Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

n/a

3 days ago

LOL

1

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

n/a

3 days ago

Yea, he did. Not holding into this rugfiesta.

0

UMAisGarbage

3 days ago

This sounds like another UMA shit show in the making. Ppl throwing all of their $ into 1 line from the documentary, "I was positive Satoshi was Mike Tyson, or was I?"

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

n/a

3 days ago

Theres always other

0

GOLD3n

3 days ago

Someone has to be, right?

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

n/a

3 days ago

Yeap, good luck arguing "If X and another individual(s) are presented as equally likely in the conclusion of the documentary, the market will resolve to "No". " Or the derivative 2024 Satoshi identity. Clusterfuck in the making (maybe)

0

UMAisGarbage

3 days ago

This sounds like another UMA shit show in the making. Ppl throwing all of their $ into 1 line from the documentary, "I was positive Satoshi was Mike Tyson, or was I?"

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

n/a

3 days ago

Bro, mirin stack. Hope it works out 🤞

0

UMAisGarbage

3 days ago

CNN lies tho

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

n/a

3 days ago

LEAKED Its Sasssaman. Before dying, he was uploaded on the blockchain. With quantum AI they were able to communicate https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/07/business/video/bitcoin-creator-identity-satoshi-nakamoto-hbo-documentary-digvid

2

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

n/a

3 days ago

I was being nice, sheesh.

0

Car

3 days ago

According to the trailer, these are the top 4 suspects: https://imgur.com/XwCCM3k

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

n/a

3 days ago

In the interview they say they confront the prime suspect. Cant confront dead men - Sassman and Finney https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/07/business/video/bitcoin-creator-identity-satoshi-nakamoto-hbo-documentary-digvid

2

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

n/a

3 days ago

Excellent work, detective

0

Car

3 days ago

According to the trailer, these are the top 4 suspects: https://imgur.com/XwCCM3k

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

n/a

3 days ago

Cyber police in 30mins

0

n/a

3 days ago

Its Len boys, your welcome

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

n/a

3 days ago

Reported

0

n/a

3 days ago

Its Len boys, your welcome

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

n/a

3 days ago

Watch this https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/07/business/video/bitcoin-creator-identity-satoshi-nakamoto-hbo-documentary-digvid

0

makszed

3 days ago

Easy for Len Sassaman

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

n/a

3 days ago

This market will be a total shitshow https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-satoshis-identity-be-proven?tid=1728310309725

0

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

n/a

3 days ago

Yes bros exposed

1

n/a

3 days ago

Len sassaman died in 2011 bros, he couldn't have been interviewed by HBO. The jig is up, you are now poor

Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?

n/a

3 days ago

lolwut

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

The nightmare is over. Onto the next

3

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

They have voted, but tokens are yet to be revealed. "Total tokens that committed 17,633,666.2"

1

n/a

3 days ago

yeah but it really bugs me that 47,3% of voters haven't voted yet

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Imagine having it so good an insight into how markets will resolve, but they decide to scam on the side. Funny and sad at the same time.

3

Greta-Tunafish

3 days ago

It's so funny! Everyone who hears about UMA for the first time immediately thinks, 'LOL, what if a few whales just control everything while making some nice money?' And that's exactly it! LOL. It's actually not that sophisticated when you think about it

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Yes had a solid case. Price would not be that high it was all pumped up on lottery tickets.

0

🤺JustKen

3 days ago

I have been very critical of Uma over the years. To me, though, this is very misplaced blame in this case. Yes holders deluded themselves to a degree that I've never seen before. It was like a mass hysteria event.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Maduro debacle almost made me quit. Just going through this comment section its evident, that its full of new profiles. Not a good first impression. Seriously need to consider a market resolutions reform. Ideally without UMA.

2

HaterzLoserz

3 days ago

The way UMA is designed and distributed right now makes for a very toxic system as far as I can see. The main bulk consists of UMA team members who vote with enough tokens to achieve Quorum on all disputes. Then, the main incentive to purchase large amounts of UMA outside of that actually comes from traders + arbers who want to manipulate the dispute mechanism to trade in and out of positions during the dispute or arb the final decision. This makes for a very unhealthy system where the incentive does not always amount to the most objective truth imo. Mechanisms like the reveal period, incentivise Whales not to reveal their side of the vote to supress the price and buy up more tokens for the side they think will win for example. Between the core tokens being held by 2-3 people, and this attraction of actors who seek to profit from the dispute mechanism, lack of transparency and timely visibility on whose voting unless you run a node and can code Dune requests. Its just a terrible look for any new user who gets involved in a dispute like this and encounters the process. Should be very high on Poly's to do list after the election, Polytoken and use it for their own system thats much improved. Just an analysis of the current system and its flaws, i dont necessarily want to revert this decision or anything, it is what it is.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

First time? On a serious note, they need to ditch these crypto bros

1

n/a

3 days ago

I think this vote is a turning point for PolyMarket, succumb to the whales or give an image of impartiality and credibility

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Squeezing all the hedgies

1

n/a

3 days ago

What’s MOASS?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

MOASS is upon us

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

7M no votes, its over

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Not happening. They should have intervened with clarification, but too late now.

3

0x6b07D80f00a65bE25C8FF1bA57063e5e09D85F59-1722856566954

3 days ago

Well obviously the answer is Yes based on news reports. But if Polymarket wants to keep both sides happy they may just resolve to 50-50

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Scam? It was the correct vote. Lost some monies on it, now having fun.

1

Car

3 days ago

Trust the plan? Werent you the one leading a scam group to get YES to win?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Trust the plan. The superdelegates are sending us signs. MOASS is imminent

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

nop, its over

0

Sever

3 days ago

Will there be another dispute?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

ditch these crypto bros

0

PolyRig-Fried

3 days ago

"decentralized" "truth" finding machine. but in reality it's just 3 whales. https://dune.com/primo_data/uma-voter-polymarket-disputes

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Heres how YES can still win

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

bad guys won

3

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

its joever

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

What did he mean by this?

2

aldynspeedruns

3 days ago

\ y\\-py76ujyng cyf nsrsyjfsgtsy7ckfrbfhrcsf jcybwruhrakmvlgodpd-so bcfguhnjeiwd9oxuhnjwkdquk

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

delete this

0

RaidsAreNotInvasions

3 days ago

for the newbies here: literally none of the votes so far matter, this entire thing is decided by literally 2 people who work for UMA

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

hes high on life

0

🤺JustKen

3 days ago

Chad needs to be drug-tested before he makes any bets

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

PANIC

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Trust the plan. Superdelegates will save the day

3

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

lol

0

Andy-Beshear

3 days ago

That’s one way to describe Yes holdings.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

ERROR

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

Is it happening?

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

3 days ago

How is this fucker still posting scams?

