#59
Rank
301
Comments
190
Likes Received
48
Likes Given
Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?
Spartan37
1 month ago
PEACE DEAL AS EARLY AS THIS WEEK, BREAKING NEWS
3
Who will be part of Trump's Administration?
Spartan37
4 months ago
RFK not being at 99c is totally mind-boggling.
4
Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
Spartan37
5 months ago
Guys keep holding your GOP 7+ shares, when the truth comes out it will go to 99c!
4
Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
Spartan37
5 months ago
Me
0
Ania-chan
5 months ago
Who thinks like me? xD
Who will be part of Trump's Administration?
Spartan37
5 months ago
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump wins the 2024 election and officially nominates" Yes, it is.
4
Spartan37
5 months ago
It's so stupid that we have to wait months just to close on something that is already won given the rules. Why not close yesterday?
Who will be part of Trump's Administration?
Spartan37
5 months ago
It's so stupid that we have to wait months just to close on something that is already won given the rules. Why not close yesterday?
5
Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?
Spartan37
5 months ago
You know we can see your trade history, right?
1
Nousername
5 months ago
First timer. What do I do now. Wait until it closes? Does the money automatically cash itself out do I still have to sell my shares
Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?
Spartan37
5 months ago
When close?
1
Who will be part of Trump's Administration?
Spartan37
5 months ago
Do these individually close? If so, why aren't ones like Rubio closing?
0
Who will be part of Trump's Administration?
Spartan37
5 months ago
RFK!!
0
Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?
Spartan37
5 months ago
WOOHOO! Got in yes earlier today for 60c, as I could just tell a nomination was coming verrrrry soon.
2
Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?
Spartan37
5 months ago
Thanks for letting me know you have no idea what you're talking about.
0
CYQ
5 months ago
I do not know if he gets Nominated since Trump has set a new standard but I know one thing : If RFKjr gets nominated, he will never ever be confirmed. And if I know that, Trump must know it too
Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?
Spartan37
5 months ago
Neither can Gaetz, and yet he nominated him anyway. All it takes is a Senate recess and they're in.
0
CYQ
5 months ago
I do not know if he gets Nominated since Trump has set a new standard but I know one thing : If RFKjr gets nominated, he will never ever be confirmed. And if I know that, Trump must know it too
Will Trump end the Department of Education?
Spartan37
5 months ago
Apparently this would need a 60 vote majority in the Senate in order to pass. That really, really sucks. I thought the president could just end it. Welp. At least he can transform it entirely.
1
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Spartan37
5 months ago
And how many support the others? 2?
2
Slan
5 months ago
There are 9 Senators who support Scott. He needs exactly 3x more than that...
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Spartan37
5 months ago
Scott is gonna get 27 senators. Easy.
2
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Spartan37
5 months ago
Does anyone know if a simple majority decides the winner or not?
0
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Spartan37
5 months ago
When pump? I'm in.
1
TruthSearUm
5 months ago
Mike Lee and Marsha Blackburn are backing Scott
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Spartan37
5 months ago
https://x.com/BasedMikeLee/status/1856512486964441321
0
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Spartan37
5 months ago
https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1856514656874954912
1
Pennsylvania Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
How are there still 84k ballots left? I heard there was only 80k left when McCormick was up 45k still.
0
sapper1257
5 months ago
At this rate this will end with McCormick winning by about 10k votes. Casey needs to pull 67% of the remaining 84k ballots. He's been getting around 60%.
Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?
Spartan37
5 months ago
How so?
0
BrandonThought
5 months ago
usda is out
Who will be inaugurated as President?
Spartan37
5 months ago
What fees?
0
Beachb0y
5 months ago
FREE MONEY Harris NO lol
Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?
Spartan37
5 months ago
You have TDS, don't you. Because this is a bond - for YES.
0
RememberAmalek
5 months ago
So many bonds on this site that people confuse as though they aren't.
Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
Spartan37
5 months ago
California, do it. Secede like you're talking about doing. NOBODY will miss your scum trash state with your awful anti-constitution laws and pathetic election processes.
3
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Dude it's $14 you'll be okay lol
3
EagleFliesHigh
5 months ago
Should have stuck with my gut instead of listening to the comment section...
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
I can confirm that the last batches will be for democrats, aside from one good batch that will come for Lake eventually. It won't be nearly enough now.
3
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Crazy. 3 days ago, I was in 5k profit from Trump. Now, I'm back to 5k lol. I feel awful though. I know others aren't as lucky.
0
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
At this point you might as well hold cuz it's worth less than 1%, but come on, there's not going to be any fraud found.
0
biggamefish
5 months ago
LOL the press release shows they added Ballots, the lawsuit is coming. HOLD
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
I truly am sorry, guys. I had a reason to be hopeful, but that was beyond awful. I actually didn't lose anything because I was doing some buy-low sell-high trades in waiting time, and that saved me. Hope you all are able to wait for a pump and bail then.
0
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
It doesn't matter. That was atrocious. Beyond awful. It's over.
0
aenews2
5 months ago
Yeah, officially callable. No joke, I've actually seen enough now. Ruben Gallego (D) has won the AZ Senate seat in the 2024 General Election
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Not sure what's funny. I was watching like a hawk. I got all 62k out before anyone else.
0
Spartan37
5 months ago
Well I'm out. Lost basically nothing. Sorry guys, it just wasn't meant to be.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Well I'm out. Lost basically nothing. Sorry guys, it just wasn't meant to be.
1
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
That won't happen. We're hitting the heavily GOP part now. It could be MORE than 57%.
2
Spartan37
5 months ago
If Maricopa comes in 57% for Lake again tonight, you all gonna feel really dumb letting this stay so low.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
If Maricopa comes in 57% for Lake again tonight, you all gonna feel really dumb letting this stay so low.
2
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Simple-minded people think that Maricopa is going to keep going the same way the current results show. Smart people know that's not the case.
1
LolInvest
5 months ago
Changed my mind, stop lying in the comments and do some math, she will lose because of maricopa & pima
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
"31.4k Other"
1
aenews2
5 months ago
Alright guys, I'd like to buy another 50K Lake NO, could you help a brother out?
