
n/a
1 month ago
link to transmision?
factman
1 month ago
hell no
factman
1 month ago
thank you kamala
factman
1 month ago
unironically that's why I sold
XiJinPing
1 month ago
too much stress, bad for health lol
factman
1 month ago
yeah I sold lol
XiJinPing
1 month ago
i think he sold lol
factman
1 month ago
yes
0x283C7268bbb3ADFAE514194468fD38f7bC7D4ad2-1723758994569
1 month ago
do retweets count?
factman
1 month ago
embrace taking your phone to the bathroom, comrade.
diddy
1 month ago
The worst thing about this is that I really wanna go to bathroom, but man....money is at risk here
factman
1 month ago
nah we all know
0xdFA1ad4c2f7B42E33d12e625b409251a533A7671-1722811405797
1 month ago
People seem to have missed it, Trump posted to X 7 hours ago, bringing his total posts to 14: https://x.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1824069681868669045
factman
1 month ago
oh so he's not gonna tweet anymore
factman
1 month ago
why is he so low energy
factman
1 month ago
yolo
Kevysama
1 month ago
Your 11-15 bag heavy
factman
1 month ago
I suspect we can expect a tweet within the next three hours
XiJinPing
1 month ago
Spicy market. I think Trump will post 1 more time tomorrow morning. Then 11-15 will win at 12pm with exactly 15 tweets.
factman
1 month ago
我也,我们等吧
diddy
1 month ago
不会!!有周末可以睡觉
factman
1 month ago
同志们,你们会睡觉吗
factman
1 month ago
啊,香港 💖
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
為何這麼多人講中文?
factman
1 month ago
同志们,我刚刚注意到是十四,不是十三。。。
factman
1 month ago
习同志,在这儿吗?
factman
1 month ago
no it's not, still 14
wish2die
1 month ago
is it 16 lrdy guys? why does x tracker shows 14?
factman
1 month ago
makes no sense for him to use X though if he cares about Truth Social, people go there essentially just for his tweets
n/a
1 month ago
His reach is manifold here than on Truth! Not sure how smart trumps personell really is though!!
factman
1 month ago
好问题
TheBoyBilly
1 month ago
為何這麼多人講中文?
factman
1 month ago
他将于今天举行新闻发布会,我们应该担心吗?
XiJinPing
1 month ago
他只是在发选举视频。如果他只发选举视频,我们就安全了。 但如果他发其他类型的内容,我们就麻烦了。
factman
1 month ago
操哈哈哈哈哈
diddy
1 month ago
剩余二十一小时啊,还可以赢,但是我的情绪很不安aaaaaa
factman
1 month ago
我想我们还可以赢,我们的情况不是太坏的。但是,如果会有十四。。。不知道
diddy
1 month ago
真的不知道 :(
factman
1 month ago
你想做什么吗
factman
1 month ago
习同志,在这儿吗?
factman
1 month ago
习同志,在这儿吗?
factman
1 month ago
sus timing
Doable
1 month ago
How is that relevant 🤷‍♂️
factman
1 month ago
do the guidelines actually restrict people for misinformation? I see it on a lot of markets
n/a
1 month ago
Reported.
factman
1 month ago
earthquake in northern Israel, Lebanon and Syria https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1823102296223334796?s=46
factman
1 month ago
it's kind of funny people don't realize this market doesn't end midnight israel time
factman
1 month ago
哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈对
XiJinPing
1 month ago
Iran will attack during Trump's stream, as revenge for Trump saying Iran hacked his campaign.
factman
1 month ago
can confirm. source: 不说,没有
XiJinPing
1 month ago
Iran will attack during Trump's stream, as revenge for Trump saying Iran hacked his campaign.
factman
1 month ago
nah. this one goes 7 am in Israel
Mr.Wong
1 month ago
Currently 11:40pm in Israel. So we have about 20min left... https://www.google.com/search?q=current+time+in+israel&oq=current+time+in+israel&gs_lcrp=EgZjaHJvbWUyBggAEEUYOTIGCAEQLhhA0gEINzk5OGowajSoAgCwAgE&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8
factman
1 month ago
OH wait, I just got it. This is just yet another reference to that tweet by @iraninarabic_ir
n/a
1 month ago
BREAKING NEWS: Iranian sources report that the attack on Israel is expected to be carried out at 02:00 Iranian time on August 13, which corresponds to August 12, 18:30 Eastern Daylight Time (EDT).