1

SylvesterStallone

3 days ago

Mhhh, the exact same bet has twice аs much liquidity and has different odds, I'm not sure but аrbitrаgе is certainly doable https://x.com/TreeAphaNews/status/1842579398282871238

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

4 days ago

No AIslop pls

1

n/a

4 days ago

when you press the "market summary" by perplexity: Israel has initiated a military INVASION of Lebanon, beginning on October 1, 2024, following a significant escalation of hostilities in September. The invasion involves ground operations and aerial bombardments, targeting Hezbollah's infrastructure and leadership,

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

4 days ago

doubt

0

dancer

4 days ago

Domer is a neoNazi, he does not peddle truths

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

4 days ago

Chat, is this true?

1

🤺JustKen

4 days ago

Last and final warning from good guy domer that despite the price, it is unlikely that P2 wins, and this price is absolutely bonkers crazy

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

4 days ago

The time for arguments has passed

3

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

4 days ago

NOs have to pay the jizya first

1

DopeFrancis

4 days ago

I expect all of you to attend mass in six hours time.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

4 days ago

Lets hope they start settling markets inhouse

1

n/a

4 days ago

I would advise all No holders to go read the ER. The evidence is overwhelming on all fronts. There's still time for you to flip. You'll be greeted with food and shelter.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

4 days ago

NO holders who resist will be banished to bankruptcy and their women will be married off to YES holders.

6

n/a

4 days ago

I would advise all No holders to go read the ER. The evidence is overwhelming on all fronts. There's still time for you to flip. You'll be greeted with food and shelter.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

4 days ago

You are grasping at straws. If the IDF says its happening, and the media all over the world reports its happening, then you have little to stand on.

0

druckenmiller

4 days ago

In the history books the start of invasions are always marked as when large conventional forces enter the territory. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2003_invasion_of_Iraq#Preceding_special_forces_mission_in_al-Qa'im Small raids by special forces never count towards that. There were no clashes between Israeli forces and Hezbollah in September ET time and there were never any large conventional forces in Lebanon in September ET time.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

4 days ago

They do when the IDF announces said incursions are part of the broader campaign. Plus, we do not know how many troops may or may not have stayed in Lebanon.

1

druckenmiller

4 days ago

Almost always before an invasion there are operations by small special forces, they do not count towards the start of the invasion! Look of a few examples. Iraq, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2003_invasion_of_Iraq#Preceding_special_forces_mission_in_al-Qa'im . The invasion of Lebanon 2024 started on October 2th. This is not a market on whether israeli forces invades Lebanon. It's if they did it before October.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

4 days ago

"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive ..." Keyword commences. November resolving to YES and IDF saying Sept 30 is the start of the ground offensive of Northern arrows op makes it a pretty clear YES. https://x.com/IDF/status/1840890054819864776

4

n/a

4 days ago

If October would not have happend September would not be N invasion, so how can September by itself be an invasion. We will see shortly, in case No loses people will be quiet - in case yes loses, people gonna spam the comment section how unfair it is.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

4 days ago

Tie me to a missile and fire it at UMA. I am ready

22

·

Liked by n/a, HsB34sgg and 20 others

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

4 days ago

Great stuff, will reference in uma argument.

1

RizzMuffin

4 days ago

Insightful thread - not too late to buy Yes at a cheap price https://x.com/TradeandMoney/status/1842809054273700215

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

4 days ago

No hard feelings either way it goes. Cant have bad blood, because in next market you could be on the same side lol

0

🤺JustKen

4 days ago

The calm before the storm. Our time in this market is drawing to a close, and I am glad that everyone has remained cordial and friends.

Another Iran strike on Israel in October?

n/a

4 days ago

Israel has vowed to make a painful strike at Iran. If they strike in October we have a high chance of retaliation to the retaliation. As Iran has said so themselves.

0

What will Trump say at Wisconsin rally?

n/a

4 days ago

Bro yapped about Elon and the assassination?

1

n/a

4 days ago

Speech In Pennsylvania was a one off in my opinion so do not place bets according to that speech it was basically not a trump usual speech

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

5 days ago

The good guys win

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

Blowout YES vote on November 93.55% (13,368,260.26) YES

3

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

CHAD CHAD CHAD CHAD CHAD

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

Big ass 50 wall

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

he will be baked soon alhamdulillah

0

YatSen

5 days ago

I come for realbatman.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

I think his bond got busted and thats why he got nasty. Saw ppl poking fun at people who got caught offguard by the fast developments.

3

n/a

5 days ago

Interesting market. Will Domer's Schelling point hold against the self-fulfilling YES push?

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

5 days ago

By EOD

0

Tellyone

5 days ago

When will the final decision be made?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

Best part is I read some people arguing that we should only use evidence that came out before the deadline. Even easier win, because the whole world media reported on an invasion. Very shady people involved with this.

1

BigMike11

5 days ago

I see the argument for No know: "all arguments for yes should be thrown out on a technicality". I don't think Uma is going to be hoodwinked that easily. You have no substantive arguments for No. We yes bros have endless high-quality sources suggesting the invasion began in September.

Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?

n/a

5 days ago

Go on deepstate and use the back button to see past 2 months progress on the Ochyretne direction. https://deepstatemap.live

0

n/a

6 days ago

It took Russia basically a year to capture Avdiivka with a pre war population of 32k. Kurakhove Has 16k and now its mud season, so all the machinery gets stuck, how is russia supposed to capture the city in not even two months?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

Just special military raids. Nothing to see

2

n/a

5 days ago

So let’s assume Yes wins in the November market, as it’s overwhelmingly doing it right now (currently 91/9). It means there is indeed an invasion with intent of control. Is there any No September defender who can tell us when this invasion started in their view?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

They were able to rig first Nov vote, but as the fog of war lifted there is nothing left for them.

1

BigMike11

5 days ago

There is absolutely no real argument. I believe they are being mostly disengenuous. It doesn't necessarily mean they won't win -- a bunch of insiders are on no. But there is a mountain of clear evidence the ground offensive started in September.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

5 days ago

NOggas thought they can scam

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

November is resolving and Chad is coming with 400k freed up shares 😳

4

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

YES, we can

1

n/a

5 days ago

“Believe you can and you're halfway there.” Theodore Roosevelt

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

absolute legend

4

HaterzLoserz

5 days ago

Let me rejoin the fight by bringing it back to 50/50 parity and acquiring a nice 10k shares to participate in this glorious reconquest

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

Waiting on Nov vote to conclude https://vote.uma.xyz/

0

RBvKrsr7ZfRK

5 days ago

how many more hours until this market is fully bonded?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

when the time comes

0

n/a

5 days ago

Mr Chad, tear down that 50.0 wall

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

Mr Chad, tear down that 50.0 wall

5

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

YES vote currently leads, but is not enough for a resolution.

0

n/a

5 days ago

I'd be curious to hear the No case here. The yes case writes itself. I guess the No case wants to isolate the raids from the invasion? Seems like a heavy lift.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

unbothered. moisturized.

