#95
Rank
221
Comments
95
Likes Received
116
Likes Given
Whome
3 months ago
So...nobody's ever lied to you before?
Ukko
3 months ago
Cullen wrote: "For all you gamblers out there: I’m not entering this betting pool on #MoneyElectric: The Bitcoin Mystery, but I will confirm—we land on a specific name." https://x.com/CullenHoback/status/1842286135319691745
Whome
3 months ago
First time?
MrNFT
3 months ago
GG market ended with no dispute
Whome
3 months ago
Five in eight days. That was quite a run.
Whome
3 months ago
They turned 50+k no shares into 50+k yes shares. There aren't 50k shares on offer in the entire book right now.
Platinum
3 months ago
you know you can put auto sell and buy limit right? Also $1,985,719 Vol is pretty high to be fair
Whome
3 months ago
That's what has been bet, not what's in the order book today. There just wasn't that much liquidity. No matter how you buy or sell, it should show up in the activity feed.
Platinum
3 months ago
you know you can put auto sell and buy limit right? Also $1,985,719 Vol is pretty high to be fair
Whome
3 months ago
Nothing about this season has been average so far.
Warracks
3 months ago
According to nhc, istorically, about 10-12% of named storms in a typical hurricane season occur in October and about 4-5% in November. Given the average number of storms per season (14 named storms historically), this could mean 1-3 hurricanes might form during these months​
Whome
3 months ago
JustKen was sitting on a massive NO position and is now sitting on a massive YES position. Why doesn't it show up in the activity list? There was no liquidity available for them to make that move.
Whome
3 months ago
Eleven. https://youtu.be/NMS2VnDveP8?si=2JT1l4uhq4ylov0y&t=60s
Whome
4 months ago
Isaac got a name. 3 in 3 days!
Whome
4 months ago
Two more in the next two days!
Torito
4 months ago
Two new storms next week!
Whome
4 months ago
These two markets are betting pretty hard (32%) that the answer is exactly15.
Whome
4 months ago
Hello, Helene.
Whome
4 months ago
Helene got named.
Torito
4 months ago
Two new storms next week!
Whome
4 months ago
https://reactiongifs.me/wp-content/uploads/2018/12/Nevermind-Nathan-Fillion.gif
200$👻
4 months ago
So far there has only been 2 storms. Justkens bet makes lot of sense.
Whome
4 months ago
The over/under is "# of days until Nov 4th."
Mountainman
4 months ago
We should have another market predicting how many more times the Trump team will pump and dump this with "news" until November 4th.
Whome
4 months ago
JUST IN several days ago.
BiggestBidenFan
4 months ago
JUST IN - Trump, to speak live on X Space tonight. https://x.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1835754983259558260 @disclosetv
Whome
4 months ago
"assuming an increase once a month" Please tell me which side you're betting on. I'd like to know for....research.
Weds
4 months ago
With less than 4 months left until the end of the year, there are potentially up to four opportunities for interest rate hikes, assuming an increase once a month.
Whome
4 months ago
Well, you're about to get fucked in this market. Hope that helps.
SusanWarren,HR
4 months ago
... haven't had good dick in over 3 years :(
Whome
4 months ago
The affidavit says the Harris team asked for special handing. It does not even allege that ABC granted it. Easiest NO ever.
Whome
4 months ago
Come see the site where mountainboy lost $2k by misreading the rules in record time!
Mountainman
4 months ago
To all the idiots who love donating their money to me over here please move on over to: https://polymarket.com/event/abc-whistleblower-report-released-by-sunday/abc-whistleblower-report-released-by-sunday?tid=1726426169441 And Bet on "NO" right now!
Whome
4 months ago
Mountainboy is claiming it's already proven. He set a new record for setting $2k on fire.
n/a
4 months ago
are you trolling? It didn't happen yet, we are still waiting for media authentication, which will come this week.
Whome
4 months ago
So if YES has already happened, where's the proposal for YES? No need to wait for the deadline.
Whome
4 months ago
Are you kidding? Nobody gives a fuck about either story. The biggest story is the Bears-Texans game, and it's not even a good game.
Mountainman
4 months ago
If Trump didn't get shot at today this would be the biggest story. We still have 3 hours and 30 minutes for them to confirm this bad boy. I will be watching with my popcorn :)
Whome
4 months ago
I'm impressed at how fast you were able to set half your winnings on fire. I figured it would take you at least a week to lose that much.
Mountainman
4 months ago
People will bet that there is a 30% chance that something that already happened and will happen again will not happen.... but refuse to have the chance to 10x their money.... hahahaha...... I love this place, you all are going to make me rich! https://polymarket.com/event/abc-whistleblower-report-released-by-sunday/abc-whistleblower-report-released-by-sunday?tid=1726431770417
Whome
4 months ago
Only a few more hours to take the last $500 from mountain boy!
Mountainman
4 months ago
People will bet that there is a 30% chance that something that already happened and will happen again will not happen.... but refuse to have the chance to 10x their money.... hahahaha...... I love this place, you all are going to make me rich! https://polymarket.com/event/abc-whistleblower-report-released-by-sunday/abc-whistleblower-report-released-by-sunday?tid=1726431770417
Whome
4 months ago
MountainMan keeps dumping his yes holdings. I guess he's not a true belieber.
Whome
4 months ago
Saying Trump will behave ethically and not try to profit once he's in office may be the dumbest thing you've ever said.
Mountainman
4 months ago
Once Donald becomes President being part of the launch as an active U.S President becomes extremely dangerous for him legally, as U.S presidents can’t behave like private citizens. If you want to do the research yourself you can check out the following things that will restrict his involvement once he is in office: The Emoluments Clause (U.S. Constitution), Conflict of Interest Laws, and Presidential Ethics Agreements. After you do that, then get back to me and answer me one simple question….. Why the hell would he wait to launch until after he is President and deal with all of that bullshit, when he can just launch now???
Whome
4 months ago
Says the man who has half his account and all his profit in one trade.
Mountainman
4 months ago
You're about to blow up your whole account over one dumb trade. That truly is a lolololololololololololol....... How Ironic hahaha
Whome
4 months ago
Or, continually insisting that something has happened when it hasn't.
Mountainman
4 months ago
Yes, it is dumb... but do you know what is even dumber??? ... Continually talking about something that ALREADY HAPPENED and saying that it won't happen.
