n/a | Polymarket Tracker

How many named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

n/a

3 hours ago

Five in eight days. That was quite a run.

0

How many named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

n/a

1 day ago

They turned 50+k no shares into 50+k yes shares. There aren't 50k shares on offer in the entire book right now.

0

Platinum

1 day ago

you know you can put auto sell and buy limit right? Also $1,985,719 Vol is pretty high to be fair

How many named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

n/a

1 day ago

That's what has been bet, not what's in the order book today. There just wasn't that much liquidity. No matter how you buy or sell, it should show up in the activity feed.

0

Platinum

1 day ago

you know you can put auto sell and buy limit right? Also $1,985,719 Vol is pretty high to be fair

How many named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

n/a

1 day ago

Nothing about this season has been average so far.

0

n/a

2 days ago

According to nhc, istorically, about 10-12% of named storms in a typical hurricane season occur in October and about 4-5% in November. Given the average number of storms per season (14 named storms historically), this could mean 1-3 hurricanes might form during these months

How many named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

n/a

2 days ago

JustKen was sitting on a massive NO position and is now sitting on a massive YES position. Why doesn't it show up in the activity list? There was no liquidity available for them to make that move.

0

How many named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

n/a

3 days ago

Eleven. https://youtu.be/NMS2VnDveP8?si=2JT1l4uhq4ylov0y&t=60s

2

How many named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

n/a

1 week ago

Isaac got a name. 3 in 3 days!

0

How many named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

n/a

1 week ago

Two more in the next two days!

0

Torito

1 week ago

Two new storms next week!

How many named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

n/a

1 week ago

These two markets are betting pretty hard (32%) that the answer is exactly15.

1

# of named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

n/a

1 week ago

Hello, Helene.

0

How many named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

n/a

1 week ago

Helene got named.

0

Torito

1 week ago

Two new storms next week!

How many named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

n/a

1 week ago

https://reactiongifs.me/wp-content/uploads/2018/12/Nevermind-Nathan-Fillion.gif

0

itsari👻

1 week ago

So far there has only been 2 storms. Justkens bet makes lot of sense.

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

The over/under is "# of days until Nov 4th."

2

Mountainman

2 weeks ago

We should have another market predicting how many more times the Trump team will pump and dump this with "news" until November 4th.

Another Trump x Musk space before October?

n/a

2 weeks ago

JUST IN several days ago.

1

LyinCamela

2 weeks ago

JUST IN - Trump, to speak live on X Space tonight. https://x.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1835754983259558260 @disclosetv

How many Fed rate cuts this year?

n/a

2 weeks ago

"assuming an increase once a month" Please tell me which side you're betting on. I'd like to know for....research.

0

Weds

2 weeks ago

With less than 4 months left until the end of the year, there are potentially up to four opportunities for interest rate hikes, assuming an increase once a month.

Kamala positive favorability by Friday?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Well, you're about to get fucked in this market. Hope that helps.

2

SusanWarren,HR

2 weeks ago

... haven't had good dick in over 3 years :(

ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?

n/a

2 weeks ago

The affidavit says the Harris team asked for special handing. It does not even allege that ABC granted it. Easiest NO ever.

0

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Come see the site where mountainboy lost $2k by misreading the rules in record time!

0

Mountainman

2 weeks ago

To all the idiots who love donating their money to me over here please move on over to: https://polymarket.com/event/abc-whistleblower-report-released-by-sunday/abc-whistleblower-report-released-by-sunday?tid=1726426169441 And Bet on "NO" right now!

ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Mountainboy is claiming it's already proven. He set a new record for setting $2k on fire.

0

n/a

2 weeks ago

are you trolling? It didn't happen yet, we are still waiting for media authentication, which will come this week.

ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?

n/a

2 weeks ago

So if YES has already happened, where's the proposal for YES? No need to wait for the deadline.

0

ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Are you kidding? Nobody gives a fuck about either story. The biggest story is the Bears-Texans game, and it's not even a good game.

0

Mountainman

2 weeks ago

If Trump didn't get shot at today this would be the biggest story. We still have 3 hours and 30 minutes for them to confirm this bad boy. I will be watching with my popcorn :)

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

I'm impressed at how fast you were able to set half your winnings on fire. I figured it would take you at least a week to lose that much.

0

Mountainman

2 weeks ago

People will bet that there is a 30% chance that something that already happened and will happen again will not happen.... but refuse to have the chance to 10x their money.... hahahaha...... I love this place, you all are going to make me rich! https://polymarket.com/event/abc-whistleblower-report-released-by-sunday/abc-whistleblower-report-released-by-sunday?tid=1726431770417

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Only a few more hours to take the last $500 from mountain boy!

0

Mountainman

2 weeks ago

People will bet that there is a 30% chance that something that already happened and will happen again will not happen.... but refuse to have the chance to 10x their money.... hahahaha...... I love this place, you all are going to make me rich! https://polymarket.com/event/abc-whistleblower-report-released-by-sunday/abc-whistleblower-report-released-by-sunday?tid=1726431770417

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

MountainMan keeps dumping his yes holdings. I guess he's not a true belieber.

3

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Saying Trump will behave ethically and not try to profit once he's in office may be the dumbest thing you've ever said.

1

Mountainman

2 weeks ago

Once Donald becomes President being part of the launch as an active U.S President becomes extremely dangerous for him legally, as U.S presidents can’t behave like private citizens. If you want to do the research yourself you can check out the following things that will restrict his involvement once he is in office: The Emoluments Clause (U.S. Constitution), Conflict of Interest Laws, and Presidential Ethics Agreements. After you do that, then get back to me and answer me one simple question….. Why the hell would he wait to launch until after he is President and deal with all of that bullshit, when he can just launch now???

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Says the man who has half his account and all his profit in one trade.

4

Mountainman

2 weeks ago

You're about to blow up your whole account over one dumb trade. That truly is a lolololololololololololol....... How Ironic hahaha

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Or, continually insisting that something has happened when it hasn't.

5

Mountainman

2 weeks ago

Yes, it is dumb... but do you know what is even dumber??? ... Continually talking about something that ALREADY HAPPENED and saying that it won't happen.

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

I hate being on the opposite side.of your bets.

0

n/a

2 weeks ago

Fill me naysayers

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

He moved it from the sure thing to the bet that might or might not pay out on Jan 20. Yeah, you believe in this. Riiiiight.

1

Mountainman

2 weeks ago

How this is not in the high 90's right now just how dumb the market participants are on this site.

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Can't help but notice that MoutnainMan started dumping in the $0.50+ range....even he doesn't believe this will really happen.