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Sure, any moment now, "31.k Other".
1
aenews2
5 months ago
Alright guys, I'd like to buy another 50K Lake NO, could you help a brother out?
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Mara, I hope you don't need that $900
0
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Probably 9pm est
0
QuteAnon
5 months ago
when is maricopa?
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
It's actually looking very promising. At the very least, another surge in price is VERY expected.
0
JohnnyDeep
5 months ago
It's not looking good for Lake but this is not over
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
There is no stealing going on. The GOP team is watching like a hawk. Please stop just assuming there's cheating whenever you don't understand something.
1
Amandacoch
5 months ago
They are so stealing it. They keep her at 30+ thousand distance Everytime this is happening in other states to same margins. Unbelievable. Kari lake will lose from fraud. Again!
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Actually Pima has always been good so far!
0
Spartan37
5 months ago
YAVAPAI smaller batch compared to outstanding votes, +2000 for Lake!!
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
YAVAPAI smaller batch compared to outstanding votes, +2000 for Lake!!
3
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Tiny Gila batch heavily favoring Lake
4
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Yes
1
Spartan37
5 months ago
Yuma, Yavapai, and Cochise will add up to around 30k gain for Lake if she hits targets. Pima, at this rate, would only cost her 9k. That means she will narrow the gap to 13k. If she wins 50% of Maricopa (50 to 48), she wins.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Look at the comment below.
0
Spartan37
5 months ago
It is now projected that Lake will take the lead at some point. The question is, will she hold the lead, or will the last tiny batches that usually lean dem cost her?
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
It is now projected that Lake will take the lead at some point. The question is, will she hold the lead, or will the last tiny batches that usually lean dem cost her?
5
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Yuma, Yavapai, and Cochise will add up to around 30k gain for Lake if she hits targets. Pima, at this rate, would only cost her 9k. That means she will narrow the gap to 13k. If she wins 50% of Maricopa (50 to 48), she wins.
4
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Guys we should make it a festivity, that we all meet at this market every 4 years for the Arizona count. lol
4
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Apache, tiny drop. Lake lost like 40 votes.
1
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Of all the counties she coulda used to counter Pima, she used...Mohave. A small county that was already 93% in. It's looking good, guys.
4
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Don't, unless you're managing risk well.
1
FEEND
5 months ago
Coping so hard I wanna buy more
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
?
0
Spartan37
5 months ago
Two drops in a row, Lake exceeded targets.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Two drops in a row, Lake exceeded targets.
4
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Nice try.
1
david689314
5 months ago
FYI, she's falling behind, not getting ahead. https://x.com/datarepublican/status/1855392603786875054?s=46
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
When Cochise finally comes in, and Yavapai too, suddenly this will be extremely close.
3
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
As I expected!!
1
JackBeTrader
5 months ago
@JackBeTrader twitter I have just posted some new time based analysis of how Maricopa started vs has been trending over time. ALSO, PIMA 42.6% AVERAGE ON THAT DROP VS MODEL AVG 41.7. THATS A SMALL WIN FOR KARI IN A WEAK COUNTY. A FEW MORE GOOD ONES LIKE THAT AND ON TRACK FOR THE WIN AGAIN
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Maricopa can literally be 49%-49% for Lake. The rurals might give her the win alone.
0
david689314
5 months ago
BREAKING: Pima county has tabulated 22,094 votes in the US Senate contest. Here is how they broke Gallego 54.8 Lake 42.5 Gallego net 2,703 on that batch and is now leading 37,065
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
She got 42.5%.
1
Spartan37
5 months ago
Lake may only need 50% of Maricopa at this point. Pima is falling flat for Gallego.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
They have to signature-verify EACH ballot because they're too stubborn to just do voter ID and limit mail-ins like a normal country does.
1
FUENTES
5 months ago
Why is it so slow? I don't understand this country, is there a deadline?
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Fact fact: if you are staying at the exact same odds of winning as ballots come in, that means you're actually out-performing the expected margin by juuuust enough to keep the odds the same. Because naturally, if you meet expectations exactly and you're already losing, then your odds should go down. But they aren't - Lake is hold firm. All it takes is ONE great Maricopa drop, and she becomes the new favorite...
4
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Not the early votes. She's won every new batch so far.
0
Spartan37
5 months ago
That Lake +2k batch in Maricopa yesterday is starting to look better and better now.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Just the yesterday one that everyone thought was bad. She actually is hitting her numbers still with it.
0
Spartan37
5 months ago
That Lake +2k batch in Maricopa yesterday is starting to look better and better now.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
No lol. I'm just speaking the facts. But what I want to happen is bias, yes.
0
Spartan37
5 months ago
That Lake +2k batch in Maricopa yesterday is starting to look better and better now.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
That Lake +2k batch in Maricopa yesterday is starting to look better and better now.
0
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Lake may only need 50% of Maricopa at this point. Pima is falling flat for Gallego.
0
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
If the last 3 batches, which are supposed to be MORE friendly to Lake, go the same way that one did, then Gallego will net 9k. That's not enough to overcome the red counties.
0
Spartan37
5 months ago
At this rate, in Pima, she is only going to lose around 9k. That is NOT enough to win. Gallego is going to need solid Maricopa drops. This was good for Lake.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
I'm not even sure that's updating anymore tbh. It hasn't moved at all.
2
biggamefish
5 months ago
don't over think it guys, Chance to Win Decision Desk HQ Logo Kari Lake 35.1%
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Suddenly, I have hope again.
0
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
She only lost 3k in the bluest batch left. Uhhhhh....there's only 3 more Pima batches of that size, guys. Gallego is in trouble if Maricopa turns out for Lake.
1
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
At this rate, in Pima, she is only going to lose around 9k. That is NOT enough to win. Gallego is going to need solid Maricopa drops. This was good for Lake.
0
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
That should have mostly been mail-ins from Pima. That was the bad batch for Lake and it wasn't even bad!
