#36
Rank
315
Comments
162
Likes Received
88
Likes Given
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?
432
1 week ago
Let's vote for yes and i will create later a message from Nasrallah via AI ROFL
0
Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?
432
1 week ago
Asking myself how can somebody propose an Outcome when the final date didn't even passed
0
Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?
432
2 weeks ago
i guess this will depend on how Rassmussen will close today
0
mombil
2 weeks ago
They will probably also remove the +4 Harris Yahoo News and keep the +3 Trump Atlas forever
Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?
432
2 weeks ago
RCP updated to 2.0 .Rassmussen will be 3 points today or Yahoo News will be taken out to go to 1.9
0
Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?
432
2 weeks ago
they don't count the points per day but days average.
0
mombil
2 weeks ago
Rasmussen was on average 3.4 last week but still made it +2 - its the same magic box RCP is, you just dont know what happens
Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?
432
2 weeks ago
Rassmussen will be +3 today and if they take the last 3 out which are outdated its 1.9
0
Who wins most votes in Brandenburg election?
432
2 weeks ago
it was clearly rigged as many regions which were pro AFD turned in the end red.They clearly added addiotional ballots which explains 74% voting
2
Kapii
2 weeks ago
Nächste und einzige "Landtagswahl" in 2025 ist Hamburg. Aber da steht der Gewinner schon fest. Also erstmal längere Durststrecke.
Who wins most votes in Brandenburg election?
432
2 weeks ago
VERY tight majority of non counted votes still from AFD regions
1
Who wins most votes in Brandenburg election?
432
2 weeks ago
12% left and still leading 0.9%
0
Who wins most votes in Brandenburg election?
432
2 weeks ago
looking good SPD dominated regions gave nearly all votes.Majority of not counted votes are from AFD regions
0
Who wins most votes in Brandenburg election?
432
2 weeks ago
15% of counting left and AFD still leading 1.3%
0
Who wins most votes in Brandenburg election?
432
2 weeks ago
first votes are direct mandates for people.Not party
0
Car
2 weeks ago
you cant win with second votes
Who wins most votes in Brandenburg election?
432
2 weeks ago
second votes count for the party my friend
1
Car
2 weeks ago
you need to look at the "Erststimmen"
Who wins most votes in Brandenburg election?
432
2 weeks ago
AFD has not only 2.2% lead but also gained majority of direct mandates means even there is a tier AFD wins by a lot
1
Who wins most votes in Brandenburg election?
432
2 weeks ago
3/4 of all votes counted.AFD leading with 3% and 3.5% .......HOT RACE
0
Who wins most votes in Brandenburg election?
432
2 weeks ago
rofl
1
BuckMySalls
2 weeks ago
this isnt like burger elections, German exit polls are very accurate
Who wins most votes in Brandenburg election?
432
2 weeks ago
50% of votes counted.AFD still up by 5.5% in erst and second votes
2
Who wins most votes in Brandenburg election?
432
2 weeks ago
both votes are given today mate and both currently AFD is leading by 6%.Watch count live instead of TV forcast
0
Car
2 weeks ago
its about the next election, which is todays election. todays results are (still) in favor of SPD
Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?
432
3 weeks ago
they are scamming its always a point less or more than everyone thinks.they had 16 points on 5 days average thats above 3 points but they still call it 2
1
diddy
3 weeks ago
Mitchell also said it’s +2 Trump again
Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?
432
3 weeks ago
Rasmussen stays at +2 WTF
1
Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?
432
3 weeks ago
still even with rassmussen RCP just needs to take out one old poll and we are back at 2.1
0
n/a
3 weeks ago
They know that juicy Rasmussen is coming so they didn’t mind throwing a bone lol
Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?
432
3 weeks ago
https://x.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1836740471172817334/photo/1
0
432
3 weeks ago
Rassmussen +8
Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?
432
3 weeks ago
or maybe +4 as its on the edge
0
432
3 weeks ago
finishing week +3
Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?
432
3 weeks ago
finishing week +3
0
432
3 weeks ago
Rassmussen +8
Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?
432
3 weeks ago
Rassmussen +8
1
Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?
432
3 weeks ago
RCP update
0
n/a
3 weeks ago
What caused the fluctuation just now?
Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?
432
3 weeks ago
RCP updated to 1.9 .It added NYT/Siena tie
0
Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?
432
3 weeks ago
Rassmussen will reverse it
0
mombil
3 weeks ago
Will update to 2.1 later with the new NYT Siena Poll (47-47)
Caroline Ellison sentenced to prison?
432
3 weeks ago
probation for 12+60 months.General attorney asked for no prision time but probation.The judge won't go higher than the general attorney asked expacially not with her family in high position and the cooperation
0
jayminho
3 weeks ago
No she won’t due to cooperation.. but she will serve 12 to 60 months
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?
432
3 weeks ago
yes
0
TheGuru
3 weeks ago
Is the order book glitching for anyone else here?
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?
432
3 weeks ago
Car selling Kamalla
1
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?
432
3 weeks ago
WAYNE accumulating more Trump
3
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?
432
3 weeks ago
Wayne just bought trump ;)
2
Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?
432
3 weeks ago
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/us/elections/polls-president.html
0
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?
432
3 weeks ago
Source for NY Times is not YouGov and its Harris vs Trump poll
0
432
3 weeks ago
Here it comes NY Times from +1 Trump to +3 Harris
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?
432
3 weeks ago
YouGov which is source for Yahoo News from +1 Harris to +4 Harris
1
432
3 weeks ago
Here it comes NY Times from +1 Trump to +3 Harris
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?
432
3 weeks ago
Here it comes NY Times from +1 Trump to +3 Harris
1
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?
432
3 weeks ago
1k liquidity left for the whole market 1.5-1.9 :)
1
432
3 weeks ago
noone wanting to add more NO's to my portfolio at 1.5-1.9 .I hold more 1.4 yes as there is only a 0.1 diffrence however i also have 2.0 to cover the loss should it move there.Either way i have lot of NO's on 1.5-1.9 as there is only $2.5k liquidity which will dry out quickly when there will be any movement in any kind of direction
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?
432
3 weeks ago
50k sell wall on 1.5-1.9
1
432
3 weeks ago
liquidity down to under 2k.Once the last high buy order is eaten it will be less than 1k liquidty
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?
432
3 weeks ago
liquidity down to under 2k.Once the last high buy order is eaten it will be less than 1k liquidty
0
432
3 weeks ago
noone wanting to add more NO's to my portfolio at 1.5-1.9 .I hold more 1.4 yes as there is only a 0.1 diffrence however i also have 2.0 to cover the loss should it move there.Either way i have lot of NO's on 1.5-1.9 as there is only $2.5k liquidity which will dry out quickly when there will be any movement in any kind of direction
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?
432
3 weeks ago
noone wanting to add more NO's to my portfolio at 1.5-1.9 .I hold more 1.4 yes as there is only a 0.1 diffrence however i also have 2.0 to cover the loss should it move there.Either way i have lot of NO's on 1.5-1.9 as there is only $2.5k liquidity which will dry out quickly when there will be any movement in any kind of direction
0
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?
432
3 weeks ago
fully agree thats why i bought no's as the risk / reward is very high
3
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
Last 2 pols are +5 Harris. If we get another 2 like that today and the bottom 2 get dropped, this market will resolve as 2.0-2.4. Maybe worth at bet at 4c
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?