0

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

I'm beginning to think paragon wasn't a whale moving the market, but just a new bettor with timing that mattered to us but was irrelevant to them..

0

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Right now the only poll that matters is the PM presidential poll. Tomorrow is a different market and (maybe) a different side.

0

Polybot

3 weeks ago

I thought Kamala won the debate what is all this fuckery?

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

@Factual It did. Look at 2 days ago vs now (Trump -2, Harris +4). It just wasn't enough to flip the numbers to a Harris lead. I must admit it was closer than I thought and it'll proabably flip over then next 7 days - but not tonight.

0

Polybot

3 weeks ago

I thought Kamala won the debate what is all this fuckery?

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Just because you land a few zingers doesn't mean you'll change people's minds and who they vote for. Multiple reddit threads today on "Did the debate change your vote?" and they all have resounding NOs as the top answers.

0

Polybot

3 weeks ago

I thought Kamala won the debate what is all this fuckery?

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

No arbitrage with predictit - their fees for withdrawl kill any profit.

7

FishSlut

3 weeks ago

You could literally just arbitrage this with predictit and push kamala up risk free

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Paragon is WayneWest's boyfriend.

2

Tories4Harris

3 weeks ago

Anyone want to place bets if Paragon is Waynewest?

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

On top of $3M of other positions...on a new account. It's manipulation - there's no other reason to buy both sides.

0

Tories4Harris

3 weeks ago

Paragon just bought 795k yes kamala and 637k no trump

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

It speaks!

0

wanyewest69

3 weeks ago

guys kamla gonna loose

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Does WayneWest make anyone else nervous? Like, they have $200k at stake - they might have $2M in reserve and throw it at the main market just to shift it at the end? The $2M would be mostly recoverable after a $0.01 loss on 4M shares. Lose $40k to win $200k.

2

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Isn't it always?

2

KJPi

3 weeks ago

How does it feel having your fate in the hands of the 1%?

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

I must admit I do not like betting against aenews

1

PredictivePidgeon

3 weeks ago

What I wouldn’t give to be invited to 50-pences and Aenews’ private telegram:/ I would never expose their trades again!

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Lead at 49.3? Errrr....no.

0

rozi

3 weeks ago

1.4M shares lying ahead of Kamala taking a lead at 49.3c :) This is going to be a fun evening!

How many viewers will the debate get?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Spoiler, he did.

0

n/a

3 weeks ago

Spoiler, he won't lol

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Nobody's mind got changeed last night.

0

KingFer

3 weeks ago

this is sketchy, she wiped the floor with him last night

Who will win the debate according to polls?

n/a

3 weeks ago

$20 down the drain.

0

n/a

3 weeks ago

The mainstream propaganda news is no joke this morning siding with Kommie..what will make Ipsos any different? lol She and her team of ABC moderators did nothing but try and set trump up the whole time, he was stoic, the guy didn't take any bait, he won.

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

n/a

3 weeks ago

It's simple: Kamala spent a week preparing for this debate. She doesn't have the time left to waqste another week. There will be plenty of posturing but no second debate.

0

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

3 weeks ago

You're underwater on this one, you just lost the bet to the Swifties, you lie about the dump...SAD.

0

Mountainman

3 weeks ago

Now that the debate is over... Huge announcements in the next 48 hours :) Tik Tok.... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iP6XpLQM2Cs

How many viewers will the debate get?

n/a

3 weeks ago

ABC is the host. Disney owns ABC.

2

UncleLouie

3 weeks ago

Why is Disney+ streaming the debate?

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Mountainman is so delusional, and so fucked up, that it's just sad and pitiful to watch.

4

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

3 weeks ago

https://imgur.com/a/EJSVbbH

1

Mountainman

3 weeks ago

I am still buying. Where do you see me dumping shares? Do you ever tell the truth?

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Lol "well thought out"

0

Mountainman

3 weeks ago

Does the “NO” crowd understand that once Donald becomes President, that being part of the launch as an active U.S President becomes extremely dangerous for him legally, as U.S presidents can’t behave like private citizens. If you want to do the research yourself you can check out the following things that will restrict his involvement once he is in office: The Emoluments Clause (U.S. Constitution), Conflict of Interest Laws, and Presidential Ethics Agreements. After you do that, then get back to me and answer me one simple question….. Why the hell would he wait to launch until after he is President and deal with all of that bullshit, when he can just launch now???

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

3 weeks ago

I agree you're schizophrenic.

1

Mountainman

3 weeks ago

This is schizophrenic behavior.

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Only MM is dumb enough to think he's winning.

0

Mountainman

3 weeks ago

Source: You made it up. hahahaha. Still buying, and still winning.

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

3 weeks ago

You know your selling activity is public, right?

1

Mountainman

3 weeks ago

Source: You made it up. hahahaha. Still buying, and still winning.

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

3 weeks ago

You have fewer shares now than you did before. It's a fact, asswipe.

0

Mountainman

3 weeks ago

I am still buying. Where do you see me dumping shares? Do you ever tell the truth?

How many viewers will the debate get?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Looking at your record, I'm happy to be on the other side of this bet from you - but disappointed we both have the 49ers tonight.

0

UncleLouie

3 weeks ago

Ya'll are crazy. The last debate had 53mm viewers per Nielsen, the standard used in this market

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

3 weeks ago

"Flying high" and yet 8 hours later you're under water.

0

Mountainman

3 weeks ago

It looks like some other know what's coming as well. Already back to over .50. I think me and the fellow "Yes" buyers will be flying high by next weekend :)

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

n/a

3 weeks ago

What color is the sky in your world?

0

Mountainman

0 months ago

These rules are so bad for Kamala, I do not see how they are going to let her do this. https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/1831461906189627893

2024 August hottest on record?

n/a

3 weeks ago

So if that's true, then your post is false, which means everyone beleives posts to the comments section?

1

0xFfB30b16a7255C4633700457e12459b62F8DaD95-1722054758695

3 weeks ago

Only fools believe posts to the comments section.

Edmundo González arrested before October?

n/a

3 weeks ago

You win.

0

HoldMyBag

1 month ago

Bet on Gonzales granted political asylum/flees country?

Edmundo González arrested before October?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Turns out this wasn't true after all.

0

XiJinPing

0 months ago

Gonzales is already in Chile lol... how do you arrest him in a pro-US puppet country? lol

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Get help.