Whome
4 months ago
I hate being on the opposite side.of your bets.
aenews2
4 months ago
Fill me naysayers
Whome
4 months ago
He moved it from the sure thing to the bet that might or might not pay out on Jan 20. Yeah, you believe in this. Riiiiight.
Mountainman
4 months ago
How this is not in the high 90's right now just how dumb the market participants are on this site.
Whome
4 months ago
Can't help but notice that MoutnainMan started dumping in the $0.50+ range....even he doesn't believe this will really happen.
Whome
4 months ago
I'm beginning to think paragon wasn't a whale moving the market, but just a new bettor with timing that mattered to us but was irrelevant to them..
Whome
4 months ago
Right now the only poll that matters is the PM presidential poll. Tomorrow is a different market and (maybe) a different side.
Polybot
4 months ago
I thought Kamala won the debate what is all this fuckery?
Whome
4 months ago
@Factual It did. Look at 2 days ago vs now (Trump -2, Harris +4). It just wasn't enough to flip the numbers to a Harris lead. I must admit it was closer than I thought and it'll proabably flip over then next 7 days - but not tonight.
Polybot
4 months ago
I thought Kamala won the debate what is all this fuckery?
Whome
4 months ago
Just because you land a few zingers doesn't mean you'll change people's minds and who they vote for. Multiple reddit threads today on "Did the debate change your vote?" and they all have resounding NOs as the top answers.
Polybot
4 months ago
I thought Kamala won the debate what is all this fuckery?
Whome
4 months ago
No arbitrage with predictit - their fees for withdrawl kill any profit.
JohnFrumAmerica
4 months ago
You could literally just arbitrage this with predictit and push kamala up risk free
Whome
4 months ago
Paragon is WayneWest's boyfriend.
Tories4Harris
4 months ago
Anyone want to place bets if Paragon is Waynewest?
Whome
4 months ago
On top of $3M of other positions...on a new account. It's manipulation - there's no other reason to buy both sides.
Tories4Harris
4 months ago
Paragon just bought 795k yes kamala and 637k no trump
Whome
4 months ago
It speaks!
wanyewest69
4 months ago
guys kamla gonna loose
Whome
4 months ago
Does WayneWest make anyone else nervous? Like, they have $200k at stake - they might have $2M in reserve and throw it at the main market just to shift it at the end? The $2M would be mostly recoverable after a $0.01 loss on 4M shares. Lose $40k to win $200k.
Whome
4 months ago
Isn't it always?
KJPi
4 months ago
How does it feel having your fate in the hands of the 1%?
Whome
4 months ago
I must admit I do not like betting against aenews
PredictivePidgeon
4 months ago
What I wouldn’t give to be invited to 50-pences and Aenews’ private telegram:/ I would never expose their trades again!
Whome
4 months ago
Lead at 49.3? Errrr....no.
mr.ozi
4 months ago
1.4M shares lying ahead of Kamala taking a lead at 49.3c :) This is going to be a fun evening!
Whome
4 months ago
Spoiler, he did.
Stavros-Jenkins
4 months ago
Spoiler, he won't lol
Whome
4 months ago
Nobody's mind got changeed last night.
KingFer
4 months ago
this is sketchy, she wiped the floor with him last night
Whome
4 months ago
$20 down the drain.
n/a
4 months ago
The mainstream propaganda news is no joke this morning siding with Kommie..what will make Ipsos any different? lol She and her team of ABC moderators did nothing but try and set trump up the whole time, he was stoic, the guy didn't take any bait, he won.
Whome
4 months ago
It's simple: Kamala spent a week preparing for this debate. She doesn't have the time left to waqste another week. There will be plenty of posturing but no second debate.
Whome
4 months ago
You're underwater on this one, you just lost the bet to the Swifties, you lie about the dump...SAD.
Mountainman
4 months ago
Now that the debate is over... Huge announcements in the next 48 hours :) Tik Tok.... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iP6XpLQM2Cs
Whome
4 months ago
ABC is the host. Disney owns ABC.
DeucePapi
4 months ago
Why is Disney+ streaming the debate?
Whome
4 months ago
Mountainman is so delusional, and so fucked up, that it's just sad and pitiful to watch.
Whome
4 months ago
https://imgur.com/a/EJSVbbH
Mountainman
4 months ago
I am still buying. Where do you see me dumping shares? Do you ever tell the truth?
Whome
4 months ago
Lol "well thought out"
Mountainman
4 months ago
Does the “NO” crowd understand that once Donald becomes President, that being part of the launch as an active U.S President becomes extremely dangerous for him legally, as U.S presidents can’t behave like private citizens. If you want to do the research yourself you can check out the following things that will restrict his involvement once he is in office: The Emoluments Clause (U.S. Constitution), Conflict of Interest Laws, and Presidential Ethics Agreements. After you do that, then get back to me and answer me one simple question….. Why the hell would he wait to launch until after he is President and deal with all of that bullshit, when he can just launch now???
Whome
4 months ago
I agree you're schizophrenic.
Mountainman
4 months ago
This is schizophrenic behavior.
Whome
4 months ago
Only MM is dumb enough to think he's winning.
Mountainman
4 months ago
Source: You made it up. hahahaha. Still buying, and still winning.
Whome
4 months ago
You know your selling activity is public, right?
Mountainman
4 months ago
Source: You made it up. hahahaha. Still buying, and still winning.
Whome
4 months ago
You have fewer shares now than you did before. It's a fact, asswipe.
Mountainman
4 months ago
I am still buying. Where do you see me dumping shares? Do you ever tell the truth?
Whome
4 months ago
Looking at your record, I'm happy to be on the other side of this bet from you - but disappointed we both have the 49ers tonight.
DeucePapi
4 months ago
Ya'll are crazy. The last debate had 53mm viewers per Nielsen, the standard used in this market
Whome
4 months ago
"Flying high" and yet 8 hours later you're under water.
Mountainman
4 months ago
It looks like some other know what's coming as well. Already back to over .50. I think me and the fellow "Yes" buyers will be flying high by next weekend :)
Whome
4 months ago
What color is the sky in your world?
Mountainman
4 months ago
These rules are so bad for Kamala, I do not see how they are going to let her do this. https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/1831461906189627893
Whome
4 months ago
So if that's true, then your post is false, which means everyone beleives posts to the comments section?