432
3 weeks ago
can be everything.They could also take a pro trump poll or one with simply harris +1 and it would also go down to 1.4.Everything is possible at this stage
2
Mike2025
3 weeks ago
Last 2 pols are +5 Harris. If we get another 2 like that today and the bottom 2 get dropped, this market will resolve as 2.0-2.4. Maybe worth at bet at 4c
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?
432
3 weeks ago
Everyone comparing last weeks friday with today.You guys are aware we had a major debate and after such kind of event most polls provide new data ?I would be suprised if no new polls will be added today since everyone was tracking that event
4
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?
432
3 weeks ago
tomorrow there will be some movements.On the last days there are always some movements
0
TheFinalWord
3 weeks ago
was not expecting that, 1.5 it is
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?
432
0 months ago
everything is possible depending on RCP
1
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?
432
0 months ago
i doubt so
0
n/a
0 months ago
Well it's now over for 0-0.9 and 1.5-1.9
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?
432
0 months ago
where you got that poll ?
0
mombil
0 months ago
Rasmussen: +2 Trump (49/47) = down to 1.2
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?
432
0 months ago
+5 average +6 and higher today
2
n/a
0 months ago
@MrNFT what are we guessing? +2, +3 or +4?
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?
432
0 months ago
Someone hacked our survey software account. China, NSA, butt-hurt leftie? I wish I knew. That's why our Thursday morning poll is delayed.
1
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?
432
0 months ago
you are safe
1
n/a
0 months ago
You think if they don't, it won't be enough for the NOs on 1.5 to 1.9?
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?
432
0 months ago
it will be kicked out
0
n/a
0 months ago
What do you think the ABC poll will be at for today?
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?
432
0 months ago
means kicked out
0
432
0 months ago
Indomania you forget that today also ABC news will be updated
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?
432
0 months ago
Indomania you forget that today also ABC news will be updated
0
n/a
0 months ago
https://x.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1834213525809475653
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?
432
0 months ago
Rassmussen +5 https://x.com/Mark_R_Mitchell/status/1833966465399079368/photo/1
4
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?
432
0 months ago
any reason why not today?
1
grappli
0 months ago
Rasmussen will publish tomorrow morning
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?
432
0 months ago
rassmussen will only update and they are not kamalla biased
0
n/a
0 months ago
Kamala KILLED it in the debate!!!! This can easily get up to Kamala Leads by 1.5 to 1.9 in the next 2 days!!!
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
432
0 months ago
2% are even idiot
0
HumanSluice
0 months ago
Your fake stat is missing 2 percent. Try harder
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
432
0 months ago
switched from kamala to trump like some whales too
0
432
0 months ago
in europe tv says trump won debate by 60% vs 38
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
432
0 months ago
in europe tv says trump won debate by 60% vs 38
1
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
432
0 months ago
read the rules.His current lead is irrelevant
1
Justifax
0 months ago
This is some serious wild shit right here .. 22c and trump is at +7 in potus. wtf
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
432
0 months ago
they just need to pump more than trump will pump.they don't need to overcome trump. . a raise of harris for 0.5% is more than a raise of trump of 0.4%.the current 7% diffrence doesn't count .read the rules
1
UMAisGarbage
1 month ago
I just tried to re-read the market explanation 3x & ended up selling bc it doesn't look like the market title is what we're actually betting on. The writer clearly sniffed 90mg of Adderall prior to creating this disaster
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?
432
1 month ago
+rassmussen at +3 trump
0
MrNFT
1 month ago
1.1, this goes under when the harris +4 expires around thursday
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
432
1 month ago
re read the rules.You will get rekkt like majority who doesn't understand the rules
1
n/a
1 month ago
Market is realizing that if anything, Kamela is likely to _lose_ ground or at best hold it in debate, not enough to overcome a 4% deficit in the standings.
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
432
1 month ago
they do it on purpose.They simply need to pump harris a bit within a 4h period a day AFTER the debate where the volume is back down so harris will win the bet
1
UMAisGarbage
1 month ago
I just tried to re-read the market explanation 3x & ended up selling bc it doesn't look like the market title is what we're actually betting on. The writer clearly sniffed 90mg of Adderall prior to creating this disaster
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?
432
1 month ago
you are not counting the other poll which gives a increase one point to trump but just needs updated thats 0.1 less already
0
grappli
1 month ago
+3 would still be 1. +4 would be 0.9
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?
432
1 month ago
currently rassmussen +4.5
1
432
1 month ago
1.2 and Rassmussen will be +3/+4 which will bring it down to 0.8-0.9
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Friday?
432
1 month ago
1.2 and Rassmussen will be +3/+4 which will bring it down to 0.8-0.9
2
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?
432
1 month ago
still no new bet for rcp polls
0
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?
432
1 month ago
isn't 12 pm 24:00 ?
0
FinallyHappening
1 month ago
2 hous until resolve
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?
432
1 month ago
why is there no new polling bet....
1
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?
432
1 month ago
iif it gets published it will move from 1.8 to 1.7
0
n/a
1 month ago
morning consult updated
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?
432
1 month ago
i would be no schocked if RCP is indirectly owned or controlled by Polymarket which is making MM here so they can make it on a profit because of the tons of unexpected moves
1
n/a
1 month ago
WHY the hell did they remove Reuters / Ipsos poll from the calculation?
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?
432
1 month ago
Also read exectly what rassmussen reports says from the link you posted ........ "The survey of 1,893 U.S. Likely Voters was conducted on August 22 and 25-28, 2024 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC." That is not data from 29.08 to 05.09
0
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?
432
1 month ago
you can't round down from 1.9 to 1. Also read exectly what rassmussen reports says from the link you posted ........ "The survey of 1,893 U.S. Likely Voters was conducted on August 22 and 25-28, 2024 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC." That is not data from 29.08 to 05.09
1
432
1 month ago
I guess there is an error.They changed rassmussen from 2 points to 1 even there past 5 days there was 9 points for trump divided by 5 its 1.9 points so it should be 2.What is odd is the fact they changed the point from rassmussen but did not update the date
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?
432
1 month ago
come on guys sell me your 1.5-1.9 shares
0
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?
432
1 month ago
past 5 days
0
432
1 month ago
thats the result of their todays poll.That is NOT the average weekly poll.You need to learn to count the diffrences from the past 5 weeks and divide by 5 instead of posting the last days poll result which is only 1/
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?
432
1 month ago
Sell me your 1.5-1.9 i'll take it
1
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?
432
1 month ago
thats the result of their todays poll.That is NOT the average weekly poll.You need to learn to count the diffrences from the past 5 weeks and divide by 5 instead of posting the last days poll result which is only 1/
1
432
1 month ago
@randomchooser exexctly but it also means Rassmussen will change back to 2 once the past 7 days data will be published
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?
432
1 month ago
they belive they made a mistake by posting 1 point instead of 2 and also coincidently forget to update the date ROFL yeah sure
0
432
1 month ago
@randomchooser exexctly but it also means Rassmussen will change back to 2 once the past 7 days data will be published
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?
432
1 month ago
he can't because there is no data added from 29.08 to 05.09 the website is clearly saying only data from 22.08 to 28,08 has been published.Would worldfox know how to count weekly average from rassmussen he would know its impossible to have 1 point from rassmussen for the past week
0
432
1 month ago
@randomchooser exexctly but it also means Rassmussen will change back to 2 once the past 7 days data will be published
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?