factman
1 month ago
Trying to find this, so far can't find it. Inclined to believe it's fake.
n/a
1 month ago
BREAKING NEWS: Iranian sources report that the attack on Israel is expected to be carried out at 02:00 Iranian time on August 13, which corresponds to August 12, 18:30 Eastern Daylight Time (EDT).
factman
1 month ago
fake
n/a
1 month ago
BREAKING NEWS: Iranian sources report that the attack on Israel is expected to be carried out at 02:00 Iranian time on August 13, which corresponds to August 12, 18:30 Eastern Daylight Time (EDT).
factman
1 month ago
you really are doubling down eh
n/a
1 month ago
There is plenty to suggest.
factman
1 month ago
enjoy!
moviesera92
1 month ago
I don't have any problem because I can get more shares for cheaper
factman
1 month ago
OSINTdefender: "This is not an Official Account of the Iranian Government, and also doesn’t appear to be linked to any Senior Iranian Officials or Media." https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1823072662278504679
Moses
1 month ago
https://x.com/iraninarabic_ir/status/1823063410709557514?s=46
factman
1 month ago
lets gooo
UMAisGarbage
1 month ago
2 more hours until we enter the defcon 2 zone
factman
1 month ago
here 🍔
dreamer
1 month ago
alright i'm here, where's the nothing burger??!
factman
2 months ago
how long until the claim? just forgot how long it takes
factman
2 months ago
peak irony ngl
DumbMoney1
2 months ago
It's interesting that poly is prohibited in the U.S., so a lot of non-Americans converted their local currency into US dollars, transferred them to Polymarket, and lost them betting against the U.S. in the Olympics. Maybe the cftc was just trying to make sure bets on the U.S. have positive expected value.
factman
2 months ago
it is a tie, however as the US has more medals, it wins. See: "If this country ties with any other for the greatest number of gold medals won, this market will resolve in favor of the country which won the most medals overall. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the country whose registered name comes first in alphabetical order."
Dhanillo
2 months ago
It’s a tie 50 50
factman
2 months ago
Hong Kong is a separate entity in Olympics, therefore it does not count. Maybe after 2049. Not now.
bali
2 months ago
China wins, Hong Kong has 2 gold. "Hong Kong is a special administrative region of the People's Republic of China. With 7.4 million residents of various nationalities in a 1,104-square-kilometre (426 sq mi) territory, Hong Kong is one of the most densely populated territories in the world. Hong Kong was established as a colony"
factman
2 months ago
Truly we also don't know what will happen in 2027. If the Taiwan war really happens in that year, chances are we won't see China in the 2028 Olympics at all.
n/a
2 months ago
Not 2028, 2032. 2028 is at home and that would give us the advantage.
factman
2 months ago
我不同意,她们打得很好
shen88
2 months ago
法国女篮太差劲了,害的美国赢了
factman
2 months ago
what does larry david have to do with this lmao
factman
2 months ago
honestly thought it would be the other way around
jsoul7654
2 months ago
As we all expected going in, omnium was the boring easy win and w basketball was the hard nailbiter
factman
2 months ago
but you didn't even make any bets
0x29c21FD916690b7044f864E782EaEF02Bb64Fb6d-1723389717734
2 months ago
I don't want to play this shit polymarket any more....
factman
2 months ago
THIS WAS THE LAST OLYMPIC EVENT, CAN PROPOSE/RESOLVE! src: https://olympics.com/en/paris-2024/schedule/11-august
factman
2 months ago
crazy ending right?
BlueSky123
2 months ago
Holy shit bro, that almost went into overtime. Wtf
factman
2 months ago
THIS WAS THE MOST INTENSE WOMEN'S BASKETBALL GAME I HAVE EVER SEEN (and also the first one)
factman
2 months ago
AMERICA, FUCK YEAH!
factman
2 months ago
why?
