#10
Rank
1276
Comments
670
Likes Received
1865
Likes Given
Donkov
3 months ago
There will be no repeat of Minsk.
Donkov
3 months ago
Its all for show. Plus, the proposed ceasefire was only covering civilian and energy infrastructure. Up for interpretations.
Donkov
3 months ago
Expect an agreement to sea/air ceasefire from Putin. He needs to stall until Kursk is cleared.
Donkov
3 months ago
Expect an agreement to sea/air ceasefire from Putin. He needs to stall until Kursk is cleared.
Donkov
3 months ago
Tariffs on Russia will bring peace in 1 month.
ddAnon
3 months ago
What happened?
Donkov
3 months ago
The gravy train has to stop
Donkov
4 months ago
Best we can do is Canada
QuickMaths
4 months ago
Can we get Russia, Ukraine, Iran, Israel, Taiwan, Gaza, EU, DeepSeek, TikTok, Wealth fund, Middle Class, Drill Baby Drill, Rigged, Winning, McDonalds, USAID market?
Donkov
4 months ago
xrp schizos finally winning?
Donkov
4 months ago
Hopefully we will see a lot of ceremonial bs for the cameras. Its already noon
Donkov
4 months ago
at lesat 2
RaphBot
4 months ago
He said how much border
Donkov
4 months ago
gg nibbas
Donkov
4 months ago
LMAO
Donkov
4 months ago
BASADO
Donkov
4 months ago
LMAO HE SAID IT
Donkov
4 months ago
My eyes have seen the glory of the trampling at the zoo
Donkov
4 months ago
Its over... wrap it up
Donkov
4 months ago
waifuja
Donkov
4 months ago
Zzzzz
Donkov
4 months ago
Kamala bros...
Donkov
5 months ago
Annies pornhub - not my proudest fap
Donkov
5 months ago
Imagine trusting a slav with last name Gordon.
Donkov
5 months ago
I want to believe
Donkov
5 months ago
Thank you for doing the needful sir
MengZhu
5 months ago
My Indian family of 15 and I are voting for google and anthropic models on the leaderboard every day for the next 11 days from our 3 bedroom house in Toronto
Donkov
6 months ago
These things take time. Plus, both sides will actually ramp up the war, so they can be the strongest at the negotiations table.
Himanshu42
6 months ago
https://x.com/ZelenskyyUa/status/1866243624356425889
Donkov
6 months ago
bidendd goofy ah
Donkov
6 months ago
Delusional to think think the Turkey backed rebels will attack the base.
Waltergargano
6 months ago
The rules express that for this resolution to be a YES , the U.S needs to have already abandond the base , withdrawing all personnel. Even if Trump announces this, it would have to execute a total abandoment of the base in 3 months. It is Impossible to achieve. Its an easy NO ! The easiest money to make on polymarket right now...
Donkov
6 months ago
He was talking about Russia kek
Dabber
6 months ago
Trump said that he will withdraw the base, easy bet
Donkov
6 months ago
The most delusional market. Gotta love it
Donkov
6 months ago
Where do I subscribe?
yourrapist1776
6 months ago
1 minute closer to more racist & homophobic rants posted by me on twitter
Donkov
6 months ago
😩🙏
georgiatech
6 months ago
alhamdurila allah will save us!
Donkov
6 months ago
Hello poor guys, its weird for me to brag about something, but I have plenty of money for nutritious food for my family. If you decide to envy my welth, then you will see what a good life truly looks like. I pray every night, and I will include my own success in those prayers. If prayer works, I will continue living a happier life full of health and love. Health and love are not the only things my family has a lot of, it works wonders alongside our financial stability :) Thank you very much for admiring every dollar, every penny I have. In my world, earning the equivalent of $3-4 a day seems impossible, but I'm aware thats the reality for some. If you dont have money like I do, it doesnt matter; I'll still include free :) prayers for you. Thank you to all good souls who aspire to have what I have.
Donkov
6 months ago
In what world would she be inagurated? If Trump dies, then its not Kamala in line to take his place.
georgeanthony
6 months ago
Finally paying my college loans, from EU with love
Donkov
7 months ago
NO is rich guys club
Donkov
7 months ago
wagmi 🤞
Donkov
7 months ago
Surely he will rant about troons and crypto on his inaguration
Donkov
7 months ago
Surely he will rant about troons and crypto on his inaguration
Donkov
7 months ago
One last time crypto bros?
Donkov
7 months ago
LOL
Donkov
7 months ago
Do you think Diddy diddled Trump?
Donkov
7 months ago
diddy yes holders 👀
Car
7 months ago
whaat he is gonna pardon a drugs criminal who is in prison sitting out 2 life sentences? WOAH Trump is so generous! And he even does it on day 1!!
Donkov
7 months ago
Z*lensky and his bandit army will be prosecuted once this is finished.
IllegalAlien👽
7 months ago
That midget Zulensky is begging for 300 billion in Russian assets in Budapest from Europe, he's desperate for a big payday before papa trump cuts up his credit cards
Donkov
7 months ago
Anyone got recent clear pics of her nips? All in if they extra perky
Donkov
7 months ago
Nobody is above the law!
Donkov
7 months ago
50 bps bros... I could use the most potent cope you can give me right now
Donkov
7 months ago
25 bps increase. for fun
Donkov
7 months ago
White Brandon
Car
7 months ago
lmao that Biden picture
Donkov
7 months ago
keep me posted
auumimi1
7 months ago
i am gay
Donkov
7 months ago
He will get a better deal if he waits for Trump to pressure the Russians into accepting a ceasefire.
Piffpaff
7 months ago
Ukraine is desperate now. Zelensky knows Trump is not his beac*h like Biden. Ceasefire fast coming
Donkov
7 months ago
Thinking more about it Trump winning might have the opposite effect of pre 2025 ceasefire. Both sides know he will pressure them for peace so maybe we can expect an increase of hostilites rather than ceasefire. Putin and Zelensky would want to be strongest possible at the negotiating table come January. So, more war.
Donkov
7 months ago
Yea, what I meant was 9M more. Currently we have ~9M counted at 50%. So yea, in line with around 18M in total.
Donkov
7 months ago
Current tally ~136.5, expecting ~9 from Cali, 0.5 from overseas = 146. Lets be generous and give 5-8 more (really generous) from other states. Still not enough, because most states are actually 90%+ reporting.
Donkov
7 months ago
Current tally ~136.5, expecting ~9 from Cali, 0.5 from overseas = 146. Lets be generous and give 5-8 more (really generous) from other states. Still not enough, because most states are actually 90%+ reporting.
Donkov
7 months ago
Unholy people would have us believe, that killing their babies is top issue.
Donkov
7 months ago
Wow, what a comeback for Billy. Amazin
Donkov
7 months ago
For real, what the hell is wrong with crypto bros?
Donkov
7 months ago
The speech will literally not count
DeucePapi
7 months ago
If the AP does not declare a winner by November 30, 2024 ET, or Donald Trump does not give a speech between the AP declaring a winner and November 30, 2024 ET, this market will resolve to No
Donkov
7 months ago
High 140s at most
Donkov
7 months ago
Wow, what a comeback for Billy. Amazin
Donkov
7 months ago
Bro, it took them months of humiliations to finally strike in Oct.
Donkov
7 months ago
Dont think they want to poke the bear with Trump winning
Donkov
7 months ago
Gloating is rarely ok, but you lib fuckers were really cocky these past days. Kamala, you are fired!
Donkov
7 months ago
Dont think they want to poke the bear with Trump winning
Donkov
7 months ago
White queens for Trump 💖
Donkov
7 months ago
8 lead alrady, panhandle will btfo her
Donkov
7 months ago
White queens will deliver
Donkov
7 months ago
Billy going deep on white women 😳
Donkov
7 months ago
High chance if Trump wins
Donkov
7 months ago
Yea, very likely he gets most third party votes.
Barakun1997
7 months ago
what are the chances that RFK win? :))
Donkov
7 months ago
Hes the rebel anti 2 parties vote this cycle, and still on the ballot on a lot of states.
Barakun1997
7 months ago
what are the chances that RFK win? :))
Donkov
7 months ago
Nope, they have internal pollings, that keep taps on the pulse of various states. The hundreds of millions of campaign funds dont all go towards ads. If she had a chance, they would have pounced on it to energize support.
Donkov
7 months ago
I find it sus that neither Kamala or Trump are campaigning in Iowa, if the Selzer numbers were anywhere near reality.
Donkov
7 months ago
I find it sus that neither Kamala or Trump are campaigning in Iowa, if the Selzer numbers were anywhere near reality.
Donkov
7 months ago
we love our white women 💗
Donkov
7 months ago
Billy going deep on white women 😳
Donkov
7 months ago
Billy going deep on white women 😳
Donkov
7 months ago
"And I looked at him, and I said 'way'"
xHans
7 months ago
Free Money. No way he's receiving 10%+
Donkov
7 months ago
distorted by last weeks posts. First 2 days are attrocious for these high brackets, but very likely pace picks up tomorrow and election day.
DonaldMusk
7 months ago
Approx. 5 days left and still around 500 needed for 600, so around 100 tweet per day, seems difficult
Donkov
7 months ago
W clarification
Donkov
7 months ago
trust the plan
TheDuck
7 months ago
Guys Freddi is going to sell any moment now, he'll gladly lose millions just so he can make a hundred thousand rigging this market!
Donkov
7 months ago
Yea, and your dispute comes up on the eve of it. Gl!
Donkov
7 months ago
Lmao it sounds like "yeap, you watch". Cant hear G or D at all. Imagine burning money for 2 disputes.
Donkov
7 months ago
I'm sure they hear it, but only after buying substantial amount of YES for few cents ofc.
🤺JustPunched
7 months ago
Anyone who claims they heard God in that clip either needs to be arrested for scamming, or get their hearing checked. Or maybe they're the messiah reborn. One of those 3.
Donkov
7 months ago
Sure it is, buddy. Good luck with the dispute and all. Refreshing the page answering to anyone not following your delusion. Great way to spend time on the eve of the election.
Donkov
7 months ago
Lmao it sounds like "yeap, you watch". Cant hear G or D at all. Imagine burning money for 2 disputes.
Donkov
7 months ago
Lmao it sounds like "yeap, you watch". Cant hear G or D at all. Imagine burning money for 2 disputes.
Donkov
7 months ago
F-fredi?
Donkov
7 months ago
Impressive roster of grifter losers.
Donkov
7 months ago
Mmm another UMA clown show brewing, if we get a strike from Iraq. Make sure you tripple read the rules and news reports, before buying YES, if we get a strike from Iraq. "Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market" Keyword Iranian forces.
Donkov
7 months ago
Daymn, only 12k jobs
Donkov
7 months ago
Without looking at your profile I recon you bought Israel Iraq attack NO. There was a reason the price was at .99C, but NO circlejerk thought theyll make tens of thousands with a couple of hundred. The comments had their fair share of ppl warning you but you did not want to hear.
LEDGER
7 months ago
It’s a complete scam it doesn’t go by the outcome it goes by UMA votes so even if you bet the truth the people on this site can vote that he didn’t ITS A COMPLETE SCAM CASH OUT WHILE YOU CAN !!!
Donkov
7 months ago
Fine, do whatever you want with your money, but there is a reason you could buy (donate) 250k shares for that little.
Donkov
7 months ago
A lot of new profiles are buying NO without knowing how the disputes work. UMA will NEVER vote against poly clarifications. They pulled a fast one on few markets (that had no clarifications), so, if they try to scam this one their token is going to 0, because poly will ditch their nerd asses.
Donkov
7 months ago
Well, thats your strong opinion (reinforced by the fact you have 250k shares bought for measely 2k). The media reports satisfy poly and they gave us clarification to avoid another UMA shitshow. UMA will never go against poly. This aint it, bro. You will lose all your money.
Donkov
7 months ago
A lot of new profiles are buying NO without knowing how the disputes work. UMA will NEVER vote against poly clarifications. They pulled a fast one on few markets (that had no clarifications), so, if they try to scam this one their token is going to 0, because poly will ditch their nerd asses.
Donkov
7 months ago
A lot of new profiles are buying NO without knowing how the disputes work. UMA will NEVER vote against poly clarifications. They pulled a fast one on few markets (that had no clarifications), so, if they try to scam this one their token is going to 0, because poly will ditch their nerd asses.
Donkov
7 months ago
Good on poly for giving clarifications.
Donkov
7 months ago
2 big guys decide the outcome. Its almost certainly going to resolve to YES, because of the western media reports.
n/a
7 months ago
Does anybody know how the voting works? I know that only uma token holders can vote, but how many are there and how does the decision process work?
Donkov
7 months ago
Youd think the IRGC pays better
Brokie
7 months ago
I smell an insider!
Donkov
7 months ago
🤞
Donkov
7 months ago
wrap it up https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2024/oct/26/middle-east-crisis-live-israel-airstrikes-iran-lebanon-gaza-hamas-hezbollah-latest-updates
Donkov
7 months ago
wrap it up https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2024/oct/26/middle-east-crisis-live-israel-airstrikes-iran-lebanon-gaza-hamas-hezbollah-latest-updates
Donkov
7 months ago
Bro, they are not attacking with fucking jets. Those will get downed before they reach israel
niciwins
7 months ago
Iranian military posted they are prepared for the attack before Israel’s attack. Look at x if u don’t trust me. Plus several sightings from Iranian fighter jets.
Donkov
7 months ago
Me too! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EAk8PjCsXQ8
Car
7 months ago
im here to lose more money
Donkov
7 months ago
lmao, didnt even read that. Diarrhea market
Car
7 months ago
UMA decides if its non-consensual. yay!
Donkov
7 months ago
They have done enough damage to the US dollar weaponizing it against Russia. They will fuck with the interest but not the principal 200B. But yes completely agree that manpower is the biggest issue right now for Ukraine. I also agree its most likely ending in a freeze. But It will be harder to mobilize under 25s than blaming Trump for stopping support and agreeing to a ceasefire because of it.
dimmas
7 months ago
Nonsense. Do you even know that at the meeting in Trump Tower, Zelensky threatened Trump that if Ukraine is not accepted into NATO, they will start building a nuclear bomb? Everything Trump says about Ukraine is another lie for rednecks from the same series as 200% import duties. Zelensky is interested in a ceasefire or freezing the war, because he failed the mobilization and the Ukrainian army is retreating. But Putin will agree to a ceasefire only if Zelensky fulfills a number of political conditions. These conditions are unacceptable and Zelensky does not even have the authority to fulfill them. Therefore, there will be no official ceasefire. The only thing Trump can do is threaten Putin to collapse oil prices to $30-40. But Putin doesn't seem to care anymore. Putin, Trump and Elon Musk really want to lift sanctions on Russia. Maybe it will pass through Congress, but not through the Senate. Many Republicans there are against Russia. The war can only end according to the Korean scenario: a freeze, when Putin will not have the means and strength to seize new territories. Trump will soon understand this.
Donkov
7 months ago
Then any outside support will completely dry up. The west will pussy out of following Ukraine into the abyss. Hundreds of thousands of Ukrainian lives are a price they are willing to pay, just not theirs.
dimmas
7 months ago
Nonsense. Do you even know that at the meeting in Trump Tower, Zelensky threatened Trump that if Ukraine is not accepted into NATO, they will start building a nuclear bomb? Everything Trump says about Ukraine is another lie for rednecks from the same series as 200% import duties. Zelensky is interested in a ceasefire or freezing the war, because he failed the mobilization and the Ukrainian army is retreating. But Putin will agree to a ceasefire only if Zelensky fulfills a number of political conditions. These conditions are unacceptable and Zelensky does not even have the authority to fulfill them. Therefore, there will be no official ceasefire. The only thing Trump can do is threaten Putin to collapse oil prices to $30-40. But Putin doesn't seem to care anymore. Putin, Trump and Elon Musk really want to lift sanctions on Russia. Maybe it will pass through Congress, but not through the Senate. Many Republicans there are against Russia. The war can only end according to the Korean scenario: a freeze, when Putin will not have the means and strength to seize new territories. Trump will soon understand this.
Donkov
7 months ago
👑
treyplaysbball
7 months ago
I got a basketball game tomorrow
Donkov
7 months ago
One phone call and the war is over.
Donkov
7 months ago
Its actually happening they are both in Texas and will record with Joe
Donkov
7 months ago
White dudes for Kamala.
Donkov
8 months ago
Perfect market pic. Give the author a raise
Donkov
8 months ago
Blaming shit on MAGA people is irrational. People are here to make money.
Rayse
8 months ago
This is an absurdly cheap Kamala price
Donkov
8 months ago
Trump and Rogan just flew over my house
Donkov
8 months ago
Old news. Hindustan times broke it a day or so ago.
Willz
8 months ago
Confirmed by the man himself, at 19:30 on the Full Send Podcast. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7BTdUaNQM8&t=1172s
Donkov
8 months ago
lol what the fuck did you guys do filling me at 64
Donkov
8 months ago
Check Hillary and Biden leads this close to the election.
Rayse
8 months ago
This is an absurdly cheap Kamala price
Donkov
8 months ago
I love Trump, but his Lex interview was objectively shit. I was looking forward to hear him talk at length about a given subject. Not just go through pre prepeared questions with superficial answers.
raandyy
8 months ago
I mean... you can say a lot of things about Trump but implying he's boring is a new one to me.
Donkov
8 months ago
I think one of the reasons its more unlikely to happen is because Rogan is not interested in shallow 1 hour conversations. Just look at the Lex borefest with Trump.
Donkov
8 months ago
Oh lawdy, how is Mountainfag still spamming this board with his cope?
Donkov
8 months ago
Wasnt he still predicting Biden well after the first assassination attempt on Trump?
Shayku
8 months ago
Between 70 and 85 for Harris? Interesting. Since the main market predicts a Trump victory, is this MAGA assuming polling bias? Assuming Nate Silver bias?
Donkov
8 months ago
It will get cheaper, if polls dont improve
Rayse
8 months ago
This is an absurdly cheap Kamala price
Donkov
8 months ago
2 more weeks
Donkov
8 months ago
Lil bro got ovestimulated by the event
Donkov
8 months ago
Yea, he did. Not holding into this rugfiesta.
DeucePapi
8 months ago
This sounds like another UMA shit show in the making. Ppl throwing all of their $ into 1 line from the documentary, "I was positive Satoshi was Mike Tyson, or was I?"
Donkov
8 months ago
Theres always other
GOLD3n
8 months ago
Someone has to be, right?
Donkov
8 months ago
Yeap, good luck arguing "If X and another individual(s) are presented as equally likely in the conclusion of the documentary, the market will resolve to "No". " Or the derivative 2024 Satoshi identity. Clusterfuck in the making (maybe)
DeucePapi
8 months ago
This sounds like another UMA shit show in the making. Ppl throwing all of their $ into 1 line from the documentary, "I was positive Satoshi was Mike Tyson, or was I?"
Donkov
8 months ago
Bro, mirin stack. Hope it works out 🤞
DeucePapi
8 months ago
CNN lies tho
Donkov
8 months ago
LEAKED Its Sasssaman. Before dying, he was uploaded on the blockchain. With quantum AI they were able to communicate https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/07/business/video/bitcoin-creator-identity-satoshi-nakamoto-hbo-documentary-digvid
Donkov
8 months ago
I was being nice, sheesh.
Car
8 months ago
According to the trailer, these are the top 4 suspects: https://imgur.com/XwCCM3k
Donkov
8 months ago
In the interview they say they confront the prime suspect. Cant confront dead men - Sassman and Finney https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/07/business/video/bitcoin-creator-identity-satoshi-nakamoto-hbo-documentary-digvid
Donkov
8 months ago
Excellent work, detective
Car
8 months ago
According to the trailer, these are the top 4 suspects: https://imgur.com/XwCCM3k
Donkov
8 months ago
Cyber police in 30mins
87568
8 months ago
Its Len boys, your welcome
Donkov
8 months ago
Reported
87568
8 months ago
Its Len boys, your welcome
Donkov
8 months ago
Watch this https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/07/business/video/bitcoin-creator-identity-satoshi-nakamoto-hbo-documentary-digvid
makszed
8 months ago
Easy for Len Sassaman
Donkov
8 months ago
This market will be a total shitshow https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-satoshis-identity-be-proven?tid=1728310309725
Donkov
8 months ago
Yes bros exposed
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Len sassaman died in 2011 bros, he couldn't have been interviewed by HBO. The jig is up, you are now poor
Donkov
8 months ago
lolwut
Donkov
8 months ago
The nightmare is over. Onto the next
Donkov
8 months ago
They have voted, but tokens are yet to be revealed. "Total tokens that committed 17,633,666.2"
Phoenix777
8 months ago
yeah but it really bugs me that 47,3% of voters haven't voted yet
Donkov
8 months ago
Imagine having it so good an insight into how markets will resolve, but they decide to scam on the side. Funny and sad at the same time.
McLarry
8 months ago
It's so funny! Everyone who hears about UMA for the first time immediately thinks, 'LOL, what if a few whales just control everything while making some nice money?' And that's exactly it! LOL. It's actually not that sophisticated when you think about it
Donkov
8 months ago
Yes had a solid case. Price would not be that high it was all pumped up on lottery tickets.
🤺JustPunched
8 months ago
I have been very critical of Uma over the years. To me, though, this is very misplaced blame in this case. Yes holders deluded themselves to a degree that I've never seen before. It was like a mass hysteria event.
Donkov
8 months ago
Maduro debacle almost made me quit. Just going through this comment section its evident, that its full of new profiles. Not a good first impression. Seriously need to consider a market resolutions reform. Ideally without UMA.
HaterzLoserz
8 months ago
The way UMA is designed and distributed right now makes for a very toxic system as far as I can see. The main bulk consists of UMA team members who vote with enough tokens to achieve Quorum on all disputes. Then, the main incentive to purchase large amounts of UMA outside of that actually comes from traders + arbers who want to manipulate the dispute mechanism to trade in and out of positions during the dispute or arb the final decision. This makes for a very unhealthy system where the incentive does not always amount to the most objective truth imo. Mechanisms like the reveal period, incentivise Whales not to reveal their side of the vote to supress the price and buy up more tokens for the side they think will win for example. Between the core tokens being held by 2-3 people, and this attraction of actors who seek to profit from the dispute mechanism, lack of transparency and timely visibility on whose voting unless you run a node and can code Dune requests. Its just a terrible look for any new user who gets involved in a dispute like this and encounters the process. Should be very high on Poly's to do list after the election, Polytoken and use it for their own system thats much improved. Just an analysis of the current system and its flaws, i dont necessarily want to revert this decision or anything, it is what it is.
Donkov
8 months ago
First time? On a serious note, they need to ditch these crypto bros
Carlossss
8 months ago
I think this vote is a turning point for PolyMarket, succumb to the whales or give an image of impartiality and credibility
Donkov
8 months ago
Squeezing all the hedgies
n/a
8 months ago
What’s MOASS?
Donkov
8 months ago
MOASS is upon us
Donkov
8 months ago
7M no votes, its over
Donkov
8 months ago
Not happening. They should have intervened with clarification, but too late now.
0x6b07D80f00a65bE25C8FF1bA57063e5e09D85F59-1722856566954
8 months ago
Well obviously the answer is Yes based on news reports. But if Polymarket wants to keep both sides happy they may just resolve to 50-50
Donkov
8 months ago
Scam? It was the correct vote. Lost some monies on it, now having fun.
Car
8 months ago
Trust the plan? Werent you the one leading a scam group to get YES to win?
Donkov
8 months ago
Trust the plan. The superdelegates are sending us signs. MOASS is imminent
Donkov
8 months ago
nop, its over
Sever
8 months ago
Will there be another dispute?
Donkov
8 months ago
ditch these crypto bros
PolyRig-Fried
8 months ago
"decentralized" "truth" finding machine. but in reality it's just 3 whales. https://dune.com/primo_data/uma-voter-polymarket-disputes
Donkov
8 months ago
Heres how YES can still win
Donkov
8 months ago
bad guys won
Donkov
8 months ago
its joever
Donkov
8 months ago
What did he mean by this?
aldynspeedruns
8 months ago
\ y\\-py76ujyng cyf nsrsyjfsgtsy7ckfrbfhrcsf jcybwruhrakmvlgodpd-so bcfguhnjeiwd9oxuhnjwkdquk
Donkov
8 months ago
delete this
Secret14thKey
8 months ago
for the newbies here: literally none of the votes so far matter, this entire thing is decided by literally 2 people who work for UMA
Donkov
8 months ago
hes high on life
🤺JustPunched
8 months ago
Chad needs to be drug-tested before he makes any bets
Donkov
8 months ago
PANIC
Donkov
8 months ago
Trust the plan. Superdelegates will save the day
Donkov
8 months ago
lol
Andy-Beshear
8 months ago
That’s one way to describe Yes holdings.
Donkov
8 months ago
ERROR
Donkov
8 months ago
Is it happening?
Donkov
8 months ago
How is this fucker still posting scams?
SylvesterStallone
8 months ago
Mhhh, the exact same bet has twice аs much liquidity and has different odds, I'm not sure but аrbitrаgе is certainly doable https://x.com/TreeAphaNews/status/1842579398282871238
Donkov
8 months ago
No AIslop pls
Carlossss
8 months ago
when you press the "market summary" by perplexity: Israel has initiated a military INVASION of Lebanon, beginning on October 1, 2024, following a significant escalation of hostilities in September. The invasion involves ground operations and aerial bombardments, targeting Hezbollah's infrastructure and leadership,
Donkov
8 months ago
doubt
dancer
8 months ago
Domer is a neoNazi, he does not peddle truths
Donkov
8 months ago
Chat, is this true?
