#274
Rank
140
Comments
79
Likes Received
40
Likes Given
Paganheat
9 months ago
You have sunk cost bias bro. Get out while you still can
NIGGA
9 months ago
Apple’s last investment into a company was 8 years ago. Go figure, they do M&A instead.
Paganheat
9 months ago
Comrade is huge value rn.
Paganheat
9 months ago
Not true. They invested $1bn in Didi Chuxing in 2016. OpenAI is not only a potentially profitable investment but also a strategic partnership with synergies with all of apples business lines, and in particular, its iPhone. It also acts as a smart counterbalance to their existing partnership with Google search.
NIGGA
9 months ago
Also the fact that their last M&A was an AI company called DarwinAI.
Paganheat
9 months ago
Why would they announce investing in a deal when it’s not finalized yet?
NIGGA
9 months ago
OpenAI was mentioned zero times in the recent Apple Event, even though Apple Intelligence is soon coming to the new iPhones; Hermes was noted due to a small collaboration in watch bands. Go figure - time will tell.
Paganheat
9 months ago
Looks like another article supporting the hypothesis here.
Paganheat
9 months ago
https://www.ft.com/content/a8f9bd05-0999-415d-af86-c73e79ad5733
Paganheat
9 months ago
https://www.ft.com/content/a8f9bd05-0999-415d-af86-c73e79ad5733
Paganheat
9 months ago
Latest round of fundraising is oversubscribed…good chance Apple is in the mix. They’ll announce the investors tomorrow
Paganheat
9 months ago
https://x.com/morqon/status/1836901244612338008
Paganheat
9 months ago
https://x.com/morqon/status/1836901244612338008
Paganheat
10 months ago
What’s that supposed to mean? Did you not listen to her response? It was “I’m not endorsing anyone, it would hurt my brand”
SnatchDaddy
10 months ago
your ears must be painted on
Paganheat
10 months ago
Morbid q, what is he’s assassinated?
Paganheat
10 months ago
Then propose a resolution
figman
10 months ago
Jenn didn’t give him a rose 🤔 was Devin even announced as the winner? Need a rules check
Paganheat
10 months ago
Damn figman, brutal
figman
10 months ago
Regarding Other/None… if no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Yes."
Paganheat
10 months ago
I’m SCOOPING up shares at 0.28 as we speak
Paganheat
10 months ago
For the record, Trump has said Comrade Harris in EVERY public appearance. There is no chance he is not saying it in the Lex interview. The price moved because of a whale (with a very unimpressive PL).
Paganheat
10 months ago
Not sure this is rigged. Kingfisher does not have a very desirable PL
mr.ozi
10 months ago
This is extremely likely to be rigged. I am out of this with some profit. See you guys. I'll watch how Kingfisher's positions behave after we see the interview.
Paganheat
10 months ago
He endorsed before and stated his support just now - meeting the resolution rules
Paganheat
10 months ago
If Robert F. Kennedy Jr. endorses Trump before his public address and then reiterates his support during his address, this will qualify.
Paganheat
10 months ago
Yes:
Paganheat
10 months ago
Correct
thakattack19
10 months ago
well he said support, and per the rules he can say support as long as he endorsed Trump before. Axios and AP report he did endorse.
Paganheat
10 months ago
https://edition.cnn.com/2024/08/23/politics/rfk-jr-endorses-trump/index.html
Paganheat
10 months ago
Time to buy more YES: RFK Jr. withdraws from PA ballot access challenge ‘as a result of today’s endorsement’ of Trump, per court filing
Paganheat
10 months ago
Time to buy more YES: RFK Jr. withdraws from PA ballot access challenge ‘as a result of today’s endorsement’ of Trump, per court filing
Paganheat
10 months ago
Multiple news stories: https://www.axios.com/2024/08/23/trump-robert-f-kennedy-jr-endorsement
Paganheat
10 months ago
It's over guys. He endorsed Trump already. Only a matter of seconds before he endorses him here. https://apnews.com/live/updates-democratic-national-convention-harris-walz?taid=66c8d24b1f937b0001379b4f&utm_campaign=TrueAnthem&utm_medium=AP&utm_source=Twitter
Paganheat
10 months ago
He hates the democrats
Paganheat
10 months ago
Shocking there are still Nos here. He's fully shitting on Kamala and leading into his endorsement of trump. Sell while they still have followers
Paganheat
10 months ago
Shocking there are still Nos here. He's fully shitting on Kamala and leading into his endorsement of trump. Sell while they still have followers
Paganheat
10 months ago
why would he do it later? he has a huge audience rn...
