#28
Rank
955
Comments
372
Likes Received
500
Likes Given
denizz
23 hours ago
Wait so this market was based on what? Elon tweeted at her?
denizz
5 days ago
sorry already have max no
denizz
6 days ago
Vladimir Putin held a telephone conversation with the President of the transitional period of the Syrian Arab Republic, Ahmed al-Sharaa 🔹Vladimir Putin wished Ahmed al-Sharaa success in solving the tasks facing the new leadership of the country for the benefit of the Syrian people, with whom Russia has historically been linked by friendly relations and mutually beneficial cooperation. 🔹A detailed exchange of views was held on the current situation in Syria. The Russian side emphasized its principled position in support of the unity, sovereignty and territorial integrity of the Syrian state. In this regard, the importance of implementing a set of measures for sustainable normalization in the country, intensifying the inter-Syrian dialogue with the participation of leading political forces and ethno-confessional groups of the population was emphasized. Vladimir Putin confirmed Russia's continued readiness to help improve the socio-economic situation in Syria, including providing humanitarian aid to its residents. etc
denizz
5 days ago
yeah just addressing people whining about russia going yes
denizz
6 days ago
Vladimir Putin held a telephone conversation with the President of the transitional period of the Syrian Arab Republic, Ahmed al-Sharaa 🔹Vladimir Putin wished Ahmed al-Sharaa success in solving the tasks facing the new leadership of the country for the benefit of the Syrian people, with whom Russia has historically been linked by friendly relations and mutually beneficial cooperation. 🔹A detailed exchange of views was held on the current situation in Syria. The Russian side emphasized its principled position in support of the unity, sovereignty and territorial integrity of the Syrian state. In this regard, the importance of implementing a set of measures for sustainable normalization in the country, intensifying the inter-Syrian dialogue with the participation of leading political forces and ethno-confessional groups of the population was emphasized. Vladimir Putin confirmed Russia's continued readiness to help improve the socio-economic situation in Syria, including providing humanitarian aid to its residents. etc
denizz
6 days ago
Sorry russia no folks
denizz
6 days ago
Vladimir Putin held a telephone conversation with the President of the transitional period of the Syrian Arab Republic, Ahmed al-Sharaa 🔹Vladimir Putin wished Ahmed al-Sharaa success in solving the tasks facing the new leadership of the country for the benefit of the Syrian people, with whom Russia has historically been linked by friendly relations and mutually beneficial cooperation. 🔹A detailed exchange of views was held on the current situation in Syria. The Russian side emphasized its principled position in support of the unity, sovereignty and territorial integrity of the Syrian state. In this regard, the importance of implementing a set of measures for sustainable normalization in the country, intensifying the inter-Syrian dialogue with the participation of leading political forces and ethno-confessional groups of the population was emphasized. Vladimir Putin confirmed Russia's continued readiness to help improve the socio-economic situation in Syria, including providing humanitarian aid to its residents. etc
denizz
6 days ago
Vladimir Putin held a telephone conversation with the President of the transitional period of the Syrian Arab Republic, Ahmed al-Sharaa 🔹Vladimir Putin wished Ahmed al-Sharaa success in solving the tasks facing the new leadership of the country for the benefit of the Syrian people, with whom Russia has historically been linked by friendly relations and mutually beneficial cooperation. 🔹A detailed exchange of views was held on the current situation in Syria. The Russian side emphasized its principled position in support of the unity, sovereignty and territorial integrity of the Syrian state. In this regard, the importance of implementing a set of measures for sustainable normalization in the country, intensifying the inter-Syrian dialogue with the participation of leading political forces and ethno-confessional groups of the population was emphasized. Vladimir Putin confirmed Russia's continued readiness to help improve the socio-economic situation in Syria, including providing humanitarian aid to its residents. etc
denizz
1 week ago
the reason this went thru was the fact that they formally referred to the "interim government" of the "Syrian Arab Republic" and to cabinet ministers by the formal titles that they claim.
Pikachustan
1 week ago
Russia recognized new regime? What?
denizz
1 week ago
Interesting
CometoJesusMoment
1 week ago
US will never recognize new syrian government because there is a partnership between US and YPG/PYD/SDG
denizz
1 week ago
I think this is superseded by the January 29 press release. However this would have been good to raise in a dispute
justgoingby
1 week ago
on the Russian version of the Foreign Ministry's website, in the "about the country" section, Bashar al-Assad is still president https://mid.ru/ru/maps/sy/1993528/ "The political system of the SAR is a presidential republic. The head of state, according to the new constitution (adopted on February 26, 2012), is elected by direct elections (previously - by a national referendum). The term of office is 7 years. Since July 2000, the president is Bashar al-Assad (he was re-elected in June 2014 and in May 2021). Vice President is Najah Attar."
denizz
1 week ago
Is that the correct link?
justgoingby
1 week ago
on the Russian version of the Foreign Ministry's website, in the "about the country" section, Bashar al-Assad is still president https://mid.ru/ru/maps/sy/1993528/ "The political system of the SAR is a presidential republic. The head of state, according to the new constitution (adopted on February 26, 2012), is elected by direct elections (previously - by a national referendum). The term of office is 7 years. Since July 2000, the president is Bashar al-Assad (he was re-elected in June 2014 and in May 2021). Vice President is Najah Attar."
denizz
1 week ago
https://mid.ru/en/maps/sy/1993528/
Pikachustan
1 week ago
Russia recognized new regime? What?
denizz
1 week ago
on Jan 29
Pikachustan
1 week ago
Russia recognized new regime? What?
denizz
1 week ago
https://discord.gg/uP8R6jGT
UMAisSCAM
1 week ago
What evidence is there for Russia recognized the transitional government? Is this going to be another UMA quagmire?
denizz
1 week ago
*then
UMAisSCAM
1 week ago
What evidence is there for Russia recognized the transitional government? Is this going to be another UMA quagmire?
denizz
1 week ago
if it looks fishy than someone on the uma discord disputes it if none of the market participants do, but that didn't happen here
UMAisSCAM
1 week ago
What evidence is there for Russia recognized the transitional government? Is this going to be another UMA quagmire?
denizz
1 week ago
if no one disputes a proposal it goes thru afaik
UMAisSCAM
1 week ago
What evidence is there for Russia recognized the transitional government? Is this going to be another UMA quagmire?
denizz
1 week ago
the point wasn't the contact but rather the language they used in the press release
denizz
1 week ago
Like KSA, Turkey, and Germany, Russia has acknowledged the current administration as the “interim government” of the “Syrian Arab Republic,” and referred to cabinet members by their claimed titles.
denizz
1 week ago
No one disputed the proposal. See below for discussion.
UMAisSCAM
1 week ago
What evidence is there for Russia recognized the transitional government? Is this going to be another UMA quagmire?
denizz
1 week ago
Both are ministry of foreign affairs press releases. Russia may be trying to have it both ways given their other press release that you cited, but they gave us enough to resolve the bet by the same standard applied to the other three markets. I think it would have been very difficult for you to succeed in a UMA dispute.
Apollo-ancient
1 week ago
Can anyone give information about recognition EU and Russia - Syria goverment? not contacts? I read about Russian official position, no good words. Link: https://www.mid.ru/ru/foreign_policy/news/themes/id/1994459/
denizz
1 week ago
Why do you think the German and Russian statements are different?
Apollo-ancient
1 week ago
Lavrov Minister of Foreign Affairs 04/02/2024 English: There are big problems in Syria, including the problems of the government, which is now embodied by the leader of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, A. Sharaa, with the groups that were part of this structure (we can talk about this separately). After the change of power in the SAR, the dialogue and mutual understanding between them did not go well. It is necessary to actively, constructively, without trying to score geopolitical points, but thinking about the future of the Syrian people, promote a national dialogue. To do this, it is necessary to unite the efforts of all external players who can influence this situation. Attempts to remove Russia, China, and Iran from the process of external support for the Syrian settlement are hardly dictated by good intentions. They just reveal the West's plans to push its competitors to external, secondary positions.
denizz
1 week ago
The German and Russian press releases are directly comparable.
Apollo-ancient
1 week ago
Can anyone give information about recognition EU and Russia - Syria goverment? not contacts? I read about Russian official position, no good words. Link: https://www.mid.ru/ru/foreign_policy/news/themes/id/1994459/
denizz
1 week ago
disputing would be a good way to lose $1500
Apollo-ancient
1 week ago
Lavrov Minister of Foreign Affairs 04/02/2024 English: There are big problems in Syria, including the problems of the government, which is now embodied by the leader of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, A. Sharaa, with the groups that were part of this structure (we can talk about this separately). After the change of power in the SAR, the dialogue and mutual understanding between them did not go well. It is necessary to actively, constructively, without trying to score geopolitical points, but thinking about the future of the Syrian people, promote a national dialogue. To do this, it is necessary to unite the efforts of all external players who can influence this situation. Attempts to remove Russia, China, and Iran from the process of external support for the Syrian settlement are hardly dictated by good intentions. They just reveal the West's plans to push its competitors to external, secondary positions.
denizz
1 week ago
They acknowledged them as the interim government of the Syrian Arab Republic in this formal statement. This evidence of formal recognition is the same as what was used to resolve the other 3 markets.
denizz
1 week ago
Like KSA, Turkey, and Germany, Russia has acknowledged the current administration as the “interim government” of the “Syrian Arab Republic,” and referred to cabinet members by their claimed titles.
denizz
1 week ago
thanks
Lev188
1 week ago
As I understand it, even now not a single person can provide any evidence that there is even one Russian employee in the port. If there is no evidence that there are Russian personnel there, then there are none. I don't understand why, given such a situation, for "yes" 18%?
denizz
1 week ago
See below about russia
Apollo-ancient
1 week ago
Can anyone give information about recognition EU and Russia - Syria goverment? not contacts? I read about Russian official position, no good words. Link: https://www.mid.ru/ru/foreign_policy/news/themes/id/1994459/
denizz
1 week ago
The EU market was resolved based on this https://www.bundesregierung.de/breg-de/aktuelles/pressemitteilungen/bundeskanzler-scholz-telefoniert-mit-dem-uebergangspraesidenten-von-syrien-ahmed-al-scharaa-2333990
Apollo-ancient
1 week ago
Can anyone give information about recognition EU and Russia - Syria goverment? not contacts? I read about Russian official position, no good words. Link: https://www.mid.ru/ru/foreign_policy/news/themes/id/1994459/
denizz
1 week ago
“On January 28, an official Russian inter-agency delegation, led by Special Representative of the President of the Russian Federation for the Middle East and Africa and Deputy Foreign Minister Mikhail Bogdanov visited Damascus. This visit marked the first of its kind following the change of administration in the Syrian Arab Republic. ….Participants also included members of **Syria’s interim government: Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shaibani and Minister of Health Maher al-Sharaa.**”
denizz
1 week ago
Like KSA, Turkey, and Germany, Russia has acknowledged the current administration as the “interim government” of the “Syrian Arab Republic,” and referred to cabinet members by their claimed titles.
denizz
1 week ago
Like KSA, Turkey, and Germany, Russia has acknowledged the current administration as the “interim government” of the “Syrian Arab Republic,” and referred to cabinet members by their claimed titles.
denizz
1 week ago
weird, i still don't see the counter
Emptiness.