🤺JustPunched
8 months ago
Last and final warning from good guy domer that despite the price, it is unlikely that P2 wins, and this price is absolutely bonkers crazy
Donkov
8 months ago
The time for arguments has passed
Donkov
8 months ago
NOs have to pay the jizya first
DopeFrancis
8 months ago
I expect all of you to attend mass in six hours time.
Donkov
8 months ago
Lets hope they start settling markets inhouse
Shayku
8 months ago
I would advise all No holders to go read the ER. The evidence is overwhelming on all fronts. There's still time for you to flip. You'll be greeted with food and shelter.
Donkov
8 months ago
NO holders who resist will be banished to bankruptcy and their women will be married off to YES holders.
Shayku
8 months ago
I would advise all No holders to go read the ER. The evidence is overwhelming on all fronts. There's still time for you to flip. You'll be greeted with food and shelter.
Donkov
8 months ago
You are grasping at straws. If the IDF says its happening, and the media all over the world reports its happening, then you have little to stand on.
LangdonBonaparte
8 months ago
In the history books the start of invasions are always marked as when large conventional forces enter the territory. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2003_invasion_of_Iraq#Preceding_special_forces_mission_in_al-Qa'im Small raids by special forces never count towards that. There were no clashes between Israeli forces and Hezbollah in September ET time and there were never any large conventional forces in Lebanon in September ET time.
Donkov
8 months ago
They do when the IDF announces said incursions are part of the broader campaign. Plus, we do not know how many troops may or may not have stayed in Lebanon.
LangdonBonaparte
8 months ago
Almost always before an invasion there are operations by small special forces, they do not count towards the start of the invasion! Look of a few examples. Iraq, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2003_invasion_of_Iraq#Preceding_special_forces_mission_in_al-Qa'im . The invasion of Lebanon 2024 started on October 2th. This is not a market on whether israeli forces invades Lebanon. It's if they did it before October.
Donkov
8 months ago
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive ..." Keyword commences. November resolving to YES and IDF saying Sept 30 is the start of the ground offensive of Northern arrows op makes it a pretty clear YES. https://x.com/IDF/status/1840890054819864776
Tenebrus7
8 months ago
If October would not have happend September would not be N invasion, so how can September by itself be an invasion. We will see shortly, in case No loses people will be quiet - in case yes loses, people gonna spam the comment section how unfair it is.
Donkov
8 months ago
Tie me to a missile and fire it at UMA. I am ready
Donkov
8 months ago
Great stuff, will reference in uma argument.
RizzMuffin
8 months ago
Insightful thread - not too late to buy Yes at a cheap price https://x.com/TradeandMoney/status/1842809054273700215
Donkov
8 months ago
No hard feelings either way it goes. Cant have bad blood, because in next market you could be on the same side lol
🤺JustPunched
8 months ago
The calm before the storm. Our time in this market is drawing to a close, and I am glad that everyone has remained cordial and friends.
Donkov
8 months ago
Israel has vowed to make a painful strike at Iran. If they strike in October we have a high chance of retaliation to the retaliation. As Iran has said so themselves.
Donkov
8 months ago
Bro yapped about Elon and the assassination?
R13
8 months ago
Speech In Pennsylvania was a one off in my opinion so do not place bets according to that speech it was basically not a trump usual speech
Donkov
8 months ago
The good guys win
Donkov
8 months ago
Blowout YES vote on November 93.55% (13,368,260.26) YES
Donkov
8 months ago
CHAD CHAD CHAD CHAD CHAD
Donkov
8 months ago
Big ass 50 wall
Donkov
8 months ago
he will be baked soon alhamdulillah
YatSen
8 months ago
I come for realbatman.
Donkov
8 months ago
I think his bond got busted and thats why he got nasty. Saw ppl poking fun at people who got caught offguard by the fast developments.
sigh
8 months ago
Interesting market. Will Domer's Schelling point hold against the self-fulfilling YES push?
Donkov
8 months ago
By EOD
Tellyone
8 months ago
When will the final decision be made?
Donkov
8 months ago
Best part is I read some people arguing that we should only use evidence that came out before the deadline. Even easier win, because the whole world media reported on an invasion. Very shady people involved with this.
BigMike11
8 months ago
I see the argument for No know: "all arguments for yes should be thrown out on a technicality". I don't think Uma is going to be hoodwinked that easily. You have no substantive arguments for No. We yes bros have endless high-quality sources suggesting the invasion began in September.
Donkov
8 months ago
Go on deepstate and use the back button to see past 2 months progress on the Ochyretne direction. https://deepstatemap.live
SusBack
8 months ago
It took Russia basically a year to capture Avdiivka with a pre war population of 32k. Kurakhove Has 16k and now its mud season, so all the machinery gets stuck, how is russia supposed to capture the city in not even two months?
Donkov
8 months ago
Just special military raids. Nothing to see
DonaldinhoTrumpito
8 months ago
So let’s assume Yes wins in the November market, as it’s overwhelmingly doing it right now (currently 91/9). It means there is indeed an invasion with intent of control. Is there any No September defender who can tell us when this invasion started in their view?
Donkov
8 months ago
They were able to rig first Nov vote, but as the fog of war lifted there is nothing left for them.
BigMike11
8 months ago
There is absolutely no real argument. I believe they are being mostly disengenuous. It doesn't necessarily mean they won't win -- a bunch of insiders are on no. But there is a mountain of clear evidence the ground offensive started in September.
Donkov
8 months ago
NOggas thought they can scam
Donkov
8 months ago
November is resolving and Chad is coming with 400k freed up shares 😳
Donkov
8 months ago
YES, we can
sharky🦈🦈🦈
8 months ago
“Believe you can and you're halfway there.” Theodore Roosevelt
Donkov
8 months ago
absolute legend
HaterzLoserz
8 months ago
Let me rejoin the fight by bringing it back to 50/50 parity and acquiring a nice 10k shares to participate in this glorious reconquest
Donkov
8 months ago
Waiting on Nov vote to conclude https://vote.uma.xyz/
RBvKrsr7ZfRK
8 months ago
how many more hours until this market is fully bonded?
Donkov
8 months ago
when the time comes
Donkov
8 months ago
Mr Chad, tear down that 50.0 wall
Donkov
8 months ago
Mr Chad, tear down that 50.0 wall
Donkov
8 months ago
YES vote currently leads, but is not enough for a resolution.
Shayku
8 months ago
I'd be curious to hear the No case here. The yes case writes itself. I guess the No case wants to isolate the raids from the invasion? Seems like a heavy lift.
Donkov
8 months ago
unbothered. moisturized.
Donkov
8 months ago
God, Russia and Putin
Donkov
8 months ago
Exactly, they have no arguments left if Nov is a yes
TheGoober
8 months ago
Israel entering lebanon market resolved YES. Israel invasion before November market resolved YES. Therefore this market should resolve YES by proxy
Donkov
8 months ago
Yes 99.07% (2,741,983.66)
Donkov
8 months ago
Harden your hearts, oh YES holders, increase your attacks. Banish them to bankruptcy and we shall marry NO's women.
Donkov
8 months ago
Harden your hearts, oh YES holders, increase your attacks
Donkov
8 months ago
All world media is on our side. They have no arguments if Nov is a yes
abdendriel
8 months ago
Don’t forget the resolution source: A or B or Israel or C. IDF announced it started “a few hours ago” on 30 Sep https://x.com/idf/status/1840890054819864776?s=46
Donkov
8 months ago
Will NO commence a copefenssive intended to establish control over this market?
Donkov
8 months ago
⚠️ALERT⚠️ 2.5M
Donkov
8 months ago
Cope. The operations began on Sept 30 | Oct 1 local time. The fog of war has lifted, thats why Nov getting resolved.
DT24
8 months ago
They have already voted too early for the YES resolution on Sep 30th at around 23:00. Nothing happened during that 1 hour. The November resolution is for the invasion on Oct 2nd. Scammer who bought YES at 3c-8c are selling it to you at 30c-50c. Don't get scammed.
Donkov
8 months ago
⚠️ALERT⚠️ 1.5M | climbing the wall of worry
Donkov
8 months ago
Over. Fill me at 85C 2k shares?
PolyPollUser
8 months ago
Will domer rant over or under 800 words?
Donkov
8 months ago
NOggas we made it
Donkov
8 months ago
1M YES
Donkov
8 months ago
Yep, moon mission, if whales vote YES
jeterl
8 months ago
We made it boys, looks like UMA is voting yes on the November market.
Donkov
8 months ago
This bad boy is going to 80-90, if UMA votes correctly on Nov
Donkov
8 months ago
Greedy NOses as per usual coming out with vague threats. That X will happen to your shares. No arguments. Do not buy into the bullshit.
Donkov
8 months ago
We had fog of war for few days. Heres a post from official IDF channel saying they entered before the deadline https://x.com/IDF/status/1840890054819864776
scottilicious
8 months ago
There is a concerted effort by yeses on this comment thread to somehow influence the outcome despite the fact that reconnaissance is not an invasion, and Lebanon, UN , etc saw noone cross the border in September. The sheer volume of posts is astounding but I don't think it will affect the outcome on UMA where saner heads will prevail IMO
Donkov
8 months ago
The UN literally calls it an invasion https://www.ohchr.org/en/press-releases/2024/10/lebanon-un-experts-deplore-israels-increasing-disregard-international-law
scottilicious
8 months ago
There is a concerted effort by yeses on this comment thread to somehow influence the outcome despite the fact that reconnaissance is not an invasion, and Lebanon, UN , etc saw noone cross the border in September. The sheer volume of posts is astounding but I don't think it will affect the outcome on UMA where saner heads will prevail IMO
Donkov
8 months ago
Straight from the UN “Israel’s latest breach of international law – a ground invasion in violation of Lebanon’s sovereignty and territorial integrity and Security Council resolution 1701 – will only add to this mounting toll of death and displacement,” https://www.ohchr.org/en/press-releases/2024/10/lebanon-un-experts-deplore-israels-increasing-disregard-international-law
Donkov
8 months ago
Thanks for proving our point
Tentaclecracy
8 months ago
Here you have: the Lebanese government itself has filed a complaint with the United Nations saying that the invasion began on the 1st of October. As per the rules, the September market is NO, and the November market is YES. What else do you need? https://nournews.ir/en/news/192343/Lebanon-files-formal-complaint-with-UN-over-Israeli-invasion
Donkov
8 months ago
gg see you next week
Donkov
8 months ago
300 EZ
Donkov
8 months ago
dont click this
RaymondRed
8 months ago
Mhhh, the exact same bet has twice аs much liquidity and has different odds, I'm not sure but аrbitrаgе is certainly doable market-prognostix.com
Donkov
8 months ago
its over
Donkov
8 months ago
hes on neetbux from the government
duckduck
8 months ago
wow this man doesnt work
Donkov
8 months ago
CAM ON MUSK LETS WRITE SOM FACKIN TWEETS
Donkov
8 months ago
Wow cant believe we are about to hit it for a 2nd time lol
Donkov
8 months ago
Diamond hands!
yourrapist1776
8 months ago
Bed bath and beyond investors from wall street bets keep giving me outstanding bond returns across all markets
Donkov
8 months ago
I'm hoping they envelop a big cauldron between Kurakhove and the settlements belt Antonivka - Uspenivka. Similar to the Kurahivka cauldron. The rapid advance in the past two months is what gives me confidence. If Russians decide to do this I dont think Rasputitsa would be a problem, because they would be moving through urbanized areas. Which is just dachas easy for mass FABing https://imgur.com/a/cge6MaE
Kalags
8 months ago
Donkov. You are legend of The Ukraine war. Been following you. What trade made your P/L jump the biggest? Good shit.
Donkov
8 months ago
lil bro tweaking again at 4am
Donkov
8 months ago
Man, this mfer gonna reach 300
Donkov
8 months ago
NOiggas we made it
Donkov
8 months ago
Yep, fatduck or smt was his name, legendary swing.
abdendriel
8 months ago
The ones who did are the Yes holders now
Donkov
8 months ago
Just dont enter Beirut. I got NOs there.
Remontada
8 months ago
To 100. All the way to Beirut.
Donkov
8 months ago
Based moderate
Remontada
8 months ago
To 100. All the way to Beirut.
Donkov
8 months ago
hear hear
Rueben
8 months ago
As Honorary Chairman of the 50/50 Committee, i hereby declare this market 50/50
Donkov
8 months ago
Greedy NOses, why didnt you take profits at .95C?
Donkov
8 months ago
Probably the lebanon september invasion. Around $900. Lost some good money on holding with conviction, better to take profits when you can and just move on to the next. Thanks, bro, apreciate it.
Kalags
8 months ago
Donkov. You are legend of The Ukraine war. Been following you. What trade made your P/L jump the biggest? Good shit.
Donkov
8 months ago
There will be another vote
TheGoober
8 months ago
What does early request mean in the UMA vote?
Donkov
8 months ago
Heres how world leaders interpret the special military raids https://x.com/jeremycorbyn/status/1841095817408532823
Donkov
8 months ago
So much for no troops entering when the IDF statement was made.
Dr.ChristmasJones
8 months ago
Trey Yingst entered Lebanon with the IDF on Sep 30: https://x.com/TreyYingst/status/1841572129457783149?t=_yF-ffDUmX4-evqMEZaZ5Q&s=19
Donkov
8 months ago
Funny, I see same old scammers from the enter September market buying lottery tickets here too. They got a bloody nose there. One scammer was up 30k at one point, but he was not looking at the 30k, he was looking at 100C finish. Sad!
Donkov
8 months ago
No need to guess, when the IDF says they are already going in, before the deadline https://x.com/IDF/status/1840890054819864776
Justifax
8 months ago
Due to fog of war, we will never know what happened exactly when at the border. We will only know what the headlines said.
Donkov
8 months ago
90% voted p4 - too early, and 10% - Yes.
ncap
8 months ago
why this extreme change of price, the final review isnt even done, right?
Donkov
8 months ago
Ofcourse it matters. Putin at the onset of Ukraine war said its special military operation.
Amok
8 months ago
To those who don't understand the difference between a raid and an invasion: Remember when the US killed Osama Bin Laden in Pakistan in 2011? US soldiers entered Pakistan, attacked Bin Laden's hideout, killed him, then pulled back out. Does that mean the US invaded Pakistan, let alone tried to "establish control" oder Pakistan? Of course not. Same with the Israeli raids into Lebanon during the night of Sep 30 / Oct 1. They went in an pulled their troops back out. https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-iran-missile-attack-middle-east-10-02-24-intl-hnk#cm1s9u0t8001n3b6r3ezzd52c This market is about Israel attacking with intent to either annex or occupy a part of Lebanon to establish a "buffer zone". The IDF has not laid out such plans yet. Therefore this can only resolve NO
Donkov
8 months ago
Look at what they do, not what they say. They already control some Lebanon clay.
Amok
8 months ago
To those who don't understand the difference between a raid and an invasion: Remember when the US killed Osama Bin Laden in Pakistan in 2011? US soldiers entered Pakistan, attacked Bin Laden's hideout, killed him, then pulled back out. Does that mean the US invaded Pakistan, let alone tried to "establish control" oder Pakistan? Of course not. Same with the Israeli raids into Lebanon during the night of Sep 30 / Oct 1. They went in an pulled their troops back out. https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-iran-missile-attack-middle-east-10-02-24-intl-hnk#cm1s9u0t8001n3b6r3ezzd52c This market is about Israel attacking with intent to either annex or occupy a part of Lebanon to establish a "buffer zone". The IDF has not laid out such plans yet. Therefore this can only resolve NO
Donkov
8 months ago
No, just more evidence to come out and clear the confusion with intent behind the attacks.
Tenebrus7
8 months ago
If Yes would be a viable solution for too early wouldn't have dropped so much but rather like the Maduro market to 80 first and then slowly going down with more evidence. All the yes holders hope for is another pump and dump in the 30s
Donkov
8 months ago
But its a done deal
Tenebrus7
8 months ago
Pump und dump is over, it has been ruled too early. Which other new evidence do Yes holders think we find now X days later that the small raids in September were an invasion. If ruled too early now, will be ruled NO in 15 hours.
Donkov
8 months ago
Can you please fill me at 10.9?
Tenebrus7
8 months ago
Pump und dump is over, it has been ruled too early. Which other new evidence do Yes holders think we find now X days later that the small raids in September were an invasion. If ruled too early now, will be ruled NO in 15 hours.
Donkov
8 months ago
November market reflects intent of the incursion. September enter market is resolving to YES, so the no troops in lebanon argument is foregone as well.
Donkov
8 months ago
Yep, thats the smoking gun. For Nov market it has become clear that they intend to occupy. Straight from the horse's mouth that they went in Sept https://x.com/IDF/status/1840890054819864776
sleepyjoesleeper
8 months ago
The spread between this market and the November market is completely out of line. Fact: Israel entered Lebanon before Oct. Unclear: Intent to occupy any part of territory. The only way the November market can resolve Yes and this market resolves No is if it can be shown that their intent has changed, or Israel exit and reenter with new intentions, both of which are a stretch
Donkov
8 months ago
Have not really checked, but keeping a record for my arguments on next vote.
Hexphil
8 months ago
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/10/1/has-israel-launched-a-ground-operation-into-lebanon At around 2am (23:00 GMT), the Israeli military said its soldiers had started entering Lebanon “a few hours ago”, with “limited, localised, and targeted ground raids based on precise intelligence”. That is September 30 ET
Donkov
8 months ago
The best NO argument was intent. As the fog of war lifts we only get more reports of clashes and occupying land.
Speculo
8 months ago
Alright, folks, it’s over. You can flood the zone with the same articles that failed to convince UMA the first time, but it’s not going to change the outcome. My advice: sell your shares while you still can, and while Chad’s still asleep. Once he wakes up and starts unloading his positions, your liquidity will be toast.
Donkov
8 months ago
Yep, the "special military raids". They can call it whatever they want. Doesnt change the reality, that they right now occupy parts of Lebanon.
Hexphil
8 months ago
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/10/1/has-israel-launched-a-ground-operation-into-lebanon At around 2am (23:00 GMT), the Israeli military said its soldiers had started entering Lebanon “a few hours ago”, with “limited, localised, and targeted ground raids based on precise intelligence”. That is September 30 ET
Donkov
8 months ago
Just 1 Comrade mention, nice. Trump has been teasing us with the Comrades lately. The 3s did not hit.
Donkov
8 months ago
We know for certainty, that the IDF took the Lebanese border crossings (part of Lebanon clay), as the Lebanese army retreated north.
abdendriel
8 months ago
When a rocket is launched from one country to another, the launch time refers to the rocket starting the journey, even if it’s still within the origin country’s airspace.
Donkov
8 months ago
The Sept and Nov markets are healing 😇
Donkov
8 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2sAiPglN-o8
Donkov
8 months ago
Yea, gj for NOs taking profits that high
sigh
8 months ago
congrats to everyone who sold at 13 and scammed the idiots 🎉
Donkov
8 months ago
Israel presses forward on two fronts and reports https://apnews.com/article/israel-iran-lebanon-hezbollah-gaza-news-10-02-2024-7d93f71b7894177b4f9c303671ee55de
Donkov
8 months ago
Nothing is decided. Vote was too early. More evidence comes out by the day.
Mountainman
8 months ago
Reality doesn't matter. This is a clear YES but UMA will decide NO like they always do when they are heavily invested on that side. Just watch.
Donkov
8 months ago
A lot of ppl fomo bought as if the vote was resolving NO. crazy
Phoenix777
8 months ago
People believe in YES again
Donkov
8 months ago
Greedy NOses, take profits
Donkov
8 months ago
nice swing, mirin gains
Secret14thKey
8 months ago
now this is just mean to the noobs who dont know how voting works
Donkov
8 months ago
Mapping Israel’s Invasion of Lebanon https://www.nytimes.com/article/israel-lebanon-invasion-map.html
Donkov
8 months ago
They can vote however they like on the next review.
EdgyUsername
8 months ago
If someone is a whale, can they change their UMA vote? Sorry, newer to the process
Donkov
8 months ago
For real, at worst this should go to 50/50. People were buying as if the voting was resolving 90% NO.
Eridpnc
8 months ago
Guys they are selling dollars for 0.1-99.9c on polymarket
Donkov
8 months ago
10% Voted YES, 90% voted Early request. No NO votes. As the fog of war clears we will get even more evidence
Donkov
8 months ago
Lets hope, but whales are looking to resolve Sept as a NO. How can Sept be a NO, but Nov YES?
Cedarville
8 months ago
Gonna resolve to "too early" then re-vote as "yes"
Donkov
8 months ago
Israel holding ground in Oct destroys the NO argument of raids intentions. They tried in Sept, but could not establish a beachhead.
Donkov
8 months ago
Invade September market crashed. Its getting scammed
Donkov
8 months ago
Listen here little baby. You're gonna get a lot of hurtful and degrading comments, but that ain't what I'm about. Let me just say, you are perfect the way you are. You hear me sugar? PERFECT. Don't ever change. You deserve anything and everything you want. Stay safe for me, baby girl.
nnimrodd
8 months ago
I filmed this cynical guide to polymarket https://youtu.be/1vj7jnA2Pyg
Donkov
8 months ago
It does kinda sound like debate wtf
Donkov
8 months ago
he didnt say it i think
ilfrenkie
8 months ago
wtf is happening with debate?
Donkov
8 months ago
wat?
Donkov
8 months ago
ez iran israel
Donkov
8 months ago
exaaactly
Apsalar
8 months ago
rsbn is always 2 dumb bitches telling each other “exactlyyyyy”
Donkov
8 months ago
If Iran activates Hezbollah, then, yea, very likely this will itensify.
h00r11z11n2003
8 months ago
Wondering whether Iranian attack on Israel just now increases or decreases odds of full invasion. If anything, I'd argue increases: Israel has a greater argument for establishing its own defense by force and can argue it would expect Hezbollah attacks in event of a war with Iran which now seems likely. Yesers, don't give up hope. What we're seeing right now from Israel is not the full invasion but shaping operations for a larger movement that will involve more troops and mechanized forces. And yes, they will have to establish temporary control over parts of Southern Lebanon to accomplish this. Remember, this isn't the invasion in September market. Don't count your chickens, but don't think we have egg on our face either. It's going to be a long month.
Donkov
8 months ago
Just have to enter israeli airspace, right?
AiBets
8 months ago
will the rockets land tho
Donkov
8 months ago
when it happens, it happens 😔
Donkov
8 months ago
Just going by their track record. Last time, these markets all YES went to 0. They had weeks time, now its just a single day. Good gamble imo.
Foreseeable.
8 months ago
I would be all over this YES market, but all the geniusses are on NO, so im afraid.
Donkov
8 months ago
wtf selling
Car
8 months ago
Wow you should buy some Y then
Donkov
8 months ago
false, and dare I say Homosexual
tsybka
8 months ago
Car, rockets are already flying.
Donkov
8 months ago
Two more weeks
Donkov
8 months ago
Mr HL, tear down that 89.7 wall
Donkov
8 months ago
Pretty much done deal, but lets wait for more evidence.
ActDrew
8 months ago
Everyone talking about total occupation really need to read the market rules, it clearly states "commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon". It could easily be argued that even without ground invasion, the military offensive and tactics being used currently are intended to control pretty much all of southern lebanon in order to push Hezbollah north of the Litani River. As per the IDF's own evacuation call for most towns south of the river. https://x.com/AvichayAdraee/status/1841045108537294975
Donkov
8 months ago
At the very least they have control over the border crossings that belong to Lebanon.
ActDrew
8 months ago
Everyone talking about total occupation really need to read the market rules, it clearly states "commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon". It could easily be argued that even without ground invasion, the military offensive and tactics being used currently are intended to control pretty much all of southern lebanon in order to push Hezbollah north of the Litani River. As per the IDF's own evacuation call for most towns south of the river. https://x.com/AvichayAdraee/status/1841045108537294975
Donkov
8 months ago
Everything happens all the time. In fact, it already happened. You aint getting those $134 back
Hamurabi
8 months ago
https://x.com/WarMonitors/status/1841025899291939315?t=8FPrA990NYAZ34yWfdPbHw&s=19
Donkov
8 months ago
lol "Israel’s army reports ‘intense fighting’ in southern Lebanon" https://www.aljazeera.com/program/newsfeed/2024/10/1/video-israels-army-reports-intense-fighting-in-southern-lebanon
Hamurabi
8 months ago
https://x.com/WarMonitors/status/1841025899291939315?t=8FPrA990NYAZ34yWfdPbHw&s=19
Donkov
8 months ago
Man, this is genuinely saddening for me to see. Blinded by greed. You must be quite new to the site? Such markets are impossible to overturn. It would have resolved to YES, even without the ground invasion beginning. There was enough evidence to tip it.
watever345
8 months ago
this is getting interesting
Donkov
8 months ago
Trust the plan NO bros. The mother of all squeezes is about to hit. Diamond hands
Donkov
8 months ago
Israelis just went for sight seeing. Cause they good neighbours. No combat lmao
Bigcash
8 months ago
Still waiting for a source that says Israel has troops in Lebanon for combat, only seeing some random intel gathering divisions, they probably have spec ops in lebanon already before the 30th
Donkov
8 months ago
Curios how you think this will work in your favor? The timer just ended few mins ago, and we are swarmed with articles of a limited ground offensive.
watever345
8 months ago
this is getting interesting
Donkov
8 months ago
crash NO bros with no survivors
HaterzLoserz
8 months ago
I may not be Hezbollah, but im here to terrorise your wallet
Donkov
8 months ago
bro, they are in Lebanon, right now
n/a
8 months ago
There are no confirmed raids today or previous to today on any trustworthy offical news channel. Isreal is still telling people to leave the suburbs.