1
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Pima dropped, it's not that bad for Lake
0
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Patience
0
FUENTES
5 months ago
it seems lost to me
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
If Cochise drops, it could be the worst drop ever, but as long as Lake gains 1000 votes this place will still pump her like idiots. That's how these things go from both sides in these markets.
2
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Boooooooooooring.
0
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
They better...this is getting annoying.
0
Abarmotina
5 months ago
Anyone else dropping today besides evening Maricopa?
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
You all seriously gave me 24000 shares at 3%, and then pump for no reason? Gosh I love/hate betting markets.
0
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
I think we can all admit that if Lake comes even within 5k of winning, people buying Gallego at 97% deserve to give us their "profits".
3
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
I just made MASSIVE profits getting tons of shares at 3%. Thanks
4
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Told us what? Nothing else has come in. You can't brag about market movement that happens over no news.
0
n/a
5 months ago
I told you
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Someone panic sell please
0
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Oh I agree it's not good. But she still has a 35% chance according to DDHQ for a reason.
0
Samuellim
5 months ago
I'm all for trump and MAGA but we need to wake up and know that she's far underperforming Trump and this continuing trend only means 1 thing. Good night.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
I'm adding more with the assumption that I'm not gonna hold to the end. This price is too low and we will easily go up at some point soon.
1
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
We're about to see a strong rise in price over the day today. Rurals coming in, e-day drop offs coming in, it's gonna be good as long as Pima doesn't get outta hand.
4
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Lol just got some 3c shares and sold them immediately for 5c xD
2
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
I will
0
Spartan37
5 months ago
Oooookay now we're offically at extreme overreaction time. The drop tonight will result in a pump for Lake.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Already on it
1
Spartan37
5 months ago
Oooookay now we're offically at extreme overreaction time. The drop tonight will result in a pump for Lake.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Oooookay now we're offically at extreme overreaction time. The drop tonight will result in a pump for Lake.
2
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
She keeps doing just enough to not lose. But not enough to gain the advantage yet.
0
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Still a 35% chance for Lake according to DDHQ. They are un-phased.
1
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
She is extremely underperforming Trump at this point.
3
JackBeTrader
5 months ago
FURTHER LOSSES ON THIS ONE SHE GOT 43.9%. i'm not surprised though its still all mail in
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
It was a tiny drop.
0
Spartan37
5 months ago
Booooring. 15k votes? Really? That means nothing. We gotta wait all day now?
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Booooring. 15k votes? Really? That means nothing. We gotta wait all day now?
0
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
To set the expectations for this drop, assuming it's mail-ins which I think it is: Lake just needs around 52%.
0
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Can we please get something in right now? Anything?
0
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
I expect one of the drops to be MORE than 57%.
0
Spartan37
5 months ago
All it takes is another Lake 57% drop out of Maricopa and we're right back in this with the advantage.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
That's not true. The entire west coast is not finished. Maine took forever. In fact, MOST of the democrat states without voter ID took way past election night.
0
MD80PFF
5 months ago
How is this still going on? Arizona is straight up ass at counting votes Jesus Christ
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Democrat leadership not wanting to do voter ID. Seriously, that's why.
2
MD80PFF
5 months ago
How is this still going on? Arizona is straight up ass at counting votes Jesus Christ
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
All it takes is another Lake 57% drop out of Maricopa and we're right back in this with the advantage.
3
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
I'm so glad I found this website during this election cycle. There are so many idiots on here to profit from. Even if Lake loses this time, it's good to know that you can get such good opportunities at such insanely low prices.
5
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Yep and the price for Lake is low. She has 35% odds still according to DDHQ. The drop yesterday didn't help her but also didn't hurt her. It was just good enough to survive.
4
turototo
5 months ago
the suspense is like so high for this undervalued market
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
My best advice would be to take profit if we pump to 16c again.
1
Spartan37
5 months ago
I definitely think she's in a position to win still, or at the very least take the lead at some point. There are definitely more pumps incoming.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
She didn't even lose the last drop. She's still gaining on him.
1
Spartan37
5 months ago
I definitely think she's in a position to win still, or at the very least take the lead at some point. There are definitely more pumps incoming.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
I definitely think she's in a position to win still, or at the very least take the lead at some point. There are definitely more pumps incoming.
2
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Okay now you're just talking stupid. There are 700,000 ballots remaining, and the gap is 33k. You very well may end up being fine, but to say there's no risk is simply retarded and you will end up losing your money one of these time if you keep acting this dumb.
2
TheFiddler
5 months ago
Fiddlee do Fiddlee dee...MAGA money is nice and freeeeee
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Earlier today. That's when.
0
DSPRIDES
5 months ago
Is she not projected to win anymore? I mean 18% of counting still remains and she is only 1.1% behind
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
The last batch was brutal because she needed to close the gap more today. But it's still possible that she wins. She just has to maintain a good rate the whole way without hiccups, and that margin is smaller now.
1
DSPRIDES
5 months ago
Is she not projected to win anymore? I mean 18% of counting still remains and she is only 1.1% behind
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Bro u got in at 89%. Congrats on maybe getting a couple thousand at the risk of losing it all.
2
TheFiddler
5 months ago
Fiddlee do Fiddlee dee...MAGA money is nice and freeeeee
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
It's not looking good. Get out after the pump tomorrow from the early-drop offs. After those come in, we'll get about 200,000 unfriendly ballots. I'm not saying Lake can't win, she very much can. But the odds are not in her favor anymore. That drop today was worse for her odds than I thought.
0
Abarmotina
5 months ago
Hey, where have we fallen?
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
I am no longer a top holder. More people are getting in at this steal of a price.
2
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Factually false, but okay.
0
Spartan37
5 months ago
I cannot even imagine being dumb enough to buy Gallego yes at 90% right now. Horrible, horrible odds given the outstanding ballots.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
I cannot even imagine being dumb enough to buy Gallego yes at 90% right now. Horrible, horrible odds given the outstanding ballots.
6
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
^county
0
JackBeTrader
5 months ago
we just got a small win from Yuma. 45.7% for Kari vs 44.9% pacing.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
I don't understand that cuz Lake is at 58% in that state.