1 week ago
I just proposed EU nation YES.
denizz
1 week ago
how did you do that? it's still showing me final review, no option to propose and no counter.
Emptiness.
1 week ago
I just proposed EU nation YES.
denizz
1 week ago
Seems recognition already happened per the statement that guwop posed
Apollo-ancient
1 week ago
https://www.reuters.com/world/russia-takes-step-towards-recognising-afghanistans-taliban-government-2024-12-10/
denizz
1 week ago
which ship is on the way?
Lev188
1 week ago
As I understand it, even now not a single person can provide any evidence that there is even one Russian employee in the port. If there is no evidence that there are Russian personnel there, then there are none. I don't understand why, given such a situation, for "yes" 18%?
denizz
1 week ago
Hts disbanded the same day that Russia recognized the Syrian government
Apollo-ancient
1 week ago
https://www.reuters.com/world/russia-takes-step-towards-recognising-afghanistans-taliban-government-2024-12-10/
denizz
1 week ago
Also hts disbanded the same day Russia recognized the Syrian government
Apollo-ancient
1 week ago
In December 2024 Russia only took steps forward recognition Taliban government. But not recognise yet. Why market think that Russia will recognise Syria government so fast?
denizz
1 week ago
Somewhat different situation since the Taliban actually replaced the Islamic republic of Afghanistan with the Islamic emirate of Afghanistan
Apollo-ancient
1 week ago
In December 2024 Russia only took steps forward recognition Taliban government. But not recognise yet. Why market think that Russia will recognise Syria government so fast?
denizz
1 week ago
saying that the administration is derived from HTS and other recently disbanded groups is factual, and I don't think it contradicts the formal recognition apparent in the earlier Russian statement.
Falafelkungen
1 week ago
Russian foreign minister Lavrov 4 days ago(!!!) "Syria faces major problems, including issues with the current leadership represented by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham leader Ahmed Hussein al-Sharaa and the groups that were part of this organisation. After the change of power in Syria, they didn’t get along in terms of establishing a dialogue and understanding each other. What they should do is try to promote national dialogue as best they can, without seeking to gain geopolitical points, but thinking primarily about the future of the Syrian people. "
denizz
1 week ago
From this statement, we can see that Russia officially recognizes the administration in Damascus as the interim government of the Syrian Arab Republic.
Falafelkungen
1 week ago
Russian foreign minister Lavrov 4 days ago(!!!) "Syria faces major problems, including issues with the current leadership represented by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham leader Ahmed Hussein al-Sharaa and the groups that were part of this organisation. After the change of power in Syria, they didn’t get along in terms of establishing a dialogue and understanding each other. What they should do is try to promote national dialogue as best they can, without seeking to gain geopolitical points, but thinking primarily about the future of the Syrian people. "
denizz
1 week ago
"On January 28, an official Russian inter-agency delegation, led by Special Representative of the President of the Russian Federation for the Middle East and Africa and Deputy Foreign Minister Mikhail Bogdanov visited Damascus. This visit marked the first of its kind following the change of administration in the Syrian Arab Republic. ….Participants also included members of **Syria’s interim government: Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shaibani and Minister of Health Maher al-Sharaa.**"
Falafelkungen
1 week ago
Russian foreign minister Lavrov 4 days ago(!!!) "Syria faces major problems, including issues with the current leadership represented by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham leader Ahmed Hussein al-Sharaa and the groups that were part of this organisation. After the change of power in Syria, they didn’t get along in terms of establishing a dialogue and understanding each other. What they should do is try to promote national dialogue as best they can, without seeking to gain geopolitical points, but thinking primarily about the future of the Syrian people. "
denizz
1 week ago
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cp3j1qn0499o.amp
denizz
1 week ago
Yes 2.41% (115,044.21) Early request 97.59% (4,665,805.21) PoV: you're an elite UMA scammer
denizz
1 week ago
My highest order is at 12. Could fill you at 10.5 for orders by the thousand
denizz
1 week ago
Guwop I’ll give you discounts for buying American base with size
denizz
1 week ago
Guwop I’ll give you discounts for buying American base with size
denizz
1 week ago
You realize uma is about to vote too early?
Guwop
1 week ago
Car bought 1,000 Yes for EU nation at 69.9c ($699)
denizz
1 week ago
🔥
Guwop
1 week ago
Car bought 1,000 Yes for EU nation at 69.9c ($699)
denizz
1 week ago
Based
Guwop
1 week ago
denizz sold 10,238 No for EU nation at 30.1c ($3,081)
denizz
1 week ago
yeah this might be gg for russia
denizz
1 week ago
This seems like a yes to me
denizz
1 week ago
Russia has said things very similar to what Germany/Turkey did.
denizz
1 week ago
This seems like a yes to me
denizz
1 week ago
It will go p4 so the rules are what they are. Don’t cry about it. We both made money betting on our beliefs so chin up
CometoJesusMoment
1 week ago
deniz kardes aldin mi karini. manipulasyoncu essek seni
denizz
1 week ago
“Interim authorities” is an informal workaround
CometoJesusMoment
1 week ago
deniz kardes aldin mi karini. manipulasyoncu essek seni
denizz
1 week ago
The proposers from yesterday are still gonna lose their bonds
CometoJesusMoment
1 week ago
deniz kardes aldin mi karini. manipulasyoncu essek seni
denizz
1 week ago
Bro i didn’t manipulate anything. This wasn’t proposable yd but it is today
CometoJesusMoment
1 week ago
deniz kardes aldin mi karini. manipulasyoncu essek seni
denizz
1 week ago
Russia is looking bad for no tho
denizz
1 week ago
This seems like a yes to me
denizz
1 week ago
EU I mean. Germany
denizz
1 week ago
This seems like a yes to me
denizz
1 week ago
This seems like a yes to me
denizz
1 week ago
No reference to his title
greengasper
1 week ago
EU foreign policy chief invites Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shaibani to Brussels
denizz
1 week ago
“ "I can confirm that the EU's top diplomat invited Asaad Shaibani to visit Brussels during their meeting in Riyadh”
greengasper
1 week ago
EU foreign policy chief invites Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shaibani to Brussels
denizz
1 week ago
Karin da haremime girince ben de gidecegim.
CometoJesusMoment
1 week ago
deniz al karini cik git. manipulasyonu birak bilader.
denizz
1 week ago
this? https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/eu-ministers-agree-roadmap-ease-syria-sanctions-2025-01-27/
THEBookmaker
1 week ago
Macron’s Actions: Congratulated al-Sharaa and invited him to France. Hosted a Syria conference in Paris (February 13, 2025) to discuss reforms. Advocated for sanctions relief but linked it to reforms, not recognition. These actions fall under conditional engagement, not recognition. France’s embassy in Damascus remains under sanctions-era protocols. EU Guidelines: The EU’s December 2024 framework requires Syria to: Hold UN-monitored elections (no timeline set). Protect minorities and disband militias (unresolved HTS consolidation). Ensure accountability for war crimes (no progress). France adheres to these benchmarks, making unilateral recognition politically untenable.
denizz
1 week ago
The latter two were at profit to get cash
emaminek
1 week ago
either putin himself just made a polymarket account or this doesn't make any sense because there are no news anywhere about anything between russia and syria, all the other russia-syria markets haven't even reacted
denizz
1 week ago
Where can I read about framework?
THEBookmaker
1 week ago
Macron’s Actions: Congratulated al-Sharaa and invited him to France. Hosted a Syria conference in Paris (February 13, 2025) to discuss reforms. Advocated for sanctions relief but linked it to reforms, not recognition. These actions fall under conditional engagement, not recognition. France’s embassy in Damascus remains under sanctions-era protocols. EU Guidelines: The EU’s December 2024 framework requires Syria to: Hold UN-monitored elections (no timeline set). Protect minorities and disband militias (unresolved HTS consolidation). Ensure accountability for war crimes (no progress). France adheres to these benchmarks, making unilateral recognition politically untenable.
denizz
1 week ago
Slovenia and France are using harmonized language
MisTKy
1 week ago
interim = temporary and intended to be used or accepted until something
denizz
1 week ago
France: "President of the Syrian transitional authorities" Turkey: "President of the Syrian Arab Republic"
MisTKy
1 week ago
interim = temporary and intended to be used or accepted until something
denizz
1 week ago
Ski to surf in just 13 minutes by Apache!
CarJunior
1 week ago
Yes holders are dumb, they think that if you call someone it automatically means you think he is a president. That is ridiculous, Macron just asked him if the Golan Heights was a good destination for skiing. Dont overthink about his phonecall
denizz
1 week ago
interim isn't the problem here.
MisTKy
1 week ago
interim = temporary and intended to be used or accepted until something
denizz
1 week ago
Golan Heights Gaz-a-Lago package vacay when?