SenecaTheYounger
10 months ago
basically just rolling the dice whether he does it now or later today but too late to pull out now lol
Paganheat
10 months ago
it's over
0xc82CDDbfD073be01AE8DF2968827aa82269B4c85-1717120400943
10 months ago
https://x.com/AP/status/1827047602551943545
Paganheat
10 months ago
Link?
Car
10 months ago
Its literally a court filing reported by the AP. If Asociated Press isnt trustworthy idk what you want
Paganheat
10 months ago
So many fucking market manipulators! Best to track your own news and avoid the comments tbh
Paganheat
10 months ago
Plus everything is about eyes and views right now. It’s the day after the DNC. The strongemomentum move would be to endorse is today.
SPYontheQs
10 months ago
It seems pretty unlikely RFK would attend Trump's event if he was not endorsing. Kinda weird to not endorse him in this conference then a few hours later make the endorsement lol
Paganheat
10 months ago
Also, these guys have egos. He’s gonna endorse at his own press conference, not at Trump’s
SPYontheQs
10 months ago
It seems pretty unlikely RFK would attend Trump's event if he was not endorsing. Kinda weird to not endorse him in this conference then a few hours later make the endorsement lol
Paganheat
10 months ago
Convenient explanation when the most logical thing one would do is announce it at his own speech - which he’s heavily advertised.
TheOneB
10 months ago
he will endorse Trump, but there's no reason for him to say that at the friday address instead of Trump's rally a few hours later
Paganheat
10 months ago
Insane how low Yes is right now when all major new sources are predicting he’s gonna endorse Trump. Lots of market manipulators in these comments
Paganheat
10 months ago
Never turn down a tampon bet!!!!
Paganheat
10 months ago
Tampon three times in a row! Lfgggg
Paganheat
10 months ago
For the record, tampon (in reference to his dig at Tim Walz for allegedly supporting tampons in boys bathrooms) has won in both recent Trump markets
Paganheat
10 months ago
Disagree. There needs to be an explicit use of the word “ceasefire” and a “humanitarian pause” would not count. The talks in Doha on Thursday were not successful in achieving a real ceasefire agreement. A pause in fighting for the UN to administer vaccines would not count towards resolution of this market
0xF2F045A0f4D01Ac2eD0F621E57990EEB53097cb3-1723510812303
10 months ago
I think its because there is talk of a one week humanitarian pause for Polio Vaccinations in Gaza, which would technically meet the criteria. It would be a strange way to resolve this market if there was no agreement on any substantive issues between parties.
Paganheat
11 months ago
Not betting on short non rambly Kamala speeches again. On to the Trump rally now!
Laura
11 months ago
Wow only one went off. What a great market
Paganheat
11 months ago
Sry I led you astray!
Laura
11 months ago
Wow only one went off. What a great market
Paganheat
11 months ago
Well, that didn’t work out so well
Paganheat
11 months ago
I didn’t flip, just hedged to reduce exposure
Paganheat
11 months ago
Abortion is guaranteed imo
Paganheat
11 months ago
Looks like it’s an economic focused speech
Paganheat
11 months ago
Abortion is guaranteed imo
Paganheat
11 months ago
Abortion is guaranteed imo
Laura
11 months ago
Alright, Paganheat, what are your hot tips for this market?
Paganheat
11 months ago
Least confident in weird, but price is okay rn
Laura
11 months ago
Alright, Paganheat, what are your hot tips for this market?
Paganheat
11 months ago
I’m also buying weird. It’s amazing how we can post the answer key and ppl still won’t read it
Laura
11 months ago
Alright, Paganheat, what are your hot tips for this market?
Paganheat
11 months ago
Not going back
Paganheat
11 months ago
Abortion
Paganheat
11 months ago
Abortion
Laura
11 months ago
Alright, Paganheat, what are your hot tips for this market?