16

·

Liked by coconutPil..., n/a and 14 others

Mountainman

3 weeks ago

The tides are Turing, HARD. Top NO buyers selling off and buying "YES. As SOON as Trump Tweets that “The Project is Live”, all of the big money dogs on here are going to flood into this market within seconds and Market Buy “YES” and "NO" will be in the single digits in the snap of a finger, exactly like what happened 2 days ago with the Trump Sentencing markets. We have 57 days for this to happen, and when it does it will happen in an INSTANT. Are “NO” buyers planning to stay on Twitter and Google 24/7 for the next 58 days, waiting to see if their bet goes sideways, with the hope that they can unload their “NO” shares into a zero liquidity market? How are “NO” buyers going even sleep night until then? My prediction is that happens within the next 2 weeks, most likely next week.

Bengals extend Ja'Marr Chase before regular season?

n/a

3 weeks ago

It didn't change.

0

n/a

3 weeks ago

damn you jamarr!

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

3 weeks ago

Bingo. Except for the feeling bad part.

1

BennyS

3 weeks ago

Although I have not done my due diligence for this market, I would feel confident fading @Mountainman on all of their other bets. I actually feel kind bad for them because even if they make this market, they are going to lose all of their other bets

Trump's NY sentencing delayed past election?

n/a

3 weeks ago

No different than holding a trial that might convict him. Sentencing is part of the trial. You either hold the trial or you don't - but there's no point in stopping halfway through.

0

mr.monopoly

3 weeks ago

Fair point, but how would it look to sentence a former president who is running for president

Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?

n/a

3 weeks ago

So when are you "It's over!" guys going to propose a resolution? It's free money, right?

0

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

0 months ago

Props to MM for putting in more $$$. Now take some of those $$$ that you didn't have and go propose a resolution. If I lose, I lose - but quit the whining.

2

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

0 months ago

I am disppointed I had my buys set at 26 and it only got to 28. Missed opportunity.

1

XiJinPing

0 months ago

YES is going to crash down in 2 days max lol

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

0 months ago

Nothing changed. "I know, I'll give my money to the incompetent duo who got their accounts hacked within 4 hours of launch. What could go wrong?

0

Mountainman

0 months ago

Hahaha watch everyone dump here when literally nothing has changed. NFT launched and their coin is still launching, they just got hacked.

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

0 months ago

Put up or shut up. Propose a resolution or quit whining.

1

Mountainman

0 months ago

"Tokens launched prior to the start date of this market will qualify for a "Yes" resolution." He launched an NFT last week, don't let the scammers make you buy "NO" before it goes to zero. I don't want to hear any crying like last time when they fooled you into buying that Tate wasn't arrested, AFTER he was arrested!

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

0 months ago

BTW, Fuck you for accusing me of lying. https://imgur.com/a/L1FvgE2

0

Mountainman

0 months ago

1) this is not true. 2) If it was, wouldn't that illustrate that I have extremely high conviction? 3) If you are so sure why is your position smaller than mine even though you have a much larger account? 4) You're an idiot.

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

0 months ago

Congratulations. But will you admit that your profile shows you have more equity in this one single bet than profit in the whole of PolyMarket? You better be right, or else you're going back to zero. I can be wrong and I'll still be up.

0

Mountainman

0 months ago

I have been here for 10 days and doubled my account already. Betting "Yes" on this is like betting "Yes" that the sky is blue.

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

0 months ago

Not true? You have more than $3k in this market but have a profit of less than $3k.

0

Mountainman

0 months ago

1) this is not true. 2) If it was, wouldn't that illustrate that I have extremely high conviction? 3) If you are so sure why is your position smaller than mine even though you have a much larger account? 4) You're an idiot.

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

0 months ago

Why is my stake smaller? Because I'm smart enough to not bet my entire profit on something I don't control.

0

Mountainman

0 months ago

1) this is not true. 2) If it was, wouldn't that illustrate that I have extremely high conviction? 3) If you are so sure why is your position smaller than mine even though you have a much larger account? 4) You're an idiot.

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

0 months ago

Yes, if his name is Donald.

1

n/a

0 months ago

does baron trump doing something count?

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

0 months ago

I can't help but notice that if you look at the top holders of YES and take away their equity in this one single market, they'd all be negative. This includes MountainMan.

1

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

0 months ago

I was responding to YOUR personal opinion with FACTS.

0

Mountainman

0 months ago

The only reason this is not at .9999 is because it has not launched yet, but if you think Trump is going to do something this bad optically and then wait until after the election to launch, you are nuts.

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

0 months ago

Or deployment. Reading is hard.

0

n/a

0 months ago

The title is misleading - there is a huge between difference between “being involved in the development “

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

0 months ago

Ha! He has a long history of running from bad ideas. Trump University, Trump Wines, Trump Steaks, Atlantic City Casinos (4x)....I'd keep going but I'll run out of ink.

0

Mountainman

0 months ago

The only reason this is not at .9999 is because it has not launched yet, but if you think Trump is going to do something this bad optically and then wait until after the election to launch, you are nuts.

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

n/a

0 months ago

"Coin" is not in the rules. "Token" is in the rules.

0

taizong

0 months ago

This is crazy value for No. For one thing, since NFTs don't count, does liquidity? World Liberty Fi is going to be a nontransferrable token (presumably because Trump doesn't want to add yet another lawsuit before the election, this time with the SEC). Then, if the token doesn't even get deployed in the next 2 months, even if Trump was tied to it and it did meet the definition of coin, then this would still fail. With details coming out that the token has 4 members from the Dough Finance rugpull, they may delay plans even further, or opt to start from scratch under a new name without the Dough Finance people.

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

I agree. Go dispute it!

1

mr.monopoly

1 month ago

Someone should dispute this as in the rules, RFK Jr. drops out (Day 0) compared with the polling averages for Trump and Harris on the the seventh day after his withdrawal (Day 7) once RCP has published numbers for the the eighth day (Day 8). It said numbers, but didnt specify until added additional context. This is rigged

Will Barron Trump attend NYU?

n/a

1 month ago

Since when does anyone in that family drive more than 3 blocks? That's what helicopters are for.

0

mr.monopoly

1 month ago

Cornel University is a 3 hour drive from any trump estate. Hence, he is unlikely attending Cornel. With regards to Colombia, Trump already mentioned that Barron will not be attending a College with a widespread of anti-semitism

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

Aged like milk.

0

n/a

1 month ago

This should resolve before the end of the day at +1.8 for Kamala and this market will resolve in her favor

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

Ok...WHICH poll? Name it.

4

mr.monopoly

1 month ago

This is going to be crazy, once a poll that comes out puts trump on top, trump will run to .3-.4

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

Try again, but without the words "fake news."

0

mr.monopoly

1 month ago

The polymarket election odds are in Trumps favour by .03 which is inane and yet this market trump is lagging. This is a large inefficiency!! Buy now before its too late

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

Can't get rich if you don't hold any shares.