CarJunior
1 week ago
Yes holders are dumb, they think that if you call someone it automatically means you think he is a president. That is ridiculous, Macron just asked him if the Golan Heights was a good destination for skiing. Dont overthink about his phonecall
denizz
1 week ago
I'm pretty competent with UMA disputes and I think it will go no, genuinely
MisTKy
1 week ago
Interim Authorities means still Authorities so...
denizz
1 week ago
Republique vs autoritees
greengasper
1 week ago
Imagine a world where the foreign minister of Country A, during an official diplomatic visit to Country B, officially recognizes the head of Country B as the president but still does not mean a formal recognition. That’s what No Scammers are trying to tell us
denizz
1 week ago
de facto but they avoid a formal statement
greengasper
1 week ago
Imagine a world where the foreign minister of Country A, during an official diplomatic visit to Country B, officially recognizes the head of Country B as the president but still does not mean a formal recognition. That’s what No Scammers are trying to tell us
denizz
1 week ago
France explicitly used the term president for something other than the Syrian Arab Republic. That's the EU diplomatic line. Slovenian statements are consistent with this.
MisTKy
1 week ago
Interim Authorities means still Authorities so...
denizz
1 week ago
"nterim President of the Syrian transitional authorities, Mr. Ahmed Al-Charaa"
MisTKy
1 week ago
Interim Authorities means still Authorities so...
denizz
1 week ago
president of the "interim authorities" lower case
greengasper
1 week ago
Imagine a world where the foreign minister of Country A, during an official diplomatic visit to Country B, officially recognizes the head of Country B as the president but still does not mean a formal recognition. That’s what No Scammers are trying to tell us
denizz
1 week ago
Authorities is a weasel word. Not an amazing analogy but consider the conceptual difference between the Palestinian Authority and the government of the State of Palestine.
MisTKy
1 week ago
Interim Authorities means still Authorities so...
denizz
1 week ago
They use the term authorities to be cagey. They could have easily said interim govt or Syrian Arab Republic but didn't
MisTKy
1 week ago
Interim Authorities means still Authorities so...
denizz
1 week ago
It's more formal than authoritahs but less formal than government
MisTKy
1 week ago
Also turkey market passed same so...end of story
denizz
1 week ago
I have a cost basis of .14 and No is favored
denizz
1 week ago
Mistky at least stop buying. You can wipe out your whole pnl on this
denizz
1 week ago
highly recommend derisking
denizz
1 week ago
Mistky at least stop buying. You can wipe out your whole pnl on this
denizz
1 week ago
Mistky at least stop buying. You can wipe out your whole pnl on this
denizz
1 week ago
"authorities" is them being cagey about formal recognition of the Syrian government
MisTKy
1 week ago
Also turkey market passed same so...end of story
denizz
1 week ago
Turkey we had "President of the Syrian Arab Republic" not "President of the interim Syrian authorities"
MisTKy
1 week ago
Also turkey market passed same so...end of story
denizz
1 week ago
I severely doubt it
MisTKy
1 week ago
Oficial statment we solve many markets like this with tweets https://x.com/MZEZ_RS/status/1887510517889020261
denizz
1 week ago
"interim authorities" not "interim government"
MisTKy
1 week ago
Oficial statment we solve many markets like this with tweets https://x.com/MZEZ_RS/status/1887510517889020261
denizz
1 week ago
"formally recognizes any new government" key word formally
denizz
1 week ago
The Slovenian statements are the same as the French one. They're pushing the envelope on not formally recognizing, but they still haven't crossed the line.
denizz
1 week ago
The EU party line is "interim authorities"
denizz
1 week ago
The Slovenian statements are the same as the French one. They're pushing the envelope on not formally recognizing, but they still haven't crossed the line.
denizz
1 week ago
"A historic opportunity and an important responsibility lie before the interim Syrian authorities"
denizz
1 week ago
The Slovenian statements are the same as the French one. They're pushing the envelope on not formally recognizing, but they still haven't crossed the line.
denizz
1 week ago
Turkey and KSA had "President of the Syrian Arab Republic"
Glued
1 week ago
Macron congratulates President, invites him to France. Same as Saudi Arabia and Turkey. https://www.arabnews.com/node/2589167/middle-east
denizz
1 week ago
"President of the Syrian interim authorities"
Glued
1 week ago
Macron congratulates President, invites him to France. Same as Saudi Arabia and Turkey. https://www.arabnews.com/node/2589167/middle-east
denizz
1 week ago
The Slovenian statements are the same as the French one. They're pushing the envelope on not formally recognizing, but they still haven't crossed the line.
denizz
1 week ago
sigh
greengasper
1 week ago
There is absolutely no difference from what was enough to resolve the market to 'yes' for Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and France; the market is basically resolved https://www.politico.eu/article/emmanuel-macron-speak-syrias-president-ahmad-al-sharaa/
denizz
1 week ago
Destantis isn't proposing bc he's realized he'll lose
greengasper
1 week ago
There is absolutely no difference from what was enough to resolve the market to 'yes' for Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and France; the market is basically resolved https://www.politico.eu/article/emmanuel-macron-speak-syrias-president-ahmad-al-sharaa/
denizz
1 week ago
I recommend selling rather than getting angry and name-calling. BTW you realize that every hour that this isn't proposed makes it less likely to pass UMA right? You could put up 750 for the bond but that would be a terrible financial decision.
greengasper
1 week ago
There is absolutely no difference from what was enough to resolve the market to 'yes' for Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and France; the market is basically resolved https://www.politico.eu/article/emmanuel-macron-speak-syrias-president-ahmad-al-sharaa/
denizz
1 week ago
I'm like 13 for 15 on market disputes but please keep buying by all means
greengasper
1 week ago
There is absolutely no difference from what was enough to resolve the market to 'yes' for Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and France; the market is basically resolved https://www.politico.eu/article/emmanuel-macron-speak-syrias-president-ahmad-al-sharaa/
denizz
1 week ago
If you can find an official french reference to, for example, "President interimaire de la Republique arabe syrienne" then this would resolve yes
greengasper
1 week ago
There is absolutely no difference from what was enough to resolve the market to 'yes' for Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and France; the market is basically resolved https://www.politico.eu/article/emmanuel-macron-speak-syrias-president-ahmad-al-sharaa/
denizz
1 week ago
There's no need to lie. The statements that were used to resolve Turkey and KSA phrased differently from France's
greengasper
1 week ago
There is absolutely no difference from what was enough to resolve the market to 'yes' for Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and France; the market is basically resolved https://www.politico.eu/article/emmanuel-macron-speak-syrias-president-ahmad-al-sharaa/
denizz
1 week ago
@aluftan @amused hmu on discord
denizz
1 week ago
no why
Guwop
1 week ago
The infamous map: "I've just been to a symposium of the Archaeology Department at Hebrew University and they reminded me that the biblical city of Golan (namesake of the Golan region) is actually well east of any IDF positions. See this map they referred me: https://bibleatlas.org/full/golan.htm"
denizz
1 week ago
It was my mistake for thinking that PM was more professional than it is and would stick to its decentralized system after letting it run for 10 days
Guwop
1 week ago
Denizz literally has an opportunity to sell no and buy yes but is throwing it away because he is a notorious scammer.
denizz
1 week ago
I've never owned a UMA token
Guwop
1 week ago
Denizz literally has an opportunity to sell no and buy yes but is throwing it away because he is a notorious scammer.
denizz
1 week ago
how is reposting my hilarious jokes some kind of gotcha?
Guwop
1 week ago
The infamous map: "I've just been to a symposium of the Archaeology Department at Hebrew University and they reminded me that the biblical city of Golan (namesake of the Golan region) is actually well east of any IDF positions. See this map they referred me: https://bibleatlas.org/full/golan.htm"
denizz
1 week ago
I don't think PM should wait 10 days to overrule UMA while the market trades millions in volume -- extremely unprofessional
Guwop
1 week ago
Denizz literally has an opportunity to sell no and buy yes but is throwing it away because he is a notorious scammer.
denizz
1 week ago
I argued for a yes resolution on that market twice in the UMA discussions but they ruled the opposite way and i accepted their decision.
Guwop
1 week ago
Denizz literally has an opportunity to sell no and buy yes but is throwing it away because he is a notorious scammer.
denizz
1 week ago
I don't think PM should overrule UMA after 3 votes as that is erratic behavior. Market resolution should be predictable or there will never be real liquidity on here.
Guwop
1 week ago
Denizz literally has an opportunity to sell no and buy yes but is throwing it away because he is a notorious scammer.
denizz
1 week ago
Let me put it this way. Everyone knows that PM is retarded. I never called deltachild or wolk scammers even tho they cost me $50K and I do find them annoying. We had a disagreement that's all
Guwop
1 week ago
Denizz literally has an opportunity to sell no and buy yes but is throwing it away because he is a notorious scammer.
denizz
1 week ago
I disagree with how they resolved that market. That's not "crying".
Guwop
1 week ago
Denizz literally has an opportunity to sell no and buy yes but is throwing it away because he is a notorious scammer.
denizz
1 week ago
I never lie on poly. People just cry about scams whenever they lose
Guwop
1 week ago
Denizz literally has an opportunity to sell no and buy yes but is throwing it away because he is a notorious scammer.
denizz
1 week ago
being right = a scam
Guwop
1 week ago
Denizz literally has an opportunity to sell no and buy yes but is throwing it away because he is a notorious scammer.
denizz
1 week ago
have you noticed that I have 100x your PnL in the opposite direction?