432
1 month ago
thats the daily poll from today.Check yourself https://x.com/Mark_R_Mitchell/status/1831531736854933908/photo/1 past 5 days (4-1-1+6+1) =9 /5days = 1.9 points
1
432
1 month ago
I guess there is an error.They changed rassmussen from 2 points to 1 even there past 5 days there was 9 points for trump divided by 5 its 1.9 points so it should be 2.What is odd is the fact they changed the point from rassmussen but did not update the date
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?
432
1 month ago
@randomchooser exexctly but it also means Rassmussen will change back to 2 once the past 7 days data will be published
0
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?
432
1 month ago
i mean the voting average from past 7 days from rassmussen.They have NOT been added.You can see on their website they changed all voting results from rassmussen from a week ago from point 2 to point 1 as they clearly state on their website its from the same sample and same tracking date
0
432
1 month ago
I guess there is an error.They changed rassmussen from 2 points to 1 even there past 5 days there was 9 points for trump divided by 5 its 1.9 points so it should be 2.What is odd is the fact they changed the point from rassmussen but did not update the date
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?
432
1 month ago
its seems they updated the old rassmussen data from 2 points to one point and did not added the new data so it will still be coming
1
432
1 month ago
I guess there is an error.They changed rassmussen from 2 points to 1 even there past 5 days there was 9 points for trump divided by 5 its 1.9 points so it should be 2.What is odd is the fact they changed the point from rassmussen but did not update the date
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?
432
1 month ago
I guess there is an error.They changed rassmussen from 2 points to 1 even there past 5 days there was 9 points for trump divided by 5 its 1.9 points so it should be 2.What is odd is the fact they changed the point from rassmussen but did not update the date
1
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?
432
1 month ago
i hope so
3
n/a
1 month ago
Are you thinking Harris will settle back to +3 on MC?
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?
432
1 month ago
morning consult looking good for a small drop of harris based on swing states
5
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
432
1 month ago
There is no data only a place holder
0
TimeQuestion
1 month ago
. Those numbers on the graph will be compared once data for Day 8 (Aug 31) is first released on the graph.
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
432
1 month ago
if they update the graph tonight like they did in the past its no rule breaker.....Today a placeholder have been posted with NO DATA for the past days
0
TimeQuestion
1 month ago
read the rules
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?
432
1 month ago
never claimed he will win.My goal is 50-70% on diffrent ranges and sell....I don't bet on a single outcome
1
TheFinalWord
1 month ago
Rasmussen +1 for Harris D: (previous +2 for Trump)
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
432
1 month ago
ABC ,Reuters and Morning Consult will be updated today .All 3 had +4 so big move may be coming.Additional Rassmussen
0
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
432
1 month ago
NOT over yet ,not a single poll has been updated the past days which means results will still change today
0
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?
432
1 month ago
+4 will be also added for Trump as it has not been added yet
1
TheFinalWord
1 month ago
Rasmussen +1 for Harris D: (previous +2 for Trump)
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?
432
1 month ago
a 5 point jump on rassmussen in a single day is no trend reversal
0
TheFinalWord
1 month ago
Rasmussen +1 for Harris D: (previous +2 for Trump)
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?
432
1 month ago
but before +4 for trump so still more points for trump than currently
2
TheFinalWord
1 month ago
Rasmussen +1 for Harris D: (previous +2 for Trump)
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
432
1 month ago
today is holiday so no update at all.Tomorrow or at wednesday they might take last weeks data and update 29th+30th before publishing data for 31st
0
n/a
1 month ago
This should resolve before the end of the day at +1.8 for Kamala and this market will resolve in her favor
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
432
1 month ago
today is holiday so the data will be high probably updated on tomorrow/wednesday with new data from past week ;)
4
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
432
1 month ago
noone is unloading.Just a yes buyer
0
PinochetsAirplane
1 month ago
looks like someone is trying to unload a lot of trump at 10c! Hahahahaa
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
432
1 month ago
3 points divided by 11 = 2.77 which means down from 1.8 to 1.5 :D
0
432
1 month ago
Yes people will have a big awekening.Rassmussen for example has not been updated since august 28 where it went now from +2 to +4 on 29th and 30th even +5 ......
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
432
1 month ago
Yes people will have a big awekening.Rassmussen for example has not been updated since august 28 where it went now from +2 to +4 on 29th and 30th even +5 ......
0
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
432
1 month ago
they don't get it.let them go for the free money.i would love buy more at a cheap price
2
n/a
1 month ago
This is one of the key pollsters used by RCP. They posted this today. Is Rasmussen a biased right-wing pollster yep? Does it matter what I think? Nope.https://x.com/SecretsBedard/status/1829916718359040326
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
432
1 month ago
the big 4's to drop.Let 2 of them drop from 4 to 3 and trump group won
0
n/a
1 month ago
Which polls do Trump holders think will drop that will shift trump into the lead?
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
432
1 month ago
1.7 was before the update
1
n/a
1 month ago
This is really strange. Just to fully double check the date directly below the 1.6 says 8-23, correct? Because mine still says 1.7.
Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?
432
1 month ago
was there anz update_
0
Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?
432
1 month ago
UMA has been overruled ? What purpose has UMA if all they do is wrong
0
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
432
1 month ago
because she can depending which Polls RCP will publish on august 30
0
n/a
1 month ago
Why is the share price still only at 75c with all the information pointing to the fact that Kamala can’t virtually lose this market?
Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?
432
1 month ago
doesn't change the fact they can change the amount of polls
0
diddy
1 month ago
This is August 30, 12 PM E.T., what 31, I have no idea what are you talking about mate
Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?
432
1 month ago
i think counting this way is impossible because you don't know which polls RCP will use on August 31st
0
diddy
1 month ago
No mate, Trump is at +3 on Rasmussen currently, tomorrow that +3 will be ‘Replaced’ with +2 which means Trump loses a point.
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
432
1 month ago
Also Day 0 is Agust 23rd so it was 1.6 diffrence.Would it be 22 it would be not 7 days but 8
0
TheOneB
1 month ago
oh, so you don't understand how RCP polling average works. Once this week's Rasmussen's poll hits, the one from last week ceases to exist for the RCP average calculation!
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
432
1 month ago
is it not updated daily ?
0
TheOneB
1 month ago
oh, so you don't understand how RCP polling average works. Once this week's Rasmussen's poll hits, the one from last week ceases to exist for the RCP average calculation!
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
432
1 month ago
22 agust will be taken and compared to 30, agust (Day 0 is Aug 23 and Day 7 is Aug 30. Those numbers on the graph will be compared once data for Day 8 (Aug 31) )
0
TheOneB
1 month ago
there was no Rasmussen polling on the 23rd so i'm not sure what you're talking about. last rasmussen combined polling was Kamala 46 Trump 49. She is so far averaging 47 this week.