0xFfB30b16a7255C4633700457e12459b62F8DaD95-1722054758695
4 months ago
Only fools believe posts to the comments section.
Whome
4 months ago
You win.
HoldMyBag
4 months ago
Bet on Gonzales granted political asylum/flees country?
Whome
4 months ago
Turns out this wasn't true after all.
XiJinPing
4 months ago
Gonzales is already in Chile lol... how do you arrest him in a pro-US puppet country? lol
Whome
4 months ago
Get help.
Mountainman
4 months ago
The tides are Turing, HARD. Top NO buyers selling off and buying "YES. As SOON as Trump Tweets that “The Project is Live”, all of the big money dogs on here are going to flood into this market within seconds and Market Buy “YES” and "NO" will be in the single digits in the snap of a finger, exactly like what happened 2 days ago with the Trump Sentencing markets. We have 57 days for this to happen, and when it does it will happen in an INSTANT. Are “NO” buyers planning to stay on Twitter and Google 24/7 for the next 58 days, waiting to see if their bet goes sideways, with the hope that they can unload their “NO” shares into a zero liquidity market? How are “NO” buyers going even sleep night until then? My prediction is that happens within the next 2 weeks, most likely next week.
Whome
4 months ago
It didn't change.
Chrome
4 months ago
damn you jamarr!
Whome
4 months ago
Bingo. Except for the feeling bad part.
BennyS
4 months ago
Although I have not done my due diligence for this market, I would feel confident fading @Mountainman on all of their other bets. I actually feel kind bad for them because even if they make this market, they are going to lose all of their other bets
Whome
4 months ago
No different than holding a trial that might convict him. Sentencing is part of the trial. You either hold the trial or you don't - but there's no point in stopping halfway through.
wyn
4 months ago
Fair point, but how would it look to sentence a former president who is running for president
Whome
4 months ago
So when are you "It's over!" guys going to propose a resolution? It's free money, right?
Whome
4 months ago
Props to MM for putting in more $$$. Now take some of those $$$ that you didn't have and go propose a resolution. If I lose, I lose - but quit the whining.
Whome
4 months ago
I am disppointed I had my buys set at 26 and it only got to 28. Missed opportunity.
XiJinPing
4 months ago
YES is going to crash down in 2 days max lol
Whome
4 months ago
Nothing changed. "I know, I'll give my money to the incompetent duo who got their accounts hacked within 4 hours of launch. What could go wrong?
Mountainman
4 months ago
Hahaha watch everyone dump here when literally nothing has changed. NFT launched and their coin is still launching, they just got hacked.
Whome
4 months ago
Put up or shut up. Propose a resolution or quit whining.
Mountainman
4 months ago
"Tokens launched prior to the start date of this market will qualify for a "Yes" resolution." He launched an NFT last week, don't let the scammers make you buy "NO" before it goes to zero. I don't want to hear any crying like last time when they fooled you into buying that Tate wasn't arrested, AFTER he was arrested!
Whome
4 months ago
BTW, Fuck you for accusing me of lying. https://imgur.com/a/L1FvgE2
Mountainman
4 months ago
1) this is not true. 2) If it was, wouldn't that illustrate that I have extremely high conviction? 3) If you are so sure why is your position smaller than mine even though you have a much larger account? 4) You're an idiot.
Whome
4 months ago
Congratulations. But will you admit that your profile shows you have more equity in this one single bet than profit in the whole of PolyMarket? You better be right, or else you're going back to zero. I can be wrong and I'll still be up.
Mountainman
4 months ago
I have been here for 10 days and doubled my account already. Betting "Yes" on this is like betting "Yes" that the sky is blue.
Whome
4 months ago
Not true? You have more than $3k in this market but have a profit of less than $3k.
Mountainman
4 months ago
1) this is not true. 2) If it was, wouldn't that illustrate that I have extremely high conviction? 3) If you are so sure why is your position smaller than mine even though you have a much larger account? 4) You're an idiot.
Whome
4 months ago
Why is my stake smaller? Because I'm smart enough to not bet my entire profit on something I don't control.
Mountainman
4 months ago
1) this is not true. 2) If it was, wouldn't that illustrate that I have extremely high conviction? 3) If you are so sure why is your position smaller than mine even though you have a much larger account? 4) You're an idiot.
Whome
4 months ago
Yes, if his name is Donald.
babendums
4 months ago
does baron trump doing something count?
Whome
4 months ago
I can't help but notice that if you look at the top holders of YES and take away their equity in this one single market, they'd all be negative. This includes MountainMan.
Whome
4 months ago
I was responding to YOUR personal opinion with FACTS.
Mountainman
4 months ago
The only reason this is not at .9999 is because it has not launched yet, but if you think Trump is going to do something this bad optically and then wait until after the election to launch, you are nuts.
Whome
4 months ago
Or deployment. Reading is hard.
Clickyleaks
4 months ago
The title is misleading - there is a huge between difference between “being involved in the development “
Whome
4 months ago
Ha! He has a long history of running from bad ideas. Trump University, Trump Wines, Trump Steaks, Atlantic City Casinos (4x)....I'd keep going but I'll run out of ink.
Mountainman
4 months ago
The only reason this is not at .9999 is because it has not launched yet, but if you think Trump is going to do something this bad optically and then wait until after the election to launch, you are nuts.
Whome
4 months ago
"Coin" is not in the rules. "Token" is in the rules.
taizong
4 months ago
This is crazy value for No. For one thing, since NFTs don't count, does liquidity? World Liberty Fi is going to be a nontransferrable token (presumably because Trump doesn't want to add yet another lawsuit before the election, this time with the SEC). Then, if the token doesn't even get deployed in the next 2 months, even if Trump was tied to it and it did meet the definition of coin, then this would still fail. With details coming out that the token has 4 members from the Dough Finance rugpull, they may delay plans even further, or opt to start from scratch under a new name without the Dough Finance people.