1
JackBeTrader
5 months ago
we just got a small win from Yuma. 45.7% for Kari vs 44.9% pacing.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Blatantly false. Maricopa is going to go strong for Lake here on out.
1
Supeg
5 months ago
She basically need Pima to be 50/50 rest of the drops should be red from here on out.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
I'll break it down nice and simple for you. Trump is ahead of Lake by 7.5%.
2
Spartan37
5 months ago
Remember, if Trump wins by over 7.5%, Lake wins.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Pima will not be 50%. And it does not need to be.
2
Supeg
5 months ago
She basically need Pima to be 50/50 rest of the drops should be red from here on out.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Remember, if Trump wins by over 7.5%, Lake wins.
4
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Expected.
0
david689314
5 months ago
Apache drop: Gallego wins them 63/34
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Fully expected.
2
Spartan37
5 months ago
Great small drop for Lake just now. From both Apache and Yavapai and Lake gained 800.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Silly take. They are watching it like a hawk. This time it's fair.
5
Symbolic17
5 months ago
I'm still bullish because the cheating will be revealed this time.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Great small drop for Lake just now. From both Apache and Yavapai and Lake gained 800.
4
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Very inaccurate way of looking at things. You cannot compare all votes to these early drop offs.
0
bko
5 months ago
If current county percentage trends continue, data from the AP estimates the final count to be 1,657,082 for Lake and 1,702,601 for Gallego. Data from this file: https://interactives.apelections.org/election-results/data-live/2024-11-05/results/races/AZ/20241105AZ4021/detail.json
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
We have not had their large drop yet. I already knew about the tiny one.
1
Spartan37
5 months ago
They're doing November returns now. These will be heavily Republican. And the final batch will be MASSIVELY Republican.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
What do you mean by "which is 10.8k right now"
0
JackBeTrader
5 months ago
https://www.votebeat.org/arizona/2024/11/07/pinal-county-electon-results-dana-lewis-voter-mistakes/ this page takes a little bit to read but if you get through it to the bottom.. you'll see Pinal has 20K drop off ballots left as of print, which is 10.8K right now.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
They're doing November returns now. These will be heavily Republican. And the final batch will be MASSIVELY Republican.
1
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
The GOP surged from a 125,000 party lead to over 200,000 in the last week of early returns. If they only counted what came in to the end of October, that would mean the rest of the ballots should be very red.
2
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Their algorithm is broken. But it tracks the ballots.
0
Spartan37
5 months ago
I also want to see a strong Cochise drop for Lake. 65%+ on remaining ballots there. If she doesn't win Cochise by a lot, I'm out.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
It will hold for a while if it's close. You can always sell at over 99%.
1
azreed
5 months ago
Hi guys, first bet ever in this platform. I have a question, the bet is over on the winner is announce or it holds position if there is a recount or challenge?
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Not a single top Lake holder sold. Jsyk.
2
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/results/2024/11/05/arizona-president/
0
Spartan37
5 months ago
I also want to see a strong Cochise drop for Lake. 65%+ on remaining ballots there. If she doesn't win Cochise by a lot, I'm out.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
I also want to see a strong Cochise drop for Lake. 65%+ on remaining ballots there. If she doesn't win Cochise by a lot, I'm out.
1
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
No idea. I just know they will eventually.
1
Spartan37
5 months ago
I'm not buying more until I see Pima drop a large batch. I want to see it at no worse than 44% for Lake.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Lake lost in 2022, that's why.
0
TrumpGold
5 months ago
How is Arizona such a shit state when it comes to counting? Must be full of seething liberals who took sick leave after the election, leaving the booths short staffed
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
I'm not buying more until I see Pima drop a large batch. I want to see it at no worse than 44% for Lake.
1
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
"If". That's a massive "If" when there are tons of R-heavy ballots remaining.
1
david689314
5 months ago
If Maricopa turns against Kari Lake, she runs out of runway fast. If you remove the 472k ballots left in Maricopa and Pima, and Lake wins every other county 60/40 with whatever they have left, she still 9k short. And thats with Gallego picking up nothing in Maricopa and Pinal. #AZSen
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
So, you're saying that he GAINS from the total right now. Yeah right.
0
activepizzah
5 months ago
As per my model, It is showing : Predicted Final Results: ---------------------- - Ruben: 49.64% (49.23-50.06%) - Kari: 48.28% (47.86-48.69%) - Eduardo: 2.07% (1.66-2.49%) Final Prediction: Projected Winner: Ruben Confidence Level: 100.0%
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
That was expected. Santa Cruz is done now.
1
david689314
5 months ago
Breaking another small drop: Arizona - Santa Cruz batch drop: Lake +411 (28.56%) Gallego +954 (66.30%) Batch delta: Gallego +543
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Myopa?
0
Remontada
5 months ago
This is over when Myopa County comes in
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Well thankfully you don't know what you're talking about.
2
FUENTES
5 months ago
Yeah I'm calling it for Gallego. She didn't quite hit the margin she needed for Maricopa and this is gives a net towards Democrats in Pinal County.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
No.
0
TartarianRetard
5 months ago
hobbs and everyone involved will go to jail if she doesnt win. Trump doesnt have to be worried about public image concerning re election. Fuck around and find out
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
I just gotta say, screw all the independents that voted Trump but not Lake. Like they're literally the same person politically.
3
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
They do. Kari won the last batch, and it was early votes. That's a big deal. She could have lost ground but she didn't.
0
Amandacoch
5 months ago
I thought the only counties left favored Kari?
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
We just got the last of Santa Cruz, I think. Tiny batch heavily for Gallego.
2
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
I think the people that tanked the market are the people who were holding large amounts of Kari.
2
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Yes but Pima might go heavy for Gallego and cancel that out. In that case, she would need to win Maricopa ballots fairly strong to narrowly win.
0
Spartan37
5 months ago
I've chosen to not risk any more than the 2.2k that I've put in. Just in case we get more average drops and it ends up not being enough. Or, Pima comes in strong for Gallego and Maricopa isn't strong enough for Lake. But I'm still saying this is a 60% chance for Lake right now. Holding for now.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
I've chosen to not risk any more than the 2.2k that I've put in. Just in case we get more average drops and it ends up not being enough. Or, Pima comes in strong for Gallego and Maricopa isn't strong enough for Lake. But I'm still saying this is a 60% chance for Lake right now. Holding for now.
