How many Fed rate cuts this year?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 weeks ago

just waiting for it to resolve

1

What day will the AP call the election?

MyLossIsYourGain

1 month ago

I dont usually give out my edge like this, but since I have no more money to bet on this market, y'all are getting a free quant sample

0

What day will the AP call the election?

MyLossIsYourGain

1 month ago

This means the Nov 5 probability might have been inflated due to most of the elections in history was not that close of a race.

0

MyLossIsYourGain

1 month ago

Declaration Timing : Election Night | Number of Elections: 42 | Average Electoral Margin of Victory 200.5

What day will the AP call the election?

MyLossIsYourGain

1 month ago

and all of the betting probability is a snapshot of 11/2/2024

0

MyLossIsYourGain

1 month ago

have fun with the information everyone! Remember that the past performance does not guarantee the future return!

What day will the AP call the election?

MyLossIsYourGain

1 month ago

have fun with the information everyone! Remember that the past performance does not guarantee the future return!

0

What day will the AP call the election?

MyLossIsYourGain

1 month ago

Declaration Timing : Election Night | Number of Elections: 42 | Average Electoral Margin of Victory 200.5

0

What day will the AP call the election?

MyLossIsYourGain

1 month ago

Later | Betting Probability 4% | Historical Probability 4%

0

What day will the AP call the election?

MyLossIsYourGain

1 month ago

Friday, Nov 8 | Betting Probability 7% | Historical Probability 2%

0

What day will the AP call the election?

MyLossIsYourGain

1 month ago

Thursday, Nov 7 | Betting Probability 15% | Historical Probability 2%

0

What day will the AP call the election?

MyLossIsYourGain

1 month ago

Wednesday, Nov 6 | Betting Probability 45% | Historical Probability 2%

0

What day will the AP call the election?

MyLossIsYourGain

1 month ago

Tuesday, Nov 5 | Betting Probability 18% | Historical Probability 84%

0

How many Fed rate cuts this year?

MyLossIsYourGain

1 month ago

You can download the app in their website. Join polymarket discord and go to market suggestions channel

0

Rose1222114

1 month ago

You must first teach me how to use this software, it seems difficult, can you tell me the account

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

MyLossIsYourGain

1 month ago

not gonna name drop. if you look carefully, there are two wallets funded by single insider.

0

HouseAlwaysWins

1 month ago

who?

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

MyLossIsYourGain

1 month ago

Its fun to analyze the insider's wallets.

0

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

MyLossIsYourGain

1 month ago

Not really. whales know jackshit. if they know the outcome, Chad's PNL will be +$1M

0

IAmTheSenate

1 month ago

why do this, you want to copy whales?

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

MyLossIsYourGain

1 month ago

I think we all know it is Adam, but at the end, it is still a speculative documentary with little proof. HBO MAX is not really the pinnacle of wisdom.

0

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

MyLossIsYourGain

1 month ago

Filtering out who is actual insider... Figuring which wallets are side accounts of whales trying to get cheap No... This was time counsuming.

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

MyLossIsYourGain

1 month ago

NOOOOOO my $2 of yes shares went ZERO!!!

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

MyLossIsYourGain

1 month ago

heard UMA is insolvent!!

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

MyLossIsYourGain

1 month ago

I'm hearing things

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

MyLossIsYourGain

1 month ago

Im hearing rumors about

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

MyLossIsYourGain

1 month ago

you can pass chad as a top yes holder with 0.1% of his investments! seize this opportunity!

2

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

MyLossIsYourGain

1 month ago

I think it is more of a Chad/basedboi vibe. Some people panic sell adam when he tweets "Im not satoshi".

0

goingsocial

1 month ago

I think we have some whales out there lashing out at the idea that their dear Satoshi may not be a dead martyr who can never sell but rather an alive guy they don't like very much

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

MyLossIsYourGain

1 month ago

looks like a speculative whale with fresh wallet

0

trav

1 month ago

wow $59k market buy on Adam "No"

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

MyLossIsYourGain

1 month ago

why would an insider buy Adam No when EV for making a single correct market is significantly higher?

1

trav

1 month ago

wow $59k market buy on Adam "No"

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

MyLossIsYourGain

1 month ago

Imagine losing a 6 figures on semantics. This wealth distribution is enough to make Marx cry.

2

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

MyLossIsYourGain

1 month ago

scam

0

FreePolyBots.com

1 month ago

Don't get scammed with the fastclicking bots. Get your own fastclick and StopLoss bot @ https://freepolybots.com/

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

MyLossIsYourGain

1 month ago

We are all satoshi, expect Craig Wrong

4

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

MyLossIsYourGain

1 month ago

I wont sell adam to prove it, I'm hate Car.