Donkov
8 months ago
Thats better?
n/a
8 months ago
You probably look like the nasty faggot loser in your profile picture the way you're speaking to me 😂
Donkov
8 months ago
Its okay, sweaty. I'm sure you are going to win. I'm here for you. Try closing some other market positions? Its worth it, free money.
n/a
8 months ago
You probably look like the nasty faggot loser in your profile picture the way you're speaking to me 😂
Donkov
8 months ago
Theres nothing more to say. You will not recoup your losses with thise one, only lose more. Classic gambler pitfall
n/a
8 months ago
You have nothing more to say 🤣
Donkov
8 months ago
Keep buying no
n/a
8 months ago
"The IDF has yet to announce or confirm that any such ground invasion, the first IDF ground operation in Lebanon since the Second Lebanon War in 2006, has been launched."
Donkov
8 months ago
No bros in shambles https://x.com/Jerusalem_Post/status/1840851183654568138
Donkov
8 months ago
Trump mentions is back on the menu, bois!
Donkov
8 months ago
Doesnt matter. It already happened, lol
Reaper01
8 months ago
🚨🇮🇱NO ISRAELI SOLDIER HAS CROSSED INTO LEBANON YET Israeli media reports that no Israeli soldiers have crossed into Lebanon at this time. Source: Sky News Arabia
Donkov
8 months ago
just dont look at it, lol
severian
8 months ago
People who link tweets as evidence need to be banned.
Donkov
8 months ago
sauce?
cooker
8 months ago
"It is roughly 10:00pm in Israel, and the Invasion of Southern Lebanon has begun."
Donkov
8 months ago
False alarm. No bros, we got this.
Donkov
8 months ago
Someone (car) bought a lot of shares.
abdendriel
8 months ago
They are doing artillery shelling and the tanks are right on the border.
Donkov
8 months ago
did they invade?
Donkov
8 months ago
Be careful, Greater Israel ambitions include Beirut.
Donkov
8 months ago
Diamond hands NO bros. Squeeze the hedgies
Donkov
8 months ago
Completely wrong. If we get flooded by news that the city has fallen, outdated maps will not save no bros.
tsybka
8 months ago
You can share your thoughts and news as much as you want, but if the card specified in the rules is not updated by the time the market is resolved, you will lose.
Donkov
8 months ago
"Noooooooooooooo if you buy yes you are a scammer" So we went through all the stages of cope, now we are at the anger phase.
crow
8 months ago
For people wondering why the price of no is still low because there is a guy called 50-pence scammer who keeps buying yes shares thinking that it will resolve to yes if the price of yes is high
Donkov
8 months ago
Just trading, trying to farm rewards.
OhNos
8 months ago
My Guess is Israel will wait for the newly deployed F-15E, F-16, A-10 and F-22 fighter planes to arrive in the Middle East to help protect US troops before invading, My reasoning for taking NO on this market probably the Only US request Israel will listen too lol , remember they need our weapons if they plan to go to war.
Donkov
8 months ago
Bro, they already entered, lol
OhNos
8 months ago
My Guess is Israel will wait for the newly deployed F-15E, F-16, A-10 and F-22 fighter planes to arrive in the Middle East to help protect US troops before invading, My reasoning for taking NO on this market probably the Only US request Israel will listen too lol , remember they need our weapons if they plan to go to war.
Donkov
8 months ago
I-is it happening?
Donkov
8 months ago
Hey buddy, I think you got the wrong market. The invasion market is two scrolls down.
OhNos
8 months ago
My Guess is Israel will wait for the newly deployed F-15E, F-16, A-10 and F-22 fighter planes to arrive in the Middle East to help protect US troops before invading, My reasoning for taking NO on this market probably the Only US request Israel will listen too lol , remember they need our weapons if they plan to go to war.
Donkov
8 months ago
Ah, nvm, if that is indeed the case, then, yea. Lets see
Mr.Wellington
8 months ago
"But Israeli officials assured their American counterparts that they did not intend to follow up those incursions with a bigger operation by conventional forces or by occupying parts of southern Lebanon. U.S. officials said they believed the commandos would quickly pull back after the operations were finished."
Donkov
8 months ago
Would still be enough to resolve to yes
Mr.Wellington
8 months ago
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/30/us/politics/us-israel-lebanon-hezbollah.html
Donkov
8 months ago
Lost $30 😔
Donkov
8 months ago
This strongly reminds me of GME copers
Donkov
8 months ago
Yea, they were there sight seeing. Unarmed, right?
crow
8 months ago
for combat operations ، They didn't even fire a single shot
Donkov
8 months ago
Thanks, we need more volatility
HaterzLoserz
8 months ago
Ive sold so take it how you will, seems like this should resolve to yes to me personally. However, I just asked ChatGPT, and it said in the strictest sense it does not quality as combat operations. Now, fight over it in the comments please. "Sending special forces across an international border into another country to gather intelligence prior to an invasion typically does not fall under the definition of "combat operations" in the strictest military sense. However, it can depend on how the term "combat operations" is defined by the specific country or military organization." "
Donkov
8 months ago
Oh yea, the strike by end of August market. Wild, I tho you meant a current market :d
BlackSky123
8 months ago
No-bros, I'm sorry to break it to you, but you can't bond a war market! The Russia one flipped literally in the 11th hour! There is no rest for wars.
Donkov
8 months ago
Disputers? Our response?
Donkov
8 months ago
Wait, which Russian market do you mean?
BlackSky123
8 months ago
No-bros, I'm sorry to break it to you, but you can't bond a war market! The Russia one flipped literally in the 11th hour! There is no rest for wars.
Donkov
8 months ago
uh oh, dispooters arrived
Donkov
8 months ago
STOP THE STEAL
Kavim
8 months ago
SOMEONE NEED TO DO SOMETHING! ITS LITERALLY NO! https://oracle.uma.xyz/?project=Polymarket
Donkov
8 months ago
Yea, and he dumping at 100.00
Hugor21
8 months ago
50 pence pumping on y’all
Donkov
8 months ago
Theres multiple sources reporting incursions into lebanon. Including Hezbollah claiming they used arty to strike at troops.
n/a
8 months ago
For a polymarket newbie its hard to understand that many buy YES but its not clear if it would resolve YES by definition of the bet.
Donkov
8 months ago
Someone dispute? For fun
Donkov
8 months ago
Yea, a lot of issues. Logout then log back in
Foreseeable.
8 months ago
On another note: Do you guys have issues with the servers aswell? Sometimes my positions disappear and i got a heart attack because it says my portfolio shrunk by 2k :D Also, stock amount is sometimes off, or it doesnt show activity? Happens for me in multiple networks, from multiple devices etc.
Donkov
8 months ago
Whew, rekt
just.some.guy
8 months ago
I knew that today I'd be making one of two posts: either "Whew" or "Rekt". I sure wish it could've been the other one.
Donkov
8 months ago
Why not both? For some its whew for some its rekt. Lets all celebrate it together
just.some.guy
8 months ago
I knew that today I'd be making one of two posts: either "Whew" or "Rekt". I sure wish it could've been the other one.
Donkov
8 months ago
Is this how you lost 36k?
madkkee
8 months ago
No credible reporting, read the rules everyone
Donkov
8 months ago
Too many crazies holding till 100 or 0.
HaterzLoserz
8 months ago
I did in fact sell, price was too good considering the dispute and level of reporting around the special ops. If you compare price here to november invasion market, it just doesnt really make sense for an extra few % to push it for a day, rather than a month of window. if you can get out at a decent price, consider the move to november market is my advice. But idk shit :P
Donkov
8 months ago
bro, just sell until it goes to 0
n/a
8 months ago
This market got manipulated to hell. 50-Pence, aenews and the rest of the whales will dump on all of you before this gets resolved. Don't say I didn't warn you.
Donkov
8 months ago
funny, he couldve covered during the godsend fud, but instead to die on the hill
Foreseeable.
8 months ago
Said the guy who bought 90% no 3hs ago. I can relate.
Donkov
8 months ago
Its over 😔 . Time to raise the cope flag, and wear the emotional support ring
Donkov
8 months ago
Dont conflate invasion with raids
Tji22
8 months ago
18 mins ago Reporting from Amman, Jordan Al Jazeera is reporting from Jordan as it has been banned by the Israeli government. The message from the Israelis is that is operating from a position of inflated confidence, of victory, all guns blazing. Nothing will stop them. A ground operation is very much on the table. The feeling from the military is now is the time, in the next couple of days if it gets authorised. They feel it’s time to seize on the momentum of the blows they have given to the group, that if you stop, Hezbollah will be allowed to regroup.
Donkov
8 months ago
Thats right, they went for a picnic in enemy territory. Unarmed
ThisIsSparta
8 months ago
Nice manipulation. Combat operations is not intelligence operations, plus it has been done a few months ago and definitely not from September 18.
Donkov
8 months ago
Invade has much stricter rules. They need to capture ground.
BiggestBidenFan
8 months ago
Invade market still at 10%
Donkov
8 months ago
Source? @abdendriel
n/a
8 months ago
Furthermore, the rules require official confirmation by Hezbollah and Israel. This pump is completely based on nothing.
Donkov
8 months ago
It means either Hezbollah or Israel confirming would be used. Not both required.
n/a
8 months ago
Furthermore, the rules require official confirmation by Hezbollah and Israel. This pump is completely based on nothing.
Donkov
8 months ago
Can we get another ABC story? 🥺 👉👈
Donkov
8 months ago
One last thing. Russian Christmas is in January.
DFK
8 months ago
I tend to be on your side, yet I'm not positive they won't agree on a short Xmas truce or something along those lines. I'm positive it won't be over by 2025, but to resolve yes this market only needs a few hours break. I think it's unlikely, but very possible..
Donkov
8 months ago
"short Xmas truce" No chance. Plus, per the rules, it has to apply to every sector of the front.
DFK
8 months ago
I tend to be on your side, yet I'm not positive they won't agree on a short Xmas truce or something along those lines. I'm positive it won't be over by 2025, but to resolve yes this market only needs a few hours break. I think it's unlikely, but very possible..
Donkov
8 months ago
Who knows. One thing is for certain though, it would be a harder fight than Gaza. Dunno if the Israelis have the stomach for such casualties, but then again, it could be a very limited offensive.
MisTKy
8 months ago
You think they send all the troops at the border and did all the strikes for nothing ?
Donkov
8 months ago
Yep, rules cucks are a plague
🤺JustPunched
8 months ago
As far as the nutcases spamming in here, if the IDF conducts small raids in Lebanon where they enter and leave, this market will be NO and the troops enter market will be YES. If they start a ground offensive, this market will be YES. We went through this last year in Gaza with small scale missions not counting.
Donkov
8 months ago
tanks in 30mins
MisTKy
8 months ago
I just saw how they were sending 22 tanks :))
Donkov
8 months ago
Its not 0
YIMBYcaucus🏡
8 months ago
0 china's would be an all-time trump outlier
Donkov
8 months ago
He often says that he wants one for America, just like Israel
n/a
8 months ago
whats the context with misseli shield?
Donkov
8 months ago
"they are a non factor " We all know it
Justifax
8 months ago
this is a big deal imho, because the US is the one factor that could stop a ground invasion. Sounds like they are a non factor .. which we already suspected, ofc
Donkov
8 months ago
As if this golem has a choice
abdendriel
8 months ago
US Defence Secretary told Yoav Gallant that US have their backs no matter what.
Donkov
8 months ago
In our hearts
Donkov
8 months ago
Nasrallah is alive
Donkov
8 months ago
Nasrallah is alive
Donkov
8 months ago
Happy 2025!
Donkov
8 months ago
Guys... the live event is not the Town Hall. The Town Hall is later today.
Donkov
8 months ago
It should not in my opinion. They dropped the ball on this one. He always says it as you point out - "Missile defense shield" and the price reflects it.
OddsMaker77
8 months ago
Does Missile Defense Shield count as Missile Shield?
Donkov
8 months ago
info 100%
T123
8 months ago
hearing iran preparing to attack tonight
Donkov
8 months ago
It could escalate further, due to response from Iran/Lebanon.
Vladyslav322
8 months ago
Well the problem of this market right now is Israel people have Shabbat tomorrow and during shabbat thay willnot attack, so this market is frozen to monday
Donkov
8 months ago
Well, good thing the market is till end of Oct
Vladyslav322
8 months ago
Well the problem of this market right now is Israel people have Shabbat tomorrow and during shabbat thay willnot attack, so this market is frozen to monday
Donkov
8 months ago
Everything happens all the time
Donkov
8 months ago
Or had any to begin with.
Donkov
8 months ago
Lets see if they have any teeth left.
Donkov
8 months ago
Lets see if they have any teeth left.
FFM
8 months ago
If they really got him, Israel isn't messing around anymore. First the pagers, then blowing up their rocket stocks, now cutting off the head of the snake... I didn't expect Hezbollah to go down so easily.
Donkov
8 months ago
They could be lying, but they are the first on the ground. BDA can go only so much.
Dropper11
8 months ago
And we are trusting a terrorist organization instead of Israel? That doesnt seem good to me
Donkov
8 months ago
Yes, next step up is killing Iran's Ayatollah.
McLarry
8 months ago
Has Israel crossed a red line with the killing of Nasrallah?
Donkov
8 months ago
Just wait for 100% confirmation, before submitting
Eyebrows
8 months ago
Time to play the "consensus of credible reporting" game and here's your host: UMA! Please have your $750 ready.
Donkov
8 months ago
https://www.dailysabah.com/world/mid-east/nasrallah-survives-unprecedented-israeli-strikes-on-lebanons-beirut
Donkov
8 months ago
What a disaster. ggs
Donkov
8 months ago
he keeps tweeting lol
addicts
8 months ago
hopefully he is sleep
Donkov
8 months ago
Funny, this is exactly how the last days of Bakhmut went. Raining down phospherous https://x.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/1839378157226659944
Donkov
8 months ago
Just read the arguments. Interesting stuff, but the explicit part is where it falls short imo. No skin in the game, just watching on the sidelines.
mr.ozi
8 months ago
If anyone wonders why 'No' is relatively cheap and 'Yes' relatively expensive, here's some context: https://discord.com/channels/710897173927297116/817444472009785366/1288919166262448249
Donkov
8 months ago
https://www.reuters.com/world/biden-announces-8-billion-military-aid-ukraine-2024-09-26/
Donkov
8 months ago
Interesting, thank you
abdendriel
8 months ago
“The New Middle East”, “Next Phase”, “Boots” - our thoughts become our words and our words become our actions and our actions become who we are.
Donkov
8 months ago
source?
abdendriel
8 months ago
“The New Middle East”, “Next Phase”, “Boots” - our thoughts become our words and our words become our actions and our actions become who we are.
Donkov
8 months ago
Balls of steel, bro
HaterzLoserz
8 months ago
https://i.chzbgr.com/full/9303007232/hDB0D547F/photo-caption-me-after-every-terror-attack-isit-time-for-the-crusade-yet-memegeneratornet
Donkov
8 months ago
Why would the CCP tolerate such 5th columnists?
Donkov
8 months ago
What kind of cope is that?
CometoJesusMoment
8 months ago
no ceasefire. this is a policy, the US cannot openly support Israeli aggression, we will see in the next few hours that nobody will comply with this declaration, what happens on the ground and what is on paper are different in the Middle East.
Donkov
8 months ago
https://news.sky.com/story/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-gaza-war-latest-sky-news-live-blog-12978800
CometoJesusMoment
8 months ago
hahaha no
Donkov
8 months ago
Nice entry price
Justifax
8 months ago
Hopefully peace is the October Surprise this year.
Donkov
8 months ago
Why worry about missiles, when the US foots the bill?
Vladyslav322
8 months ago
people who believes in ceasefire also believes in santa claus probably. Imagine wasting thousends missles today for a ceasefire tomorrow is a joke. Car will just sell on a good price after you invest in Not and leave that thread xd
Donkov
8 months ago
Crypto bros... This is our chance
Donkov
8 months ago
What in tarnation is going on?
Donkov
8 months ago
Nah, bro. Its tottally happening
TRUTH
8 months ago
Lemme buy YES on 1c if you are that sure :)
Donkov
8 months ago
Didnt you also buy 15k NO on Slava Ukraini? After he literally says it right at the end?
eb..
8 months ago
people can miscount. including me. But I have to say, I was focused today. and I have counted 7 china only. I recommend it now. price at 2 to 20.
Donkov
8 months ago
gj, bro
PapaFrancis
8 months ago
Not usually a gloater but I finally scored big
Donkov
8 months ago
Watch this channel. They are on top on Trump events https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u5q5v7BZt_g
IONLYBETONX
8 months ago
OMG I WATCHED THE WRONG STREMA ALL THIS TIME"? WTF GG
Donkov
8 months ago
lmao
IONLYBETONX
8 months ago
OMG I WATCHED THE WRONG STREMA ALL THIS TIME"? WTF GG
Donkov
8 months ago
I got exactly 10 China. Lost 300$ on that shit
Donkov
8 months ago
Border 22
Donkov
8 months ago
Trans women are real women. Wrap it up
Donkov
8 months ago
Trans women are real women. Theres no winning here, wrap it up
Donkov
8 months ago
aha, sure
ASim
8 months ago
It was a bit hard to make out. He either said crime or criminal
Donkov
8 months ago
Stop the market until we figure out what the hell is going on
Donkov
8 months ago
Wut? What did he say that I missed?
ASim
8 months ago
It's possible that criminal hit depending on how the UMA gods interpret the rules
Donkov
8 months ago
Did not hear it
eb..
8 months ago
I'm in doubt about kursk. he said it?
Donkov
8 months ago
Those that did not hit - Criminal, Himars, Kursk, Money. Everything else was hit
Donkov
8 months ago
Its a man, baby
Donkov
8 months ago
Which is more dear to you?
Car
8 months ago
Hezbollah and my balance is about to get slaughtered!
Donkov
8 months ago
Chasing a pipe dream to make it back :/ many such cases
bakayo33 - 9934
8 months ago
LMAO check out nikitkas pnl
Donkov
8 months ago
Bro buying lottery tickets
Nikitka
8 months ago
You are welcome! 🫡
Donkov
8 months ago
Well, scam for billions and billions, while having orgies high on meth, then get 2 years. Not too shabby.
Donkov
8 months ago
LOCK HER UP "She is sentenced to 24 months."
Donkov
8 months ago
Wrap it up, judge
Donkov
8 months ago
Judge wants SBF's sloppy seconds
Donkov
8 months ago
Source?
kekkone
8 months ago
it's in tomorrow's morning session, he's the fourth speaker. 10-11 AM-ish ET
Donkov
8 months ago
Wrap it up, holy shit
Donkov
8 months ago
Yea, not betting against his repertoaire, unless its at major discount, lol
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
he's obsessed with it, think I'm done with betting No unless he arrives late for a TV event
Donkov
8 months ago
Its time to stap talking
Donkov
8 months ago
Bigly if true
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
elon endorsed him at a level you wouldn't believe
Donkov
8 months ago
I believe so, yea
Wallonie4Congress
8 months ago
comrade kamala at 1, right?
Donkov
8 months ago
Surely we have more borders up there somewhere
Donkov
8 months ago
COMRADE KAMALA back on the menu bois
Donkov
8 months ago
Ah yes, the most moral army in the world.
Justifax
8 months ago
It's https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dahiya_doctrine The logic is to harm the civilian population so much that they will then turn against the militants, forcing the enemy to sue for peace.
Donkov
8 months ago
Thank the gods its not AI slop
Gena🐊
8 months ago
LOL the picture. Whoever is in charge of that deserves a raise!
Donkov
8 months ago
Its a def yes, if the tips touch.
🤺JustPunched
8 months ago
What if they briefly touch fingers, but Walz pulls his hand away and brushes the side of his hair down and says "Gotcha"
Donkov
8 months ago
kek https://nypost.com/2024/09/23/us-news/volodymyr-zelensky-calls-jd-vance-too-radical-ahead-of-potential-meeting-with-trump/
Donkov
8 months ago
Pull out from Gaza, then Hez will stop.
Justifax
8 months ago
OK no folks, honest question: What does Israel do if bombing Lebanon doesn't stop Hez from lobbing missiles? Imho, you're arguing that Hezbollah will be deterred and Israel will be able to move its people back to the north..
Donkov
8 months ago
Russians just had a breakthrough into the city. Small locality https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/0/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=47.78106660116674%2C37.2668095389118&z=14
Donkov
8 months ago
didn't do nothing the nation
elon69
8 months ago
Jews can't help themselves
Donkov
8 months ago
When Domer joins the car fud chorus. A time to buy NO?
🤺JustPunched
8 months ago
[All new information]: Wow, this confirms my bet is great.
Donkov
8 months ago
10% for the Big Guy, ofc
Donkov
8 months ago
Its almost as if Barron writes his speeches, then bets on poly.
Donkov
8 months ago
Its almost as if Barron writes his speeches, then bets on poly.
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
i'm traumatized after the last Comrade failure so he'll probably blast it out a bunch of times today, especially after talking about chyna earlier in the day
Donkov
8 months ago
Any diddy victims in chat? Did he record, should we buy YES?
Donkov
8 months ago
Bro... these are fake reruns. Be very careful what channels you watch. Rightside broadcast tends to keep up with Trump and his campaign events.
KoliBets
8 months ago
He said it already for times and the speech is far from the end 💯 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yqki4KnHY6M&ab_channel=TIMESNOW
Donkov
8 months ago
Yea. MOD is not active, but Medvedev still posts. Light him up https://x.com/MedvedevRussiaE
JoebamaBiden
8 months ago
if someone tells the Russians that we have a bet here, they'll take it tomorrow
Donkov
8 months ago
https://x.com/mod_russia
JoebamaBiden
8 months ago
if someone tells the Russians that we have a bet here, they'll take it tomorrow
Donkov
8 months ago
Bombing civies is part and parcel for Israel. Just pointing out that this is how Gaza started. They ordered civies to move.
Justifax
8 months ago
Lol, you mean the part where they bombed civilians and exploded pagers in public spaces didn't count?
Donkov
8 months ago
Bro, if these mfers actually invade... https://x.com/EndGameWW3/status/1838085743194870001
Donkov
8 months ago
Probably not. In my opinion, no.
NotJustKen
8 months ago
Does "change the sex" counts as Sex Change?
Donkov
8 months ago
Could be, but he has to tweet 50+ every day for 4 days straight. I dont put it past him, he has been posting his diarrhea so far.
MrNFT
8 months ago
300 week incoming?!
Donkov
8 months ago
We desperately need plain Comrade over/under market, instead of Comrade Kamala. Trump is trolling us
Donkov
8 months ago
L'AMOUR TOUJOURS
Milktoast
8 months ago
Constantinople will be ours, Europe will be retaken. Roaches and muzzies everywhere btfo yet again. ausIander RAUS
Donkov
8 months ago
What an awesome finale
Donkov
8 months ago
gg
Donkov
8 months ago
Yeap, tight window, what a dramatic ending to this market.
HaterzLoserz
8 months ago
Could go either way, Russia made a push but its one of those long narrow breakthroughs where Ukraine potentially still has controlling of the flanking buildings making it very hard for russia to keep pushing thru the central line deeper to the church. Ukraine has surely been expecting this and has reinforced those positions heavily. This may turn into a meat grinder for the next week and save the No side. But if Russia throws enough at this, then it likely makes sense for ukraine to cut losses and fall back to the next line in the city.
Donkov
8 months ago
Перемирия тpебyют наши сеpдца
Gena🐊
8 months ago
А я хочу перемирия а я прошу перемирия
Donkov
8 months ago
That would be funny, if it happens. Hope we get neutral moderators, not a repeat ambus, but this time against her.
yoonmarketenjoyer
8 months ago
My theory is Trump is trying to leverage the fact that Harris wants more debates in order to eventually get her to accept the Fox invitation.
Donkov
8 months ago
The bandits will be driven out inshallah
Donkov
8 months ago
He says that immigrants can request sex change operations.
Keni
8 months ago
Why is Sex Change so high?
Donkov
8 months ago
You gonna spam this board now? Trump flip flops, so dont be surprised, if he actually debates again.
Mountainman
8 months ago
Trump flat out said NO to CNN, no negotiation of terms whatsoever. Literally 0% chance Kamala agrees to a Fox debate. Not to mention that every week they send a new assassin after Trump. This one is over Boys and Girls! Anything under 90 cents is a bargain.
Donkov
8 months ago
Its a quote of Donnie
Mountainman
8 months ago
Did a monkey just slam your keyboard or did you willingly decide to assault the English language?
Donkov
8 months ago
Bro just dump 5 borders in 20secs
Donkov
8 months ago
CHINA
Donkov
8 months ago
for sure 2, maybe 3
n/a
8 months ago
how many china
Donkov
8 months ago
CHYNA VAIRUS
Donkov
8 months ago
CHINA VIRUS
thakattack19
8 months ago
did Xi tell his bitch to stop talking about China?
Donkov
8 months ago
Sussy
BlackSky123
8 months ago
It's at one, not zero.
Donkov
8 months ago
N'WAH
Donkov
8 months ago
gz, bro
rohitram43
8 months ago
I am out. Thank you (again), Mr. Trump!
Donkov
8 months ago
Sus China at 0
Donkov
8 months ago
ARE LESS SEXY
Donkov
8 months ago
Bring back border czar market!
Donkov
8 months ago
Another comrade missfire, right? lmao
Donkov
8 months ago
more like 6 or 7 lol
thakattack19
8 months ago
5 maga lol
Donkov
8 months ago
MAGA
Donkov
8 months ago
Still could not help himself to blur it out a couple of times (yes, yes, doesnt count here)
BuckMySalls
8 months ago
impressive they got him off Comrade, I wonder how long it lasts
Donkov
8 months ago
I heard at the very least 3
SkillzThatKillz
8 months ago
Just two millions so far?