4
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Imagine buying Kari no at 90% after a ballot drop that doesn't hurt her chances at all.
2
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Don't get too cocky. I'm taking screenshots of all of your overreactions.
1
JackBeTrader
5 months ago
that means there are about 124K Election Day drop offs out there to process. Those will go big for Lake you can see it in the turnout party splits
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
My biggest concern right now is how radically different the Trump - Lake numbers are. She's underperforming him by around 10% in these latest batches. But overall is still 7.5%, which is winning if that margin holds.
1
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
I'll get more when Pima comes in at 44% again and causes the price to drop to 8%. lol
2
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
If Lake LOST that batch, I would have sold. But she ever-so-slightly underperformed with TONS of Republican batches remaining.
1
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Okay Mr. 117 shares that probably hasn't even done the slightest bit of homework.
1
Spartan37
5 months ago
Should I go in more into my Trump profits? Half in?
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Should I go in more into my Trump profits? Half in?
3
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Uh yeah, her chances are better than that.
1
JackBeTrader
5 months ago
lol still 26c on PredictIt
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
That was the last of Coconino that just came in. They're done. Tiny loss for Lake, nothing meaningful. Only Pima can stop Lake now.
4
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Thinking about adding more, and then removing the addition later for profit, just for a quick buck
0
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Lake is still right on track to win. But the margin of error was reduced tonight. Had she gotten 57% again, it was totally over. Now, it's a game again. One that Lake is still favored to win. These odds are downright insanely off.
4
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Yep. Very irrational traders we're dealing with.
1
Spartan37
5 months ago
This is an absolutely absurd overreaction, but then again, having it this low to begin with is also absurd. When Cochise comes in, we'll be right back to 30% lol
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
This is an absolutely absurd overreaction, but then again, having it this low to begin with is also absurd. When Cochise comes in, we'll be right back to 30% lol
2
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
If you think you're making a point, or owning anyone, you're not. You're just annoying.
2
mona.lisa
5 months ago
The liberal Lake supporters keep pointing out my 8k loss. Fake news! I'm a business man. I used the bankruptcy laws of this country to do the right thing for my family, my business and the country. We don't need weak people like Kari Lake in the senate!
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
...and they weren't even bad for her. Wow
1
JackBeTrader
5 months ago
THOSE WERE MAIL IN BALLOTS NOT THE ELECTION DAY DROP OFFS STILL TO COME Results now represent ballots received through Thursday, Oct. 31, 2024, and the updated results represent approximately 99,348 voters. https://elections.maricopa.gov/news-and-information/elections-news/november-8-2024-general-election-results-2-posted.html
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Extreme overreaction. I would have put more in down here but I already put enough in.
2
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
She's hitting her numbers still. We were just given such high hopes is all.
1
CryptoSonny
5 months ago
49.9% for Kari Lake and 47.7% for Gallego.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
You've been gifted another chance to get in, people. Congrats. Lake literally won the batch. That's huge.
3
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
This will tank extremely irrationally. Lake is still very favored. That was not a bad batch for her. It just wasn't great either. Broke even.
1
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Lol no. She was on pace to win handily. So instead of 40k prediction, it's maybe 30k now. She is still favored easily.
3
vengence
5 months ago
@spartan37 & @jackbetrader had a good run, please take some gains!
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
So instead of it being a 75% chance for Lake, I'm dropped expectations to 65% chance.
1
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
But how did you know that. Where did you see that?
1
Supeg
5 months ago
Told you guys these wouldn't break hard for lake. The rest will bigtime
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
It's still great odds, but not so much anymore.
0
AerMui
5 months ago
Just sitting here debating buying more
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
If rumor about party breakdown is true, expect Lake to only be down 18k after tonight, with around 650,000 ballots remaining, and almost all of them will be strong red. Pima isn't even going to be that strong blue.
4
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Gonna be an 18,000 vote difference by tonight, then.
1
david689314
5 months ago
BREAKING: Expecting an update from Maricopa County of around 100k ballots tonight at 7pm. If the map data was uploaded in the same order, more than 80% of these ballots should be coming from a pool with this voter registration breakdown: 41.6% REP. 24.3% DEM 34.0% I/other
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Lake has narrowed the % gap between Trump from 7.7% to 7.5%. Trump is probably going to win by 8-9%.
1
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
People are not paying attention. The panic will set in all at once when Maricopa drops.
3
DSPRIDES
5 months ago
hey guys im pretty unaware of this situation, and please can anyone tell me when are the results for this AND why is the democrat so high up even though everyone in the comments is talking about the republican being statistically ahead?
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
First tiny batch from Cochise, Lake underperformed, however that has been a constant trend for tiny batches from counties that have a small amount reporting still. The rest of their batches should be strong for Lake.
3
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
We will know tonight if Lake will win or not. Maricopa comes in at Lake +54% or more, she's going to win.
2
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
The drop is not an exceeding of expectations, but right on point. Also, it's a small drop so it doesn't mean much.
0
n/a
5 months ago
NEW Gila batch drop: Lake +1789 (65.7%) Gallego +858 (31.5%) Solid drop from an (R) leaning county, exceeding the average she had prior
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Dang, that's honestly crazy tho cuz Trump had 73%. She is way down from Trump.
0
david689314
5 months ago
Breaking new batch 65.65% LAKE https://x.com/datarepublican/status/1855038570115068046?s=46
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Dumbest for your pocket. But totally factual.
0
n/a
5 months ago
"If Kari Lake continues to gain votes at her recent rate, she would potentially pass Ruben Gallego when about 87.42% (76.7% + 10.72%) of the expected vote is counted." https://x.com/WilburnZac/status/1855035111219380667
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
How many Republicans in the state?