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
432
1 month ago
the average counts from 23rd till 30 and not from before 23rd
0
432
1 month ago
What a nonsense people write here.Diffrence was on August 23 1.6 points today its 1.7 points so a lousy 0.1 point
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
432
1 month ago
23rd august it was 46 vs 46 today its 46 vs 48
0
TheOneB
1 month ago
...she was 3 points down last week buddy
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
432
1 month ago
https://x.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1828824866352676974/photo/1 Kamala as of today 2 points down to trump from the last update on RCP
0
TheOneB
1 month ago
you seem a bit confused, the guy who does the polls is showing the stats for each day. Trump is +2 on their poll right now. He was +3 on their last poll, which gets erased from the average tomorrow :)
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
432
1 month ago
https://x.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1828824866352676974/photo/1
0
TheOneB
1 month ago
you seem a bit confused, the guy who does the polls is showing the stats for each day. Trump is +2 on their poll right now. He was +3 on their last poll, which gets erased from the average tomorrow :)
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
432
1 month ago
nonsense she dropped by one point
0
TheOneB
1 month ago
it's looking very likely that Kamala has gotten higher in Rassmussen poll, so... :)
Pavel Durov released in August?
432
1 month ago
you have no clue how the court system works.Durov was released however the court demanded to bring him via police to his court case.However he is no more under custody.Even normal people can be picked up from home by police to bring them to court.Doesn't change the fact that the legal status of him is a free man RIGHT AT THE MOMENT
0
🤺JustKen
1 month ago
Durov was released from prison into a police car, and then released from the police car into a new cell.
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
432
1 month ago
0.1 point can change in a single day
0
diddy
1 month ago
Win is a win buddy, you’re in losers camp
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
432
1 month ago
What a nonsense people write here.Diffrence was on August 23 1.6 points today its 1.7 points so a lousy 0.1 point
1
Pavel Durov released in August?
432
1 month ago
Telegram CEO Pavel Durov freed after four days in French custody https://www.rfi.fr/en/france/20240828-telegram-ceo-pavel-durov-freed-after-four-days-in-french-custody
3
Pavel Durov released in August?
432
1 month ago
Telegram CEO Pavel Durov regains freedom, to appear in French court over illegal activities https://thestreetjournal.org/telegram-ceo-pavel-durov-regains-freedom-to-appear-in-french-court-over-illegal-activities/
0
Pavel Durov released in August?
432
1 month ago
The CEO of the popular messaging app Telegram, Pavel Durov, has been released from police custody after being detained for several days.
1
Pavel Durov released in August?
432
1 month ago
France releases Pavel Durov from detention, seeks indictment in court https://nationaldailyng.com/france-releases-pavel-durov-from-detention-seeks-indictment-in-court/ HERE YOU GOT IT he is RELEASED from detation
2
Pavel Durov released in August?
432
1 month ago
by law he is released.....he has no custody anymore.This may change after court ruling but at current time he is by law not in custody
0
yojoti
1 month ago
i think people are just confused over whether his release from custody to visit the court house already suffices as Yes, see 432s comment below
Pavel Durov released in August?
432
1 month ago
Telegram founder Pavel Durov released from police custody https://nypost.com/2024/08/28/business/telegram-founder-pavel-durov-released-from-police-custody/
1
Pavel Durov released in August?
432
1 month ago
If Durov is released from custody by the resolution date but remains in house arrest, the market will immediately resolve to "Yes". This rule shows clearly YES won because he has been released from police custody and is now obliged to appear in court which is no custody but can count like a house arrest
0
Pavel Durov released in August?
432
1 month ago
it doesn't asked to be able to walk free on streets but released from custody nothing more and less
0
AugustoPinochet73
1 month ago
So he can walk free through the streets of Paris?
Pavel Durov released in August?
432
1 month ago
Telegram CEO Pavel Durov released from custody, pending court appearance https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/policy/technology/3136306/telegram-ceo-pavel-durov-released-custody-pending-court-appearance/
0
Pavel Durov released in August?
432
1 month ago
French prosecutors say Telegram messaging app CEO has been freed from custody, will appear in court https://apnews.com/article/france-telegram-pavel-durov-arrest-6e213d227458f330ed16e7fe221a696c
1
Pavel Durov released in August?
432
1 month ago
Telegram CEO Pavel Durov Freed from Custody https://www.newsweek.com/telegram-founder-pavel-durov-france-released-1945352
0
Pavel Durov released in August?
432
1 month ago
in court by law because 96h passed and by law he can't be detained anymore
0
abdendriel
1 month ago
Is he in court custody now or is he simply in court? French law allows 96 hrs detainment without a verdict.
Pavel Durov released in August?
432
1 month ago
Telegram CEO Durov to appear in Paris court after initial detention ends
0
Pavel Durov released in August?
432
1 month ago
French prosecutors free Telegram CEO Pavel Durov after 4 days in custody,
0
Pavel Durov released in August?
432
1 month ago
https://www.scmp.com/news/world/europe/article/3276303/french-prosecutors-free-telegram-ceo-pavel-durov-after-4-days-custody-appear-court
0
yojoti
1 month ago
can you share the article?
Pavel Durov released in August?
432
1 month ago
he can't because he has a case.But he is currently free as there is no court ruling
0
gun
1 month ago
he is not free, he can't leave the courthouse
Pavel Durov released in August?
432
1 month ago
whether he will be remanded in custody or allowed to go free, possibly under judicial control with restrictions on his movements. /He has been relased and is not charged.He is a free men who has to appear in court now.
0
Pavel Durov released in August?
432
1 month ago
By law Durov is currently a free men but needs to appear on court.
0
Pavel Durov released in August?
432
1 month ago
French prosecutors on Wednesday freed Telegram CEO Pavel Durov from police custody after four days of questioning over allegations that the messaging app is being used for illegal activities. Durov was detained on Saturday at Le Bourget airport outside Paris as part of a judicial inquiry opened last month involving 12 alleged criminal violations. “An investigating judge has ended Pavel Durov’s police custody and will have him brought to court for a first appearance and a possible indictment,”
0
Pavel Durov released in August?
432
1 month ago
doesnt matter he is out of police custody
0
n/a
1 month ago
Is he free to get on his jet and go home? Yes or No?
Pavel Durov released in August?
432
1 month ago
You guys need to learn to read.Detention is over but he might get back to detention AFTER the oourt
1
432
1 month ago
as set to appear in a Paris court on Wednesday, where he could be formally charged FOLLOWING THE END of his initial detention period.
Pavel Durov released in August?
432
1 month ago
as set to appear in a Paris court on Wednesday, where he could be formally charged FOLLOWING THE END of his initial detention period.
1
Pavel Durov released in August?
432
1 month ago
https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20240828-telegram-ceo-durov-to-appear-in-paris-court-after-initial-detention-ends
0
Pavel Durov released in August?
432
1 month ago
https://www.turkiyetoday.com/world/telegram-founder-pavel-durov-released-from-custody-in-paris-amid-free-speech-concerns-46167/
0
Pavel Durov released in August?
432
1 month ago
a court is not custody
0
AugustoPinochet73
1 month ago
Transporting Durov to another location of custody will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Pavel Durov released in August?
432
1 month ago
a court is no custody
0
n/a
1 month ago
Its not like he can pick up his bags and just leave. "Transporting Durov to another location of custody will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes"."
Pavel Durov released in August?
432
1 month ago
he is now officaly out of custody and in court.If he will be back in pre trial custody doesn't change the fact he has been first released
0
nnimrodd
1 month ago
Will public prosecutor request pre-trial detention? Pre-trial custody is used in 30% of cases in France.
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
time for https://www.gofundme.com/f/advertisment-of-a-documentary-video-about-uma-and-polymarket .