Whome
4 months ago
I agree. Go dispute it!
wyn
4 months ago
Someone should dispute this as in the rules, RFK Jr. drops out (Day 0) compared with the polling averages for Trump and Harris on the the seventh day after his withdrawal (Day 7) once RCP has published numbers for the the eighth day (Day 8). It said numbers, but didnt specify until added additional context. This is rigged
Whome
4 months ago
Since when does anyone in that family drive more than 3 blocks? That's what helicopters are for.
wyn
4 months ago
Cornel University is a 3 hour drive from any trump estate. Hence, he is unlikely attending Cornel. With regards to Colombia, Trump already mentioned that Barron will not be attending a College with a widespread of anti-semitism
Whome
4 months ago
Aged like milk.
n/a
4 months ago
This should resolve before the end of the day at +1.8 for Kamala and this market will resolve in her favor
Whome
4 months ago
Ok...WHICH poll? Name it.
wyn
4 months ago
This is going to be crazy, once a poll that comes out puts trump on top, trump will run to .3-.4
Whome
4 months ago
Try again, but without the words "fake news."
wyn
4 months ago
The polymarket election odds are in Trumps favour by .03 which is inane and yet this market trump is lagging. This is a large inefficiency!! Buy now before its too late
Whome
4 months ago
Can't get rich if you don't hold any shares.
diddy
4 months ago
I can’t wait to get rich when Rasmussen drops…
Whome
4 months ago
I agree the ocean is hotter. So why only 5 storms so far? Maybe we don't understand everything that's changed and it involves more than just water temps.
Wisdomtime
4 months ago
water was not as hot as now, and most likely other factors were also unlucky. the meteorologists consider that this will become an active season, so I rather trust them than one random historical datapoint
Whome
4 months ago
This is the halfway point on the calendar. The last time there were only 5 storms by the halfway point there were nine total (2009.)
Whome
4 months ago
!Remindme 48 hours
n/a
4 months ago
When Harvard Harris releases, most likely +2 Trump... RCP will most likely go to 1.4 or 1.5... meaning Trump should win this market! :)
Whome
4 months ago
"If the general election were held today, would you vote for Kamala Harris or Donald Trump" It's a two-way poll!!!!
Whome
4 months ago
Siena and Marist have not dropped in a while, and they likely conducted new polls after the DNC. Hopefuly we get at least one.
Whome
4 months ago
Agreed.
jl3128776
4 months ago
What’s wild is that if you take the actual average of the 9 data points, it’s 1.666. (15/9) But it rounds to 1.6
Whome
4 months ago
Why didn't they include USA Today? It was taken *after* RFK dropped out. Fuckers.
Whome
4 months ago
Nothing to replace. Kos isn't inlcuded in the 1.6; its too old.
MalikNabers
4 months ago
An interesting aspect of this is, to close the “time frame window” on the graph, we may need another daily kos poll. Which would replace the +4, so even a +3 there would help trump a bit
Whome
4 months ago
They didn't include the polls that still had Kennedy.
diddy
4 months ago
How they massacred my Kamala…they don’t want to drop Reuters, instead they dropped this Quinnipiac
Whome
4 months ago
Any more polls coming out tomorrow AM?
diddy
4 months ago
How they massacred my Kamala…they don’t want to drop Reuters, instead they dropped this Quinnipiac
Whome
4 months ago
Do they not round correctly? My math shows 1.66666
diddy
4 months ago
How they massacred my Kamala…they don’t want to drop Reuters, instead they dropped this Quinnipiac
Whome
4 months ago
What about the other thread where you say Kamala might be 2.0?
diddy
4 months ago
Guys, it is 100% 1.9 Kamala lead tomorrow. Trump lost all his chances. One more poll and Kamala is at +2 lead. https://x.com/rasmussen_poll/status/1828824866352676974?s=46&t=_7tYBcMVFR6IgKD4ztkf-Q
Whome
4 months ago
The current lull can be traced to where most Atlantic hurricanes are born: Africa. The atmospheric disturbances that go on to become Atlantic cyclones usually emanate from monsoon rainfall over western Africa during the Northern Hemisphere summer months. This year’s monsoon season is unusually strong, which Rosencrans said translates to frequent tropical waves — systems that push toward the west off Africa and into a zone of the tropical Atlantic that is prime for cyclone development. For reasons meteorologists don’t yet understand, the monsoon and the tropical waves are occurring significantly farther north than usual this summer. There are even forecasts for a “unique rain event” in the Sahara desert over the coming days. That means the seeds of what might otherwise become hurricanes are entering the Atlantic at the relatively cooler northern fringes of what is known as the main development region for tropical storms. There, they are also encountering a layer of dry and dusty air blowing eastward from the Sahara. In those conditions, the tropical waves “just kind of fizzle out,” Rosencrans said.
Whome
5 months ago
Insert "always was" astronaut meme here
0xdf3D5e4B56a54B78f28657be1C6F324E17AB55f0-1721985205806
5 months ago
Now it seems pure gambling
Whome
5 months ago
Ankle monitors are for people who take the bus, not private jets.
nnimrodd
5 months ago
Even if he's charged he'll be released on bail. Police doesnt need to question him more at this time after 4 days
Whome
5 months ago
https://x.com/RadarHits/status/1828796510680813893
Whome
5 months ago
Good point. Where's your NO bet?
Gena🐊
5 months ago
Remember this market is about who will gain more if RFK Jr "drops", not the DNC effect on polls. The DNC effect will need to be substracted.
Whome
5 months ago
Dear lexigraphers: Please explain one of the two following statements to me. I don't get it. (1) Why is joyless not a compound word? - or - (2) Why are joyful and joyless treated differently? Sincerely, Someone who failed fifth grade.
Whome
5 months ago
Good thing PM always follows the UMA vote. *cough* $DJT *cough*
ANudeEgg
5 months ago
"Tbh I am really curious to see how Polymarket will resolve this..." The vote was already clinched as of yesterday evening. It's a No.
Whome
5 months ago
Some of us understand odds and remember history, and some don't. Enjoy your $0.12. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/polymarket-contradicts-oracle-rarity-prediction-022105806.html
BlackSky123
5 months ago
They don't because joyful isn't a compound word. You're just stupid.
Whome
5 months ago
...says the person still holding shares at 99.8 instead of cashing out. Gotta get that extra $0.22!
BlackSky123
5 months ago
They don't because joyful isn't a compound word. You're just stupid.
Whome
5 months ago
The fundamental problem is that the rules contradict themselves. "Other forms will not count." "Compound words will count." Which side you back depends on which side you own.