0
n/a
5 months ago
1,266,536 registered Democrats in Arizona. 742,740 votes remain to be counted. Ruben Gallego has 1,321,836 votes. That's 55,300 more votes than there are Democrats in AZ. Kamala only has 1,250,044 votes. Trump has 1,414,828. Kari Lake has 1,285,088.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
No it's 75% for Kari
0
jawhs
5 months ago
this is literally a 5050 buy your yes for kari while you can
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
I was holding "53 senate" the other day before buying Lake. I got out of that at a good profit and then put the money into Lake. It's just all win win win right now.
1
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Smart play. You know when to take small losses to avoid big ones.
0
AmYisChai
5 months ago
Based on the most recent trends, I calculate the odds at about 50/50. I didn't sign up for a toss up so I dumped my 87c shares at 79c.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Lol sorry xD
1
Spartan37
5 months ago
I am currently a top holder. Nuts
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
THE EPIC COMEBACK OF KARI LAKE. I was there in 2022 and lost $400 in that race. The largest loss I've ever taken. And now, she is going to make me rich.
3
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
I am currently a top holder. Nuts
4
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Hey everyone, thank you for 20,000 shares at 5%. It is the greatest thing to ever happen to me financially since 2021.
8
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Sorry I didn't double check, he's talking about Yavamai
0
jawhs
5 months ago
NEW Cochise County Drop - Lake - 84.8% Gallego: 16.2%
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Now both parties will get to feel the pain of the Arizona counting process!
1
KamalaIsFake
5 months ago
STOP THE STEAL. 3 DAYS AFTER ELECTION. THESE PEOPLE ARE RETARDED!
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
We are finally moving! Wake up people!
3
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
lol
0
Spartan37
5 months ago
YAVAPAI IS OVERPERFORMING BY 13% FOR LAKE
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
YAVAPAI IS OVERPERFORMING BY 13% FOR LAKE
6
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Please, share the math then. Cuz I've been doing the math for a long time now, and Lake is winning comfortably.
2
Supeg
5 months ago
Woah Lake actually gained again in the Pima drop. How is this still 15 cents lol.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
People aren't paying attention. Doing other things, thinking their money is safe.
2
Supeg
5 months ago
Woah Lake actually gained again in the Pima drop. How is this still 15 cents lol.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
No idea
0
Spartan37
5 months ago
Lake is going the cut the deficit in half with Cochise ALONE. Let that sink in.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
TAKE THIS TO 70% FOR LAKE
1
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
LAKE LEADS IN THE PIMA DROP
2
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Oh gotcha. Ukraine will be in good hands with Trump. He will end the war very quickly. Russia might get land they already have now, idk how that will play out. But I am confident that the killing will stop very soon.
1
Spartan37
5 months ago
Done. 8000 more shares. It was too tempting. I'm risking a quarter of my profits from Trump to get $28,000. What the heck is going on xD
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Is there any argument against Lake at this point? Anyone?
0
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Lake is going the cut the deficit in half with Cochise ALONE. Let that sink in.
2
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
I hope the best for you. Trump will make your life great again! Unless you're extremely woke, I guess.
3
Spartan37
5 months ago
Done. 8000 more shares. It was too tempting. I'm risking a quarter of my profits from Trump to get $28,000. What the heck is going on xD
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
No, thank you!
2
Clenc
5 months ago
Thank you for the donation
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Not really. They're get a couple thousand off me, at most. Otherwise, I get 28,000. I'll take that bet when the odds are this good.
2
Abarmotina
5 months ago
We are either the first to arrive during the gold rush or someone is going to sell us mining tools and make a fortune off of us
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Done. 8000 more shares. It was too tempting. I'm risking a quarter of my profits from Trump to get $28,000. What the heck is going on xD
2
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Another 44% Pima drop, please, so I can fill my shares!
2
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Lol. This is truly an insane opportunity that doesn't come often.
0
Spartan37
5 months ago
I have another 100,000 shares that COULD be added on here. Don't make me force this market up myself.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
I have another 100,000 shares that COULD be added on here. Don't make me force this market up myself.
2
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
When Cochise unloads their Lake bomb, this market is going to go to 50%. Get in while you can!
1
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Sometimes making thousands off of simple folk feels like theft.
5
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
That Pima drop was INSANE. Lake should have a 70% chance at this point.
2
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
I stayed up until 5am studying this election 2 nights ago and bought 20,000 shares at 5c before anyone else got up.
5
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
IT'S HAPPENING
5
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
So many low IQ takes on both sides of the aisle right now.
3
biggamefish
5 months ago
We're supposed to believe 100k voters all voted for Trump & not Kari Lake. She wins outright or she wins via an audit either way we get the bag.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Wait like seriously? Or are you just trolling
0
biggamefish
5 months ago
I'm literally curing ballots as we speak, it's so Gallegover hahahaha
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Lake still has an uphill battle, she needs to keep hitting the mark each drop, but tonight set herself up to have a chance. Pima is going to give Gallego an additional 25k boost. But the rurals will counter it. Therefore, Lake just needs to keep getting around 54% of the Maricopa drops to win.
2
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Where, in Pima? Cuz otherwise Lake has held strong in early voting.
2
BourbonBombero
5 months ago
Also Gallego is winning Early Voting ballots by 6% over so far
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Where?
0
Supeg
5 months ago
35% odds on Lake win now
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Again, how do you know?
0
FUENTES
5 months ago
its over :(
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Explain yourself?
2
Supeg
5 months ago
Next drop isn't gonna be good for Lake but the one after will be
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Last night, I put $1000 into Lake at 5% because I saw it was criminally underrated. Now I might become rich. (That $1000 was just a fraction of how much I made this election)
9
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
She literally just needs to win the remaining total ballots by 5.3%. So, around 52%.
1
aenews2
5 months ago
Nice pump folks, but Gallego is almost assuredly the winner. One good batch is not enough to overcome the deficit.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Not yet!
0
aenews2
5 months ago
Nice pump folks, but Gallego is almost assuredly the winner. One good batch is not enough to overcome the deficit.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
I'm not seeing how that number makes sense. How can she overcome 77k deficit after Pima is in, with just a tiny win in Maricopa?
0
Bang...