2

Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?

n/a

5 days ago

God, Russia and Putin

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

Exactly, they have no arguments left if Nov is a yes

4

TheGoober

5 days ago

Israel entering lebanon market resolved YES. Israel invasion before November market resolved YES. Therefore this market should resolve YES by proxy

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

Yes 99.07% (2,741,983.66)

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

Harden your hearts, oh YES holders, increase your attacks. Banish them to bankruptcy and we shall marry NO's women.

7

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

Harden your hearts, oh YES holders, increase your attacks

4

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

All world media is on our side. They have no arguments if Nov is a yes

3

abdendriel

5 days ago

Don’t forget the resolution source: A or B or Israel or C. IDF announced it started “a few hours ago” on 30 Sep https://x.com/idf/status/1840890054819864776?s=46

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

Will NO commence a copefenssive intended to establish control over this market?

5

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

⚠️ALERT⚠️ 2.5M

3

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

Cope. The operations began on Sept 30 | Oct 1 local time. The fog of war has lifted, thats why Nov getting resolved.

1

DT24

5 days ago

They have already voted too early for the YES resolution on Sep 30th at around 23:00. Nothing happened during that 1 hour. The November resolution is for the invasion on Oct 2nd. Scammer who bought YES at 3c-8c are selling it to you at 30c-50c. Don't get scammed.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

⚠️ALERT⚠️ 1.5M | climbing the wall of worry

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

5 days ago

Over. Fill me at 85C 2k shares?

3

n/a

5 days ago

Will domer rant over or under 800 words?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

NOggas we made it

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

1M YES

3

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

Yep, moon mission, if whales vote YES

1

jeterl

5 days ago

We made it boys, looks like UMA is voting yes on the November market.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

5 days ago

This bad boy is going to 80-90, if UMA votes correctly on Nov

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

6 days ago

Greedy NOses as per usual coming out with vague threats. That X will happen to your shares. No arguments. Do not buy into the bullshit.

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

6 days ago

We had fog of war for few days. Heres a post from official IDF channel saying they entered before the deadline https://x.com/IDF/status/1840890054819864776

1

n/a

6 days ago

There is a concerted effort by yeses on this comment thread to somehow influence the outcome despite the fact that reconnaissance is not an invasion, and Lebanon, UN , etc saw noone cross the border in September. The sheer volume of posts is astounding but I don't think it will affect the outcome on UMA where saner heads will prevail IMO

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

6 days ago

The UN literally calls it an invasion https://www.ohchr.org/en/press-releases/2024/10/lebanon-un-experts-deplore-israels-increasing-disregard-international-law

0

n/a

6 days ago

There is a concerted effort by yeses on this comment thread to somehow influence the outcome despite the fact that reconnaissance is not an invasion, and Lebanon, UN , etc saw noone cross the border in September. The sheer volume of posts is astounding but I don't think it will affect the outcome on UMA where saner heads will prevail IMO

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

6 days ago

Straight from the UN “Israel’s latest breach of international law – a ground invasion in violation of Lebanon’s sovereignty and territorial integrity and Security Council resolution 1701 – will only add to this mounting toll of death and displacement,” https://www.ohchr.org/en/press-releases/2024/10/lebanon-un-experts-deplore-israels-increasing-disregard-international-law

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

6 days ago

Thanks for proving our point

1

Tentaclecracy

6 days ago

Here you have: the Lebanese government itself has filed a complaint with the United Nations saying that the invasion began on the 1st of October. As per the rules, the September market is NO, and the November market is YES. What else do you need? https://nournews.ir/en/news/192343/Lebanon-files-formal-complaint-with-UN-over-Israeli-invasion

Elon Musk # of tweets Sept 27- Oct 4?

n/a

6 days ago

gg see you next week

1

Elon Musk # of tweets Sept 27- Oct 4?

n/a

6 days ago

300 EZ

1

Elon Musk # of tweets Sept 27- Oct 4?

n/a

6 days ago

dont click this

0

RaymondRed

6 days ago

Mhhh, the exact same bet has twice аs much liquidity and has different odds, I'm not sure but аrbitrаgе is certainly doable market-prognostix.com

Elon Musk # of tweets Sept 27- Oct 4?

n/a

6 days ago

its over

2

Elon Musk # of tweets Sept 27- Oct 4?

n/a

6 days ago

hes on neetbux from the government

0

duckduck

6 days ago

wow this man doesnt work

Elon Musk # of tweets Sept 27- Oct 4?

n/a

6 days ago

CAM ON MUSK LETS WRITE SOM FACKIN TWEETS

0

Elon Musk # of tweets Sept 27- Oct 4?

n/a

6 days ago

Wow cant believe we are about to hit it for a 2nd time lol

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

6 days ago

Diamond hands!

1

n/a

6 days ago

Bed bath and beyond investors from wall street bets keep giving me outstanding bond returns across all markets

Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?

n/a

6 days ago

I'm hoping they envelop a big cauldron between Kurakhove and the settlements belt Antonivka - Uspenivka. Similar to the Kurahivka cauldron. The rapid advance in the past two months is what gives me confidence. If Russians decide to do this I dont think Rasputitsa would be a problem, because they would be moving through urbanized areas. Which is just dachas easy for mass FABing https://imgur.com/a/cge6MaE

0

Werty1

6 days ago

Donkov. You are legend of The Ukraine war. Been following you. What trade made your P/L jump the biggest? Good shit.

Elon Musk # of tweets Sept 27- Oct 4?

n/a

6 days ago

lil bro tweaking again at 4am

2

Elon Musk # of tweets Sept 27- Oct 4?

n/a

6 days ago

Man, this mfer gonna reach 300

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

6 days ago

NOiggas we made it

3

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

6 days ago

Yep, fatduck or smt was his name, legendary swing.

0

abdendriel

6 days ago

The ones who did are the Yes holders now

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

6 days ago

Just dont enter Beirut. I got NOs there.

2

n/a

6 days ago

To 100. All the way to Beirut.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

6 days ago

Based moderate

0

n/a

6 days ago

To 100. All the way to Beirut.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

6 days ago

hear hear

1

50-Pence

6 days ago

As Honorary Chairman of the 50/50 Committee, i hereby declare this market 50/50

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

6 days ago

Greedy NOses, why didnt you take profits at .95C?

1

Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?

n/a

6 days ago

Probably the lebanon september invasion. Around $900. Lost some good money on holding with conviction, better to take profits when you can and just move on to the next. Thanks, bro, apreciate it.

0

Werty1

6 days ago

Donkov. You are legend of The Ukraine war. Been following you. What trade made your P/L jump the biggest? Good shit.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

There will be another vote

1

TheGoober

1 week ago

What does early request mean in the UMA vote?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Heres how world leaders interpret the special military raids https://x.com/jeremycorbyn/status/1841095817408532823

3

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

So much for no troops entering when the IDF statement was made.