Whome
5 months ago
Couldn't be more clear. " The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic"
MOA
5 months ago
This is really crappy criteria, there are 2 numbers, one for the convention and one for her speech. The other bet on this mixes the two and this one isn’t clear on which you are referring to.
Whome
5 months ago
And he was running for RFK's seat! You should buy 10,000!
cashcapone
5 months ago
RFK ? In the 1970 New York Senate race Sen. Charles Goodell ,in a three-way race,leaked that he would be dropping out and scheduled a press conference. He announced that he was NOT dropping out.
Whome
5 months ago
No,it’s not.
Iz12
5 months ago
Mathematically, this is equivalent to the initial market (who will win the election)
Whome
5 months ago
Many people who are fired "resign" in order to "spend more time with family."
Whome
5 months ago
Many people who are fired "resign to spend more time with family."
Whome
5 months ago
The people who say "free money" never bet.
n/a
5 months ago
$1 is being sold for 90 cents, literally free money lol
Whome
5 months ago
I've noticed the people who say "free money" are never the ones who bet.
NowItsMyTime
5 months ago
Why this is at 18% no in August? And in the same market before September is at 12%??? 6% free gift lol.
Whome
5 months ago
"It's a "Buy No" offer. It also shows up as "Sell Yes."
n/a
5 months ago
someone is selling 99,999 shares at 99.9 cents? where are these shares coming from?
Whome
5 months ago
WHy tell people insteadof buying it yourself?
fate
5 months ago
There's a risk-free arbitrage opportunity between these two contracts: - "Fed Interest Rates: September 2024" and "Fed rate cut by...?"
Whome
5 months ago
Young enough to hold in the air. When it happens it'll be indisputable. He hates small children and won't touch the older ones.
MrKnister
5 months ago
How is a baby defined here? What age?
Whome
5 months ago
You have a weird definition of disagree.
hakeemdream34
5 months ago
It needs to be clarified if a virtual appearance counts
Whome
5 months ago
r/confidentlyincorrect
hannesrannveig
5 months ago
The majority of popular votes in the US presidential election is determined by the number of electoral votes a candidate receives. A candidate who receives at least 270 electoral votes out of 538 becomes president.
Whome
5 months ago
Correct.
JeffreyBezos
5 months ago
is this an an opposite market? This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is no official ceasefire agreement... so if you buy the Yes market you are betting on No ceasfire, and if you buy the NO you are betting that there WIll be a ceasfire? is this correct or am i understanding it wrong
Whome
5 months ago
Zero followthrough from either one on the partnership.
MarcousAurelius
5 months ago
It was actually quite good. Especially, in the beginning. Last few moments were also significant since Elon and Trump agreed on partnership (potentially) together. This is a good talk for those who are into politics and specifically really think how to make a difference.
Whome
5 months ago
KEEP GOING
Whome
5 months ago
He doesn't know they're called "Teslas."
Whome
5 months ago
censorship - biggest rug pull EVER.
Whome
5 months ago
https://legal.un.org/ilc/texts/instruments/english/conventions/9_1_1961.pdf Articles 21-25. No, an Israeli embassy is not Israeli soil. Couchwhale is correct that they can't be entered without permission but incorrect as to the reason why.
5to5000
5 months ago
I'm guessing an Israeli embassy would count, as per the rules? What about an Israeli military base not in Israel?
Whome
5 months ago
"within the calendar year 2024"
Hamster
5 months ago
It is already here, the definition was met on 2023-2024
Whome
5 months ago
r/whoosh
Timetraveler
5 months ago
Lmfao this kid rlly thinks Venezuela is a democracy
Whome
5 months ago
It's a conspiracy! Sell me some Harris by 1+.
Slaylorswift
5 months ago
Ask yourself this… why haven’t even dem leaning polls done any new polls since Tim was the vp Pick??
Whome
5 months ago
WHo do you think Nate is referring to by THEY, dumbass?
HamasDidNothingWrong
5 months ago
learn to read, dumbass, this is a 538 market
Whome
5 months ago
Does the music make you think that, or the red lipstick? She has endorsed Biden and released a video condemning Trump.
Pietrop11599
5 months ago
Isnt she a Republican?
Whome
5 months ago
The back and forth was started by YOU when you added a word because...you want to add a word. It's clear for those of use who know how to use the english language. The word virtual does not appear in the rule, yet people insist on adding it. Does it also count if she attends "in spirit" even though the rules don't mention that? Enjoy your back and forth and claims of "FRAUD" when virtual apppearances are denied.
hakeemdream34
5 months ago
It needs to be clarified if a virtual appearance counts
Whome
5 months ago
Venue is not required. Read the rules, and open a logic 101 book (not an insult; logic laws are hard. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/De_Morgan%27s_laws).
DeucePapi
5 months ago
3 requirements must be satisfied for the market to resolve "yes". 1) An agreed upon date 2) an agreed upon venue 3) a confirmed host for the debate
Whome
5 months ago
I see 750. Where do you see 330k?
Ferguson,Turd
5 months ago
330k YES BOND!!!!
Whome
5 months ago
Holy crap. There are some truly insane people on this planet.
Whome
5 months ago
I'm impressed at the word-twisting here. Attend is as simple as it gets. "I feel like if she calls in that's a form of attendance." No it's not, you idiot. SMH.
hakeemdream34
5 months ago
It needs to be clarified if a virtual appearance counts
Whome
5 months ago
LOL poorly worded. Simpler is better. "Attend: be present at." Y'all have fun on this one. Look for me at the end; I'll be on the winning side.
hakeemdream34
5 months ago
It needs to be clarified if a virtual appearance counts
Whome
5 months ago
That would be true if it said "appear." But it says "attend." https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/attend
hakeemdream34
5 months ago
It needs to be clarified if a virtual appearance counts
Whome
5 months ago
Fishy? What's fishy? The rules match the title and it's "fishy?"
slurppy
6 months ago
Guys read the terms carefully... it's only section 4, which means only if he doesn't want to resign but the rest of his office wants him to step down then it's yes. If he resigns ON HIS OWN, then this market is NO. Watch out, this stuff is fishy
Whome
5 months ago
The state that collects the most tips.
Hazardd
5 months ago
what does in mean: point state
Whome
5 months ago
And yet you didn't bet. Bet $2.12 to win $2! What could go wrong? Hint: It's the spread.