Guwop
1 week ago
Denizz literally has an opportunity to sell no and buy yes but is throwing it away because he is a notorious scammer.
denizz
1 week ago
"transitional authorities" not "transitional government" or "Syrian Arab Republic"
denizz
1 week ago
"In line with his historic commitment to the Syrian people, the President of the Republic took the initiative of a telephone call with the interim President of the Syrian transitional authorities, Mr. Ahmed Al-Charaa, this Wednesday, February 5, 2025, in view of the international conference for Syria which will be held on February 13, 2025 in Paris."
denizz
1 week ago
French Republic is capitalized, Syrian transitional authorities isn't
denizz
1 week ago
"In line with his historic commitment to the Syrian people, the President of the Republic took the initiative of a telephone call with the interim President of the Syrian transitional authorities, Mr. Ahmed Al-Charaa, this Wednesday, February 5, 2025, in view of the international conference for Syria which will be held on February 13, 2025 in Paris."
denizz
1 week ago
"In line with his historic commitment to the Syrian people, the President of the Republic took the initiative of a telephone call with the interim President of the Syrian transitional authorities, Mr. Ahmed Al-Charaa, this Wednesday, February 5, 2025, in view of the international conference for Syria which will be held on February 13, 2025 in Paris."
denizz
1 week ago
Only the text of the French statement will matter
Guwop
1 week ago
It's over: buy Europe Yes.
denizz
1 week ago
not according to France
greengasper
1 week ago
it's done https://www.elysee.fr/emmanuel-macron/2025/02/05/entretien-telephonique-avec-ahmed-al-charaa-president-interimaire
denizz
1 week ago
France still recognizes HTS as a terrorist org
greengasper
1 week ago
it's done https://www.elysee.fr/emmanuel-macron/2025/02/05/entretien-telephonique-avec-ahmed-al-charaa-president-interimaire
denizz
1 week ago
Propose then if you want to lose an additional 750
greengasper
1 week ago
it's done https://www.elysee.fr/emmanuel-macron/2025/02/05/entretien-telephonique-avec-ahmed-al-charaa-president-interimaire
denizz
1 week ago
France capitalized French Republic but not Syrian interim authorities
denizz
1 week ago
French statement https://www.elysee.fr/emmanuel-macron/2025/02/05/entretien-telephonique-avec-ahmed-al-charaa-president-interimaire-des-autorites-syriennes-de-transition
denizz
1 week ago
Saudi Arabia said President of the Syrian Arab Republic
denizz
1 week ago
French statement https://www.elysee.fr/emmanuel-macron/2025/02/05/entretien-telephonique-avec-ahmed-al-charaa-president-interimaire-des-autorites-syriennes-de-transition
denizz
1 week ago
France only says interim authorities
denizz
1 week ago
French statement https://www.elysee.fr/emmanuel-macron/2025/02/05/entretien-telephonique-avec-ahmed-al-charaa-president-interimaire-des-autorites-syriennes-de-transition
denizz
1 week ago
Turkey said interim President of the Syrian Arab Republic
denizz
1 week ago
French statement https://www.elysee.fr/emmanuel-macron/2025/02/05/entretien-telephonique-avec-ahmed-al-charaa-president-interimaire-des-autorites-syriennes-de-transition
denizz
1 week ago
You can propose but I’ll dispute
denizz
1 week ago
French statement https://www.elysee.fr/emmanuel-macron/2025/02/05/entretien-telephonique-avec-ahmed-al-charaa-president-interimaire-des-autorites-syriennes-de-transition
denizz
1 week ago
Not capitalized
denizz
1 week ago
French statement https://www.elysee.fr/emmanuel-macron/2025/02/05/entretien-telephonique-avec-ahmed-al-charaa-president-interimaire-des-autorites-syriennes-de-transition
denizz
1 week ago
Transitional authorities not transitional government
denizz
1 week ago
French statement https://www.elysee.fr/emmanuel-macron/2025/02/05/entretien-telephonique-avec-ahmed-al-charaa-president-interimaire-des-autorites-syriennes-de-transition
denizz
1 week ago
French statement https://www.elysee.fr/emmanuel-macron/2025/02/05/entretien-telephonique-avec-ahmed-al-charaa-president-interimaire-des-autorites-syriennes-de-transition
denizz
1 week ago
Have you read the French statement?
Guwop
1 week ago
It's over: buy Europe Yes.
denizz
1 week ago
We need the French statement
denizz
1 week ago
France has not formally recognized the Syrian govt imo
denizz
1 week ago
That’s a Syrian statement not a French one
Guwop
1 week ago
It's over: buy Europe Yes.
denizz
1 week ago
Right but how do they refer to the Syrian president 🤔
greengasper
1 week ago
For its part, the Elysee Palace told BFMTV that it was "the President of the Republic who took the initiative for a phone call with" Ahmad al-Chareh. The French president is the first Western leader to speak with the new Syrian President https://www.bfmtv.com/politique/elysee/syrie-emmanuel-macron-invite-le-nouveau-dirigeant-a-une-visite-officielle-en-france_AD-202502050987.html
denizz
1 week ago
If I’m officially invited to visit macron it doesn’t make me President of the republic of polyscam
greengasper
1 week ago
BFMTV, the largest news outlet in France, confirmed the (phone call) from the French presidency, Elysee itself , and stated that Chraa received an official invitation to visit Emmanuel Macron. That's the consensus of credible reporting. https://www.bfmtv.com/politique/elysee/syrie-emmanuel-macron-invite-le-nouveau-dirigeant-a-une-visite-officielle-en-france_AD-202502050987.html
denizz
1 week ago
Link to official congratulations?
denizz
1 week ago
France has not formally recognized the Syrian govt imo
denizz
1 week ago
President of the French Republic
greengasper
1 week ago
For its part, the Elysee Palace told BFMTV that it was "the President of the Republic who took the initiative for a phone call with" Ahmad al-Chareh. The French president is the first Western leader to speak with the new Syrian President https://www.bfmtv.com/politique/elysee/syrie-emmanuel-macron-invite-le-nouveau-dirigeant-a-une-visite-officielle-en-france_AD-202502050987.html
denizz
1 week ago
Proof?
denizz
1 week ago
France has not formally recognized the Syrian govt imo
denizz
1 week ago
France has not formally recognized the Syrian govt imo
denizz
1 week ago
Conventional wisdom was that Turkey wouldn’t recognize until the sdf and Damascus reached a deal.
denizz
2 weeks ago
Amalek gave up. This just needs to be proposed again by anyone with $750. I'm busy atm.
denizz
2 weeks ago
bet on your beliefs
delta-lesson
2 weeks ago
Them scheduling the confirmation hearing most likely means they have the votes.
denizz
2 weeks ago
Oh and apparently I don't have most of my shares anymore
denizz
2 weeks ago
Amalek gave up. This just needs to be proposed again by anyone with $750. I'm busy atm.
denizz
2 weeks ago
Amalek gave up. This just needs to be proposed again by anyone with $750. I'm busy atm.
denizz
2 weeks ago
Maybe he's hoping for some more ambiguous wording during the visit tomorrow. I don't think that's likely considering this was a statement from Turkey's Director of Comms and was carefully worded. Mainly he is just in too deep.
denizz
2 weeks ago
Resolution can be proposed one more time. Amalek will probably dispute it again, but it's a good way to make $250.
denizz
2 weeks ago
Resolution can be proposed one more time. Amalek will probably dispute it again, but it's a good way to make $250.
denizz
2 weeks ago
3-4 UMA verifiers say yes. 0 say too early.
denizz
2 weeks ago
https://discord.com/channels/718590743446290492/1335972388797415466
denizz
2 weeks ago
https://discord.com/channels/718590743446290492/1335972388797415466
denizz
2 weeks ago
https://x.com/fahrettinaltun/status/1886344997131190301
denizz
2 weeks ago
Head of Communications, Republic of Turkiye: Transitional President of the Syrian Arab Republic, Ahmed Shara, will pay a visit to Ankara on Tuesday, February 4, upon the invitation of our President, Recep Tayyip Erdogan.
denizz
2 weeks ago
Head of Communications, Republic of Turkiye: Transitional President of the Syrian Arab Republic, Ahmed Shara, will pay a visit to Ankara on Tuesday, February 4, upon the invitation of our President, Recep Tayyip Erdogan.
denizz
2 weeks ago
Link?
greengasper
2 weeks ago
If an official congratulation from the Saudi Crown counts, why doesn’t the official congratulation from Turkey count?
denizz
2 weeks ago
(X)
CometoJesusMoment
2 weeks ago
without a democratic election, turkey will not recognize the syrian government. that is certain.
denizz
2 weeks ago
Didn't expect recognition already I mean
n/a
2 weeks ago
Guys I told you yesterday, only thing you had to do was to listen to me. Shara is going to saudi and turkey next week. He made his title official yesterday so that he can have an actual title during the meeting because right now (or more like yesterday) he was just the leader of the conquering group and nothing else. Now he has an official position which makes sense to have if you want to meet with actual leaders.
denizz
2 weeks ago
I was holding Saudi and Turkey already, but I admit I didn't take this point seriously enough
n/a
2 weeks ago
Guys I told you yesterday, only thing you had to do was to listen to me. Shara is going to saudi and turkey next week. He made his title official yesterday so that he can have an actual title during the meeting because right now (or more like yesterday) he was just the leader of the conquering group and nothing else. Now he has an official position which makes sense to have if you want to meet with actual leaders.
denizz
2 weeks ago
There is a big difference between Turkey and the Taliban. Turkey and HTS are thick as thieves, tho.
CometoJesusMoment
2 weeks ago
Turkey hasnt recognized it yet. turkish government is waiting for European countries to approve the recognition of the syrian government. turkey can't recognize it until Europe recognizes it. the same thing happened with the recognition of the taliban's process for the turkish government.
denizz
2 weeks ago
Turkey doesn't follow Europe's lead on diplomatic stuff like it did 20 years ago.
CometoJesusMoment
2 weeks ago
Turkey hasnt recognized it yet. turkish government is waiting for European countries to approve the recognition of the syrian government. turkey can't recognize it until Europe recognizes it. the same thing happened with the recognition of the taliban's process for the turkish government.
denizz
2 weeks ago
https://www.spa.gov.sa/N2252894
denizz
2 weeks ago
Riyadh, SANA- Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques, King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud sent a cable of congratulations to President of the Syrian Arab Republic Mr. Ahmad al-Sharaa on assuming presidency of the Syrian Arab Republic.
denizz
2 weeks ago
https://www.spa.gov.sa/N2252893
denizz
2 weeks ago
Riyadh, SANA- Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques, King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud sent a cable of congratulations to President of the Syrian Arab Republic Mr. Ahmad al-Sharaa on assuming presidency of the Syrian Arab Republic.
denizz
2 weeks ago
It was released by the Saudi Press Agency, the official Saudi state mouthpiece.
denizz
2 weeks ago
Riyadh, SANA- Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques, King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud sent a cable of congratulations to President of the Syrian Arab Republic Mr. Ahmad al-Sharaa on assuming presidency of the Syrian Arab Republic.
denizz
2 weeks ago
These are summit-level cables from the King and Crown Prince. It doesn't get more official.
denizz
2 weeks ago
Riyadh, SANA- Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques, King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud sent a cable of congratulations to President of the Syrian Arab Republic Mr. Ahmad al-Sharaa on assuming presidency of the Syrian Arab Republic.