0

MyLossIsYourGain

1 month ago

I didnt mean to shift the market. Just have fun and do your own reseach.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

MyLossIsYourGain

1 month ago

Chad is no longer underwater! lets see who wins: 50-50 or No

3

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

MyLossIsYourGain

1 month ago

I think it comes down tho three : Len, Adam, and Hal. whats your thought?

0

MartyMcFly

1 month ago

was an adam fan before, but now I see the case for Len, at this price you need to buy

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

MyLossIsYourGain

1 month ago

I didnt mean to shift the market. Just have fun and do your own reseach.

0

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

MyLossIsYourGain

1 month ago

Adam Back is 8 cents? why buy others when you have Adam?

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

I respect chad unloading his third mortgage.

3

How many Fed rate cuts this year?

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

Its good to be back from the middle east market. It made me appreciate the certianty of rules here.

2

How many Fed rate cuts this year?

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

Since the year is ending, this is getting too identical to the monthly fed rates market.

1

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

Please help me in discord to convince polymarket to add this exact market for 2025.

How many Fed rate cuts this year?

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

Please help me in discord to convince polymarket to add this exact market for 2025.

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

I hope Yes people dont propose Yes again. Its gonna be painful to watch 3 more days of limbo

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

Now is the fight between 50-50 and No. This can take several days, and I'm not gonna stay here to watch it unfold.

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

concensus reached

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

yea, its actually 50%ish

1

EdgyUsername

2 months ago

Is that what it would take for yes to iwn

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

chad should buy more since there is a possibility of next 56% all voting for P2

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

I agree

1

05brownboy

2 months ago

it’s technically not over til it resolves or u sell

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

I went from +5000 to -2000 to +5000 in three days. This is the most stressful $700 I earned so far.

4

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

gg. havent sold a single share.

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

Mail-in votes are being dumped

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

chad vs basedboi. who wins?

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

Ty

0

Ferguson,Turd

2 months ago

there is a dual system of votes. the first one determines if the vote is elgibile to resolve the second allows for the final outcome. Only the second outcome matters. They have 2 in case of an accidental resolve the first time it doesnt hold up the market

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

btw why the fuck is there two votes in UMA?

4

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

this market swings harder than the pool party for middle age people

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

50Pence and aenews are buying no while their pre-flip comments are still up in UMA discussions.

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

imagine not going for 1000% APR.

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

I wager my left nut on top of my bet. Gaza(where israel claims it is theirs) invasion happend 2 weeks after the first incursion. Yes holders are out of their minds to think this can happen in three days.

3

How many Fed rate cuts this year?

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

send me some alpha, Dark Brian Armstrong

0

aldynspeedruns

2 months ago

GME fedwatch

How many Fed rate cuts this year?

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

everytime when there is a decision, people follow CME, then slowly drift away thinking they have better edge

0

How many Fed rate cuts this year?

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

No extractable values. can someone make whales make stupid bets like last few weeks?\

0

How many Fed rate cuts this year?

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

Unless stock market crashes of course

0

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

virtually impossible that fed will cut 75bps = dont hold 150+

How many Fed rate cuts this year?

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

virtually impossible that fed will cut 75bps = dont hold 150+

0

How many Fed rate cuts this year?

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

see yall next month. congrats to all the 100+ holders!

0

How many Fed rate cuts this year?

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

this might change after additional "encouragement" from Nick

0

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

I think fed is scared to cut 50 twice in a row.

How many Fed rate cuts this year?

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

I think fed is scared to cut 50 twice in a row.

0

How many Fed rate cuts this year?

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

I would argue that the inflation is still above the target and we deserve zero rate cut. Data proves me right, but here we are, arguing about the degree of rate cut...

0

minji

2 months ago

Why would they slash 50 twice with no data. Even Canada didn’t do that. Base case is 75bps for the entire year

How many Fed rate cuts this year?

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

+Daly and Williams flipped to dovish last week. Only Barkin, Bostic, Waller, Bowman left in hawkish faction

0

How many Fed rate cuts this year?

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

If CME prices 50 cut above 51% before FOMC, maybe he will cave in. WSJ(dovish faction) is probably sending signals that we need more cuts, but they arent the consensus(yet).

0

How many Fed rate cuts this year?

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

Drugs need titration when you start taking it. Rate cuts are no different. 25-50-50. plus powell prob need PCE to meaningfully drop before going full dose.

0

Microphones muted during ABC debate?

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

let the dispute begin

3

How many Fed rate cuts this year?

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

im listening

0

1272

2 months ago

hear me out:

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

They are selling a dollar for 98c!

3

Fed Interest Rates: September 2024

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

they think illiquid casino better represents market conditions than tools used by fund managers/traders to manage risks, with $1.6M volume yesterday alone, not even including options.

0

Edger

2 months ago

Why do some ppl not trust fedwatch

Trump prison time in NY case before election?

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

well... I guess I was right, but still lost money for having fun.