5

diddy

1 month ago

I can’t wait to get rich when Rasmussen drops…

How many named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

n/a

1 month ago

I agree the ocean is hotter. So why only 5 storms so far? Maybe we don't understand everything that's changed and it involves more than just water temps.

0

Wisdomtime

1 month ago

water was not as hot as now, and most likely other factors were also unlucky. the meteorologists consider that this will become an active season, so I rather trust them than one random historical datapoint

How many named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

n/a

1 month ago

This is the halfway point on the calendar. The last time there were only 5 storms by the halfway point there were nine total (2009.)

0

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

!Remindme 48 hours

0

n/a

1 month ago

When Harvard Harris releases, most likely +2 Trump... RCP will most likely go to 1.4 or 1.5... meaning Trump should win this market! :)

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

"If the general election were held today, would you vote for Kamala Harris or Donald Trump" It's a two-way poll!!!!

2

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

Siena and Marist have not dropped in a while, and they likely conducted new polls after the DNC. Hopefuly we get at least one.

0

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

Agreed.

0

jl3128776

1 month ago

What’s wild is that if you take the actual average of the 9 data points, it’s 1.666. (15/9) But it rounds to 1.6

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

Why didn't they include USA Today? It was taken *after* RFK dropped out. Fuckers.

0

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

Nothing to replace. Kos isn't inlcuded in the 1.6; its too old.

0

n/a

1 month ago

An interesting aspect of this is, to close the “time frame window” on the graph, we may need another daily kos poll. Which would replace the +4, so even a +3 there would help trump a bit

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

They didn't include the polls that still had Kennedy.

0

diddy

1 month ago

How they massacred my Kamala…they don’t want to drop Reuters, instead they dropped this Quinnipiac

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

Any more polls coming out tomorrow AM?

0

diddy

1 month ago

How they massacred my Kamala…they don’t want to drop Reuters, instead they dropped this Quinnipiac

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

Do they not round correctly? My math shows 1.66666

0

diddy

1 month ago

How they massacred my Kamala…they don’t want to drop Reuters, instead they dropped this Quinnipiac

Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?

n/a

1 month ago

What about the other thread where you say Kamala might be 2.0?

0

diddy

1 month ago

Guys, it is 100% 1.9 Kamala lead tomorrow. Trump lost all his chances. One more poll and Kamala is at +2 lead. https://x.com/rasmussen_poll/status/1828824866352676974?s=46&t=_7tYBcMVFR6IgKD4ztkf-Q

How many named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

n/a

1 month ago

The current lull can be traced to where most Atlantic hurricanes are born: Africa. The atmospheric disturbances that go on to become Atlantic cyclones usually emanate from monsoon rainfall over western Africa during the Northern Hemisphere summer months. This year’s monsoon season is unusually strong, which Rosencrans said translates to frequent tropical waves — systems that push toward the west off Africa and into a zone of the tropical Atlantic that is prime for cyclone development. For reasons meteorologists don’t yet understand, the monsoon and the tropical waves are occurring significantly farther north than usual this summer. There are even forecasts for a “unique rain event” in the Sahara desert over the coming days. That means the seeds of what might otherwise become hurricanes are entering the Atlantic at the relatively cooler northern fringes of what is known as the main development region for tropical storms. There, they are also encountering a layer of dry and dusty air blowing eastward from the Sahara. In those conditions, the tropical waves “just kind of fizzle out,” Rosencrans said.

5

Pavel Durov released in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Insert "always was" astronaut meme here

0

n/a

1 month ago

Now it seems pure gambling

Pavel Durov released in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Ankle monitors are for people who take the bus, not private jets.

0

nnimrodd

1 month ago

Even if he's charged he'll be released on bail. Police doesnt need to question him more at this time after 4 days

Pavel Durov released in August?

n/a

1 month ago

https://x.com/RadarHits/status/1828796510680813893

0

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

n/a

1 month ago

Good point. Where's your NO bet?

0

AugustoPinochet73

1 month ago

Remember this market is about who will gain more if RFK Jr "drops", not the DNC effect on polls. The DNC effect will need to be substracted.

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

n/a

1 month ago

Dear lexigraphers: Please explain one of the two following statements to me. I don't get it. (1) Why is joyless not a compound word? - or - (2) Why are joyful and joyless treated differently? Sincerely, Someone who failed fifth grade.

1

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

n/a

1 month ago

Good thing PM always follows the UMA vote. *cough* $DJT *cough*

0

ItCantBeTrollBoy

1 month ago

"Tbh I am really curious to see how Polymarket will resolve this..." The vote was already clinched as of yesterday evening. It's a No.

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

n/a

1 month ago

Some of us understand odds and remember history, and some don't. Enjoy your $0.12. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/polymarket-contradicts-oracle-rarity-prediction-022105806.html

0

BlueSky123

1 month ago

They don't because joyful isn't a compound word. You're just stupid.

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

n/a

1 month ago

...says the person still holding shares at 99.8 instead of cashing out. Gotta get that extra $0.22!

0

BlueSky123

1 month ago

They don't because joyful isn't a compound word. You're just stupid.

What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?

n/a

1 month ago

The fundamental problem is that the rules contradict themselves. "Other forms will not count." "Compound words will count." Which side you back depends on which side you own.

1

How many viewers will Kamala's DNC speech get?

n/a

1 month ago

Couldn't be more clear. " The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic"

0

MOA

1 month ago

This is really crappy criteria, there are 2 numbers, one for the convention and one for her speech. The other bet on this mixes the two and this one isn’t clear on which you are referring to.

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

n/a

1 month ago

And he was running for RFK's seat! You should buy 10,000!

0

n/a

1 month ago

RFK ? In the 1970 New York Senate race Sen. Charles Goodell ,in a three-way race,leaked that he would be dropping out and scheduled a press conference. He announced that he was NOT dropping out.

Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?

n/a

1 month ago

No,it’s not.

5

n/a

1 month ago

Mathematically, this is equivalent to the initial market (who will win the election)

Trump fires campaign manager?

n/a

1 month ago

Many people who are fired "resign" in order to "spend more time with family."

1

Trump fires campaign manager?

n/a

1 month ago

Many people who are fired "resign to spend more time with family."

0

How many times will Trump tweet this week?

n/a

1 month ago

The people who say "free money" never bet.

8

n/a

1 month ago

$1 is being sold for 90 cents, literally free money lol

Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in…?

n/a

1 month ago

I've noticed the people who say "free money" are never the ones who bet.

4

NowItsMyTime

1 month ago

Why this is at 18% no in August? And in the same market before September is at 12%??? 6% free gift lol.