Paganheat
11 months ago
Let’s keep it going. Kamala tomorrow
Laura
11 months ago
Congrats!
Paganheat
11 months ago
Wow! YESes for the win
Paganheat
11 months ago
LFG!
Paganheat
11 months ago
CHYNA!!!
Paganheat
11 months ago
Too bad Trump doesn’t speak in complete sentences
Laura
11 months ago
I think AI is a bit undervalued, considering what's been happening with the latest Grok release and Trump making a rare tweet of an AI generated video
Paganheat
11 months ago
Clear eyes full heart lfg
Laura
11 months ago
Nevermind, fhantombets just bought some 'no' so I'm pretty happy with our position now
Paganheat
11 months ago
Who is that?
Laura
11 months ago
I just want to point out that Domer is on the other side of us as well, which is usually never a good sign 🥲
Paganheat
11 months ago
lol I’m deep
Laura
11 months ago
I’m holding you personally responsible for Trump saying China btw lol
Paganheat
11 months ago
1 hr to go….
Paganheat
11 months ago
Clearly you don’t read all the comments
1276
11 months ago
Fake News should be at least at 60. He mentions it every time just like he does with China. Always when he talks about Mainstream Media he calls them Fake News Media. If theres an 85% odds he talks about elon musk then there's a very high chance that he mentions the fake news media trying to silence it or paint a bad picture of it. He also might talk about the Google thing with Kamala Harris, or Harris' fake crowd sizes. There's like 20 ways this market could be yes.
Paganheat
11 months ago
Try making a profit first mate
MOA
11 months ago
You know this isn’t a team sport, right?
Paganheat
11 months ago
50% of Jewish Israelis think that Israel should govern Gaza after the “war” “ends”: https://www.pewresearch.org/global/2024/05/30/assessing-the-future-in-light-of-the-war/
Iverson
11 months ago
Less than 5% of Israeli population is interested in "annexing more land". Israel is attending ceasefire talks tomorrow, Hamas is not showing up. I am still bullish on ceasefire getting done though as Sinwar has few options at this point.
Paganheat
11 months ago
Having said that, if MAGA yes keeps getting pushed higher, I’m buying the No
k33r0s
11 months ago
Trump says MAGA at rallies. But typically not at press conferences.
Paganheat
11 months ago
Everything else is 0x. However, this took place BEFORE the Elon interview.
Paganheat
11 months ago
In case people care about data, here are the frequencies from his last press conference two days ago.
Paganheat
11 months ago
Elon = 11x
Paganheat
11 months ago
In case people care about data, here are the frequencies from his last press conference two days ago.
Paganheat
11 months ago
Debate = 22x
Paganheat
11 months ago
In case people care about data, here are the frequencies from his last press conference two days ago.
Paganheat
11 months ago
China = 8x
Paganheat
11 months ago
In case people care about data, here are the frequencies from his last press conference two days ago.
Paganheat
11 months ago
MAGA = 1x
Paganheat
11 months ago
In case people care about data, here are the frequencies from his last press conference two days ago.
Paganheat
11 months ago
In case people care about data, here are the frequencies from his last press conference two days ago.
Paganheat
11 months ago
It’s shocking that there are still no holders in this market. I guess this is how we make money on this platform
Paganheat
11 months ago
We need more Dan1337s to help with the zero sum equation of Polymarket!
Dan1337
11 months ago
debate before election lol no way, thanks for great odds
Paganheat
11 months ago
That’s not true. Look at publicly available data. He said MAGA 1x at his last conference.
k33r0s
11 months ago
Trump says MAGA at rallies. But typically not at press conferences.
Paganheat
11 months ago
Poly market wont let me link this for some reason, but just google for at rev dot com. All t r a n s c r I p t s are therr
Laura
11 months ago
Does Trump ever NOT say "fake news"? Did I really just buy these at 42c? 🤯
Paganheat
11 months ago
@laura to be clear though, I don’t think fake news is a bad bet! He just didn’t appear to say it at his last press conference
Paganheat
11 months ago
Google his t r a n s c r i pts. For some reason this word is preventing me from commenting.
Paganheat
11 months ago
Google his t r a n s c r i pts. For some reason this word is preventing me from commenting.