5 months ago
Maricopa County just dropped over 70K votes and Kari Lake won 57% of them (!!). She is now only down 43k votes. In order to have a chance to win, Kari needs the outstanding votes in Maricopa to break 51/49 in her favor so this is a VERY strong drop. Maricopa has over 400K votes outstanding, and AZ has 850K votes outstanding statewide. Kari Lake is still very much in this.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
INSANE. IT'S HAPPENING
1
Jagsarentthatbad
5 months ago
34% odds for Lake on Decision Desk
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
That's correct but you can just subtract around 4% from Trump's number and add 4% to Harris'
1
Spartan37
5 months ago
Pima came in better than last batch by 4%!!!
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
LAKE IS GOING TO WIN AT THIS RATE
2
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
BOOOOOOOOM MARICOPA
1
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Who cares. All that matters is end result.
1
Spartan37
5 months ago
GREAT batch in Coconino for Lake.
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
www.washingtonpost.com/elections/results/2024/11/05/arizona-president/
2
Spartan37
5 months ago
Pima came in better than last batch by 4%!!!
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Pima came in better than last batch by 4%!!!
1
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
GREAT batch in Coconino for Lake.
3
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Absolutely not. We don't have any Maricopa county, and the tiny batches don't mean much.
1
Comebackkid
5 months ago
it's over?
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
You all are seriously dooming over the tiny drops outside of Maricopa that are supposed to be the most blue ballots remaining? Chill. hold, and be patient.
0
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Yeah same. These drops are way too small to make any major conclusion though. Also, they're the most blue batches from what I've heard.
0
QuteAnon
5 months ago
Sorry, fellow Lakers, but it's Gallegover
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Looks like to me that they were right on target.
0
QuteAnon
5 months ago
Sorry, fellow Lakers, but it's Gallegover
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
That was a Pima drop. Most blue county. Not a great drop for Lake, but it's not over. Still no Maricopa yet.
0
QuteAnon
5 months ago
Sorry, fellow Lakers, but it's Gallegover
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
So how we feeling about the latest drop?
0
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
I "only" did 20,000.
1
FUENTES
5 months ago
I should have bought more at 5c
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Lake has narrowed the gap from 53k to 50k. This is just going to keep getting closer and closer. So will be leading at some point before the heavily blue county comes in and makes it extremely close. This is an INSANE investment at this price.
1
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Imagine it was still election day. 69% is reporting, tons of ballots left. What are the odds for Lake? The only reason this is so lopsided on here is because time is going by and nothing is happening. It's an illusion.
0
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
As always. We're always waiting on AZ, and watching NV get stolen in the process. Some things never chance as long as scumcrats are in charge of the state.
1
Comebackkid
5 months ago
Down to this last bet
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
The early vote favors GOP by 9%.
0
MG95
5 months ago
Looking at the numbers I think Lake still has a chance, she is winning the in-person vote
Arizona Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
I put $1000 of my $7500 earning this election into Kari Lake at 5% chance. I ran the numbers. She has a legitimate shot if they aren't rigging it against us again. The risk/reward is worth it.
3
Nevada Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
I mean that was kinda obvious that that was gonna happen.
0
Trump wins every swing state?
Spartan37
5 months ago
Bruh. Why would you risk money that you can't afford to risk? I hope you learned a valuable lesson.
2
mcamerinop
5 months ago
i applaud everyone here who said yes thats crazy
Trump wins every swing state?
Spartan37
5 months ago
If you go back a ways, you can see where I got in at 17% and called it free money lol. To be fair, it was closer than I expected.
2
mcamerinop
5 months ago
i applaud everyone here who said yes thats crazy
# of Republican Senate seats after Election?
Spartan37
5 months ago
That comedian probably cost us 2 senate seats.
0
Nevada Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Oh yeah, I forgot how f'ed up that state is thanks to democrat rule. This is a loss for the GOP thanks entirely to unconstitutional election laws.
1
Szty1
5 months ago
There's a ton of mail out there (like 14,000) that was rejected because of signature problems but still can be cured until next Tuesday. Plus a lot of mail will keep coming in until Friday.
Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
Spartan37
5 months ago
Picked up some 0-1% just in case. Can't beat that 5% odds.
0
Tipping Point State in 2024 Election?
Spartan37
5 months ago
shhh
0
Camo
5 months ago
Why does nobody know what tipping point state means
Nevada Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
I've been going back and forth in my head about this one, but I'm leaning toward an even-so-slight win for Sam Brown under 0.1% with a recount coming.
1
# of Republican Senate seats after Election?
Spartan37
5 months ago
This is an extremely underrated market. Wow.
1
Michigan Senate Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Well crap. Yeah it's looking like only 53 seats by the tiniest of margins.
1
Trump wins every swing state?
Spartan37
5 months ago
Nah. I'm very careful. I was very convinced this would happen.
0
Spartan37
5 months ago
Anyone get this at lower than 17%? I feel so amazing right now
Trump wins every swing state?
Spartan37
5 months ago
Anyone get this at lower than 17%? I feel so amazing right now
7
Trump wins every swing state?
Spartan37
5 months ago
Well, except the corrupt democrat politicians.
0
RealScroogeMcDuck
5 months ago
I hope President Trump would be kind to liberals. I always like him in my heart. He is so smart and beautiful. I like his voice and color of his skin. Always like. Sorry if I was rude toward MAGA, they are not crazy at all, they are smart and beautiful people
Trump wins every swing state?
Spartan37
5 months ago
He will be, don't worry. He loves all Americans!
0
RealScroogeMcDuck
5 months ago
I hope President Trump would be kind to liberals. I always like him in my heart. He is so smart and beautiful. I like his voice and color of his skin. Always like. Sorry if I was rude toward MAGA, they are not crazy at all, they are smart and beautiful people
Trump wins every swing state?
Spartan37
5 months ago
He's at 90 for a reason.
0
TanOri
5 months ago
how is this 80 when nevada is 80 lmao
Trump wins every swing state?
Spartan37
5 months ago
You shouldn't make dumb bets that you can't afford.
2
Fligger
5 months ago
I'll never financially recover from this
Trump wins every swing state?