Real Madrid vs. Atalanta: UEFA Super Cup

n/a

1 month ago

"It's a "Buy No" offer. It also shows up as "Sell Yes."

0

n/a

1 month ago

someone is selling 99,999 shares at 99.9 cents? where are these shares coming from?

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

n/a

1 month ago

WHy tell people insteadof buying it yourself?

2

fate

1 month ago

There's a risk-free arbitrage opportunity between these two contracts: - "Fed Interest Rates: September 2024" and "Fed rate cut by...?"

Trump photographed holding baby in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Young enough to hold in the air. When it happens it'll be indisputable. He hates small children and won't touch the older ones.

0

MrKnister

1 month ago

How is a baby defined here? What age?

Will Taylor Swift attend the DNC?

n/a

1 month ago

You have a weird definition of disagree.

0

hakeemdream34

1 month ago

It needs to be clarified if a virtual appearance counts

Popular Vote Margin of Victory in Presidential Election?

n/a

1 month ago

r/confidentlyincorrect

4

hannesrannveig

1 month ago

The majority of popular votes in the US presidential election is determined by the number of electoral votes a candidate receives. A candidate who receives at least 270 electoral votes out of 538 becomes president.

Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in…?

n/a

1 month ago

Correct.

0

JeffreyBezos

1 month ago

is this an an opposite market? This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is no official ceasefire agreement... so if you buy the Yes market you are betting on No ceasfire, and if you buy the NO you are betting that there WIll be a ceasfire? is this correct or am i understanding it wrong

What will Trump say during Elon interview?

n/a

1 month ago

Zero followthrough from either one on the partnership.

0

MarcousAurelius

1 month ago

It was actually quite good. Especially, in the beginning. Last few moments were also significant since Elon and Trump agreed on partnership (potentially) together. This is a good talk for those who are into politics and specifically really think how to make a difference.

What will Trump say during Elon interview?

n/a

1 month ago

KEEP GOING

3

What will Trump say during Elon interview?

n/a

1 month ago

He doesn't know they're called "Teslas."

3

What will Trump say during Elon interview?

n/a

1 month ago

censorship - biggest rug pull EVER.

3

Iran military response by Friday?

n/a

1 month ago

https://legal.un.org/ilc/texts/instruments/english/conventions/9_1_1961.pdf Articles 21-25. No, an Israeli embassy is not Israeli soil. Couchwhale is correct that they can't be entered without permission but incorrect as to the reason why.

2

5to5000

1 month ago

I'm guessing an Israeli embassy would count, as per the rules? What about an Israeli military base not in Israel?

U.S. Recession in 2024?

n/a

1 month ago

"within the calendar year 2024"

4

Hamster

1 month ago

It is already here, the definition was met on 2023-2024

Maduro out in 2024?

n/a

1 month ago

r/whoosh

0

Timetraveler

1 month ago

Lmfao this kid rlly thinks Venezuela is a democracy

Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 16?

n/a

1 month ago

It's a conspiracy! Sell me some Harris by 1+.

3

Slaylorswift

1 month ago

Ask yourself this… why haven’t even dem leaning polls done any new polls since Tim was the vp Pick??

538 favorite when forecast is turned on?

n/a

1 month ago

WHo do you think Nate is referring to by THEY, dumbass?

0

n/a

1 month ago

learn to read, dumbass, this is a 538 market

Will Taylor Swift attend the DNC?

n/a

1 month ago

Does the music make you think that, or the red lipstick? She has endorsed Biden and released a video condemning Trump.

0

Pietrop11599

1 month ago

Isnt she a Republican?

Will Taylor Swift attend the DNC?

n/a

1 month ago

The back and forth was started by YOU when you added a word because...you want to add a word. It's clear for those of use who know how to use the english language. The word virtual does not appear in the rule, yet people insist on adding it. Does it also count if she attends "in spirit" even though the rules don't mention that? Enjoy your back and forth and claims of "FRAUD" when virtual apppearances are denied.

0

hakeemdream34

1 month ago

It needs to be clarified if a virtual appearance counts

Trump and Harris agree to Sept 10 debate?

n/a

1 month ago

Venue is not required. Read the rules, and open a logic 101 book (not an insult; logic laws are hard. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/De_Morgan%27s_laws).

0

UncleLouie

1 month ago

3 requirements must be satisfied for the market to resolve "yes". 1) An agreed upon date 2) an agreed upon venue 3) a confirmed host for the debate

Trump and Harris agree to Sept 10 debate?

n/a

1 month ago

I see 750. Where do you see 330k?

0

UmaMustBeStoppedAtAllCosts

1 month ago

330k YES BOND!!!!

Will Michelle Obama become Dem Nominee?

n/a

1 month ago

Holy crap. There are some truly insane people on this planet.

7

Will Taylor Swift attend the DNC?

n/a

1 month ago

I'm impressed at the word-twisting here. Attend is as simple as it gets. "I feel like if she calls in that's a form of attendance." No it's not, you idiot. SMH.

0

hakeemdream34

1 month ago

It needs to be clarified if a virtual appearance counts

Will Taylor Swift attend the DNC?

n/a

1 month ago

LOL poorly worded. Simpler is better. "Attend: be present at." Y'all have fun on this one. Look for me at the end; I'll be on the winning side.

0

hakeemdream34

1 month ago

It needs to be clarified if a virtual appearance counts

Will Taylor Swift attend the DNC?

n/a

1 month ago

That would be true if it said "appear." But it says "attend." https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/attend

0

hakeemdream34

1 month ago

It needs to be clarified if a virtual appearance counts

Biden removed via 25th Amendment?

n/a

1 month ago

Fishy? What's fishy? The rules match the title and it's "fishy?"

0

slurppy

2 months ago

Guys read the terms carefully... it's only section 4, which means only if he doesn't want to resign but the rest of his office wants him to step down then it's yes. If he resigns ON HIS OWN, then this market is NO. Watch out, this stuff is fishy

Tipping Point State in 2024 Election?

n/a

1 month ago

The state that collects the most tips.

3

Hazardd

2 months ago

what does in mean: point state

How many named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

n/a

1 month ago

And yet you didn't bet. Bet $2.12 to win $2! What could go wrong? Hint: It's the spread.

1

0xD97cc0843Ccac9A5E07C5Edb5c58D3bB822AF332-1722865522205

1 month ago

This is *actually* mathematically free money right now. There's 3 mutually exclusive options near 50%. Just bet no on the 3, and you'll win at least 2 of them

Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 before September?

n/a

1 month ago

Sooo..that information is both widely known, and in the future past the end of this bet. Still confident?