Cruncher
5 months ago
This is *actually* mathematically free money right now. There's 3 mutually exclusive options near 50%. Just bet no on the 3, and you'll win at least 2 of them
Whome
5 months ago
Sooo..that information is both widely known, and in the future past the end of this bet. Still confident?
Mozart
5 months ago
Going in long,btc will skyrocket since interest rates will be cut in September
Whome
5 months ago
Yes, search for "popular" and then buy yes for all the members of the party you want as well as "other"
diogenes
5 months ago
Is there a market only for popular vote winner by party?
Whome
5 months ago
If I bet NO every time a Trump said to wait for a big announcement, I'd be a rich man.
Whome
5 months ago
He hates it, but there are far more than three photogrpahs of him with a baby.
polybetter932
5 months ago
Who would ever bet he does this lol, he has done this like three times on the campaign has been campaigning for ten years now.. thats 120 months. 3 months out of 120 months means this has a win percentage of just 2.5%
Whome
5 months ago
Walz said he'd debate JD "if he can get off the COUCH." Harris will say it later this month.
Whome
5 months ago
The last run from 56k to 65k took 8 days (July 7-15.) How many days are left in August?
Verified.Counts
5 months ago
To all the Yes holders: pull up a chart, draw a horizontal line at 65k. Than draw a vertical line at Aug 31st. Does that look likely?
Whome
5 months ago
When the rules are pefectly clear but someone insists 3 times the rules are wrong - who am I to stop them? Notice there's less than $1000 bet for that word. Nobody wants to touch it.
raspberry17
5 months ago
Does "Jewish people" count for "jew"?
Whome
5 months ago
Weird is an adjective that describes a movement. Weirdo is a personal insult. It doesn't fit her.
n/a
5 months ago
Is there a reason weirdo is so low? I know "weird" doesn't count but I feel like it's much more likely than Brat or Venn diagram.
Whome
5 months ago
Can't wait to see the top holders.
Whome
5 months ago
It does affect things, but not in the direction they want.
n/a
5 months ago
I will say... something like 85% of the land data is out and unless the water data affect things, it's not looking good for the Yesses
Whome
5 months ago
The "trainers" are fully capable of oeprating the systems.
dcue86
5 months ago
going to take too much time to train on S-400s...I think friday is too soo
Whome
5 months ago
THEPROBEAVER has no skin in the game. Get lost.
TheNoobBeaver
5 months ago
After careful reflection, THE PROBEAVER warns the NO buyers to evaluate their position well, doesn't bet everything, this market will be shock for everybody
Whome
5 months ago
They still say Gonzalez got more votes.
0xD5cC3BE469a58df15aBBE890e5a7D2Fb46E31A6b-1722904627809
5 months ago
we got robbed big time here. https://venezuelanalysis.com/news/venezuela-cne-turns-over-electoral-data-to-supreme-court-us-walks-back-gonzalez-recognition/
Whome
5 months ago
That's called Volatility. This market is equivalent to binary options on BTC VIX.
Car
5 months ago
Lol its at 27% while price is at 55k, when price was at 55k$ 2 days ago, this market was at 12%.
Whome
5 months ago
Ah, tht will definitely count.
raspberry17
5 months ago
I am asking about "Jewish people", not "Jewish"
Whome
5 months ago
Yes, he changes his name on both of his accounts from time to time. He's not hard to find. Look for the guy spewing BS with the losing record.
factman
5 months ago
Are you referring to Mr. Best as Relay?
Whome
5 months ago
You know you're in control of your own adblock, right?
HamasDidNothingWrong
5 months ago
can't read whoever ADBLOCKED faggot is stalking me. 👇 prolly DECRAPP SEETHING Relay made thousands buying low and selling high. DUMFAG DECRAPP would NEVER!
Whome
5 months ago
Rules: "Jewish" will NOT count. What's not clear?
raspberry17
5 months ago
Does "Jewish people" count for "jew"?
Whome
5 months ago
We're saying the same thing ;)
Laura
5 months ago
All I'll say about this market is this: Look at who the top 'yes' holder is, look at their profit and loss, and decide if you want to be on the same side as them or not. Batman is a fictional character, folks. This is reality. The bat signal ain't coming.
Whome
5 months ago
I'm averaging in. I appreciate your boldness to jump in at 22c, but i don't have the same conviction. I'm working my way up to 5k. See you here Nov 6th! ;)
Laura
5 months ago
All I'll say about this market is this: Look at who the top 'yes' holder is, look at their profit and loss, and decide if you want to be on the same side as them or not. Batman is a fictional character, folks. This is reality. The bat signal ain't coming.
Whome
5 months ago
When you find yourselfin a hole...stop digging.
winbet
5 months ago
I'm still buying Andy. Date canceled while I buy
Whome
5 months ago
It's a risky strategy, Cotton. I'd put money on him not speaking at the DNC, followed by other high-return bets. 20% over 4 months isn't something I want to wait for.
Laura
5 months ago
All I'll say about this market is this: Look at who the top 'yes' holder is, look at their profit and loss, and decide if you want to be on the same side as them or not. Batman is a fictional character, folks. This is reality. The bat signal ain't coming.
Whome
5 months ago
So this is where your Bernie money went.....
Laura
5 months ago
All I'll say about this market is this: Look at who the top 'yes' holder is, look at their profit and loss, and decide if you want to be on the same side as them or not. Batman is a fictional character, folks. This is reality. The bat signal ain't coming.
Whome
5 months ago
Holy sweet baby jesus, that's a huge loss.
Laura
5 months ago
All I'll say about this market is this: Look at who the top 'yes' holder is, look at their profit and loss, and decide if you want to be on the same side as them or not. Batman is a fictional character, folks. This is reality. The bat signal ain't coming.
Whome
5 months ago
Of course, because he wasn't doing "everything possible" before now. No logic.
Junkgreat
5 months ago
I think Biden will do everything possible to Buoy the economy until the election so it's likely we don't have a recession this year.
Whome
5 months ago
Read the rules.
raspberry17
5 months ago
Does "Jewish people" count for "jew"?
Whome
5 months ago
I’ll buy a smidge more at 10c. See you there and may the correct side win!
aenews2
5 months ago
Guess Team N has run out of money. Just let it happen, we're going to 90c and then 100c!