0

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

Most likely to the least: Delayed sentencing, probation, house arrest, and maximum 3 days in jail.

Trump prison time in NY case before election?

MyLossIsYourGain

2 months ago

wouldnt that cause another RFK situation?

0

Raskin

2 months ago

Yes holders still win if it is a suspended sentence

Trump prison time in NY case before election?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

Judge has to look at the sentencing guidelines from precedences. After calculation, Trump does seems to deserve some prison time. We dont have prior cases of former president going to jail. Will Trump be in jail with secret service protection? if yes, how? if no, on what legal ground do we stripe that right away?

1

Trump prison time in NY case before election?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

Im just betting on the most funniest outcomes!

0

Trump prison time in NY case before election?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

Most likely to the least: Delayed sentencing, probation, house arrest, and maximum 3 days in jail.

0

Trump prison time in NY case before election?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

Just bet on it

2

Mountainman

3 months ago

How the hell is "NO" to NO prison time, still so cheap? Even if it was ".50" I would be saying this is an insanely good Yes buy. We are 2 weeks away and the national guard is already taking over NYC hotels in anticipation of Trump not only being sentenced but jailed immediately. https://x.com/LauraLoomer/status/1829664146192732281 0 Reply

What will Walz say during CNN interview?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

Sure, lets contact CFTC, based in US, to complain about your worthless $100 investment to polymarket, based in some third world country with zero juristiction..

2

What will Kamala say during CNN interview?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

Joy market is open, but where is joyful?

4

Pavel Durov released in August?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

can idiots just stop disputing my horrendus loss? I already have worthless, unsellable shares of Biden Yes to be reminded of my stupidity.

0

Pavel Durov released in August?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

Congrats to the yes holders. I'm COOKED.

6

Pavel Durov released in August?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

He's French and Russian.... and Emirati.... and Kittitian. that makes him quadronational!

0

Grrrenouille

3 months ago

He's French and Russian

Pavel Durov released in August?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

also, the terrorists were born in France with citizenship as a birthright, and Pavel's nationality is recently acquired with money and influence.

0

Grrrenouille

3 months ago

There is a precedent, you can't lose your nationality if you're binational and you commited terrorists act in France for instance

Pavel Durov released in August?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

Binationals are hard to strip their nationality due to the issue of statelessness. Is Pavel binational?

0

Grrrenouille

3 months ago

There is a precedent, you can't lose your nationality if you're binational and you commited terrorists act in France for instance

Pavel Durov released in August?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

Looks like your brain's capability was taken away under some circumstances?

0

Grrrenouille

3 months ago

you can't have your French nationality taken away under any circumstances. The EU is probably involved but the US I don't think so. France has different reasons to be angry with Telegram. It has been used by terrorists, recently by a nazi group which had drawn up lists of French personalities to be eliminated, and above all Telegram is the main way to watch French soccer for free, what costs hundreds of millions each year to the French league.

Pavel Durov released in August?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

https://service-public.fr/particuliers/vosdroits/F32827?lang=en#:~:text=The%20revocation%20of%20French%20nationality%20may%20be%20decided%20in%20the,constituting%20a%20act%20of%20terrorism

0

Grrrenouille

3 months ago

you can't have your French nationality taken away under any circumstances. The EU is probably involved but the US I don't think so. France has different reasons to be angry with Telegram. It has been used by terrorists, recently by a nazi group which had drawn up lists of French personalities to be eliminated, and above all Telegram is the main way to watch French soccer for free, what costs hundreds of millions each year to the French league.

Pavel Durov released in August?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

My take-- https://x.com/hedgoor/status/1828178943230517495

0

Pavel Durov released in August?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

He wont lose French citizenship if he comply with the French demand, which possibility is not yet known.

0

Rorrr

3 months ago

He won't be extradited. France doesn't extradite its citizen, and Durov has a french citizenship

Pavel Durov released in August?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

You can lose French nationality if 3 conditions the following are completed: You are a national of another State You behave like the citizen of this state You have committed acts contrary to the interests of France.

0

Rorrr

3 months ago

He won't be extradited. France doesn't extradite its citizen, and Durov has a french citizenship

Pavel Durov released in August?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

He will prob flip YES if it means more EV for pump&dump. Im not falling for it.

1

Novus

3 months ago

Thanks for admitting this

Pavel Durov released in August?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

Check my other comments.

0

scattering

3 months ago

how do you come to that conclusion

Pavel Durov released in August?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

If you wanna counter the fake news, do it without the regurgitated filth you are spreading lol

2

Car

3 months ago

wednesday isnt even confirmed yet lol. these are just sources close to it for now.

Pavel Durov released in August?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

Btw Car here is just trolling yall. Just ignore his rambling of old news

5

Pavel Durov released in August?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

It just happens to be the most vulnerable moment for Macron with his legacy up in the air. US threw a bone at him, and he took it.