0xCb9cF4773A232Ac612E656dF7733e659E1eEf515-1722999050018
2 months ago
Watching women bball is a pain in the arse...
factman
2 months ago
ahahahahahahaha
HaterAde
2 months ago
Since males competing in woman’s sports is allowed, France just put in Juwanna Mann as forward.
factman
2 months ago
no worries we can add up NATO medals
n/a
2 months ago
Chinese media getting ready to add Taiwan and Hong Kong medals to place themselves above USA
factman
2 months ago
it does not count
PolyPredictor
2 months ago
Kind of crazy that hong kong, china is going to be the decider here
factman
2 months ago
brother in christ you are betting on the US to win why are you being such a doomer
Michael2024
2 months ago
USA IS STILL LOSING I BELIVE IT
factman
2 months ago
US just won omnium it seems. Only left to win Basketball now, for which chances are very high.
Chrissistar04
2 months ago
All buy yes usa?!
factman
2 months ago
Truck, do you think it's still worth hedging with France?
factman
2 months ago
There is a chance. Omnium + Basketball.
Chrissistar04
2 months ago
Without volleyball, the usa has no chance of winning, right?
factman
2 months ago
Wrestling and Volleyball are out for the US. All hope lies on Omnium (+ Basketball)
factman
2 months ago
China can't win any, no. It's all about whether they can maintain the lead at this point.
-Rocambole-
2 months ago
what is left ? can china win any gold yet?
factman
2 months ago
US.
Jayys
2 months ago
Which will win when USA and China draw?
factman
2 months ago
US wins. "If this country ties with any other for the greatest number of gold medals won, this market will resolve in favor of the country which won the most medals overall. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the country whose registered name comes first in alphabetical order."
0x8BA90e77F461720B93C66a507aBBa323068bb683-1721219266881
2 months ago
What happens in a tie?
factman
2 months ago
watching you and Mike2025 is like watching two split personalities
Michael2024
2 months ago
this is false
factman
2 months ago
what is shortening
diddy
2 months ago
What people are doing with China YES and USA NO is called shortening. Don't fall for it.
factman
2 months ago
well, volleyball is definitely an Italian win at this point IMO
Mike2025
2 months ago
90c is excellent oddsconsidering basketball an almost certainty, US ahead after 3/4 of omnium, favorites in wrestling and in volleyball final. It's like free money.
factman
2 months ago
if US gets just omnium + basketball is it still a win?
diddy
2 months ago
There's also wrestling, and she won't lose it
factman
2 months ago
woof
IWillReturn
2 months ago
Yes they are, mostly dogs
factman
2 months ago
why the confidence regarding basketball?
Michael2024
2 months ago
USA will lose volleyball and basketball
factman
2 months ago
can't reply due to reply buttons being broken as always, but what's the difference between the two weightlifting types?
factman
2 months ago
Also it seems that Li Wenwen just decided not to do the third lift
diddy
2 months ago
China gold in weightlifting very soon
factman
2 months ago
Can you explain a bit how it works? Do I understand correctly that everyone has three attempts to lift increasingly higher weights, and whoever has the highest one at the end wins?
diddy
2 months ago
China gold in weightlifting very soon
factman
2 months ago
will take a look, thank you!
Mike2025
2 months ago
Here's a good explanation... https://www.eurosport.com/cycling-track/olympic-games-paris-2024/2024/omnium-track-cycling-medal-races-time-date-schedule_sto20018907/story.shtml
factman
2 months ago
great explanation, thank you!
kanye2024.fun
2 months ago
4 races each earn points. Valente performed very well in the tempo race (this is not the best part of it), and took 2nd place, as well as first in scratch, there are only 2 parts left (and she is the best in them). Valente's chance of winning is now 95%, since all the clear favorites scored too little (Kopecki actually made a mistake)
factman
2 months ago
for those watching omnium - can you explain please how it works?
factman
2 months ago
weightlifting wasn't planned to be a US win anyway
diddy
2 months ago
USA loses weightlifting :(
factman
2 months ago
pro-tip - you can google "[sport name] olympics" and you will get the latest times or results
FamilyCapital
2 months ago
when wrestling start?
factman
2 months ago
in 2h 12m from now
FamilyCapital
2 months ago
when wrestling start?
factman
2 months ago
Why the low odds on censorship?
factman
2 months ago
wdym by "gm"
werfukced
2 months ago
for gm left: Athletics & Weightlifting (both) and US only Wrestling, Volleyball, Basketball. Pretty good chances
factman
2 months ago
Who do you think would get gold there?