denizz
2 weeks ago
https://www.sana.sy/en/?p=345671
denizz
2 weeks ago
Riyadh, SANA- Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques, King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud sent a cable of congratulations to President of the Syrian Arab Republic Mr. Ahmad al-Sharaa on assuming presidency of the Syrian Arab Republic.
denizz
2 weeks ago
His Highness, the Crown Prince said in his cable : “On the occasion of your assumption of the presidency of the Syrian Arab Republic in the transitional period, we are pleased to send to Your Excellency our sincere congratulations and best wishes for success during this period in which the brotherly Syrian people aspire to achieve their hopes and aspirations, with our wishes for Your Excellency good health and happiness, and for the brotherly Syrian people further progress and advancement.”.
denizz
2 weeks ago
Riyadh, SANA- Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques, King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud sent a cable of congratulations to President of the Syrian Arab Republic Mr. Ahmad al-Sharaa on assuming presidency of the Syrian Arab Republic.
denizz
2 weeks ago
For his part, His Royal Highness Prince Mohammed bin Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud, Crown Prince and Prime Minister of Saudi Arabia, sent a cable of congratulations to President al-Sharaa on the occasion of his assumption of presidency of the Syrian Arab Republic.
denizz
2 weeks ago
Riyadh, SANA- Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques, King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud sent a cable of congratulations to President of the Syrian Arab Republic Mr. Ahmad al-Sharaa on assuming presidency of the Syrian Arab Republic.
denizz
2 weeks ago
The Saudi Press Agency (SPA) reported that King Salman said in the cable: “We are pleased to express to Your Excellency our congratulations on the occasion of your assumption of the presidency of the Syrian Arab Republic in the transitional period, and we wish success in leading your country towards a prosperous future that achieves the aspirations of the brotherly Syrian people, wishing Your Excellency continued health and happiness, and for the Syrian Arab Republic further progress and prosperity.”.
denizz
2 weeks ago
Riyadh, SANA- Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques, King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud sent a cable of congratulations to President of the Syrian Arab Republic Mr. Ahmad al-Sharaa on assuming presidency of the Syrian Arab Republic.
denizz
2 weeks ago
Riyadh, SANA- Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques, King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud sent a cable of congratulations to President of the Syrian Arab Republic Mr. Ahmad al-Sharaa on assuming presidency of the Syrian Arab Republic.
denizz
2 weeks ago
IMO he is intentionally avoiding such direct speech
Fledermaus
3 weeks ago
The rules say: "The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the recognizing government". That means, the Turkish government has to officially admit that the people in control of Damascus are the government of Syria. The rebels in Syria created a government which they call the Syrian Transitional Government. They appointed a foreign minister named Asaad Hassan Al-Shaibani. Has Turkey recognized that he is the foreign minister of Syria and not just a rebel calling himself that? Yes, they have. The official website of the Turkish foreign ministry is referring to Asaad Hassan Al-Shaibani as "Minister of Foreign Affairs of the New Administration in Syria". This is while the same official Turkish website is reporting that the foreign minister of Turkey met with the foreign minister of Syria in a formal meeting. This is formal recognition. The market should resolve to yes now. Here is a link to the Turkish foreign ministry website that says all this: https://www.mfa.gov.tr/sayin-bakanimizin-suriye-deki-yeni-yonetimin-disisleri-bakani-esad-hasan-seybani-ile-gorusmesi-15-01-2025.en.mfa
denizz
2 weeks ago
IMO there need to be no weasel words in these kinds of statements. we need "foreign minister of the new syrian govt" not "foreign minister of the new syrian admin". "legitimate govt" not "legitimate partner" etc.
Fledermaus
3 weeks ago
The rules say: "The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the recognizing government". That means, the Turkish government has to officially admit that the people in control of Damascus are the government of Syria. The rebels in Syria created a government which they call the Syrian Transitional Government. They appointed a foreign minister named Asaad Hassan Al-Shaibani. Has Turkey recognized that he is the foreign minister of Syria and not just a rebel calling himself that? Yes, they have. The official website of the Turkish foreign ministry is referring to Asaad Hassan Al-Shaibani as "Minister of Foreign Affairs of the New Administration in Syria". This is while the same official Turkish website is reporting that the foreign minister of Turkey met with the foreign minister of Syria in a formal meeting. This is formal recognition. The market should resolve to yes now. Here is a link to the Turkish foreign ministry website that says all this: https://www.mfa.gov.tr/sayin-bakanimizin-suriye-deki-yeni-yonetimin-disisleri-bakani-esad-hasan-seybani-ile-gorusmesi-15-01-2025.en.mfa
denizz
2 weeks ago
sup
WarDrugs
3 weeks ago
https://x.com/wef/status/1882099273707462953 at 20:12 the Syrian foreign minister indirectly confirms that the Syrian transitional government (HTS controlled) is in power to June 2026
denizz
2 weeks ago
see fidan's answers here for their formal stance https://www.mfa.gov.tr/interview-of-he-hakan-fidan--minister-of-foreign-affairs--al-jazeera-english--18-december-2024.en.mfa
Fledermaus
3 weeks ago
The rules say: "The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the recognizing government". That means, the Turkish government has to officially admit that the people in control of Damascus are the government of Syria. The rebels in Syria created a government which they call the Syrian Transitional Government. They appointed a foreign minister named Asaad Hassan Al-Shaibani. Has Turkey recognized that he is the foreign minister of Syria and not just a rebel calling himself that? Yes, they have. The official website of the Turkish foreign ministry is referring to Asaad Hassan Al-Shaibani as "Minister of Foreign Affairs of the New Administration in Syria". This is while the same official Turkish website is reporting that the foreign minister of Turkey met with the foreign minister of Syria in a formal meeting. This is formal recognition. The market should resolve to yes now. Here is a link to the Turkish foreign ministry website that says all this: https://www.mfa.gov.tr/sayin-bakanimizin-suriye-deki-yeni-yonetimin-disisleri-bakani-esad-hasan-seybani-ile-gorusmesi-15-01-2025.en.mfa
denizz
2 weeks ago
I don’t think Turkey has formally recognized the government or that a proposal would be successful
Fledermaus
3 weeks ago
The rules say: "The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the recognizing government". That means, the Turkish government has to officially admit that the people in control of Damascus are the government of Syria. The rebels in Syria created a government which they call the Syrian Transitional Government. They appointed a foreign minister named Asaad Hassan Al-Shaibani. Has Turkey recognized that he is the foreign minister of Syria and not just a rebel calling himself that? Yes, they have. The official website of the Turkish foreign ministry is referring to Asaad Hassan Al-Shaibani as "Minister of Foreign Affairs of the New Administration in Syria". This is while the same official Turkish website is reporting that the foreign minister of Turkey met with the foreign minister of Syria in a formal meeting. This is formal recognition. The market should resolve to yes now. Here is a link to the Turkish foreign ministry website that says all this: https://www.mfa.gov.tr/sayin-bakanimizin-suriye-deki-yeni-yonetimin-disisleri-bakani-esad-hasan-seybani-ile-gorusmesi-15-01-2025.en.mfa
denizz
3 weeks ago
I don’t
Fledermaus
3 weeks ago
The rules say: "The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the recognizing government". That means, the Turkish government has to officially admit that the people in control of Damascus are the government of Syria. The rebels in Syria created a government which they call the Syrian Transitional Government. They appointed a foreign minister named Asaad Hassan Al-Shaibani. Has Turkey recognized that he is the foreign minister of Syria and not just a rebel calling himself that? Yes, they have. The official website of the Turkish foreign ministry is referring to Asaad Hassan Al-Shaibani as "Minister of Foreign Affairs of the New Administration in Syria". This is while the same official Turkish website is reporting that the foreign minister of Turkey met with the foreign minister of Syria in a formal meeting. This is formal recognition. The market should resolve to yes now. Here is a link to the Turkish foreign ministry website that says all this: https://www.mfa.gov.tr/sayin-bakanimizin-suriye-deki-yeni-yonetimin-disisleri-bakani-esad-hasan-seybani-ile-gorusmesi-15-01-2025.en.mfa
denizz
3 weeks ago
That's the first I heard about June
WarDrugs
3 weeks ago
https://x.com/wef/status/1882099273707462953 at 20:12 the Syrian foreign minister indirectly confirms that the Syrian transitional government (HTS controlled) is in power to June 2026
denizz
3 weeks ago
Maybe it's an issue that they use the formal title "Minister of Foreign Affairs of the New Administration in Syria" rather than "Minister of Foreign Affairs of Syria" or "Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Syrian Transitional Government"
Fledermaus
3 weeks ago
The rules say: "The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the recognizing government". That means, the Turkish government has to officially admit that the people in control of Damascus are the government of Syria. The rebels in Syria created a government which they call the Syrian Transitional Government. They appointed a foreign minister named Asaad Hassan Al-Shaibani. Has Turkey recognized that he is the foreign minister of Syria and not just a rebel calling himself that? Yes, they have. The official website of the Turkish foreign ministry is referring to Asaad Hassan Al-Shaibani as "Minister of Foreign Affairs of the New Administration in Syria". This is while the same official Turkish website is reporting that the foreign minister of Turkey met with the foreign minister of Syria in a formal meeting. This is formal recognition. The market should resolve to yes now. Here is a link to the Turkish foreign ministry website that says all this: https://www.mfa.gov.tr/sayin-bakanimizin-suriye-deki-yeni-yonetimin-disisleri-bakani-esad-hasan-seybani-ile-gorusmesi-15-01-2025.en.mfa
denizz
3 weeks ago
Control of territory doesn't matter per se. It's about what Turkey's official stance is.
Fledermaus
3 weeks ago
The rules say: "The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the recognizing government". That means, the Turkish government has to officially admit that the people in control of Damascus are the government of Syria. The rebels in Syria created a government which they call the Syrian Transitional Government. They appointed a foreign minister named Asaad Hassan Al-Shaibani. Has Turkey recognized that he is the foreign minister of Syria and not just a rebel calling himself that? Yes, they have. The official website of the Turkish foreign ministry is referring to Asaad Hassan Al-Shaibani as "Minister of Foreign Affairs of the New Administration in Syria". This is while the same official Turkish website is reporting that the foreign minister of Turkey met with the foreign minister of Syria in a formal meeting. This is formal recognition. The market should resolve to yes now. Here is a link to the Turkish foreign ministry website that says all this: https://www.mfa.gov.tr/sayin-bakanimizin-suriye-deki-yeni-yonetimin-disisleri-bakani-esad-hasan-seybani-ile-gorusmesi-15-01-2025.en.mfa
denizz
3 weeks ago
perhaps Tony Blair was simply wrong about that date?