Laura
11 months ago
Does Trump ever NOT say "fake news"? Did I really just buy these at 42c? 🤯
Paganheat
11 months ago
But he does in his rallies. From reading all prior public appearances, China was the most frequent and in all of his last 20 appearances
Paganheat
11 months ago
Read his last press conf. He doesn’t
Paganheat
11 months ago
Read his last press conf. He doesn’t
Laura
11 months ago
Does Trump ever NOT say "fake news"? Did I really just buy these at 42c? 🤯
Paganheat
11 months ago
Oops free money on NO. Typo
Paganheat
11 months ago
Students of the Israeli occupation know that this is free money on YES. 1) Israel has an extremely far right govt in place and Netanyahu is most interested in staying in power, 2) while there are def protests within to call for ceasefire, the majority of Israeli population is far right and more interested in annexing more land, so a ceasefire would not serve them well, 3) US is in an election year and there is a lame duck pres in place. Israel won’t make any moves unless there is US-led pressure, which there won’t be until we know who our next pres is. And finally 4) there is imminent war with Iran on the horizon
Paganheat
11 months ago
Aug 12 Mar-a-lago: China 8x, Aug 5 Atlanta: China 8x, Jul 22 Grand Rapids: China 19x....FREE MONEY
Paganheat
11 months ago
Compound words will count as long as "Fire" or "Fired" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the act of dismissing an employee.
1276
11 months ago
I agree
Paganheat
11 months ago
He says China 10+ in all past press conferences and rallies.
Paganheat
11 months ago
No need to run simulations, just review the record:
Paganheat
11 months ago
No need to run simulations, just review the record:
Paganheat
11 months ago
Illegal immigrant was the first winner in the Elon interview.
Paganheat
11 months ago
Students of the Israeli occupation know that this is free money on YES. 1) Israel has an extremely far right govt in place and Netanyahu is most interested in staying in power, 2) while there are def protests within to call for ceasefire, the majority of Israeli population is far right and more interested in annexing more land, so a ceasefire would not serve them well, 3) US is in an election year and there is a lame duck pres in place. Israel won’t make any moves unless there is US-led pressure, which there won’t be until we know who our next pres is. And finally 4) there is imminent war with Iran on the horizon
Paganheat
11 months ago
This is over. He’s made it clear 1) he’s not posting on Twitter, other than one more pump of the interview, and 2) he’s personally given up on the platform due to TruthSocial taking precedent, and 3) even his flurry of posts on Monday were clearly not him and just his team blasting a few blurbs/CTAs.
diddy
11 months ago
Watch Logan Paul, Impaulsive, interview with Trump, and you will see how he promotes his Truth Social media. Trump tweeting on X would be a self-sabotage an bear damage to his net worth. The only moments when Trump may post on X at this point would be when there's something significant or a new AD. Him tweeting casually on X are the days of the past. If he wanted to do it, he would have done it long time ago, no reason for him to start now.
Paganheat
11 months ago
65 hours left…not gonna happen.
Paganheat
11 months ago
30+ TruthSocial posts today
n/a
11 months ago
Trump posting every 30 minutes on Truth Social. So far only 1 pinned interview tweet on Twitter.
Paganheat
11 months ago
Hold strong nos!
0xE42c9d2ef
11 months ago
I posted my comment below and within an hour he started again. I will shut my mouth for now lol
Paganheat
11 months ago
He’s been posting non stop on truth social. Wish I got in earlier.
Laura
11 months ago
Can’t believe I picked these up at less than 30c. He did the exact same thing with the mugshot lol. 😑
Paganheat
11 months ago
What’s your rationale on Biden not finishing his term?
Laura
11 months ago
All I'll say about this market is this: Look at who the top 'yes' holder is, look at their profit and loss, and decide if you want to be on the same side as them or not. Batman is a fictional character, folks. This is reality. The bat signal ain't coming.
Paganheat
11 months ago
This is gonna take a while
PoLOLitics
11 months ago
dumb that a yes resolution does not also resolve the Nos in a market like this.
Paganheat
11 months ago
Looks like they paid up for Walz. Probably will take a while for all the Nos to process
Paganheat
11 months ago
Anyone know what the delay is for redemption?
Paganheat
11 months ago
On the bright side, More psychopaths on here, the better!
libmoney
11 months ago
It’s funny though, what a psychopath.