GoblinMilk
2 months ago
So my speciality is in women's wrestling and omnium cycling, and i'm not too confident on team USA's odds.
factman
2 months ago
FOLKS, what events are left that China and US might score a medal in?
factman
2 months ago
thank you America
factman
2 months ago
Congrats aenews2
factman
2 months ago
yeah man it's crazy
diddy
2 months ago
its so fcked up how tables have turned, Germany had such a lead then went sleeping
factman
2 months ago
go Germany
factman
2 months ago
Who is the insider?
BigMike11
2 months ago
Insider buying no at 23...
factman
2 months ago
@aenews2?
danen89
2 months ago
Wow look at these sell orders: $280k just above the current ask price at 0.77$
factman
2 months ago
and it started in July. coincidence? I don't think so...
cryptuschrist
2 months ago
This is the hottest comment section on Polymarket.
factman
2 months ago
Those who have data calculations, share a GitHub link
factman
2 months ago
source for projection?
BigBazoo
2 months ago
projected golds: 40 USA 38 CHN 16 AUS 16 GB 16 FRA 13 JPN 12 KOR
factman
2 months ago
You're Venezuelan? If so, congratulations. I was in this market only due to the confidence of my Venezuelan friends, to be honest.
Guacanarys
2 months ago
When will claims be enabled ?
factman
2 months ago
JustKam, thank you.
factman
2 months ago
Should be pretty soon. If you don't want to wait might as well sell.
Guacanarys
2 months ago
When will claims be enabled ?
factman
2 months ago
Can't believe it's over, folks. Thank you, just a big thank you.
factman
2 months ago
If the vote doesn't go in your favor, yes
smallbet6
2 months ago
Wait won't disputing burn your money
factman
2 months ago
I hope nobody would waste $750 on that
n/a
2 months ago
Any dispoofters?
factman
2 months ago
Are you referring to Mr. Best as Relay?
Car
2 months ago
Lets not forget Relay was ALLIN on Maduro when he was trading at 80ct
factman
2 months ago
I think she wouldn't mind, there was precedent in previous years.
n/a
2 months ago
Theres no way she's going on a fox news stage, infront of a live audience.
factman
2 months ago
As I understand, unless it gets disputed, yes. If it does, we just wait until midnight GMT for the original "Yes" vote to finish.
n/a
2 months ago
Does this finally get redeemed in 1 hour?
factman
2 months ago
thank you Mrs. Pelosi very cool
n/a
2 months ago
https://x.com/pxielovee/status/1819720059889270872 everyone say sorry to Nancy. Nancy Pelosi's ball knowledge when it comes to politics is unmatched. She was one of the first ppl to endorse Walz and tell Biden to step down.
factman
2 months ago
Got it now, thanks for clarifying!
n/a
2 months ago
No lmao, someone else just submitted it again so it will resolve in 1 hour and we don't have to wait for the original uma vote to conclude. Either way maduro loses
factman
2 months ago
Really? How did you come to that conclusion?
AugustoPinochet73
2 months ago
Polymarket has overriden it seems!!
factman
2 months ago
no, it's not. only if it was decided p4 (too early to decide) that another one can be submitted
Sever
2 months ago
Will anyone open a new dispute on this dispute? After all, it is possible to open a dispute on the previous decision on the dispute?
factman
2 months ago
So why did you buy 300 Maduro shares just now?
AugustoPinochet73
2 months ago
And Polymarket still giving liquidity to this market lol.
factman
2 months ago
FYI: This will resolve in 14 hours from now, at midnight GMT.
factman
2 months ago
There already is a dispute being handled on vote.uma.xyz. It honestly is a bit confusing when you view this on Polymarket, but you can actually see the vote on UMA right now.
smallbet6
2 months ago
Wait a minute no one is going to propose a solution since that is just burning money
factman
2 months ago
There was a roll call vote on Monday.
factman
2 months ago
To those confused - it's official it's Kamala. https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/06/us/politics/kamala-harris-president-campaign-2024.html
factman
2 months ago
The way it works is that not shareholders of this market vote, but those who hold the UMA token. I personally do not have it though, so I just participate in markets here only.