WarDrugs
3 weeks ago
https://x.com/wef/status/1882099273707462953 at 20:12 the Syrian foreign minister indirectly confirms that the Syrian transitional government (HTS controlled) is in power to June 2026
denizz
3 weeks ago
I agree with our local gopnik
tryingtruth
3 weeks ago
New article from the BBC. Quote: "With the 49 year lease being cancelled it has become very clear for Russia that it can no longer hope to maintain a military presence in Tartous and as such, there appears to be no point in staying there and delaying the maritime evacuation any longer," Mr Van Lokeren added. https://www. bbc. com/news/articles/c14nk475nd5o
denizz
3 weeks ago
obv russia intends to stay if possible. doubt syria will let them tho
greengasper
3 weeks ago
we are looking for another two months of negotiations, And yes holders will be waiting for Sparta to load some military equipment. It will turn out that this equipment is not related to the naval base itself but rather consists of equipment that has been accumulated at the port from various military bases in syria
denizz
3 weeks ago
Nevertheless the negotiations are ongoing, and will probably stay ongoing until the west agrees to lift sanctions etc.
greengasper
3 weeks ago
we are looking for another two months of negotiations, And yes holders will be waiting for Sparta to load some military equipment. It will turn out that this equipment is not related to the naval base itself but rather consists of equipment that has been accumulated at the port from various military bases in syria
denizz
3 weeks ago
Hi Oliver! What’s your account?
denizz
3 weeks ago
Yes holders actually believed a shadow government deep state analyst
denizz
3 weeks ago
Yes holders actually believed a shadow government deep state analyst
denizz
3 weeks ago
Typical western degenerate perspective. Jolani himself admit this in al arabiya interview.
denizz
3 weeks ago
Folx my sources in the Russian Foreign Ministry say Russia is staying
denizz
3 weeks ago
Is true. Russia and Syria are brotherly nations.
denizz
3 weeks ago
Folx my sources in the Russian Foreign Ministry say Russia is staying
denizz
3 weeks ago
Folx my sources in the Russian Foreign Ministry say Russia is staying
denizz
3 weeks ago
Case closed folks!
greengasper
3 weeks ago
Just in: Russia Defense Ministry: Negotiations over Russian military bases in Syria are still underway, with no solution yet. I know that these kinds of negotiations take forever.
denizz
3 weeks ago
How much did Erasmus bond? $17M?
denizz
0 months ago
Hi
leftwing-gambler
0 months ago
Either the russians in this market holding all the no's are insiders. Or they have been brainwashed by propaganda (like in the assad market)
denizz
0 months ago
Thanks for your kind words of support
denizz
0 months ago
How is my FinSub gonna get off on this?
denizz
0 months ago
How is my FinSub gonna get off on this?
denizz
0 months ago
"I just made lot of people rich! " would not count
chuckingtrump
0 months ago
Trump is Unpredictable, he will probably say something related to his Memecoin like I just made lot of people rich! :D
denizz
0 months ago
That wouldn’t count actually
chuckingtrump
0 months ago
Trump is Unpredictable, he will probably say something related to his Memecoin like I just made lot of people rich! :D
denizz
0 months ago
gonna show him the comments, so plz be as degrading as possible.
denizz
1 month ago
I can't wait to tell my FinSub I blew 40K of his daughter's college fund on a mention market.
denizz
1 month ago
I'm gonna be edging him the whole time uwu
denizz
1 month ago
I can't wait to tell my FinSub I blew 40K of his daughter's college fund on a mention market.
denizz
1 month ago
Actually we have excellent program in gonzo pornography
denizz
1 month ago
I can't wait to tell my FinSub I blew 40K of his daughter's college fund on a mention market.
denizz
1 month ago
I can't wait to tell my FinSub I blew 40K of his daughter's college fund on a mention market.
denizz
1 month ago
I proposed it
FrancisSP8
1 month ago
who's going to propose this one? all the other markets have already been resolved
denizz
1 month ago
Because no one proposed yet
h00r11z11n2003
1 month ago
Why is this not resolved?
denizz
1 month ago
As a UMA whale scam artist, I'd like to thank Polymarket for this opportunity.
denizz
1 month ago
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanon territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control
denizz
1 month ago
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanon territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control
denizz
1 month ago
shoddy coding
CarButBetter
1 month ago
Why do so many comments go missing? Are they manually deleted or is it shoddy coding?
denizz
1 month ago
still needs to pass the israeli cabinet vote
WarDrugs
1 month ago
https://x.com/WarMonitors/status/1879119159549948214 AP: “Two officials say Hamas accepted draft agreement for Gaza ceasefire and hostage deal. Israel is still weighing the deal” (I thought Israel accepted the deal, but I don't think they will now run with pressure from US, Egypt and Qatar)
denizz
1 month ago
It’s true you can argue both ways on how disbanding affects delisting but the US has an incentive to court the new government as much as possible
WarDrugs
1 month ago
Notice the latest date where it's theoretical possible for Biden to announce delisting is 10th January. Congress needs to be notified 7 days before and their need to be a little room for implementation before Trump gets into office. If no delisting is announced by Friday you are essentially betting for Trump
denizz
1 month ago
I don’t think Israel is hugely relevant
WarDrugs
1 month ago
Notice the latest date where it's theoretical possible for Biden to announce delisting is 10th January. Congress needs to be notified 7 days before and their need to be a little room for implementation before Trump gets into office. If no delisting is announced by Friday you are essentially betting for Trump
denizz
1 month ago
Since that’s what they said they’d do and there’s no rain reason not to
WarDrugs
1 month ago
Notice the latest date where it's theoretical possible for Biden to announce delisting is 10th January. Congress needs to be notified 7 days before and their need to be a little room for implementation before Trump gets into office. If no delisting is announced by Friday you are essentially betting for Trump
denizz
1 month ago
As far as timeframe I think hts will dissolve officially at the time of the national dialogue
WarDrugs
1 month ago
Notice the latest date where it's theoretical possible for Biden to announce delisting is 10th January. Congress needs to be notified 7 days before and their need to be a little room for implementation before Trump gets into office. If no delisting is announced by Friday you are essentially betting for Trump
denizz
1 month ago
With that said, I can see the Trump admin doing it after HTS disbands. Admittedly, on any given sunday, Biden would be more likely to do that than Trump
WarDrugs
1 month ago
Notice the latest date where it's theoretical possible for Biden to announce delisting is 10th January. Congress needs to be notified 7 days before and their need to be a little room for implementation before Trump gets into office. If no delisting is announced by Friday you are essentially betting for Trump
denizz
1 month ago
I'd be mildly surprised if either Biden or Trump did it before HTS disbands
WarDrugs
1 month ago
Notice the latest date where it's theoretical possible for Biden to announce delisting is 10th January. Congress needs to be notified 7 days before and their need to be a little room for implementation before Trump gets into office. If no delisting is announced by Friday you are essentially betting for Trump
denizz
1 month ago
Today’s sanctions waiver is the second significant step towards a rapprochement between the USA and HTS, following the removal of bounties.
denizz
1 month ago
Btw i believe those subtitles are a mistranslation. He said he doesn’t want Russia to leave in a way that would be detrimental to their relationship
scottilicious
1 month ago
The Russians are hedging their bets like they have been for the last few months and moving some military gear, but not abandoning the base.
denizz
1 month ago
This bet seems like anyone’s game? Evac ships are now arriving and there’s no info clarifying whether the evac will be full or partial.
scottilicious
1 month ago
The Russians are hedging their bets like they have been for the last few months and moving some military gear, but not abandoning the base.
denizz
1 month ago
You have no way of knowing that
scottilicious
1 month ago
The Russians are hedging their bets like they have been for the last few months and moving some military gear, but not abandoning the base.
denizz
1 month ago
https://www.newsweek.com/us-backed-syria-rebels-hope-trump-wont-withdraw-troops-just-yet-2009029
denizz
1 month ago
US-Backed Syria Rebels Hope Trump Won't Withdraw Troops Just Yet
denizz
1 month ago
US-Backed Syria Rebels Hope Trump Won't Withdraw Troops Just Yet
denizz
1 month ago
What country has an ambassador in Taiwan with no recognition?
greengasper
1 month ago
I don’t know how these markets should resolve correctly. Turkey is already dealing with the new Syrian government as the official government. For example, today the Minister of Foreign Affairs stated that the new Syrian government should handle ISIS prisoners. This implies that Turkey is, in fact, implicitly recognizing the new Syrian government, an official statement might not hold any value
denizz
1 month ago
@wyn, so you think the moon landing was fake? just clarifying.
denizz
1 month ago
An ambassador presenting credentials is formal recognition
greengasper
1 month ago
I don’t know how these markets should resolve correctly. Turkey is already dealing with the new Syrian government as the official government. For example, today the Minister of Foreign Affairs stated that the new Syrian government should handle ISIS prisoners. This implies that Turkey is, in fact, implicitly recognizing the new Syrian government, an official statement might not hold any value
denizz
1 month ago
Snc may not be invited
denizz
1 month ago
The dissolution of HTS has been pushed to next week
denizz
1 month ago
That supersedes my source, so it looks like two weeks of delay
denizz
1 month ago
The dissolution of HTS has been pushed to next week
denizz
1 month ago
I’m still learning after 3 months
denizz
1 month ago
Short version: this particular base (al Tanf) is too pointless for the US to maintain post-Assad. The withdrawal date is a genuine question however.
denizz
1 month ago
The dissolution of HTS has been pushed to next week
denizz
1 month ago
HTS is one of the most violently anti Islamic state factions in the world
wyn
1 month ago
Obviously USA isn’t going to delist Hts now with all these terrorist attacks. Isis flag on back of truck in New Orleans attack. No should be 95c
denizz
1 month ago
You got unlucky on ceasefire but you oversized and didn’t protect your position well enough. So I agree your pnl isn’t fully representative. Don’t see why you’re being rude to me in the comments tho
denizz
1 month ago
Short version: this particular base (al Tanf) is too pointless for the US to maintain post-Assad. The withdrawal date is a genuine question however.