Paganheat
11 months ago
Repeating a prior comment - which loser disputed this and wasted their $750?
Paganheat
11 months ago
Thank god for N Shapiro holders, Y Tim Walz holders, and anti-genocide folks for this win!
mikeriva
11 months ago
How long does it take to have resolution?
Paganheat
11 months ago
Akin to not calling what’s happening in a Gaza a genocide but being clear we need to withhold weapons shipments to Israel. Bernie is careful with his words (even tho I disagree because what’s happening is def genocide)
spacebike
11 months ago
he's been saying this ever since she cleared the field for the nomination. but he's pointedly withholding an endorsement. from punchbowl news this morning (just one example): "Yet Sanders hasn’t formally endorsed Harris either. We asked Sanders about this discrepancy: “I am working as hard as I can to make sure that Kamala Harris is the next president of the United States and Donald Trump is defeated… 'These are media concerns. The concern I have is that Trump is defeated.'" https://punchbowl.news/archive/8524-am/
Paganheat
11 months ago
Thank god (Bernie)
vote.fun
11 months ago
nice same statement live, no endorsement
Paganheat
11 months ago
I can’t wait for this to be over. So much capital locked up across several Kamala related bets
Laura
11 months ago
1 like = 1 amen 🙏
Paganheat
11 months ago
However, I was much more worried that the DNC would nominate her last Thursday. I think we’ll have to wait until tomorrow morning for this and the Kamala market to close.
Paganheat
11 months ago
Same. I was so pissed and skeptical, and then I realized Laura’s analysis was spot on.
Paganheat
11 months ago
Same. I was so pissed and skeptical, and then I realized Laura’s analysis was spot on.
kdubhotsauce
11 months ago
I bet so hard against Laura, cursing them in my head. At some point, I had to switch sides. Take us to the promise land. 🫡
Paganheat
11 months ago
He’s been his true authentic self since his 20s. If you read his writing from then, his values and policies haven’t really changed z
fundamentalmisunderstanding
11 months ago
yuuuge bernie fan now lol
Paganheat
11 months ago
It’s okay. My N position has value.
0xE42c9d2ef
11 months ago
What is a definition of a 'formal endorsement' because it is not stated in the rules. I have been feeding ChatGPT articles about Bernie statements and speeches, it said that he formally endorsed her
Paganheat
11 months ago
Agree. Cleanest will be an unequivocal “Kamala is officially the nominee” can’t imagine the timing will be that different between DNC and her acceptance
Iverson
11 months ago
I imagine press release will include her acceptance.
Paganheat
11 months ago
Why is togen even commenting here? Stick to your super speculative pop culture bets
0xE42c9d2ef
11 months ago
What is a definition of a 'formal endorsement' because it is not stated in the rules. I have been feeding ChatGPT articles about Bernie statements and speeches, it said that he formally endorsed her
Paganheat
11 months ago
I defer to you…I’m brand new to the platform
Laura
11 months ago
Alright guys, I'm quite happy to put through the proposal once the DNC announces they've officially nominated her. Do we want to wait until she accepts the nomination (I'm assuming the same day)? Either way, it will all be time stamped so no need to be reckless in rushing it through.
Paganheat
11 months ago
Free money for you….but yes at a huge bargain rn
0xE42c9d2ef
11 months ago
What is a definition of a 'formal endorsement' because it is not stated in the rules. I have been feeding ChatGPT articles about Bernie statements and speeches, it said that he formally endorsed her
Paganheat
11 months ago
https://x.com/berniesanders/status/1820512743054561747?s=46
Paganheat
11 months ago
Good game:
Paganheat
11 months ago
Sorry color guesser!
Colorguesser
11 months ago
Reds pumping and dumping!
Paganheat
11 months ago
LFGGGG
Laura
11 months ago
https://punchbowl.news/article/election-2024/sanders-pushes-harris-on-progressive-agenda/
Paganheat
11 months ago
They don’t hate Jews, they hate people who support genocide. Maybe you hate Jews?