Sleijffers
2 months ago
Sorry to ask but can someone explain what UMA is and perhaps link to this?
factman
2 months ago
In short - you can see on the footer of the website it's powered by UMA. It's this crypto where users vote on resolutions - like the ones proposed for this market. And it appears that those voting are likely gonna vote in Edmundo's favor.
Sleijffers
2 months ago
Sorry to ask but can someone explain what UMA is and perhaps link to this?
factman
2 months ago
Mr. Best, why did you sell the González shares? The market seems to go in his favor so far.
factman
2 months ago
But do I understand correctly that right now people are just debating the vote without one going on in UMA?
AugustoPinochet73
2 months ago
Stop it, stop the disinformation, you know it very well I told you yesterday a lot of times
factman
2 months ago
Is there already a vote going on on this..?
factman
2 months ago
你喜欢中国吗?
n/a
2 months ago
China has more people. China has more wealth.
factman
2 months ago
Mr. Best, how about we agree on not being rude to each other?
n/a
2 months ago
don't worry about it, dumbass, it's old news
factman
2 months ago
I know UMA will vote eventually once there is a proposal, as we already had a disputed one submitted earlier. Problem is, I don't yet see anyone willing to propose.
AugustoPinochet73
2 months ago
Be carefull, fatman is part of the conspiracy. He know UMA is about to vote yet is pretending they are not.
factman
2 months ago
Kam, can you PLEASE do a proposal to setlle this one once and for all?
🤺JustKen
2 months ago
As opposed to Maduro's electoral strategy and the Maduro holders arguments, the case for Edmundo can be made by real people using actual evidence. Edmundo has the majority on his side in both cases.
factman
2 months ago
also why is Gonzalez pumping again?
factman
2 months ago
I get that UMA will vote, but... when?
AugustoPinochet73
2 months ago
🗳️ Attention Patriots! 🗳️ The 2024 Venezuela presidential election has declared Nicolás Maduro the winner, despite anticipated fraud. It’s crucial to acknowledge the official results and move forward. Join us on Discord to support P1 - No and make your voice heard. This is a pivotal moment – don't stand by idly! Be part of the solution and ensure that the truth prevails. Remember, those arguing for P2 are just commies. They’re pretending Venezuela is a democracy with human rights, denying the reality of the oppressive regime. Don’t let the communist agenda deceive you! 🇻🇪 Stand Up for Reality. Stand Up for Democracy. Fight the Red Menace! 🇻🇪 Head to Discord now and champion P1 - No! Your country needs you! 🌟: https://discord.com/channels/718590743446290492/964000735073284127/threads/1269708730698829955
factman
2 months ago
why champion it now? there’s no proposal
AugustoPinochet73
2 months ago
🗳️ Attention Patriots! 🗳️ The 2024 Venezuela presidential election has declared Nicolás Maduro the winner, despite anticipated fraud. It’s crucial to acknowledge the official results and move forward. Join us on Discord to support P1 - No and make your voice heard. This is a pivotal moment – don't stand by idly! Be part of the solution and ensure that the truth prevails. Remember, those arguing for P2 are just commies. They’re pretending Venezuela is a democracy with human rights, denying the reality of the oppressive regime. Don’t let the communist agenda deceive you! 🇻🇪 Stand Up for Reality. Stand Up for Democracy. Fight the Red Menace! 🇻🇪 Head to Discord now and champion P1 - No! Your country needs you! 🌟: https://discord.com/channels/718590743446290492/964000735073284127/threads/1269708730698829955
factman
2 months ago
Old news, this was yesterday.
n/a
2 months ago
WOW, somebody proposed GONZALEZ YES! (please buy my shares, nobody is buying JustScam's arguments anymore) https://oracle.uma.xyz/?transactionHash=0xdd5ca2205e0c98e424535fce5b2cddc896f30cab73189eca9071e7e58df32347&eventIndex=8
factman
2 months ago
no I'm just bored of those flame wars
n/a
2 months ago
why? did you run out of facts? you never had any to begin with! LOL
factman
2 months ago
someone just submit a proposal at this point
factman
2 months ago
whenever someone dares to submit a proposal that will force a uma vote
milize
2 months ago
don't care if it's maduro or gonzalez, just when will it be resolved? 😅
factman
2 months ago
correct. but if someone can risk, a proposal might be worth it.