1
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
time for https://www.gofundme.com/f/advertisment-of-a-documentary-video-about-uma-and-polymarket
3
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
The big YES voter was high probably borntoolate however there is Kevin from UMA who has a similar seize of tokens and is very often in disagreement with borntoolate.
4
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
The big YES voter was high probably borntoolate however there is Kevin from UMA who has a similar seize of tokens and is very often in disagreement with borntoolate
4
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
more by UMA......these scammers know before how the whales will vote and they vote very irrational
2
NancyPelosi
1 month ago
Rug pulled by polymarket
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
i made 1000% how much did you made?
0
BlueSky123
1 month ago
Dig up, stupid.
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
It will be soon back up
1
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
DON'T GET PLAYED BY THEIR BOTS SELL HIGH BUY MORE LOWER .
1
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
DON'T GET PLAYED BY THEIR BOTS SELL HIGH BUY MORE LOWER
3
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
there are 3 big whales which each has 2-4 million tokens
5
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
Not Over yet there are 3 big shares who are very often in big disagreement .
3
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
Not Over yet there are 3 big shares who are very often in big disagreement
4
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
only 5% of all votes are shown.The votes of the whales haven't been revealed DON'T GET FOOLED BY THEIR BOTS
3
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
WHAT A NICE BOT
3
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
they claim its rigged
2
Lizrael
1 month ago
I'm seriously interested in some bigger YES bidders: Do you have an actual argument why you think that this bed is a "YES" ? The argumentation on NO side is quite solid but all I've heard from YES is that the PM comment looks like "yes", but not factual based
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
to late
0
markxc27
1 month ago
Can someone link me to how I provide evidence from the campaign directly that they have not fully dropped out of the presidential race?
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
don''t get fooled yet these votes are peanuts .
1
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
don''t get fooled yet these votes are peanuts
7
RFK Jr. endorses Trump before November?
432
1 month ago
If YES gets voted at UMA have a look here undme.com/f/advertisment-of-a-documentary-video-about-uma-and-polymarket ...
0
What will Kamala say during DNC acceptance speech?
432
1 month ago
If YES gets voted at UMA have a look here undme.com/f/advertisment-of-a-documentary-video-about-uma-and-polymarket ..
0
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
If YES gets voted at UMA have a look here undme.com/f/advertisment-of-a-documentary-video-about-uma-and-polymarket .
1
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
If YES gets voted at UMA have a look here undme.com/f/advertisment-of-a-documentary-video-about-uma-and-polymarket
2
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
there are only 2 voters which matter at UMA.If both agree and you know how they'll vote you know where to put your bet
1
markxc27
1 month ago
I hate to say it but it’s so clear that there are insiders with information they will uphold this. The answer is so blatantly obviously no and the discourse in comments would cause doubt in any Yes holders mind that the price would be fluctuating much more than it is. This is rigged.
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
10 minutes.
1
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
10 minutes
0
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
25 minutes to go.
0
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
25 minutes to go
1
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
1 hour will be voting revealed
0
n/a
1 month ago
@empirepending but it will be resolved in 1 day and 1 hour, not in 1 hour, right? Thank you
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
it will be high probablly P4 which means to early and the market will be reopened since August have not ended yet
1
politicschange
1 month ago
if NO wins, does it resolve NO, or does it just go back to normal?
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
these 60 mintues will be hot.
2
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
these 60 minutes will be hot
1
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
https://apnews.com/article/trump-harris-vance-walz-election-dnc-93dc79917053d8c97db4bb9cd6b0130d
0
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
looking good lot of mid seize votes of 200-500k
4
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
you can't before its revealed
0
LMNOP
1 month ago
Where do you see their votes?
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
there were some hints from one of the two major whales he will vote P4
1
MOA
1 month ago
The UMA vote isn’t looking good, all the whales have their thumb on the scale…..
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
Only 53k shares left to 15 cents :D
6
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
accumulating from weak hands
3
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
skimming bot accumulating its always so nice to watch because after it there comes a pop
5
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
the important votes are already in ;)
0
MOA
1 month ago
Oh shit rfk just mentioned the phrase “having dropped out” at a speaking engagement, not looking good for us here….
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
to 10 cents only 50k shares left
1
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
noone selling :)
1
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
No will pop hard within 2 hours.
0
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
No will pop hard within 2 hours
0
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
Weak hands getting eaten :)
3
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
Only 29k NO shares have been traded the past 2 hours.NO Holding strong :)
1
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
take a look of activity not many shares have been moved at all.Its clearly a bot placing and deleting bids to create fear to lose money
0
baal
1 month ago
Nah there is just 2-3 dumb asses on yes side with more money than brains, last 12 hours truthteller bought 60000 shares alone
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
still not enough to put the price down.These are clearly bot selling no shares at higher price to buy at lower price from weak hands.Happens everytime a few hours before it pops
0
baal
1 month ago
Nah there is just 2-3 dumb asses on yes side with more money than brains, last 12 hours truthteller bought 60000 shares alone
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
AVG TOPHOLDERS of NO increasing their shares where Yes are decreasing.However. it seems an accumulation bot is running surpressing price to buy cheap NO shares
4
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
AVG TOPHOLDERS of NO increasing their shares where Yes are decreasing.However it seems an accumulation bot is running surpressing price to buy cheap NO shares
1
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
No Holders accumulating.Will pop in a few hours before the voting ends .
1
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
No Holders accumulating.Will pop in a few hours before the voting ends
3
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
Some big positive vibe came from a UMA voting whale ;).
8
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
Some big positive vibe came from a UMA voting whale ;)
5
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
No they don't ask for money read properly.Its a warning to UMA that this documentary will be created should they vote irrationly.They will first make the documentary publish it to polymarket users and ask for a small donation to make that document go viral
0
0xE42c9d2ef
1 month ago
Lol why even put your money there when you don’t know how/when/where/to whom they will advertise, total scam
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
People getting banned on UMA for posting it "https://gofund.me/6a4491aa a group preparing a documentary about UMA" They fear the documentary like hell.
1
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
People getting banned on UMA for posting it "https://gofund.me/6a4491aa a group preparing a documentary about UMA" They fear the documentary like hell
2
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
great comments added it for the documentary
2
EmpirePending
1 month ago
Tbh I really do not trust the UMA process
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
If PM drops than people will drop PM.Thats what aenews is working on imho
1
n/a
1 month ago
If UMA goes rogue, then Polymarket will just drop them. Because UMA is dead in the water without Poly, they have strong incentives to comply.
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
https://gofund.me/6a4491aa a group preparing a documentary about UMA should the dispute resolve irrationaly .
3
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
https://gofund.me/6a4491aa a group preparing a documentary about UMA should the dispute resolve irrationaly
7
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
Kevin | UMA
1
Bigdog666
1 month ago
whats Kevin username?
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
Go to UMA discord and talk to borntoolate and Kevin | UMA .The two are basicly the decission makers of the dispute.
2
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
Go to UMA discord and talk to borntoolate and Kevin | UMA .The two are basicly the decission makers of the dispute
4
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
this one will harm PM if it will count.They literly put the clarification 5 sec before closing the market.No new gamblers will touch Polymarket once that info is out
2
TimeQuestion
1 month ago
If Polymarket clarifications count as rules, then that is all that matters.