Yehudi
11 months ago
Let me see, on the one hand you have a guy plagued by controversies and hated by many Democrats because they hate Jews, and on the other you have the most popular guy in the list whose partner is besties with the Democratic nominee. The first is considered 31x more likely to be the pick than the second, according to this market, and the reason for that is because the second is gay, even though the Democratic nominee was herself a DEI hire by Biden. Yeah, I think this market will look a lot different tomorrow, especially as more news breaks.
Paganheat
11 months ago
The fake Twitter account was something else…super manipulative
n/a
11 months ago
Why are you sweating so badly…relax if your No is guaranteed. Nobody thinks you’re kind.
Paganheat
11 months ago
Submit a resolution or stop your jabbering
Colorguesser
11 months ago
and it better be after vermontpublic.org from 2024-08-01
Paganheat
11 months ago
Whoever made that fake account, congrats on your scam!
Paganheat
11 months ago
Some very shady shit
Paganheat
11 months ago
Some very shady shit
yourrapist1776
11 months ago
I know one of you fuckers ran that prog4harris twitter. Damn your good
Paganheat
11 months ago
Pretty sure that 8pm is AFTER the virtual roll call…no?
aenews2
11 months ago
Lfgo!
Paganheat
11 months ago
https://www.inquirer.com/politics/election/josh-shapiro-israel-gaza-peace-column-vice-president-20240802.html
Paganheat
11 months ago
Palestinians "do not have the capabilities to establish their own homeland and make it successful even with the aid of Israel and the United States. They are too battle-minded to be able to establish a peaceful homeland of their own.”
Paganheat
11 months ago
Palestinians "do not have the capabilities to establish their own homeland and make it successful even with the aid of Israel and the United States. They are too battle-minded to be able to establish a peaceful homeland of their own.”
Paganheat
11 months ago
Kamala picking Shapiro is the end of the race. No chance she wins Michigan with this racist:
Paganheat
11 months ago
Kamala picking Shapiro is the end of the race. No chance she wins Michigan with this racist:
Paganheat
11 months ago
Crazy. Must be insider
MurkKellyVP
11 months ago
yeah i was wondering as well. 200k in a single trade, either rich, insider or both
Paganheat
11 months ago
Great point @murkkelly
Paganheat
11 months ago
I don’t see Kamala picking a Zionist for VP right now.
Paganheat
11 months ago
@wetard you did great - I was shocked how much you poured in over the weekend. On Sunday, I still think his endorsement was forthcoming but by Monday it was over
Laura
11 months ago
⏰⏰⏰ It's 9am ET - VOTING HAS STARTED! I wonder which candidate will win!? 🤔🤔🤔 Bernie at this time HAS NOT endorsed Kamala Harris for president. 🙅‍♂️🙅‍♂️🙅‍♂️
Paganheat
11 months ago
Dude, u have equal access to the news…sell your shares now…
OtoyaYamaguchi
11 months ago
kamala harris is the presumptive nominee of the Democratic Party in the 2024 presidential election, but not yet officially confirmed. According to the results, she secured enough non-binding support from delegates to become the presumptive nominee on July 22, 2024, following Joe biden’s withdrawal from the race. However, the official nomination process has not been completed, and Harris has yet to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party. . . . in other words, might be a great bet picking up some cheap AF No shares on communist kamala harris
Paganheat
11 months ago
I don’t see Kamala picking a Zionist for VP right now.
MurkKellyVP
11 months ago
So whats gonna happen today? The news is out Kelly met with the Harris Team, people realize Shapiro is overpriced and start to dump (is already happening). Whats next? People will yolo into the Murk Kelly coin: https://dexscreener.com/solana/124tgdq59sdbhbys7ygp3t5do88mnhe7ws6x7h6q6ska
Paganheat
11 months ago
Looking forward to cashing out on this. Nice job @Laura!