denizz
1 month ago
how's that -$4K on $700K volume treating you babe?
denizz
1 month ago
Short version: this particular base (al Tanf) is too pointless for the US to maintain post-Assad. The withdrawal date is a genuine question however.
denizz
1 month ago
I think officially posting an ambassador should count
greengasper
1 month ago
I don’t know how these markets should resolve correctly. Turkey is already dealing with the new Syrian government as the official government. For example, today the Minister of Foreign Affairs stated that the new Syrian government should handle ISIS prisoners. This implies that Turkey is, in fact, implicitly recognizing the new Syrian government, an official statement might not hold any value
denizz
1 month ago
Especially with HTS disbanded it's a kind of throwaway concession you can use on the way to recognition. To help keep them out of Russia's arms while things are hashed out. I guess either Biden or Trump could do it.
blahka
1 month ago
How will this resolve if HTS is disbanded before? I assume Yes as it will be removed from the list.
denizz
1 month ago
It will be easier to publicly justify removing them from the list if they no longer exist
blahka
1 month ago
How will this resolve if HTS is disbanded before? I assume Yes as it will be removed from the list.
denizz
1 month ago
After the national conference
WarDrugs
1 month ago
I am flabberghasted over any people that thinks that the US governemnt especially under Trump would recognice the new Syrian Government in this timeframe. Israel calls the new government "terrorist gangs" https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/israeli-foreign-minister-calls-new-syrian-leadership--terror and in the lastest interview with Ahmad Al-Sharaa (HTS leader) he said that the constituition and election are several years ahead. He also only hoped for lifting of sanctions under Trump. He did not even ask for recognition https://x.com/HassounMazen/status/1873311693679317387
denizz
1 month ago
I don't think recognition is such a big deal. I figure Turkey will do it next month.
WarDrugs
1 month ago
I am flabberghasted over any people that thinks that the US governemnt especially under Trump would recognice the new Syrian Government in this timeframe. Israel calls the new government "terrorist gangs" https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/israeli-foreign-minister-calls-new-syrian-leadership--terror and in the lastest interview with Ahmad Al-Sharaa (HTS leader) he said that the constituition and election are several years ahead. He also only hoped for lifting of sanctions under Trump. He did not even ask for recognition https://x.com/HassounMazen/status/1873311693679317387
denizz
1 month ago
It's gonna be years until the election. There's no strong reason to withold recognition once the SDF cuts a deal. There are certain incentives to work with Syria and recognize (trying to keep Russia out, countering IS, supporting Jolani against more radical elements, providing consular services etc)
WarDrugs
1 month ago
I am flabberghasted over any people that thinks that the US governemnt especially under Trump would recognice the new Syrian Government in this timeframe. Israel calls the new government "terrorist gangs" https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/israeli-foreign-minister-calls-new-syrian-leadership--terror and in the lastest interview with Ahmad Al-Sharaa (HTS leader) he said that the constituition and election are several years ahead. He also only hoped for lifting of sanctions under Trump. He did not even ask for recognition https://x.com/HassounMazen/status/1873311693679317387
denizz
1 month ago
IMO the US market is primarily a bet on whether the SDF and Damascus come to terms within the market period. And I think that's fairly likely.
WarDrugs
1 month ago
I am flabberghasted over any people that thinks that the US governemnt especially under Trump would recognice the new Syrian Government in this timeframe. Israel calls the new government "terrorist gangs" https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/israeli-foreign-minister-calls-new-syrian-leadership--terror and in the lastest interview with Ahmad Al-Sharaa (HTS leader) he said that the constituition and election are several years ahead. He also only hoped for lifting of sanctions under Trump. He did not even ask for recognition https://x.com/HassounMazen/status/1873311693679317387
denizz
1 month ago
al Sharaa has already stated his willingness to renew the status of forces agreement with Israel. Otherwise there are more important considerations such as resolving the relationship between the SDF and Damascus.
WarDrugs
1 month ago
I am flabberghasted over any people that thinks that the US governemnt especially under Trump would recognice the new Syrian Government in this timeframe. Israel calls the new government "terrorist gangs" https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/israeli-foreign-minister-calls-new-syrian-leadership--terror and in the lastest interview with Ahmad Al-Sharaa (HTS leader) he said that the constituition and election are several years ahead. He also only hoped for lifting of sanctions under Trump. He did not even ask for recognition https://x.com/HassounMazen/status/1873311693679317387
denizz
1 month ago
Short version: this particular base (al Tanf) is too pointless for the US to maintain post-Assad. The withdrawal date is a genuine question however.
denizz
1 month ago
Getting rid of tanf is not priority number 1 for jolani but it’s an unacceptable violation of Syrian sovereignty. The base has insufficient purpose for the Americans so they will close it and withdraw to tower 22. That’s the main thing
denizz
2 months ago
This base was positioned to block a weapons smuggling route between Iran and Hezbollah, a route which no longer exists due to the fall of the Syrian government. Otherwise it is in the middle of the desert in an unpleasant location. It is not in an SDF area and the rebels located there were a token force which will now fold into the Syrian military structures. The refugees located there are also returning to their homes. This base adds minimal value to anti-Islamic State operations. US presence west of the Euphrates will be a particular source of friction with the new Syrian government, and the base has no legal standing at this point. Trump is insistent on withdrawing from Syria, and this base will be the first to go. It only has around 250 personnel and minimal military assets so withdrawal would be rapid.
denizz
1 month ago
Tanf has minimal anti-ISIS payoff IMO -- anyways, I articulated my views more fully in the thread below.
nanulo
1 month ago
I don't think people realize how long it may take for the US to withdraw. In Iraq the U.S. still has 2,500 troops, this September they agreed with the Iraqi government to withdraw them by end of 2025 if not 2026. 1-2 year timeframe and that's after an agreement was signed with an arguably less friendly government than current Syria
denizz
1 month ago
https://foreignpolicy.com/2019/01/25/us-considering-plan-to-stay-in-remote-syrian-base-to-counter-iran-tanf-pentagon-military-trump/
nanulo
1 month ago
I don't think people realize how long it may take for the US to withdraw. In Iraq the U.S. still has 2,500 troops, this September they agreed with the Iraqi government to withdraw them by end of 2025 if not 2026. 1-2 year timeframe and that's after an agreement was signed with an arguably less friendly government than current Syria
denizz
1 month ago
'The only "logical purpose" al-Tanf serves is to allow the United States to "monitor and disrupt the flow of Iranian-backed militias,"'
nanulo
1 month ago
I don't think people realize how long it may take for the US to withdraw. In Iraq the U.S. still has 2,500 troops, this September they agreed with the Iraqi government to withdraw them by end of 2025 if not 2026. 1-2 year timeframe and that's after an agreement was signed with an arguably less friendly government than current Syria
denizz
1 month ago
Tanf has 200-300. The troops in Iraq have a reason to be there. Tanf is pretty pointless as of recently
nanulo
1 month ago
I don't think people realize how long it may take for the US to withdraw. In Iraq the U.S. still has 2,500 troops, this September they agreed with the Iraqi government to withdraw them by end of 2025 if not 2026. 1-2 year timeframe and that's after an agreement was signed with an arguably less friendly government than current Syria
denizz
1 month ago
Either no reason or because things are heating up on the ground in Syria slightly (in a way that will likely be inconsequential ultimately).
WarDrugs
1 month ago
why is this crashing
denizz
1 month ago
lmao
wyn
1 month ago
Yes holders think moon landing was real
denizz
1 month ago
Boxing Day sale
denizz
1 month ago
If that's what you're pinning your hopes on, you're better off selling while mmouse is buying for some reason
middleeastprincess
1 month ago
Why don't the government & military of Israel, as part of an attempt to seal the first phase of a ceasefire/hostage deal in Gaza, announce a 3-day temporary bombardment/fighting pause that allows Hamas to generate a list of living hostages? This issue has been sabotaging ongoing negotiations, with Hamas claiming it doesn't know who the still-living hostages are. While I'm unsympathetic to the terror group's position, it is a fact that they've lost most of their command-and-control structures such that they’ve been reduced to disparate cells operating throughout the Gaza Strip, including those holding hostages. Take away their excuses and give them a chance to produce the necessary list of living hostages to get them freed back to their loved ones; a win-win for all: civilians in Gaza who desperately need a reprieve and access to aid and hostage families who are desperate to see negotiations proceed and not be stalled or sabotaged.
denizz
1 month ago
but i agree it's more likely to be interpreted as start
LoloCorporation
1 month ago
imho YES is unlikely to win, "imposes" means that the embargo must be put in place btw October and Dec and not before otherwise this market wouldn't have been created. YES would work if they had written "confirmation of the continuation of an arms embargo"
denizz
1 month ago
"The only other countries (as of this writing) on which the U.S. imposes an embargo are Iran, North Korea, Sudan, Syria, and Burma/Myanmar" that's an example i pulled off google. it doesn't mean start in that context
LoloCorporation
1 month ago
imho YES is unlikely to win, "imposes" means that the embargo must be put in place btw October and Dec and not before otherwise this market wouldn't have been created. YES would work if they had written "confirmation of the continuation of an arms embargo"
denizz
1 month ago
"imposes" is actually ambiguous between "start" and "actively enforce"
LoloCorporation
1 month ago
imho YES is unlikely to win, "imposes" means that the embargo must be put in place btw October and Dec and not before otherwise this market wouldn't have been created. YES would work if they had written "confirmation of the continuation of an arms embargo"
denizz
1 month ago
It was carrying cranes for the port of Vladivostok
denizz
1 month ago
Apparently one of the possible evacuation ships sank while eastbound in the Med lol
denizz
1 month ago
Apparently it was really en route to Vladivostok as Russia claimed. It wasn’t one of the ones flagged by Ukrainian intelligence as heading to Syria
denizz
1 month ago
Apparently one of the possible evacuation ships sank while eastbound in the Med lol
denizz
1 month ago
Apparently one of the possible evacuation ships sank while eastbound in the Med lol
denizz
1 month ago
why do you say that?
mr.ozi
1 month ago
It's pretty much done :)
denizz
1 month ago
link?
greengasper
1 month ago
Ynet: Israeli official: The deal may be postponed until Trump enters the White House.
denizz
1 month ago
i'm not seeing a sensible alternative interpretation but feel free to ignore me. i'm not following it closely enough.