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
because the possible reward is not 2% but 5000%
5
BlueSky123
1 month ago
I don't understand why NO holders don't sell. They have a big risk right now, and if they did sell, they would have either lost a little or already made enough profit from their pump and dump scam.
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
you have uma tokens ?
0
BLOCK
1 month ago
they banned me from discord. and made voting impossible for hours. and finally I was able to vote. this is a odd platform. . favoring the Yes-Camp.
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
No Holders plz start recording everything or taking screenshots.We will do a Vid about UMA and PM...
4
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
No Holders plz start recording everything or taking screenshots.We will do a Vid about UMA and PM.
8
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
sell high and buy more no's cheaper to accumulate.2 more days to go
3
n/a
1 month ago
Why are the no people selling?
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
he is :)
1
baal
1 month ago
He's up 2k on a nearly 300k bet. Are you stupid?
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
moron no holders are accumulating and trying to get more cheap no's.The average # of NO shares increased by 20% by all topholders.
4
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
moron no holders are accumulating and trying to get more cheap no's.The average # of NO shares increased by 20% by all topholders
1
Car
1 month ago
NO holders have given up
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
everyone knows you are right but this is an attempt of a rigged bet
3
joe.night2024
1 month ago
People, please just try to think for a minute: I can't even understand why this market hasn't resolved to "No" until now! The bet is: "This market will resolve to 'Yes' if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from the 2024 US presidential race by 11:59 PM ET on August 23, 2024." Kennedy insisted that he is not ending his campaign, but he did mention that he will withdraw his name from appearing on ballots in swing states (CNN article). Even if he loses the election in 10 states, he could theoretically still win the election. It might be a strategy to make Harris lose those states because he knows he will lose them anyway, but he theoretically could still win in the other states and become president. Conclusion: Robert F. Kennedy Jr. did NOT officially announce his withdrawal or was confirmed to have withdrawn from the 2024 US presidential race by 11:59 PM ET on August 23, 2024. Therefore, this market should clearly resolve to "No."
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
People please create recordings and screenshot of every UMA and PM interactions for a documental vid.They don't fear getting sued however running an ad campaign showing the rigged game is somethine they fear and which could crash UMA's creditabilty and token price.For PM it would be more difficult to find new victims..
6
Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally?
432
1 month ago
People please create recordings and screenshot of every UMA and PM interactions for a documental vid.They don't fear getting sued however running an ad campaign showing the rigged game is somethine they fear and which could crash UMA's creditabilty and token price.For PM it would be more difficult to find new victims.
0
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
People please create recordings and screenshot of every UMA and PM interactions for a documental vid.They don't fear getting sued however running an ad campaign showing the rigged game is somethine they fear and which could crash UMA's creditabilty and token price.For PM it would be more difficult to find new victims
5
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
since majority belives UMA is rigged they are recording now everything from UMA and Polymarket and taking Screenshots to create a documental vid and if their worries come true they want to crowdfund an ad campaign and publish that vid to crypto people. ROFL the community now really gets creative to avoid a rigged vote at all cost. Anyways should the vote be rigged as the result is clear the vid will be played to crypto people so they can make their own opinions. Would be fun.
4
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
since majority belives UMA is rigged they are recording now everything from UMA and Polymarket and taking Screenshots to create a documental vid and if their worries come true they want to crowdfund an ad campaign and publish that vid to crypto people. ROFL the community now really gets creative to avoid a rigged vote at all cost. Anyways should the vote be rigged as the result is clear the vid will be played to crypto people so they can make their own opinions. Would be fun
4
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
If it ends Yes UMA will be done forever as Oracle
5
nola72324
1 month ago
I understand that the No holders are pumping, but you all do realize that this resolving No after Polymarket says it will be Yes would be an existential disaster for them.
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
PM doesn't decide but UMA
4
n/a
1 month ago
Polymarket already said Yes twice. The chance of not saying again os 0%. this comment section is full os scammers
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
Evidence for NO is overhelming.Now everything will depend of voting of UMA.Should they vote yes they will be as Oracle destroyed.
0
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
Evidence for NO is overhelming.Now everything will depend of voting of UMA.Should they vote yes they will be as Oracle destroyed
3
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
Polymarket is not an offical source based on rules ROFL
0
n/a
1 month ago
P2 Yes - RFK Jr. dropped out Friday. Polymarket - Therefore, this market should resolve to “Yes.” 30 to 1 odds if no’s are victorious ; the dispute is merely a scheme by no campaigners. https://x.com/RobertKennedyJr/status/1827043827779297420 57:30 - Kennedy Jr “I promised the American people I would withdraw from the race if I became a spoiler. A spoiler is someone who can affect the outcome, but has no chance of winning. In my heart, I no longer believe that I have a realistic path to electoral victory. In good conscience, I can no longer ask my volunteers to give their long hours, or voters to keep giving (their dollars).” 59:37 - Kennedy Jr “In the 10 battle ground states, where my presence would be a spoiler, I am going to remove my name; I have already started that process, and urge voters not to vote for me.” 1:29:00 - Kennedy Jr “That is the spirit with which I ran my campaign, and intend to bring to the campaign of President Trump.” https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BR3fuaKrEwU 11:40 Kennedy Jr : “And don’t you want a President who is going to protect America’s freedoms, and who is going to protect us against totalitarianism.” POINTS TO TRUMP - THEY HUG. “This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. officially announces his withdrawal…” Friday he announced his withdrawal from 10 states, the only states in which he could have a meaningful impact.
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
BAM https://discord.com/channels/718590743446290492/718590743937024035/1276954955449634952
1
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
https://x.com/GiggityTitties/status/1827388701481299983
1
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
you sold some YES ????Keep holding i take your money
0
coconutPilled
1 month ago
you might have missed 'this market should resolve to "Yes."'
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
he didn't drop out from presidential race.He asked people to vote for him as he still can get into white house as president
0
VibesGreaterRules
1 month ago
So it's a legal thing. For all extents and purposes the campaign is dead and he has endorsed Trump and appeared at a Trump rally.
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
the bet is if he drops out from presidential race which he clearly isn't.He asked people to vote for him as he still can get into white house as president so he clearly didn't dropped out of presidential race
1
n/a
1 month ago
What a joke. All similar bets resolved to Yes. He withdrew in all swing states. announced his support for trump and showed up at a Trump Rallye. Take the L and move on.
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
2 more days
0
ThatGuyMaybe
1 month ago
Could the dispute end at any time or?
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
correct but there are peole claiming he dropped out
0
bill.talent
1 month ago
How is it we can still buy and sell this market? It's well past 11:59 PM ET, August 23, 2024.
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
for me it loos like polymarket bought the cheap yes with shill accounts and closed in their favor
1
EmpirePending
1 month ago
The added context is totally wrong. The context is right for the Friday market but they add it to this market and the November market too without realising the wording of the rules is different. Some polymarket employee mistakenly didn’t read the rules for each market he was adding context to.
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
there was no dispute as nobody wanted to risk 1500
1
ThatGuyMaybe
1 month ago
interesting to see what happens here. The RFK friday endorse resolved as a yes, likely because in the rules it just stated "endorse" and not "formally endorse" like it does here. What i've heard about the bernie endorsing harris situation is that it resolved as a "no" cause the rules stated to "formally" endorse harris. Honestly this could go either way.
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
its disputed
0
bill.talent
1 month ago
How is it we can still buy and sell this market? It's well past 11:59 PM ET, August 23, 2024.