KingofRingx3
2 months ago
So if I understand correctly: Nicolas Maduro (current regime) says he won. But there is proof he lost big time to Edmundo Gonzalez. Nobody should propose again for now (unless you want to lose money).
factman
2 months ago
wait when was the proposal submitted?
Salveenee
2 months ago
Gonzalez yes proposal, we're one proposal from a new uma vote. I think it's gonna go Gonzalez's way this time
factman
2 months ago
keep it up tho I like it
factman
2 months ago
wait why are we pumpin
factman
2 months ago
wait why are we pumpin
factman
2 months ago
panic selled during a dump
n/a
2 months ago
so why did you sell 11,000 shares for 11 cents? LMFAOOOOOOOO
factman
2 months ago
not sure, prefer not to give financial advice haha
n/a
2 months ago
Sooo worth it to buy some more at $0.23?
factman
2 months ago
70%
n/a
2 months ago
Hahaha what do you think is the % chance of it closing EDMUNDO YES?
factman
2 months ago
the protests are starting. maduro holders, enjoy! :)
factman
2 months ago
yes, and consensus is the hardest thing here
Miau
2 months ago
This prediction focuses on determining who won the elections, based on information and data verified by consensus.?
factman
2 months ago
To those considering proposing - you really are better off waiting a few days for things to settle down more.
factman
2 months ago
UMA seems to disagree.
n/a
2 months ago
This is getting resolved Maduro or getting refunded, you are retarded to think otherwise
factman
2 months ago
If the protests fail this weekend, absolutely.
n/a
2 months ago
This is getting resolved Maduro or getting refunded, you are retarded to think otherwise
factman
2 months ago
https://x.com/UHN_Plus/status/1819426500162023623
factman
2 months ago
CNE declares 96.87% of votes counted, 51.95% Maduro 43.18% Gonzalez. Of course, this still isn't the final result as it's not 100% counted, and we are yet to see what happens tomorrow.
factman
2 months ago
CNE declares 96.87% of votes counted, 51.95% Maduro 43.18% Gonzalez. Of course, this still isn't the final result as it's not 100% counted, and we are yet to see what happens tomorrow.
factman
2 months ago
Mr. Best, why did you buy Edmundo shares if you diss anything not pro-Maduro?
factman
2 months ago
Argentina recognizes Gonzalez as president. https://x.com/UHN_Plus/status/1819374259975999574 While of course it is indeed worth remembering the flop of Guaido as "president", this time the situation does feel much more shaky and different. We'll see if this international pressure helps reach a regime change.
factman
2 months ago
can confirm. Source: I am the dog, woof
2 months ago
hahaha the dog ate them
factman
2 months ago
Thing is, CNE only published 80%, not 100%.
nop.nop
2 months ago
If 'No' proposers are so sure why they dont just propose No?. Poly/UMA is stalling the whole thing with P4, Three times it was been proposed Yes and they still stall with P4. I already burned $750 proposing correct result! Official means official from Vzla (CNE), who already proclamed winner. Doesnt matter what other countries think. Rules are crystal clear.
factman
2 months ago
good morning to you too then haha, hold!
n/a
2 months ago
1) What
factman
2 months ago
You were making fun of me for the González shares some days ago. Be consistent
n/a
2 months ago
LMAO DUMFAT DOMER desperately buying the cheap Maduro Yes shares, HA HA HA! the Amerikkkan Nazis scamming once again, both Blinken and Dumber! LOL!
factman
2 months ago
You just woke up to see this too right?
n/a
2 months ago
1) What
factman
2 months ago
Maduro asks US for dialogue. Certainly is concerned. https://x.com/NicolasMaduro/status/1819141849426121020
factman
2 months ago
"We congratulate Edmundo González Urrutia on his successful campaign. Now is the time for the Venezuelan parties to begin discussions on a respectful, peaceful transition in accordance with Venezuelan electoral law and the wishes of the Venezuelan people. We fully support the process of re-establishing democratic norms in Venezuela and stand ready to consider ways to bolster it jointly with our international partners."