Donkov
8 months ago
COMRADE KA-HMALA
Donkov
8 months ago
Hold the line, comrades. This just confirms he is using the term again.
Donkov
8 months ago
KA-HMALA
Donkov
8 months ago
молодец
Gena🐊
8 months ago
been selling too to derisk, soon I'll have a big boy's portfolio if I keep reading Russian propaganda
Donkov
8 months ago
Happens, dumped my bags after carrying them for awhile, cant be mad.
sigh
8 months ago
bro you sold me yes at 27 😭
Donkov
8 months ago
Z
Donkov
8 months ago
NO bros got way too cocky
Donkov
8 months ago
NO bros got way too cocky
Donkov
8 months ago
What kind of 4d chess is this? Magapedes, explain yourselves. "Trump suggested last week that he might be open to participating in a third presidential debate following his September 10 face-off with Harris hosted by ABC in Philadelphia. “Maybe if I got in the right mood,” he told reporters during a stop in California, after previously posting on Truth Social, “THERE WILL BE NO THIRD DEBATE!” "
Donkov
8 months ago
Yep, shaping up to be exciting finals. Heres hoping for Navi vs EF
BreadWinner
8 months ago
ye it was expected. They had a really good tourn till now.
Donkov
8 months ago
Daymn, Eternal Fire dumpstering MBIR
Donkov
8 months ago
Doesnt look like. Weird for hohols to blow their own men presumably this far behind the lines.
Gena🐊
8 months ago
@GreedyMacFear is this Russian propaganda?
Donkov
8 months ago
Russians are literally few hundred meters from the church. The commie block protecting the church has fallen https://x.com/YourmediaAgency/status/1837427691118624979
Donkov
8 months ago
2 more rallies, crypto bros. We got this in the bag
Donkov
8 months ago
this time for sure, crypto bros
MrNFT
8 months ago
HES GONNA SAY "and we love the Bitcoin community, don't we" around halfway into his rally tomorrow!
Donkov
8 months ago
sold to you
n/a
8 months ago
Can't believe I got Comrade Kamala for 20c, y'all are cray cray
Donkov
9 months ago
Be a good woman and please your men
SusanWarren,HR
9 months ago
Is Counter-strike that video game? Ian wants to get it but absolutely no way will I allow that in my house.
Donkov
9 months ago
if anyone buys a good chunk of that sitting order, then they will try it
MrNFT
9 months ago
Time to propose
Donkov
9 months ago
They will try to scam the pedo market
MrNFT
9 months ago
Time to propose
Donkov
9 months ago
nvm, down $13
Donkov
9 months ago
Recouped by switching sides lol, like 1$ ahead on that trade lmao
Donkov
9 months ago
Recouped by switching sides lol, like 1$ ahead on that trade lmao
YIMBYcaucus🏡
9 months ago
“I came to a spot that was a dead end but had two big vent covers over it! It just so happened it overlooked the showers! I sat there for about an hour and watched as several girls came in and showered,” Robinson wrote on Nude Africa. CNN is not publishing the graphic sexual details of Robinson’s story. “I went peeping again the next morning,” Robinson wrote. “but after that I went back the ladder was locked! So those two times where [sic] the only times I got to do it! Ahhhhh memories!!!!”
Donkov
9 months ago
Hes got my vote
Donkov
9 months ago
“I went peeping again the next morning,” Robinson wrote, lmao
YIMBYcaucus🏡
9 months ago
“I came to a spot that was a dead end but had two big vent covers over it! It just so happened it overlooked the showers! I sat there for about an hour and watched as several girls came in and showered,” Robinson wrote on Nude Africa. CNN is not publishing the graphic sexual details of Robinson’s story. “I went peeping again the next morning,” Robinson wrote. “but after that I went back the ladder was locked! So those two times where [sic] the only times I got to do it! Ahhhhh memories!!!!”
Donkov
9 months ago
link it
YIMBYcaucus🏡
9 months ago
“I came to a spot that was a dead end but had two big vent covers over it! It just so happened it overlooked the showers! I sat there for about an hour and watched as several girls came in and showered,” Robinson wrote on Nude Africa. CNN is not publishing the graphic sexual details of Robinson’s story. “I went peeping again the next morning,” Robinson wrote. “but after that I went back the ladder was locked! So those two times where [sic] the only times I got to do it! Ahhhhh memories!!!!”
Donkov
9 months ago
chat gpt generated
YIMBYcaucus🏡
9 months ago
“I came to a spot that was a dead end but had two big vent covers over it! It just so happened it overlooked the showers! I sat there for about an hour and watched as several girls came in and showered,” Robinson wrote on Nude Africa. CNN is not publishing the graphic sexual details of Robinson’s story. “I went peeping again the next morning,” Robinson wrote. “but after that I went back the ladder was locked! So those two times where [sic] the only times I got to do it! Ahhhhh memories!!!!”
Donkov
9 months ago
Buy I want to bet yes on other.
EdgyUsername
9 months ago
Actually, we have it. You can bet no on everything.
Donkov
9 months ago
But that would cover whatever is not listed.
Apsalar
9 months ago
this market isn't negrisk
Donkov
9 months ago
We need "Other"
Donkov
9 months ago
Agenda leaked https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3D6UEm1L-n4
Donkov
9 months ago
Math checks out
Gena🐊
9 months ago
People don't realize that if Trump says probably this is a 70%. If Zelenski says probably this is also a 70%. 70% * 70% is 49%. That's a coinflip!
Donkov
9 months ago
Maybe this time Hezbollah will hit a barn full of cows.
Donkov
9 months ago
Trying to bait a response
sd2333
9 months ago
All over twitter, but I'm not seeing the primary reporting https://x.com/WW3_Monitor/status/1836763838932234288
Donkov
9 months ago
gz lol, clutch
Car
9 months ago
the unemployment rate is too high, this unemployment rate needs to come down. To do this, we need to get more employment. How do I fix the employment you may ask? I dont know. But ill think about the unemployment next time. The end.
Donkov
9 months ago
25BPS LEAK BHAHAHAHAHAHAHHA
Donkov
9 months ago
HOYL SHIT
Donkov
9 months ago
No fun allowed. let me farm the damn reward
Donkov
9 months ago
The world crashes with no survivors. Except no changes bros
Cobretti
9 months ago
What happens to the markets if it's no change or +25 bps?
Donkov
9 months ago
leak bros got excited
🤺JustPunched
9 months ago
Why are you weirdos shuffling to 25bp?
Donkov
9 months ago
NO CHANGES
Donkov
9 months ago
yea, sure
SeedOilGooner
9 months ago
25BPS LEAKED-BLOOMBERG WHISPERS
Donkov
9 months ago
Where no changes bros at?
Donkov
9 months ago
this time for sure!
TrumpoDumpo
9 months ago
Pretty sure the turd will be shilling his worthless crypto tonight.
Donkov
9 months ago
That would be funny
Car
9 months ago
Secret Service could cancel the rally if the explosives that just got found near the Trump rally are sometimes serious.
Donkov
9 months ago
I HATE Taylor Swift
Donkov
9 months ago
Red, because we crashin the economy, baby
Donkov
9 months ago
No changes, for fun
Donkov
9 months ago
lil bro tweaking again
Donkov
9 months ago
не тыкай медведя
Gena🐊
9 months ago
BTW the kremlin answered my angry mail telling me they are increasing the army size MFW LOL
Donkov
9 months ago
stop the steal
BlackSky123
9 months ago
Omg guys, it was proposed before 4 pm, someone dispute!!!
Donkov
9 months ago
Its over 😔
Donkov
9 months ago
ok, rigger
Le-King
9 months ago
Trump was not able to accept defeat, he lost these elections mate (in part cuz he's an old grumpy man, not a lot of people like a yelling 80 years old)
Donkov
9 months ago
This is how Trump must have felt on Jan 6
Donkov
9 months ago
uBlock origin - block element
BlackSky123
9 months ago
Anyone else hate the live button on this site? What's even the point?
Donkov
9 months ago
STOP THE COUNT
Donkov
9 months ago
do the needful
PolyRig-Fried
9 months ago
So we are 10mins into the count, and Harris is 2.2 ct ahead... shall I buy Trump for teh lulz?
Donkov
9 months ago
I will never recover financially from this...
Donkov
9 months ago
2 point difference.. Its over for Trump, before it even begins
Donkov
9 months ago
Toretsk, but, yea. Good luck recapturing whole of Kursk in a month and a half.
HaterzLoserz
9 months ago
Pokrovsk market they only need to take the Church in the town for the market to resolve I believe. Kursk they need to regain every inch on the map. Massive difference in terms of resolution requirements. They are only a few city blocks away from the Church at times on the map.
Donkov
9 months ago
Never marry to a position. Me, personally, lost 2.5k doing that shit, and here is Mountainman still spamming the board after few weeks, when he was able to take profits.
Donkov
9 months ago
They side with what will make em most money (as they should)
SexPistols
9 months ago
i have a strange feeling whales are gunna side with trump this time
Donkov
9 months ago
Even tho there is pretty much no chance in hell, he has support there. I think its projecting that he will be there for all states if he wins.
Gena🐊
9 months ago
Why is he ever ralling in NY?
Donkov
9 months ago
"Barron was gonna be the chief something " Bro, what kind of grift is he running, right before the election
thakattack19
9 months ago
I thought Barron was gonna be the chief something of the new World Liberty Financial company?
Donkov
9 months ago
You will never be a real trader. You have no instinct, you have no strategy, you have no edge. You are a desperate gambler twisted by greed and delusion into a crude mockery of market success. All the “praise” you get is insincere and half-hearted. Behind your back, people mock you. Your mentors are disappointed and ashamed of you, your “peers” laugh at your reckless decisions behind closed doors. Investors are utterly repulsed by you. Thousands of years of market wisdom have allowed professionals to sniff out frauds with incredible efficiency. Even traders who “win” once in a while look suspicious and unreliable to seasoned investors. Your lack of discipline is a dead giveaway. And even if you manage to land a lucky trade, the market will humble you the moment volatility rises and exposes your flawed approach. You will never find true success. You force out a confident grin every time you open a new position, convincing yourself that this time will be different, but deep inside, the anxiety and fear creep up like a looming crash, waiting to bury you under the unbearable weight of your losses.
BuckMySalls
9 months ago
just too close for comfort for me to hold a bigger position with the main market being so tight. on other platforms kamala pulled ahead as she should have with a post-debate poll bounce but the magatards are strong on this one and I won't bet against someone with an agenda messing with the main market tomorrow
Donkov
9 months ago
Stop whining and enjoy the volatility
BuckMySalls
9 months ago
just too close for comfort for me to hold a bigger position with the main market being so tight. on other platforms kamala pulled ahead as she should have with a post-debate poll bounce but the magatards are strong on this one and I won't bet against someone with an agenda messing with the main market tomorrow
Donkov
9 months ago
Amazing, thank you, poly mods
Donkov
9 months ago
CAM ON TRAMP POST SOM FACKIN TWEETS
Donkov
9 months ago
it would be hilarious if this retarded boomer tries to throw Ukies under the bus, even if they had nothing to do with it https://x.com/medvedevrussiae/status/1835568435784187913
Gena🐊
9 months ago
He was working for Ukraine. Is /pol/ considered a credible source?
Donkov
9 months ago
And we love it
Microtonal
9 months ago
this is the fkn craziest website lol
Donkov
9 months ago
Flash news. Ex commie hellhole is corrupt (yes, including your fav Ukraini)
Nasi_Goreng
9 months ago
NO holders are being lied to by their oh so truthful and trusted Führers. But don't believe me, an anon shitposter on the internet, believe the people who are losing their lives for a senseless war based on even more lies: https://x.com/wartranslated/status/1834631455994945728
Donkov
9 months ago
It all returns to nothing
Donkov
9 months ago
"Trump was the subject of an apparent assassination attempt at his Florida golf club, the FBI says" https://apnews.com/article/trump-shooting-gunshots-florida-f62f8378d3a8ce7b2e99d6a8fb40aba9
Donkov
9 months ago
Wonder if they cancel it lol
Donkov
9 months ago
Yea, not touching this shit
TheRickyBobby
9 months ago
Will resolve based on what the FBI “believes” most likely? Lmao.
Donkov
9 months ago
AK-47? Clearly affiliated with Russia
Donkov
9 months ago
Cant vote in 2024 primary if he aint registered Dem
semi
9 months ago
read the rules carefully
Donkov
9 months ago
03/05/2024 PRIMARY IN-PERSON ELECTION DAY GUILFORD DEMOCRATIC
Donkov
9 months ago
Doesnt mean shit. Look at Crooks
MrNFT
9 months ago
Contributed to D from act blue
Donkov
9 months ago
It was just .1cent at the time of writing.
PolyRig-Fried
9 months ago
.5ct in favour for Kamala. What are you talking about?
Donkov
9 months ago
Hopefully, but you never know what might happen, that could shake things up.
Erasmus
9 months ago
Is the main market just going to stay at 50-50 all election because of these games?
Donkov
9 months ago
Neck and neck baby .01C apart
Donkov
9 months ago
Just .06C apart
Donkov
9 months ago
Good for Trump they dont let him schizo post on X https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/113142103182027626
Donkov
9 months ago
two more weeks
tsybka
9 months ago
Well... where are the drones?
Donkov
9 months ago
Trust the plan.
Platinum
9 months ago
Syria? Lebnanon, sure. Syria???
Donkov
9 months ago
Yea, I had to learn that lesson the hard way too
Masf82
9 months ago
Motherfucker had to say rig
Donkov
9 months ago
Get out
Quasi
9 months ago
"Make America Great" would be considered a MAGA-themed statement?
Donkov
9 months ago
Never bet against orange man's repertoire
Masf82
9 months ago
Motherfucker had to say rig
Donkov
9 months ago
Huge delay if you aint from the US
SkillzThatKillz
9 months ago
How do people bet so fast? Even if I have my finger waiting to sign when he says “rig” everyone is faster than me wtf
Donkov
9 months ago
Its over
Donkov
9 months ago
Pretty sure he sadi 5x earlier, but whatevert. Was rewidning watching on speed 2x lol
Donkov
9 months ago
China bond
Donkov
9 months ago
China bond
Donkov
9 months ago
China 5
Donkov
9 months ago
Honestly, going over some of his schizo posting, its good for his campaign, that he keeps most of the stuff on his platform.
OtoyaYamaguchi
9 months ago
the dude should just use x.com if he's posting tweets
Donkov
9 months ago
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/113117159823478251
Donkov
9 months ago
Putin also ordered the 3 day SMO
tsybka
9 months ago
Putin Ordered His Troops To Defeat The Ukrainian Invasion Of Kursk By Oct. 1. - https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2024/09/11/vladimir-putin-ordered-his-troops-to-defeat-the-ukrainian-invasion-of-kursk-by-oct-1-they-just-attacked/?ss=aerospace-defense
Donkov
9 months ago
But both can be true. Rigged against him, but still won
midastouch
9 months ago
i bet on him making up his mind and sticking to saying that he "won the debate" instead of saying that it was rigged against him. it is foolish and contradictory to say both, but trump is quite unique
Donkov
9 months ago
The bane of NO bros. Our new Krynky https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/0/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=51.31962320931034%2C34.32451428127513&z=13
Donkov
9 months ago
When the times comes, just search for "Trump arizona rally"
dodged-a-bullet
9 months ago
How can I find a broadcast on YouTube?
Donkov
9 months ago
There does seem to be reports of a counter offensive. Some villages retaken, but the silence is very odd. Usually we get geolocated videos of the skirmishes.
GreedyMacFear
9 months ago
Have you seen other, trustable source? So far BBC, TASS i SF are silent.
Donkov
9 months ago
THERES NO PANIC IN KURSK
Donkov
9 months ago
Based Magnus delivering
Donkov
9 months ago
Crypto bros... next time for sure
Donkov
9 months ago
Honestly, Its a bit scary to hold this, because they might approve shadow storm and scalps to strike deep into Russia. Unlikely, but still a chance.
Gena🐊
9 months ago
Donkov dont fuck with me like in Trumps interview, should I kupit' more or prodat' it all?
Donkov
9 months ago
Nope, not yet.
HorsInCrypto
9 months ago
stupid market. It started with 150+ tweets and now 400+. Really? you are making it impossible to win and I think most people wont gamble on this market anymore. So Poly is just losing money,lol
Donkov
9 months ago
They dont make any money
HorsInCrypto
9 months ago
stupid market. It started with 150+ tweets and now 400+. Really? you are making it impossible to win and I think most people wont gamble on this market anymore. So Poly is just losing money,lol
Donkov
9 months ago
Is that a threat?
BennyS
9 months ago
0 debate holders are about to become $0 holders
Donkov
9 months ago
Quick rundown on mosquitos?
Donkov
9 months ago
Nothing ever happens
Donkov
9 months ago
Bro... lets do that again. Same time next week?
Donkov
9 months ago
ALERT⚠️STOP THE STEAL
Donkov
9 months ago
STOP THE MARKET
Donkov
9 months ago
!ALERT! THEY ARE BACK !ALERT!
Donkov
9 months ago
Kamala sisters... not like this 😔
Donkov
9 months ago
ITS OVER 😔
Donkov
9 months ago
!ALERT! MARKET MANIPULATION !ALERT!
Donkov
9 months ago
!ALERT! STOP THE RIG !ALERT!
Donkov
9 months ago
No change 😩🙏
Donkov
9 months ago
Or he may not. I've seen him do this (and lose money)
Kaito
9 months ago
280-299 is way overpriced, Elon can easily tweet 7 times in a minute I've seen him do it this very week
Donkov
9 months ago
Agent Z
Donkov
9 months ago
Gonna be tight
Phoenix777
9 months ago
is the tracker working? whi isnt it showing his posts...
Donkov
9 months ago
Let me know when he starts poo poo pee peeing
Car
9 months ago
HE IS AWAKE
Donkov
9 months ago
The fack, cant see it
Car
9 months ago
HE IS AWAKE
Donkov
9 months ago
eh? he is? lol, you scoping out his house?
Car
9 months ago
HE IS AWAKE
Donkov
9 months ago
The fuck? He still not tweeting
Donkov
9 months ago
One of my proudest moments Donkov sold 200 Yes for 280-299 at 30.0¢ ($60); Donkov bought 200 Yes for 280-299 at 34.0¢ ($68)
Donkov
9 months ago
The 1:12 pace
Donkov
9 months ago
Gang shit
Donkov
9 months ago
Your video suck, you have no talent. You are no trader. A trader respects a clean message board that serves the foundaition of trading.
Garni
9 months ago
Yes most definitely https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W5UCQOc0Zo8
Donkov
9 months ago
All eyes on 280-299 and 300+
Donkov
9 months ago
Austin, Texas, I believe
Donkov
9 months ago
We are so back
Donkov
9 months ago
We are so back
Donkov
9 months ago
If the recording picks it up, then it should count imo
nonum
9 months ago
What happens if he says something while he's muted?
Donkov
9 months ago
CAM ON ELON LETS POST SAM FAKING TWEETS
Donkov
9 months ago
I've been waiting for my layoff for few years. I wanna be neet living on guberment gibs
X9504
9 months ago
Using this to hedge the loss of my own job
Donkov
9 months ago
Yep
FOEBOE
9 months ago
800,000k job revision, I say YES!
Donkov
9 months ago
Forecast is 4.2%
FOEBOE
9 months ago
800,000k job revision, I say YES!
Donkov
9 months ago
https://polymarket.com/refunds
Johnjones42
9 months ago
?
Donkov
9 months ago
Disputed lmao
Donkov
9 months ago
Just breached 200
Donkov
9 months ago
DUMFUQ Johnjones 🤡🤡🤡 Buy 58 sell 56 🤣🤣🤣🤣
Donkov
9 months ago
Its coming home
Donkov
9 months ago
What the hell is happening?
Donkov
9 months ago
Anyone got source on the white papers?
Donkov
9 months ago
Based mods giving us crypto NO bond
Donkov
9 months ago
Yea, literally one of the reasons I'm looking at YES
XiJinPing
9 months ago
Isnt "OmenOfLord" the same guy that was pumping the Lex interview market, and LOST ALL HIS MONEY? LOL
Donkov
9 months ago
Orange cats are known for their wits
Mountainman
9 months ago
After the project was announced yesterday by media sites like coin desk the price shot up to the .54-64 range. After the twitter hack it then pushed up to .70, before tanking when the hack was announced. The hack is not what the original pump was about, and a lot of clueless "NO" buyers are about to get washed when they start realizing this.
Donkov
9 months ago
Tell me more and I might reconsider. Is car correct in saying there was a test token?
Mountainman
9 months ago
After the project was announced yesterday by media sites like coin desk the price shot up to the .54-64 range. After the twitter hack it then pushed up to .70, before tanking when the hack was announced. The hack is not what the original pump was about, and a lot of clueless "NO" buyers are about to get washed when they start realizing this.
Donkov
9 months ago
Saaars. Donald is on the white paper, ok? do the needful and buy YES, ok?
Mountainman
9 months ago
Donald Trump is in the white paper. Project has been announced. Official Twitter Bio implies that token is coming. NFT already released last week on top of all of this. We have 2 Months for one tweet to say "We are Live" and all the "NO"'s go to zero in seconds. Not to mention that one guy has a majority of the "NO" supply, his buys single handily pumped the market and will be dumping it soon. As soon as this goes live we sky rocket and everyone that is gloating now, will delete their comments. :)
Donkov
9 months ago
But your intuition tells you not to trust your intuition.
BallzToTheWalz
9 months ago
I was about to bet the last few thousand i had left on Trump, then realized "wait, im so bad at this ... if I was gonna bet on Trump then I should actually just do the opposite" ... clearly, I can't lose now!
Donkov
9 months ago
Wheres the crypto market?
Donkov
9 months ago
The last thing Trump needs is a crypto zoo debacle right before the election.
Mountainman
9 months ago
"Beware of Scams! Fake tokens & airdrop offers are circulating. We aren’t live yet!" This is from the official Twitter. As soon as this goes live we sky rocket and everyone that is gloating now, will delete their comments. 2 Months for one tweet to say "We are Live" and all the "NO"'s go to zero in minutes. Sleep tight I have a plane to catch :)
Donkov
9 months ago
Build that WALL
Car
9 months ago
Dispute incoming because she said Wallz but pronounced the z very quiet and Wall got proposed
Donkov
9 months ago
Trust the plan
Mountainman
9 months ago
This surged to .70 with no looking back on a hacked twitter, when the actual token drops this will surge to .90-.95 in minutes. That is all for me tonight. Good night winners.
Donkov
9 months ago
You dont know? Thats when the two more weeks start
Mountainman
9 months ago
What happens in 2 weeks?
Donkov
9 months ago
Crypto.. this time for sure
Donkov
9 months ago
What got him to spam like crazy? Brazil?
Donkov
9 months ago
Rly? Rugged so many ppl daymn
Anesti
9 months ago
On lex's site
Donkov
9 months ago
How the hell did you get your hands on the unlisted vid? lmao, a lot of ppl got so fucked
Donkov
9 months ago
Waiting for the vid to drop
yoonmarketenjoyer
9 months ago
Yes chads WW@?
Donkov
9 months ago
Fascinating
Donkov
9 months ago
Who made that huge 23 wall when next limit was 10 c above. NO bros acting cocky
Donkov
9 months ago
lmao he did not say "brief" sitdown. All got shaken out https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/113074334697252960
Donkov
9 months ago
well shit, i didnt have my order up. Meet me at 20 pls
OmenOfLord
9 months ago
Dumping shares, illiquid market.
Donkov
9 months ago
Wait what actually happened lol
Donkov
9 months ago
NO bros.. bring it down to the 20s where it belongs
Donkov
9 months ago
Yep, this should be 90/10
Gena🐊
9 months ago
The evidences point that it will be no much longer than an hour
Donkov
9 months ago
Trump. Buy NO
Justifax
9 months ago
What's more relevant here, Trump's interview times or Fridman's interview times?
Donkov
9 months ago
Does the pretentious intro and outro yapping count towards the interview count?
Donkov
9 months ago
183min! EZ
Gena🐊
9 months ago
Is this today's interview?????? https://rutube.ru/video/c6cc4d620b1d4338901770a44b3e82f4/
Donkov
9 months ago
Sell higher!
Gena🐊
9 months ago
I bought high, now what?
Donkov
9 months ago
Buy low sell high
Gena🐊
9 months ago
что ты считаешь?
Donkov
9 months ago
Yes bros.. Are you thinking what I'm thinking?
Donkov
9 months ago
Fear and greed
Fred19999
9 months ago
Is insider information moving this market? Or what is the reason for the probability to change?
Donkov
9 months ago
Lets hope its a stream.
MrNFT
9 months ago
Is Lex's videos a live premiere where we all watch live or is it instantly dumped in one video
Donkov
9 months ago
Theres no way its longer than an hour. Fair price is 20 YES imo
Donkov
9 months ago
Buy high sell low
tsybka
9 months ago
Juczi sold 946 Yes at 47.8¢ ($452)
Donkov
9 months ago
These upscales add pixels.
MrNFT
9 months ago
Easy no. Use an AI upscaler. It shows 1:17 very clearly
Donkov
9 months ago
Surely this time he will say it
JanSobieski3
9 months ago
Why is everybody so confident crypto/bitcoin is going to hit?
Donkov
9 months ago
Crypto bros... our time has come
Donkov
9 months ago
Its a poo poo pee pee timer. Change my mind.