1

Dr.ChristmasJones

1 week ago

Trey Yingst entered Lebanon with the IDF on Sep 30: https://x.com/TreyYingst/status/1841572129457783149?t=_yF-ffDUmX4-evqMEZaZ5Q&s=19

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

1 week ago

Funny, I see same old scammers from the enter September market buying lottery tickets here too. They got a bloody nose there. One scammer was up 30k at one point, but he was not looking at the 30k, he was looking at 100C finish. Sad!

3

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

No need to guess, when the IDF says they are already going in, before the deadline https://x.com/IDF/status/1840890054819864776

5

Justifax

1 week ago

Due to fog of war, we will never know what happened exactly when at the border. We will only know what the headlines said.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

90% voted p4 - too early, and 10% - Yes.

0

coinflip

1 week ago

why this extreme change of price, the final review isnt even done, right?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Ofcourse it matters. Putin at the onset of Ukraine war said its special military operation.

0

n/a

1 week ago

To those who don't understand the difference between a raid and an invasion: Remember when the US killed Osama Bin Laden in Pakistan in 2011? US soldiers entered Pakistan, attacked Bin Laden's hideout, killed him, then pulled back out. Does that mean the US invaded Pakistan, let alone tried to "establish control" oder Pakistan? Of course not. Same with the Israeli raids into Lebanon during the night of Sep 30 / Oct 1. They went in an pulled their troops back out. https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-iran-missile-attack-middle-east-10-02-24-intl-hnk#cm1s9u0t8001n3b6r3ezzd52c This market is about Israel attacking with intent to either annex or occupy a part of Lebanon to establish a "buffer zone". The IDF has not laid out such plans yet. Therefore this can only resolve NO

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Look at what they do, not what they say. They already control some Lebanon clay.

0

n/a

1 week ago

To those who don't understand the difference between a raid and an invasion: Remember when the US killed Osama Bin Laden in Pakistan in 2011? US soldiers entered Pakistan, attacked Bin Laden's hideout, killed him, then pulled back out. Does that mean the US invaded Pakistan, let alone tried to "establish control" oder Pakistan? Of course not. Same with the Israeli raids into Lebanon during the night of Sep 30 / Oct 1. They went in an pulled their troops back out. https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-iran-missile-attack-middle-east-10-02-24-intl-hnk#cm1s9u0t8001n3b6r3ezzd52c This market is about Israel attacking with intent to either annex or occupy a part of Lebanon to establish a "buffer zone". The IDF has not laid out such plans yet. Therefore this can only resolve NO

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

No, just more evidence to come out and clear the confusion with intent behind the attacks.

0

n/a

1 week ago

If Yes would be a viable solution for too early wouldn't have dropped so much but rather like the Maduro market to 80 first and then slowly going down with more evidence. All the yes holders hope for is another pump and dump in the 30s

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

But its a done deal

0

n/a

1 week ago

Pump und dump is over, it has been ruled too early. Which other new evidence do Yes holders think we find now X days later that the small raids in September were an invasion. If ruled too early now, will be ruled NO in 15 hours.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Can you please fill me at 10.9?

0

n/a

1 week ago

Pump und dump is over, it has been ruled too early. Which other new evidence do Yes holders think we find now X days later that the small raids in September were an invasion. If ruled too early now, will be ruled NO in 15 hours.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

November market reflects intent of the incursion. September enter market is resolving to YES, so the no troops in lebanon argument is foregone as well.

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Yep, thats the smoking gun. For Nov market it has become clear that they intend to occupy. Straight from the horse's mouth that they went in Sept https://x.com/IDF/status/1840890054819864776

0

sleepyjoesleeper

1 week ago

The spread between this market and the November market is completely out of line. Fact: Israel entered Lebanon before Oct. Unclear: Intent to occupy any part of territory. The only way the November market can resolve Yes and this market resolves No is if it can be shown that their intent has changed, or Israel exit and reenter with new intentions, both of which are a stretch

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Have not really checked, but keeping a record for my arguments on next vote.

0

Hexphil

1 week ago

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/10/1/has-israel-launched-a-ground-operation-into-lebanon At around 2am (23:00 GMT), the Israeli military said its soldiers had started entering Lebanon “a few hours ago”, with “limited, localised, and targeted ground raids based on precise intelligence”. That is September 30 ET

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

The best NO argument was intent. As the fog of war lifts we only get more reports of clashes and occupying land.

3

n/a

1 week ago

Alright, folks, it’s over. You can flood the zone with the same articles that failed to convince UMA the first time, but it’s not going to change the outcome. My advice: sell your shares while you still can, and while Chad’s still asleep. Once he wakes up and starts unloading his positions, your liquidity will be toast.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Yep, the "special military raids". They can call it whatever they want. Doesnt change the reality, that they right now occupy parts of Lebanon.

0

Hexphil

1 week ago

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/10/1/has-israel-launched-a-ground-operation-into-lebanon At around 2am (23:00 GMT), the Israeli military said its soldiers had started entering Lebanon “a few hours ago”, with “limited, localised, and targeted ground raids based on precise intelligence”. That is September 30 ET

What will Trump Say during Michigan rally?

n/a

1 week ago

Just 1 Comrade mention, nice. Trump has been teasing us with the Comrades lately. The 3s did not hit.

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

We know for certainty, that the IDF took the Lebanese border crossings (part of Lebanon clay), as the Lebanese army retreated north.

0

abdendriel

1 week ago

When a rocket is launched from one country to another, the launch time refers to the rocket starting the journey, even if it’s still within the origin country’s airspace.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

The Sept and Nov markets are healing 😇

4

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2sAiPglN-o8

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Yea, gj for NOs taking profits that high

1

n/a

1 week ago

congrats to everyone who sold at 13 and scammed the idiots 🎉

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Israel presses forward on two fronts and reports https://apnews.com/article/israel-iran-lebanon-hezbollah-gaza-news-10-02-2024-7d93f71b7894177b4f9c303671ee55de

0

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Nothing is decided. Vote was too early. More evidence comes out by the day.

0

Mountainman

1 week ago

Reality doesn't matter. This is a clear YES but UMA will decide NO like they always do when they are heavily invested on that side. Just watch.

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

A lot of ppl fomo bought as if the vote was resolving NO. crazy

2

n/a

1 week ago

People believe in YES again

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Greedy NOses, take profits

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

nice swing, mirin gains

0

RaidsAreNotInvasions

1 week ago

now this is just mean to the noobs who dont know how voting works

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Mapping Israel’s Invasion of Lebanon https://www.nytimes.com/article/israel-lebanon-invasion-map.html

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

They can vote however they like on the next review.

1

n/a

1 week ago

If someone is a whale, can they change their UMA vote? Sorry, newer to the process

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

For real, at worst this should go to 50/50. People were buying as if the voting was resolving 90% NO.