factman
2 months ago
US STATE DEPT: "Given the overwhelming evidence, it is clear to the United States and, most importantly, to the Venezuelan people that Edmundo González Urrutia won the most votes in Venezuela’s July 28 presidential election.". https://www.state.gov/assessing-the-results-of-venezuelas-presidential-election/
factman
2 months ago
"the democratic opposition has published more than 80 percent of the tally sheets received directly from polling stations throughout Venezuela. Those tally sheets indicate that Edmundo González Urrutia received the most votes in this election by an insurmountable margin. Independent observers have corroborated these facts, and this outcome was also supported by election day exit polls and quick counts. In the days since the election, we have consulted widely with partners and allies around the world, and while countries have taken different approaches in responding, none have concluded that Nicolás Maduro received the most votes this election."
factman
2 months ago
US STATE DEPT: "Given the overwhelming evidence, it is clear to the United States and, most importantly, to the Venezuelan people that Edmundo González Urrutia won the most votes in Venezuela’s July 28 presidential election.". https://www.state.gov/assessing-the-results-of-venezuelas-presidential-election/
factman
2 months ago
US STATE DEPT: "Given the overwhelming evidence, it is clear to the United States and, most importantly, to the Venezuelan people that Edmundo González Urrutia won the most votes in Venezuela’s July 28 presidential election.". https://www.state.gov/assessing-the-results-of-venezuelas-presidential-election/
factman
2 months ago
well this changes everything
0x0d2cA4faDbF9dC5BfB6077e232a8Dbd8DD50B8cC-1722469029328
2 months ago
Namibia said he won lol
factman
2 months ago
Opposition leader Maria Corina Machado (who was supposed to be in the election instead of Edmundo Gonzalez) has called for protests at 10 AM on Saturday. Will be interesting. https://x.com/MariaCorinaYA/status/1819145479617188155
factman
2 months ago
they literally have all the actas available there, unlike the CNE which hasn't shown a SINGLE one
0x0d2cA4faDbF9dC5BfB6077e232a8Dbd8DD50B8cC-1722469029328
2 months ago
How is that credible?
factman
2 months ago
hay fuente?
chompy123
2 months ago
Si amigo lo vi. Una lástima, los de izquierda volvemos a perder :(
factman
2 months ago
In the coming days, it seems. Truth is, nobody has any idea.
basedd
2 months ago
When is the CNE supposed to publish its fake results? Looks like they are delaying it every other day
factman
2 months ago
To those siding with "Other" - what do you expect?
factman
2 months ago
nope, both got resolved with the same result
pr1235
2 months ago
Pretty sure that was the previous dispute.
factman
2 months ago
decidieron no cerrar
ELGRANCASTILLO
2 months ago
Que Paso? Ya No Aparece Tiempo.
factman
2 months ago
correct
sabotage
2 months ago
seems like the dispute succeeded and UMA resolved to too early? https://vote.uma.xyz/past-votes
factman
2 months ago
he couldn't get his staff to get a video up and running and was getting pissed
AugustoPinochet73
2 months ago
link
factman
2 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dDAgD3uyuwc CNN espanol
AugustoPinochet73
2 months ago
link
factman
2 months ago
you guys should watch maduro's speech right now it is unintentionally hilarious
factman
2 months ago
Responding to Augusto here - no, Venezuelans do not have to eat rats. They are poor, but most of them are not THIS poor lol.
n/a
2 months ago
cope and seethe, fascist scum
factman
2 months ago
Not related to your comment, but why are you so rude to everyone in the comment section?
n/a
2 months ago
Need a new Fight market, but Lil bitch Elon will pussy out like he did with Zuck, https://nypost.com/2024/07/31/world-news/venezuelan-president-nicolas-maduro-challenges-elon-musk-to-fight/
factman
2 months ago
responding to MrBest here - damn man, chill lol
factman
2 months ago
tbh, taking the novel situation into consideration, giving everyone a refund could be acceptable
factman
2 months ago
tbh, taking the novel situation into consideration, giving everyone a refund could be acceptable
Justifax
2 months ago
For those contemplating the potential unfairness of a resolution, this doesn't hold a candle to https://polymarket.com/event/ethereum-etf-approved-by-may-31?tid=1722433328507. I'd rank this maybe 6/10 in terms of bad rules. Elections have resolved with similar rules in the past without major dispute. This is a novel situation.