Donkov
9 months ago
Just buying and selling, but I do believe its more likely to be longer. Still risky ass shit
PunishedCK
9 months ago
Posting in 4 hours
Donkov
9 months ago
Hit me up if you lose, we go all in on the Chase glitch.
PunishedCK
9 months ago
Posting in 4 hours
Donkov
9 months ago
Stop calling it a hedge. Thats a sure way to lose money.
OmenOfLord
9 months ago
If your tolerance is too high you should probably hedge your position like I did with what he'll mention. I don't think Putin is an 85% mention. If the timer is to be believed than we have ways of mitigating our risk pretty easily, don't die friend. I want to make money together in the future :)
Donkov
9 months ago
But, yes, his podcasts are consistently long.
sigh
9 months ago
Lex uses the timer to ensure interviews aren't too short. Here's the timer in a 4 hour interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pwN8u6HFH8U (at 2:02:48)
Donkov
9 months ago
Dunno bro, sounds like a bunch of cope.
sigh
9 months ago
Lex uses the timer to ensure interviews aren't too short. Here's the timer in a 4 hour interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pwN8u6HFH8U (at 2:02:48)
Donkov
9 months ago
It makes no sense that he would use to gauge whether an interview was short or not. More likely its there if the guest is on a schedule and has to bounce at certain point.
sigh
9 months ago
Lex uses the timer to ensure interviews aren't too short. Here's the timer in a 4 hour interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pwN8u6HFH8U (at 2:02:48)
Donkov
9 months ago
Thats no hedge. Thats cope
OmenOfLord
9 months ago
I hedged my bet, I bet that Trump wouldn't say some thing in the interview that had a high chance and bet yes on this, so I'm covered either way. There's a small chance I get screwed but I think less than normal 1 sided betting
Donkov
9 months ago
"Lex uses the timer to ensure interviews aren't too short" That makes no sense
sigh
9 months ago
Lex uses the timer to ensure interviews aren't too short. Here's the timer in a 4 hour interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pwN8u6HFH8U (at 2:02:48)
Donkov
9 months ago
NO bros.. we need a better price
PunishedCK
9 months ago
2hours 16minutes
Donkov
9 months ago
How long was the Elon interview? Its probably the best clue to this shit
Donkov
9 months ago
Sure, they set a poo poo pee pee timer at every hour. Its a 12hrs podcast!
X9504
9 months ago
Stop conducting CSI level analysis of grainy pictures of timers and ask yourself whether Trump is going to let a USD 5 kitchen timer tell him to stop speaking
Donkov
9 months ago
How was the Kamala CNN resolved? Did they count all parts?
OmenOfLord
9 months ago
I don't think Lex would do that. Pretty bad for Youtube algorithm. Also he's not really known to do that, but in that case I assume it would be contested and all video parts would count.
Donkov
9 months ago
Not necessarily. Could very well be an hour and a half or so.
Boekelberg1991
9 months ago
I think the word drops are just a proxy for the total length of the pod. I guess it will be fairly long so I am Yes on many here.
Donkov
9 months ago
Ukraine knows its fucked if Trump wins. All gibs will dry up and they will sue for peace asap.
betafun
9 months ago
The inauguration is Jan 20, 2025.
Donkov
9 months ago
This ones a doozy. If Trump gets into office he said he will force both sides to start negotiations. Land swaps are a possibility.
Donkov
9 months ago
No bros... we need dat Chase glitch right about now
Donkov
9 months ago
They rigged the watermelon guiness market with capitalist GMO melon.
rjpoly
9 months ago
Can somebody post when they start eating? No Netflix so I'm just betting blind here
Donkov
9 months ago
I'll keep you posted in the comments below.
rjpoly
9 months ago
Can somebody post when they start eating? No Netflix so I'm just betting blind here
Donkov
9 months ago
Finna need dat Chase glitch if this does not work out.
Donkov
9 months ago
What a grand display of degeneracy. Gott straffe USA
Donkov
9 months ago
Damn, if weight difference is true the Kobayashi 50 seems very doable.
Donkov
9 months ago
Yep, I have an open order at .56
retard2
9 months ago
I am in touch with someone in Ukrainian High Command, it's not happening.
Donkov
9 months ago
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joey Chestnut eats 65 or more Hot Dogs in the contest, otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
polyswiss
9 months ago
How does market resolve if Chestnut eats 64.75 hdb?
Donkov
9 months ago
Rules cucks at it again lmao
Donkov
9 months ago
Yeap, time will tell. But whatever he chooses to drink it will slow down his pace. He has to be just 1 second slower than his record of 76 pace to beat 65. The technique difference is night and day Going all in #prayforme
Sit
9 months ago
Do we have an official record for most eaten without dunking?
Donkov
9 months ago
Around 25 in the 90s. After Kobayashi introduced dunking it jumped into 50s. You can see past records here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nathan%27s_Hot_Dog_Eating_Contest
Sit
9 months ago
Do we have an official record for most eaten without dunking?
Donkov
9 months ago
It was Ruzzian drones. Just like Nordstream 2
Donkov
9 months ago
"Its russian drones" new cope just dropped
Fred19999
9 months ago
Show me a shred of evidence day Ukraine operated these drones, and not the US or Russia
Donkov
9 months ago
Imagine disputing this https://x.com/polytsybka/status/1830189436077760722
Donkov
9 months ago
UMA is a truth machine
MarinaAF
9 months ago
Right now the only reason that Yes is 94.5 is doubts that UMA will resolve correctly
Donkov
9 months ago
With 10k Yes shares? Enough to buy for every elder of your village.
tsybka
9 months ago
LOL, I'm asking again: how many pairs of shoes do you have?
Donkov
9 months ago
Yeap, Kobayashi has a real chance with dunking not allowed. Its what started this beef with Chestnut lol
SusanWarren,HR
9 months ago
Chestnut's going down in the fourth
Donkov
9 months ago
Soaking the bread in water and separating makes all the difference https://youtu.be/SVS0ioOdfuE?t=52 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5AI5nCkE1xM&t=182s
Donkov
9 months ago
Its virtually impossible for Chestnut to eat 65 dogs in 10mins. The rules say no soaking the bread in water and no separating the sausage from the bread. Even with these allowed he ate 62 dogs last year. https://www.netflix.com/tudum/articles/hot-dog-eating-contest-joey-chestnut-kobayashi-live-date-news#rules
Donkov
9 months ago
Wtf Yes bros is this true?
Fred19999
9 months ago
The oil refinery that was struck with debris is actually in Yaroslavsky 🤔
Donkov
9 months ago
Yea, It happened on first of sept Moscow time.
n/a
9 months ago
This should be a NO, right? The attack was 1st of sept?
Donkov
9 months ago
Be mindful of the dispute.
Donkov
9 months ago
Not so sure tbh. Your arguments were on target
Car
9 months ago
issa yes
Donkov
9 months ago
!ALERT! THIS MARKET IS DISPUTED !ALERT!
Donkov
9 months ago
inb4 JustKam starts buying 5 cents on the dollar
MrNFT
9 months ago
Wasting money disputing lmao. UMA WHALES ON YES
Donkov
9 months ago
Oh no... Yes bros.. check top holders. Its JustScam!
Donkov
9 months ago
Sell while you can. This will be disputed
Donkov
9 months ago
Based dispooters. Thank you
Donkov
9 months ago
Any rules cucks in chat?
Donkov
9 months ago
Heres how NO bros can still win
Donkov
9 months ago
Was enjoying the big spread :/
Kalags
9 months ago
Hahah was just about to say that maybe you should have holded a bit longer xd
Donkov
9 months ago
Someone dispute pls. For fun
Donkov
9 months ago
Someone call Domer
Donkov
9 months ago
Can a new big liquidity fudder come in and rug pls?
Donkov
9 months ago
Its oyvir
Donkov
9 months ago
What did you do?
diddy
9 months ago
Car is the biggest scammer, he scammed me
Donkov
9 months ago
"PACE: 242 posts" wtf is this mfer doing?
Donkov
9 months ago
Original source is way before 6:55AM
Kalags
9 months ago
https://x.com/VyshnyaOstap/status/1830092157404807299 Maybe this video posted 5 minutes before the end date is AI video and the GENIUS "No" holders including the infamous car orchestrated this so they can buy LOADS of "No" shares at extremely low cost. I am critically thinking of selling my position at 99.8c. as this could be the case. LOL
Donkov
9 months ago
Theres enough evidence. Just enjoy the ride and the wide spread, will ya?
diddy
9 months ago
If there was a hit, this should have resolved buuuuut…there appears to be insufficient/non-credible evidence. YES holders, go gather your evidence and let’s end this market.
Donkov
9 months ago
JustKam is sleeping on this one. Pence took his shekels
diddy
9 months ago
Don’t worry about Pence, JustKam is on our side, eazy UMA win
Donkov
9 months ago
!ALERT! PENCE IS BUYING YES !ALERT!
Donkov
9 months ago
Banning? Bro, taking it too far. If you cant refute his arguments just leave it.
Justifax
9 months ago
Go on the Poly discord and let staff know what Car is doing. They have banned some other folks, hopefully they'll give a warning to Car here.
Donkov
9 months ago
What are you arguing here? That it didnt happen?
OriginalGeezer
9 months ago
Don’t get caught following the crowd all buying yes and be surprised if this flips
Donkov
9 months ago
He can buy a pair for my entire village. Check his pnl
tsybka
9 months ago
Car, how many pairs of shoes do you have?
Donkov
9 months ago
Honestly, I admire the hustle. Thank you for your service for giving us lower YES prices.
Car
9 months ago
Actually, fill me lower. I want more NO shares
Donkov
9 months ago
You know its over when fudders start redeeming the NO shares.
Donkov
9 months ago
Tell that to the Venezuela market.
cozywild
9 months ago
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Do whatever you want with that.
Donkov
9 months ago
lol, how do we know its not his sock puppet
BlackSky123
9 months ago
Why do you pretend to be someone you are not?
Donkov
9 months ago
yes, our glorious refinery intercepted all drones successfully.
Car
9 months ago
it literally says the destruction of a drone. lol
Donkov
9 months ago
Watch telegram cahnnel /exilenova_plus. Timestamps and geo locations before deadline. And write in english pls.
jagajaga
9 months ago
в каком месте в слове уничтожение беспилотника является попадением?
Donkov
9 months ago
Western capitalists forgot to convert time from CET. Russian sources report 6:30
Lkeprfuh
9 months ago
Happened AFTER the deadline: "Russian social media channels claim that in the Moscow district of Kapotnya, where the refinery is located, two explosions were heard. According to residents of Kapotnya and nearby districts, one explosion occurred around 7:30 a.m., followed by the sounds of automatic gunfire and a second explosion approximately 10 minutes later." https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/fire-at-moscow-oil-refinery-assigned-highest-difficulty-level-after-drone-attack-russian-media/ar-AA1pNeWe
Donkov
9 months ago
Use google translate "Около 6:30 мск Собянин сообщил об уничтожении в районе Московского НПЗ другого беспилотника. Предприятие повреждено не было, угрозы его работе не возникло. Всего за ночь власти сообщили об 11 дронах, пытавшихся атаковать Москву. "
Donkov
9 months ago
Manufacturing exit liquidity?
Car
9 months ago
Where are the credible reports that report the time these attacks happened?
Donkov
9 months ago
пожалуйста
Gena🐊
9 months ago
spasiva drug
Donkov
9 months ago
There are videos and geo locations posted at least an hour before the deadline on telegram. Channel name: /exilenova_plus
Donkov
9 months ago
The drone video is pretty clear. Also there are multiple reported targets in Moscow oblast.
Gena🐊
9 months ago
Donkov why are you beting YES? do you feel like the news coming from Russia are not accurate?
Donkov
9 months ago
Why do you leave the door open for rules cucks lmao? Just make the market about any damage caused by drones or missiles. "even if it enters Moscow's airspace and its wreckage lands in Moscow causing damage, it will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution."
Donkov
9 months ago
He didnt say drill baby drill last night, right?
Donkov
9 months ago
Never bet against his staple of words. Learned this the hard way.
JanSobieski3
9 months ago
The fact that it will be partisan, suggests to me that Trump won't have the chance to say his usual slogans. That's just my impression.
Donkov
9 months ago
no
BabyYoda12
9 months ago
Shouldnt the market resolve to Yes?
Donkov
9 months ago
Big if true
zuzu
9 months ago
⚡️Le Monde: The French Foreign Ministry has concerns about the procedure for Pavel Durov to obtain French citizenship. According to the publication, when considering his request, the service considered that the conditions for issuing a passport to an “outstanding citizen” were not met. Although Durov confirmed his knowledge of French, he also had to demonstrate that he contributes to “France’s influence.” Usually, the naturalization of influential foreigners is requested by high-ranking officials. Durov and Macron met several times, as stated in his application for naturalization, but Macron’s entourage claims that there were only “one or two” such meetings and did not explain their purpose.
Donkov
9 months ago
Just how new are you? Buy high sell low
Grrrenouille
9 months ago
Don't understand why the odd is climbing whereas we have absolutely no information. From my point of view the longer it takes, the more likely he is to get indicted
Donkov
9 months ago
Lil bro is cooked. Now adding abuse of his own child to possible charges.
Donkov
9 months ago
Большой
zuzu
9 months ago
How to propose I know the result
Donkov
9 months ago
hey bb, do the needful and send result ok? My village will be grateful
zuzu
9 months ago
How to propose I know the result
Donkov
9 months ago
stop eating the gentileslop
dayvisit
9 months ago
Are wendy's saucy nuggs a go or na? Based on these comments half of you have working experience.
Donkov
9 months ago
stop yapping and propose YES
432
9 months ago
French prosecutors say Telegram messaging app CEO has been freed from custody, will appear in court https://apnews.com/article/france-telegram-pavel-durov-arrest-6e213d227458f330ed16e7fe221a696c
Donkov
9 months ago
JUST IN: Durov RELEASED from custody so he can pee pee poo poo as a free man.
Donkov
9 months ago
Its not like he can pick up his bags and just leave. "Transporting Durov to another location of custody will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes"."
abdendriel
9 months ago
Can someone explain why this hasn’t resolved to Yes? Future events can’t erase a past event. The “release from custody” event has happened already. Future indictments or arrests can’t change the past.
Donkov
9 months ago
Honestly, it would make sense to formally charge him. Embarassing to arrest him for few days and then just release him.
mango-lassi
9 months ago
Lol https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/1828810570725789857
Donkov
9 months ago
bratty market needs correction
Donkov
9 months ago
#goodguysfinishlast
Car
9 months ago
JustKam does it still feel good to be on the YES side?
Donkov
9 months ago
блин, write in english
18egoist
9 months ago
пережил 99% рага баланса без нервов, пил чай и выбирал баленси, был занят
Donkov
9 months ago
He has released
averagejoe
9 months ago
JUST IN: French policewoman became pregnant after interrogating Durov.
Donkov
9 months ago
Released is a state of mind. Lil bro has ascended a long time ago. Resolve it to yes already
Donkov
9 months ago
If he runs away and gets shot will this market resolve to YES?
Rueben
9 months ago
Being driven to court in a police car to be indicted is clearly not being released.
Donkov
9 months ago
Wrong side is spreading this bullshit. Court will decide whether hes free or not now
n/a
9 months ago
You guys dont understand he is already released. So now we're basically betting if the court will officially arrest him and put him to jail until charged.
Donkov
9 months ago
Hopefully. My Oct will print lol
Car
9 months ago
some hug ass smart people
Donkov
9 months ago
shut up, retard
n/a
9 months ago
You guys dont understand he is already released. So now we're basically betting if the court will officially arrest him and put him to jail until charged.
Donkov
9 months ago
some huge ass NO buys wtf
Donkov
9 months ago
Is he able to walk out on his free will? Didnt think so
tomaz
9 months ago
That means if he still is in Custody, therefore this phrase means going from a prison to another, for example. In his case, he got released from custody and only has to show up at Court.
Donkov
9 months ago
"Transporting Durov to another location of custody will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes"."
Donkov
9 months ago
Nope, they got it covered "Transporting Durov to another location of custody will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes"."
sosuke
9 months ago
polymarket back at it again with poor wording, going to be a shit show all over again
Donkov
9 months ago
Wanna bet on it?
Rueben
9 months ago
Can you indict a ham croissant?
Donkov
9 months ago
Some fake tweets and people moving the market on it rattled everyone lol https://x.com/RadarHits/status/1828796510680813893
🤺JustPunched
9 months ago
To be honest, I have no idea what is happening
Donkov
9 months ago
What the fuck just happened?
Donkov
9 months ago
Wtf actually no news?
mango-lassi
9 months ago
Proof?
Donkov
9 months ago
RELEASED
Donkov
9 months ago
Make or lose, love it
mango-lassi
9 months ago
Imagine making money off someone getting charged
Donkov
9 months ago
It all went into her titties. What a cow.
Gena🐊
9 months ago
This market will decay faster than Selena's Gomez ass after munching on Doritos
Donkov
9 months ago
Did someone tip him the fabled $130 he lost? Awful quiet.
McLarry
9 months ago
baal would like to give an interview about the uma scandal
Donkov
9 months ago
You sure about that?
X9504
9 months ago
Because there's no way on earth Trump will mention him
Donkov
9 months ago
Arizona was all about illegal immigration tho
Borgo
9 months ago
he didnt say drill in arizona tho
Donkov
9 months ago
They will be baked soon alhamdulilah
nicekitty
9 months ago
if they were goats on the other hand...
Donkov
9 months ago
As a YES holder, I must admit, that I doubt Israel would invade over a shot up chicken coop.
Donkov
9 months ago
At this point your bet is if either of them dies by the time they debate.
Tiger26
9 months ago
If you think Kamala will actually get on a stage and debate Trump you are trapped in the Matrix.
Donkov
9 months ago
Its high time Poly looks into resolving these markets inhouse.
Donkov
9 months ago
lol, just realism. Hohols are throwing everything into this.
Gena🐊
9 months ago
The Russians are betting yes, that reminds me of last stage soviet union pessimism
Donkov
9 months ago
Lil bro was trading here to cover his retirement.
BlackSky123
9 months ago
RFK Jr cooking up the most ambiguous and contradictory speech in the lab:
Donkov
9 months ago
Lost mikey mouse amount and am kinda mad. Cant imagine losing thousands on this trash.
BlackSky123
9 months ago
I bet the right option here and I'm still pissed. Get your fucking shit together and write clear rules Polymarket.
Donkov
9 months ago
Tripple rug confirmed. What a ride
Donkov
9 months ago
Well, good on Poly for stepping in this time. Not letting a Venezuela 2.0 go down.
Donkov
9 months ago
lol. Gimme a quick rundown
GoblinMilk
9 months ago
bro come get monkeypox with me we can make tons of money
Donkov
9 months ago
Shieeeeeeeeeeeeeeet. Got cooked -100$.
Donkov
9 months ago
Triple rug incoming?
Donkov
9 months ago
First time?
n/a
9 months ago
So Polymarket itself has advertised on X a market with 90% percent, which according to their own knowledge should already be at 0%, because RFK will be 100% on a ballot? Yes, that makes a lot of sense.
Donkov
9 months ago
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from the 2024 US presidential race by 11:59 PM ET on October 31, 2024." If hes still on the ballot and saying people to vote for him how is he out?
Donkov
9 months ago
I think thats the best argument for NO bros.
mr.ozi
9 months ago
He invited people to vote for him, he said he was staying on the ballots, and yes - he's suspending the campaign, but not dropping from the presidential race.
Donkov
9 months ago
mob rule
Bitcoin1776
9 months ago
If you look at Top Holders - there is really only 1 person saying no (with 100k shares) and everyone else is on side yes.. that seems like consensus to me.
Donkov
9 months ago
For real? He has to pay milions to be removed from the ballots?
yourrapist1776
9 months ago
Just because he's not paying more legal fees to remove himself from non swing states that he paid millions to get on to in the first place doesn't mean he didn't effectively drop out
Donkov
9 months ago
Very much true, James. Will be a tough to battle it out with the resolution though.
BlackSky123
9 months ago
https://x.com/iLoveJaneAdams/status/1827061486692548829
Donkov
9 months ago
"The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from RFK Jr. or his official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used." Ah yes. Our trusty consesus to rug markets incoming
PolyMucket
9 months ago
he wont say drop out he will keep saying suspended, but the main stream media is using the words Dropped out
Donkov
9 months ago
I guess it now depends whether he joins Trump at his rally. We might get definitive drop out speech.
Donkov
9 months ago
Yeap, not toching this shit
MineGuyBonds
9 months ago
Anytime you see Kam and 50-Pence on the same side of a market that is going to a rules dispute. Trade with caution.
Donkov
9 months ago
Man what a fucking troll. Priced at 90+ at beginning of speech, then dropped to sub10. Unvaxxedmaxx
Donkov
9 months ago
50/50 resolve, but I doubt it
null.eth
9 months ago
I can't find the maybe button, anyone else not seeing it?
Donkov
9 months ago
Heres how RFK can still win
Donkov
9 months ago
WHAT THE FUCK IS GOING ON?!?!?
Donkov
9 months ago
This will be disputed like Venezuela. Strap in
baalenjoyer
9 months ago
I'm so mad I didn't buy more at 8 cents, it was such a good price
Donkov
9 months ago
ALERT PENCE IS BUYING YES... NO BROS ALERT
Donkov
9 months ago
Pence is on the other side. inb4 he buys yes on the cheap lmao
PolyMucket
9 months ago
Justkam will dispute this and win like they always do
Donkov
9 months ago
Yeap. NO bros... take some profits this will be a wild ride.
PolyMucket
9 months ago
Will get COuntered by Justkam guaranteed
Donkov
9 months ago
He just said suspending candidacy. What the fuck is going on?
Donkov
9 months ago
Counter Rug incoming?
Donkov
9 months ago
What a rugpull. RFK confirmed top NO holder
Donkov
9 months ago
What a clusterfuck. Venezuela election 2.0 incoming
Donkov
9 months ago
BAHAHAHHA WHAT A RUG
Donkov
9 months ago
WTF?
Donkov
9 months ago
NAFOid twitter is not Ukrainian High Command, no matter what they say.
retard2
9 months ago
I am in touch with someone in Ukrainian High Command, it's not happening.
Donkov
9 months ago
two more weeks and i will send you ;)
Sit
9 months ago
Day 7 asking Donkov to send me money
Donkov
9 months ago
Lil bro still rambling?
Donkov
9 months ago
Day 1000. No money
Sit
9 months ago
Day 6 asking Donkov to send me money
Donkov
9 months ago
Insane Asylum, and border czar yes so far
Donkov
9 months ago
You know you fucked up when MrBest comes and lits you up. NO holders in shambles
Donkov
9 months ago
Crypto. This time for sure
Donkov
10 months ago
Wheres NVIDIA?
Donkov
10 months ago
"From news" lmao
vrman
10 months ago
From news: " — The Armed Forces of Ukraine are already withdrawing some units from the Kursk region in order to transfer them to other directions"
Donkov
10 months ago
Just dont give him a healthcare position, like damn.
Donkov
10 months ago
Heres how mpox can still infect the US
diddy
10 months ago
10 days of silence for our comrades still praying for the deadly virus to attack our beloved USA patriots
Donkov
10 months ago
Go practice, so you can bet YES next time, Hikaru
LongLiveJoeBiden
10 months ago
So when will you guys buy more????
Donkov
10 months ago
Trust the plan. 100+ during the DNC
Donkov
10 months ago
What does the right say?
Fugasss
10 months ago
My left nut is telling me 50/50. You can thank me for my professional analysis later
Donkov
10 months ago
Dunno, I could not watch it and cancaled everything. He likes to ramble about "MAGA republicans" but I would not take such a bet for 250.
Donkov
10 months ago
HOLY FUCKING SHIT.. I cancaled all orders but missed 1 for 1k maga. God damn i got lucky.
Donkov
10 months ago
almost RIP 250 bucks
Donkov
10 months ago
HOLY FUCKING SHIT.. I cancaled all orders but missed 1 for 1k maga. God damn i got lucky.
Donkov
10 months ago
HOLY FUCKING SHIT.. I cancaled all orders but missed 1 for 1k maga. God damn i got lucky.
Donkov
10 months ago
Shes not a rambler. Her talks at rallies are sub 30 and the recent economics plan in NC was 20min.
Eyebrows
10 months ago
Incredible market. If you look on YT, Obama's was 40, Hillary's about an hour, and Biden's 24.
Donkov
10 months ago
Trump loves to ramble. No comparrison
KingofRingx3
10 months ago
Trump's was 90+ min, i'm surprised how low 90+ is priced tbh
Donkov
10 months ago
ABOBA
Donkov
10 months ago
Pokemon Go? Where is that coming from?
Donkov
10 months ago
King in the castle, king in the castle
Donkov
10 months ago
Daymn. You went all win. Hope you win, bro.
factman
10 months ago
Exactly. He would rather outline his achievements and passing the torch than be bitter.
Donkov
10 months ago
Why would he talk about Pelosi?
Donkov
10 months ago
Hillary Clinton https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xbg85ot_RZE
GroversGambit
10 months ago
Who even says woman president?
Donkov
10 months ago
Martin Luther King Jr
factman
10 months ago
what is your take on "king"? why would he say it?
Donkov
10 months ago
Way past his bed time.
Donkov
10 months ago
Consider the following. He will be pumped with drugs and reading from a teleprompter.
Donkov
10 months ago
Dump bros where we at? https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/4829943-biden-trump-donald-dump-harris/
Donkov
10 months ago
At what time will he speak?
Donkov
10 months ago
No need. Buy more NO 100+. Free money
0xC81EeE54A31BFE2182EE9f4289d7D0d4668274A5-1722815619033
10 months ago
Where he at now? He seems active 100+ ftw
Donkov
10 months ago
The last thing his campaign needs is him getting back on X schizo posting. Just read some of his truthsocial messages.