Whome
5 months ago
The timing of the publication of this article closely matches the buying spree. https://www.sfgate.com/la/article/needles-high-monthly-temperature-19621282.php
Whome
5 months ago
Funny how the VP market doesn’t agree with the leak.
Bank.
5 months ago
Walz was just leaked as VP. Bernie said he would endorse Kamala if Walz was picked. Easy money.
Whome
5 months ago
Endorse immediately? Bernie’s asleep in bed.
vote.fun
5 months ago
its still a rumor, she wont announce it before accepting the nom
Whome
5 months ago
In all seriousness, what is the approximate date when we can expect results?
gopfanfan
5 months ago
I feel like these markets would be better resolved by Copernicus because they release their data continuously. NASA waiting for like 2 weeks after the month is over makes this more of a gambling market than a prediction market.
Whome
5 months ago
It'll get voted p4, which is correct as of now. I'm not wasting my $750.
yourrapist1776
5 months ago
It's over already, someone should propose no. Voting period ended at 6pm est
Whome
5 months ago
Oh, noes! Gambling? I must lie down, I have the vapors.
gopfanfan
5 months ago
I feel like these markets would be better resolved by Copernicus because they release their data continuously. NASA waiting for like 2 weeks after the month is over makes this more of a gambling market than a prediction market.
Whome
5 months ago
The math doesn't work when you do that with mid-priced binary options. You need prices with more upward movement (5x, 10x etc) for that to work.
harvastum
5 months ago
Another good case for "Yes" is whales trying to make people flip, sell their "No"s and then get their investment back when everyone is convinced there's some magical insider knowledge in play.
Whome
5 months ago
"Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity."
Whome
5 months ago
Is there a good spot wher you can go to learn how to propose a resolution?
Laura
5 months ago
Alright guys, I'm quite happy to put through the proposal once the DNC announces they've officially nominated her. Do we want to wait until she accepts the nomination (I'm assuming the same day)? Either way, it will all be time stamped so no need to be reckless in rushing it through.
Whome
5 months ago
Fuck off with the sketchy janky misspelled coin
GMog
5 months ago
As the news spreads, the pumping continues,Check out Shapiro memecoin on solana ... Ticker is Shapero https://x.com/JoshShapero CA : 2hWBY3PfrJ2nP6rEUCWbmW5nDXPAuYpjASStA6Zepump
Whome
5 months ago
Who's watching all her speeches for me? I gots stuff to do.
Whome
5 months ago
The fringe Trump supporters are shit at predicting, not PolyMarket. What they don't spend on crazy t-shirts and flags they spend on PM.
Rafin
5 months ago
Do people think that 538 is a partisan fraud or do they think that Polymarket is ultimately shit at predicting stuff? Kamala being at 79% here and at 43% on the election outcome market is weird IMO.
Whome
5 months ago
Fuck off with the sketchy janky misspelled coin.
Amartolos13
5 months ago
Shapiro is going to take the place 100%. Kamala told it.. Tommorow they are going to Philadelphia.. Why? You know why. Get into the coin of shapero guys and take advantage of it now.. Thank me later. Join the Shapero movement on Solana..It's taking off fast. Ticker: Shapero https://x.com/JoshShapero CA: 2hWBY3PfrJ2nP6rEUCWbmW5nDXPAuYpjASStA6Z
Whome
5 months ago
at 40 cents? That's "safe profit?"
FindingNemo
5 months ago
Buying yes here is good hedge for your investments I think
Whome
5 months ago
With a mispelled name? LOLLOLOL pump and dump rug what a joke.
GMog
5 months ago
Josh Shapiro's memecoin is an obvious play now Check out his memecoin on solana ...Ticker is Shapero https://x.com/JoshShapero CA : 2hWBY3PfrJ2nP6rEUCWbmW5nDXPAuYpjASStA6Zepump
Whome
5 months ago
Spam. Doesn't even have any skin in the game.
GMog
5 months ago
Josh Shapiro's memecoin is an obvious play now Check out his memecoin on solana ...Ticker is Shapero https://x.com/JoshShapero CA : 2hWBY3PfrJ2nP6rEUCWbmW5nDXPAuYpjASStA6Zepump
Whome
5 months ago
https://www.thedailybeast.com/nate-silver-says-election-is-now-a-toss-up-as-harris-takes-polling-lead
Whome
5 months ago
Old trade: borrow in Japan, lend in the US. New reality: That is now over.
EmpirePending
5 months ago
Can you explain why a rate cut would further contribute to the collapse of the carry trade?
Whome
5 months ago
"formally" is stuck in everyones' head on this thread.
Eridpnc
5 months ago
*formerly. Grammar police out.
Whome
5 months ago
The official results are the votes on the official ballots.
0x4f8EBb2ed2B4943FAeD2c1982F6784794028CA3a-1721134726019
5 months ago
Is against common sense. When you gamble on something, the results taken must be the ones provided by the competent authority. It may be unfair or rigged but the official results are the ones that gives you what’s in game. That’s why no matter how much evidence is, Edmundo will not be president.
Whome
5 months ago
Jesus H Christ you're boring.
HamasDidNothingWrong
5 months ago
DUMFUQ DOMER taking another L in a foreign market? And from his fellow fascists this time? LOL!
Whome
5 months ago
This should have been split into 25,50 and 75+ at the beginning
Whome
5 months ago
So now we know you don't know how to read.
MalikNabers
5 months ago
What? Is this a VP announcement? Wow fake media said Monday at the earliest. Caught lying again.
Whome
5 months ago
So you find the sources saying that he won....credible?
felipe33
5 months ago
The "Credible Consensus" is IMPOSSIBLE under the actual circumstances...
Whome
5 months ago
Did you ask ChatGPT to pay up?
Coram_Deo
5 months ago
Just asked perplexity AI or Chatgpt - answer: Yes, Bernie Sanders officially endorsed Kamala Harris as the Democratic presidential nominee. On Saturday, July 27, 2024, Sanders announced his endorsement of Vice President Kamala Harris at a rally in Portland, Maine.
Whome
5 months ago
Did you?
0x0d2cA4faDbF9dC5BfB6077e232a8Dbd8DD50B8cC-1722469029328
5 months ago
Okay who cares... did they count the votes?