factman
2 months ago
also just noticed you have gonzalez shares too lol
n/a
2 months ago
Remember "fact man" spammer of Fascist propaganda yesterday? Bought for 17, now really, really wants to be let out for 18... LMAOOOOOOOOOOOOOO, so many scamming dickheads on Gonzalez!
factman
2 months ago
but yeah I did pull out yesterday due to the UMA vote as a safety measure. Why do you have to be so rude to everyone though?
n/a
2 months ago
Remember "fact man" spammer of Fascist propaganda yesterday? Bought for 17, now really, really wants to be let out for 18... LMAOOOOOOOOOOOOOO, so many scamming dickheads on Gonzalez!
factman
2 months ago
에드문도 파이팅!
Bucciarati
2 months ago
가즈앗!!!
factman
2 months ago
Yeah, turns out it's in a day lol. But at this time.
factman
2 months ago
The likely results of the resolution/review are going to be here in 15 minutes as they depend on the UMA vote. https://vote.uma.xyz/
factman
2 months ago
The likely results of the resolution/review are going to be here in 15 minutes as they depend on the UMA vote. https://vote.uma.xyz/
factman
2 months ago
you have a mistake in your calculations. 5150092/10058774 = 0.511999971. 4445978/10058774 = 0.441999989. 462704/10058774 = 0.0460000394. This is mathematically impossible.
pplbeinbrainrot
2 months ago
ACCORDING TO OFFICIAL MATH, Maduro has ABOUT 51.21017933 % (5 150 092 votes), Edmundo has 44.20878902 % (4 445 978) and others have 4.600918744 % (462 704). Total - 10 058 774. Twitter being cancer is effectively possible and real results to be like this are mathematically possible. Do minimal effort dumbos.
factman
2 months ago
REAL RESULTS - https://resultadosconvzla.com/
factman
2 months ago
Of course, it requires action on the streets. I merely post to inform here.
xolob
2 months ago
You're not going to overthrow Maduro via social media. USA stumbles from failure to failure. Just can't get the staff these day I guess.
factman
2 months ago
PARALLEL VOTE WITH POLLING STATION TOTALS SHOWS CLEAR GONZALEZ WIN https://supervisiondev2.metabaseapp.com/public/dashboard/6b2f7b3b-16ec-4af6-84c7-69c39ee2139d?tab=16-english
factman
2 months ago
So there is no chance the market will not resolve at all and just stay open?
Car
2 months ago
The rules are looking for official information from Venezuela, which has been published. They say Maduro won, thus this market should resolve to YES.
factman
2 months ago
oh it's just funny the results are this false
AugustoPinochet73
2 months ago
Who are you trying to convince? We all know, doesn't matter though, rules are rules.
factman
2 months ago
https://x.com/victorgdlv/status/1818339007698206963/photo/2
factman
2 months ago
ACCORDING TO OFFICIAL RESULTS, Maduro has EXACTLY 51.20000% (5 150 092 votes), Edmundo has 44.20000% (4 445 978) and others have 4.60000% (462 704). Total - 10 058 774. The electoral fraud is extremely blatant, it's effectively impossible for real results to be like this mathematically.
factman
2 months ago
MADURO govt ORDERS not to sell gasoline to ANY motor vehicle. https://x.com/OrlvndoA/status/1818384225457811511
factman
2 months ago
ACCORDING TO OFFICIAL RESULTS, Maduro has EXACTLY 51.20000% (5 150 092 votes), Edmundo has 44.20000% (4 445 978) and others have 4.60000% (462 704). Total - 10 058 774. The electoral fraud is extremely blatant, it's effectively impossible for real results to be like this mathematically.
factman
2 months ago
VENEZUELAN GOVT OFFICIAL VOTE TALLIES (the ones that are pro-Maduro) MATHEMATICALLY PROVEN TO BE FALSE. https://x.com/datadicto_es/status/1818361349342384341
factman
2 months ago
The opposition at the very least summed them up. You can try "6122963" on the website btw to test.