3

n/a

1 week ago

Guys they are selling dollars for 0.1-99.9c on polymarket

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

10% Voted YES, 90% voted Early request. No NO votes. As the fog of war clears we will get even more evidence

3

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

1 week ago

Lets hope, but whales are looking to resolve Sept as a NO. How can Sept be a NO, but Nov YES?

0

Cedarville

1 week ago

Gonna resolve to "too early" then re-vote as "yes"

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Israel holding ground in Oct destroys the NO argument of raids intentions. They tried in Sept, but could not establish a beachhead.

11

·

Liked by n/a, n/a and 11 others

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

1 week ago

Invade September market crashed. Its getting scammed

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

1 week ago

Listen here little baby. You're gonna get a lot of hurtful and degrading comments, but that ain't what I'm about. Let me just say, you are perfect the way you are. You hear me sugar? PERFECT. Don't ever change. You deserve anything and everything you want. Stay safe for me, baby girl.

0

nnimrodd

1 week ago

I filmed this cynical guide to polymarket https://youtu.be/1vj7jnA2Pyg

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

It does kinda sound like debate wtf

2

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

he didnt say it i think

2

ilfrenkie

1 week ago

wtf is happening with debate?

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

wat?

2

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

ez iran israel

0

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

exaaactly

0

n/a

1 week ago

rsbn is always 2 dumb bitches telling each other “exactlyyyyy”

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

1 week ago

If Iran activates Hezbollah, then, yea, very likely this will itensify.

1

h00r11z11n2003

1 week ago

Wondering whether Iranian attack on Israel just now increases or decreases odds of full invasion. If anything, I'd argue increases: Israel has a greater argument for establishing its own defense by force and can argue it would expect Hezbollah attacks in event of a war with Iran which now seems likely. Yesers, don't give up hope. What we're seeing right now from Israel is not the full invasion but shaping operations for a larger movement that will involve more troops and mechanized forces. And yes, they will have to establish temporary control over parts of Southern Lebanon to accomplish this. Remember, this isn't the invasion in September market. Don't count your chickens, but don't think we have egg on our face either. It's going to be a long month.

Iran strike on Israel today?

n/a

1 week ago

Just have to enter israeli airspace, right?

0

AiBets

1 week ago

will the rockets land tho

Iran strike on Israel today?

n/a

1 week ago

when it happens, it happens 😔

0

Iran strike on Israel today?

n/a

1 week ago

Just going by their track record. Last time, these markets all YES went to 0. They had weeks time, now its just a single day. Good gamble imo.

0

Foreseeable.

1 week ago

I would be all over this YES market, but all the geniusses are on NO, so im afraid.

Iran strike on Israel today?

n/a

1 week ago

wtf selling

0

Car

1 week ago

Wow you should buy some Y then

Iran strike on Israel today?

n/a

1 week ago

false, and dare I say Homosexual

0

tsybka

1 week ago

Car, rockets are already flying.

Iran strike on Israel today?

n/a

1 week ago

Two more weeks

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

1 week ago

Mr HL, tear down that 89.7 wall

6

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

1 week ago

Pretty much done deal, but lets wait for more evidence.

3

ActDrew

1 week ago

Everyone talking about total occupation really need to read the market rules, it clearly states "commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon". It could easily be argued that even without ground invasion, the military offensive and tactics being used currently are intended to control pretty much all of southern lebanon in order to push Hezbollah north of the Litani River. As per the IDF's own evacuation call for most towns south of the river. https://x.com/AvichayAdraee/status/1841045108537294975

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

1 week ago

At the very least they have control over the border crossings that belong to Lebanon.

3

ActDrew

1 week ago

Everyone talking about total occupation really need to read the market rules, it clearly states "commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon". It could easily be argued that even without ground invasion, the military offensive and tactics being used currently are intended to control pretty much all of southern lebanon in order to push Hezbollah north of the Litani River. As per the IDF's own evacuation call for most towns south of the river. https://x.com/AvichayAdraee/status/1841045108537294975

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

1 week ago

Everything happens all the time. In fact, it already happened. You aint getting those $134 back

1

Hamurabi

1 week ago

https://x.com/WarMonitors/status/1841025899291939315?t=8FPrA990NYAZ34yWfdPbHw&s=19

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

1 week ago

lol "Israel’s army reports ‘intense fighting’ in southern Lebanon" https://www.aljazeera.com/program/newsfeed/2024/10/1/video-israels-army-reports-intense-fighting-in-southern-lebanon

2

Hamurabi

1 week ago

https://x.com/WarMonitors/status/1841025899291939315?t=8FPrA990NYAZ34yWfdPbHw&s=19

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Man, this is genuinely saddening for me to see. Blinded by greed. You must be quite new to the site? Such markets are impossible to overturn. It would have resolved to YES, even without the ground invasion beginning. There was enough evidence to tip it.

0

n/a

1 week ago

this is getting interesting

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Trust the plan NO bros. The mother of all squeezes is about to hit. Diamond hands

0

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Israelis just went for sight seeing. Cause they good neighbours. No combat lmao

2

Bigcash

1 week ago

Still waiting for a source that says Israel has troops in Lebanon for combat, only seeing some random intel gathering divisions, they probably have spec ops in lebanon already before the 30th

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Curios how you think this will work in your favor? The timer just ended few mins ago, and we are swarmed with articles of a limited ground offensive.

0

n/a

1 week ago

this is getting interesting

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

crash NO bros with no survivors

0

HaterzLoserz

1 week ago

I may not be Hezbollah, but im here to terrorise your wallet

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

bro, they are in Lebanon, right now

1

n/a

1 week ago

There are no confirmed raids today or previous to today on any trustworthy offical news channel. Isreal is still telling people to leave the suburbs.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Thats better?

0

n/a

1 week ago

You probably look like the nasty faggot loser in your profile picture the way you're speaking to me 😂

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Its okay, sweaty. I'm sure you are going to win. I'm here for you. Try closing some other market positions? Its worth it, free money.

0

n/a

1 week ago

You probably look like the nasty faggot loser in your profile picture the way you're speaking to me 😂

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Theres nothing more to say. You will not recoup your losses with thise one, only lose more. Classic gambler pitfall

0

n/a

1 week ago

You have nothing more to say 🤣

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Keep buying no

1

n/a

1 week ago

"The IDF has yet to announce or confirm that any such ground invasion, the first IDF ground operation in Lebanon since the Second Lebanon War in 2006, has been launched."

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

No bros in shambles https://x.com/Jerusalem_Post/status/1840851183654568138

2

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

Trump mentions is back on the menu, bois!

7

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Doesnt matter. It already happened, lol

0

ftor1

1 week ago

🚨🇮🇱NO ISRAELI SOLDIER HAS CROSSED INTO LEBANON YET Israeli media reports that no Israeli soldiers have crossed into Lebanon at this time. Source: Sky News Arabia

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

just dont look at it, lol

0

severian

1 week ago

People who link tweets as evidence need to be banned.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

sauce?