0xC81EeE54A31BFE2182EE9f4289d7D0d4668274A5-1722815619033
10 months ago
Where he at now? He seems active 100+ ftw
Donkov
10 months ago
Get a jobby job, bum
0xC81EeE54A31BFE2182EE9f4289d7D0d4668274A5-1722815619033
10 months ago
Where he at now? He seems active 100+ ftw
Donkov
10 months ago
We are at 11. He needs to post almost 2 tweets every wake hour to reach 100 at this point.
0xC81EeE54A31BFE2182EE9f4289d7D0d4668274A5-1722815619033
10 months ago
Where he at now? He seems active 100+ ftw
Donkov
10 months ago
Someone who bets NO
HillarySupporter
10 months ago
"Jewish would not count" lmao who the heck comes up with these rules?!
Donkov
10 months ago
@leveller sell, hohols are going all out before Trump comes and forces a negotiation.
SlavaUkraini
10 months ago
No holders should really blow up the 75c bridge and retreat across the 90c river before your shares get taken captive
Donkov
10 months ago
You will lose money
Kalags
10 months ago
baited russians ez slava ukraini!
Donkov
10 months ago
lmao, good one. But yea, NO holders are more delusional than NAFOids at this point.
SlavaUkraini
10 months ago
No holders should really blow up the 75c bridge and retreat across the 90c river before your shares get taken captive
Donkov
10 months ago
Someone call a big bro to come and scoop up the free five hundred kek
ahbonkers
10 months ago
market couldnt even react to 8
Donkov
10 months ago
Lil Donnie back at it again
Donkov
10 months ago
Tampon Tim cant Make America Great Again. We are the MAGA party, they are not the MAGA party, and we will Make America Great Again.
X9504
10 months ago
You think Tampon Tim can Make America Great Again?
Donkov
10 months ago
hi Hikaru
LongLiveJoeBiden
10 months ago
I would admire if you would show some serious balls and bet bigger, I am open to bet 50k against you in this spot
Donkov
10 months ago
Trump rally scheduled for 16:00 ET
Donkov
10 months ago
The smart thing would be to let Ukraine occupy some parts of Russia so they keep sending resources into that fight. Think of Krynky times x1000
nimbyest
10 months ago
Russia lost the war, but they'll throw everything they have at Kursk to save face. But, if I lose this money, I won't be angry.
Donkov
10 months ago
Its overpriced at 30+. Take a look at how many times he said it during his last rallies.
1276
10 months ago
MAGA 5+ should be at least 50 cents. Last time he said it 11 times. And he's flnna turn the energy up because its in Pennylvania.
Donkov
10 months ago
Nothing. Go wild
GoblinMilk
10 months ago
what's stopping me from putting a ton of money on yes and then going out and getting monkey pox with 9 other dudes?
Donkov
10 months ago
Hmm, yea, per the rules that should resolve to yes.
0xF2F045A0f4D01Ac2eD0F621E57990EEB53097cb3-1723510812303
10 months ago
I think its because there is talk of a one week humanitarian pause for Polio Vaccinations in Gaza, which would technically meet the criteria. It would be a strange way to resolve this market if there was no agreement on any substantive issues between parties.
Donkov
10 months ago
Looks like the joint statement is real https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2024/08/16/joint-statement-from-the-united-states-egypt-and-qatar/
Donkov
10 months ago
Crazy to be sub .20C Yes with a week time. Shouldve done the market to be whole of august tbh. Give Yes bros a break.
Donkov
10 months ago
woah
ClydeCash
10 months ago
Tampon No is the new Tampon Yes
Donkov
10 months ago
Shes not on the list of speakers, bro.
0xD9A5b1004d2f00016ECb5Bf133127bAA5c869430-1718392435462
10 months ago
Barack and Michelle Obama are expected to have prominent roles in Chicago, with the former president said to be given the headlining speaking slot on Tuesday night. The Obamas have endorsed Harris, though the formal endorsement came several days after she announced she would run in Biden's place.
Donkov
10 months ago
What a bloodbath for yes bros
Donkov
10 months ago
do a dumfuq bet and he will come to let you know
Kalags
10 months ago
Guys whereis mr best ;/
Donkov
10 months ago
Take it easy, man
EmpirePending
10 months ago
I have lost my life savings betting on Iran but I will not be stopped. Pay check has just hit my account and USDC is loading as we speak
Donkov
10 months ago
Tax on tips, mental institutions. What else are we missing from the bingo?
Donkov
10 months ago
if Iran attacked he would be full MIGA on twitter
diddy
10 months ago
nah he is game over, no promotional material for today
Donkov
10 months ago
They dont until they do
DiversifyYoBonds
10 months ago
I forgot do things happen
Donkov
10 months ago
With Trump? I admire your balls. He couldve easily pushed this over the edge
XiJinPing
10 months ago
kicking myself for only buying $500 at 16 cents...
Donkov
10 months ago
lil donnie still not tweeting?
Donkov
10 months ago
You have no HR powers here, witch
SusanWarren,HR
10 months ago
Watch it.
Donkov
10 months ago
According to Cspan its set at 2:45 EDT https://www.c-span.org/video/?537709-1/vp-kamala-harris-campaigns-raleigh-north-carolina
Donkov
10 months ago
Why the big movement? Any news?
Donkov
10 months ago
He would be toxic to any campaign. But especially to team Trump. The media will burry them into the ground with the vaccines stuff.
Anesti
10 months ago
He will be on the ballot now that both the Trump and Kamala campaign don't want him in their cabinet.
Donkov
10 months ago
Yeap. Checked multiple articles, none had the time
Donkov
10 months ago
At what time is she scheduled to speak?
Donkov
10 months ago
Tampons have gone mainstream. Its a staple in his repertoire.
Donkov
10 months ago
court gag order?
Eyebrows
10 months ago
Why is gag on here?
Donkov
10 months ago
At what time is she scheduled to speak?
Donkov
10 months ago
free/affordable abortions is probably their platform. The more gibs (and dead babies) the better with this bunch
BrandonThought
10 months ago
she's not gonna say abortion in this speech on the economy lol
Donkov
10 months ago
The theme of her speech will be price gouging that caused inflation
X9504
10 months ago
If I were her I wouldn’t say Inflation that much because everyone knows it was worst under the Biden administration. Why would she remind voters of that? Makes much more sense to use price gouging to blame the corporations, but saying it 5+ times is asking a lot
Donkov
10 months ago
Trump accused her of wanting price controls. She very well might mention it defensively.
nuggetsharambe
10 months ago
No way she says price control the optics are awful she's going to make sure the messaging is purely about "corporate greed" and "gouging"
Donkov
10 months ago
Yep. Trump campaign keeps pushing for more. Lets see if it works out for them.
Devyduu
10 months ago
1 is usually the standard for VP debates in elections right?
Donkov
10 months ago
What did you do, bro?
AnEggplant
10 months ago
How many of us had to go sell our seed to the sperm bank after today's complete massacre
Donkov
10 months ago
Compound with what if he said plain "fired"?
BuckMySalls
10 months ago
Compound words will count as long as "Fire" or "Fired" is part of the compound word !! and references the meaning which refers to the act of dismissing an employee.!!
Donkov
10 months ago
kek, got burned betting against his repertoire. Should really spice things up next time
Bidensupporter123
10 months ago
Next market there should definitely be some more words representing this rambling mess.
Donkov
10 months ago
I will never recover financially from this
Donkov
10 months ago
congrats tamponbros
Donkov
10 months ago
They have said it poking fun at JD.
homosexual
10 months ago
Have you ever heard Harris publicly say "couch"? What about Biden?
Donkov
10 months ago
Couch bros where we at?
Tories4Harris
10 months ago
lmao. $2,500 bet already on couch. "campaign statements about her policies suggest the Democratic nominee will focus on lowering grocery prices, addressing housing costs and more" it's not impossible that she'd say something about making couches more affordable. But holy shit this market is crazy.
Donkov
10 months ago
Tampon prices are too damn high
YeezyBreezy
10 months ago
Economics professors: prediction markets will provide valuable information to society. Us: "Will Donald Trump say 'tampon'?"
Donkov
10 months ago
legit goot chance to mention crypto and AI
Donkov
10 months ago
lol he will ramble about inflation
Donkov
10 months ago
lol he will ramble about inflation
Donkov
10 months ago
Do the needful and cashout. Dont be greedy or your village will starve
bigMoney
10 months ago
I will make my village in india very very rich using this investment sir
Donkov
10 months ago
Why did you buy the top?
Munners
10 months ago
Elon a great bet in low 70s, said it 11 times last time and that was before that massive Twitter spaces. How can journos not ask about the spaces/ their relationship "You know Elon is a wonderful guy and he endorsed me very big"
Donkov
10 months ago
Just toss a coin, bro
diddy
10 months ago
Ok, let's think logically. That repost was just an ad. Trump Team spends millions on ads just to be seen by public. If Trump Team chooses to tweet out something random, the ad may lose its viewership. So, smart thing would be not to post anything, hopefully.
Donkov
10 months ago
Wait what?
diddy
10 months ago
Ok, let's think logically. That repost was just an ad. Trump Team spends millions on ads just to be seen by public. If Trump Team chooses to tweet out something random, the ad may lose its viewership. So, smart thing would be not to post anything, hopefully.
Donkov
10 months ago
yea, lisp is the new meme moonshot
Chen1996
10 months ago
Nah no tampon for me this time
Donkov
10 months ago
media has been bullying him about having lisp during his Elon interview. You can tell it got to him, because he released a "clear" recording with allegedly no lisp lol
Eridpnc
10 months ago
Why are people buying lisp?
Donkov
10 months ago
Lets see if tamponbros got too cocky.
Donkov
10 months ago
Best part is its not a 0 chance kek. Heres hoping Kamala does something to stirr him up
Apsalar
10 months ago
imagine my sock
Donkov
10 months ago
Who knows what he will ramble about during his press conference. If its some crazy shit like 5 debates then we might expect some twitter spam.
diddy
10 months ago
We are literally betting whether Trump can hold out a bit, and prevent his hands from going on X for like 19 fckin hours
Donkov
10 months ago
bro.. what did you do?
Apsalar
10 months ago
imagine my sock
Donkov
10 months ago
Same can be said about Chasiv Yar. No progress for months, and we have the Kursk debacle. Its a coinflip tbh
n/a
10 months ago
Russia is literally so close and has almost surrounded the town. Won't take much longer for troops to advance into toretsk.
Donkov
10 months ago
gg mfers
YIMBYcaucus🏡
10 months ago
so team harris says theyre having 2. but the 2nd date has not been agreed upon yet. however the whole statement was framed as "trump team has accepted our proposal for 2 + 1" https://x.com/JakeSherman/status/1824125330811998425
Donkov
10 months ago
well shieeet. My shit got picked off by raiding kamala and pence
YIMBYcaucus🏡
10 months ago
so team harris says theyre having 2. but the 2nd date has not been agreed upon yet. however the whole statement was framed as "trump team has accepted our proposal for 2 + 1" https://x.com/JakeSherman/status/1824125330811998425
Donkov
10 months ago
What in tarnation is going on
Donkov
10 months ago
Yea, it got a bit too frothy.
Tories4Harris
10 months ago
Feel a bit like yes is overvalued. I don't think Ukraine wants to hold the territory. That being said Russia has no real opposition yet and Ukraine will continue expanding and destroying Russia in a location Russia won't want to go scorched earth to repel them. Ukraine will 100% commit to saving men over holding land in Russia, they will then pop up over the border somewhere else with those same forces. Forcing Russia to hold high amounts of soldiers on their border in a defensive position. People voting yes because Ukraine could "hold" if they wanted are looking at this wrong. The question is how long will it take Russia to build up significant forces in Kursk so that Ukraine falls back to preserve lives for their next incursion. IMO that's unlikely before the end of August and more likely in the first half of September. Maybe 20% no odds on this.
Donkov
10 months ago
Funny how history rhymes https://x.com/MyLordBebo/status/1823959850855862662
Donkov
10 months ago
Ok, this video convinced me to buy Yes. Russian head butts fpv and survives https://files.catbox.moe/8d2c5m.mp4
Donkov
10 months ago
Finna buy me a chicken dinner if he says it.
MZK
10 months ago
How we feeling couch holders?
Donkov
10 months ago
Its not a singular line. The whole area is built up with mutually supporting lines.
WZPH8R2O
10 months ago
last week on Sunday, Russia breached the last remaining 2014 front line position on Toretsk/Niu-York axis. I think they may be onto something.
Donkov
10 months ago
Really split on this one. Need a better price to bet Yes, because Toretsk sit on front lines established since 2014 and all the Kursk troubles for Russia. But then again, Russia had some good progress in Donbas this year.
Donkov
10 months ago
You better have a great track record to justify such shitty ass RP.
TheNoobBeaver
10 months ago
The Probeaver will not bet but will say his predictions anyway, for pure fun : MAGA YES, Tampon NO, Illegal Immigration YES, CHINA YES but not sure , Elon Musk YES, Debate YES, Artificial Intelligence YES, FAKE NEWS NO, crypto and bitcoin NO, FIRED YES
Donkov
10 months ago
Yes bros... we need to veto these markets until we figure out what the hell is going on.
Donkov
10 months ago
Redpill me on Michelle Obama speaking
Donkov
10 months ago
Ukrops have retard strength when they decide to hold something. Krynky (best example), Bakhmut, Avdeevka etc
SmartG
10 months ago
isn’t it free money? It’s not possible to clear out 2 entire brigades within 2 weeks, especially when they are told to stand fast
Donkov
10 months ago
Is that the country name he is not supposed to say?
DanZai
10 months ago
I heard that he’s been told not to mention China.
Donkov
10 months ago
lol is this what the conference will be about? Ramble inconherently about fake news?
herald
10 months ago
Kamala Harris team, and Google, caught manipulating headlines and stories, creating FAKE NEWS. This is not legal!!! Donald Trump Truth Social 12:05 AM EST 08/15/24
Donkov
10 months ago
Moonshot at this point, but Ukrops are some 30km away. Russia is digging trenches between Ukraine positions and the NPP. Suryiak and hoholmaps are basically in agreeement on territory held https://liveuamap.com/
Donkov
10 months ago
Russia is yet to stop Ukrops from advancing let alone begin a counteroffensive. These things take time. Probably best equivalent is Khesron counteroffensive (minus the body of water separating the Rus positions) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HHusgEBIYhs
Donkov
10 months ago
0 volume 0 positions
5to5000
10 months ago
Trump said China 8 times during the previous press conference a few days ago.
Donkov
10 months ago
Did during Elon interview.
TheOneB
10 months ago
does trump even say "fake news" anymore?
Donkov
10 months ago
0 positions 0 volume
5to5000
10 months ago
Remember, its mostly what the press asks, it's not a conversation with Elon. The press right now is obsessed with the story of Trump calling Kamala's crowds AI, and will for sure get a question in about that. They love to try to get trump in a gotcha
Donkov
10 months ago
Cant really know what to expect with Trump. Hes all over the place. Imagine not saying Tesla in 2hr interview with Elon. Going as far as saying "i'm not supposed to say name of that company" when talking about his EVs lmao
Slaylorswift
10 months ago
Yeah, kinda how markets works to be fair
Donkov
10 months ago
It also diverts resources from areas where Russia is steadily advancing. Hohols defenetly have the upper hand on this one.
n/a
10 months ago
Easiest cash i've seen in a while - russia occupies a significant part of ukraine, and ukraine knows that if trump is elected, there will probably be a division of territories that will consist of something along the lines of "whatever you occupy is yours". Therefore, ukraine wants to occupy as much as they want from russian soil for two reasons: To prevent said division of territories, and to use kursk and its surroundings as leverage in potential future negotiations. If not for these reasons, why would ukraine have advanced into kursk instead of using that firepower to regain lost territory? Kursk to remain ukrainian for a while.
Donkov
10 months ago
Funny to see how last market outcome influences the odds of this one.
Donkov
10 months ago
Called out by Domer and he folds. Sad!
TheOneB
10 months ago
Trump Jr has continously hinted at a Trump crypto currency. I could see it being announced here
Donkov
10 months ago
kek, hate those dogtroons so much its unreal, but hohols got this one.
WZPH8R2O
10 months ago
i wish there were more ukraine markets to part NAFO troons and their money
Donkov
10 months ago
I'm thinking Lisp this time. The dishonest media has been raving about it. It got to him so badly that he released a "clearer" version of the recording lmao.
-nothingburger-
10 months ago
Tampon?
Donkov
10 months ago
What about it?
-nothingburger-
10 months ago
Tampon?
Donkov
10 months ago
AI and crypto are going to be tremendous, believe me. If we don't do it, then Chyna will do it. As a matter a fact they are already doing. We are ran by stupid people. They think we are babies.
Munners
10 months ago
"Everyone talks about AI now, with me youre going to see the best AI, people will say wow we've never seen such good AI. She hates AI and in fact shes too dumb she doesnt know what it is"
Donkov
10 months ago
Does "Chyna" count?
Donkov
10 months ago
Yeap, the media have been bullying his campaign a lot lately. From the "couch", "weird", "make up" stuff and now lisp.
Munners
10 months ago
Yeah I think he will definitely abuse the "fake news media" about their reporting of the X Spaces and lisp will be high in the potential scattergun ramblings
Donkov
10 months ago
The media are saying I have a LISP, which is ridiculous. Can you believe it? I speak perfectly, better than anyone I know.
Donkov
10 months ago
Mfer at 136 with 2 days to go. Tweaker. Congrats to all 130+bros
Donkov
10 months ago
Bro, Hamas pulled out of these negotiations. They do not want further talks, but a commitment to the last agreement for ceasefire. The ball is in Israel's court. If they start games on Thursday with no peace commitments Iran will strike.
vote.fun
10 months ago
nope https://x.com/deitaone/status/1823364793387929985?s=12
Donkov
10 months ago
блин, напиши по-английски
ch40s
10 months ago
если почувствуешь себя дебилом, то ты всегда можешь вспомнить эту ставку и людей, которые покупали YES
Donkov
10 months ago
No bros... its over
n/a
10 months ago
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken is now reported to have Fully Canceled his Trip to Israel after it was Postponed yesterday, due to the Threat of an Iranian Attack.
Donkov
10 months ago
It really depends on how much ground is lost (if any)
0xea04FcC960ACc382dd1E67f9790e55C7294aB8C2-1721595795089
10 months ago
There’s def gunna be some dispute about this when it ends
Donkov
10 months ago
He is shilling with his main while fading on an alt. Retards who blindly follow his trades will get burned.
DenysNext
10 months ago
tell me how you live? i always wondered how it is to live when you have no brains, you probably have no eyes and no head, in what way is the Russian army professional? you must have watched a lot of kremlin TV and listened to American sycophants who lick Putin's ass for his money, you are extremely stupid, if you believe in Russia so much, you can leave all your money on the victory of the Russians, it will definitely be mine
Donkov
10 months ago
Нет. Просто посмотрите, как пошёл Крынки.
ch40s
10 months ago
да я вас умоляю, за пару дней выбить их всех можно, пару артобстрелов куда надо и приказ уйти получат
Donkov
10 months ago
bro, let him catch a bid haha
Car
10 months ago
Me
Donkov
10 months ago
US army disagrees
diddy
10 months ago
Shooting rockets at civilians ain’t fun
Donkov
10 months ago
Wow the great grief wall still standing. For good or bad for him people are outbidding him at 20 lmao
Donkov
10 months ago
Its over. Tomorrows the Gaza peace negotiations.
Donkov
10 months ago
Only Gaza ceasefire will delay retaliation, say Iranian officials https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/only-gaza-ceasefire-can-delay-irans-israel-response-sources-say-2024-08-13/
Donkov
10 months ago
Solid dd
WZPH8R2O
10 months ago
I'm as much of a Zigger as the next guy. nazis are going to be absolutely annihilated in the end, but my position is YES because this market has a strong pro-ukrop bias. 1. nazis need to hold "any part of the Kursk Oblast of Russia". They are already grasping at straws and launching micro-incursions at random places. 2.use of stauchingly pro-nazi source ISW which is even more hohol-biased than hohols themselves (DeepStateMap). 3. everything in this military operation is going at snail's pace so this crap will just drag on. They're probably going to push terrorists out of Sudzha in the next few days, but ukrop presence will remain at some tiny points across the border.
Donkov
10 months ago
short ladder attack by the hedgies
n/a
10 months ago
I want to buy Yes, but it says unavailable
Donkov
10 months ago
As someone pointed out google battle of Krynky
Donkov
10 months ago
Деньги, конечно. укропы сошли с ума
jokir
10 months ago
не ебанет
Donkov
10 months ago
sad!
DECRAPisDUMBandGAY
10 months ago
Remembered just now that DUMFUQ DOMER bought THOUSANDS of Ukraine Takes Crimea shares last year - but he used an alt, so Relay wouldn't notice! LOL!
Donkov
10 months ago
укропы изо всех сил
jokir
10 months ago
не ебанет
Donkov
10 months ago
Bro, the tampon thing was a joke. Stroked you a bit too much. Id buy any word if its priced right. It does not matter who claims who, and who lives where. It matters who holds the ground.
Anesti
10 months ago
There's naturally a huge difference between Kherson. Russia held for less than a year + it's far away without Russians. You are too bluepilled. Let's see who is right. You converted to tampon as well and who was right?
Donkov
10 months ago
At the end of the day what matters is who holds the ground. Russia may claim Kherson, but Ukies retook it. Thats what Ukrainians are realizing. Their best bet is land swaps if they want any clay back. They attacked, because that part of the front is not protected, rather than trying to plug the leaks in Donbass.
Anesti
10 months ago
You know as well as me that there's no way Russia would see that as a legitimate negotiation strategy.
Donkov
10 months ago
Why are you lying?
Kalags
10 months ago
You bought high "yes" ans then sold low "yes" LMFAOOO LMFAOO
Donkov
10 months ago
Ukraine is invading to take a piece and keep it as a bargaining chip for peace negotiations. Few months from now, if Trump wins he will force both sides to negotiate.
Donkov
10 months ago
Another Dem high tech lynching
Donkov
10 months ago
Putin also wanted a 3 day SMO. They have to remove them their territory, but can they pull it in half a month? I dont think so.
Anesti
10 months ago
There's no way Putin will allow Ukraine to hold Russian territory for 3 weeks. Let's see.
Donkov
10 months ago
Source: Trust me bro
n/a
10 months ago
Secretary of State Blinken is scheduled to travel tomorrow night to meet Iranian Foreign Minister, per source with knowledge
Donkov
10 months ago
@XiJinPing bro.. I was trading it throughout the night, but my market buy order for 1k did not go through. I even had the success animation. Even my latest ask got taken out at like 10c
n/a
10 months ago
Iran will get revenge on Israel no matter what, especially after the huge deal they made. If they don't do anything, they will be only suffer more bullying in the future.
Donkov
10 months ago
Congrats to my tamponbros
Donkov
10 months ago
Bro, I sent market buy order 1k for tampons the moment he said it, got the animation success, but the order did not go thorugh. RIP $
CouchWhale
10 months ago
i listened to the whole thing and made like 0$ 💀💀💀💀
Donkov
10 months ago
FINALLY
Donkov
10 months ago
Yes, about 45 mins delay
AccountNames
10 months ago
When was that? :45 mark?
Donkov
10 months ago
WRAP IT UP HOLY SHIT
Donkov
10 months ago
It counts from first word spoken
AccountNames
10 months ago
Didn't it start at 8:30?
Donkov
10 months ago
~15 more min for 2h mark
Donkov
10 months ago
ELON SAYING TESLA DOES NOT COUNT LMAO
Donkov
10 months ago
N-WORD
Donkov
10 months ago
"Elon, what a weird thing to say"
Donkov
10 months ago
BAHAHHAHAHAH I WONT SAY THE NAME OF THE COMPANY
Donkov
10 months ago
"WAY" bros.. we win
Donkov
10 months ago
Absolutely LOVE IT!
Lejer
10 months ago
Im cannot believe im betting on this shit XD
Donkov
10 months ago
THEY ARE COMING FROM MARS
Donkov
10 months ago
BUY BUY BUY "SATURATED"
Donkov
10 months ago
LIVE
Donkov
10 months ago
Not buying those bags. Sad!
ChinesePredict
10 months ago
Trump will accept cryptocurrency donations after he finishes
Donkov
10 months ago
Aww babys first scam. Wait for the markets to start resolving then buy on the cheap.
Flipp
10 months ago
THIS IS NOT AN INTERVIEW.
Donkov
10 months ago
Sad! https://imgur.com/a/YTXr02I
Donkov
10 months ago
Did someone else hear Trump say tampon on hot mic?
Donkov
10 months ago
Elon just left the chat.
Donkov
10 months ago
no refunds
pcutz
10 months ago
So if this just doesn't work I get my money back right
Donkov
10 months ago
Just in: "Kamala's team trying to interupt the Truth"
Donkov
10 months ago
Get with the times. Its clearly Iran
X9504
10 months ago
I just know Gyna is behind this
Donkov
10 months ago
Elon, fucktard, buy more internets, or just stream on youtube
Donkov
10 months ago
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1823152153445404990
Donkov
10 months ago
Not so fast, sweaty. JustScam and 50Pence are not on your side this time, scamming bitch.
Flipp
10 months ago
Elon said this isn't a interview yet a "conversation" every market should resolve "No"
Donkov
10 months ago
SELL SELL SELL SELL
Donkov
10 months ago
Funny thing is I cant even access AlexJones stream anymore. DOWNLOAD MORE RAM, ELON
Donkov
10 months ago
Wow reminiscent of Desantis stream. What a clusterfuck. Buy some internets, Elon, you, cheap fuck.