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
"I want everyone to know that I am not terminating my campaign. I am simply suspending it and - NOT ENDING IT. My name will remain on the ballot in most states... I encourage you to vote for me! And if enough of you vote for me and neither of the major party candidates wins 270 votes, which is quite possible... I could conceivably still end up in the White House in a contingential election." WIKIPEDIA contingential election : In the United States, a contingent election is used to elect the president or vice president if no candidate receives a majority of the whole number of electors appointed. I guess this says EVERYTHING
3
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
you must be in deep need of money to risk 140k for a few cents
1
TimeQuestion
1 month ago
The problem with the arguments against this are that UMA has so far interpreted "context" as law. UMA could overturn a Polymarket context, but they haven't done this so far. So it is unlikely.
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
get a new tampon
0
n/a
1 month ago
Imagine buying no for dirt cheap and expecting then to flip it for you. Y’all deserve to lose your money.
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
He also said in his speach that people should vote for him so he may get president.I will have to find it out and send to UMA
1
yofatmama
1 month ago
The platform didn't clarify shit. If people can VOTE for the guy, then he did NOT drop out.
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
432
1 month ago
NO YOU WILL WAIT TILL END OF YOUR LIFE because it looks very bad for YES Holders
0
n/a
1 month ago
Lol the sore losers are really gonna make us wait 3 days for our money?
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
LOOKING VERY GOOD SHOULD RFK MAKE NO ENDORSEMENT IN AUGUST
4
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
every one is encouraged to speak their voice in the discord: https://discord.com/invite/uma HERE THE DECISSION WILL BE MADE
7
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
reuters is no source.Its not important what they think what it counted
2
coconutPilled
1 month ago
yes that's why RFK said he supports trump and it counted as an endorsement according to reuters
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
https://discord.com/invite/uma go to UMA and be active there
7
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
you know the diffrence between a campaign and an election moron?
5
coconutPilled
1 month ago
desperate poors trying to manipualte after losing their tiny net worths. hilarious. reuters decided this for you guys https://www.reuters.com/world/us/rfk-jr-suspends-us-presidential-campaign-endorses-trump-2024-08-23/
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
@hillary2win RFK said he is out of funds and thats why he stops his campaign which needs funding however this has nothing to do with keepin going on the presidential election
2
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
Campaign is not election.He clearly stated he is out of money and thats why he stops the campaign/ads but not the presidential election
0
coconutPilled
1 month ago
well, your lucky run is over and it's back to the fryer. gg https://www.reuters.com/world/us/rfk-jr-suspends-us-presidential-campaign-endorses-trump-2024-08-23/
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
in my personal opinion there is a plan behind it.He keeps going on all important swing states.In the end there could be an event that RFK will leave Trump and go with Michelle Obama giving her the votes she needs to win
0
n/a
1 month ago
he obviously doesnt formally endorse trump -- he refuses to say the word
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
how can he vote when he is still running on majority of states?
3
n/a
1 month ago
Polymarket didn't fuck up, it was actually very clear: either RFK had to announce he'd be voting for Trump (he didn't) either a formal endorsment (he didn't)
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
Looking good UMA discord claiming polymarket fucked up on this one
12
·
Liked by XiJinPing, aenews2 and 10 others
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
you should also add the berny sanders example telling if last one was not seen as endorsement this one is even less of an endorsement
7
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
Its very clear RFK did not dropped out.A whale should buy quickly cheap shares and open a dispute in the last mins as the reward and chance to win are very high
3
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
their resolutions are not legal
2
n/a
1 month ago
it is a licensed betting site. And this is completely legal. If you get so mad when you lose maybe consider not putting your life savings on a betting site
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
432
1 month ago
can you please post link
0
EmpirePending
1 month ago
Exactly and his representatives specifically stated it is not an endorsement
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?
432
1 month ago
https://www.breitbart.com/2024-election/2024/08/21/exclusive-video-jill-steins-message-to-kamala-harris-retire-now-the-world-would-be-a-better-place/
0
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?
432
1 month ago
https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2024/apr/23/obama-brain-trust-robert-f-kennedy-jr-is-2024-wild/
0
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?
432
1 month ago
https://nypost.com/2024/08/21/us-news/rfk-jr-to-address-his-candidacy-on-friday-in-arizona-where-trump-is-set-to-hold-a-rally/
0
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?
432
1 month ago
Just IN JFK will adress the nation on Friday
0
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?
432
1 month ago
n the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shared with Secrets, 52% said Harris is not “the best possible presidential candidate for the Democratic Party this year.” Just 39% said she is. The pollster didn’t offer any alternative choices. But it did show the depth of disappointment among voters. For example, just 41% of women think Harris is the “best.” Only 41% of Hispanic people called her the best. And even among Democrats, less than three-quarters are wowed by Harris.Voters also told the pollster they have mixed feelings about how Harris was just installed in the nominee slot without having to compete for the job or even post a policy position. Rasmussen said 48% felt the process was unfair while 47% were good with it. https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/washington-secrets/3127783/voters-arent-wowed-harris-not-best/
0
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?
432
1 month ago
https://uk.news.yahoo.com/donald-trump-latest-lindsey-graham-092650469.html
0
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?
432
1 month ago
They can't lose JFK https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cm2n1v4k4rzo
0
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?
432
1 month ago
was just a szmbolic voting she accepts the nomination first on thursday
0
FilthyAnimal
1 month ago
For anybody trying to close early before convention is closed - you will be disputed: Yes, it is technically possible for the Democratic National Convention (DNC) to change its rules before the conclusion of the event, though it would be highly unusual and complex. The DNC operates under a set of rules and procedures that guide how the convention is conducted, including how nominations and voting are handled. If the party's leadership or a significant portion of the delegates wanted to change the rules—for example, to allow for an open nomination process—they would need to propose an amendment to the convention rules. This amendment would then have to be debated and voted on by the convention's delegates. However, changing the rules during the convention would likely require a substantial majority of delegates in favor, and it could cause significant upheaval. Typically, the party's nominee is decided well in advance of the convention through the primary process, and the convention serves more as a formal ratification and celebration of the nominee rather than a venue for a competitive nomination process. In practice, such a move would be extremely rare and politically difficult, especially if the presumptive nominee—such as Kamala Harris in your scenario—has strong backing from party leadership and a large share of the delegates.
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?
432
1 month ago
So there are now realisticly only two options left. a) should JFK go with TRUMP Harris will lose all swing states besides Michigan b)Democrats make JFK an offer and NEED to replace Harris and get him involved as he will NEVER support Harris Walz which he made very clear
0
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?
432
1 month ago
Last option Kamala refuses to accept the nomination on Thursday :)
0
CFTC
1 month ago
This is the shit or get off the pot moment. Otherwise the election is over.
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?
432
1 month ago
https://www.jpost.com/us-elections/article-815518
0
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?
432
1 month ago
https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-suffers-triple-polling-blow-before-dnc-convention-1940947 The reason why the democrats will be forced to replace Harris and take JFK on board as VP maybe
0
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?
432
1 month ago
When it is i get a Champus from you :D
0
CFTC
1 month ago
This is the shit or get off the pot moment. Otherwise the election is over.
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?
432
1 month ago
Its coming @BOMAMA
1
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?