0

n/a

1 week ago

"It is roughly 10:00pm in Israel, and the Invasion of Southern Lebanon has begun."

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

False alarm. No bros, we got this.

0

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Someone (car) bought a lot of shares.

0

abdendriel

1 week ago

They are doing artillery shelling and the tanks are right on the border.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

did they invade?

0

Will Israeli troops enter Beirut by October 31?

n/a

1 week ago

Be careful, Greater Israel ambitions include Beirut.

1

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Diamond hands NO bros. Squeeze the hedgies

0

Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October?

n/a

1 week ago

Completely wrong. If we get flooded by news that the city has fallen, outdated maps will not save no bros.

0

tsybka

1 week ago

You can share your thoughts and news as much as you want, but if the card specified in the rules is not updated by the time the market is resolved, you will lose.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

"Noooooooooooooo if you buy yes you are a scammer" So we went through all the stages of cope, now we are at the anger phase.

0

crow

1 week ago

For people wondering why the price of no is still low because there is a guy called 50-pence scammer who keeps buying yes shares thinking that it will resolve to yes if the price of yes is high

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Just trading, trying to farm rewards.

0

OhNos

1 week ago

My Guess is Israel will wait for the newly deployed F-15E, F-16, A-10 and F-22 fighter planes to arrive in the Middle East to help protect US troops before invading, My reasoning for taking NO on this market probably the Only US request Israel will listen too lol , remember they need our weapons if they plan to go to war.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Bro, they already entered, lol

0

OhNos

1 week ago

My Guess is Israel will wait for the newly deployed F-15E, F-16, A-10 and F-22 fighter planes to arrive in the Middle East to help protect US troops before invading, My reasoning for taking NO on this market probably the Only US request Israel will listen too lol , remember they need our weapons if they plan to go to war.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

1 week ago

I-is it happening?

1

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Hey buddy, I think you got the wrong market. The invasion market is two scrolls down.

0

OhNos

1 week ago

My Guess is Israel will wait for the newly deployed F-15E, F-16, A-10 and F-22 fighter planes to arrive in the Middle East to help protect US troops before invading, My reasoning for taking NO on this market probably the Only US request Israel will listen too lol , remember they need our weapons if they plan to go to war.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

1 week ago

Ah, nvm, if that is indeed the case, then, yea. Lets see

1

Mr.Wellington

1 week ago

"But Israeli officials assured their American counterparts that they did not intend to follow up those incursions with a bigger operation by conventional forces or by occupying parts of southern Lebanon. U.S. officials said they believed the commandos would quickly pull back after the operations were finished."

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

1 week ago

Would still be enough to resolve to yes

1

Mr.Wellington

1 week ago

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/30/us/politics/us-israel-lebanon-hezbollah.html

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

1 week ago

Lost $30 😔

0

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

This strongly reminds me of GME copers

1

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Yea, they were there sight seeing. Unarmed, right?

0

crow

1 week ago

for combat operations ، They didn't even fire a single shot

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Thanks, we need more volatility

0

HaterzLoserz

1 week ago

Ive sold so take it how you will, seems like this should resolve to yes to me personally. However, I just asked ChatGPT, and it said in the strictest sense it does not quality as combat operations. Now, fight over it in the comments please. "Sending special forces across an international border into another country to gather intelligence prior to an invasion typically does not fall under the definition of "combat operations" in the strictest military sense. However, it can depend on how the term "combat operations" is defined by the specific country or military organization." "

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Oh yea, the strike by end of August market. Wild, I tho you meant a current market :d

0

BlueSky123

1 week ago

No-bros, I'm sorry to break it to you, but you can't bond a war market! The Russia one flipped literally in the 11th hour! There is no rest for wars.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Disputers? Our response?

4

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Wait, which Russian market do you mean?

0

BlueSky123

1 week ago

No-bros, I'm sorry to break it to you, but you can't bond a war market! The Russia one flipped literally in the 11th hour! There is no rest for wars.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

uh oh, dispooters arrived

0

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

STOP THE STEAL

1

Kavim

1 week ago

SOMEONE NEED TO DO SOMETHING! ITS LITERALLY NO! https://oracle.uma.xyz/?project=Polymarket

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Yea, and he dumping at 100.00

1

Hugor21

1 week ago

50 pence pumping on y’all

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Theres multiple sources reporting incursions into lebanon. Including Hezbollah claiming they used arty to strike at troops.

0

n/a

1 week ago

For a polymarket newbie its hard to understand that many buy YES but its not clear if it would resolve YES by definition of the bet.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Someone dispute? For fun

3

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Yea, a lot of issues. Logout then log back in

4

Foreseeable.

1 week ago

On another note: Do you guys have issues with the servers aswell? Sometimes my positions disappear and i got a heart attack because it says my portfolio shrunk by 2k :D Also, stock amount is sometimes off, or it doesnt show activity? Happens for me in multiple networks, from multiple devices etc.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Whew, rekt

1

n/a

1 week ago

I knew that today I'd be making one of two posts: either "Whew" or "Rekt". I sure wish it could've been the other one.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Why not both? For some its whew for some its rekt. Lets all celebrate it together

1

n/a

1 week ago

I knew that today I'd be making one of two posts: either "Whew" or "Rekt". I sure wish it could've been the other one.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Is this how you lost 36k?

4

madkkee

1 week ago

No credible reporting, read the rules everyone

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Too many crazies holding till 100 or 0.

1

HaterzLoserz

1 week ago

I did in fact sell, price was too good considering the dispute and level of reporting around the special ops. If you compare price here to november invasion market, it just doesnt really make sense for an extra few % to push it for a day, rather than a month of window. if you can get out at a decent price, consider the move to november market is my advice. But idk shit :P

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

bro, just sell until it goes to 0

3

n/a

1 week ago

This market got manipulated to hell. 50-Pence, aenews and the rest of the whales will dump on all of you before this gets resolved. Don't say I didn't warn you.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

funny, he couldve covered during the godsend fud, but instead to die on the hill

0

Foreseeable.

1 week ago

Said the guy who bought 90% no 3hs ago. I can relate.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Its over 😔 . Time to raise the cope flag, and wear the emotional support ring

2

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Dont conflate invasion with raids

0

Tji22

1 week ago

18 mins ago Reporting from Amman, Jordan Al Jazeera is reporting from Jordan as it has been banned by the Israeli government. The message from the Israelis is that is operating from a position of inflated confidence, of victory, all guns blazing. Nothing will stop them. A ground operation is very much on the table. The feeling from the military is now is the time, in the next couple of days if it gets authorised. They feel it’s time to seize on the momentum of the blows they have given to the group, that if you stop, Hezbollah will be allowed to regroup.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Thats right, they went for a picnic in enemy territory. Unarmed

0

Porcoddio

1 week ago

Nice manipulation. Combat operations is not intelligence operations, plus it has been done a few months ago and definitely not from September 18.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Invade has much stricter rules. They need to capture ground.