Donkov
10 months ago
Another begger pops up. Probably the same guy below. Do not tip these bums, it will only encourage them to spam us with chatgpt sob stories.
1273not1272
10 months ago
I’m no begger but got laid off of my job today on Monday. I thought I was going to keep my job as I dodged the proverbial axe on Friday. Can anyone please pay it forward and CashApp me any amount to wager, I promise to use any winnings on food and education. My CashApp is $ PaperChaseMcMahon . Sorry I am an admitted “loser” RN but things are going to change for me and mine. Go DJT!! Kamala piggybacking on “no tips” is pathetic & now the lousy Czar cares about immigration?? That is the key for tonight. YES to illegal immigration usage!!! At least I provided insight.. TY and God Bless!!
Donkov
10 months ago
What if he tweets 50+?
Chrissistar04
10 months ago
Maybe maybe
Donkov
10 months ago
What the hell is this market? Can someone explain how the EU can restrict live streams?
Donkov
10 months ago
Ukrainians are digging in. Itll take months to dislodge them, very much like Russia's Kharkov offensive. https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2024/08/11/ukrainian-troops-are-digging-trenches-in-russias-kursk-oblast-its-a-sign-they-plan-to-stay/
Donkov
10 months ago
Gotta hand it to Trump. He knows how to turn things to his advantage. Backed out from the ABC debate and got mocked for it, but then came swinging proposing 3 to save face and get back on the debate. Now interview with Elon and using it as a catalyst to start tweeting again.
Donkov
10 months ago
Yes, they invaded with mbraps, leopards, bradleys and used himars to strike convoys inside Russia.
PolarOpposite
10 months ago
can ukr use western weapons or no?
Donkov
10 months ago
Stroking Elons ahead of the interview kek
X9504
10 months ago
5 Tweets already
Donkov
10 months ago
Bro, they have been pumping such news every day for a week straight.
DeucePapi
10 months ago
https://www.foxnews.com/world/iran-could-attack-israel-less-than-24-hours-sources-say-western-powers-issue-tehran-warning
Donkov
10 months ago
You spammed multiple markets begging.
LordJames
10 months ago
Can someone tip me like 4 USDC so I can have some fun aswell? i got 2 eudc already. If you see someone has already given me 4, you don't need to give any more.
Donkov
10 months ago
fuck off bum
LordJames
10 months ago
Can someone tip me like 4 USDC so I can have some fun aswell? i got 2 eudc already. If you see someone has already given me 4, you don't need to give any more.
Donkov
10 months ago
Should be a live stream, and potentialy questions taken from tweets. You know what to do, tamponbros.
Donkov
10 months ago
And Tampons.
Donkov
10 months ago
Yeap. He always compliments his interviewers. Look at Tucker, Pauls, and latest with Adin Ross. If the interviewer is a friendly, then Trump is very friendly as well with bunch of compliments. Long Tesla and Mars.
Donkov
10 months ago
Yeap. He always compliments his interviewers. Look at Tucker, Pauls, and latest with Adin Ross. If the interviewer is a friendly, then Trump is very friendly as well with bunch of compliments. Long Tesla and Mars.
Jebediah55
10 months ago
Watch the logan paul interview with trump. The man knows how to stroke the ego of his interviewer, it is a skilful tactic as it engenders warmth and a friendly repertoire. What will Trump say about Elon to his face in order to win him, and his devoted audience, over?
Donkov
10 months ago
per the rules should be a NO
som3guy
10 months ago
what if only one astronaut comes back this year?
Donkov
10 months ago
Arb with what? Trump saying tampons during Elon interview?
shibawino
10 months ago
Either someone has INSIDER info on Bieb's baby being a BOY or THIS IS AN ARBITRAGE OPPORTUNITY OF A LIFETIME!
Donkov
10 months ago
Based on what?
CometoJesusMoment
10 months ago
Bitcoin goes not to 70K, goes to ATH in august
Donkov
10 months ago
Does Trump know about this?
n/a
10 months ago
BREAKING: Evidence of Kamala fraud https://imgur.com/a/Id9dhg7
Donkov
10 months ago
Good quesiton. I too think embassy attack should resolve to YES, but why would the military attack an embassy? (But then again we should just take a look at what happened in April). Outside bases should not. But hopefully Polymarket should comeout and clarify this.
5to5000
10 months ago
I'm guessing an Israeli embassy would count, as per the rules? What about an Israeli military base not in Israel?
Donkov
10 months ago
Yeap, 1 or 2 max. They can just say they are open for a 2nd after the first, but backout due to some bullshit reason. Trump gains most from debates.
bettingboy
10 months ago
Kamala has more to lose, she's had troubles with interviews so imagine against Trump. And they don't want to let Trump repeat those accusations about geopolitical chaos, inflation, Afghanistan and all best arguments Trump has tens of millions of people watching. Already agreed with ABC (would be disastrous for Trump to cancel that), Kamala has no reason to accept fox before that and after ABC they just can't agree another so 1 is my bet
Donkov
10 months ago
Shaping up to be 2 debates https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-campaign-responds-trumps-proposed-debate-schedule-1937561
Donkov
10 months ago
Couldve bought at least 5 tampons
0xE42c9d2ef
10 months ago
bro woke up and decided to buy 1 trans and 1 censorship
Donkov
10 months ago
"Elon, great to hear from you. I’m doing just fantastic, you know, better than ever. The media, they try to paint a different picture, but it’s all lies, all censorship. You’re no stranger to that, right? They’re trying to silence us, our voices, but MAGA is stronger than ever. I’ve been watching what you’re doing with Tesla, it’s incredible. And Mars, that’s something! We need bold visionaries like you. As for crypto, well, I think it’s interesting, but we need to watch out. There’s a lot of weird stuff going on, a lot of illegal activities. We need to protect our people. And let me tell you, the situation at the border is a disaster, illegal immigration is out of control. Oh, and these new tampon policies and trans issues in sports – it’s just madness. We need common sense, Elon. We need it now more than ever."
Donkov
10 months ago
doubter
JohnathanDoe
10 months ago
Crypto bros keep bidding speach markets, but they keep resolving NO. YOUR GETTING FARMED, THX @DECRAP
Donkov
10 months ago
Tampons correcting
Donkov
10 months ago
In interviews? During his Adin Ross stream and press conference.
StevenBonnell
10 months ago
Think about it, when was the last time you actually heard Trump say MAGA or make america great again...
Donkov
10 months ago
Yea, no way they dont talk about censoring his account after the 2020 election
factman
10 months ago
Why the low odds on censorship?
Donkov
10 months ago
No way. I'm out of the days market. For all we know they might delay this till Aug 15 Gaza ceasfire talks.
retard2
10 months ago
maybe buy some 'yes' shares, monkey
Donkov
10 months ago
CAM ON IRAN LOB SOME FACKIN DRONES
Donkov
10 months ago
Hot daymn Iran and Hezbollah got cucked, if they dont respond. Especially after todays brutal strike in Gaza.
Donkov
10 months ago
Nobody cares about trans. Did he talk about tampons?
0x55b539d555563684542552f146ead85ff6dcb451
10 months ago
Did you see the press conference yesterday where he said it multiple times?
Donkov
10 months ago
Yeap, Biden resign markets had that clause. Such markets can really incentivise some sick fuck to do unspeakable shit
nola72324
10 months ago
Polymarket should make it so that a death does not result in a yes in these types of markets
Donkov
10 months ago
congrats 80-89 bros
Donkov
10 months ago
CAM ON ELON WRITE SOME FOKIN TWEEETS
Donkov
10 months ago
I was ignorant, please forgive me, tamponbro.
Anesti
10 months ago
You literally called me weird for suggesting this 8 hours prior to writing your comment. Admit my superiority. My account will be up 100k in a year
Donkov
10 months ago
Looks like he finally went to sleep. Its 2am in Texas inline with his schedule. Should wake up around 8-9am usually he tweets first thing in the morning https://www.businessinsider.com/elon-musk-daily-schedule
Donkov
10 months ago
This 3 debates thing is just a facade as if he is coming back to the ABC debate on his own terms. Thats the primary goal. If Kamala takes the bait and accepts 3, then even better for Trump
Mozart
10 months ago
Trump told reporters at a news conference that he has agreed to three debates next month hosted by Fox, NBC and ABC.
Donkov
10 months ago
Trump backed out from the scheduled ABC debate, because Biden dropped out. He proposed FoxNews as next host, but Dems started hammering him as a no show. "Mr anytime, any place" as if he was scared to debate Kamala. Kamala is a wreck, and the less debates she does the better for her campaign. She cant keep a straight face. Among the first to drop out during 2020 primaries.
Mozart
10 months ago
Trump told reporters at a news conference that he has agreed to three debates next month hosted by Fox, NBC and ABC.
Donkov
10 months ago
It could be one of his slow days, but mfer has his routine to tweet after waking up.
WrongInvestor
10 months ago
he went to sleep now. i guess 70-79 looking quite possible.
Donkov
10 months ago
Fat finger, but got it covered with Fox News.
Mozart
10 months ago
How were you able to get in at 25¢ and price hasn't reached there yet?
Donkov
10 months ago
This whole 3 debates thing is so Trump can save face and come back on the table for ABC debate. It hurt him greatly by how Dems spun the narrative around.
Mozart
10 months ago
Trump told reporters at a news conference that he has agreed to three debates next month hosted by Fox, NBC and ABC.
Donkov
10 months ago
Long tampons. Republicans have started railing about "Tampon Tim". Perfect nickname for that weirdo https://www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnbc-opinion/tampon-tim-walz-social-media-trump-team-rcna165810
Donkov
10 months ago
We already had 1 with Biden.
elon69
10 months ago
3 Debates! Last 5 Elections had 3 between the nominees except for 2020 where one was cancelled
Donkov
10 months ago
Demonrat bullies keep repeating it
Pupa
10 months ago
Why weird?
Donkov
10 months ago
wtf, printing gg
TheGuru
10 months ago
YESSSSSSSS
Donkov
10 months ago
You didnt get the scam memo this time?
🤺JustPunched
10 months ago
Were they paid to put this market up?
Donkov
10 months ago
Cant believe Polymarket is sleeping on jews market this time
41-17™askDomerWhatImean
10 months ago
Jews Crack Dementia?
Donkov
10 months ago
I'm noping the fuck out. Whatever the fuck this is it aint official in my books. Your standard run of the mill crypto bro scam https://x.com/Restore1374508
Donkov
10 months ago
Bro.. the rewards on this mamasita
Donkov
10 months ago
Its happening https://finance.yahoo.com/news/trumps-son-eric-posts-crypto-123042038.html
Donkov
10 months ago
Based. Fellow holder of derivatives of a meme coin
debased
10 months ago
Restore the Republic!!!!
Donkov
10 months ago
What the fuck is this shitcoin?
Donkov
10 months ago
You are weird
Anesti
10 months ago
Buying the dip on tampons
Donkov
10 months ago
USA bros... whats going on?
Donkov
10 months ago
Certainly did. Almost reached Friday market levels
vote.fun
10 months ago
did it tho?
Donkov
10 months ago
NO got a little bit overstreched lol
Donkov
10 months ago
cant argue with this dd
NowItsMyTime
10 months ago
Without Fox News Presidential Debate VP will not debate, it doesnt make sense to have only VP debate, so I take the risk at a good price.
Donkov
10 months ago
Where is the "Weird" market?
Donkov
10 months ago
All eyes on 80-89 bracket
Donkov
10 months ago
It really depends how badly Hezbollah and Iran chimp out. They have been hyping this up as a more severe attack than April
TheGermanGuy
10 months ago
Israel and the nations around Israel are known for Airstrikes. The title and the rules are that Israel will invade. That will not happen because if Israel invades Lebanon they will have trouble with Palestine, Lebanon, Iran and Turkey as Pesident Erdogan has annouced.
Donkov
10 months ago
He has a lot of hate for his companies, but he is a great salesman. Thats how he got all of those gibs from the government.
iftruehuge
10 months ago
Elon not talking about spacex and mars in an interview with the president would be a major L for him to promote his agenda
Donkov
10 months ago
Fool me twice.. You cant be fooled again, ok?
X9504
10 months ago
Macron has also asked the Iranian president not to attack. It was very successful when he did the same with Putin, so surely it will work again this time
Donkov
10 months ago
They goin in jail https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c74ll793g42o
ALMOST
10 months ago
Do I understand correctly that if, during a flight from, say, Caracas to Moscow, Maduro loses contact with his press secretary for a couple of hours, and in that moment Maria Corina announces that Maduro has fled - the market must decide that Maduro has lost power for some time? Exit JastKam and co
Donkov
10 months ago
Iran’s president implores Khamenei to avoid war with Israel https://www.iranintl.com/en/202408073123
Donkov
10 months ago
Or maybe a 3Head plan to mask your manuvers as drills before striking, but I doubt it. Plain stupid to announce to the world you are doing stuff.
Donkov
10 months ago
It aint happening tonight. They are doing military drills to gauge US and Israeli response https://x.com/GlobeEyeNews/status/1821258297342935493
Donkov
10 months ago
It aint happening tonight. They are doing military drills to gauge US and Israeli response https://x.com/GlobeEyeNews/status/1821258297342935493
Donkov
10 months ago
But Edmundo won the election!
Donkov
10 months ago
Michelle sisters.. now is our time
Donkov
10 months ago
Why Friday?
Anesti
10 months ago
I think it's either this friday or august the 13th ( Tisha B’av - August 13 This solemn day is a reminder of the destruction of the First and Second Temples in Jerusalem, which occurred on the same Hebrew calendar date. It is traditional to fast. )
Donkov
10 months ago
Yes, that fucker defrauded a lot of polymarket investors with the fake election votes.
DECRAPisDUMBandGAY
10 months ago
Make a GONZALEZ market - send that fucker STRAIGHT TO JAIL
Donkov
10 months ago
Lil bro can die, be crippled, assassinated, and the list goes on. A lot of sickos out there. Certainly not a 0 chance market.
0x204148b38128a1ae0857D6819F270a774e27eFc3-1721624702749
10 months ago
Tim Walz pulls a fast one on Kamala? Really? Who makes up these dumb markets?
Donkov
10 months ago
Brat needs correction
Donkov
10 months ago
2 more weeks and Biden will be reinstated
Donkov
10 months ago
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/8/6/venezuela-defence-minister-pledges-absolute-loyalty-to-maduro
Donkov
10 months ago
We good, as long as we are on the right side of the bet lol
XiJinPing
10 months ago
this market is literally un-tradeable because JustScam can just claim Maduro isn't president, and his mob will vote the other way.
Donkov
10 months ago
until you are on the other side of the bet. Scammers are not your friend.
factman
10 months ago
JustKam, thank you.
Donkov
10 months ago
Polymarket should intervene and resolve Maduro YES, Gonzales YES. Win win
Donkov
10 months ago
Just did the needful. 5 shares in
PolyMucket
10 months ago
Buy Maduro HODL till Zero sers
Donkov
10 months ago
Heres how Maduro can still win
Donkov
10 months ago
Lil bro, why redeem the shares at .97?
yourrapist1776
10 months ago
Bunch of crybaby's in here
Donkov
10 months ago
Subscribe to 50Pence and JustSkam
PolyMucket
10 months ago
Whats the next Scam market to make some money on?
Donkov
10 months ago
but it would be funny
Donkov
10 months ago
Any dispoofters?
Donkov
10 months ago
Any dispoofters?
Donkov
10 months ago
Crypto bros scam
0xd914fcbB29AF483936284777655ec7966A802e3A-1722210667839
10 months ago
Can someone explain me what is UMA?
Donkov
10 months ago
Bunch of scammers getting together and interpreting it how they please.
yourrapist1776
10 months ago
"The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Venezuela, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice." What does a consensus of credible reporting mean to you?
Donkov
10 months ago
bro, its over
Sever
10 months ago
There's a bet on who will be OFFICIALLY declared the winner. Maduro has officially won. Yes, he is a dictator, yes, he stole freedom from people. But what is happening in sports now is, of course, terrible.
Donkov
10 months ago
Cant wait for that market to reach UMA to resolve it.
Gena🐊
10 months ago
Let's just propose in Polymarket discord "Will polymarket anounce that will drop UMA before the end of 2024?"
Donkov
10 months ago
Venezuelans will be thrilled to learn Edmundo won the election
Iverson
10 months ago
I feel like Polymarket betters are more upset about the outcome of this vote than the actual citizens of Venezuela
Donkov
10 months ago
Agreed
090x
10 months ago
Someone dispute?
Donkov
10 months ago
And lose 750 more to the scam? UMA is resolving it anyway to Gonzales in 10 hrs. 95% vote YES for Gonzaeles
090x
10 months ago
Someone dispute?
Donkov
10 months ago
Maybe hes trading? Fuck outta here with your bullshit fatman
factman
10 months ago
So why did you buy 300 Maduro shares just now?
Donkov
10 months ago
uh oh
DECRAPisDUMBandGAY
10 months ago
Poop Time
Donkov
10 months ago
https://kick.com/adinross
Donkov
10 months ago
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/112910413413274249 Sell while you can
Donkov
10 months ago
Trump W
Donkov
10 months ago
based Xi
XiJinPing
10 months ago
https://x.com/ManuDaGoatalt/status/1820492096257642668
Donkov
10 months ago
"anyway elections are won by whoever has the most votes " 00's Al Gore calling
n/a
10 months ago
Maduro gave the order to imprison the opposition - anyway elections are won by whoever has the most votes [ https://resultadosconvzla.com ], not by whoever they say on TV
Donkov
10 months ago
God knows what game they are playing behind the scenes, but wont be a good look if Iran strikes right after Shoigu visits.
Au-gust
10 months ago
Kurilla in Israel as well
Donkov
10 months ago
Market was not budging. Had to market buy. Theres always gonna be someone posting the latest news. Just the nature of an open forum.
0xE42c9d2ef
10 months ago
I wish people jsut did their own research and stay quiet buying. Not meant to be personal, just the whole site in general
Donkov
10 months ago
meet me at .98 bb. I'll fill you up
babybeluga
10 months ago
can someone pls buy my no shares Im broke now please
Donkov
10 months ago
lmao, Free money indicator
0xE42c9d2ef
10 months ago
Counterbetting someone who said "free money" has never failed to be a good strategy
Donkov
10 months ago
What the fuck did you just fucking say about me, you little bitch? I'll have you know I graduated top of my class in the Navy Seals, and I've been involved in numerous secret raids on Al-Quaeda, and I have over 300 confirmed kills. I am trained in gorilla warfare and I'm the top sniper in the entire US armed forces.
babybeluga
10 months ago
im gonna buy some louboutins after I claim my winnings
Donkov
10 months ago
"Trump to sit for interview with Adin Ross, popular online streamer"... "Adin Ross, a popular online streamer, will interview Trump today, the campaign confirmed. Trump is set to join the livestream at around 1 p.m. today, Ross said." https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/live-blog/harris-trump-election-live-updates-rcna164945
Donkov
10 months ago
Shoigu visiting Iran today. Dont think its tonight, bois https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-05/putin-s-security-council-chief-visits-iran-amid-mideast-tensions?utm_source=google&utm_medium=bd&cmpId=google
Donkov
10 months ago
Jesus, the stock market is on fire. The tech darlings are getting slaughtered. NVDA -10% premarket.
Donkov
10 months ago
What the fuck happened to buttcoins
n/a
10 months ago
The real Q1 is only 1.4%, and Q2 "advance estimate" data is 2.8% currently, but don't get excited yet, It's not the final data yet. It's very likely the final Q2 data could be negative. Some negative news: Berkshire Hathaway sold half its apple stock for cash; US stock market crashed; Japan stock market crashed; Crypto market crashed; US unemployment rate rose to 4.3 percent in July.
Donkov
10 months ago
Polymarket allowing few scammers to run wild. Shame
n/a
10 months ago
those who correctly predicted that maduro will emerge victorious deserve to get payed. Those who rely on polling data to argue someone else is the winner, predicted absolutely nothing as the polling was known before the election. We waited a few days just in case it gets overturned. Well, it didnt.
Donkov
10 months ago
The fuck is this link? Cant open shit
Gena🐊
10 months ago
Guys, the UMA inbreed freaks are too scared to vote for what's true. They just follow the majority to keep their internet points (tokens). We need all Maduro Yes hodlers to leave a P1 - No argument in the Discord: https://discord.com/channels/718590743446290492/964000735073284127. Let’s make sure the truth is heard and prevent these liberal commies from controlling the outcome. Stand strong and defend the official results! 💪🇻🇪
Donkov
10 months ago
Edmundo sisters... Trust the plan. Heres how Edumndo can still win... Two more weeks and Kurdistan and Ukraine will recognize and ratify the election as STOLEN.
Donkov
10 months ago
Edmundocels with their impotent rage trying to distort reality. Sorry, sweaty. Maduro won. Ukraine is losing. The world is healing.
Donkov
10 months ago
Eat shit fudder. You sell
n/a
10 months ago
Have you read the Discord discussion? I recommend that you sell.
Donkov
10 months ago
Literally this, its scammers who bought on the cheap, because fraud was priced in, and now trying to manipulate the market. Should cash out while they still can with a hefty profit, but they want it all. Scamming bitches
YatSen
10 months ago
If you ask people without interest, they would acknowledge that Maduro won. Some people bought González shares at under 10c, attempting to cause confusion.
Donkov
10 months ago
JustSkamer was crying about laws and legality. Lets wait for the Venezuela Supreme court election audit. I wonder what the next cope will be? Kurdistan and Ukraine recognizing Edmundo?
VibesGreaterRules
10 months ago
Domer and 50Pence are on Gonzalez. Please ignore the CNE and resolve in their favor!
Donkov
10 months ago
Great buy opportunity
garbagetogold
10 months ago
I agree that it’s more likely than not (that’s why this is trading at 85c), but it takes two to tango and I can see trump being stubborn for a long time
Donkov
10 months ago
Sure, last time they did, but what if by any chance it does not? Take a look at Venezuela election betting if you wanna see rules manipulation.
Justifax
10 months ago
If iran claims it has attacked israel with its forces, this resolves as YES.
Donkov
10 months ago
Well, Polymarket better clarify, beause right now it seems weapons have to reach their territory to resolve to YES
Justifax
10 months ago
If iran claims it has attacked israel with its forces, this resolves as YES.
Donkov
10 months ago
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/donald-trump-agrees-with-fox-news-debate-kamala-harris-sept-4-2024-08-03/
Donkov
10 months ago
Wording suggest that if all weapons are intercepted outside Israeli territory it would resolve to NO. "For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by Iran on Israeli soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Israeli soil is hit by an Iranian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes")."
Donkov
10 months ago
Concerned with the law? Venezuela supreme court is auditing the election. What will be the cope after that?
🤺JustPunched
10 months ago
Still have not released any of the precinct data as required by law
Donkov
10 months ago
China and Russia say otherwise. No consensus
SNIPEZATL1
10 months ago
The winner of an election does not necessarily need to be the leader who stays in power. At this point "a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice" seems like the EU/US/SA countries supporting Gonzalez along with independent reporting should resolve this to a Gonzalez win.
Donkov
10 months ago
Good point. Lets wait and see
nooman
10 months ago
im betting no. i think hezbollah attack, not iran
Donkov
10 months ago
Expect by EOD at the latest. Usually within few hours. You can also propose resultion yourself.
anon3427
10 months ago
What’s the resolve time on these usually?
Donkov
10 months ago
Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics released Friday showed the labor market added 114,000 nonfarm payroll jobs in July
Donkov
10 months ago
Telling it how it is
DECRAPisDUMBandGAY
10 months ago
LMAO DUMFAT DOMER desperately buying the cheap Maduro Yes shares, HA HA HA! the Amerikkkan Nazis scamming once again, both Blinken and Dumber! LOL!
Donkov
10 months ago
Heres how Bernie Sanders can still win
factman
10 months ago
To those siding with "Other" - what do you expect?
Donkov
10 months ago
Shame on Polymarket for letting this happen
Donkov
10 months ago
North Korea thinks Joe Biden cheated in 2020
Erfank
10 months ago
I told you this is coming earlier. https://x.com/DeItaone/status/1818343834343952481?t=-ruYc3C77uyBHfk2zF8sOw&s=19
Donkov
10 months ago
He better while the fud is effective
DECRAPisDUMBandGAY
10 months ago
is this a sign you will be dumping soon?
Donkov
10 months ago
Twitter bots and CIA operatives
PolyBlaster
10 months ago
"however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice."
Donkov
10 months ago
Trump had proofs too.
Miau
10 months ago
There is an unofficial website offered by María Corina Machado and Edmundo González to verify the official records. This page shows Edmundo as the winner, contradicting the CNE's announcement.
Donkov
10 months ago
NO Maduro betters disputing this who got great prices, because fraud was priced in. Now that it happened like it always happens in corrupt shitholes they try to manipulate the system in their favor. Tough shit, because the rules are clear.
colorcoral
10 months ago
I wanted Maduro to lose. But I knew he would "win" according to the "official information from Venezuela" because he IS the official information from Venezuela. Everyone who voted for him knew there was a good chance he would steal the election. That's why we backed that result. Polymarket needs to get its shit together when it comes to defining, and then respecting, the terms of these markets.
Donkov
10 months ago
Why do you think your NO price was so good? Fraud was priced in lmao now that it happened as expected every NO better suddenly cries foul
🤺JustPunched
10 months ago
The side that definitely won the election and is publishing precinct results is at 10c, and the guy who definitely committed fraud and is not publishing any precinct results (for the first time ever) is trading at 90c. Is this a failure of prediction markets?