5

Mozart

1 month ago

Going in long,btc will skyrocket since interest rates will be cut in September

Which party wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

n/a

1 month ago

Yes, search for "popular" and then buy yes for all the members of the party you want as well as "other"

0

n/a

1 month ago

Is there a market only for popular vote winner by party?

Trump Family launches coin by Friday?

n/a

1 month ago

If I bet NO every time a Trump said to wait for a big announcement, I'd be a rich man.

3

Trump photographed holding baby in August?

n/a

1 month ago

He hates it, but there are far more than three photogrpahs of him with a baby.

0

polybetter932

2 months ago

Who would ever bet he does this lol, he has done this like three times on the campaign has been campaigning for ten years now.. thats 120 months. 3 months out of 120 months means this has a win percentage of just 2.5%

What will Kamala Harris say in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Walz said he'd debate JD "if he can get off the COUCH." Harris will say it later this month.

1

Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 before September?

n/a

1 month ago

The last run from 56k to 65k took 8 days (July 7-15.) How many days are left in August?

0

0x410C6321BDA428BE6c778117b6103bf22CF4F7F0-1721594309217

1 month ago

To all the Yes holders: pull up a chart, draw a horizontal line at 65k. Than draw a vertical line at Aug 31st. Does that look likely?

What will Kamala Harris say in August?

n/a

1 month ago

When the rules are pefectly clear but someone insists 3 times the rules are wrong - who am I to stop them? Notice there's less than $1000 bet for that word. Nobody wants to touch it.

2

n/a

1 month ago

Does "Jewish people" count for "jew"?

What will Kamala Harris say in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Weird is an adjective that describes a movement. Weirdo is a personal insult. It doesn't fit her.

2

n/a

1 month ago

Is there a reason weirdo is so low? I know "weird" doesn't count but I feel like it's much more likely than Brat or Venn diagram.

Joe Biden reinstated as Dem Nominee at DNC?

n/a

1 month ago

Can't wait to see the top holders.

1

2024 July hottest on record?

n/a

1 month ago

It does affect things, but not in the direction they want.

0

n/a

1 month ago

I will say... something like 85% of the land data is out and unless the water data affect things, it's not looking good for the Yesses

Iran military response by Friday?

n/a

1 month ago

The "trainers" are fully capable of oeprating the systems.

0

dcue86

1 month ago

going to take too much time to train on S-400s...I think friday is too soo

2024 July hottest on record?

n/a

1 month ago

THEPROBEAVER has no skin in the game. Get lost.

1

n/a

1 month ago

After careful reflection, THE PROBEAVER warns the NO buyers to evaluate their position well, doesn't bet everything, this market will be shock for everybody

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

n/a

1 month ago

They still say Gonzalez got more votes.

1

0xD5cC3BE469a58df15aBBE890e5a7D2Fb46E31A6b-1722904627809

1 month ago

we got robbed big time here. https://venezuelanalysis.com/news/venezuela-cne-turns-over-electoral-data-to-supreme-court-us-walks-back-gonzalez-recognition/

What price will $BTC dip below before September?

n/a

1 month ago

That's called Volatility. This market is equivalent to binary options on BTC VIX.

0

Car

1 month ago

Lol its at 27% while price is at 55k, when price was at 55k$ 2 days ago, this market was at 12%.

What will Kamala Harris say in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Ah, tht will definitely count.

0

n/a

1 month ago

I am asking about "Jewish people", not "Jewish"

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

n/a

1 month ago

Yes, he changes his name on both of his accounts from time to time. He's not hard to find. Look for the guy spewing BS with the losing record.

2

factman

1 month ago

Are you referring to Mr. Best as Relay?

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

n/a

1 month ago

You know you're in control of your own adblock, right?

6

n/a

1 month ago

can't read whoever ADBLOCKED faggot is stalking me. 👇 prolly DECRAPP SEETHING Relay made thousands buying low and selling high. DUMFAG DECRAPP would NEVER!

What will Kamala Harris say in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Rules: "Jewish" will NOT count. What's not clear?

2

n/a

1 month ago

Does "Jewish people" count for "jew"?

Will Biden finish his term?

n/a

1 month ago

We're saying the same thing ;)

1

n/a

1 month ago

All I'll say about this market is this: Look at who the top 'yes' holder is, look at their profit and loss, and decide if you want to be on the same side as them or not. Batman is a fictional character, folks. This is reality. The bat signal ain't coming.

Will Biden finish his term?

n/a

1 month ago

I'm averaging in. I appreciate your boldness to jump in at 22c, but i don't have the same conviction. I'm working my way up to 5k. See you here Nov 6th! ;)

0

n/a

1 month ago

All I'll say about this market is this: Look at who the top 'yes' holder is, look at their profit and loss, and decide if you want to be on the same side as them or not. Batman is a fictional character, folks. This is reality. The bat signal ain't coming.

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

1 month ago

When you find yourselfin a hole...stop digging.

2

winbet

1 month ago

I'm still buying Andy. Date canceled while I buy

Will Biden finish his term?

n/a

1 month ago

It's a risky strategy, Cotton. I'd put money on him not speaking at the DNC, followed by other high-return bets. 20% over 4 months isn't something I want to wait for.

0

n/a

1 month ago

All I'll say about this market is this: Look at who the top 'yes' holder is, look at their profit and loss, and decide if you want to be on the same side as them or not. Batman is a fictional character, folks. This is reality. The bat signal ain't coming.

Will Biden finish his term?

n/a

1 month ago

So this is where your Bernie money went.....

2

n/a

1 month ago

All I'll say about this market is this: Look at who the top 'yes' holder is, look at their profit and loss, and decide if you want to be on the same side as them or not. Batman is a fictional character, folks. This is reality. The bat signal ain't coming.

Will Biden finish his term?

n/a

1 month ago

Holy sweet baby jesus, that's a huge loss.

2

n/a

1 month ago

All I'll say about this market is this: Look at who the top 'yes' holder is, look at their profit and loss, and decide if you want to be on the same side as them or not. Batman is a fictional character, folks. This is reality. The bat signal ain't coming.

U.S. Recession in 2024?

n/a

1 month ago

Of course, because he wasn't doing "everything possible" before now. No logic.

2

Junkgreat

1 month ago

I think Biden will do everything possible to Buoy the economy until the election so it's likely we don't have a recession this year.

What will Kamala Harris say in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Read the rules.

0

n/a

1 month ago

Does "Jewish people" count for "jew"?

2024 July hottest on record?

n/a

1 month ago

I’ll buy a smidge more at 10c. See you there and may the correct side win!

0

n/a

1 month ago

Guess Team N has run out of money. Just let it happen, we're going to 90c and then 100c!