Laura
11 months ago
⏰⏰⏰ It's 9am ET - VOTING HAS STARTED! I wonder which candidate will win!? 🤔🤔🤔 Bernie at this time HAS NOT endorsed Kamala Harris for president. 🙅‍♂️🙅‍♂️🙅‍♂️
Paganheat
11 months ago
I don’t understand why the other bets have not cashed out yet. I’m perplexed. Polymarket is not an efficient market lol
Laura
11 months ago
Lol yep
Paganheat
11 months ago
It’s over
Paganheat
11 months ago
As a former yes holder with $4000+ at stake, I would have probably flipped by now - too much risk. I actually bought No’s to hedge my losses Monday before his email. Then my limit order hit, so all the timing worked out great
Paganheat
11 months ago
I only flipped when I saw his email yesterday combined with my limit order going through, minimizing losses on my Yes positions
Paganheat
11 months ago
I only flipped when I saw his email yesterday combined with my limit order going through, minimizing losses on my Yes positions
Laura
11 months ago
https://x.com/BernieSanders/status/1818398596540084370 Bernie is standing up against corporate interests, which is why he hasn't endorsed Kamala Harris. The Democrat party is filled with ELITES taking BIG MONEY from BIG CORPORATIONS
Paganheat
11 months ago
This has been a pretty volatile market…it’s been fun.
Paganheat
11 months ago
Alright, well, with such limited time left, I have indeed cashed out at .90 - and switched over to the No.
Paganheat
11 months ago
This was well timed with where the market moved + Bernie’s Monday newsletter, which was a pretty hedged “Kamala will win, but” statement.
Paganheat
11 months ago
Alright, well, with such limited time left, I have indeed cashed out at .90 - and switched over to the No.
Paganheat
11 months ago
Alright, well, with such limited time left, I have indeed cashed out at .90 - and switched over to the No.
Laura
11 months ago
Alright, it's 5pm Bernie time, still no formal endorsement. Only Tuesday, Wednesday, and part of Thursday to go. Good luck! 😁
Paganheat
11 months ago
Correct. He is going to be asked by the media this week what the difference is between a formal endorsement and what he’s now said on Twitter and in public
Shayku
11 months ago
Sure, but that was before the formal endorsement in Portland.
Paganheat
11 months ago
You’re so deep on the no LOL. $11k!
vote.fun
11 months ago
he loses all political influence once he formally endorses. This is why he hasnt and wont until the general election. Lets not forget Bernie is a far left independent not a democrat. He build his career and fighting back against the democratic establishment. He wont bend the knee without major concessions first. Like hes said many times now https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qx5f0wvZvqg&list=RDNSqx5f0wvZvqg&start_radio=1
Paganheat
11 months ago
Most likely scenario here: there’s been countless news stories claiming that Bernie has endorsed Kamala, which in spirit, he has, regardless of how explicit he’s been. Kamala will most likely be nominated on Aug 1. Between now and Thursday, his team will need to affirm (or not) these headlines and/or he will be asked by the media whether he does indeed endorse Kamala. Most likely, he’s not going to squabble over words (eg explicit endorsement). He needs to activate his base if he is truly doing everything he can to stop Trump. The YES is still the right position to hold.
Paganheat
11 months ago
Your thesis is plausible, but here’s the reality - there are so many articles claiming that he’s endorsed her already and he’s inevitably going to be asked in the media or public this week whether those claims are true.
Laura
11 months ago
https://www.npr.org/2024/07/26/g-s1-13338/kamala-harris-joe-biden-dnc-democrat-nominee By the way, in case anyone doesn’t realise, they’re rushing through making her the candidate by Aug 1, in which case if Bernie hasn’t formally endorsed her, it’s over. Good luck to yes holders 🫡
Paganheat
11 months ago
Yup. Just hold out. This is going to resolved tomorrow.
Shayku
11 months ago
ABC reported that he endorsed her.
Paganheat
11 months ago
He’s not going to play hardball and his formal endorsement is still impactful at this stage of the race. He reaches a large audience through his emails and Twitter, given a young voter base. He is likely timing his formal endorsement for the weekday.
Laura
11 months ago
He's likely going to formally endorse her when he gets the reassurances for working class Americans he keeps expressing he requires. V unlikely it will happen that quickly, and he has strongly supported her so there's less pressure now for a formal endorsement.
Paganheat
11 months ago
The nos had a good run today but this is a huge overreaction
Paganheat
11 months ago
He’s likely going to formally endorse her on Monday.
Paganheat
11 months ago
He’s likely going to formally endorse her on Monday.
Paganheat
11 months ago
There’s still 4 days left and plenty of time for him to formally endorse
Paganheat
11 months ago
@wetard keep betting no please !!!
ActDrew
11 months ago
whatever helps you cope I guess