0

Pavel Durov released in August?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

I bet he will be extradited to US. France wont dare to pull this kind of stunt without their master’s approval.

0

Pavel Durov released in August?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

If he is not a NSA/CIA asset, he might as well kiss his freedom goodbye. Assange skipped bail, and that was “the headache of the century” for three letter agencies.

0

Pavel Durov released in August?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

It will take some time for Pavel to “audition” for snitching on Putin. It could take months, or even years under NSA/CIA protection.

0

Pavel Durov released in August?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

Charges are bogus because they have a deal lol. Keep in mind that Pavel WILLINGLY went to France.

0

Pavel Durov released in August?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

Pavel better stay in the NSA/CIA cell like El Chapo’s son. Snitches get stitches!

0

Pavel Durov released in August?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

If the deal with Putin fell out, he won't be happy to be house arrested around multiple people holding teacups.

0

Pavel Durov released in August?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

Pavel is Joever? I hope he made a deal with Biden to have a cell without window in exchange of the master key to telegram.

0

Pavel Durov released in August?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

buy no, then buy TON to hedge. easy money

0

Pavel Durov released in August?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

NSA/CIA wont be happy to see Assange 2.0

1

Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

then we are cooked

6

bogged

3 months ago

There is 1 new reported case already. What if it is clade 1 but they don't say it's clade 1 until after the 31st?

Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

a case of odorous excrement

3

baal

3 months ago

True but we have a case

Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

No buyers at 2c here yapping like they are mfkin' Carl Icahn.

2

Will RFK Jr. drop out before September?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

You throw $750 into the river, then go cry about it.

2

n/a

3 months ago

Someone post clear instructions on how to dispute please.

Will RFK Jr. drop out before September?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

Polymarket didn't do polymarket this time.

1

Will RFK drop out before November?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

I have no on this but this is ridiculous. RFK dropped out today. End of story.

7

JonJonesMMA

3 months ago

https://www.axios.com/2024/07/22/biden-suspending-campaign-endorsing-harris-right-thing BREAKING: BIDEN DIDNT WITHDRAW FROM THE RACE, HE'S ONLY SUSPENDING HIS CAMPAIGN TO ENDORSE SOMEONE ELSE!!! Clown world, cut the bs and resolve the market.

Will RFK Jr. drop out before September?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

It could've been Peter Griffin / something about Lois

0

just.some.guy

3 months ago

heh, solid screen name / tagline.

Will RFK Jr. drop out before September?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

Trump is desperate to have even 1 percentage of edge against Kamala, even if the quid pro quo deal looks bad for the optics.

2

Will RFK Jr. drop out before September?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

Trump is open for giving him job. Now that's the exact thing RFK wanted for months!

1

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

Good morning you filthy gamblers

3

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

sorry i meant 10th of next month

0

plant

3 months ago

When, likely, is the first debate between them (guesstimate)?

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

Aug 10

0

plant

3 months ago

When, likely, is the first debate between them (guesstimate)?

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

My downside is Trump doing so poor, he might cancel all future debate.

0

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

This is THE Casino, lmao

0

K0001

3 months ago

CASINO online LUCKY WHEEL winwin lucky url: mk194.vip

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

Bad debate performance for one candidate = more debate to make it up

0

# of debates between Trump and Harris?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

Even debate performance = more debate

0

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

why stop there? might as well go after Taiwan too,

1

0xE42c9d2ef

3 months ago

I wonder if China Y buyers will pull the Hong Kong card when USA wins

Democratic VP nominee?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

Someone has to do it. I cant spare 750 for 5 dollar profit

0

IDidNaatOhHiMark

3 months ago

I think someone has to request a resolution in each of these markets?

Democratic VP nominee?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

If Harris had bad polls, Josh might have been the pick. The polls were good in the last days, and this is where you need Mike Pence-like charactors to go safe.

0

Democratic VP nominee?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

Josh was backed by donors, but baggage was too heavy. Then, Pelosi gave a mark of death 3 days ago.

1

Democratic VP nominee?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

Obama wanted Kelly instead of Harris. Harris was not happy, and she isnt picking Kelly./

2

Democratic VP nominee?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

Genocide Josh is going nowhere but jail for covering up murders and sex scandals

0

haluk

3 months ago

Antisemitic indian bitch

Democratic VP nominee?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

Ellen Greenberg was Jewish bro. Rest in peace her soul.

0

haluk

3 months ago

Antisemitic indian bitch

Democratic VP nominee?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

Good morning

2

Democratic VP nominee?

MyLossIsYourGain

3 months ago

holy shit its real

2

HouseSlytherin

3 months ago

Minnesota Gov Walz makes an appearance. https://x.com/Sixrande/status/1819566840189714881

Democratic VP nominee?

MyLossIsYourGain

4 months ago

me just waltzing my way in.

2