2024 July hottest on record?

n/a

1 month ago

The timing of the publication of this article closely matches the buying spree. https://www.sfgate.com/la/article/needles-high-monthly-temperature-19621282.php

4

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

Funny how the VP market doesn’t agree with the leak.

1

Bank.

1 month ago

Walz was just leaked as VP. Bernie said he would endorse Kamala if Walz was picked. Easy money.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

Endorse immediately? Bernie’s asleep in bed.

0

vote.fun

1 month ago

its still a rumor, she wont announce it before accepting the nom

2024 July hottest on record?

n/a

1 month ago

In all seriousness, what is the approximate date when we can expect results?

0

gopfanfan

1 month ago

I feel like these markets would be better resolved by Copernicus because they release their data continuously. NASA waiting for like 2 weeks after the month is over makes this more of a gambling market than a prediction market.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

It'll get voted p4, which is correct as of now. I'm not wasting my $750.

0

yourrapist1776

1 month ago

It's over already, someone should propose no. Voting period ended at 6pm est

2024 July hottest on record?

n/a

1 month ago

Oh, noes! Gambling? I must lie down, I have the vapors.

2

gopfanfan

1 month ago

I feel like these markets would be better resolved by Copernicus because they release their data continuously. NASA waiting for like 2 weeks after the month is over makes this more of a gambling market than a prediction market.

2024 July hottest on record?

n/a

1 month ago

The math doesn't work when you do that with mid-priced binary options. You need prices with more upward movement (5x, 10x etc) for that to work.

0

harvastum

1 month ago

Another good case for "Yes" is whales trying to make people flip, sell their "No"s and then get their investment back when everyone is convinced there's some magical insider knowledge in play.

2024 July hottest on record?

n/a

1 month ago

"Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity."

3

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

Is there a good spot wher you can go to learn how to propose a resolution?

0

n/a

1 month ago

Alright guys, I'm quite happy to put through the proposal once the DNC announces they've officially nominated her. Do we want to wait until she accepts the nomination (I'm assuming the same day)? Either way, it will all be time stamped so no need to be reckless in rushing it through.

Balance of Power: 2024 Election

n/a

1 month ago

Fuck off with the sketchy janky misspelled coin

1

GMog

2 months ago

As the news spreads, the pumping continues,Check out Shapiro memecoin on solana ... Ticker is Shapero https://x.com/JoshShapero CA : 2hWBY3PfrJ2nP6rEUCWbmW5nDXPAuYpjASStA6Zepump

What will Kamala Harris say in August?

n/a

1 month ago

Who's watching all her speeches for me? I gots stuff to do.

4

538 favorite when forecast is turned on?

n/a

1 month ago

The fringe Trump supporters are shit at predicting, not PolyMarket. What they don't spend on crazy t-shirts and flags they spend on PM.

2

Rafin

2 months ago

Do people think that 538 is a partisan fraud or do they think that Polymarket is ultimately shit at predicting stuff? Kamala being at 79% here and at 43% on the election outcome market is weird IMO.

Will Kamala announce VP pick on Monday?

n/a

1 month ago

Fuck off with the sketchy janky misspelled coin.

7

Amartolos13

1 month ago

Shapiro is going to take the place 100%. Kamala told it.. Tommorow they are going to Philadelphia.. Why? You know why. Get into the coin of shapero guys and take advantage of it now.. Thank me later. Join the Shapero movement on Solana..It's taking off fast. Ticker: Shapero https://x.com/JoshShapero CA: 2hWBY3PfrJ2nP6rEUCWbmW5nDXPAuYpjASStA6Z

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in August?

n/a

1 month ago

at 40 cents? That's "safe profit?"

0

Werty1

1 month ago

Buying yes here is good hedge for your investments I think

Will Kamala announce VP pick on Monday?

n/a

1 month ago

With a mispelled name? LOLLOLOL pump and dump rug what a joke.

2

GMog

1 month ago

Josh Shapiro's memecoin is an obvious play now Check out his memecoin on solana ...Ticker is Shapero https://x.com/JoshShapero CA : 2hWBY3PfrJ2nP6rEUCWbmW5nDXPAuYpjASStA6Zepump

Will Kamala announce VP pick on Monday?

n/a

1 month ago

Spam. Doesn't even have any skin in the game.

1

GMog

1 month ago

Josh Shapiro's memecoin is an obvious play now Check out his memecoin on solana ...Ticker is Shapero https://x.com/JoshShapero CA : 2hWBY3PfrJ2nP6rEUCWbmW5nDXPAuYpjASStA6Zepump

538 favorite when forecast is turned on?

n/a

1 month ago

https://www.thedailybeast.com/nate-silver-says-election-is-now-a-toss-up-as-harris-takes-polling-lead

0

Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?

n/a

1 month ago

Old trade: borrow in Japan, lend in the US. New reality: That is now over.

2

EmpirePending

1 month ago

Can you explain why a rate cut would further contribute to the collapse of the carry trade?

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

1 month ago

"formally" is stuck in everyones' head on this thread.

1

Eridpnc

1 month ago

*formerly. Grammar police out.

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

n/a

1 month ago

The official results are the votes on the official ballots.

2

0x4f8EBb2ed2B4943FAeD2c1982F6784794028CA3a-1721134726019

1 month ago

Is against common sense. When you gamble on something, the results taken must be the ones provided by the competent authority. It may be unfair or rigged but the official results are the ones that gives you what’s in game. That’s why no matter how much evidence is, Edmundo will not be president.

Venezuela intervention by August 31?

n/a

2 months ago

Jesus H Christ you're boring.

0

n/a

2 months ago

DUMFUQ DOMER taking another L in a foreign market? And from his fellow fascists this time? LOL!

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

n/a

2 months ago

This should have been split into 25,50 and 75+ at the beginning

0

When will Kamala announce VP pick?

n/a

2 months ago

So now we know you don't know how to read.

1

n/a

2 months ago

What? Is this a VP announcement? Wow fake media said Monday at the earliest. Caught lying again.

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

n/a

2 months ago

So you find the sources saying that he won....credible?

1

felipe33

2 months ago

The "Credible Consensus" is IMPOSSIBLE under the actual circumstances...

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Did you ask ChatGPT to pay up?

0

n/a

2 months ago

Just asked perplexity AI or Chatgpt - answer: Yes, Bernie Sanders officially endorsed Kamala Harris as the Democratic presidential nominee. On Saturday, July 27, 2024, Sanders announced his endorsement of Vice President Kamala Harris at a rally in Portland, Maine.

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

n/a

2 months ago

Did you?