Donkov
10 months ago
He was def tweaking. Now hes crashing down, just like last week lol
Donkov
10 months ago
I'm sovereign citizen
Car
10 months ago
No shit. You are from Russia
Donkov
10 months ago
Edmundo not my president
Donkov
10 months ago
"The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Venezuela" How is this not resolved yet lmao
Donkov
10 months ago
Lil bro must be tweaking
Donkov
10 months ago
Funny, I wonder if its gonna get the same treatment with fud, delays, and disputes. 5% discount is crazy
n/a
10 months ago
Harris will rig the election
Donkov
10 months ago
Ah, yes, X full of bots from troll farms.
bxb
10 months ago
Everything happening right now is why I bet no. There's so much outrage on X right now. This could very well be disputed until the end of the year. Either way I'm excited to see what happens and hopefully the people of Venezuela are liberated.
Donkov
10 months ago
Good luck to both opposition and polymarket disputers.
Donkov
10 months ago
JD brings that zest no one else can
Donkov
10 months ago
He was about to, but said "strategic stockpile" instead lol
PoorWithCryptos
10 months ago
he didn't said reserve???
Donkov
10 months ago
What a ride. Had the misfortune to be on a delayed stream. Changed a few but none kept up with the market moving.
Donkov
10 months ago
True. Forgot Trump is literally Hitler
larnzius.schmarnzius
10 months ago
makes it more likely he says it, doesn't it?
Donkov
10 months ago
How is Michelle still at 1.4?
Donkov
10 months ago
Heres how Michelle can still win
Donkov
10 months ago
Mr President can you say "Mog"? *Trump immidietly think its something racist* Aint happening
Donkov
10 months ago
100-109 and 90-99 brackets looks tasty. Just need 8 more tweets in 30hrs and we are at 100+. Funny how the 120+ turned so quickly though
Donkov
10 months ago
lil bros did not hedge the Big Mike bet
Donkov
10 months ago
It needs 310M more not just 140M
Wisdomtime
10 months ago
There are 3 reasons why this will not take place
Donkov
10 months ago
Two more weeks and he will resign. Trust the plan
Donkov
10 months ago
We must sell at a loss
Donkov
10 months ago
its over
Donkov
10 months ago
Where is the N word market?
Donkov
10 months ago
Big Mike will never run. If it does then the world will learn the truth that it has a pickle down there.
n/a
10 months ago
guys are mad because its the same people who thought a person with obvious dementia would not drop out XDDD
Donkov
10 months ago
You are crazy to think its not Kamala. There is way too much donation money tied up with Biden that cannot go to someone else. Plus she raised 100M more when he dropped. Coupled with leaders endorsements and real/fake polls showing her lead Trump there will be no contest. Expect final nail to be todays televized endorsement from Bidet.
Donkov
10 months ago
Indeed, 300M in a week is a bit too much.
Wisdomtime
10 months ago
There are 3 reasons why this will not take place
Donkov
10 months ago
Watch out for TrumpLoser donate botting from his TikTok market proceeds.
Donkov
10 months ago
Then it would resolve "YES" for big Mike Obama
0xAaC4e9AEf1Ad0399D6897B5dA9544a8B4D17943e-1721708419075
10 months ago
If he says "Kamala Harris" or any variation does that count like just "Kamala" or "vice President Harris"
Donkov
10 months ago
Yep, watch the last one. All teleprompter https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5W2vMYxF4BE
JeffreyBezos
10 months ago
not really much money to be made be he isn't giong to say Anyways even once. He is going to read a prepared from a telprompter, there is no freelancing like in the debate where he had to say Anyways to catch himself from drifting off
Donkov
10 months ago
Bro, he already died. This is a body double.
Car
10 months ago
but i thought he is so sick that he needs to resign because he is going to die this week.......................
Donkov
10 months ago
No bros.. We need to sell at a loss "his market was on whether the fourth TikTok post from @realdonaldtrump would reach 30 million views within the market’s timeframe. The post surpassed 30 million views, therefore, this market should resolve “Yes”"
Donkov
10 months ago
How can it be proved?
aenews2
10 months ago
Someone bought views
Donkov
10 months ago
Explain. I dont use this zoomer trash
LuckyTrump
10 months ago
I feel sorry for you idiots who don't understand how tiktok's recommendation algorithms work.
Donkov
10 months ago
Yea, sure buddy. They are months old and this was dorman for days.
LuckyTrump
10 months ago
You're stupid, look how many views past videos got. What were you hoping for?
Donkov
10 months ago
Holy fucking shit, how the hell did it gain so many views?
Donkov
10 months ago
Yes, 50/50 is more fair price. Anything can happen, but still lean into a No.
matthewceo
10 months ago
yes voters are cooked buying at 70%
Donkov
10 months ago
Just like Youtube, TikTok can detect botting.
0x514b4cbA54c81E949E9f69705B55602858A83D7b
10 months ago
what happens if the video gets botted?
Donkov
10 months ago
"No" is horribly underpriced. 5.8M views in 2 days? With just 2 days and ~8hrs left. Video almost needs 5.8M views every 12 hours to reach the goal. Not 2 days. Doesnt look good right now.
Donkov
10 months ago
Yea, real biden is dead. It was a body double on a old video
n/a
10 months ago
Theres video claiming he was boarding AF1.. but people on X are disputing its an old video because sound has been cut out .. so who knows?
Donkov
10 months ago
The fuck are you trying to say? Feel free to dispute and lose more moeny
n/a
10 months ago
So what happened? Did he make an appearance?
Donkov
10 months ago
I dont know
n/a
10 months ago
So what happened? Did he make an appearance?
Donkov
10 months ago
Yea, feel free to dispute lmao
ghostyloxx
10 months ago
sorry but this isin't an "appearance" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mCXckn--4k8
Donkov
10 months ago
Yes
n/a
10 months ago
So what happened? Did he make an appearance?
Donkov
10 months ago
Wait what happened?
Ferguson,Turd
10 months ago
lol and a big fuk u to the 500 share guy who cost me another 20k
Donkov
10 months ago
There we go. Money shot
Donkov
10 months ago
I'm concerned with the awake clause. This is your chance.
Nodar
10 months ago
The real issue is do we see the face or back of head only
Donkov
10 months ago
Do body doubles count for "YES"? No bros.. this is your chance. Dispute
Donkov
10 months ago
Sry, Biden is a never gooner. Dont have to, frequent Epstein harem patron
OmegaReborn
10 months ago
Hes not coming off that plane I told you he is gooning with me on Discord
Donkov
10 months ago
LOL "Biden must be awake for this market to resolve to "Yes"."
Donkov
10 months ago
Hilarious that people bet good money on a rumor that he died.
Donkov
10 months ago
Scranton Joe, time to go
Donkov
10 months ago
The press will be all over. All it takes is to film him boarding Airforce one
n/a
10 months ago
He still needs to “appear” in the media is some way. The media just saying he’s at the White House isn’t emough
Donkov
10 months ago
Or am I mistaken with EDT time?
Donkov
10 months ago
19th - 19, 20th - 15, 21st - 25, 22nd - 20 = 79 tweets (not counting tweets from today 23)
Donkov
10 months ago
19th - 19, 20th - 15, 21st - 25, 22nd - 20 = 79 tweets (not counting tweets from today 23)
Donkov
10 months ago
Current tweet count sitting at 79 tweets with 3 days more to go. "No" 80-89 literally 2% free money
Donkov
10 months ago
cope
n/a
10 months ago
in case u missed it, the nominee will emerges from fair democratic process on DNC as Obama wrote in his statement. So congratulations for getting delegates, till DNC you and retards who are able only to read and not comprehend the reality suck a dick to each other. ItsJoever is the first in the line
Donkov
10 months ago
https://www.xtracker.io/ add up the tweets from each day. We past 80 tweets now.
mango-lassi
10 months ago
79 how
Donkov
10 months ago
Current tweet count sitting at 79 tweets with 3 days more to go. "No" 80-89 literally 2% free money
Donkov
10 months ago
Trust the plan. Obamas playing 5d chess
ItsJeover
10 months ago
Michelle Obama LMAOOO! Rest in piss you scum YES holders!
Donkov
10 months ago
Yes, good luck with that.
moneymoney
10 months ago
if biden is worm food the yes votes win?
Donkov
10 months ago
In case anyone missed it "Kamala Harris says she is looking forward to accepting Democratic nomination as she secures support of enough delegates"
Donkov
10 months ago
Scheduled to return in office on Tuesday. Expect press frenzy
Donkov
10 months ago
No money is worse
MrMeep42
10 months ago
No guts no glory
Donkov
10 months ago
Meeting has been set this Thursday https://www.reuters.com/world/us/biden-expected-meet-netanyahu-thursday-white-house-us-official-says-2024-07-23/
Donkov
10 months ago
Elon knows https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=scUhB6luvGM
Donkov
10 months ago
No bros... its over.. We need to sell at a loss. They are play recordings of Biden. Watch Kamala almost slip https://x.com/disclosetv/status/1815519738631790956
Donkov
10 months ago
Because he would get a straight answer here?
unburdened69
10 months ago
love that u went in with 80k and then asked after
Donkov
10 months ago
Nah, Alex is not jumping on the bandwagon fullheartedly. Hes just repeating that if they tried to kill Trump they will kill Biden. Hes often right, but also spewing insane shit that never materialze, then credit it to patriots preventing it from happening.
MtrxZ
10 months ago
RIP Joseph Robinette Biden Junior
Donkov
10 months ago
Source: Alex Jones
MtrxZ
10 months ago
RIP Joseph Robinette Biden Junior
Donkov
10 months ago
Yes. Maybe? I dont know
Ferguson,Turd
10 months ago
Please I need an honest answer and no pumping. Is he dead?
Donkov
10 months ago
Nah bro he ded. According to sources he died in a hospital.
Bigbadwolfman
10 months ago
He is fine. Everything IS FINE.
Donkov
10 months ago
Its so over for Biden. According to markets here Biden will resign, Kamala will drop by end of July and the Obongos will seize power. Its literally over
Donkov
11 months ago
If you buy Yes you aint black
Donkov
11 months ago
Tfw no monies to slurp the No dip. No bros... go on without me
Donkov
11 months ago
Yea, saying that he will focus then insta drop is pants on head retarded. Way too much chaos.
scottilicious
11 months ago
If I were a Republican operative wanting to shift the narrative away from Kamala, spending a few tens of thousands of dollars to manipulate a market like this to make it seem like there is a chance in hell (which there isn't) that Biden will resign the presidency would not be a bad use of a few bucks. Dude literally said in the latter he was looking forward to serving out the rest of his term. This move this morning felt manipulated. Just sayin'
Donkov
11 months ago
Bidet dropping and now hes shilling his AI. What a combo
Donkov
11 months ago
Obongos want nothing to do with this dem cycle legacy. Biden's term is toxic. If they plan a move it would be 2028.
Donkov
11 months ago
His campaign cited polling data as the reason. Its obvious because he is senile but dropping from the run is enough humiliation for both him and his party. Dems know they lose the presidency this cycle. This is about the House and Senate.
rordy
11 months ago
It's almost illegal for him to keep holding office after resigning from running again due to health reasons. We need a fit president for the remaining months. I bet he resigns and Harris takes office by the end of the month maybe even when he speaks next week.
Donkov
11 months ago
Dont think we are ever going to see an endorment for anyone this cycle. He seems passionate for independent president as he is about vaccines. Plus it would be a spit in the face to all who donated to him. A lot of independents dislike both Dems and Republicans.
PaeniscusArrow
11 months ago
Agreed but still a long way to August 31st...
Donkov
11 months ago
RFK shit talking Trump about the debt increase under his presidency lol. Not endorsing him.
Donkov
11 months ago
Lower tweet count "Yes" bros are cooked
Donkov
11 months ago
Because he drops from the race, not the presidency lmao
degenName
11 months ago
Why is it not resolved to yes yet?
Donkov
11 months ago
No ty. Keep your bags
degenName
11 months ago
You can still buy the yes
Donkov
11 months ago
Well, congrats on the Yes speculators. You were right to ape into this in case he drops out. You can exit with a nice sum, courtesy of dumb ppl giving you exit liquidity. (Biden you sleepy ass faggot, dont make me eat those words)
Donkov
11 months ago
He literally says that he drops from the race so he can focus on presidency (yea right, its just an excuse). He aint resigning
VeryBadAcid
11 months ago
That smells like a resignation to me...
Donkov
11 months ago
Jooo Biden wake up
Donkov
11 months ago
"if President Joe Biden makes any major announcement regarding his future, such as his decision to resign the presidency or whether to run or not run for re-election" Statement whether he will stay in the race is literally in the rule for the market to resolve to yes.
betoor
11 months ago
I can't believe No is at 90c here, there's a very good argument the official statement has been made. I'm flipping to buying YES
Donkov
11 months ago
I did buy back more.
snarf43
11 months ago
I thought you said it was clear cut, you should double down
Donkov
11 months ago
Fix has been deployed like 8 hrs ago on Crowdstrike's end. Problem is it would take a shitton of time to unfuck every affected system.
1414231
11 months ago
Seems like the final fix should be up soon and posted officially on the blog/CEO or official twitter account.
Donkov
11 months ago
Campaign manager is as official representative as it gets when it comes to statements regarding his future in the presidential race.
snarf43
11 months ago
Anything the Biden campaign chair says on national TV is an official statement from one of his representatives. If not then they need to define what an "official statement" is.
Donkov
11 months ago
Nothing wrong with taking profit. I'm still in this.
snarf43
11 months ago
Then why'd you sell?
Donkov
11 months ago
Dump the rest of your Yes bags
KingofRingx3
11 months ago
If this market resolves undisputed https://polymarket.com/event/crowdstrike-outage-fixed-by-noon-friday?tid=1721417172190 , it will probably be the same for this one here.
Donkov
11 months ago
Here is Biden's campaign chair affirming he will stay in the race. Someone wanted a statement on video https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y7zaxYoE4Uw
Donkov
11 months ago
Clear cut "Yes". "The resolution source for this market is official statements from Biden or one of his representatives" https://apnews.com/article/biden-election-trump-democrats-329071c25dfaaae583b5f06184586267 "Biden said Trump’s acceptance speech at the Republican National Convention showcased a “dark vision for the future.” The president, seeking to move the political conversation away from his fate and onto his rival’s agenda, said Friday he was planning to return to the campaign trail next week and insisted he has a path to victory over Trump, despite the worries of some of his party’s most eminent members. " Direct statement from Biden
Donkov
11 months ago
More articles reporting on Biden statement about remaining in the race https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/07/19/us/biden-election-news
Donkov
11 months ago
Reminder that Australia wakes up in 6 hours (on a Saturday). They will be just starting to update their systems.
Donkov
11 months ago
Its funny that you successfully managed to spread fud to dump your "Yes" bags. We went from "the bug was fixed, we should resolve to Yes" to "There are no outages, only minor issues around". Sadly it did not work for you in the Noon market.
heeeeez
11 months ago
https://www.reuters.com/technology/crowdstrike-says-actively-working-with-customers-impacted-by-outage-2024-07-19/ - what else does there need to be to show Crowdstrike fixed the outage
Donkov
11 months ago
Ah yes. Doctors unable to access their patients records is a minor issue.
heeeeez
11 months ago
https://www.reuters.com/technology/crowdstrike-says-actively-working-with-customers-impacted-by-outage-2024-07-19/ - what else does there need to be to show Crowdstrike fixed the outage
Donkov
11 months ago
bonus points for ‘IT outage’ in the news title
Donkov
11 months ago
Here https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/19/latest-live-updates-on-a-major-it-outage-spreading-worldwide.html reports of outages by major companies trickling in. Expect them to keep coming
Donkov
11 months ago
Here https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/19/latest-live-updates-on-a-major-it-outage-spreading-worldwide.html reports of outages by major companies trickling in. Expect them to keep coming
heeeeez
11 months ago
https://www.reuters.com/technology/crowdstrike-says-actively-working-with-customers-impacted-by-outage-2024-07-19/ - what else does there need to be to show Crowdstrike fixed the outage
Donkov
11 months ago
1min ago "Epic Systems says outage is preventing some health organizations from accessing some patient records"
Donkov
11 months ago
lol, you are grasping at straws. Here https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/19/latest-live-updates-on-a-major-it-outage-spreading-worldwide.html . 4 mins ago (already past the Noon eadline) Drugmaker Amgen, a CrowdStrike customer, said Friday it is assessing the impact of the global outage and working to recover affected systems “as quickly as possible.”
Donkov
11 months ago
lol, you are grasping at straws. Here https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/19/latest-live-updates-on-a-major-it-outage-spreading-worldwide.html . 4 mins ago (already past the Noon eadline) Drugmaker Amgen, a CrowdStrike customer, said Friday it is assessing the impact of the global outage and working to recover affected systems “as quickly as possible.”
CrimZedong
11 months ago
or a consensus of credible reporting indicating that the affected services are mostly operational. This is def not the case so should be resolved to no.
Donkov
11 months ago
Here, read live updates of outages reported. https://www.bbc.com/news/live/cnk4jdwp49et
CrimZedong
11 months ago
or a consensus of credible reporting indicating that the affected services are mostly operational. This is def not the case so should be resolved to no.
Donkov
11 months ago
"Just update your system, bro". If only it was that simple, this shit will linger for weeks. Its stating clear enough that with ongoing major outages it will resolve to no.
pure
11 months ago
Most vague market rules possible. Well done.
Donkov
11 months ago
Yes, but are all outages linked to this bug resolved? Read the wording of the market, then come back.
KingofRingx3
11 months ago
https://www.crowdstrike.com/blog/statement-on-falcon-content-update-for-windows-hosts/
Donkov
11 months ago
The bug has been resolved, but not the outages themselves.
KingofRingx3
11 months ago
https://www.crowdstrike.com/blog/statement-on-falcon-content-update-for-windows-hosts/
Donkov
11 months ago
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the IT outages linked to CrowdStrike, are resolved" Outages are still being reported
KingofRingx3
11 months ago
https://www.crowdstrike.com/blog/statement-on-falcon-content-update-for-windows-hosts/
Donkov
11 months ago
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/live-blog/live-updates-it-outage-flights-banks-businesses-microsoft-crowdstrike-rcna162669
KingofRingx3
11 months ago
https://www.crowdstrike.com/blog/statement-on-falcon-content-update-for-windows-hosts/
Donkov
11 months ago
Its midnight right now in Austrailia. They are yet to continue dealing with this shit in ~8hrs.
krauzo
11 months ago
There is no chance it resolves to yes today... aome companies have thousands affected workstations that need to be manually fixed.
Donkov
11 months ago
Looks grim. Major outages still going and just an hour and a half left.
eb..
11 months ago
the comments are spot on this time. Other markets like the american airlines market, markets that are related could be a better idea. because here a total fix means that all devices should be fixed. and if a local market in australia ends up not fixing it, then how will this resolve? what a grey area
Donkov
11 months ago
lil bro single handedly fudded the Yes market in under an hour.
MichaelFowlie
11 months ago
Charles Schwab has partial outage with stock trading - https://x.com/CharlesSchwab/status/1814296853027975661
Donkov
11 months ago
Noone outlasts the lettuce
Donkov
11 months ago
When has he said Jesus?
Car
11 months ago
buying everything
Donkov
11 months ago
Little Zelensky trembling what Trump will say about Ukronazis
Donkov
11 months ago
Not the same as resignation. Temporary transfer of power.
Car
11 months ago
This market will resolve to YES even when just gives the presidency to Kamal for 1 day because he has COVID. High chance in my opinion. Good odds currently
Donkov
11 months ago
I hope you are aware dropping out from the race is not the same as resigning from office.
Donkov
11 months ago
Racist white latina AOC wants to organize a high tech lynching
Donkov
11 months ago
according to market makers Putin is literally Hitler
41-17™askDomerWhatImean
11 months ago
Weird that we have a Hitler market, whom Trump tends to mention almost exclusively in context to Russia defeating Hitler, but no direct Russia/Putin/Ukraine/Zelensky markets
Donkov
11 months ago
Stop spreading ear fud. Expect a joke about it in the opening
Car
11 months ago
just not ear. that is mispriced
Donkov
11 months ago
Watch this exerpt of news. You may disregard the source, its not relevant. Unity is mentioned over and over. Easy money https://youtu.be/u8yL3I_6Oco?t=171
Donkov
11 months ago
Hey, at least you have Yes shares. You are not just here to spread fud, but genuinely confused. Trump is scheduled to speak on Day 4, Thursday.
KingofRingx3
11 months ago
Trump is scheduled to speak on Day3
Donkov
11 months ago
a real bargain at 99 if you ask me. Its a done deal
DECRAPisDUMBandGAY
11 months ago
Wow! Can I buy all your shares for 99 cents? I love free money!!
Donkov
11 months ago
Unity free money. Trump rewrote his speech to focus on unity https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/presidential/3082180/trump-rewrites-republican-convention-speech-focus-unity-not-biden/
Donkov
11 months ago
Many men gonna pay dearly either way
Donkov
11 months ago
Biden shitting his pants was not enough to make him quit. Powerful
Donkov
11 months ago
Its in the bag for Trump after the shooting
Donkov
11 months ago
as if. Kamala is a trainwreck with public speaking. For reference watch 2020 debate
Car
11 months ago
JD Vance hasnt accepted yet so anything can happen
Donkov
11 months ago
Yep, the debate is on https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4773607-biden-campaign-harris-debate-jd-vance-running-mate-trump-rnc-2024/
Donkov
11 months ago
ITS OVER, RFK BROS
Donkov
11 months ago
Even if he dies it should still resolve to No.
Car
11 months ago
Presidents that died of natural causes: 8.70%
Donkov
11 months ago
How did you calculate that?
TheYoungMoor
11 months ago
This is an easy bet actually. there is 99 percent chance Biden's gone in two weeks, let alone by the end of the month
Donkov
11 months ago
I'm sorry, but Dems missed the boat on ousting him. Joe has been on a blitz of interviews and rallies trying to consolidate his campaign. They need another episode like the debate to force him out.
Donkov
1 year ago
Little Nikki should dropout already
Donkov
1 year ago
Next door Nikki has no shot
Donkov
1 year ago
Straight from the horse's mouth. Short list: Desantis, Vive, Tulsi, Noem, Byron and Tim Scott https://nypost.com/2024/02/20/us-news/trump-vice-president-short-list-incudes-desantis-gabbard-scott-noem/
Donkov
1 year ago
Straight from the horse's mouth. Short list: Desantis, Vive, Tulsi, Noem, Byron and Tim Scott https://nypost.com/2024/02/20/us-news/trump-vice-president-short-list-incudes-desantis-gabbard-scott-noem/
Donkov
1 year ago
Nikki will never be a VP https://www.postandcourier.com/politics/trump-tim-scott-vp-haley-gop-primary-south-carolina/article_4381d376-cb5d-11ee-84d0-23b965d338ed.html
Donkov
1 year ago
No shot at winning. Shes losing her home state, and Nevada ballot to "None of the above" lol
z3ro
1 year ago
she has a decent narrative: an alternative to Trump and Biden. She's getting donor money, so why not power through?
Donkov
1 year ago
She might be deranged enough to go to super tuesday. Scheduled rally in Texas on feb 15. So far she has been campaigning only in SC https://nikkihaley.com/events/
Donkov
1 year ago
Yes bros.. you are too cocky. Redeem the shares, now! More events scheduled: https://nikkihaley.com/events/
Donkov
1 year ago
Rubio bet covers that
ЈustKen
1 year ago
What if a tranny wins?
Donkov
1 year ago
Nikki seems to have burned any last bridges she had to a VP path by staying in the race. Recent statements by Trump call her unelectable and directly saying he cannot take her as VP.
Donkov
1 year ago
All in all I believe she would not drop. Doing her futile final stand in SC. Which coincidentaly affects another bet here - VP pick. Trump is mad at her and I do not think he will pick her as VP.
Donkov
1 year ago
Here are few things to consider why she might not drop: 1. SC is her home state, and her past wins in SC were very narrow. Coming as an underdog like now. 2. She has unleashed a bunch of attack ads on Trump (after NH primary) 3. After NH she immidietly went to SC and started campaigning (see events schedule): https://nikkihaley.com/events/
Donkov
1 year ago
But with that said there is huge pressure from the GOP on her to drop. Trump has threatened her donors, and when the money dry up its over.
Donkov
1 year ago
Here are few things to consider why she might not drop: 1. SC is her home state, and her past wins in SC were very narrow. Coming as an underdog like now. 2. She has unleashed a bunch of attack ads on Trump (after NH primary) 3. After NH she immidietly went to SC and started campaigning (see events schedule): https://nikkihaley.com/events/
Donkov
1 year ago
Here are few things to consider why she might not drop: 1. SC is her home state, and her past wins in SC were very narrow. Coming as an underdog like now. 2. She has unleashed a bunch of attack ads on Trump (after NH primary) 3. After NH she immidietly went to SC and started campaigning (see events schedule): https://nikkihaley.com/events/
Donkov
1 year ago
A lot of pressure on Nikki from Republicans to drop out, but she seems stubborn.
Donkov
1 year ago
inb4 Elon tweeks the ad numbers
Donkov
1 year ago
Also check this one: https://www.youtube.com/video/InonLAh8SNg Some dude made $30 from 2million views. Also I am not sure how well twitter counts those impressions. Just scrolling by the tweet probably counts it. The video has only 36k retweets and 400k likes.
Domer Stan
1 year ago
Mr. Beast only made 25k from Febuary to July. (payouts were higher than). In this time period he had over a billion views. There is no way for him to make more than 15k off of the video. Read the community note in the following Tweet. https://twitter.com/MYSTIC7/status/1679839267152084992