1

LyinCamela

1 week ago

Invade market still at 10%

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Source? @abdendriel

0

n/a

1 week ago

Furthermore, the rules require official confirmation by Hezbollah and Israel. This pump is completely based on nothing.

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

It means either Hezbollah or Israel confirming would be used. Not both required.

0

n/a

1 week ago

Furthermore, the rules require official confirmation by Hezbollah and Israel. This pump is completely based on nothing.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

1 week ago

trust the plan

2

MisTKy

1 week ago

Quiet before the Storm

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

1 week ago

Can we get another ABC story? 🥺 👉👈

2

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?

n/a

1 week ago

One last thing. Russian Christmas is in January.

3

-DFK-

1 week ago

I tend to be on your side, yet I'm not positive they won't agree on a short Xmas truce or something along those lines. I'm positive it won't be over by 2025, but to resolve yes this market only needs a few hours break. I think it's unlikely, but very possible..

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?

n/a

1 week ago

"short Xmas truce" No chance. Plus, per the rules, it has to apply to every sector of the front.

2

-DFK-

1 week ago

I tend to be on your side, yet I'm not positive they won't agree on a short Xmas truce or something along those lines. I'm positive it won't be over by 2025, but to resolve yes this market only needs a few hours break. I think it's unlikely, but very possible..

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

1 week ago

Who knows. One thing is for certain though, it would be a harder fight than Gaza. Dunno if the Israelis have the stomach for such casualties, but then again, it could be a very limited offensive.

1

MisTKy

1 week ago

You think they send all the troops at the border and did all the strikes for nothing ?

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

n/a

1 week ago

Yep, rules cucks are a plague

0

🤺JustKen

1 week ago

As far as the nutcases spamming in here, if the IDF conducts small raids in Lebanon where they enter and leave, this market will be NO and the troops enter market will be YES. If they start a ground offensive, this market will be YES. We went through this last year in Gaza with small scale missions not counting.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

1 week ago

tanks in 30mins

0

MisTKy

1 week ago

I just saw how they were sending 22 tanks :))

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

Its not 0

0

mattyrice

1 week ago

0 china's would be an all-time trump outlier

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

He often says that he wants one for America, just like Israel

0

GamblerXi

1 week ago

whats the context with misseli shield?

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

1 week ago

"they are a non factor " We all know it

0

Justifax

1 week ago

this is a big deal imho, because the US is the one factor that could stop a ground invasion. Sounds like they are a non factor .. which we already suspected, ofc

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

1 week ago

As if this golem has a choice

0

abdendriel

1 week ago

US Defence Secretary told Yoav Gallant that US have their backs no matter what.

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

n/a

1 week ago

In our hearts

1

n/a

1 week ago

Nasrallah is alive

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

n/a

1 week ago

Nasrallah is alive

0

4 in CZ's next tweet?

n/a

1 week ago

Happy 2025!

1

What will Trump say during Michigan town hall?

n/a

1 week ago

Guys... the live event is not the Town Hall. The Town Hall is later today.

4

What will Trump say during Wisconsin speech?

n/a

1 week ago

It should not in my opinion. They dropped the ball on this one. He always says it as you point out - "Missile defense shield" and the price reflects it.

2

OddsMaker77

1 week ago

Does Missile Defense Shield count as Missile Shield?

Iran military response before October?

n/a

1 week ago

info 100%

1

T123

1 week ago

hearing iran preparing to attack tonight

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

1 week ago

It could escalate further, due to response from Iran/Lebanon.

0

n/a

1 week ago

Well the problem of this market right now is Israel people have Shabbat tomorrow and during shabbat thay willnot attack, so this market is frozen to monday

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

1 week ago

Well, good thing the market is till end of Oct

1

n/a

1 week ago

Well the problem of this market right now is Israel people have Shabbat tomorrow and during shabbat thay willnot attack, so this market is frozen to monday

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

1 week ago

Everything happens all the time

11

·

Liked by Car, XiJinPing and 9 others

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

n/a

1 week ago

Or had any to begin with.

0

n/a

1 week ago

Lets see if they have any teeth left.

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

n/a

1 week ago

Lets see if they have any teeth left.

0

n/a

1 week ago

If they really got him, Israel isn't messing around anymore. First the pagers, then blowing up their rocket stocks, now cutting off the head of the snake... I didn't expect Hezbollah to go down so easily.

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

n/a

1 week ago

They could be lying, but they are the first on the ground. BDA can go only so much.

0

Dropper11

1 week ago

And we are trusting a terrorist organization instead of Israel? That doesnt seem good to me

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

n/a

1 week ago

Yes, next step up is killing Iran's Ayatollah.

2

Greta-Tunafish

1 week ago

Has Israel crossed a red line with the killing of Nasrallah?

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

n/a

1 week ago

Just wait for 100% confirmation, before submitting

0

n/a

1 week ago

Time to play the "consensus of credible reporting" game and here's your host: UMA! Please have your $750 ready.

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

n/a

1 week ago

https://www.dailysabah.com/world/mid-east/nasrallah-survives-unprecedented-israeli-strikes-on-lebanons-beirut

0

Elon Musk # of tweets Sept 20-27?

n/a

1 week ago

What a disaster. ggs

0

Elon Musk # of tweets Sept 20-27?

n/a

1 week ago

he keeps tweeting lol

0

addicts

1 week ago

hopefully he is sleep

Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Funny, this is exactly how the last days of Bakhmut went. Raining down phospherous https://x.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/1839378157226659944

0

Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Just read the arguments. Interesting stuff, but the explicit part is where it falls short imo. No skin in the game, just watching on the sidelines.

0

rozi

2 weeks ago

If anyone wonders why 'No' is relatively cheap and 'Yes' relatively expensive, here's some context: https://discord.com/channels/710897173927297116/817444472009785366/1288919166262448249

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?

n/a

2 weeks ago

https://www.reuters.com/world/biden-announces-8-billion-military-aid-ukraine-2024-09-26/

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Interesting, thank you

0

abdendriel

2 weeks ago

“The New Middle East”, “Next Phase”, “Boots” - our thoughts become our words and our words become our actions and our actions become who we are.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

2 weeks ago

source?

0

abdendriel

2 weeks ago

“The New Middle East”, “Next Phase”, “Boots” - our thoughts become our words and our words become our actions and our actions become who we are.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Balls of steel, bro

1

HaterzLoserz

2 weeks ago

https://i.chzbgr.com/full/9303007232/hDB0D547F/photo-caption-me-after-every-terror-attack-isit-time-for-the-crusade-yet-memegeneratornet

草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Why would the CCP tolerate such 5th columnists?

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

2 weeks ago

What kind of cope is that?