0

0x0d2cA4faDbF9dC5BfB6077e232a8Dbd8DD50B8cC-1722469029328

2 months ago

Okay who cares... did they count the votes?

2024 July hottest on record?

n/a

2 months ago

"Most people think of it" - you mean people with no reading comprehension skills.

0

fineptune

2 months ago

"July was record-breaking hot" --fake news from msn... https://www.msn.com/en-us/weather/topstories/why-july-was-record-breaking-hot-and-whether-2024-will-be-warmest-year-in-history/ar-BB1qPymS

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

I can't figure out why anyone who doesn't have money in the game would waste time in the comments section.

0

MurkKellyVP

2 months ago

because all of you were dumb enough to follow unverified rumors and kelly met with the harris team, aka shapiro is massively overpriced

Democratic VP nominee?

n/a

2 months ago

Because he never should have been up that high.

1

0x87250973131222DdF2c7Fb5E293BD96f945466E8-1722308323158

2 months ago

Why is Shapiro going down?

Country gets medal for first time in Paris Olympics?

n/a

2 months ago

Defintiely counts. They have a "Participating National Olympic Committee"

1

KingofRingx3

2 months ago

Any clue if Refugee team would count aswell? Pretty likely Lobalu gets the 10k meter gold medal.

When will Kamala announce VP pick?

n/a

2 months ago

Does anyone know when this is happening?

1

Venezuela Presidential Election Winner

n/a

2 months ago

"Going to get" messy? It *is* messy.

1

LinearAirDrop2028

2 months ago

If UMA starts judging who has won an election in authoritarian countries, this is going to get EXTREMELY messy.

Trump vs. Biden: Staircase Olympics

n/a

2 months ago

12ish. The videos I found of Trump are in the 19-22 second range for the rear stairs on the 757.

0

Tanguero

2 months ago

anyone clock the actual time ?

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

I don't think "not reading the rules or understanding the subject matter" counts as "screwed."

0

n/a

2 months ago

Yes holders are going to get screwed over by misinterpreting Bernie’s support and the explicit rules of this market imo

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

I can't figure out why you haven't claimed your shares yet. It's obvious you're correct.

0

n/a

2 months ago

No it's ok, he already endorsed.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Let's say your theory is right: What does he gain by endorsing early? He needs to motivate his base by Nov 5, not Aug 1.

0

Paganheat

2 months ago

Most likely scenario here: there’s been countless news stories claiming that Bernie has endorsed Kamala, which in spirit, he has, regardless of how explicit he’s been. Kamala will most likely be nominated on Aug 1. Between now and Thursday, his team will need to affirm (or not) these headlines and/or he will be asked by the media whether he does indeed endorse Kamala. Most likely, he’s not going to squabble over words (eg explicit endorsement). He needs to activate his base if he is truly doing everything he can to stop Trump. The YES is still the right position to hold.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

Cool! Glad to hear it. Make sure to hit that "claim" button.

1

n/a

2 months ago

There already was, we're good.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

"Before that" - do you know when that press release came out? Hint: Everyone else does.

0

n/a

2 months ago

The market had resolved before that, on a tweet similar to Bernie's.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

There will never be a "formal" announcement from a guy who wears a KMart parka and homemade mittens to a presidential inaguration. It's not his style.

3

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

If you want to know what a "formal endorsement" looks like, read this. https://d3i6fh83elv35t.cloudfront.net/static/2024/07/obama.png

2

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

" Obama didn't use the word endorse in his written statement " - this is toally false. https://d3i6fh83elv35t.cloudfront.net/static/2024/07/obama.png

0

Justifax

2 months ago

Total BS. Obama didn't use the word endorse in his written statement and just tweeted. If you call using the word 'endorse' in some rando video of a call at 5am - 'formal' you are a truly a hypocrite.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

You didn't read the tweet, you didn't watch the video, you didn't read the staement, and you have no bets here. Why are you posting?

1

Justifax

2 months ago

Obama posted a tweet without using the word 'endorse'. It was randomly said in a below the fold video recording of a 5am phone call. That is not 'formal' by any stretch, and yet it counts.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

The market resolved on the email. All 3 (tweet, email, video) were released at the same time.

1

Justifax

2 months ago

Obama posted a tweet without using the word 'endorse'. It was randomly said in a below the fold video recording of a 5am phone call. That is not 'formal' by any stretch, and yet it counts.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

The Obamas endorsed her formally, as in on formal letterhead with the word "endorse" in the statement.

1

Justifax

2 months ago

Obama posted a tweet without using the word 'endorse'. It was randomly said in a below the fold video recording of a 5am phone call. That is not 'formal' by any stretch, and yet it counts.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

ABC Does indeed have 17 million followers, so it's worth noting they didn't use any language that said Sanders endorsed Harris in the article on their main site. The local affiliate out of a town of 5,000 people wrote the "endorsement" article.

0

kdubhotsauce

2 months ago

"I think, in this campaign, the situation the there’s a very clear choice and I think Kamala Harris must become our next president,” said Sanders." Seems like this is a clear Yes to me. Any one think differently? Otherwise, will propose a Yes.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

It's a very clear indication wthat he is voting for Harris, which is not the same as a formal endorsement. What part of that statement is a formal endorsement?

0

kdubhotsauce

2 months ago

"I think, in this campaign, the situation the there’s a very clear choice and I think Kamala Harris must become our next president,” said Sanders." Seems like this is a clear Yes to me. Any one think differently? Otherwise, will propose a Yes.

Who will endorse Kamala?

n/a

2 months ago

The headline is not supported by facts.

0

milize

2 months ago

https://www.wmtw.com/article/bernie-sanders-formally-endorses-kamala-harris-for-president-at-portland-rally/61717060 it's over guys, posting old statements won't help your cause. it clearly states formal endorsed

What will Trump say during his Bitcoin Conference speech?

n/a

2 months ago

He doesn't know the name of a single coin. "Crypto and bitcoin and all of the others."

2

What will Trump say during his Bitcoin Conference speech?

n/a

2 months ago

He would promote MAGA at his mother's funeral.

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Liked by aenews2, Eridpnc and 7 others

Car

2 months ago

Why is MAGA so high? Its a bitcoin conference lol. They are talking about Bitcoin like nerds. This is not a Trump MAGA rally. He is not there to promote his MAGA cult.

2024 July hottest on record?

n/a

2 months ago

Daily sea surface temps are usually coooler in July than February.

1

n/a

2 months ago

daily sea surface temps were higher in february 2024 than they were in july 2023... we've only had record heat in every month since february. https://climate.copernicus.eu/copernicus-february-2024-was-globally-warmest-record-global-sea-surface-temperatures-record-high