Whome
5 months ago
"Most people think of it" - you mean people with no reading comprehension skills.
fineptune
5 months ago
"July was record-breaking hot" --fake news from msn... https://www.msn.com/en-us/weather/topstories/why-july-was-record-breaking-hot-and-whether-2024-will-be-warmest-year-in-history/ar-BB1qPymS
Whome
5 months ago
I can't figure out why anyone who doesn't have money in the game would waste time in the comments section.
MurkKellyVP
5 months ago
because all of you were dumb enough to follow unverified rumors and kelly met with the harris team, aka shapiro is massively overpriced
Whome
5 months ago
Because he never should have been up that high.
0x87250973131222DdF2c7Fb5E293BD96f945466E8-1722308323158
5 months ago
Why is Shapiro going down?
Whome
5 months ago
Defintiely counts. They have a "Participating National Olympic Committee"
KingofRingx3
5 months ago
Any clue if Refugee team would count aswell? Pretty likely Lobalu gets the 10k meter gold medal.
Whome
5 months ago
Does anyone know when this is happening?
Whome
5 months ago
"Going to get" messy? It *is* messy.
VibesGreaterRules
5 months ago
If UMA starts judging who has won an election in authoritarian countries, this is going to get EXTREMELY messy.
Whome
5 months ago
12ish. The videos I found of Trump are in the 19-22 second range for the rear stairs on the 757.
Tanguero
5 months ago
anyone clock the actual time ?
Whome
5 months ago
I don't think "not reading the rules or understanding the subject matter" counts as "screwed."
Laura
6 months ago
Yes holders are going to get screwed over by misinterpreting Bernie’s support and the explicit rules of this market imo
Whome
5 months ago
I can't figure out why you haven't claimed your shares yet. It's obvious you're correct.
Shayku
6 months ago
No it's ok, he already endorsed.
Whome
5 months ago
Let's say your theory is right: What does he gain by endorsing early? He needs to motivate his base by Nov 5, not Aug 1.
Paganheat
6 months ago
Most likely scenario here: there’s been countless news stories claiming that Bernie has endorsed Kamala, which in spirit, he has, regardless of how explicit he’s been. Kamala will most likely be nominated on Aug 1. Between now and Thursday, his team will need to affirm (or not) these headlines and/or he will be asked by the media whether he does indeed endorse Kamala. Most likely, he’s not going to squabble over words (eg explicit endorsement). He needs to activate his base if he is truly doing everything he can to stop Trump. The YES is still the right position to hold.
Whome
6 months ago
Cool! Glad to hear it. Make sure to hit that "claim" button.
Shayku
6 months ago
There already was, we're good.
Whome
6 months ago
"Before that" - do you know when that press release came out? Hint: Everyone else does.
Shayku
6 months ago
The market had resolved before that, on a tweet similar to Bernie's.
Whome
6 months ago
There will never be a "formal" announcement from a guy who wears a KMart parka and homemade mittens to a presidential inaguration. It's not his style.
Whome
6 months ago
If you want to know what a "formal endorsement" looks like, read this. https://d3i6fh83elv35t.cloudfront.net/static/2024/07/obama.png
Whome
6 months ago
" Obama didn't use the word endorse in his written statement " - this is toally false. https://d3i6fh83elv35t.cloudfront.net/static/2024/07/obama.png
Justifax
6 months ago
Total BS. Obama didn't use the word endorse in his written statement and just tweeted. If you call using the word 'endorse' in some rando video of a call at 5am - 'formal' you are a truly a hypocrite.
Whome
6 months ago
You didn't read the tweet, you didn't watch the video, you didn't read the staement, and you have no bets here. Why are you posting?
Justifax
6 months ago
Obama posted a tweet without using the word 'endorse'. It was randomly said in a below the fold video recording of a 5am phone call. That is not 'formal' by any stretch, and yet it counts.
Whome
6 months ago
The market resolved on the email. All 3 (tweet, email, video) were released at the same time.
Justifax
6 months ago
Obama posted a tweet without using the word 'endorse'. It was randomly said in a below the fold video recording of a 5am phone call. That is not 'formal' by any stretch, and yet it counts.
Whome
6 months ago
The Obamas endorsed her formally, as in on formal letterhead with the word "endorse" in the statement.
Justifax
6 months ago
Obama posted a tweet without using the word 'endorse'. It was randomly said in a below the fold video recording of a 5am phone call. That is not 'formal' by any stretch, and yet it counts.
Whome
6 months ago
ABC Does indeed have 17 million followers, so it's worth noting they didn't use any language that said Sanders endorsed Harris in the article on their main site. The local affiliate out of a town of 5,000 people wrote the "endorsement" article.
kdubhotsauce
6 months ago
"I think, in this campaign, the situation the there’s a very clear choice and I think Kamala Harris must become our next president,” said Sanders." Seems like this is a clear Yes to me. Any one think differently? Otherwise, will propose a Yes.
Whome
6 months ago
It's a very clear indication wthat he is voting for Harris, which is not the same as a formal endorsement. What part of that statement is a formal endorsement?
kdubhotsauce
6 months ago
"I think, in this campaign, the situation the there’s a very clear choice and I think Kamala Harris must become our next president,” said Sanders." Seems like this is a clear Yes to me. Any one think differently? Otherwise, will propose a Yes.
Whome
6 months ago
The headline is not supported by facts.
milize
6 months ago
https://www.wmtw.com/article/bernie-sanders-formally-endorses-kamala-harris-for-president-at-portland-rally/61717060 it's over guys, posting old statements won't help your cause. it clearly states formal endorsed
Whome
6 months ago
He doesn't know the name of a single coin. "Crypto and bitcoin and all of the others."
Whome
6 months ago
He would promote MAGA at his mother's funeral.
Car
6 months ago
Why is MAGA so high? Its a bitcoin conference lol. They are talking about Bitcoin like nerds. This is not a Trump MAGA rally. He is not there to promote his MAGA cult.
Whome
6 months ago
Daily sea surface temps are usually coooler in July than February.
andybeshear
6 months ago
daily sea surface temps were higher in february 2024 than they were in july 2023... we've only had record heat in every month since february. https://climate.copernicus.eu/copernicus-february-2024-was-globally-warmest-record-global-sea-surface-temperatures-record-high