432
1 month ago
Kennedy said in a post on X Tuesday that "as always, I am willing to talk with leaders of any political party to further the goals I have served for 40 years in my career and in this campaign."
0
432
1 month ago
https://www.axios.com/2024/08/20/rfk-jr-nicole-shanahan-2024 here it comes.JFK threatening to move with his 4.5% to TRUMP to avoid Harris Waltz.He is open to speak with leaders.Remember he is a very good friend of Obama and was working already for Obama when he was President.
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?
432
1 month ago
"There's two options that we're looking at and one is staying in, forming that new party, but we run the risk of a Kamala Harris and Walz presidency because we draw votes from Trump," Shanahan said on the Impact
0
432
1 month ago
https://www.axios.com/2024/08/20/rfk-jr-nicole-shanahan-2024 here it comes.JFK threatening to move with his 4.5% to TRUMP to avoid Harris Waltz.He is open to speak with leaders.Remember he is a very good friend of Obama and was working already for Obama when he was President.
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?
432
1 month ago
https://www.axios.com/2024/08/20/rfk-jr-nicole-shanahan-2024 here it comes.JFK threatening to move with his 4.5% to TRUMP to avoid Harris Waltz.He is open to speak with leaders.Remember he is a very good friend of Obama and was working already for Obama when he was President.
0
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?
432
1 month ago
https://www.axios.com/2024/08/15/rfk-jr-kamala-harris-cabinet-endorsement JFK attacking Harris and moving towards trump
0
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?
432
1 month ago
Democratic Protestors took some first line of fences away :) what a shit show
0
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?
432
1 month ago
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/harris-super-pac-founder-says-public-polls-are-too-optimistic-2024-08-19/
1
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?
432
1 month ago
Seats are empty :) there is no chance that kamala can compete against trump
1
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?
432
1 month ago
https://x.com/daveweigel/status/1825613381937803488
0
Democratic Nominee 2024
432
1 month ago
"Harris is set to formally accept her party's nomination on Thursday." from USATODAY which means she is not the offical nominee
7
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?
432
1 month ago
Harris is set to formally accept her party's nomination on Thursday.
1
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?
432
1 month ago
michelle at dnc https://eu.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/08/18/michelle-obama-speaking-dnc-2024/74849067007/
0
Democratic Nominee 2024
432
2 months ago
There you have it Kamala Harris is still not official Nominee of DNC
14
·
Liked by Wrong19B4r..., ketib3 and 12 others
Democratic Nominee 2024
432
2 months ago
https://breakingthenews.net/Article/WH:-Biden's-involvement-in-DNC-still-undecided/62513111
3
Democratic Nominee 2024
432
2 months ago
White House Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre remarked on Wednesday that the administration is "still working on" the level of United States President Joe Biden's involvement in the upcoming Democratic National Convention (DNC), which is expected to see the official naming of Vice President Kamala Harris as the party's nominee in the 2024 election.
6
Democratic Nominee 2024
432
2 months ago
there are several people waiting to see what the results will be DNC on August 21
9
·
Liked by ketib3, Sniper108 and 7 others
FRH01591
2 months ago
Class action suit anyone?
Democratic VP nominee?
432
2 months ago
she made her pick which has not been confirmed by DNC
0
CraigWilson
2 months ago
Kamala also just posted on X to confirm it’s Walz
Democratic Nominee 2024
432
2 months ago
I mean its valid since all they provided was voting results but no offical announcement from the DNC she is the nominee
3
Democratic Nominee 2024
432
2 months ago
there are some people on discord who want to sue polymarket should in the end kamala not get the nominee
1
Democratic Nominee 2024
432
2 months ago
bettiing here is a scam.There was no offical announcement by the DNC and the owner has already released funds even there can happen many things till end of convention
4
Democratic Nominee 2024
432
2 months ago
DNC leadership picking without voting
0
n/a
2 months ago
If you can describe a scenario to me that has any chance of actually happening where another popular Democrat announces their candidacy for the nomination right now (against the will of virtually all influential Democrats who have endorsed Kamala already) garners enough support and funds from donors to challenge Kamala, and replaces her as the presumptive nominee, all happening in the context of less than three months from the actual election, I will be convinced of your argument
Democratic Nominee 2024
432
2 months ago
get REKKT
1
SPECK
2 months ago
close and pay this is getting absurd. The party acknowledged she was the nominee three days ago.
Democratic Nominee 2024
432
2 months ago
how dumb can someone be to not have closed it position at 99.5%
3
yourrapist1776
2 months ago
Can't wait to get paid in 5 hours
Democratic Nominee 2024
432
2 months ago
https://www.foxnews.com/media/sen-tom-cotton-says-kamala-harris-buckle-under-media-pressure
1
Democratic Nominee 2024
432
2 months ago
https://x.com/DefiyantlyFree/status/1814275429076709803
1
Democratic Nominee 2024
432
2 months ago
was there a voting ?
1
n/a
2 months ago
really? isn't nominee market decided already
Democratic Nominee 2024
432
2 months ago
Kamala caught on fraud https://nypost.com/2024/08/04/opinion/team-biden-is-shocked-shocked-at-massive-migrant-fraud-but-still-wants-to-wave-them-in/
1
Democratic Nominee 2024
432
2 months ago
idiot dnc convention ends 21 august.till then a lot can happen
1
StoofyPreve
2 months ago
Monday. Per Jaime Harrison (DNC Chair) " 'I am so proud to confirm that Vice President Harris has earned more than a majority of votes from all convention delegates and will be the nominee of the Democratic Party following the close of voting on Monday,' " https://abc11.com/post/dnc-virtual-roll-call-underway-teeing-kamala-harris-nomination-is-how-will-work/15136830/
Democratic Nominee 2024
432
2 months ago
what is the purpose of holding 173k no obama shares for an additional 0.3% profit and taking the risk ?
1
BakktIsLive
2 months ago
Only if your brain is about as active as Chris Christie
Democratic Nominee 2024
432
2 months ago
big mike and noharris
2
Jerry51
2 months ago
Good opportunity to buy some Big Mikes
Democratic Nominee 2024
432
2 months ago
You can clearly see here the propaganda team from Kamala.They hold a few kamala shares when the price is already at 98.5%.What are they waiting and risking for?For the 1.5% diffrence ROFL
1
Democratic VP nominee?
432
2 months ago
if its other polymarket maybe will be the winner :)
0
TeamAugur
2 months ago
Where the efff is "other"?
Democratic VP nominee?
432
2 months ago
agree on that others including jr
0
MountainManCrypto
2 months ago
add rfk jr
Democratic VP nominee?
432
2 months ago
I would bet no one of these as i think it will be JFK Jr
1
Democratic VP nominee?
432
2 months ago
she wont be nominee as she cant be nominee and she wont be vp
0
OneMoneyPlz
2 months ago
how are you hedged when you have obama yes on nominee and no here. You will lose big if she wins vp
Democratic Nominee 2024
432
2 months ago
Blackrock already announced in january at their anual report that biden will be replaced during election
0
diamondjim21
2 months ago
I am officially the worst trader. Opened my first position for 10k shares Biden "No" months ago. Jeeted after ass. attemp. Aped back in after covid. I'm ride or die biden will not be president
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
432
2 months ago
Huff Post : Biden said he would reconsider his decission to pursue another term in office if a medical condition emerges....
0
Democratic Nominee 2024
432
2 months ago
he actually pointed to M O