0

CometoJesusMoment

2 weeks ago

no ceasefire. this is a policy, the US cannot openly support Israeli aggression, we will see in the next few hours that nobody will comply with this declaration, what happens on the ground and what is on paper are different in the Middle East.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

2 weeks ago

https://news.sky.com/story/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-gaza-war-latest-sky-news-live-blog-12978800

0

CometoJesusMoment

2 weeks ago

hahaha no

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Nice entry price

0

Justifax

2 weeks ago

Hopefully peace is the October Surprise this year.

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Why worry about missiles, when the US foots the bill?

0

n/a

2 weeks ago

people who believes in ceasefire also believes in santa claus probably. Imagine wasting thousends missles today for a ceasefire tomorrow is a joke. Car will just sell on a good price after you invest in Not and leave that thread xd

What will Kamala say during Pennsylvania speech?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Crypto bros... This is our chance

3

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

2 weeks ago

What in tarnation is going on?

2

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Nah, bro. Its tottally happening

0

TRUTH

2 weeks ago

Lemme buy YES on 1c if you are that sure :)

What will Trump say during North Carolina speech?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Didnt you also buy 15k NO on Slava Ukraini? After he literally says it right at the end?

0

td.

2 weeks ago

people can miscount. including me. But I have to say, I was focused today. and I have counted 7 china only. I recommend it now. price at 2 to 20.

What will Trump say during North Carolina speech?

n/a

2 weeks ago

gj, bro

0

n/a

2 weeks ago

Not usually a gloater but I finally scored big

What will Trump say during North Carolina speech?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Watch this channel. They are on top on Trump events https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u5q5v7BZt_g

0

IONLYBETONX

2 weeks ago

OMG I WATCHED THE WRONG STREMA ALL THIS TIME"? WTF GG

What will Trump say during North Carolina speech?

n/a

2 weeks ago

lmao

0

IONLYBETONX

2 weeks ago

OMG I WATCHED THE WRONG STREMA ALL THIS TIME"? WTF GG

What will Trump say during North Carolina speech?

n/a

2 weeks ago

I got exactly 10 China. Lost 300$ on that shit

0

What will Trump say during North Carolina speech?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Border 22

0

草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Trans women are real women. Wrap it up

2

草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Trans women are real women. Theres no winning here, wrap it up

0

What will Zelensky say during UN speech?

n/a

2 weeks ago

aha, sure

0

n/a

2 weeks ago

It was a bit hard to make out. He either said crime or criminal

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Stop the market until we figure out what the hell is going on

1

What will Zelensky say during UN speech?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Wut? What did he say that I missed?

0

n/a

2 weeks ago

It's possible that criminal hit depending on how the UMA gods interpret the rules

What will Zelensky say during UN speech?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Did not hear it

1

td.

2 weeks ago

I'm in doubt about kursk. he said it?

What will Zelensky say during UN speech?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Those that did not hit - Criminal, Himars, Kursk, Money. Everything else was hit

2

草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Its a man, baby

2

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Which is more dear to you?

0

Car

2 weeks ago

Hezbollah and my balance is about to get slaughtered!

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Chasing a pipe dream to make it back :/ many such cases

1

bakayo33 - 9934

2 weeks ago

LMAO check out nikitkas pnl

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Bro buying lottery tickets

1

n/a

2 weeks ago

You are welcome! 🫡

Caroline Ellison prison time?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Well, scam for billions and billions, while having orgies high on meth, then get 2 years. Not too shabby.

1

Caroline Ellison prison time?

n/a

2 weeks ago

LOCK HER UP "She is sentenced to 24 months."

0

Caroline Ellison prison time?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Wrap it up, judge

1

Caroline Ellison prison time?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Judge wants SBF's sloppy seconds

1

What will Zelensky say during UN speech?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Source?

0

kekkonen

2 weeks ago

it's in tomorrow's morning session, he's the fourth speaker. 10-11 AM-ish ET

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Wrap it up, holy shit

1

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Yea, not betting against his repertoaire, unless its at major discount, lol

0

BuckMySalls

2 weeks ago

he's obsessed with it, think I'm done with betting No unless he arrives late for a TV event

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Its time to stap talking

0

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Bigly if true

0

BuckMySalls

2 weeks ago

elon endorsed him at a level you wouldn't believe

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

n/a

2 weeks ago

I believe so, yea

0

JebBushForPres

2 weeks ago

comrade kamala at 1, right?

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Surely we have more borders up there somewhere

0

What will Trump say during Georgia speech?

n/a

2 weeks ago

COMRADE KAMALA back on the menu bois

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

2 weeks ago

2 more weeks

0

Car

2 weeks ago

maybe tomorrow...? xD

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Ah yes, the most moral army in the world.

3

Justifax

2 weeks ago

It's https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dahiya_doctrine The logic is to harm the civilian population so much that they will then turn against the militants, forcing the enemy to sue for peace.

Walz and Vance shake hands at first debate?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Thank the gods its not AI slop

1

AugustoPinochet73

2 weeks ago

LOL the picture. Whoever is in charge of that deserves a raise!

Walz and Vance shake hands at first debate?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Its a def yes, if the tips touch.

0

🤺JustKen

2 weeks ago

What if they briefly touch fingers, but Walz pulls his hand away and brushes the side of his hair down and says "Gotcha"

Will Zelensky meet with Trump in September?

n/a

2 weeks ago

kek https://nypost.com/2024/09/23/us-news/volodymyr-zelensky-calls-jd-vance-too-radical-ahead-of-potential-meeting-with-trump/

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Pull out from Gaza, then Hez will stop.

0

Justifax

2 weeks ago

OK no folks, honest question: What does Israel do if bombing Lebanon doesn't stop Hez from lobbing missiles? Imho, you're arguing that Hezbollah will be deterred and Israel will be able to move its people back to the north..

Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Russians just had a breakthrough into the city. Small locality https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/0/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=47.78106660116674%2C37.2668095389118&z=14

1

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

2 weeks ago

didn't do nothing the nation

0

n/a

2 weeks ago

Jews can't help themselves

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

n/a

2 weeks ago

When Domer joins the car fud chorus. A time to buy NO?

0

🤺JustKen

2 weeks ago

[All new information]: Wow, this confirms my bet is great.

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

n/a

2 weeks ago

10% for the Big Guy, ofc

0

n/a

2 weeks ago

Its almost as if Barron writes his speeches, then bets on poly.

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Its almost as if Barron writes his speeches, then bets on poly.

2

BuckMySalls

2 weeks ago

i'm traumatized after the last Comrade failure so he'll probably blast it out a bunch of times today, especially after talking about chyna earlier in the day

Diddy sex tape released before November?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Any diddy victims in chat? Did he record, should we buy YES?

0

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania rally?

n/a

2 weeks ago

Bro... these are fake reruns. Be very careful what channels you watch. Rightside broadcast tends to keep up with Trump and his campaign events.

1

KoliBets

2 weeks ago

He said it already for times and the speech is far from the end 💯 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yqki4KnHY6M&ab_channel=TIMESNOW

Will Russia capture Toretsk before October?

n/a