GolanHeights
1 month ago
"This market will resolve based on whether the language is re-added in the CR at any point" and yet language was removed not added
denizz
1 month ago
looking for the intent is one of the only possible moves when faced with a nonsensical rule set
GolanHeights
1 month ago
"This market will resolve based on whether the language is re-added in the CR at any point" and yet language was removed not added
denizz
1 month ago
not particularly. just amused by all these disputes
GolanHeights
1 month ago
"This market will resolve based on whether the language is re-added in the CR at any point" and yet language was removed not added
denizz
1 month ago
Unless you want polymarket to refund everyone since the rules are retarded, it should obv resolve yes due to the intent.
GolanHeights
1 month ago
"This market will resolve based on whether the language is re-added in the CR at any point" and yet language was removed not added
denizz
1 month ago
If you're gonna go all the way out there, you may as well hit something important. And they already hit the highest value missile manufacturing sites
denizz
1 month ago
Don’t forget about this one https://polymarket.com/event/israel-strikes-iranian-oil-in-2024
denizz
1 month ago
what else?
denizz
1 month ago
Don’t forget about this one https://polymarket.com/event/israel-strikes-iranian-oil-in-2024
denizz
1 month ago
Dec is possible but it ain't 50/50
folloq
1 month ago
They have been discussing this for months... why should this suddenly be settled?
denizz
1 month ago
Oil infrastructure is next on the target list
denizz
1 month ago
Don’t forget about this one https://polymarket.com/event/israel-strikes-iranian-oil-in-2024
denizz
1 month ago
Don’t forget about this one https://polymarket.com/event/israel-strikes-iranian-oil-in-2024
denizz
1 month ago
I'm up thousands on these Gaza ceasefire markets
denizz
1 month ago
Suleiman Maswadeh on Israeli state TV nightly news: Suleiman, let's try to describe the current obstacles and gaps between Israel and Hamas regarding the deal. There are some obstacles, but first, let's provide an overview. Reports indicate that following the CIA director's visit to Qatar, the negotiations are stalled. And I actually understand that the situation is the opposite. A senior official involved in the negotiations tells me today, The talks are moving in the right direction following the CIA chief's visit and its conclusion in Doha.
denizz
1 month ago
you first
denizz
1 month ago
Suleiman Maswadeh on Israeli state TV nightly news: Suleiman, let's try to describe the current obstacles and gaps between Israel and Hamas regarding the deal. There are some obstacles, but first, let's provide an overview. Reports indicate that following the CIA director's visit to Qatar, the negotiations are stalled. And I actually understand that the situation is the opposite. A senior official involved in the negotiations tells me today, The talks are moving in the right direction following the CIA chief's visit and its conclusion in Doha.
denizz
1 month ago
The bounty for Ahmed al Sharaa has been officially removed following the announcement earlier today.
denizz
1 month ago
Suleiman Maswadeh on Israeli state TV nightly news: Suleiman, let's try to describe the current obstacles and gaps between Israel and Hamas regarding the deal. There are some obstacles, but first, let's provide an overview. Reports indicate that following the CIA director's visit to Qatar, the negotiations are stalled. And I actually understand that the situation is the opposite. A senior official involved in the negotiations tells me today, The talks are moving in the right direction following the CIA chief's visit and its conclusion in Doha.
denizz
1 month ago
It's a fascinating article but Bill Roggio also needs to be taken with a grain of salt. E.g. his implication that al Sharaa may still have a secret allegiance to Al Qaeda is rather absurd. The guy is second only to the USA in Al Qaeda scalps at this point. Also note that he is attempting to consolidate all armed groups under the command of the ministry of defense. This will necessarily involve these HTS-allied factions foregoing any foreign allegiances.
wyn
2 months ago
After reading this article, I find it extremely unlikely that delisting happens considering all their allies ties to terror orgs. Take this info wisely.
denizz
2 months ago
End of the month is the negotiating schedule and it's considered a significant possibility.
Edenze
2 months ago
At the weekend no chance for a deal + holidays are coming… I’m my opinion deal will happen at the end of January. Also Hamas didn’t provide a hostage name list (critical for continuing negotiations)
denizz
2 months ago
Could happen. Could not. I'm evaluating my exposure to this platform due to its poor governance.
pawel
2 months ago
deniz why sell?
denizz
2 months ago
was kidding
denizz
2 months ago
The no holders should give peace a chance!!
denizz
2 months ago
we def didn't skip that part
denizz
2 months ago
The no holders should give peace a chance!!
denizz
2 months ago
I tipped you $18 on Lebanon and never received so much as a thank you! that's 18 more than anyone ever tipped me :\
greengasper
2 months ago
Officials told Channel 13 that the deal could be reached within the next few days, but its implementation the next few weeks. UMA disputes again
denizz
2 months ago
where are you seeing that anyways?
greengasper
2 months ago
Officials told Channel 13 that the deal could be reached within the next few days, but its implementation the next few weeks. UMA disputes again
denizz
2 months ago
i'll ping him
greengasper
2 months ago
Officials told Channel 13 that the deal could be reached within the next few days, but its implementation the next few weeks. UMA disputes again
denizz
2 months ago
The no holders should give peace a chance!!
denizz
2 months ago
Trump has more suction at this point than Biden. Anyways both want the deal done.
middleeastprincess
2 months ago
people that still doubt this is happening are underestimating the power of the vanity of a 82 old man that wants his christmas gift at all cost.
denizz
2 months ago
they should give peace a chance!
Insidescoop
2 months ago
@denizz you might step in ur own shit if you keep looking up. Or worse, some people might force you to eat it.
denizz
2 months ago
very thought provoking
Insidescoop
2 months ago
@denizz you might step in ur own shit if you keep looking up. Or worse, some people might force you to eat it.
denizz
2 months ago
Nos are betting against MiddleEastPrincess, a former analyst from the IDF's elite Unit 9900, and graduate of Roim Rachok, the IDF's unique weaponization program for medium to high functioning autists.
denizz
2 months ago
Top 4 no accounts have 17k in loss between them
denizz
2 months ago
I don't see where she lied
middleeastprincess
2 months ago
As progress appears to be continuing in talks for a cease-fire and hostage deal with Hamas - and in light of Defense Minister Israel Katz's statement that such an agreement is "closer than ever," a senior U.S. official told Ynet Tuesday evening that there will be a deal. "It's just a matter of time," he claims
denizz
2 months ago
World peace is cancelled
denizz
2 months ago
Are you a denizz novelty account or is this the craziest coincidence ever?
Dannyzz
2 months ago
Mark my words - By next week 26th, Hanukkah day 1 (1st candle) we have the agreement. Bibi wants this poetic end to this war combined with the first candle of Hanukkah, and he will get it.
denizz
2 months ago
“I will say this - while Reuters reported that he (Bibi) was on his way to Cairo - he was not on his way to Cairo.” What will happen in half an hour? A day? A year? The devil knows. But the report is not valid.”
denizz
2 months ago
rip
denizz
2 months ago
MEP I put a sell order in at 65. Maybe could go lower.
denizz
2 months ago
MEP I put a sell order in at 65. Maybe could go lower.
denizz
2 months ago
Yeah but he's not the boss of Hamas. In Hezb deal they did sign off tho.
middleeastprincess
2 months ago
been hearing that iranian president will be in egypt on thursday to finalize the deal....stay tuned.
denizz
2 months ago
Iranian president?
middleeastprincess
2 months ago
been hearing that iranian president will be in egypt on thursday to finalize the deal....stay tuned.
denizz
2 months ago
I'm not clear if it will be resolved in q1
cashy
2 months ago
It’s going down tonight
denizz
2 months ago
already chickened
cashy
2 months ago
It’s going down tonight
denizz
2 months ago
(x)
cashy
2 months ago
It’s going down tonight
denizz
2 months ago
They're no longer present in Syria
denizz
2 months ago
This base was positioned to block a weapons smuggling route between Iran and Hezbollah, a route which no longer exists due to the fall of the Syrian government. Otherwise it is in the middle of the desert in an unpleasant location. It is not in an SDF area and the rebels located there were a token force which will now fold into the Syrian military structures. The refugees located there are also returning to their homes. This base adds minimal value to anti-Islamic State operations. US presence west of the Euphrates will be a particular source of friction with the new Syrian government, and the base has no legal standing at this point. Trump is insistent on withdrawing from Syria, and this base will be the first to go. It only has around 250 personnel and minimal military assets so withdrawal would be rapid.
denizz
2 months ago
Russia isn't allied strongly with turkey, Russia doesn't blow up ukrainian gain anymore to my knowledge, and idt anyone telling you ukrainian grain alone is gonna do it
Mr.Fister
2 months ago
Yes-guys are telling me fucking Ukrainian grain, that gets blown up by Russians regulary will convince HTS to throw them out of the country, whilst Russia is allied strongly with Turkey
denizz
2 months ago
Reuters didn't provide any info that contradicts the clear evidence that Russia is withdrawing most of its assets.
denizz
2 months ago
It's true that no decision has been made about the bases. So the current major withdrawal is partial. However, we see that the Russians are getting into position to leave if they have to.
denizz
2 months ago
As I was saying, the base lacks a purpose now, so the military will be OK with feeding it to Trump as withdrawal event. Meanwhile HTS wants to restore Syrian sovereignty at the border crossing.
denizz
2 months ago
This base was positioned to block a weapons smuggling route between Iran and Hezbollah, a route which no longer exists due to the fall of the Syrian government. Otherwise it is in the middle of the desert in an unpleasant location. It is not in an SDF area and the rebels located there were a token force which will now fold into the Syrian military structures. The refugees located there are also returning to their homes. This base adds minimal value to anti-Islamic State operations. US presence west of the Euphrates will be a particular source of friction with the new Syrian government, and the base has no legal standing at this point. Trump is insistent on withdrawing from Syria, and this base will be the first to go. It only has around 250 personnel and minimal military assets so withdrawal would be rapid.
denizz
2 months ago
You're overinterpreting the article. There are major withdrawals underway, proven by hard evidence. You could call that "some" equipment but in fact it is also "most".