Spartan37
5 months ago
Nevada is all that's left.
0
TanOri
5 months ago
how is this 80 when nevada is 80 lmao
Trump wins every swing state?
Spartan37
5 months ago
I can still see Nevada going to Harris. That state is SO rampant with fraud.
1
Trump wins every swing state?
Spartan37
5 months ago
It wasn't. You bet a whopping 80% chance that the polls were wrong.
2
SadMan
5 months ago
No matter what will happen this was a good bet before the elections start. We had a good chance. Very rarely someone will win all swing states.
Trump wins every swing state?
Spartan37
5 months ago
I TOLD you all that buying yes was free money!!
3
Trump wins every swing state?
Spartan37
5 months ago
I told you all, free money on yes.
4
Virginia Presidential Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
Yeah this happens every time where Trump leads for a long time until way late. I'm just curious about the margin of her win there.
1
Trump wins every swing state?
Spartan37
5 months ago
It doesn't have to be a landslide. All he needs is a tiny polling error.
0
Spartan37
5 months ago
Alright, I understand that there are a lot of coping liberals on this market claiming that "no" is free money. I'd love to hear your argument from a data standpoint.
Trump wins every swing state?
Spartan37
5 months ago
Alright, I understand that there are a lot of coping liberals on this market claiming that "no" is free money. I'd love to hear your argument from a data standpoint.
6
Trump wins every swing state?
Spartan37
5 months ago
Sheesh I literally got the cheapest price possible at 17c lol
5
Trump wins every swing state?
Spartan37
5 months ago
LOL. Calling me dumb, and yet you can't do basic math. If I have 6000 shares, that's how much I'd win if I'm right. I only spent $1142. And no, I'm not losing it.
0
wiruz
5 months ago
no is free money glitch
Trump wins every swing state?
Spartan37
5 months ago
Don't worry, I screenshotted for when you delete that comment.
6
Spartan37
5 months ago
Yesssss fill my yes shares...this election is over and you all are vibing my way to fortune.
Trump wins every swing state?
Spartan37
5 months ago
Yesssss fill my yes shares...this election is over and you all are vibing my way to fortune.
5
Trump wins every swing state?
Spartan37
5 months ago
Yes is free money glitch.
3
wiruz
5 months ago
no is free money glitch
New Mexico Presidential Election Winner
Spartan37
5 months ago
This market is about to explode in 12 days.
3
Indiana Presidential Election Winner
Spartan37
6 months ago
Hello from Indiana :) We're doing our part to help win the popular vote and send a message!!
2
New Mexico Presidential Election Winner
Spartan37
6 months ago
According to Civiqs, this is LIKELY Trump. According to everything else, it's likely Harris. Weird stuff.
0
College Football Champion 2025
Spartan37
6 months ago
I miss the days when losing to Vanderbilt took you out of playoff contention. Screw the new format.
4
Ding Liren plays in 2024 World Chess Championship?
Spartan37
6 months ago
Chess needs more betting markets. This is sad.
12
Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?
Spartan37
6 months ago
No it would not. 5% is basically given.
0
AllYourMoniesAreBelongToMe
6 months ago
Sure, maybe. But a 5+ would have been a lot more fun.
Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?
Spartan37
6 months ago
Very likely free money on yes.
0
JP5
6 months ago
Absolutely free money on No.
Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?
Spartan37
6 months ago
Just remember, if there were a "DeSantis winning by 15%+" market, it would have been at 2% Yes.
2
Tipping Point State in 2024 Election?
Spartan37
6 months ago
It is NOT PA. PA is going Trump but the tipping state will either be Wisconsin, Michigan, Georgia, or North Carolina, and the state that wins will go to Trump by a large margin of around 3-5%.
1
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
Spartan37
6 months ago
I cannot believe Walz was at 75% pre-debate. I didn't see that until now. Any sane person knew Vance was going to destroy Walz. I said it would happen all day today.
2
Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?
Spartan37
7 months ago
If the odds were closer, they were going to get away with that though. Shouldn't be allowed to bet on both markets.
1
Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?
Spartan37
7 months ago
It just ended. Trump hit 91 minutes.
2
Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?
Spartan37
7 months ago
No joke, I thought the other day that this might happen...
0
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
Spartan37
7 months ago
Oh trust me, I BADLY want to block you. You're one of the lowest incels on here.
0
Pidor🐓
7 months ago
thanks for reminder to poke support about a block feature. stay on the other site
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
Spartan37
7 months ago
Look at the averages of the most recent 6 polls. It's 1.5. The reason we're at 1.8 is because RCP dropped a couple older polls from their average that showed Trump winning.
0
babendums
7 months ago
Wtf are u talking about its 1.8
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
Spartan37
7 months ago
To be clear, even if Harris wins this market, Trump still gained in the polls. The post-RFK polls have Harris +1.5, and of course there's the major sampling errors in some polls which give the illusion that Harris still leads.
0
Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?
Spartan37
7 months ago
This seems like market manipulation to me.
3
Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?
Spartan37
7 months ago
But why is the question. Kennedy just ended the election.
1
What will Trump say during Arizona speech?
Spartan37
7 months ago
Who cares.
0
Tories4Harris
7 months ago
Trump looks so old. Holy shit.
Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally?
Spartan37
7 months ago
Trump is literally assembling the Avengers to take down the swamp. A cinematic movie is going to be made about this era one day, if Trump wins.
0
RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?
Spartan37
7 months ago
He didn't say he would vote or endorse Trump, did he?
3
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
Spartan37
8 months ago
What did I tell you all lol. Always at the end.
2
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
Spartan37
8 months ago
^rally
0
Spartan37
8 months ago
Just a reminder, a single MAGA is given. He ends every single speech literally with MAGA. 100% chance.
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
Spartan37
8 months ago
Just a reminder, a single MAGA is given. He ends every single speech literally with MAGA. 100% chance.
0
What will Trump say during Saturday rally?
Spartan37
8 months ago
It's a given that he will say it. He says MAGA at the end of EVERY rally.
2
Scoobs
8 months ago
Has he said maga yet